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This Week at The ISN 2015-02-06
This Week at The ISN 2015-02-06
This Week at The ISN 2015-02-06
ETH Zurich
//
02 06 February 2015
// Security Watch
This week, our hard power-centered Security Watch (SW) series focuses on the so-called Islamic State's rising popularity
across South Asia; how China is using international law to exert its power and influence over the East and South China
Seas; what is the strategic rationale behind jihadi attacks on media outlets; what makes the US' "Joint Integrated Air and
Missile Defense: Vision 2020" such a timely and relevant document; and whether Japan's 'remilitarization' warrants
widespread concern. Then, in our second, more wide-ranging SW series, we look at Russia's demographic problems;
what to expect from Saudi Arabia's new king; the growing need to regulate nanotechnology; the role satellite imagery now
plays in tracking human rights abuses; and how military assistance is closely related to the recruiting of child soldiers.
The so-called Islamic State's narrative of 'Islam under siege' is striking a chord with South Asia's disaffected Muslims.
That's bad news, says Animesh Roul, especially since a coordinated response against this hostile narrative isn't going to
appear anytime soon. More
Are you impressed by Russia's recent muscle-flexing? If so, you better add up the numbers, warn Joseph Chamie and
Barry Mirkin. As they see it, high mortality plus low fertility plus the large-scale emigration of educated elites equals a
'perfect storm' brewing on Russia's horizon. More
How China Exploits a Loophole in International Law in Pursuit of Hegemony in East Asia
03 February 2015
Rachel Bronson doesn't expect Saudi Arabia's new king, Salman bin Abdel Aziz al-Saud, to take the brave actions and
bold decisions his country needs. As a result, the country may be in store for a period of 'sclerotic stability' rather than
possible chaos and uncertainty. More
Brian Dodwell believes that jihadi attacks on journalists and media outlets are not just symptoms of moral outrage. They're
also the perfect tool for 1) inspiring follow-on action by adherents, 2) exacerbating social divides, and 3) provoking heavyhanded and counterproductive responses from host governments. More
Does the international community need to redouble its efforts to regulate the research and development of nano-enabled
products? Ioana Puscas thinks so. While nanotechnology is regarded as a 'silver bullet' for a host of security challenges,
there's growing concern over what might happen if it falls into the wrong hands. More
Seeing 2020: America's New Vision for Integrated Air and Missile Defense
05 February 2015
What makes the United States' new Joint Integrated Air and Missile Defense: Vision 2020 document both timely and
relevant? The answer, according to Geoffrey Weiss, lies in its awareness of just how volatile our current strategic and
threat environments really are. More
Satellite imagery is increasingly being used by human rights organizations to verify claims that would otherwise be difficult
to confirm. Yet, as our partners at IRIN remind us, not everyone is convinced that satellites should be instruments of
choice in the fight against human rights abuses. More
Shinzo Abe's foreign policy has raised concerns about Japan's seeming remilitarization. For John Hemmings, these
concerns miss the point. Tokyo's growing confidence abroad and commitment to liberal internationalism now make it an
ideal partner for Britain and Europe. More
Are we doing enough to prevent the use of child soldiers? Rachel Stohl and Shannon Dick have their doubts. While UN
resolutions and national legislation are a step in the right direction, they don't address the little stressed impact that military
assistance has on the recruiting of child combatants. More
// Blog
Between the EU and Russia: Opportunity or Dilemma for Serbia's OSCE Chairmanship?
02 February 2015
The success of Serbia's Chairmanship of the OSCE will depend on how it manages its relations with the EU and Russia,
writes Stephanie Liechtenstein. That's not going to be easy, especially given Belgrade's divided economic and political
loyalties between Brussels and Moscow. More
Should the United States continue to invest heavily in stealth technology? Andrew Metrick has his doubts. That's because
improved countermeasures, including the rise of anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) networks, are eroding away the
advantages that stealth supposedly offers. More
Plummeting oil prices have combined with simmering domestic tensions to throw Nicolas Maduro's administration into a
major crisis. Today, Chris Woody explains why the coup d'tat that the Venezuelan president has always warned against
is now possible. More
What impact will the Palestinian Authority's (PA) accession to the International Criminal Court have on the Middle East
peace process? Not much, write Hardeep Puri and Omar El Odakh, but it might provide the PA with greater leverage on
the international stage. More
As Thomas Parker sees it, European countries need to break out of their 'defence silos' and create a truly integrated
military establishment. It's one way that the continent can regain the status of a bona fide world power, which it hasn't
been since the start of World War One. More
// Video
In this video, Admiral Cecil Haney, who heads US Strategic Command, stresses the continued importance of strategic
deterrence to the United States and then describes what it will probably look like in the near- to long-term. More
In this video, Stratfor's Scott Stewart and Tristan Reed discuss how organized crime in Mexico is becoming increasingly
decentralized and what it might mean for the traditional cartel system in the country. More
In this video, a mix of high-level experts and practitioners discuss the overall security situation in the Middle East and what
the US should do to prevent additional conflicts there.More
// Multimedia Content
Here is a selection of this week's additions to the ISN Digital
Library:
Publications More
// Addressing the Foreign Terrorist Fighters Phenomenon from a European Union Perspective More
// Elections and Peace in Africa: Perspectives for 2015
More
// Enabling or Evading? Germany in the Middle East
More
Videos More
// The Geopolitical Outlook
More
/The
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Taliban More
/Venezuela's
/
Volatile Year Ahead More
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