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Finalcadv1 130929082426 Phpapp01
Finalcadv1 130929082426 Phpapp01
Deficit
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Content
1.Introduction
2.Current account
3.Deficit
4.Balance of payment
5.Measurement of current account for a country
6.Indias current account situation
7.Import policies
8.Export policies
9.Graphical representations
10.Inference
A substantial current account deficit is not necessarily a bad thing for certain
countries. Developing counties may run a current account deficit in the short term
to increase local productivity and exports in the future.
Current account
The difference between a nation's total exports of goods, services and transfers,
and its total imports of them. Current account balance calculations exclude
transactions in financial assets and liabilities.
Deficit:
Balance of payment:
A record of all transactions made between one particular country and all
other countries during a specified period of time.
BOP compares the dollar difference of the amount of exports and imports,
including all financial exports and imports. A negative balance of payments
means that more money is flowing out of the country than coming in, and
vice versa.
Balance of payments may be used as an indicator of economic and political
stability. For example, if a country has a consistently positive BOP, this could
mean that there is significant foreign investment within that country. It may
also mean that the country does not export much of its currency.
The current account is one of the two primary components of the , the
other being . It is the sum of the balance of trade (i.e., net revenue on
exports minus payments for imports), factor income (earnings on foreign
investments minus payments made to foreign investors) and cash transfers.
1. Goods
When a transaction of certain good's ownership from a local country to a foreign
country takes place, this is called an "export." The other way around, when a good's
owner changes to a local inhabitant from a foreigner, is defined to be an "import." In
calculating current account, exports are marked as credit (the inflow of money) and
imports as debit. (the outflow of money.)
2. Services
When an intangible service (e.g. tourism) is used by a foreigner in a local land and
the local resident receives the money from a foreigner, this is also counted as an
export, thus a credit.
3. Income
A credit of income happens when an individual or a company of domestic nationality
receives money from a company or individual with foreign identity. A foreign
company's investment upon a domestic company or a local government is also
considered as a credit.
4. Current Transfers
Current transfers take place when a certain foreign country simply provides
currency to another country with nothing received as a return. Typically, such
transfers are done in the form of donations, aids, or official assistance.
The formula
turning out to be a record high of 5.4% of GDP in the second quarter of 2012-13,
further caution is warranted while framing monetary and fiscal policies, according to
Reserve Bank of India (RBI).
Implications of a large deficit
In January 2013, the finance ministry said that Indias record current account deficit
is worrying. Deficit on the current account means a net outflow of foreign
exchange. In Indias case, this means a dollar outgo. Such a deficit could drain the
countrys forex reserves if inflows to make up the deficit do not materialise.
Therefore, a country with a current account deficit has to attract capital flows, which
could be in the form of, say, foreign direct investment, to meet the shortfall.
But when capital flows are insufficient to meet the deficit, the countrys currency
starts to depreciate on concerns that it may find it difficult to meet its international
commitment or fund its current purchases. A current account deficit in excess of
2.5% of GDP is seen as worrisome in case of India.
Large fiscal
deficit,
have now been elevated as global liquidity conditions tighten, and this clearly has
affected market confidence, Rice said in response to a question.
The CAD, which is the difference between the inflow and outflow of foreign
exchange, scaled to a record high level of $ 88.2 billion or 4.8 per cent of GDP in
2012-13. The government expects to bring it down to $ 70 billion this year.
With various fiscal tightening measures, the government was able to restrict fiscal
deficit to 4.9 per cent of GDP in 2012-13.
Fiscal deficit reaches nearly 63% of full-year target: Govt
Net tax receipts for the first four months of the current fiscal year to March
IMPORT POLICIES
After the liberalization of import policy , almost all the items are allowed to import in
India. There is only a very short list of items either banned for import, or those
required to be imported through government agencies, or under special license.
Import duties, which were earlier prohibitively high at levels of 180% or even more,
have been now decreased to as low as 15% for some items.
