Professional Documents
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Final Sbi Report Final
Final Sbi Report Final
Final Sbi Report Final
SUBMITTED BY:
ID NO.: SI/SK-161
SUBMITTED TO:
PLACEMENT CELL
NEW DELHI
(APPROVED BY AICTE)
AND
FARIDABAD, HARYANA
SUBMITTED BY:
ID NO.: SI/SK-161
Firstly I would like to thank Mr. Sachin Gupta for allowing me to do Summer internship
Training at Gulf Bulls Securities Pvt. Ltd.
I extend my sincere thanks to Mr. Animesh Aseem his continuous guidance, cooperation and
valuable suggestions to initiate and carry out the study.
I thank all the member of the Gulf Bulls Securities Pvt. Ltd. Who have guided me through the
working of the project.
Date: 30.06.09
SI/SK-161
STATE BANK OF INDIA has built its leadership by making itself as India’s largest commercial
bank having largest retail lender with great brand image, high market capitalization and also to
find place in the fortune global 500 list.
The Broad objective of the project is to analysis the movement of SBI share and trade in future
by taking into consideration the present economic scenario, movement of banking sector and
how much the SBI share is sensitive with the upcoming news and global effect. It gives a clear
picture about the movement of SBI share in different condition which helps the investors,
brokerage houses to invest in future.
This study is basically divided into five major parts. The first part of the report includes the
current economic scenario of India. The second part deals with the banking Industry and its
comparison with other industries. The third part includes the Introduction of State bank of India.
The fourth part is related to historical analysis, upcoming and Global effect of SBI shares. The
last part deals with limitations, conclusion and suggestions.
Sl. PAGE NO
INDEX
no
3 Acknowledgement 4
4 Preface 5
9 Introduction 37-44
10 History 44-46
12 Work Description -3
13 Analysis 50-72
14 Historical Data 73
This part describes the economic position of the world and brief about the Indian Economy. The
position of fiscal and monetary policy, Tax structure, Balance of payment, Import, Export, Trade
Deficit, Foreign Exchange Reserves, FII, FDI, Special Economic Zones, IMF, Per Capital
Income, GDP, Investment, Savings, IIP, Unemployment, Inflation.
2. Banking Industry:
This part describes about the growth in Banking Industry, Several initiates taken by Government,
Innovation in Banking Industry, Barrier to entry and comparison of Banking Industry with other
sector and SWOT analysis of SBI.
This part describes about the SBI Group which includes all the seven Banks, Foreign
subsidiaries, Non Banking Subsidiaries, Joint Ventures and the Management committee.
4. SBI Profile:
This part describes about the SBI profile, history, achievements and rewards achieved by SBI.
Details about the Share holding pattern, Dividend, Financial and Historical data.
5. Analysis
This part describes about the detail study of the movement of SBI shares in weekly, monthly and
yearly on the basis of Historical data.
6. Upcoming Effect
This part describes how the upcoming news i.e. Election result, dividend declared etc. effect the
SBI share price.
7. Global Effect
This part explain about the effect of changes in repo rate, reverse repo rate, CRR, SLR,
inflation , GDP and IIP effect the movement of SBI share price.
Gulf bulls Securities Pvt. Ltd. a Company registered under the Companies Act, 1956 .Gulf bulls
is a professionally managed group headed by the directors, having vast experience in the stock
market. Besides the core promoters, the group is having its full fledged teams headed by young
and dynamic professionals like chartered accountants, company secretaries, MBAs, IT
professionals etc. to handle the various divisions of the company.
The Company has a balanced mix of revenues from emerging markets and is well positioned to
leverage the growth potential offered by these markets. GBS provides investors a robust platform
to trade in Equities in NSE, BSE, and Derivatives in NSE. With its ability to evolve with the
changing environment the Company has been able to put itself to the forefront of stock broking
activities. With its network spreading across various parts of India, it has made a distinct mark
among the stock broking houses and high net worth corporate as well as individuals.
The company research team tracks the economy, industries and companies and provides the
latest information and analysis. The company content offers financial information, analysis,
investment guidance, news & views, and is designed to meet the requirements of everyone from
a beginner to a savvy and well-informed trader.
BUSINESS
• Equity
• Derivatives
• IPO
• Insurance
• Mutual Funds
• SMC global
• Religare
• Karvy
MANAGEMENT TEAM
NAME DESIGNATION
MISSION
The Company Mission is to create and introduce the new definition of investments around the
Globe.
The Company Vision is to grow the business and make their presence across the World.
ECONOMIC SCENARIO
WORLD ECONOMY
“United Nations Department of Economic and Social affairs (DESA) said the world economy is
expected to shrink by 2.6% in 2009 according to the pessimistic scenario of the forecast
presented in January 09.
Source: The Economic Times DT 29.05.09
RECENT GROWTH TRENDS IN GLOBAL ECONOMY
Improving vital signs across the Globe from US GDP to Japanese factory output and British
houses prices hopes that the World economy was responding after months in intensive care.
USA
The US economy shrank 5.7% from the first quarter of 2008, less than the previous estimate of
6.1% and slightly worse than market expectations for a 5.5% fall.
JAPAN
The factory output rose to 5.2% in April, the biggest jump in more than half a century and
manufactures forecast further gains.
SOUTH KOREA
The industrial output expanded for a fourth straight month.
GERMAN
Retail sales showed a 0.5% month rise in April 09 while private consumption for the first quarter
raised a similar amount despite a 3.8% contraction in GDP.
