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Operations and Supply Chain Management: Prof. Svenja Sommer Sommers@
Operations and Supply Chain Management: Prof. Svenja Sommer Sommers@
Operations and Supply Chain Management: Prof. Svenja Sommer Sommers@
Aggregate Planning
Production
Plants
Middle
Term
(months)
Short
Term
(weeks)
MRP
Execution
(days)
Distribution
Contracts
Procurement
Calls for delivery
Transport/Receipt
Capacity Adjustment
Distribution Network
Inventories
Sales
Long-term Forecast
Distribution Channels
Mid-term Forecast
Family items
MPS MRP
DRP
Inventory
Inventory
Short-term Forecast
Cust. Orders - ATP
Scheduling
Activity control
Order Preparation
Shipping/Transport
Invoicing
Field service
Aggregate Planning
Aggregate Plan:
Objective:
Match capacity and demand over the next few months on an aggregate level
Outcome:
Production levels and resource requirements for one or few product families
using similar resources (labor, equipment)
Overtime costs:
Function nonlinear and can increase very sharply as
production rate increases
Personnel constraints
Maximum allowed overtime hours
New staff costs
Finding skilled workers
Training
Productivity
Legal Constraints
For firing
Temporary contract
Demand
AA
2.0
2000
BB
3.0
1000
CC
DD
1.5
1.0
2400
1200
Aggregate requirement
E
D
rate [unit/hour]
200
160
60
Demand
3000
880
120
Aggregate requirement
5900
Demand in standard units
(3000 / 200) * 160 = 2400
(880 / 160) * 160 = 880
(120 / 60) * 160 = 320
3600
If these are versions of the same product, you often directly forecast the aggregate
demand.
11
Level Strategy:
Production quantity equals the average demand over the planning
horizon.
Demand, Output
Aggregate
demand
Chase
Level
12
January
Aggr.
Demand
5000
Chase
Strategy
Level
Strategy
February
March
April
6000
8500
4500
5000
6000
8500
4500
6000
6000
6000
6000
Level Strategy:
Average = (5000+6000+8500+4500)/4 = 6000
1
2
8000 8000
3
4
8000 8000
Demand
5000 6000
8500 4500
Basic Plan
5000 6000
8500 4500
End Inventory
500
8000 4500
0
Level Strategy
Inv. for period X = Inv. for (X-1) + Production for X - Demand for X
Period
Capacity
8000 8000
8000 8000
Demand
5000 6000
8500 4500
Basic plan
Inventory
Adj. plan
Inventory
Advantages of
Chase Strategy
Level Strategy
Comparison of Aggregate
Planning Methods
Feasible solution methods
Trial and error starting from basic plan.
Simple to understand; easy to use. Solution may not be optimal
Mathematical Methods
Cost optimization possible
LP software available, permits rich analysis, assumes linearity of
problem.
Simulation
Realistic assumptions and modeling, permits scenarios
Varying factors
Does not guarantee optimal solution; time consuming
17
Product B
Cost
120
200
60
Hours
3
8
2
With which item should this inventory be built considering cost only?
Why might you want to build a more balanced mix of inventory?
19
Exceptional updates
Major changes in demand
20
Example: Courtine
example demonstrating other factors to
consider in the plan
& how the plan can be broken down to
individual products (as input to MRP systems)
Next Class
Purchasing
Long
Term
(years)
Production
Plants
Middle
Term
(months)
Short
Term
(weeks)
MRP
Execution
(days)
Distribution
Contracts
Procurement
Calls for delivery
Transport/Receipt
Capacity Adjustment
Distribution Network
Inventories
Sales
Long-term Forecast
Distribution Channels
Mid-term Forecast
Family items
MPS MRP
DRP
Inventory
Inventory
Short-term Forecast
Cust. Orders - ATP
Scheduling
Activity control
Order Preparation
Shipping/Transport
Invoicing
Field service
22