Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Banking Financial Services & Insurance - 2013
Banking Financial Services & Insurance - 2013
Banking Financial Services & Insurance - 2013
Prepared By:
Darshan Gandhi
Adit Agrawal
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Contents
Banking................................................................................................................................................ 5
What is a bank? ................................................................................................................................... 5
How does a bank function? ................................................................................................................ 5
Financial analysis of a bank ................................................................................................................. 5
Balance sheet ...................................................................................................................................... 5
Income statement ............................................................................................................................... 7
Understanding the Business model of a bank .................................................................................... 8
The Banking Sector in India............................................................................................................... 11
Reserve Bank of India........................................................................................................................ 11
Major Banking Sector Reforms since 1991 ....................................................................................... 11
Commercial banks............................................................................................................................. 13
Specialized Banks .............................................................................................................................. 16
Institutional Banks ............................................................................................................................ 16
NBFCs ................................................................................................................................................ 16
Co-operative banks ........................................................................................................................... 16
Basel - Capital Accord Norms ............................................................................................................ 17
Basel I Norms .................................................................................................................................... 17
Basel II Norms ................................................................................................................................... 17
Basel III Norms .................................................................................................................................. 17
Major Differences between BASEL 2 and BASEL 3 Norms ................................................................ 18
Are Indian banks adequately prepared for migration to Basel III regime?....................................... 19
Classification of Assets ...................................................................................................................... 20
Provisioning of Assets ....................................................................................................................... 21
Menace of Rising NPAs ..................................................................................................................... 21
Corporate Debt Restructuring .......................................................................................................... 22
Financial Inclusion ............................................................................................................................. 23
Priority Sector Lending ...................................................................................................................... 23
Macroeconomic Factors affecting Banks .......................................................................................... 24
Current Account Deficit .................................................................................................................... 24
Poor Governance .............................................................................................................................. 24
Fiscal Deficit ...................................................................................................................................... 24
Inflation ............................................................................................................................................. 25
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GAAR ................................................................................................................................................. 26
Money Supply ................................................................................................................................... 26
Liquidity............................................................................................................................................. 27
Quantitative Easing (Bond Buying Program/Asset Purchase Program) ............................................ 28
RBI liquidity tightening measures ..................................................................................................... 28
Insurance........................................................................................................................................... 29
Classification of the insurance sector ............................................................................................... 29
Bank Insurance Model or Bancassurance ......................................................................................... 29
Overview of the insurance sector in India ........................................................................................ 30
New developments in the insurance industry .................................................................................. 31
Government Role in the Insurance Sector ........................................................................................ 31
Outlook for the Insurance Industry................................................................................................... 31
Non-Banking Financial Services ........................................................................................................ 33
The NBFC sector in India ................................................................................................................... 33
Regulations related to the NBFC sector in India ............................................................................... 35
Microfinance ..................................................................................................................................... 36
Mutual Funds .................................................................................................................................... 37
Other Financial Services .................................................................................................................... 38
RBI Credit and Monetary Policy ........................................................................................................ 39
Cash Reserve Ratio ............................................................................................................................ 39
Repo Rate .......................................................................................................................................... 39
Reverse Repo Rate ............................................................................................................................ 39
Statutory Liquidity Ratio ................................................................................................................... 39
Bank Rate .......................................................................................................................................... 40
Capital Adequacy Ratio(CAR) ............................................................................................................ 40
Other Financial Instruments ............................................................................................................. 41
Bonds and Debentures...................................................................................................................... 41
Commercial papers ........................................................................................................................... 41
The Indian Debt Market .................................................................................................................... 41
Outlook of the Indian Debt Market .................................................................................................. 41
Credit Ratings .................................................................................................................................... 42
Currency Exchange............................................................................................................................ 42
HDFC Bank......................................................................................................................................... 44
Yes Bank ............................................................................................................................................ 45
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Banking
The Banking sector is one of the most important sectors of the Indian economy. As such, it is highly
regulated with the responsibility being in the hands of The Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Given the
ability of the banking sector to affect the economy, this sector is one of the most regulated sectors
in India. A strong and viable banking industry is extremely necessary for economic progress while a
weak banking sector is a cause for problems in the economy. Banking is used for policy transmissions
and for sustaining economic growth.
What is a bank?
A bank is a financial institution which acts as an intermediary between borrowers and lenders. It
takes in deposits from lenders and gives it to borrowers. In the process, it earns the difference
between interest received from borrowers and interest paid to lenders.
Balance sheet
A banks balance sheet summarizes its assets and liabilities at any point of time. These terms are
explained below with respect to a bank's balance sheet.
Capital and Liabilities: These include the Banks net worth and the obligations of the bank to
external entities. These include
(a) Share Capital and Reserves and Surplus: Share Capital is the initial money put in by investors or
raised through an IPO, FPO or a rights issue. Reserves and Surplus includes net profit transferred to
the balance sheet.
(b) Deposits: There are four types of deposit accounts, these are
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i) Savings Account: This is the most basic account available with a bank. This is operated by
individuals who use it to deposit their money and operate the account with a cheque book. There is
generally a minimum balance requirement for these accounts with this amount differing based on
the location of the branch in which the account is located. The interest rate on these accounts was
fixed by RBI at 4% per annum, but was de-regulated in 2011 allowing banks to give higher rates of
interest. Currently banks like Yes Bank, Indusind Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank (to name a few) are
paying higher interest rates than the standard 4%. Interest on a savings account is calculated on a
daily basis.
ii) Current Account: This is an account mainly used by businesses and has very frequent deposits and
withdrawals. This account has no minimum balance and there is no limit on the number of
withdrawals in a current account. Interest is also not paid on a current account. These accounts also
allow for the facility of overdraft for businesses. This account is usually operated by means of cheque
books.
