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Balance of Payments
Balance of Payments
Balance of Payments
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
INTRODUCTION:
Balance of Payment (BoP) of a country is defined as, "Systemetic Record of all
economic transactions between the residents of a foreign countries" Thus
balance of payments includes all visible and non-visible transactions of a
country during a given period, usually a year. It represent a summation of
country's current demand and supply of the claims on foreign currencies and of
foreign claims on its currency.
Balance of payments accounts are an accounting record of all monetary
transactions between a country and the rest of the world. These transactions
include payments for the country's exports and imports of goods, services,
financial capital, and financial transfers. The BOP accounts summarize
international transactions for a specific period, usually a year, and are prepared
in a single currency, typically the domestic currency for the country concerned.
Sources of funds for a nation, such as exports or the receipts of loans and
investments, are recorded as positive or surplus items. Uses of funds, such as for
imports or to invest in foreign countries, are recorded as negative or deficit
items.
When all components of the BOP accounts are included they must sum to zero
with no overall surplus or deficit. For example, if a country is importing more
than it exports, its trade balance will be in deficit, but the shortfall will have to
be counterbalanced in other ways such as by funds earned from its foreign
investments, by running down central bank reserves or by receiving loans from
other countries.
While the overall BOP accounts will always balance when all types of payments
are included, imbalances are possible on individual elements of the BOP, such
as the current account, the capital account excluding the central bank's reserve
account, or the sum of the two. Imbalances in the latter sum can result in surplus
countries accumulating wealth, while deficit nations become increasingly
indebted. The term "balance of payments" often refers to this sum: a country's
balance of payments is said to be in surplus (equivalently, the balance of
payments is positive) by a specific amount if sources of funds (such as export
goods sold and bonds sold) exceed uses of funds (such as paying for imported
goods and paying for foreign bonds purchased) by that amount. There is said to
be a balance of payments deficit (the balance of payments is said to be negative)
if the former are less than the latter.
Definition:
Balance of payments accounts are an accounting record of all monetary
transactions between a country and the rest of the world. These transactions
include payments for the country's exports and imports of goods, services,
financial capital, and financial transfers.
In simple words, it is the method countries use to monitor all international
monetary transactions at a specific period of time. Usually, the BOP is
calculated every quarter and every calendar year. All trades conducted by both
the private and public sectors are accounted for in the BOP in order to determine
how much money is going in and out of a country. If a country has received
money, this is known as a credit, and if a country has paid or given money, the
transaction is counted as a debit. Theoretically, the BOP should be zero,
meaning that assets (credits) and liabilities (debits) should balance, but in
practice this is rarely the case. Thus, the BOP can tell the observer if a country
has a deficit or a surplus and from which part of the economy the discrepancies
are stemming.
In other words:
The balance of payments of a country is a systematic record of all economic
transactions between the residents of a country and the rest of the world. It
presents a classified record of all receipts on account of goods exported,
services rendered and capital received by residents and payments made by
theme on account of goods imported and services received from the capital
transferred to non-residents or foreigners.
- Reserve Bank of India
The above definition can be summed up as following: - Balance of Payments is
the summary of all the transactions between the residents of one country and
rest of the world for a given period of time, usually one year.
Purpose:
The BOP is an important indicator of pressure on a countrys foreign
exchange rate, and thus on the potential for a firm trading with or
investing in that country to experience foreign exchange gains or losses.
Changes in the BOP may predict the imposition or removal of foreign
exchange controls.
Changes in a countrys BOP may signal the imposition or removal of
controls over payment of dividends and interest, license fees, royalty fees,
or other cash disbursements to foreign firms or investors.
The BOP helps to forecast a countrys market potential, especially in the
short run. A country experiencing a serious trade deficit is not likely to
expand imports as it would if running a surplus. It may, however,
welcome investments that increase its exports.
Terminologies:
a. Favorable Balance Of Payments
Value of total receipts more than total payments
d. Unrequited receipts:
Receipts for which nothing has to be paid in return.
e. Unrequited payments:
Payments for which nothing is received in return.
