Morning Report 25nov2014

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25-Nov-14

Policy Rate
Last
12.00
6.00
0.25
0.05
0.50
0.10

BoM Policy rate


China Target rate
U.S Fund rate
Euro Refinance rate
U.K Official rate
Japan Target rate

Prior Last Change date


10.50
07/31/2014
6.31
07/06/2012
1.00
12/16/2008
0.15
09/04/2014
1.00
05/03/2009
0.30
12/19/2008

Bank of Mongolia Rate


Last
14.00
10.00
12.50

Overnight repo
Overnight deposit
Repo

Prior Last Change date


12.50
07/31/2014
8.50
08/01/2014
11.00
08/02/2014

Money Market Rates


Indicator
LIBOR USD 3M
LIBOR EUR 3M
LIBOR GBP 3M
LIBOR JPY 3M
SHIBOR CNY 3M
UBIBOR 3 month

Last
0.2344
0.0621
0.5553
0.1050
4.08
12.50

1D % Chg

1D % Chg

1M % Chg

YTD % Chg

0.64
0.00
-0.22
-2.65
0.00

-4.77
-76.61
5.70
-28.99
-32.89
-

Stock Indices
INDICATOR - LAST

Highlights

U.S

Dollar Strengthens as Oil Retreats With Krone; Japan Stocks Gain


Goldman Sachs Analysis Shows Hedge Funds Long and Not So Strong
U.S. Stocks Extend Record, Yen Drops on Stimulus Bets; Oil Falls

Europe

Asia

Zhous PBOC Past Shows Multiple Moves as More Cuts Seen: Economy
Yen Bonds Most Popular Since 1997 as Maybank Sells: Asean Credit
Bank of China Plans to Double Australian Mortgages in Two Years
Commodity
WTI Drops a Second Day as OPEC Considers Sparing Three From Cut
OPEC Said to Mull Sparing Iraq, Iran and Libya From Output Cuts
Copper Declines as China Demand Concerns Persist: LME Preview

Foreign Exchange Market


25-Nov-14 9:06

EUR/USD
GBP/USD
USD/CHF
USD/CNY
USD/JPY

117.97

118.4100

0.3730

-10.7739

5.34
-0.31
5.34
0.54

Stoxx 50 - 3,211.70

0.55

Nikkei 225 - 17,414.47

0.41

8.88
5.98
13.97
1.95
2.54
1.85

Hang Seng - 23,893.14


Shanghai - 2,532.88

10.02
0.00

Top20-MSE - 14,849.89
-4.28

100.0

-0.75

Commodity - 117.22

Yields

DB Bond
MMC Bond
TDBM 2015
TDBM 2017
Mongol 2018
Mongol 2022
Samurai 2023

USD
USD
USD
CNY
USD
USD
JPY

6.81
27.90
8.63
11.03
5.76
6.80
1.13

-35.92
-44.48
5.45

Mid price
97.75
68.88
99.88
98.04
95.42
89.78
103.22

Day
change
-0.00
0.04
0.10
0.00

Commodity Prices
Last

1D % Chg

YTD % Chg

75.68
1,197.79
6,729.50
575.00
860.00

-0.13
0.06
-0.82
0.00
0.00

-23.11
-0.60
-8.76
-26.75
-26.50

(100.0)
(150.0)
(200.0)

Buy order from banks


BoM sold USD
Sell order from banks
Bom bought

4-Sep
9-Sep
11-Sep
16-Sep
18-Sep
23-Sep
26-Sep
30-Sep
2-Oct
7-Oct
9-Oct
14-Oct
28-Oct
4-Nov
6-Nov
11-Nov
13-Nov
18-Nov
20-Nov

Crncy

0.00
-1.55
-3.06

(50.0)

BOM bought USD

Bonds

YTD %
Chg

Millions

Close
0.66
3.82
3.48

1D %
Chg

BOM sold USD

0.0

-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
Volume
ths. USD
3165.5
125.3
3792.8

Central bank USD swap auction

50.0

0.55

Mongolia Related Companies Securities

Crude oil
Gold
Copper
IronOre/Beijing/
Coal/Tianjinl/

-9.8557
-5.2578
8.7680
-1.4180

6.05

DAX - 9,785.54

Indicator

0.0241
-0.0064
-0.0097
-0.0668

0.29

FTSE 100 - 6,729.79

HKD
HKD
USD

YTD % Chg

1.2427
1.5696
1.0332
6.1382

6.02

S&P 500 - 2,069.41

Crncy

24-Nov-14 0:00

0.89

NASDAQ - 4,754.89

MMC
SGS
TRQ

1D % Chg

1.2430
1.5695
1.0333
6.1423

0.04

Dow Jones - 17,817.90

Stocks

ECBs Coeure Says Officials Wont Rush as They Debate All Assets
Russia Sees $140 Billion Annual Loss From Oil Plunge, Sanctions
Ruble Shorts Squeezed Out in Best Week Since 2012: Russia Credit

