Race No. 3 - THE INAUGURATION PLATE Div.

I
Let us analyze the Ability of the runners. As per my method the required to CSR (Captain Speed Rating)
for a Maiden race of 1100 meters is 913. Chart given below is the CSR of past 4 races of all the runners.

Captain Speed Rating

900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100

ZULFIQAR-177

ZULFIQAR-166

ZULFIQAR-147

SOUL MAGIC-127

SOUL MAGIC-89

OUR LITTLE DRAGON-136

OUR LITTLE DRAGON-104

OUR LITTLE DRAGON-185

OUR LITTLE DRAGON-155

ONLY PRINCE-

MANDARIN-104

MANDARIN-24

MANDARIN-116

MANDARIN-74

FOREST QUEEN-75

FOREST QUEEN-132

ENAMORATA-44

ENAMORATA-145

BLACK POWER-136

BLACK POWER-44

ANIMAL INSTINCTS-127

ANIMAL INSTINCTS-55

AIR DANCER-89

AIR DANCER-24

It is clear from this chart none of the runner have clear edge and MANDARIN, OUR LITTLE DRAGON,
SOUL MAGIC, AIR DANCER, FOREST QUEEN are the ones who have done more than 850 and can win this
race or similar race where opposition is weak. You can also notice that ZULFIQAR is improving all the
time.
Now let us analysis all the runners for various factors like Jockey, Class, Track Works, Pedigree, Odds,
Present Form, Distance Suitability and On Job (Connections intention)

100
90
80
70

Jockey

60

Class

50

Track

40

Pedigree

30

Odds

20

Form

10

Distance

On Job

OUR LITTLE DRAGON who was prominent in Ability chat came up with very poor On Job factor a clear
indication that he will not be tried today.
Putting Thing together: The Chart given below gives the Winning probability of all the runners

Win Probability
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%

Final Selection: AIR DANCER Win and MANDARIN & ZULFIQAR should be fighting for minor places.
Adios
Captain