The definition given by RBI needs to be clarified further for the following
points:
A.
Economic Transactions
Purchase or sale of goods or services with a financial quid pro quo cash
or a promise to pay. [One real and one financial transfer].
2.
3.
4.
5.
B.
Resident
The term resident is not identical with citizen though normally there is a
substantial overlap. As regards individuals, residents are those individuals
whose general centre of interest can be said to rest in the given economy. They
consume goods and services; participate in economic activity within the
territory of the country on other than temporary basis. This definition may
turnout to be ambiguous in some cases. The Balance of Payments Manual
published by the International Monetary Fund provides a set of rules to
resolve such ambiguities.
As regards non-individuals, a set of conventions have been evolved. E.g.
government and non profit bodies serving resident individuals are residents of
b)
The BOP is a double entry accounting statement based on rules of debit and
credit similar to those of business accounting & book-keeping, since it records
both transactions and the money flows associated with those transactions. Also
in case of statistical discrepancy the difference amount is adjusted with errors
and omissions account and thus in accounting sense the BOP statement always
balances.
BALANCE OF TRADE
Balance of trade may be defined as the difference between the value of goods
and services sold to foreigners by the residents and firms of the home country
and the value of goods and services purchased by them from foreigners. In other
words, the difference between the value of goods and services exported and
imported by a country is the measure of balance of trade.
If two sums (1) value of exports of goods and services and (2) value of imports
of goods and services are exactly equal to each other, we say that there is
balance of trade equilibrium or balance; if the former exceeds the latter, we say
that there is a balance of trade surplus; and if the later exceeds the former, then
we describe the situation as one of balance of trade deficit. Surplus is regarded
as favourable while deficit is regarded as unfavourable.
The above mentioned definition has been given by James. E. Meade a Nobel
Prize British Economist. However, some economists define balance of trade as a
difference between the value of merchandise (goods) exports and the value of
merchandise imports, making it the same as the Goods Balance or the
Balance of Merchandise Trade. There is n doubt that the balance of
merchandise trade is of great significance to exporting countries, but still the
BOT as defined by J. E. Meade has greater significance.
Regardless of which idea is adopted, one thing is certain i.e. that balance of
trade is a national injection and hence it is appropriate to regard an active
balance (an excess of credits over debits) as a desirable state of affairs. Should
this then be taken to imply that a passive trade balance (an excess of debits over
BOP
Records
only
Records transactions
merchandise
transactions
of
capital nature
relating to both
A part of current
account of BOP
CHAPTER 2
CURRENT ACCOUNT
Income
A credit of income happens when an individual or a company of domestic
nationality receives money from a company or individual with foreign
When CA is the current account, X and M the export and import of goods and
services respectively, NY the net income from abroad, and NCT the net current
transfers.
Less obvious methods to reduce a current account deficit include measures that
increase domestic savings (or reduced domestic borrowing), including a
reduction in borrowing by the national government.
A current account deficit is not always a problem. The Pitchford thesis states
that a current account deficit does not matter if it is driven by the private sector.
It is also known as the "consenting adults" view of the current account, as it
holds that deficits are not a problem if they result from private sector agents
engaging in mutually beneficial trade. A current account deficit creates an
obligation of repayments of foreign capital, and that capital consists of many
individual transactions. Pitchford asserts that since each of these transactions
were individually considered financially sound when they were made, their
aggregate effect (the current account deficit) is also sound.
Interrelationships in the balance of payments
Absent changes in official reserves, the current account is the mirror image of
the sum of the capital and financial accounts. One might then ask: Is the current
account driven by the capital and financial accounts or is it vice versa? The
traditional response is that the current account is the main causal factor, with
capital and financial accounts simply reflecting financing of a deficit or
investment of funds arising as a result of a surplus. However, more recently
some observers have suggested that the opposite causal relationship may be
important in some cases. In particular, it has controversially been suggested that
the United States current account deficit is driven by the desire of international
investors to acquire U.S. assets (See Ben Bernanke, William Poole links below).