For the betterment of the Indian import and also export, the government has
introduced Exim Policy in India for a five year period. All the items that can be
freely imported , items that are prohibited or items that are restricted are
mentioned in this list.
The short list of banned items that cannot be imported in India includes beef and
tallow, fats and oils,animalrennet and wild animals, including their parts and
ivory.
List of items that are canalised can only be imported by the government of India
or its designated agencies. Canalised list of items include petroleum products,
fertilisers, pulses, cereals and spices. Items on the restricted list (requiring special
licence) include safety and security related products, plants and animals,
insecticides and pesticides, and other items that could have an impact on security,
health and environment.
Rs. 300,000.
(d) Duty free re-import entitlement for rejected jewellery shall be 2% of FOB value
of exports.
(e) Import of Diamonds on consignment basis for Certification/ Grading & re-export
by the authorized offices/agencies of Gemological Institute of America (GIA) in India
or other approved agencies will be permitted.
(f) Personal carriage of Gems & Jewellery products in case of holding/participating in
overseas exhibitions increased to US$ 5 million and to US$ 1 million in case of
export promotion tours.
(g) Extension in number of days for re-import of unsold items in case of
participation in an exhibition in USA, increased to 90 days.
(h) In an endeavour to make India a diamond international trading hub, it is
planned to establish Diamond Bourse(s).
TEXTILE AND TEXTILE ARTICLES CONTAINING HAZARDOUS DYES:
Import of textile and textile articles is permitted subject to the condition that they
shallnot contain any of the hazardous dyes whose handling, production, carriage or
use is prohibited by the Government of India under the provisions of clause (d) of
subsection of the Environment (Protection) Act, 1986 read with the relevant rules
framed there under. For this purpose, the import consignments shall be
accompanied by a pre-shipment certificate from a textile testing laboratory
accredited to the National Accreditation Agency of the Country of Origin.
In cases where such certificates are not available, the consignment will be cleared
after getting a sample of the imported consignment tested & certified from any of
the agencies
(i) Textiles Committee of Ministry of Textiles and its various testing facilities,
(ii) Central Silk Technological Research Institute (CSRTI) (located at Bangluru,
Karnataka) and Eco Testing Laboratory Central Silk Technological Research Institute
(located at Bhagalpur, Bihar, and Varanasi Uttar Pradesh); of the Central Silk Board .
The sampling will be based on the following parameters:
a)At least 25% of samples are drawn for testing instead of 100%.
b) While drawing the samples, it will be ensured by Customs that majority samples
are drawn from consignments originating from countries where there is no legal
prohibition on the use of harmful hazardous Dyes.
c) The test report will be valid for a period of six months in cases where the textile/
textile articles of the same specification/quality are imported and the importer,
supplier and the country of origin are the same.
MULTICHANNEL GSM/CDMA RECIEVERS,TRANSMITTERS AND TRANSRECEIVERS:
Multichannel GSM/CDMA receivers, transmitters and trans-receivers capable of
receiving or transmitting or both in two or more frequencies simultaneously, shall be
Restricted for imports.
Gold imports
Demand for gold is the reason for rise in import of the precious metal. The rising
gold import is one of the main reason for the Current Account Deficit (CAD), which
widened to a record 4.8 per cent of GDP in 2012-13 fiscal.
The RBI and the government has already taken various steps to control the import
of gold with a view to check CAD. The government recently raised customs duty on
gold to 10 per cent.
Import of gold went up by a huge 87 per cent from 205 tonnes in April-July 2012 to
383 tonnes during the corresponding period this year. In value terms, the increase
was 68 per cent from Rs 56,488 crore to Rs 95,092 crore.
The government has targeted a CAD at 3.7 per cent of GDP, or $70 billion, in the
current financial year. India's CAD, which indicates the excess of imports of goods,
services and transfers over exports, touched a record 4.8 per cent of GDP, or $88.2
billion, in 2012-13
Export Policy
General Notes to Export Policy Goods under Restrictions
1. Free Exportability
All goods other than the entries in the export licensing schedule along with its
appendices are freely exportable. The free exportability is however subject to any
other law for the time being in force. Goods not listed in the Schedule are deemed
to be freely exportable without conditions under the Foreign Trade (Development
and Regulations) Act, 1992 and the rules, notifications and other public notices and
circulars issued there under from time to time. The export licensing policy in the
schedule and its appendices does not preclude control by way of a Public Notice
Notification under the Foreign Trade (Development and Regulations) Act, 1992.
