Market Research Report: Electric Vehicle Market in India 2014 - Sample

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Electric Vehicle Market India


November 2014

Executive Summary
Market

Indian electric vehicle market is expected to reach INR a6 mn units in 20------, growing sharply at a CAGR of x%,
from INR a1 mn units in 20---- Segment 2 accounts for ~b2% of the electric vehicle market

Drivers &
Challenges

Drivers:
Government Initiatives
Rise in Fuel Costs
Low Operating and Maintenance Cost
Foreign Dependence for Crude Oil
Environment Friendly

Government
Initiatives

Trends

Challenges:
Low Vehicle Performance
Inefficient Battery
Price Constraint
Power Shortage
Lack of Infrastructure

Alternate Fuels for Surface Transportation Programme (AFSTP)


National Electric Mobility Mission Plan 20- Demand Generation
Research and Development
Manufacturing Incentives
Infrastructure Development
Entry of New Players
Retro Hybrid Fitment Kit

Major Players

Competition

Company A

Company B

Company C

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

Company D

Company E

Macro Economic Indicators


Introduction
Market Overview
Electric Vehicle
Major Segments

Market Analysis
Drivers & Challenges
Government Initiatives
Trends
Competitive Landscape
Strategic Recommendations
Appendix
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

Macro Economic Indicators (1/3)


GDP at Factor Cost: X

SAMPLE

INR tn
a

x1
y1

x2
y2

z1

z2

k1

k2

y4
z4

y3
z3

k4

k3

e
Q-

Q20--

Q20--

20--

Q-

20--

Inflation Rate: Y
%
f

a1

a3

g
h

a2

a4

a5

20--

20--

i
j
k
20--

20--

20--

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

Electric vehicles are battery operated vehicles, primarily


categorized into four different types

SAMPLE

Electric Vehicle Introduction


Electric vehicles are propelled by an electric motor (or motors) powered by rechargeable battery packs
o Available in various segments across the globe, ranging from bicycles to cars, three wheelers to heavy commercial vehicles

Electric drive train primarily consists:

Component 1

Component 2

Component 3

Component 4

Types of Electric Vehicles Technology-wise


Battery Electric Vehicles

Description 1

Plug in Hybrid Electric


Vehicles

Description 2

BEV

Hybrid Electric Vehicles

Description 4

Description 3

PHEV
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles

HEV

FCEV
5

Targeted fuel savings and reduction in pollution within 20-will ensure a sustained growth of the electric vehicle market
Market Overview Electric Vehicles
Electric vehicle market in India is at a nascent stage, providing huge untapped market potential for the players to
capitalize upon
Market comprises of segment 1, segment 2, segment 3 and other types of vehicles
Currently, segment 2 dominates the market accounting for b1% of the overall electric vehicle sales in India

Greater adoption of electric vehicles will aid in bringing down the level of pollution along with significant fuel savings in
the country
Government support in four primary categories namely demand generation, research and development, manufacturing incentives and
infrastructure development, will create an economically feasible and self sustaining electric vehicle market in the coming years

Market Size & Growth

Market Share Segment-wise (20-----)


Segment 1

mn units
a6

Segment 2
Segment 3

+x%

a5

1%
1%
3%

Others

a4
a3

c
a1

a2

95%

d
20-----

20-----e

20-----e

20-----e

20-----e

20----e

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

Supply Chain Cost Comparison Electric Vehicle vs. ICE


Vehicle
Vehicle Lifecycle Cost Comparison Supply Chain Wise
Research and
Development

Component
Production

a3%

Assembly

Marketing

Sales and
Distribution

After Sales
Service

a4%

b
c
d

a9%

e
f

a5%

a10%

a6%

g
h

a1%

a2%
a7%

a8%

a11%

a12%

0
Electric Vehicle (High Volume)

ICE vehicle

> Accounts for ~x% of vehicle lifecycle cost for a 4W


ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

Segment 1 to witness phenomenal growth with increasing


consumer acceptability and government support
Market Overview Segment 1

Market Size & Growth

Segment 1 has huge potential in India wherein


consumers have higher preference for Technology1
Segment 1 electric vehicles
Major auto players such as company A, company B and
company C are evaluating the electric car market