BRITAIN
The house prices registered a surprise rise in May-09 the second time in three months.
The economy of India is as diverse as it is large, with a number of major sectors including
manufacturing industries, agriculture, textiles and handicrafts, and services. Agriculture is a
major component of the Indian economy, as over 66% of the Indian population earns its
livelihood from this area.
The Indian economy entered the financial year 2008-09 with a buoyant growth rate. The average
growth rate during the recent four years namely 2004-05 to 2007-08 has been at record level
close to 9 per cent when compared to the average growth rate of 5.6 per cent recorded during the
preceding four years. There has been a moderation in the growth in the current year due to the
fallout of the global crisis. Compared to other emerging economies, India has several strengths
that can help mitigate the adverse effects of global financial crisis. The Government has taken
several measures in this direction and the economy is expected to return to the high growth
trajectory.
FISCAL POLICY
• The union budget 2008-09 was presented with fiscal deficit estimated at 2.5% of
GDP and revenue deficit at 1% of GDP.
• The gross market borrowings for the current fiscal year 2008-09 pegged at Rs
3,06,000 crore, the Government has tripled its open market borrowing from the
original Rs 1,33,000 crore thus pushing up the fiscal deficit from 2.5% to 6%.
• A higher deficit and consequent borrowing by the Government will crowd the private
sector out and make an interest rate cut tough.
• The government on an average has been borrowing Rs 838.56 crore daily from the
open market to fund its fiscal deficit.
• 10 year government security shot up by 7 Bps to 6.36% on budget day itself.
• The movement in bond prices shows that the market is not comfortable with the
Government borrowing.
• The change in bond prices both short and long term is indicative of the cost of funds
in the banking system.
The fiscal policy for the year 2009-10 will continue to be guided by the objectives of keeping the
economy on the higher growth trajectory amidst global slowdown by creating demand through
increased public expenditure in identical sectors.
The medium term objective will be to revert to the path of fiscal consolidation at the earliest,
with improvement in the economic situation.
“India Inc can now forget about cheap credit because the cash strapped the credit market by
borrowing heavily from the banking system.”
The doubling of fiscal deficit may place pressure on interest rates unless accommodating policy
measures are taken. Even the fall in interest rates however, will be muted due to the government
massive borrowing.
Source: India Today DT 02.03.09 by Falguni Nayer, Managing Director Kotak Investment
Banking.
TAX
INCOME TAX
The personal income tax collection for the fiscal year ended march 31, 2009 exceeded the
revised target of Rs 1.23 lakh by more Rs 1.000 crore.
CORPORATE TAX
The corporate tax was reduced to Rs 2.13 lakh crore against the revised estimates of Rs 2.22
lakh.
The FBT was increased to Rs 7116 crore showed a 12.38% growth over the previous year.
The UPA government is planning to introduce the goods and services tax (GST) form
01.04.2010 by which the consumer will pay a single rate of tax on goods and services sold across
India.
CENTRAL EXCISE
General Cenvat rate on all goods reduced from 16% to 14% to give a stimulus to the
manufacturing sector. Excise duty reduced on small cars, two wheelers and three wheelers from
16% to 12%.
Central sales tax rate being reduced from 3% to 2% from Apr 1, 2008.
Banking cash transaction Tax being withdrawn with effect from Apr 1, 2009.
MONEYTARY POLICY
The changes in the domestic and global economy, impacting the price level and financial
stability, pose serious challenges in the conduct of monetary policy. The major thrust of the
monetary policy has been to facilitate the growth of the economy in a non- inflationary
environment.
The strength, resilience and stability of the country’s external sector are
reflected by various indicators. These include a steady accretion to reserves,
moderate levels of current account deficit, changing composition of capital
CURRENT ACCOUNT
The current account Balance is Deficit by 22332 cr in absolute value in the period (Apr–Dec)
2008-09 as compared to a Deficit of 17034 cr in the last year from (Apr-Dec) 2007-08.
IMPORT
The import is increased by 225809 in US $ million in absolute value in the period (Apr–Dec)
2008-09 as compared to 171718 in US $ million in the last year from (Apr-Dec) 2007-08.
EXPORT
The import is increased by 131990 in US $ million in absolute value in the period (Apr–Dec)
2008-09 as compared to 112737 in US $ million in the last year from (Apr-Dec) 2007-08.
There is a Trade Deficit of 93819 in US $ million in the period (Apr–Dec) 2008-09 as compared
to a Deficit of 58981 in US $ million in the last year from (Apr-Dec) 2007-08.
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
The capital account is increased to 24788 cr in absolute value in the period (Apr–Dec) 2008-09
as compared to 22357 cr in the last year from (Apr-Dec) 2007-08.
In the wake of surge in capital flows and build up of current account surpluses , FER comprising
external assets like Foreign currency assets ( FCA) , gold, SDRS and reserve Tranche position in
the IMF that are readily available to and controlled by monetary authorities of management of
BOP , scaled new highs in recent years.
FER have recorded their highest growth in more than a year in the week following the general
elections results. The Forex reserves which include foreign currency assets, gold and drawing
rights with IMF rose to $ 6.4 billion to touch $260.6 billion during week ended May 22 09 the
The net investment of foreign investors in the stock of Indian companies stood at $ 4.2 billion
(around Rs 20,473 crore) with most of the inflows coming in the month of May 09.
So far in 2009, FIIS have bought share worth Rs 1,96,021 crore while they sold equities values at
Rs 1,75,547 crore resulting in a net inflow of Rs 20,472 crore.
