Study quantifies sustainable energy employment impacts in Portugal - the case for energy efficiency. Portugal is in line with the European Union (EU) impetus towards a cleaner, more efficient, sustainable energy system. Job creation impacts from RE and EE deployment in the present Portuguese context are challenging to dissociate. This gap in job impact measurement methodologies is elaborated both at EU level (EC, 2012) and also in the Portuguese National Energy Efficiency Action Plan (NEEAP)
Study quantifies sustainable energy employment impacts in Portugal - the case for energy efficiency. Portugal is in line with the European Union (EU) impetus towards a cleaner, more efficient, sustainable energy system. Job creation impacts from RE and EE deployment in the present Portuguese context are challenging to dissociate. This gap in job impact measurement methodologies is elaborated both at EU level (EC, 2012) and also in the Portuguese National Energy Efficiency Action Plan (NEEAP)
Study quantifies sustainable energy employment impacts in Portugal - the case for energy efficiency. Portugal is in line with the European Union (EU) impetus towards a cleaner, more efficient, sustainable energy system. Job creation impacts from RE and EE deployment in the present Portuguese context are challenging to dissociate. This gap in job impact measurement methodologies is elaborated both at EU level (EC, 2012) and also in the Portuguese National Energy Efficiency Action Plan (NEEAP)
Study quantifies sustainable energy employment impacts in Portugal - the case for energy efficiency. Portugal is in line with the European Union (EU) impetus towards a cleaner, more efficient, sustainable energy system. Job creation impacts from RE and EE deployment in the present Portuguese context are challenging to dissociate. This gap in job impact measurement methodologies is elaborated both at EU level (EC, 2012) and also in the Portuguese National Energy Efficiency Action Plan (NEEAP)
in Portugal The case for energy efficiency Pereira, Guillermo: Energy for Sustainability - University of Coimbra; ISA Intelligent Sensing Anywhere, S.A.+351915765056;g-pereira@live.com ahovi, Nikola, PhDc; Energy for Sustainability - University of Coimbra; nikola.sahovic@gmail.com Pereira da Silva, Patrcia, PhD; Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra; INESC Coimbra; patsilva@fe.uc.pt Henriques, Carla, PhD; Polytechnic Institute of CoimbraISCAC; INESC Coimbra; chenriques@iscac.pt Keywords: Energy efficiency, employment impacts, Portugal, industry survey, job creation.
Introduction Portugal is in line with the European Union (EU) impetus towards a cleaner, more efficient, sustainable energy system that delivers direct benefits, such as less investment needs and lower maintenance cost, as well as a positive environmental impact through the reduction of fossil fuels use to produce energy. Apart from these direct benefits of embracing energy efficiency (EE), the indirect benefit of employment creation has also been emphasized in EU and national strategies as an advantage stemming from the promotion and application of renewable energy (RE) and EE policies. Job creation impacts from RE and EE deployment in the present Portuguese context are challenging to dissociate, because the broad-spectrum of current Portuguese companies are operating in both market segments and do not provide disaggregated information.
In spite of the acknowledged potential of a sustainable energy system to create jobs, the adequate methodologies are yet to be developed. This gap in job impact measurement methodologies is elaborated both at EU level (EC, 2012) and also in the Portuguese National Energy Efficiency Action Plan (NEEAP) (PT, 2013).
The development of this study to quantify the impacts of sustainable energy in Portugal was driven by the national challenge of reduction of current unemployment rates alongside with the potential contribution of EE and RE to support this decrease in the high unemployment rates registered since 2007. The results presented through this paper focus on the EE impacts results (Pereira, 2014), further details on RE are presented in ahovi (2014). Complementary studies and additional results can be found in (Silva et al, 2013) and in (Oliveira et al, 2013). Methodology For the purpose of understanding and quantifying the employment impacts of EE and RE in Portugal a research project was initiated in cooperation with the Portuguese Renewable Energy Association (APREN), INESC Coimbra researchers and the Energy for Sustainability Initiative of the University of Coimbra. The data collection was possible through the development of an online survey, which was disseminated throughout the industry in order to obtain up-to-date information for estimating current job impacts. The online survey developed was based on real examples of similar research carried out by the German government (BMU, 2009) and the European Wind Energy Association (Blanco and Kjaer, 2009). The goal of the survey was to obtain data which would facilitate assessment of direct job creation impact of RE deployment and EE initiatives as well as to determine the types of jobs eventually created, and the short to mid-term quantitative and qualitative employment outlook. The survey questionnaire was sent to more than 500 entities active in the RE and EE industry 1 . The entities contacted on the scope of the EE industry data collection are described in the following table (Table 1.1).