Government support for demand creation coupled with


improvements in technology and infrastructure will drive
this segment

units
120,000

a6

100,000

+x%

80,000

a5

60,000
40,000
20,000

a4
a1

a2

20-----

20----- e

a3

20----- e

20----- e

20----- e

20----- e

Consumer Preference Electric Vehicle Technology-wise


Share of Consumers prefer
Segment 1 than ICE

Preference for Technology 1


Preference for Technology 2

32%--33%

Others

17%-18%
70%-75%

Preference for Technology 3

25%-30%

50%

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

Poor pick up, low top speed and


battery replacement issues are
restricting the adoption of
Technology 3 type Segment 1
electric vehicles

Matrix of Key Challenges to Electric Vehicle Adoption


Segment-wise
Finding 1

Comparative Factors

4W

2W

3W

LCV

Bus

Ranking

Factor 1

Factor 2

Factor 3

Factor 4

Factor 5

SAMPLE
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

Drivers & Challenges Summary

Challenges
Low Vehicle Performance
Inefficient Battery

Drivers
Government Initiatives
Rise in Fuel Costs

Price Constraint
Power Shortage

Lack of Infrastructure
Low Operating and Maintenance Cost
Foreign Dependence for Crude Oil
Environment Friendly

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

10

Government initiatives and subsidies to emerge as a major


growth
Government Initiatives (1/3)

Impact

Finding 1
Finding 2
Finding 3
Finding 4
Sub-finding 1
Sub-finding 2

Finding 5

x% Subsidy on base price


y% exemption on VAT
Refund of road tax and registration charges

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

11

Alternate Fuels for Surface Transportation Program was


adopted to
Alternate Fuels for Surface Transportation Program (AFSTP) (1/3)

Scheme Adoption
AFSTP was announced in Nov 20-- and was run by the Ministry 1
Government had allocated INR x mn to provide financial incentives during 20---- OEMs were required to register with Organization 1 in order to benefit from this scheme
They had to provide a minimum y year warranty period along with setting up z service stations across country 1
Manufacturers sold the electric vehicles at a subsidized rate to the customers and later claimed a refund from the
government

Targets and Incentive Layout (FY20-- and FY20--)


Electric Vehicle Segments

Type of Vehicle

Target ( no. of vehicles)

Assistance per
vehicle

Cap on
Incentives

Type 1

a1

b1

INR c1

Type 2

a2

b2

INR c2

Segment 2

Type 3

a3

b3

Segment 3

Type 4

a4

b4

INR c4 mn

Segment 4

Type 5

INR c5 mn

Segment 1

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

z% ex-factory cost of
vehicles

INR c3

12

NEMMP 20-- to support the long term growth and


development of the domestic electric vehicle market
National Electric Mobility Mission Plan 20-- (NEMMP 20--)

National Electric Mobility Mission Plan 20-- sets the future outlook and objective along with laying down the pathway
for accomplishing considerable penetration of electric vehicles (including hybrids) in India by 20--

NEMMP 20-- has been approved by the Organization 1 on xth Aug 20-- with a target of producing z mn green
vehicles by 20--, out of which z1-z2 mn are expected to be type 1 vehicles
Total investment required over the next f years: INR a1-a2 bn
Government plans to provide d% of the resources with an investment of INR b1-b2 bn and the remaining should
come from the industry for developing infrastructure and encouraging the use of environment friendly electric
vehicles
Benefits

Benefits

SAMPLE
Results

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

13

NEMMP 20-- Potential Roadmap for Hybridization/


Electrification
Electric Vehicle
Penetration

Analysis 4
Analysis 3

Finding 1

3. Point 3
Finding 2

Analysis 2

SAMPLE
2. Point 2

1. Point 1
4. Point 4

Year

Analysis 1
20--

20--

20-----

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

20-14

Projected Demand in India (20--e) Electric Vehicle


Technology-wise and Segment-wise
Electric Vehicle Technology

Technology 1

Technology 2

Technology 3

Electric Vehicle Segments

Segment 1

Segment 2

Segment 3

Total Potential
Demand for
Electric Vehicles
(20--e)