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Source: The Economic Times 31.05.09
The FDI worth $11 billion flowed into the country between Oct 08 and March 09. In the full
fiscal (FY 09) FDI was almost flat at $ 13.8 billion. Out of the $33.6 billion FDI in the FY 09
only a third was invested in the second half while a bulk of it entered during the first half. This is
the first time since 1999 fiscal which recorded FDI at $ 2.5 billion and FII at a negative $61
million, that FDI inflows have offset FII outflows by such a huge margin.
YEAR Rs in crore
2001-02 6130
2002-03 5035
2003-04 4322
2004-05 6051
2005-06 8961
2006-07 22826
2007-08 34362
2008-09 33619
Another major policy issue in the trade sector which created a lot of heat was that of SEZs. The
SEZ Act, 2005, supported by SEZ Rules, came into effect on February 10, 2006. The main
objectives of the SEZ Act are generation of additional economic activity, promotion of exports
of goods and services, promotion of investment from domestic and foreign sources, creation of
employment opportunities and development of infrastructure facilities. Various incentives and
facilities are offered to both – units in SEZs for attracting investments into SEZs (including
Developers of special economic zones (SEZ) and units inside such zones can from now on claim
refunds of taxes paid on all input services, regardless of whether the services are used inside or
outside tax-free zones.
Developers can set up 2 or more adjacent SEZs and merge them without worrying about the area
limit of 5000 hectares.
At present India has a shareholding of 1.91% in IMF with a quota of $4158.20 million in SDRS.
India may contribute $10-11 billion to the IMF as its contributions to the $500 billion that the
global institution is raising from 20 powerful nations for lending crisis stricken countries.
The per capital monthly income of an average Indian has for the first time crossed the Rs 3,000
mark on current price levels. The per capital figures may look a bit less impressive when
adjusted for inflation, reached only Rs 25,494 against Rs 25,661 per annum estimated in Feb-09.
5 Money Supply (M3) (Rs. hundred crore)(4) 3892.7 4235.1 11.7 10.6
Of which:
During the year 2008-09 annual real GDP growth (at constant 1999-2000 prices) is 6.7 per cent
as compared to the growth rate of 9.1 per cent during 2007-08. The nominal growth rates of GDP
at current market prices during the respective years are 14.9 per cent and 14.4 per cent. As such
the GDP at current market prices for the year 2008-09 stands at Rs.54,26,277 crore as against
Rs.47,23,400 crore in 2007-08. Due to the prevailing uncertainty in the world economy, the real
GDP growth has been assumed at 7 per cent in 2009-10. After factoring in inflation expectation,
the GDP growth (at current market prices) for 2009-10 is assumed at 11 per cent. Thus the GDP
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for the year 2009-10 (at current market prices) is set at Rs.60, 21,426 crore. In the following two
years, with the assumption that economy will start showing signs of revival, the real GDP growth
has been assumed at 8 and 9 per cent respectively. After factoring in medium term inflation
expectation, the GDP growth at current market prices is projected at 13 per cent and 13.4 per
cent respectively for 2010-11 and 2011-12.
2007-08 2008-09
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 A Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 A
Agriculture 4.3 3.9 8.1 2.2 4.62 3.0 2.7 -0.8 2.7 1.9
Mining 0.1 3.8 4.2 4.7 3.2 4.6 3.7 4.9 1.6 3.7
Mfg 10.0 8.2 8.6 6.3 8.27 5.5 5.1 0.9 -1.4 2.52
Utilities 6.9 5.9 3.8 4.6 5.3 2.7 3.8 3.5 3.6 3.4
Construction 11.0 13.4 9.7 6.9 10.2 8.4 9.6 4.2 6.8 7.25
Transport, Hot, Com 13.1 10.9 11.7 13.8 12.37 13.0 12.1 5.9 6.3 9.32
Finance, Real Est. 12.6 12.4 11.9 10.3 11.8 6.9 6.4 8.3 9.5 7.77
Govt & Other Ser 4.5 7.1 5.5 9.5 6.65 8.2 9.0 22.5 12.5 13.05
GDP at Factor cost 9.2 9.0 9.3 8.6 9.02 7.8 7.7 5.8 5.8 6.77
INVESTMENT
Both private and public savings have contributed to higher overall savings. Private savings have
risen by 6.1 percent points of GDP over the Tenth five year plan period.
SAVINGS
Index of Industrial Production (IIP) is one of the Prime indicators of the economic development
for the measurement of trend in the behavior of the Industrial Production over a period of time
with reference to a chosen base year.
Deceleration in growth was significant for manufacturing and electricity sectors, and somewhat
moderate for the mining sector. The cumulative growth during April-March, 2008-09 over the
corresponding period of 2007-08 in the three sectors i.e. mining, manufacturing and electricity
have been 2.3%, 2.3% and 2.8% respectively, which moved the overall growth in the General
Index to 2.4%.
The Eleventh Plan envisages rapid growth in employment opportunities while ensuring
improvement in the quality of employment. The employment generation strategy of the Eleventh
Plan is also predicated on the reduction of underemployment and the movement of surplus
labour in agriculture sector to higher wage and more gainful employment in non-agricultural
sector. Employment in manufacturing is expected to grow at 4 per cent while construction and
transport and communication are expected to grow at 8.2 per cent and 7.6 per cent, respectively.