1 The term industry is used broadly, including the production of services and goods within the Portuguese economy related with EE and RE across sectors 2
Table 1.1 Organizations for survey dissemination Type Description No. of Organizations Cluster Agency Key competitiveness cluster for the Portuguese Energy field organizations 2 . The cluster disseminated the survey via email and on their website. 1 Energy Agencies Local Agencies and National Agency on energy and environment. Besides their contribution these organizations were asked to forward the survey to their Associate Members. 27 ESCOs Organization accredited by the Portuguese Directorate for Energy and Geology (DGEG) as Energy Service Companies (ESCOs). 113 Energy for Sustainability external council Energy related companies that are part of the EfS external council group. 17 Portuguese Energy Agency (ADENE) registered companies Organizations registered at the Portuguese Energy Agency (ADENE), as focusing on more energy efficient windows, systems and glass production. 142 Other companies on the Energy / EE industry Other contacts that were gathered from online databases, recommended by APREN, and EfS Faculty. 74 Results The reply rate of the EE entities achieved reached 10% (i.e.: 34 entities on the EE industry), and the survey was carried out throughout October, 2013.
From the 34 organizations contributing to the study working either on (1) EE only or (2) RE and EE their regional scope is stronger in Portugal with 71% of the entities operating only in the national market (Graph 1.1), which was considered a positive aspect considering the focus of the study on analysing the impacts for the Portuguese job market.
Based on the Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics (NUTS) II of Portuguese sub- regions, the highest share of observations is from the Centre (41,18%) and North (29,41%) as demonstrated in Graph 1.2. In terms of financial performance the study requested revenue data for 2010, 2011, 2012, and forecasts for 2013 and 2014 in Million Euros (M). Despite the confidentiality and anonymity of the survey the organizations provided a small amount of exact data, rather preferring stating their revenue range for the requested periods, although with significant lack of replies, as the question was left in blank by approximately one third of the observations obtained. Nonetheless, Graph 1.3 outlines a trend of growth on revenues, with organisations shifting from a revenue range equal or lower than 0,2M to a revenue range equal or lower than 1M and greater than 0,2M, the trend is visible over the 5 year period of data collected.
2 The cluster contacted on the scope of the study is EnergyIN Portuguese Cluster of Energy Technology and Competitiveness (see http://www.energyin.com.pt/).
North 10 29,41% Centre 14 41,18% Lisbon 7 20,59% Alentejo 0 0,00% Algarve 0 0,00% Azores 2 5,88% Madeira 0 0,00% Graph 1.2 Study observations distribution (Pereira, 2014) Sample Geographic Distribution Portugal NUTS II Sub-regions Graph 1.1 Market scope of EE entities (Pereira, 2014) 3
In terms of sector of operation, the industry is based on services, with 53% of the organizations acting as EE service providers (Graph 1.4). Regarding the evolution of EE jobs, their evolution is based on the business focus of the organisations. For those operating on the EE industry only, the progression presents a growth rate of 20,57% on EE jobs in 2012, compared to 2010 levels. Although for companies operating both on EE and RE industries, a significant loss is registered in 2012 of 17,78% compared to 2010 levels (Graph 1.5).