Goods listed as Free in the Export Licensing Schedule may also be exported
without an export licence as such but they are subject to conditions laid out against
the respective entry. The fulfillment of these conditions can be checked by
authorized officers in the course of export.
2. Code does not limit the item description
The export policy of a specific item will be determined mainly by the description
and nature of restriction in the schedule. The code number is illustrative of
classification but does not limit the descriptio by virtue of the standard description
of the item against the code in the import part of the ITC(HS) classification.
3. Classes of Export Trade Control
A. Prohibited Goods
The prohibited items are not permitted to be exported. An export licence will not be
given in the normal course for goods in the prohibited category. No export of rough
diamond shall be permitted unless accompanied by Kimberley Process (KP)
Certificate as specified by Gem & Jewellery EPC (GJEPC).
B. Restricted Goods
The restricted items can be permitted for export under licence. The procedures /
Colum
n
No.
Column
Name
1.
Entry No.
2.
Tariff Item
(HS) Code
3.
Unit
4.
Item
Descriptio
n
Description
Gives the order of the main entry in the schedule. The column is
designed for
easy reference and gives the identity of the raw covering the set
consisting of
Tariff Item Code, Unit Item description export policy and Nature of
restriction
along with the connected Licensing Note and Appendix.
This is an eight digit code followed in the import policy in the
earlier part of the
book, customs and the DGCIS code. The first two digits give the
chapter
number, the heading number. The last two digits signify the
subheading. The six
digit code and product description corresponds exactly with the
six digit WCO
(World Customs Organisation). The last digits are developed in
India under the
common classification system for tariff item.
The second column gives the unit of measurement or weight in
the tariff item,
which is to be used in shipping bill and other documents. In most
cases, the unit
is given as u denoting number of pieces.
The item description against each code gives the specific
description of goods,
which are subject to export control. This description does not
generally
correspond with the standard description against the code. In
most cases, the
5.
Export
Policy
6.
Nature of
Restriction
50,
52,
1.
55,
Dress materials/ready
51, made
Garments fabrics/textile
54, Items with imprints of
excerpts or verses of the
60, Holy Quran
Restricted
Exports permitted
under
licence.
Restricted
61,
62,
2.
63
0102 10
10
0102 10
20
0102 10
30
0102 10
90
3.
0102 90
10
0102 90
20
0201 10
00
0201 20
00
0201 30
00
0202 10
00
0202 20
00
0202 30
00
0402
4.
1006 10
1006 10
90
6.
7.
Prohibited
Milk and Cream,
concentrated or containing
added sugar or
other
sweetening matter
including
Skimm
ed
milk
powder,
whole
milk
powder, dairy
Whiten
er
and infant
milk
foods
Non Basmati Rice
Free
1006 20
00
1006 30
1006 30
10
1006 30
90
1006 40
00
100190 10 Wheat of seeds quality
Not permitted to be
exported
Not permitted to be
exported
1. Export to be made by
private
parties from privately held
stocks
State
Trading Enterprises (STEs)
including M/s. NCCF &
NAFED
are also permitted to
export
privately held stocks of
non-
Free
Basmati rice.
1. Export will be allowed
subject to submission of
following documents to
Customs at the time of
export:
(i) A license to carry on the
business
of a dealer in seeds issued
under
Section 3 of the Seed
Chart Title
16
20
14
10
15
Amount
(billion of dollars)
Equity
10
FII Debt
0
till may'13
beyond may'13
Time period (month'2013)
Series 1- Equity
Series2- FII Debt
Till May13 equity stood at $14 billion. And FII Debt at
$16billion.