Potential Demand for


Electric Vehicles (20--e)
(mn units)

a1-a2

a3-a4

a5-a6

a7-a8

Finding 1
Finding 2
Finding 3
Finding 4

SAMPLE
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

15

High Priority R&D Area for Electric Vehicle in India (1/2)


Technology
Ranking Prioritywise
a1

a2

SAMPLE
Battery Cell

BMS

Finding 1

Finding 2
Sub-finding 1
a3

Power Electronics
(Hybrids)

Finding 3
Sub-finding 2

Sub-finding 3
a4

Electric Motor

a5

Transmission System
(Hybrids)

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

16

Phased manufacturing strategy for electric vehicles in India


Finding 1
Finding 2
Finding 3

SAMPLE

Phase 1
Year x

Condition 1

Strategy 1

Initiative 1

Condition 2

Strategy 2

Initiative 2

Condition 2

Strategy 3

Initiative 3

Condition 2

Strategy 4

Initiative 4

Phase 2
Year y

Phase 3
Year z

Phase 4
> Year q

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

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Charging Infrastructure Associated Key Findings Electric


Vehicle Segment-wise (2/4)
Two Wheelers

Share of consumers
considering technology 1
scooters to be worse
than ICE (based on
range)

54%

46%

Share of consumers
considering technology 2
bikes to be worse than
ICE (based on range)

54%

46%

Share of consumers considering the following


parameters to be a key barrier for adoption
%

50
40
30
20

a1

a2

Segment 1
a3

Segment 2
a4
a5

a6

10
0
Range

Charging Time

Charging
Infrastructure

Sensitivity
Sensitivity 1
Inference 1

SAMPLE
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

18

Infrastructure needed to support the power


requirement of electric four wheelers by 20-Four Wheelers

Scenario II HG/HEV

Scenario III HG/HEV/BEV

Assumption 1 leading to Finding 1

Assumption 2 leading to Finding 2

Extra Power Generation


Required 20--

SAMPLE

Extra Power Generation


Required 20--

a1 MW

(with x% peak charging)

(with x% peak charging)

Charging Infrastructure
Investment 20--

Charging Infrastructure
Investment 20--

INR b1 bn

Share of Total no. of Charging Terminals (20--)


Type 1

Type 2

a2 MW
INR b2 bn

Share of Total no. of Charging Terminals (20--)

Type 3

Type 1

Type 2

Type 3
in 000

in 000
20--

t1

t2

t3

20--

c1

c2

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

c4

19

Total Proposed Investment under NEMMP 20-- Electric


Vehicle Segment-wise (1/4)
Total Proposed Investment (INR bn): Scenario II HG/HEV (Lower Limit)
Segment 1

Segment 2

Segment 3

Segment 5

Segment 6

t6

t2
t1

60.6%
52%
t4

68%
5%

t5
t3

7%
10%

33%

89%

45.5%

80%

10%
6%

10%

4W

2W

8% 8% 4%
3W

4%

5%
2%

LCV

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

45.5% 0.5%
0.5% 8.2%
Bus

7.4%
20.3%
4.0%
7.6%
Total

20

Trends Summary

Entry of New
Players

Key Trends

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

Retro Fitment Hybrid


Kits

21

Competitive Benchmarking (1/5)


Public Trading Comparables (FY 20--)
Company A

Company B

Company C

Market Capitalization (INR mn)

Share Price (INR)

EV/EBITDA (x)

SAMPLE
-

EV/Revenue (x)

PE Ratio

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

22

Public: Domestic Company Company A (1/4)


Company Information
Corporate Address

Offices and Centres India

Company Address

Tel No.

+91-xx- yyyyyyyyy

Fax No.

+91-ww-zzzzzzzz

Website

www.companyA.com

Year of Incorporation

19--

Ticker Symbol

------

Stock Exchange

Exchange Name

Products and Services


Category

Head Office
Products/Services

Key People
Segment

Others

Product 1, product 2, product


3,.