The projected increase in total labour force during the Eleventh Plan is 45 million. As against
this, 58 million employment opportunities would be created in the Eleventh Plan. This would be
greater than the projected increase in labour force leading to a reduction in the unemployment
rate to below 5 per cent.
2002 8.8
2003 8.8
2004 9.5
2005 9.2
2006 8.9
2007 7.8
2008 7.2
INFLATION
January 2009 and as of the week ending January 31, 2009 was 4.39 per cent.
AS ON 31ST MARCH
UP 21049
AP 15226
WB 14254
GUJARAT 10640
KARNATAKA 9700
MP 9380
ORISSA 8681
MAHARASHTRA 8504
BIHAR 8215
RAJASTHAN 7672
TN 7486
KERALA 5982
JHARKHAND 2489
CHHATTISGARH 2262
ASSAM 2136
HARYANA 2043
J&K 1852
HP 963
MANIPUR 922
GOA 681
TRIPURA 454
UTTARAKHAND 380
NAGALAND 323
MEGHALAYA 314
MIZORAM 308
SIKKIM 176
BANKING INDUSTRY
The growth in the Indian Banking Industry has been qualitative than quantitative and it is
expected to remain the same in the coming years. The country’s middle class accounts for over
320 million people. In correlation with the growth of the economy, rising income levels,
increased standard of living and affordability of banking products are promising factors for
continued expansion. The Indian banking industry is in the middle of an IT revolution, focusing
on the expansion of retail and rural banking. Players are becoming increasingly customer- centric
in their approach, which has resulted in innovative methods of offering new banking products
and services. Banks are now realizing the importance of being a big player and are beginning to
focus their attention on merger and acquisitions.
The favorable economic condition including the sustained acceleration in the pace of growth in
industrial sector, buoyancy in services sector and sharp spurt in real estate sector together again
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facilitated rise in the advances of the banking sector. But now the public sector banks have also
woken up with the market potential aggressively brought down their NPA levels and improved
their capital Adequacy ratios and scaled up their fee based income as well. As a result we find
that in the quarter ended June 2007 the Public sector banks reported better 45% growth in net
profit than 35% growth registered by private sector banks. But on an overall perspective, a
decent 43% growth in profits by the banking sector as a whole is quite credible. Many banks are
hopeful of effecting significant NPA recoveries due to Securitization Act. Recoveries from the
NPAs which have been provided for add to the other income. Thus going forward cost
containment and recovery management are the key challenges facing Indian banks to remain
competitive.
STRUCTURE
The Indian banking system can be classified into nationalized banks, private banks and
specialized banking institutions. The industry is highly fragmented with 30 banking units
contributing to almost 50% of deposits and 60% of advances. The Reserve Bank of India is the
foremost monitoring body in the Indian Financial sector. It is a centralized body that monitors
discrepancies and shortcomings in the system.
Industry estimates indicate that out of 274 commercial banks operating in the country, 223
banks are in the public sector and 51 are in the private sector. These private sector banks include
24 foreign banks that have begun their operations here. The specialized banking institutions that
include cooperatives, rural banks, etc. form a part of the nationalized banks category. There are
about 67,000 Branches of Scheduled banks spread across India. As far as the present scenario is
concerned the Banking Industry in India is going through a transitional phase.
Based on the projections made in the India vision 2020 prepared by the planning commission
and the Draft 10th plan, the report forecasts that the pace of expansion in the balance-sheets of
banks is likely to decelerate. The total assets of all scheduled commercial banks by end March
2010 is estimated at Rs 40, 90,000 crores.
SEVERAL MEASURES INITIATED BY THE RESERVE BANK OF INDIA BETWEEN
NOVEMBER 2008 AND JANUARY 2009.
Several measures initiated by the RBI have resulted in banks reducing their deposit rates
between November 2008 and January 2009. The range for deposit rates for public sector banks
varied from 5.25 to 8.5 per cent, foreign banks at 5.25 to 7.75 per cent and private sector banks
at 4 to 8.75 per cent.
GOVERNMENT INITIATIVES
• Bank rate cuts announced in the stimulus packages.
• Cash withdrawals from bank will not attract tax from April 1, 2009 following abolition of
the banking cash transaction tax (BCTT) in the Union Budget 2008-09.
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• Inter-ATM usage transaction became free of charges effective April 1, 2009.
• Affidavit and photo should be enough for opening saving account.
• RBI has increased minimum value for high value clearing to Rs 5 lakh from May-09
further to Rs 10 lakh by August and will be withdrawn completely by Nov-09.
• An India owned company is one where the beneficial foreign ownership is less than 50%
and where the right to appoint the board is with resident Indians.
EVENTS
In the post-crisis quarter caused due to collapse of Lehman Brothers, large corporate like Infosys
moved their deposits to State Bank of India (SBI), the country's largest bank. Infosys has
revealed that it transferred deposits of nearly US$ 200.61 million from ICICI Bank to SBI last
year.
Source: Annual Policy for 2008-09 of Reserve Bank of India
INNOVATIONS IN BANKING INDUSTRY
Over the years, the banking sector in India has seen a number of changes. Most of the banks
have begun to take an innovative approach towards banking with the objective of creating more
value for customers, and consequently the banks. Some of the significant changes in the Indian
banking sector are discussed below:
• The RBI prescribed a new minimum capital requirement (Rs 100 crores) for banks to be
considered for a license.
• Foreign ownership of Indian banks limited to 49% for healthy banks, 74% for banks
identified as distressed.
• State required to maintain minimum ownership of 51% of designated banks.
