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Nokia: Acquisition by Microsoft, and What Next For Windows Phones?
Nokia: Acquisition by Microsoft, and What Next For Windows Phones?
Nokia: Acquisition by Microsoft, and What Next For Windows Phones?
Nokia
Acquisition by Microsoft, and what
next for Windows Phones?
Reference Code: ML00013-057
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OVERVIEW
Catalyst
In September 2013, Finnish mobile phone manufacturer Nokia agreed to sell its mobile handset arm to technology giant
Microsoft in a deal worth EUR5.4bn (approximately $7bn). The move represents a new phase in Microsofts plan for
Windows phones and the companys modernization attempts.
Summary
Nokia was once the envy of the telecoms industry, being one of the most desirable brands and earning more
than 50% of all the profits in the mobile-phone industry in 2007 at its apex. Within six years it was a fraction of
its former glory. Whilst still one of the largest mobile phone companies in terms of handset sales, it has fallen
behind in the smartphone era, with Android and iOS taking nearly 90% of the operating system share combined
in 2012, systems on which Nokia phones do not operate. The operating systems have both attracted large
amounts of customers and developers in a self-perpetuating cycle. Nokias strength remains in basic handsets,
with declining handset purchases globally. Nokias tendency to choose smartphone operating systems which
fared badly against Android and iOS, such as Symbian and Windows, also did not help their sales in developed
countries.
Microsoft has suffered similar problems to Nokia; it once held monopolist control over the PC market, and its
operating systems are still ubiquitous. However, Microsoft has made a series of blunders in its attempts to take
advantage of the growing mobile devices market. Despite strong revenues from its Windows operating system,
Office suite of business software and Xbox game console, the companys mobile phone unit and tablets have
struggled. Sensing the market trends are now moving beyond traditional computing, Microsoft is hoping to
realign itself as a devices and services provider. By acquiring Nokia, it now has a direct smartphone
manufacturer which can be used to compete. Similar to Apple, it will be an end to end phone built specifically
for the software, as opposed to Android. This gives it many significant advantages over the most populous
operating software in terms of quality and user interaction, which will build higher brand loyalty.
The move has attracted considerable infighting in Microsoft and also may prove a dud. Nokia managed to
produce critically acclaimed phones, but could not translate this into successful sales. Windows phones would
need to significantly improve their sales to break even by the target of 2016. Investors in Microsoft are also at
odds over the future of the company, fearing the move could alienate OEMs or is not truly innovating, merely
mimicking Apples strategy. Finally, Microsoft faces a conundrum on whether to continue pursuing Nokias
presence in traditional handsets, which are still popular in developing countries.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Overview ............................................................................................................................................................................ 2
Catalyst............................................................................................................................................................................ 2
Summary ......................................................................................................................................................................... 2
A brief history of Nokias rise and decline............................................................................................................................ 7
The current state of the mobile phones market ............................................................................................................... 7
Nokias recent performance ............................................................................................................................................. 7
Nokias failure in the smartphone market......................................................................................................................... 8
2007-2010: Nokia and Symbians loss at Androids gain ............................................................................................. 8
Windows app store restrictions .................................................................................................................................... 9
Why Microsoft acquired Nokia ........................................................................................................................................... 10
Microsofts transition to device and services.................................................................................................................. 10
Microsoft is still unsuccessful in mobile device technology ............................................................................................ 10
Surface tablet fails to sell and Windows Phones limited sales .................................................................................. 11
Microsoft emulates Apples tactics: OEM sidelined ....................................................................................................... 11
Vertical integration will improve profit margins and the product ................................................................................. 12
Nokia will assist tablet manufacturing too .................................................................................................................. 12
Windows Phones advantages over Android ................................................................................................................. 12
Potential pitfalls for Windows Phones ............................................................................................................................... 13
Windows Phones still trails the incumbents considerably .............................................................................................. 13
Branding problems? ................................................................................................................................................... 13
Windows 7 incompatibility with Windows 8 ................................................................................................................ 13
The problem of Windows phone being a small player in a large market .................................................................... 13
Alienating Microsofts current clientele........................................................................................................................... 13
Forcing consolidation in Windows smartphones ........................................................................................................ 13
Tablet production and computing OEMs .................................................................................................................... 14
Microsofts basic handset problem ................................................................................................................................ 14
Nokia in India ............................................................................................................................................................. 15
Conclusions....................................................................................................................................................................... 16
Vertical integration was necessary, but the future is uncertain ...................................................................................... 16
Appendix ........................................................................................................................................................................... 17
Definitions ...................................................................................................................................................................... 17
Sources ......................................................................................................................................................................... 17
Further Reading ............................................................................................................................................................. 18
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LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Largest mobile phone manufacturers 2012 ........................................................................................................... 8
Table 2: Global smartphone operating system share in 2012 ............................................................................................. 8
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TABLE OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Global mobile phones market value, USD billions............................................................................................... 7
Figure 2: Nokia Lumia range ............................................................................................................................................... 9
Figure 3: Microsoft revenue for financial year ended June 30 2013, by segment ............................................................. 11
Figure 4: Apple stores compared to Microsoft stores ........................................................................................................ 12
Figure 5: Nokia, Samsung, and HTC Windows phones .................................................................................................... 14
Figure 6: Key markets for Nokia's net revenues, 2012 ...................................................................................................... 15
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USD, bn
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
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Sales (million)
Nokia
337.3
Samsung
213
Apple
125.0
LG
49.8
ZTE
35
MARKETLINE
Sales (millions)
Market share
Android
497.1
68.8%
iOS
135.9
18.8%
Blackberry OS
32.5
4.5%
Symbian
23.9
3.3%
Windows Phone
17.9
2.5%
Linux
N/A
2.0%
Others
15.1
2.1%
Total
722.4
100%
SOURCE: IDC
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SOURCE: http://www.nokia.com/gb-en/phones/
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Figure 3: Microsoft revenue for financial year ended June 30 2013, by segment
Windows
13%
25%
Microsoft Business
26%
4%
Entertainment and
Devices
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SOURCE: CULTOFMAC.COM
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Android developers, so consumers cannot always be sure that the app they are downloading is legitimate.