Product 1, product 2, product 3

Name

Designation

Person 1

Designation

Person 2

Designation

Person 3

Designation

Person 4

Designation

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

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Public: Domestic Company Company A (2/4)


Financial Snapshot
Total Income
INR mn

Key Ratios
Profit
INR mn

Total Income
Profit / Loss

y4

y3

y1

y2

b
x1

x2

x4

x3

g
h

20--

20--

20--

20--

Financial Summary

The company reported total Income of INR y4 mn in FY 20-registering an increase of x% over FY 20- The company earned an operating margin of p% in FY 20--, a
decrease of y percentage points over FY 20- The company reported debt to equity ratio of q in FY 20--, an
increase of r% over FY 20--

Financial Summary
Indicators

Value

Market Capitalization (INR)

z1

EPS (INR)
PE Ratio (Absolute)

y-o-y change
(20-----)

20--

20--

20--

20--

-3.31

7.37%

10.69%

11.63%

14.80%

-6.73

4.02%

10.75%

12.08%

7.61%

-5.22

6.52%

11.74%

15.66%

11.00%

-7.25

5.51%

12.76%

13.22%

9.02%

-2.22

8.50%

10.73%

12.11%

16.70%

-7.92

20.82%

28.74%

28.25%

56.05%

-1.89

6.67%

8.56%

10.77%

14.08%

-4.90

26.02%

30.92%

33.44%

41.15%

3.47

92.50%

89.03%

87.70%

84.70%

5.78

33.11%

27.33%

22.91%

25.64%

-0.24

0.82%

1.06%

1.21%

1.74%

Profitability Ratios
Operating Margin
Net Margin
Profit Before Tax Margin
Return on Equity
Return on Capital Employed
Return on Working Capital
Return on Assets
Return on Fixed Assets

Cost Ratios

The company earned a net profit of INR x4 mn in FY 20--, as


compared to net profit of INR x3 mn in FY 20--

Total Enterprise Value (INR)

Particulars

z2
z3
z4

Operating costs (% of Sales)


Administration costs (% of
Sales)
Interest costs (% of Sales)

Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio
Cash Ratio

0.43%

2.49

2.48

4.42

2.60

-14.77%

0.53

0.63

1.76

1.09

7.22%

0.32

0.30

0.01

0.02

5.46%

0.24

0.23

0.01

0.02

-12.08%

9.10

10.35

10.14

8.78

23.09%

3.47

2.82

2.72

2.69

14.00%

0.89

0.78

0.88

0.92

6.29%

1.66

1.56

1.78

2.26

5.98%

2.78

2.62

2.30

3.66

14.65%

1.02

0.89

1.02

1.13

Leverage Ratios
Debt to Equity Ratio
Debt to Capital Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio

Efficiency Ratios
Fixed Asset Turnover
Asset Turnover
Current Asset Turnover
Working Capital Turnover
Capital Employed Turnover

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

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Public: Domestic Company Company A (3/4)


Key Business Segments

100%
80%

Segment 1

Segment 3

Segment 2

Segment 4

21%

11%

76%

88%

3%

0% 1%

20--

20--

60%
40%
20%
0%

Key Geographic Segments

Business Highlights (1/2)

11%

85%

Country 1

19%
65%

2%

100%
80%
60%

87%

97%

97%

95%

13%

3%

3%

5%

20--

20--

20--

20--

40%
20%

SAMPLE
4% 1%
20--

13%

20--

Country 2

0%

Description

News

Overview

Company A is a multi-divisional ISO xxxx:yyyy certified company with a market share of x kW in


the metal melting industry globally
Holds more than x% market share in induction melting equipments used by the engineering and automotive

Electric Vehicle
Division

Company has developed and introduced electric bikes and scooters under the brand name brand
1 with an annual installed capacity of c1 mn units

industry in country 1
Has worldwide presence with specific focus on the country 1, country 2, country 3, country 4 and country 5
while catering to z1 countries around the world

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

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Public: Domestic Company Company A SWOT Analysis


(4/4)

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

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Strategic Recommendations (1/2)


Manufacturers
Recommendation 1
Recommendation 2
Recommendation 3
Recommendation 4

Marketing
Recommendation 5
Recommendation 6
Recommendation 7
Recommendation 8

Target Consumers

Recommendation 9
Recommendation 10

ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT

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Thank you for the attention


Electric Vehicle Market India 2014 report is part of Netscribes Automotive and Logistics
Industry Series.
For any queries or customized research requirements, contact us at:
Phone:
E-Mail:

+91 22 4098 7600


info@netscribes.com

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