COMPETITION NATURE
There are several other challenges and issues that the banking industry face in the changing
global scenario. Apart from their traditional banking functions, Indian banks have now started
offering several value added product and services both in the wholesale as well as retail banking
segments. Hence there is an increased demand for quality manpower for marketing and sales
operations. Though, at present, the interest rates are low due to the efforts of the government to
tame the current economic crisis, in normal circumstances Indian banks face stiff competition
from global banks. The levels of services rendered by the Indian banks still leave a lot more to be
desired. Only those banks which are able to meet the enhanced expectations of the costumers
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS
BANKEX WITH AUTO INDUSTRIES
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS
Face value 10 10 10
STRENGTH
OPPORTUNITY
• Need to recuit more sales team and ralationship managers at strategic centres.
• Focus on corporate salary account.
• Increase ATM services in rural and semi urban areas.
• Increase dominance in Gold and Broking etc.
• All 11448 branches should be corporate internet banking enabled.
• Setting up call centre in India for all types of business.
• Demart account facility online.
• Investment should be made to improve Mobile banking, ATM services, upgradation of
core banking system, system security etc.
• Bank will advertise and promote different policies introduced by the insurance company
and convince their customer to buy.
• Initiatives should be taken to strengthen business in countries with strong linkage e.g.
USA, UK,UAE.
• Focus on fee income generation by providing value added services like B2B, B2C.
THREAT
• Potential NPAs arising in real estate and in the SME sectors may reduce the net profit.
• Staff cost have been increased due to the new hires of 33,703 staff for the FY 09.
• The liability as on Mar 09 has been increased due to the fall in interest rate.
• Operating expenses increased by 24% due to higher provisions of salary revision and
pensions.
• Providing less banking hr service to customer as compaired to private bank.
• Very high competition prevailing in the industry.
State Bank of Mysore was established in the year 1913 as Bank of Mysore Ltd. under the
patronage of the erstwhile Govt. of Mysore, at the instance of the banking committee headed by
the great Engineer-Statesman, Late Dr. Sir M.Visvesvaraya. Subsequently, in March 1960, the
Bank became an Associate of State Bank of India. State Bank of India holds 92.33% of shares.
The Bank has a widespread network of 671 branches (as on 31.01.2009) and 20 extension
counters spread all over India which includes 6 specialized SSI branches, 4 Industrial Finance
branches, 3 Corporate Accounts Branches, 4 specialized Personal Banking Branches, 10
Agricultural Development Branches, 3 Treasury branches, 1 Asset Recovery Branch and 7
Service Branches, offering wide range of services to the customers.
MANAGEMENT COMMITTEE
NAME DESIGNATION
Shri O.P. Bhatt Chairman
Mr. Dilip
Mavinkurve Managing Director
Mr. A Chief General
Ramakrishna Manager
State Bank of Indore popularly known as Indore Bank in Malwa Region, originally known as
Bank of Indore Ltd. was incorporated under a special charter of his highness Maharaja
Tukojirao Holker-III, the then ruler of this region.
In terms of State Bank of India (Subsidiary Banks) Act, 1959 the Bank of Indore Ltd. became a
subsidiary of State Bank of India w.e.f. 1st January 1960 and was renamed as State Bank of
Indore. The Bank acquired business of the Bank of Dewas Ltd. in 1962 and the Dewas Senior
Bank Ltd. in 1965 and was up-graded to class 'A' category bank in 1971.
MANAGEMENT COMMITTEE
NAME DESIGNATION
Shri O.P. Bhatt Chairman
A C Varma Managing Director
State Bank of Travancore (SBT) was originally established as Travancore Bank Ltd. in 1945
sponsored by the erstwhile Princely State of Travancore. Under a special statute of the Indian
Parliament (SBI subsidiary Banks Act 1959) it has been made an Associate of the State Bank of
India and a member of the State Bank Group, the largest banking group in India.
MANAGEMENT
COMMITTEE
NAME DESIGNATION
Shri O.P. Bhatt Chairman
Managing
Mr. A K Jagannathan Director
General
Mr. Mathur K Nanjunda Manager
STATE BANK OF BIKANER AND JAIPUR
One of the well-known banks of Rajasthan, State Bank of Bikaner and Jaipur came into being in
1963 after the merger of State Bank of Bikaner and State Bank of Jaipur. Headquartered at
Jaipur, the bank has around 844 branches, spread all over the India. This technology driven bank
has got all its branches migrated to Core Banking Solution (CBS) during 2005-06 and is
providing Internet banking facilities to its customers.
MANAGEMENT
COMMITTEE
NAME DESIGNATION
Shri O.P. Bhatt Chairman
Managing
Shri Arun Shandilya Director
1806: The origin of State Bank of India was back to 1806 when the Bank of Calcutta (later
1809: The Bank receives a charter from the imperial government and changes its name to Bank
of Bengal.
1843: Another sister bank is formed: Bank of Madras, which, together with Bank of Bengal and
Bank of Bombay become known as the presidency banks, which had the right to issue currency
in their regions.
1861: The Presidency Banks Act takes away currency issuing privileges but offers incentives to
begin rapid expansion, and the three banks open nearly 50 branches among them by the mid-
1870s.
1876: The creation of Central Treasuries ends the expansion phase of the presidency banks.
1921: The presidency banks are merged to form a single entity, Imperial Bank of India.
1955: The Nationalization of Imperial Bank of India results in the formation of the State Bank of
India, which then becomes a primary factor behind the country's industrial, agricultural, and rural
development.