FDI (INDIA)
FDI
6
5
4.8
4
AMOUNT
(billion of dollars)
2.7
3
2
1
0
2008
2013
YEAR
2008 - $48billion
2013 - $27 billion
Inference:
India is not as attractive an investment destination as it
was before.
There has been more dependency than ever on
foreigners.
FDI
CAD
100
90
90
80
70
60
AMOUNT
(billion of dollars)
CAD
50
40
30
20
10
0
8
2007
2013
YEAR
2007 - $8 billion
2013 - $90 billion
Foreign reserves
305
300
300
295
290
AMOUNT
(billion/$8billion)
285
Foreign reserves
280
275
275
270
265
260
2007
2013
YEAR
170
150
AMOUNT
(billion of dollars)
100
80
50
0
2007
2013
YEAR
Debt
7000
6000
6000
5000
Amount
(billion of dollars)
4000
Debt
3000
2000
1000
1000
0
2007
2013
YEAR
Investments Abroad
25
20
15
AMOUNT
10
7
5
0
2008
2013
YEAR
-15
-7
china
indonesia
-10
russia
-13
South Africa
India
-17
-20
-25
Brazil
-20
6
4.8
5
RUSSAI
BRAZIL
CHINA
MEXICO
3
2
1
1.5
1.8
2.2
2.2
INDONESIA
TURKEY
SOUTH AFRICA
INDIA
0.5
0
FISCAL DEFICIT
5
2
0
currency devaluation
-1
china
-5
Mexico
-8
-10
-8
Indinesia
Russia
-9
Turkey
India
-15
South frica
-16
-20
-20
-25
2.3
2
Russia
China
0
CAD
-2
Mexico
brazil
-1.8
Indinesia
India
-4
-6
-4.1
South Africa
-4.1
Turkey
-5
-5.8
-6.6
-8
Inferences:
Statement of problem
After thorough analysis of the EXIM policies and comparison with the current
account deficits of other countries on various parameters we have come to
the conclusion that such a mammoth current account deficit of India is the
result of various contributing factors such as
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Policy paralysis
lack of reforms in past few quarters
High gold imports
Oil imports
Low exports
Depreciation of rupee
Less reforms in agricultural sectors
ongoing trade deficit weakens the countrys economy over the long term
because it is financed with debt. So in order to reduce the trade deficit India
must focus on more of exports of goods and services and implementation of
usage home produced goods and services
2. Net Income
Second component is usually a deficit in the net income. The income
paid out by the countrys individuals, businesses and government to their
foreign counterparts should not exceed more than the receipts. This would
contribute to surplus, specifically these are payments of interest and
dividend from foreigners who own assets in the country.
3. Direct Transfers
The third component of deficit is direct transfers which includes
government grants to foreigners. Specifically, deficit is decreased by these
direct transfers
1. Wages received from a foreigners home country
2. Government grants received by Indians individuals/businesses from other
countries
3. Direct disinvestment made abroad by a countries residents
4. Increase in FII.
******
BIBLIOGRAHY:
1. data.worldbank.org/indicator/BN.CAB.XOKA.GD.ZS
Dated:01-09-2013, 5:30pm
2. http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/currentaccountdeficit.aspDated:01-09-2013, 8:40pm
3. http://www.goodreturns.in/classroom/2013/08/why-is-high-current-account-deficit-cad-badfor-india-202532.html
Dated:02-09-2013, 6:30pm
4. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Current_account
Dated:02-09-2013, 7:00pm
5. http://mospi.nic.in/Mospi_New/site/Home.aspx
Dated:02-09-2013, 7:30pm
6. http://www.rbi.org.in/home.aspx
Dated:02-09-2013, 11:30pm
7. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Five-Year_plans_of_India
8. http://www.tradingeconomics.com/india/current-account
Dated:04-09-2013, 9:30pm
Dated:05-09-2013, 7:30pm
9. http://dgft.gov.in/Exim/2000/NOT/itc(hs)/Eschedule2.pdf
Dated:05-09-2013, 8:00pm