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PXPVAM Lotus Issue Presentation June 2008
PXPVAM Lotus Issue Presentation June 2008
Macroeconomic Highlights
10-year average annual GDP
growth rate 7.5%
Primary Drivers;
export growth
domestic demand
Foreign Direct Investment
57% of population under 30
Literacy rate of 94%
Politically stable
2007
8.5
832
12.4
20.3
+25.0
+12.6
Crude Oil
Garments
Footwear
Aquatic Products
Furniture
8.5
7.8
4.0
3.8
2.4
Machinery
Petroleum Products
Textiles
Steel
Electronics
10.4
7.5
6.7
4.9
2.9
2 August 2006:
Index dips below 400
Announcement of removal of tax break
listing incentives effective 31 Dec 06
29 December 2006:
VNI finishes the year at 762.79
Market Capitalisation > US$ 9 billion
2007:
Index peaks at 1,170 on 12 March 2007
Finishes the year at 927.02
2008:
Market falls 55% YTD to 30 May
largely on macro-economic fears
As of 13 June 2008 the Viet Nam Index has returned to
a level last seen 3 weeks after the release of the Merrill
Lynch 10-year Buy recommendation two years ago
Valuation Comparison
8 Mar 06
13 Jun 08
409.28
372.68
10.3BN
VN Index
Historic P/E
17.3x 05
10.9x 07
Forward P/E
14.5x 06
9.9x 08
Stock Filter
Relative Performance*
Viet Nam Index
(VNI)
YTD
(45.52)
(55.33)
2007
15.87
23.31
One Year*
(44.20)
(61.71)
Inception
(37.16)
(46.61)
* To 30 May 2008
Top 10 Holdings*
Saigon Post & Telecommunications
SSG Development
Hau Giang Pharmaceutical (DHG)
Imexpharm (IMP)
Vietcombank
Navico (ANV)
Sao Mai
Vinamilk (VNM)
Gemadept (GMD)
Pha Lai Thermal Power (PPC)
* At 30 May 2008: 69% of Portfolio
khsnowball@pxpam.com
www.pxpam.com