1969: The Indian government establishes a monopoly over the banking sector.
1995: SBI Commercial and International Bank Ltd. are launched as part of SBI's stepped-up
international banking operations.
2008 : State Bank of India has received the Reserve Bank of India’s approval in Nov for the
proposed joint venture company with Society General Securities Services (SGSS), for offering
custodial and related services in India.
State Bank of India has signed a Joint venture agreement with Insurance Australia Group in Nov
to form a Joint venture company which will be engaged in General Insurance business in India.
State Bank of India was adjudged the best bank of 2008 by London based 'The Banker' magazine
of the Financial Times Group.
SBI MANAGEMENT
NAME DESIGNATION
Shri Om Prakash
Bhatt Chairman
Shri S.k. Managing
Bhattacharyya Director
Shri R. Sridharan Director
Dr. Ashok
Jhunjhunwala Director
Shri Dileep C. Choksi Director
Shri S.
Venkatachalam Director
Shri. D. Sundaram Director
Dr. Deva Nand
Balodhi Director
Prof. Mohd.
Salahuddin Director
Dr. Vasantha
Bharucha Director
KEY FIGURES
Face Value(Rs) 10.00
PE ratio 13.29 02/06/09
EPS(Rs) 43.23 March 09
Sales(Rs crore) 17342.39 March 09
Net profit margin(%) 11.67 March 08
Last dividend(%) 290.00 11/05/09
Return on average equity 13.72 March 08
SHARE HOLDING
Promoters Holding: 59.41%
Institutional Investor: 16.24%
FIIS: 7.97%
DIVIDEND
Year Dividend (%)
2003-04 110
2004-05 125
2005-06 140
2006-07 140
2007-08 215
2008-09 290
AUDITED FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31ST MARCH 2009
(Rs in crore)
SL
NO PARTICULARS QUARTER ENDED YEAR ENDED
31.03.0 31.03.0 31.03.0 31.03.0
9 8 9 8
Interest Earned 17342.3 13576.7 63788.4 48950.3
1 (a+b+c+d) 9 3 3 1
ANALYSIS RESISTAN
CE
SUPPORT
LEVEL
RESISTAN
CE
SUPPOR
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RESISTAN
CE
SUPPORT
LEVEL
RESISTAN
CE
SUPPORT
LEVEL
RESISTAN
CE
HIGH 1140.40 10-Apr-09 RESISTANCE 1138.00
LOW 1123.90 08-Apr-09 SUPPORT LEVEL 1125.00
SUPPORT
LEVEL
RESISTAN
CE
RESISTAN
CE
SUPPORT
LEVEL
RESISTAN
CE
SUPPORT
LEVEL
RESISTAN
CE
SUPPORT
LEVEL
SUPPORT
LEVEL
RESISTAN
CE
SUPPORT
LEVEL
RESISTAN
HIGH 1295.85 18-Dec-08 RESISTANE CE 1286.00
A
LOW 1040.25 02-Dec-08 SUPPORT LEVEL 1210.00
A - Issue bond at the rate of 8.9% for 15 years to raise 18000 crore on 18.12.08. So there is an
intraday fluctuation of 101.9 on that day.
SUPPORT
LEVEL
RESISTAN
HIGH 1361.20 05-Jan-09 RESISTANCE 1225.00
CE
LOW 1041.75 23-Jan-09 SUPPORT LEVEL 1160.00
SUPPORT
LEVEL
SUPPORT
LEVEL
RESISTAN
CE
HIGH 1125.35 27-Mar-09 RESISTANCE 1035.00
LOW 896.80 09-Mar-09 SUPPORT LEVEL 990.00
A
A – SBI cut deposit rate from 9 per cent to 8.5 per cent. So there is an intraday fluctuation of
98.1 on 03.03.09.
SUPPORT
LEVEL
RESISTAN
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SUPPORT
LEVEL
HIGH 1307.80 24-Apr-09 RESISTANCE 1272.00
LOW 1073.95 01-Apr-09 SUPPORT LEVEL 1195.00
RESISTAN
CE
SUPPORT
LEVEL
B - The repo rate is increased from 8.00 percent to 9 percent. So there is an intraday fluctuation
of 103.75 on 29.07.08.
SUPPORT
LEVEL
C - The JV with Australia insurance group was finalized. So there is an intraday fluctuation of
107 on 21.08.08.
RESISTAN
HIGH 1543.90 16-Oct-08 RESISTANCE 1290.00
LOW 896.80 09-Mar-09 SUPPORT LEVEL CE 1175.00
C
B A
A – SBI announces to offer home loan to customer at 8 per cent on 02.02.09. So there is an
intraday fluctuation of 54.5 on that day.
B – The JV was signed with Australia insurance group. So there is an intraday fluctuation of
127.3 on 28.11.08. SUPPORT
LEVEL
C – The intraday fluctuation of 116 was found on 03.11.08 due to the decrease in repo rate from
8 percent to 7.5 percent by RBI.
A – The repo rate is reduced from 9 percent to 8 percent. So there is an intraday fluctuation of
137 on 20.10.08.
B – SBI announced to open 1500 more branches in the coming year. So there SUPPORT
is an intraday
fluctuation of 187.6 on 27.10.08. LEVEL
BSE
DAT SENS
E SBI EX NEWS
12.06.08 97 522.78 Repo rate is increased from 7.75% to 8.00%.
29.07.08 103.75 425.98 Repo rate is increased from 8.50% to 9.00%.