Graph 1.5 - Evolution of energy efficiency jobs in Portugal (Pereira, 2014) These outcomes highlight the contribution of EE for job creation compared to the case of RE, which presented losses over the period 2010 to 2012 for total jobs and for EE dedicated jobs. Although providing clear job evolution trends of the EE industry, the conclusions presented must be used and analysed carefully, given the reduced size of the sample obtained through the survey. In terms of the EE sector workforce growth, 56% of the study participants stated their employees as sufficient in the short-term (1-2 years), indicating a low willingness to increase workforce in the upcoming years, which is a negative indicator in short-term job creation from energy efficiency. Due to the severe macro-economic situation felt in Portugal during the time of this study, this seems to be a natural reaction from companies but, on the other hand, can hide the true effect of EE, or RE, job impacts. Data regarding the qualification level was on the scope of the survey, although being one of the items with fewer observations obtained, making the conclusions uncertain. Nonetheless, for the collected information the organizations are looking to hire employees with higher education more than any other qualification level for both short and mid-term. 100,00% 99,14% 113,59% 105,25% 120,57% 86,67% 82,22% 80,00% 90,00% 100,00% 110,00% 120,00% 2010 2011 2012 Evolution of EE jobs in Portugal (% variation) (2010 = Base year -- Index 100%) EE PT Employees % evolution (Total sample) n = 21 EE PT Employees % evolution (EE organisations only) n = 12 EE PT Employees % evolution (EE&RE organisations only) n = 9 15 11 12 10 8 6 7 7 8 10 3 3 3 1 1 1 2 2 10 12 12 13 13 2010 2011 2012 2013 - Forecast 2014 - Forecast 0 . 2 M 1 M 5 M > 5 M n.a. Graph 1.3 Evolution of revenue range in M (Pereira, 2014) 7% 53% 29% 11% Production of components Services Integrated EE solutions Others Graph 1.4 - EE entities sector of operation (Pereira, 2014) 4
Conclusions Unfortunately, due to the low survey reply rate no statistical inference was made, however a number of country specific conclusions, based on real data, could be drawn. The outlined trends are believed to be a valuable contribution for the current literature as no study with similar goal has been presented so far for the Portuguese case. Nonetheless these results must be analysed carefully given the reduced participation of the invited organizations. Moreover, they provide a first and necessary step to the development of a deeper study. The data and results presented should be carefully used as indicators on the current scenario for Portugal, regarding job impacts from clean energy. The study herein provided exemplifies the encouraging results achievable through joint efforts involving academia, industry and sector associations, on quantifying the impacts of the RE and EE industries on the Portuguese employment scenario. Acknowledgments This work has been supported by the Portuguese Science and Technology Foundation (FCT) under project grant PEst-C/EEI/UI0308/2011, the Energy for Sustainability Initiative of the University of Coimbra and the R&D Project EMSURE Energy and Mobility for Sustainable Regions (CENTRO 07 0224 FEDER 002004). References Blanco, I., and Kjaer, C. (2009). Wind at work - Wind Energy and Job Creation in the EU. Available at: www.ewea.org. BMU.(2009). Gross Employment from Renewable Energy in Germany in the Year 2008. Berlin. http://www.bmu.de/en/.Accessed: March 25, 2013. EC. (2012). Green Jobs: Employment Potential and Challenges. European Commission, 2013 (pp. 111). Brussels. Oliveira, C.; Coelho, D.; Pereira da S. P; Antunes, C.H.. 2013. "How many jobs can the RES-E sectors generate in the Portuguese context?", Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 21, 21: 444 - 455. Pereira, G. (2014). Connecting energy efficiency progress and job creation potential.Master Degree Dissertation.University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal. PT. Presidncia do conselho de ministros - Resoluo do Conselho de Ministros n.o 20/2013 - Plano Nacional de Aco para a Eficincia Energetica e Plano Nacional de Aco para as Energia Renovaveis (2013). Portugal: Dirio da Repblica, 1.a srie N.o 70 10 de abril de 2013. ahovic, N. (2014). Employment impact of renewable energy systems deployment assessment approaches and Portuguese case study. Master Degree Dissertation.University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal. Silva, P. P. D; Oliveira, C.; Coelho, D.. 2013. "Employment effects and renewable energy policies: applying input-output methodology to Portugal", International Journal of Public Policy 9, 3: 147 166.