Iceland's economy was flourishing in the eyes of its people, but it was actually a bubble. When the financial crisis hit in 2008, Iceland's unemployment tripled within six months. In the US, low interest rates and adjustable rate mortgages enticed many to buy homes beyond their means, while deregulation allowed banks high leverage ratios. When Lehman Brothers collapsed in September 2008 due to being overleveraged, it wrecked havoc on Wall Street and had global consequences, marking the start of the crisis. Many economists were later found to have conflicts of interest through consulting work for the same institutions that had caused the crisis.
Iceland's economy was flourishing in the eyes of its people, but it was actually a bubble. When the financial crisis hit in 2008, Iceland's unemployment tripled within six months. In the US, low interest rates and adjustable rate mortgages enticed many to buy homes beyond their means, while deregulation allowed banks high leverage ratios. When Lehman Brothers collapsed in September 2008 due to being overleveraged, it wrecked havoc on Wall Street and had global consequences, marking the start of the crisis. Many economists were later found to have conflicts of interest through consulting work for the same institutions that had caused the crisis.
Iceland's economy was flourishing in the eyes of its people, but it was actually a bubble. When the financial crisis hit in 2008, Iceland's unemployment tripled within six months. In the US, low interest rates and adjustable rate mortgages enticed many to buy homes beyond their means, while deregulation allowed banks high leverage ratios. When Lehman Brothers collapsed in September 2008 due to being overleveraged, it wrecked havoc on Wall Street and had global consequences, marking the start of the crisis. Many economists were later found to have conflicts of interest through consulting work for the same institutions that had caused the crisis.
Iceland was selected as a target country to divert
and diversify the effects of the impending financial crisis. it had a relatively high standard of living, low crime rate and was a developed economy that was flourishing. In the eyes of the people, nothing could possibly go wrong. What most people did not realize however, is that this was a bubble.
PART I: Too good to be true
At one point in time, there were cases where one would see 19 luxury SUVs outside a bank, each owned by a lawyer. Anyone smart enough to enter the bank and figure out what was going on, and who could successfully dodge all nineteen lawyers was almost instantaneously offered the job of an attorney, to propagate this pompous Ponzi scheme. In February 2007, the US-based big-four audit firm KPMG rated many securities in Iceland AAA, the highest and safest rating possible. By 2008, these very same safe products were bleeding. Unemployment in Iceland tripled within six months. Iceland-based financial regulators, who had catalyzed this mass destruction, in the first place, went on to work for banks as though they did not know what was happening. PART II: The American Dream The Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000 encouraged financial companies to invent new ways of making money off the uneducated. This Act came into being after intense lobbying by investment banks and various public and private stakeholders in the financial industry. It
led to the creation of a securitization food-chain,
with the big financial institutions at the top. Post the dot-com bubble burst in the US, the public were herded towards owning real estate, one of the key pillars upon which the American Dream rested. Interest rates on mortgages were progressively lowered from 2001 up till the year 2007. The fine print on these mortgages, however, did not maintain the interest rate throughout the often 30-year tenure of the mortgage. Most products were limited to an unbelievably low interest rate for the first five years, while post this honeymoon period, the now magnified interest component would cause unbearable financial stress to whoever was making the monthly payments for their dream home, that had now become their worst nightmare. Financial companies were allowed to have leverage ratios of up to 15:1, indicating that every fifteen dollars loaned required the banks to have just one dollar in reserves. The regulators and bankers were hand in glove.
PART III: The Crisis
Come 12th September 2008, the vastly overleveraged Lehman Brothers ran out of cash reserves. The Fed refused to bail them out, forcing them to file for bankruptcy. It was around the same time that Bank of America bought out Merrill-Lynch wrecking havoc on Wall Street, causing the indices to plunge by 20% within one day, with far reaching consequences across the world.
PART IV: Economic Experts for Hire
Merrill-Lynch executive Stan ONeal was paid $131 million as a severance package instead of being prosecuted. He was then picked up by the board of AIG, as a consultant and paid a fee of $1 million a month. Top Lehman partners were compensated in excess of $1 billion in bonuses from 2000 to 2007. Bank of America, Wells Fargo, JP Morgan among others became even larger than the behemoths they were before the crisis. Since the 1980s, deregulation had become a buzzword among academicians in the Ivy Leagues. It has become more than evident in todays times that business school professors do not live on a faculty salary. Dr. Glenn Hubbard, Dean of Columbia Business School and visiting faculty at Northwestern University and Harvard Business School was interviewed in this regard. At one point during the interview, he displayed hostility, declaring to the interviewer on camera, You have three minutes. Make the best use of it, then get out, which indicated that the interviewer had touched upon a sensitive topic. It was found though official sources that much of his income was derived from consulting work at Charles River Associates, a prominent audit firm in the vicinity of Columbia. Economics professor and subsequent Federal Reserve Chairman Frederic Mishkin was allegedly paid $124,000 to write a paper titled Financial Stability in Iceland by the Icelandic Chamber of Commerce. When questioned about the authenticity of information contained in the paper, he said that the government data was his source, and that one should have faith in the Central Bank, the very institution that caused bankruptcy in Iceland. Issues relating to credit default swaps and
executive compensation were seldom written
about by professors. Raghuram Rajan, the then IMF chief was one of the first to signal a warning about the impending real estate bubble going bust in his research paper in 2005 titled Has Financial Development Made the World Riskier?
PART V: The Aftermath
American society has the highest inequality of wealth amongst developed economies. It is for the first time in history that the average American has less education and is less prosperous than his parents when they were his age. The main focus of every Americans life was to buy their own home, have their own car, good healthcare coverage and save for their childrens education. Financial literacy for the average American could have averted this entire crisis.