21-08-08 107 445.8 Finalize the insurance JV with Australia Group
20.10.08 137 514.77 Repo rate reduced from 9% to 8%.
27.10.08 187.6 1042 Announced to open 1500 More Branches.
IMF declared that the India’s Growth is likely to slow down to 6.25% in 2008-09 and further to
5.25% in 2009-10 due to falling corporate investment, deteriorating global outlook, weakening
profitability, confidence and tightening of financing conditions from foreign and non-bank
sources.
India is expecting a Growth of 7.1% and 7.7% growth is needed to meet the target of 7.1%.
After the announcement of this news we can see that there is no such good movement is SBI
share for few days.
As everybody knows that the Election result will be announced on 16.05.09. So there is a huge
quantity of share purchased by the investors before 16th may. Because the news are infavour of
UPA for a stable Government. The investors are expecting there should be a hike in the price of
SBI share if the UPA will come with majority.
DIVIDEND
SBI was announced to declare their Quarterly result and dividend on Saturday i.e. on 09.05.09.
The investors had unknown about the net profit and proposed dividend. So there is no such good
movement before few days. On 9th may 09 SBI net declared the net stood at Rs 9121.24 cr
reflecting a growth of 35.6% as compared to last year. The SBI board has proposed 290%
dividend.
Indian Union Budget was announced on 16.02.09. The investors had not aware about the budget
result. So there was no such good movement before few days.
GLOBAL EFFECT
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REPO RATE
Repo rate is the rate at which RBI lends money to commercial banks against approved
Government securities.
Any changes in Repo rate affects the Net Interest Margins (NIMS) of the banks and interest cost
of corporate which affect the Stock prices of securities affect overall market sentiments.
Besides these there are lots of other indirect reasons which affect the prices of securities in the
event of such rate changes.
25.07.08 1448.75
29.07.08 8.5% 9.0% 28.07.08 1418.05
29.07.08 1321.00
From the above figure it is clear that whenever there is an increase in REPO rate the SBI share
price decreasing.
Reverse Repo rate is the rate at which Reserve Bank of India (RBI) borrows money from banks.
Banks are always happy to lend money to RBI since their money is in safe hands with a good
interest. An increase in Reverse repo rate can cause the banks to transfer more funds to RBI due
to these attractive interest rates. It can cause the money to be drawn out of the banking system.
20.04.09 1295.95
From the above figure it is clear that whenever there is a decrease in RE REPO rate the SBI
CRR is the Percentage of deposits every bank has to keep in its account with RBI. Thus bank
cannot use such money for lending purposes and thus increase/decrease of this ratio is used by
the RBI as a tool to curtail/inject liquidity in the system respectively.
Since banks does not earn any interest on such balances with RBI it increases there cost of funds
and consecutively there net interest margins(NIM) come under pressure .Due to this banking
sector stocks falls generally after CRR rate hike. Moreover to maintain NIM in the situation of
CRR hike banks are forced to increase their lending rates due to which interest cost of corporate
increases and consequently there profit growth rate falls and this result in market crash.
From the above figure it is clear that whenever there is an increase in CRR the SBI share price
decreases.
From the above figure it is clear that whenever there is a decrease in CRR the SBI share price
increases.
SLR is the amount a commercial bank needs to maintain in the form of cash, gold or govt
approved securities (Bonds) before providing credit to its customers. SLR rate is determined and
maintained by the RBI in order to control the expansion of bank credit.
EFFECT ON BANKING SECTOR
Any change in this rate affects Government borrowing programme as banks purchase
Government securities for meeting there SLR requirements. Banks can thus sell their surplus
securities and use the consideration for giving more loans.
06.11.08 1215.35
10.11.08 1301.55
From the above figure it is clear that whenever there is a decrease in SLR the SBI share price
increases.
INFLATION
Inflation is a rise in the general level of prices of goods and services in an economy over a period
of time.
23.03.09 1023.45
The Inflation is reduced to 2.43% on 13.03.09, 0.44% on 20.03.09 and 0.27% on 27.03.09.
So from the above figure it is clear that whenever there is a decrease in inflation the closing
share price of SBI increases.
The total market value of all final goods and services produced in a country in a given year,
equal to total consumer, investment and government spending, plus the value of exports, minus
the value of imports.
The increase in demand due to high GDP growth rates helps the corporate to show larger profits.
Thus, more and more money is invested in buying stocks-by individuals, Indian corporate and
foreign institutions-leading to a sustained bullish run. So the bank turnover is mainly affected by
the GDP growth.
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EFFECT ON SBI SHARE PRICE
25-02-09 1037.75
26-02-09 1024.15
27.02.09 1027.10
There is a 7.7% growth needed in Q4 2008-09 to meet target of 7.1%.But the finance sector GDP
was reduced to 9.5% in Q3 2008-09 as compared to previous Quarter 11.9%.So there is no such
The declared Q3 GDP growth at 6 year low of 5.3% i.e. Agriculture (-) 2.2%, Industry 0.5% and
services 9.3% the total comes to 5.3%.
27.02.09 1027.10
02.03.09 995.25
03.03.09 975.85
04.03.09 957.55
05.03.09 934.55
Index of Industrial Production (IIP) is one of the Prime indicators of the economic development
for the measurement of trend in the behavior of the Industrial Production over a period of time
with reference to a chosen base year.
Indian Banking sector are very sensitive to IIP Numbers. A better IIP number would show a
positive growth on our banking sector.