Branding problems?
The power of branding in these markets cannot be discounted. Both Nokia and Microsoft suffered damage in their
reluctance to adopt the smartphone and devices trend, and were penalized for it. Nokias brand was not enough to save
it from severe decline, despite releasing phones which won over critics, but not consumers. The tie in with Windows for
smartphones and Microsofts tablets sales also reflect a loss in the brands power. This could be addressed by combining
both Nokia and Microsoft into a more cohesive marketing campaign under a centralized division, rather than the overlap
and different strategies from two companies. Microsoft already believes cost efficiencies will be made by the move.
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Vertically integrating into the smartphones business could have consequences for other manufacturers of Windows
Phones. If the Windows Phone ecosystem fails to attract sufficient numbers, OEMs will be more reluctant to take it on.
Further, by announcing they will be taking their own production, it may lead companies to forge ahead with other
operating software rather than Windows. This argument is disrupted by the evidence. 80% of Windows Phones were
produced by Nokia, and it was failing to attract sufficient attention from other manufacturers. Vertical integration was a
necessary step to ensure the companys survival in the market.
SOURCE: VENTUREBEAT.COM
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Despite the collapse in the smartphone market, Nokia remains one of the largest phone vendors due to its share in basic
handsets. It possessed a market share of 19% in 2012. Handsets are now quite cheap, which is why Nokia has seen a
collapse in revenues against companies such as Samsung and Apple who sell a lot of smartphones. Of Nokias largest
countries in terms of sales, the BRIC bloc and Indonesia constitute top ten places. Microsoft could fail to understand the
psyche of Nokias key developing markets (including India), which could cost it a reliable source of income. Whilst the
handset market is declining and margins are becoming tighter, it is too big of a market for Microsoft to ignore. It is
unknown how it can leverage the handset market given the massive volumes and ever declining prices. A potential
strategy for Nokia would be to continue to sell its handsets in these countries, maintaining brand reputation, whilst
striving towards offering a cheaper smartphone. Focusing solely on high end smartphones may cost Nokia significant
presence in developing economies.
Nokia in India
Nokias presence in India has been relatively successful, possessing strong distribution channels and an identifiable
brand in the Asha range. Like elsewhere, it has suffered attrition with the companys decline but brand loyalty remains
strong. With Samsung now the top player, and local competitors such as Karbonn and Micromax producing cheap
Android smartphones, Microsoft faces a conundrum how to proceed, hoping to close the gap of its products price range
and utilize its web services to retain customers.
Nokia has been in India since the mid-1990s and the country accounted for 7% of its 2012 revenue, while the United
States generated just 6%. Distribution chains include 200,000 outlets, 70,000 of which sell only its devices. One of its
biggest plants is in the southern city of Chennai. Nokia has slipped in India as elsewhere: After nearly two decades as
the market leader it was unseated by Samsung recently, but it remains a strong contender. An option for Microsoft,
analysts said, would be to bundle its services like Bing search, Outlook webmail and Skype, into the lower-end phones
as a way to drive traffic to those services and make the devices more appealing.
China
8%
India
8%
Japan
7%
6%
54%
USA
Brazil
Germany
6%
4%
4%
Russia
Indonesia
Other
3%
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CONCLUSIONS
Vertical integration was necessary, but the future is uncertain
Nokias dramatic fall from a companied valued over $200bn in its prime to a $7.2bn acquisition whilst making a $4bn loss
has been profound. The companys reluctance to enter the smartphone market ultimately cost it, suffering substantial
brand damage. Despite producing quality products, the market moved decisively against it, with a perception of
reluctance to innovate and obsolescence. The Nokia Lumia range were very good phones across a spectrum of prices,
but failed to attract sufficient attention. The exclusive adoption for future phones of Windows software also went against
the rampant success of Android, although other phone manufacturers such as Blackberry and Apple successfully
developed their own OS for phones. Despite still being the second largest phone vendor globally, it was soundly beaten
in the smartphone category, with many of its more basic handsets selling in volume, but prices marching continually
downwards.