Mongolian Economic Indicators YTD


Indicators

unit

Oct.2013

Oct.2014

Change
YoY %

Money supply ( M2 )

bln.MNT

8715.9

9980.3

CPI index YoY Chg

Percent

9.7

9.3

14.5%
-4.1%

Expenditure of Government Budget

bln.MNT

3539

4122.6

16.5%
-52.2%

Government Budget Balance

bln.MNT

-183

-278.5

Imports

mln.USD

5341

4474.3

-16.2%

External trade Balance

mln.USD

-1860.8

131.4

-107.1%

Source: Bloomberg compounded midpoint rate

Contact us:

Golomt Bank Treasury Division, Ulaanbaatar-210620A, Mongolia; Tel:+976-70127676, Facsimile: +976-11-311958

25-Nov-14

MORNING REPORT

17.00%

200,000

16.00%
160,000

15.00%
14.00%

120,000

13.00%
80,000

12.00%
11.00%
10.00%
9.00%

Min rate

Economic events

Millions

40,000

Government sold
Max rate

Government bill Announcement


type
date
12 weeks
10/24/2014

Trading
date
10/29/2014

Settlement
date
11/03/2014

40 Billion

52 weeks

10/31/2014

11/05/2014

11/10/2014

60 Billion

3 years

10/31/2014

11/05/2014

11/10/2014

10 Billion

12 weeks

11/07/2014

11/12/2014

11/17/2014

40 Billion

28 weeks

11/14/2014

11/19/2014

11/24/2014

40 Billion

5 years

11/14/2014

11/19/2014

11/24/2014

10 Billion

12 weeks

11/21/2014

11/26/2014

12/01/2014

30 Billion

52 weeks

11/28/2014

12/03/2014

12/08/2014

30 Billion

3 years

11/28/2014

12/03/2014

12/08/2014

10 Billion

12 weeks

12/05/2014

12/10/2014

12/15/2014

50 Billion

Survey

Actual

Prior

Time

Event

GE IFO Business Climate

Nov

103.00

104.70

103.20

7:50

JN PPI Services YoY

GE IFO Current Assessment

Nov

108.00

110.00

108.40

15:00

Nov

98.50

99.70

98.30

Oct

0.33

0.14

57.30

56.30

US Markit US Services PMI


US Markit US Composite PMI
CA Bloomberg Nanos Confidence
US Dallas Fed Manf. Activity

Amount

Economic events calendar

Event

GE IFO Expectations
US Chicago Fed Nat Activity
Index

Gov.Bill auction calendar

Government bond auction

Total demand
Weighted average rate

Treasury Division

Nov
P
Nov
P
21Nov
Nov

Survey

Prior

Oct

3.6%

3.5%

GE GDP SA QoQ

3Q F

0.1%

0.1%

15:00

GE GDP WDA YoY

3Q F

1.2%

1.2%

0.47

15:00

GE GDP NSA YoY

3Q F

1.2%

1.2%

57.10

21:30

US GDP Annualized QoQ

3Q S

3.3%

3.5%

21:30

US Personal Consumption

3Q S

1.9%

1.8%

21:30

US GDP Price Index

3Q S

1.3%

1.3%

22:00

US House Price Purchase


Index QoQ

3Q

1.00%

0.81%

22:00

US S&P/CS Composite-20 YoY

Sep

4.60%

5.57%

23:00

US Consumer Confidence
Index

Nov

96.00

94.50

--

56.10

57.20

--

57.40

58.00

9.00

10.50

10.50

Disclaimer:
The information contained in this report is for general information purposes only. The information and opinions contained herein has been compiled or arrived
at based upon information obtained from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith. Such information has not been independently verified and no
guaranty, representation or warranty, express or implied is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness, reliability or suitability.
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Source: Bloomberg compounded midpoint rate

Contact us:

Golomt Bank Treasury Division, Ulaanbaatar-210620A, Mongolia; Tel:+976-70127676, Facsimile: +976-11-311958

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