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Ecological Economics Volume 66 Issue 4 2008 [Doi 10.1016%2Fj.ecolecon.2007.10.023] J.R. Siche; F. Agostinho; E. Ortega; A. Romeiro -- Sustainability of Nations by Indices- Comparative Study Between Environmental Sustainability Inde
Ecological Economics Volume 66 Issue 4 2008 [Doi 10.1016%2Fj.ecolecon.2007.10.023] J.R. Siche; F. Agostinho; E. Ortega; A. Romeiro -- Sustainability of Nations by Indices- Comparative Study Between Environmental Sustainability Inde
a v a i l a b l e a t w w w. s c i e n c e d i r e c t . c o m
w w w. e l s e v i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / e c o l e c o n
ANALYSIS
Escuela de Ingeniera Agroindustrial, Facultad de Ciencias Agropecuarias, Universidad Nacional de Trujillo, Av. Juan Pablo II s/n, Ciudad
Universitaria, Trujillo, Peru
b
Laboratory of Ecological Engineering, FEA (College of Food Eng), Unicamp, CP 6121, CEP 13083-862, Campinas, SP, Brazil
c
Ncleo de Economia Agrcola, NEA, UNICAMP, CP 6135, Campinas, SP, Brazil
AR TIC LE I N FO
ABS TR ACT
Article history:
The present work makes a comparison between the two most used environmental
index, with two emergy ratios (renewability and emergy sustainability index). All of them
26 August 2007
are gaining space within the scientific community and government officials. Despite the
efforts for obtaining an index that adequately represents the sustainability of a region,
according to the result of this research, nowadays there is not yet a completely satisfactory
index. We consider that all of them need to be improved, but the results point out the
Keywords:
possibility of obtaining one better index of sustainability through the junction of ecological
Ecological footprint
Emergy analysis
1.
Introduction
EC O L O G IC A L E C O N O M IC S 6 6 ( 2 0 08 ) 62 8 6 37
629
2.
Comparative analysis
2.1.
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2.2.
2.3.
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631
3.
Results
632
EC O LO GIC A L E CO N O M ICS 6 6 ( 2 00 8 ) 6 2 8 6 37
4.
Discussion
EC O L O G IC A L E C O N O M IC S 6 6 ( 2 0 08 ) 62 8 6 37
633
Fig. 5 Correlations between the indices. (a) ESIEmSI; (b) ESIREN; (c) ESIEF; (d) EFEmSI; (e) EFEN.
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EC O LO GIC A L E CO N O M ICS 6 6 ( 2 00 8 ) 6 2 8 6 37
Ecological
footprint
(EF)
Environmental
Emergy
sustainability performance
index (ESI)
indices: EmSI,
REN
5 dimensions
Not use
21 indicators
146 variables
Organized
data
Not use
Primary data
Consumption
and
biocapacity
Flows of
materials and
energy of the
system under
analyze.
Flows of
materials,
energy and
money, that
enter, leave
and/or
recirculate.
for many human and natural activities. The ESI includes the
use of the multiple imputation algorithms to substitute
missing data and other statistical tools and assumptions
that make difficult the reproduction of their data.
Respect to wastes, emissions and recycling (IDER, Table 2),
EF accounts for the area to absorb the carbon dioxide formed
during the combustion of fossil fuels, but without considering
another kind of contamination, at least directly. Thus, the EF
fails when not considering or to underestimate important
factors such as waste emissions and recycling. In the EMPIs,
any flow or stock can be accounted for; however, in practice,
the emergy analysis of national systems does not account
atmospheric emissions and residue stocks.
In relation to the concept of how renewable is a resource
(DEFR, Table 2), only the emergy method makes this differentiation. The EMPIs establish a clear differentiation between
finite power sources (non-renewable) and renewable continuous sources. EF when considering biocapacity includes this
consideration, but not in other calculations. Therefore EF is
not able to explicit the degree of sustainability in the final
indicator. In the case of the ESI, this concept is used in an
indirect form, first, because in its calculations EF is considered
as a variable (maybe with low weight); and second, because
many other variables used in the calculation represent somehow the use of renewable resources, as the variable hydropower and renewable energy production as percentage of total
energy consumption.
It can be said that, all of them obtain an estimative of
sustainability in a general way and in some cases the three
studied indices can supply similar results. But, it is necessary
to be careful when making conclusions and proposals. For
example, in accordance with the report Living Planet Report
2004 countries as Thailand, Peru, Nicaragua and Ecuador
register very good values of EF (Fig. 1a), that is, these regions
posses more area than is necessary to support the lifestyle of
its inhabitants. But this fact is connected with their situations
of poverty and underdevelopment. On the other hand, in
countries such as the United States, Denmark and Italy there
is an area deficit (Fig. 1b); because the lifestyle of its
inhabitants cannot be supported with the local resources. In
practice, the countries with high consumption survive with
the resources of other countries (oil of the Arab countries,
minerals, fuels and natural raw materials from Latin America
and Africa, etc.).
A similarity between EF and EMPIs is the fact that both
accept the hypothesis that the inhabitants of a region are not
isolated, they consume what it is produced plus imported
minus exported. The difference is that the EMPIs consider
imported and exported emergy as variables (Table 1) of the
evaluated system and insert them in some of its indicators;
this is not the case with EF which accounts them in indirect
form as part of the consumption calculation but is not reflected in the final index.
