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TreePlan 186 Example Mac
TreePlan 186 Example Mac
5
Awarded contract
250000
90000
Prepare proposal
-50000
20000
0.5
Not awarded contract
20000
-50000
80000
0.5
Electronic success
-50000
0.5
Electronic failure
90000
-120000
150000
30000
0.7
Magnetic success
Try magnetic method
-80000
0
84000
120000
0.3
Magnetic failure
-120000
80000
150000
30000
120000
-50000
ID
Name
0 TreePlan
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Value
Prob
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Pred
Kind
0D
0E
0T
1D
1T
3T
3E
3E
6T
6T
7T
7T
NS
S1
2
2
0
3
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
S2
1
3
0
5
0
0
8
10
0
0
0
0
2
4
0
6
0
0
9
11
0
0
0
0
S3
S4
0
0
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
S5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Row
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Col
25
18
32
10
27
2
9
19
7
12
17
22
1
5
5
9
9
13
13
13
17
17
17
17
Mark
0.5
Awarded contract
$250,000
$90,000
Prepare proposal
-$50,000
$20,000
0.5
Not awarded contract
$20,000
$0
$0
-$50,000
$80,000
0.5
Electronic success
$0
-$50,000
0.5
Electronic failure
$90,000
-$120,000
$150,000
$30,000
0.7
Magnetic success
Try magnetic method
$0
-$80,000
0.3
Magnetic failure
$84,000
-$120,000
$120,000
$0
$80,000
$150,000
$30,000
$120,000
$0
-$50,000
$0
ID
Name
0 TreePlan
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Value
Prob
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Pred
Kind
0D
0E
0T
1D
1T
3T
3E
3E
6T
6T
7T
7T
NS
S1
2
2
0
3
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
S2
1
3
0
5
0
0
8
10
0
0
0
0
2
4
0
6
0
0
9
11
0
0
0
0
S3
S4
0
0
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
S5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Row
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Col
25
18
32
10
27
2
9
19
7
12
17
22
1
5
5
9
9
13
13
13
17
17
17
17
Mark
0.5
Awarded contract
$250,000
Prepare proposal
-$50,000
0.5
Not awarded contract
$0
$0
-$50,000
0.5
Electronic failure
1
$0
0.7
Magnetic success
$0
-$80,000
0.3
Magnetic failure
1
$0
$80,000
$150,000
$120,000
-$50,000
$0
ID
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Name
TreePlan
Value
Prob
0
Pred
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Kind
0D
0E
0T
1D
1T
3T
3E
3E
6T
6D
7T
7D
9T
11 T
NS
S1
2
2
0
3
0
0
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
S2
1
3
0
5
0
0
8
10
0
12
0
13
0
0
S3
2
4
0
6
0
0
9
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
S4
0
0
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
S5
Row
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Col
25
18
32
10
27
2
9
19
7
12
17
22
12
22
Mark
1
5
5
9
9
13
13
13
17
17
17
17
21
21
0.5
Awarded contract
$250,000
$80,000
0.41335
Prepare proposal
-$50,000
$1,337
0.00887
0.5
Not awarded contract
$1,337
0.00887
$0
$0
0.00000
-$50,000
-0.39561
$80,000
0.41335
0.5
Electronic success
$0
-$50,000
0.5
Electronic failure
$78,307
0.40669
-$120,000
$150,000
0.63212
$30,000
0.18127
0.7
Magnetic success
Try magnetic method
$0
-$80,000
0.3
Magnetic failure
$73,035
0.38547
-$120,000
$120,000
0.55067
$0
0.00000
$150,000
$30,000
$120,000
$0
-$50,000
$0
$150,000
ID
Name
0 TreePlan
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Value
Prob
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Pred
Kind
0D
0E
0T
1D
1T
3T
3E
3E
6T
6T
7T
7T
NS
S1
2
2
0
3
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
S2
1
3
0
5
0
0
8
10
0
0
0
0
2
4
0
6
0
0
9
11
0
0
0
0
S3
S4
0
0
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
S5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Row
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Col
25
18
32
10
27
2
9
19
7
12
17
22
1
5
5
9
9
13
13
13
17
17
17
17
Mark
0.5
Awarded contract
$250,000
$80,000
0.78714
Prepare proposal
-$50,000
$1,337
0.39357
0.5
Not awarded contract
$1,337
0.39357
$0
$0
0.38494
-$50,000
0.00000
$80,000
0.78714
0.5
Electronic success
$0
-$50,000
0.5
Electronic failure
$78,307
0.78066
-$120,000
$150,000
1.00000
$30,000
0.56131
0.7
Magnetic success
Try magnetic method
$0
-$80,000
0.3
Magnetic failure
$73,035
0.76000
-$120,000
$120,000
0.92075
$0
0.38494
$150,000
Low
High
-$50,000
$150,000
$150,000
A
B
$30,000
$120,000
$0
-$50,000
$0
1.357952354
0.97301538
U(Low) = 0.0
U(High) = 1.0
Value
-$50,000
-$45,000
-$40,000
-$35,000
-$30,000
-$25,000
-$20,000
-$15,000
-$10,000
-$5,000
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
$45,000
$50,000
$55,000
$60,000
$65,000