However, the main viewpoint undoubtedly remains that the causative factor is
the current account and that the positive financial account reflects the need to
finance the country's current account deficit.
Credit
Debit
Net Balance
Export
Import
2. Foreign Travel
Earning
Payment
3. Transportation
Earning
Payment
4. Insurance (Premium)
Receipt
Payment
5. Investment Income
Dividend
Dividend
Receipt
Payment
of Receipt
Payment
Surplus (+)
1. Merchandise
6.Government
(purchase
Deficit (-)
CHAPTER 3
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
domestic purchases of financial and physical capital from the foreign sector and
(2) foreign purchases of financial and physical capital from the domestic sector.
In essence, the capital account tracks investment by the domestic sector in
foreign assets going in one direction and investment by the foreign sector in
domestic assets going in the other direction. These investments are for the
purchase of physical capital, such as factories and equipment, or financial
capital, such as currency and bonds.
The two primary players in the capital account are businesses and governments.
Businesses undertake the bulk of the investment in physical capital, which is
used for the obvious purpose of engaging in production. Governments purchase
a lot of currency, which is used by their central banks to undertake exchange
rate policies.
The capital account in macroeconomics
At high level:
The International Finance Centre in Hong Kong, where many capital account
transactions are processed.
opposite direction but will be recorded in the current account rather than
as capital.
The capital account records all international transactions that involve a resident
of the country concerned changing either his assets with or his liabilities to a
balance in that account will be engaging in short term investment, even if its
intention is to keep that money in that account for many years. On the other
hand, an individual buying a long term government bond in another country will
be making a long term investment, even if that bond has only one month to go
before the maturity. Portfolio investments may also be identified as either
private or official, according to the sector from which they originate.
The purchase of an asset in another country, whether it is direct or portfolio
investment, would appear as a negative item in the capital account for the
purchasing firms country, and as a positive item in the capital account for the
other country. That capital outflows appear as a negative item in a countrys
balance of payments, and capital inflows as positive items, often causes
confusions. One way of avoiding this is to consider that direction in which the
payment would go (if made directly). The purchase of a foreign asset would
then involve the transfer of money to the foreign country, as would the purchase
of an (imported) good, and so must appear as a negative item in the balance of
payments of the purchasers country (and as a positive item in the accounts of
the sellers country).
The net value of the balances of direct and portfolio investment defines the
balance on capital account.
Short term capital movement includes:
Purchase of short term securities
Speculative purchase of foreign currency
Cash balances held by foreigners
Net balance of current account
Long term capital movement includes:
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
national
transactions
changes
Relates
to
all
stock
transactions
in
magnitudes
Indicates
DEBITS
Current A/c:
Current A/c:
Imports of services(Invisibles)
Unrequited
receipts(gifts
Capital A/c:
abroad
capital
etc.)
Errors and omissions (or the balancing item) reflect the difficulties involved in
recording accurately, if at all, a wide variety of transactions that occur within a
given period of (usually 12 months). In some cases there is such large number
of transactions that a sample is taken rather than recording each transaction,
with the inevitable errors that occur when samples are used. In others problems
may arise when one or other of the parts of a transaction takes more than one
year: for example wit a large export contract covering several years some
payment may be received by the exporter before any deliveries are made, but
the last payment will not made until the contract has been completed.
Dishonesty may also play a part, as when goods are smuggled, in which case the
merchandise side of the transaction is unreported although payment will be
made somehow and will be reflected somewhere in the accounts. Similarly the
desire to avoid taxes may lead to under-reporting of some items in order to
reduce tax liabilities.