09-04-09 1140.40
10-04-09 1140.40
13.04.09 1217.90
The index of industrial production (IIP) for February 09 rises 0.2%, a marginal improvement
over the 0.5% and 0.6% contraction seen in the preceding two months. So it is clear that SBI
share price is more sensitive with the increase in IIP.
It is very difficult to collect the information about the economy and Industry as the Economic
Survey Report of the last year will be announced by the Finance Department on 3rd of July 2009.
It is very difficult to get the accurate financial data for the year 2008-09 because most of the
companies have not announced their unaudited balance sheet.
HISTORICAL DATA: -
As the share market is very sensitive with the upcoming news and global effect it is necessary to
collect the important event occurred in the past date wise which is not available correctly in any
web site.
MOVEMENT OF SHARE:-
The Major movement of share is mainly based on FDI and FII. The election result was
announced on 16th May 09 and the Government is still not clear about which sector and up to
which percentage they allow FDI and FII. The SBI share is within 30 shares of Sensex and 50
Shares of Nifty and maintaining nearly Beta value equal to one so it is very difficult to do an
analysis of banking sector with other sector.
To encourage the Brokerage houses and the Investors the Government of India is also planning
to withdrawn the Security Transaction Tax (STT) which will not only help the investors and
Brokerage houses but also helps to move the share market towards positive trend.
Due to the introduction of online trading account by several banks and brokerage houses more
investors are now a day’s interested to open the Demart account. The investors are now calculate
their profit, losses and other charges more transparently after the introduction of on line Trading
account.
Now most of the Brokerage houses are managing the investors fund with the help of
professionals and assuring a percentage of return to investors to encourage them.
Now the Reserve Bank of India is planning not to open door any wider for foreign banks to
acquire controlling stakes in private banks in wake of the Global financial turmoil. Various
banks from China, Japan and Middle East have evinced interest in buying controlling stake in
India banks. But RBI found that one of the major reasons for default of large foreign banks was
their Diversified Portfolio. So it helps the Indian banks to grow with less competition from
Foreign banks.
SBI
Since few months the whole world is suffering from recession which will affect the Index of
Industrial Production (IIP) of almost all the sector. But in the recession period also SBI have
maintained its strong Brand image of India’s largest commercial bank and the only Indian bank
to find place in the Fortune Global 500 list.
The NPA was reduced from 1.78 percent to 1.76 percent in the last financial year and also the
Bank shows a strong pick in lending in the month of Apr and May-09.
As the economy is developing in the world and coming out of recession also the US market is
recovering very fast and our Government is also stable so it is the right time for the investor to
invest in the SBI shares both for the long term and short term period.
But during the analysis I found that the investors those are interested in short term investment i.e.
Intraday or Delivery for few days should watch the upcoming news and Global effect regularly
as SBI shares are more sensitive with the effects mentioned below.
UPCOMING EFFECT
PLR
The RBI may standardize the way banks calculate their prime lending rates the bench mark to fix
the floating components of loans and bar them from lending below their respective PLRs. The
decision can be expected by July end. After that no banks can lend the money below PLRs. So
after announcement it will definitely affect the SBI shares because now SBI is the only bank who
is providing home loan at 8 percent rate of interest.
FDI
According to (FDI notification in government parlance) 2 and 3 of 2009 the firm that has more
than 50 percent foreign investment whether by way of direct investment or portfolio holdings or
foreign currency debentures would be considered Foreign owned. But currently the ICICI is
holding 64 percent and HDFC is holding 74 percent of foreign investment. The RBI asking DIPP
(the agency set the foreign investment policy) and after the announcement of norms definitely
we can find a drastic change in the movement of banking shares.
The general budget for the year 2009-10 will be presented on July 3rd and the Economic survey,
the annual report on the state of economy is likely to be presented on July 2nd 09. So definitely
after the announcement there will be a strong movement in the SBI share price.
GLOBAL EFFECT
MONETARY POLICY
Now a day in every short interval RBI is changing the Repo, Reverse Repo, CRR, SLR rate. So
investors should be very much aware of this type of news which will definitely affect the SBI
share price.
The new UPA government is planning to sell stakes in PSU to raise resources for bridging
excess expenditure. India’s Fiscal Deficit stands around 6 percent of GDP. A high fiscal deficit
tends to hike the cost of capital for private sector as Government borrowing increases to fill the
gap between its revenue and expenditure. So after the budget announcement definitely it will
affect the banking share price.
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
Recently the Government is changing its norms for FDI and FII for different sector. So this type
of news can affect the SBI share price.
US BANKING
The most popular two banks in USA i.e. Bank of America and CITI Bank is under pressure from
US regulator to raise fresh capital. Also the CITI bank is planning to sell 11.73 percent stake in
India’s largest mortgage company HDFC. Because in the past due to collapse of Lehman
Brothers, large corporate like Infosys moved their deposits to SBI.
So it is the right time for the investors to invest in SBI share by taking into consideration of the
above facts.
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SUGGESTIONS
By looking into the last year performance of SBI i.e. the growth in profit, reduced in NPA
percentage, highest market capture and strong hold in the Market by providing different scheme
to customer time to time I am suggesting that it is the right time for the investors to invest in the
SBI shares for both short and long term period.
JUNE -09
ACTION: BUY
TARGET PRICE: Rs
STOP LOSS PRICE: Rs
AUG -09
ACTION: BUY
TARGET PRICE: Rs
STOP LOSS PRICE: Rs
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