For Microsoft, its success remained in computing and, more specifically, corporate software, but it failed to crack the
devices market with hesitation by many manufacturers to adopt the Windows OS and the tepid performance of the
Surface tablet. The company recognizes long term trends shifting away from its monopolist position, so has attempted to
invigorate and provide services across the spectrum. The Xbox One signifies this, bundling in many of Microsofts
services into its gaming consoles. Microsofts software manufacturing licensed to OEMs worked, but gave them little
ammunition in the new, high value smart devices market. The decision to acquire Nokia, the largest vendor of its
smartphone OS, will provide it with welcome expertise and capabilities in manufacturing these products. It will also
improve profitability in the market as development and marketing costs are slashed. Phones will now be produced and
designed perfectly for the ecosystem, which will confer an advantage over the dominant Android, which has interface
issues.
The plan is not without risks. The two companies still suffer from consumer perceptions. Whereas Apple and Samsung
are considered cool, innovative brands, Nokia and Microsoft are not. Significant improvements in the brands influence
must be achieved to merit the acquisitions worth in terms of phone sales. Despite an improvement in the fortunes of the
Windows Phones, it is still a small player in a large market, and suffers from problems such as lack of apps in the store,
and manufacturers unwilling to commit fully, making the vertical integration all the more necessary. Microsofts decision
to begin manufacturing tablets and phones has pushed it into direct competition with its OEMs, something they do not
appreciate. The smartphone market is much more competitive than Microsofts traditional monopoly over operating
software for PCs, which has caused concern among some investors. It was, however, a necessary step in the long run
due to the decline of desktops.
Microsoft must also tread carefully with Nokias key clientele in developing markets for traditional handsets. Whilst it
seeks to press Apple in the higher end of the market in terms of value, it will not be granted this luxury in the much tighter
developing markets. Cheap Android phones will perform better, so it must effectively price its range to entice customers
and maintain brand loyalty.
Microsofts foray into the devices and services market has it on the defensive compared to its primacy with desktops. It is
also attempting to regain the initiative by emulating the success of the competitor which outwitted it in marketing and
product innovation, Apple. It must be prepared to forge a separate strategy, as it is unlikely to beat Apple at its own
game.
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APPENDIX
Definitions
Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): manufactures products or components that are purchased by another
company and retailed under that purchasing company's brand name. OEM refers to the company that originally
manufactured the product.
Operating System (OS): a collection of software that manages computer hardware resources and provides common
services for computer programs. The operating system is an essential component of the system software in a computer
system. Application programs usually require an operating system to function.
Sources
Apple Inc. 10-K Filing 2013
http://files.shareholder.com/downloads/AAPL/2848902831x0x701402/a406ad58-6bde-4190-96a14cc2d0d67986/AAPL_FY13_10K_10.30.13.pdf
Business Insider, "Acers CEO warns Microsoft to think twice about releasing the surface tablet"
http://www.businessinsider.com/acers-ceo-warns-microsoft-to-think-twice-about-releasing-the-surface-tablet-2012-8
Financial Express: "Nokia Asha to ashes: Microsoft's emerging market conundrum"
http://www.financialexpress.com/news/nokia-asha-to-ashes-microsoft-corps-emerging-market-conundrum/1165535
Gartner
http://www.gartner.com
Guardian, "Microsoft restructure: Ballmer pins hopes on bringing devices together"
http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2013/jul/11/microsoft-restructure-steve-ballmer
Guardian, "Microsoft says next chief executive won't be announced before 2014"
http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2013/dec/17/microsoft-next-chief-executiveannounced-2014
Microsoft Annual report 2013
http://www.microsoft.com/investor/reports/ar13/download-center/index.html
Microsoft Nokia acquisition announcement
http://www.microsoft.com/en-us/news/press/2013/sep13/09-02announcementpr.aspx
mobithinking mobile statistics:
http://mobithinking.com/mobile-marketing-tools/latest-mobile-stats/a#smartphoneos
New Yorker blog: "Where Nokia went wrong"
http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/currency/2013/09/where-nokia-went-wrong.html
Nokia, 2012 annual report
http://i.nokia.com/blob/view/-/2299988/data/3/-/Nokia-in-2012-pdf.pdf
Nokia results 3Q 2013
http://www.results.nokia.com/results/Nokia_results2013Q3e.pdf
PC Advisor, "Android vs Windows: what's the best?"
http://www.pcadvisor.co.uk/buying-advice/mobile-phone/3469008/android-vs-windows-whats-best/
Nokia and Windows Phone Case Study
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Further Reading
Nokia Case Study: Struggling in the Smartphone Age: Marketline Case Study
EU Telecoms: Will Connected Continent save the sector? : Marketline Case Study
Nokia Corporation: Marketline Company profile
Android: From Start-Up to the World's Leading Smartphone Platform: Marketline Case Study
Microsoft Corporation: Marketline Company Profile
Mobile Phones: Marketline Industry Profile
ML00013-057/Published 01/2014
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