Finally, there are changes in the reserves of the country whose balance of
payments we are considering, and changes in that part of the reserves of other
countries that is held in the country concerned. Reserves are held in three
forms: in foreign currency, usually but always the US dollar, as gold, and as
Special Deposit Receipts (SDRs) borrowed from the IMF. Note that reserves do
not have to be held within the country. Indeed most countries hold a proportion
of their reserves in accounts with foreign central banks.
The changes in the countrys reserves must of course reflect the net value of all
the other recorded items in the balance of payments. These changes will of
course be recorded accurately, and it is the discrepancy between the changes in
reserves and the net value of the other record items that allows us to identify the
errors and omissions.
CHAPTER 4
RESERVE ACCOUNT
The official reserve account, a subdivision of the capital account, is the foreign
currency and securities held by the government, usually by its central bank, and
is used to balance the payments from year to year. In the United States, the New
York Federal Reserve serves as the Treasury's fiscal agent. The official reserves
increases when there is a trade surplus and decreases when there is a deficit.
Sometimes the central bank will use it to intervene in the foreign exchange
market to set the exchange rate to some objective. However, foreign
interventions rarely work because, while central banks only intervene for a short
period of time, market forces are always influencing the exchange rate, so the
market equilibrium will soon return after the intervention.
Under this account, foreign asset transactions of a country and foreign
central banks are recorded.
Example: Surplus
CHAPTER 5
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
In the double-entry system, each transaction gives rise to two equal entries: a
credit entry (i.e., a receipt) and a debit entry (i.e., payment). Thus the sum of all
credits equals the sum of all debits.
In other words, a country must pay for its imports of goods and services, or
foreign borrowings, or receipts of unilateral transfers by the equal-valued export
of goods and services or foreign lending, or making unilateral transfers. Thus,
the sum of all international receipts (credit items) always equals the sum all
international payments (debit items).
The deficit in the current account is neutralised by the equal amount of surplus
in the capital account; and the surplus in the current account is neturalised by
the equal amount of deficit in the capital account. Thus, the current and capital
accounts together balance each other and restore equilibrium in the balance of
payments.
The debit side shows the use of total foreign exchange acquired in a particular
period.
The credit side shows the sources from which the foreign exchange is acquired
during a particular period.
Against every credit entry, there is an offsetting debit entry & vise-versa, so the
receipts and payments on these two sides must be equal. Hence the two sides
must necessary balance.
If X imports from Y, Y would also import from X. Hence there would be a debit
and credit entries in the balance of payments of both the countries X & Y.
The individual items in the balance of payments may not balance. But the total
credits of the country must be equals to its total debits.
If there is any deficit in any individual account, it would be covered by a surplus
in other accounts, if there is any difference between total debits and total credits,
it would be settled under 'errors & omissions'. Hence in the accounting sense,
the balance of payments of a country always balances.
The items 1 to 7 show the total receipts from all sources. These receipts amount
to Rs. 1000 Crores.
The items 1(a) to 7(a) Show the total payments on all accounts. These payments
amount to Rs. 990 Crores. When item 8 included, the total payment is Rs. 1000
Crores, hence the total credit is equal to the total debit.
Thus the current account and capital account Balance each other. Thus surplus
in the current account is equal to the deficit in the capital account. A deficit in
the current account is equal to the surplus in the capital account.
In the above given table, the balance of current account shows a deficit of Rs.
200 crores But there is a corresponding surplus of Rs. 200 crores in the balance
of capital account.
Hence the credit and debit sides balance & the balance of payments is in
equilibrium.
The balance of trade of a country may not balance. For instance, if exports
exceed imports, there is a surplus and a favourable balance of trade and viceversa. Only if the value of exports is equal to the value of imports, the balance
of trade is said to be in equilibrium.
But the balance of payments always balances because every transaction must be
settled. Hence total debits must be equal to the total credits.
Bibliography:
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balance_of_payments/
www.investopedia.com/articles/03/060403.asp
www.economicshelp.org/blog/glossary/balance-payments/
Balance of Payments
- Paul Madson
- P G Apte
International Economics
International Economics
- Lindert
- Francis Chernuliam