The mathematical analysis (Figs. 4 and 5) shows that EF
and EMPIs have similar behavior. One of the main results in
the mathematical analysis is that ESI obtains very good values
for some countries that have proven a big participation in the
pollution of the planet, such as the United States and
Denmark, in contrast to bad values of EF and EMPIs for these
countries (Fig. 4).
The indices with high relationships are EF and EMPIs
(R2 = 0.3148 for EFEmSI, Fig. 5d; R2 = 0.5156 for EFREN, Fig. 5e)
and those with worse relationships are ESI and EMPIs
(R2 = 0.0004 for ESIEmSI, Fig. 5a; R2 = 0.009 for ESIREN,
Fig. 5b). It can be said, that 32% of EF variation is explained
by EmSI and 52% of the EF variation is explained by REN.
Fig. 5c shows a low correlation of ESI with EF (R2 = 0.0768),
lesser value in comparison with the value calculated by Esty
et al. (2005) between the ESI and the EF (R2 = 0.15) and greater in
Methodology
EF
ESI
EMPIs
Unit of measure
Level of
complexity
Type
Land area
Low
Several
High
Emergy
Medium
Static
Static
Scale a
G, N, SN, L,
B and P
Only emission CO2
Partial
Underestimation
Static and
dynamite
G, N, SN, L,
B and P
All
Superficial
Direct
IDER b
EDES c
DEFR d
a
All
Complete
Indirect
EC O L O G IC A L E C O N O M IC S 6 6 ( 2 0 08 ) 62 8 6 37
comparison with the value calculated between the ESI and the
Environmental Vulnerability Index (R2 = 0.03). Thus, in all the
cases, the lesser relationships is given between the ESI and
any another sustainability index, and the biggest relationships
between the EF and any another sustainability index.
The creators of the ESI (Esty et al., 2005) had found a bigger
relationship between the ESI and wealth (measured through
GDP) (R2 = 0.23) and a similar relationship between the ESI
and the Global Competitive Index (R2 = 0.34). Worse still, Morse
and Fraser (2005), working with all of the ESI data and the
assumption of equal weighting found a great relationship
between ESI and GDP (R2 = 0.82 of linear relationship and
R2 = 0.86 of quadratic relationship). These results, added to
ours, add to the criticism of the ESI not to give a good interpretation of the sustainability of a country, and on how well a
given country can deal with threats to its own sustainability,
by using its wealth.
It is given that in ESI there is a preponderance of variables
having a strong positive correlation with wealth; it could then
be argued that the ESI is based in favor of the richer countries
(The Ecologist, 2001). This could greatly facilitate the use of the
ESI for relating environmental sustainability to economic
performance (Morse and Fraser, 2005) as well as corruption
(Morse, 2006). In addition, the ESI seems to focus on how well a
given country can deal with threats to its own sustainability,
while the EF can be applied at individual, local, regional, or
global levels; it really focuses on impacts on global sustainability. For this, the United States has a huge EF, but achieves
this by stepping on other countries. On the other hand, the ESI
of the United States looks so good, since it does not consider
the effect of global sustainability. Or as Schaefer and Schavey
(2002) say, the ESI represents a country's success in coping
with environmental challenges and cooperating with other
countries in the management and improvement of common
environmental problems. The main criticism of ESI is about
the decision over what variables to include within some
justification that the selection of the variables (Jha and BhanuMurthy, 2003; Morse and Fraser, 2005) that make up the ESI is a
subjective process and hence the ESI is largely reflecting what
its creators feel is important. In practical terms, the ESI's
attempt to measure sustainability fails because it seeks to fold
too many disparate phenomena under the same conceptual
umbrella (The Ecologist, 2001).
5.
Conclusions
635
consider some important variables, specifically the calculation of natural biomass energy, deforestation and consumption of fresh water, but could be included with ease, because
EMA is very adaptable and could include relevant variables
according to requirements. Thus, EMA gives an approximate
solution of the system sustainability that can be refined. An
important issue is that EMA separates renewable and nonrenewable resources.
The correlation analysis indicates that the ESI compared
with any another sustainability index presents the lesser
relationships (R2ESIEmSI = 0.0004; R2ESIEF = 0.0768), in contrast of
the EF, that presents the best relationships with any index
(R2ESIEF = 0.0768; R2EFREN = 0.5156). Thus, of the three evaluated
methods, the indices that show better relationships are
the ecological footprint (EF) and the emergy performance indices (EMPIs). In this way, to improve and to refine the methodology of the ecological footprint (static method), considering
the strong points of the emergy methodology (as dynamic
component), could be a good alternative. Research about this
line was published recently (Zhao et al., 2005; Chen and Chen,
2006), but these new mixed methods maintain some deficiencies of the original methodologies. Recently new alternatives
of convergence between EF and EMA are being proposed to
improve the deficiencies of the initial approaches (Siche et al.,
2007; Agostinho et al., 2007).
It is possible to say that the three methods are important
alternatives to calculate the sustainability of nations, but they
need to be refined in order to think in a new better alternative
derived from them.
Acknowledgements
The authors are grateful to the CNPQ (Conselho Nacional de
Desenvolvimento Cientfico e Tecnolgico) of Brazil for
providing financial support for the development of the present
study.
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