$70,000
$75,000
$80,000
$85,000
$90,000
$95,000
$100,000
$105,000
$110,000
$115,000
$120,000
$125,000
$130,000
$135,000
$140,000
$145,000
Risk Utility
0.00000
0.04452
0.08758
0.12923
0.16951
0.20847
0.24616
0.28260
0.31786
0.35196
0.38494
0.41684
0.44769
0.47753
0.50640
0.53431
0.56131
0.58743
0.61269
0.63712
0.66076
0.68361
0.70572
0.72710
0.74779
0.76779
0.78714
0.80585
0.82395
0.84146
0.85839
0.87477
0.89061
0.90593
0.92075
0.93508
0.94894
0.96235
0.97532
0.98787
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7
Utility or Expected Utili
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
-$50,000
$150,000
1.00000
$0
$50,000
Value or Certain Equivalent, x
$100,000
nction
uivalent, x
$100,000
$150,000
ID
Name
0 TreePlan
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Value
Prob
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Pred
Kind
0D
0E
0T
1D
1T
3T
3E
3E
6T
6T
7T
7T
NS
S1
2
2
0
3
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
S2
1
3
0
5
0
0
8
10
0
0
0
0
2
4
0
6
0
0
9
11
0
0
0
0
S3
S4
0
0
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
S5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Row
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Col
25
18
32
10
27
2
9
19
7
12
17
22
1
5
5
9
9
13
13
13
17
17
17
17
Mark
1.85
TREEPLAN...DECISION and
TREEPLAN...EVENT dialog boxes
Add branch
Adds a single branch after the selected node .
(No more than 5 branches are allowed.)
Copy subtree
Copies the selected node and all its successors to the
TreePlan clipboard.
Insert decision
Inserts a decision node and single branch before the
selected node.
Insert event
Inserts an event node and single branch before the
selected node.
Change to decision
Changes the selected event node to a decision node and
erases the probability fields from the event branches.
Change to event
Changes the selected decision node to an event node.
Shorten tree
Removes the selected node and its single successor
branch.
Change to terminal
Changes the selected node to a terminal node. All
successor branches are erased.
Remove branch
Erases the selected node, the previous branch, and any
successor branches and nodes.
Pro License Upon purchase or receipt of a Pro license, you may install
and use the Pro version of the Software for single individual use on
multiple computers, or you may install the Pro version on a single
computer for shared use, but not both.
students and instructors, and the Software may not be used for
commercial purposes. Upon purchase or receipt of a Student license,
you may install and use the Student version of the Software for single
individual use on multiple computers, or you may install the Student
version on a single computer for shared use, but not both.
Trial License TreePlan Software grants you the right to install and use
the Trial version of the Software free of charge for single individual use
on one computer for no longer than thirty days, after which you must
delete all of the Software files from your computer. During the Trial
period the Software is licensed only for evaluation and may not be used
for commercial, instructional, or other production purposes.
Backup Copy You may copy the Software for backup and archival
purposes, provided that the original and each copy is kept in your
possession and is not available to others.
Accessibility You may not place the Software onto a server so that it is
License Transfer You may not sublicense, sell, lease, rent, assign or
otherwise transfer the license rights granted herein without the prior
written consent of TreePlan Software.
Sublicensing You may not sublicense, rent, lease, or lend any portion of
Limited Remedy Our entire liability and your exclusive remedy for
breach of the foregoing warranty shall be, at our option, to either return
the price you paid or replace the Software file that does not meet the
foregoing warranty.
In no event will we be liable to you for any damages, including any lost
profits, lost savings, or other incidental or consequential damages
arising from the use or the inability to use the Software (even if we or an
authorized dealer, reseller, or distributor has been advised of the
possibility of these damages), or for any claim by any other party.
Some states do not allow the limitation or exclusion of liability for
incidental or consequential damages, so the above limitation may not
apply to you.
Termination This license agreement takes effect upon your use of the