Savings account and current account are examples of demand deposit accounts.
iii) Recurring deposit Account: This type of account is mostly used by individuals who want the
benefits of a fixed deposit but do not have a lump sum to deposit at one time. Hence they deposit a
relatively small amount every month. The interest paid on recurring deposits is paid on the amount
that has been already deposited. The interest paid on these accounts is usually equal to the interest
paid on fixed deposits.
iv) Fixed deposit Account: This type of account reflects deposits that are made by depositing a lump
sum amount for a fixed tenure. The interest rates offered are the highest for this type of account.
This type of deposit is the most stable source of income for the bank.
Recurring deposit account and fixed deposit account are examples of term deposit accounts.
(c) Borrowings: In order to meet their obligations, banks also raise money through wholesale
funding. This includes funds borrowed from RBI or raised through the capital debt market via
instruments such as debentures, bonds, certificate of deposits, commercial papers and short term
borrowings from other banks and financial institutions. The cost of debt raised by banks depends
upon the credit rating of the bank. The cost of wholesale funding is generally high but banks raise
money through this method when they need funds for expansion but are unable to get them
through deposits which are a cheaper option. Banks may also raise funds from overseas debt market
to take advantage of low interest rates. Banks like HDFC Bank, Bank of India and SBI have recently
raised debt through this method.
(d) Other Liabilities and provisions: This includes bills payable, interest accrued, contingent
provisions against standard assets and proposed dividend (including tax on dividend).
Assets: An asset is a resource that leads to a future inflow of economic benefits. For a bank, assets
include (a) Fixed Assets: These include office buildings (if owned), furniture, computers and other items
such as ATM machines. However, it constitutes a very small part of assets for a bank because most
of its branches run on rent/lease.
(b) Loans and advances: Loan refers to money which is lent to a borrower by a bank. Banks charge
interest on loans and this is their primary source of income. An advance is money given to you now
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but to be taken out of money you would make in the future. Loans can be categorized into short
term/long term, secured/unsecured loans. These include mortgages, credit card loans, overdrafts
etc.
(c) Government Bonds and other approved securities: It is a statutory requirement that every bank
in India has to maintain a certain percentage of its deposits in the form of gold or approved
securities with the RBI. This requirement is known as statutory liquidity ratio (SLR). Currently the SLR
rate is 23%. The sanctioned upper limit for SLR is 40 %.
(d) Cash and cash equivalents and balances with RBI: This includes the cash that banks are required
to keep with RBI. This is known as the cash reserve ratio (CRR). Currently this is 4.00 %. Banks do not
earn any interest on this amount.
(e) Other assets: This includes investment made by banks and can be a source of income for the
bank.
Income statement
This is the banks Profit and Loss account, the various elements of which are given as:
(a) Interest income: The primary income of the bank comes from this category. This includes the
interest earned on loans and advances. This also includes interest on loans given to other financial
institutions and banks and deposits with the RBI, and any interest earned on bonds which the bank
owns.
(b) Non Interest income: This is income primarily derived from fees which the bank charges. This
includes deposit and transaction fees, annual fees (for services like credit cards), brokerage fees etc.
Non Interest is a less volatile form of income since it does not depend as much on interest rate
changes as interest income. A higher proportion leads to more stable earnings.
(c) Interest expense: This represents the interest paid by a bank on deposits, wholesale borrowings,
and loans taken from RBI or from other financial institutions.
(d) Operating expense: This includes expenses which are incurred in running the day to day
operations of the bank, namely costs like salaries, rent, depreciation, advertising etc.
(e) Provisions: Since not each and every loan will be paid back in full, banks have to make provisions
for these loans. Banks thus set aside a percentage of their income to account for these possible
losses. This ensures that the bank remains solvent and there are no sudden unexpected huge losses
to the bank. The amount set aside for provisioning depends on the size of a bank's assets and the
risk associated with each type of asset. The norms for provisioning are decided by the RBI.
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CASA ratio: As discussed earlier, there are many different types of deposit accounts available in a
bank. These include savings account, current account, term deposits (recurring and fixed deposit).
Out of these four accounts, the highest interest is paid on term deposits while the lowest interest is
paid on current and savings account. While most banks dont pay any interest on the current
account, they pay a low rate of interest on savings accounts. Hence, higher the CASA ratio, higher
the amount of cheap funds available to the bank, which means a higher operating efficiency due to
higher Net Interest Margin (NIM).
Let us now look at the balance sheet and P&L account of a bank in order to understand its
operations in a better manner.
The following table shows the various assets and liabilities listed under the balance sheet of a bank:
(Figures in Mn. INR)
Particulars
Average balance
Assets:
Cash and balances with RBI
635000
Loans Given: I
Housing Mortgage
1800000
600000
16000
8000000
4340000
347000
15103000
Fixed Assets
120000
Total Assets
15858000
Liabilities:
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Share Capital
20000
1400000
3500000
2100000
800000
Fixed Deposits
5300000
Borrowings: II
From RBI
80000
1500000
13280000
1158000
Total Liabilities
15858000
Since most of the income and expense of a bank is in the form of interest and the interest rates for
each type of asset or liability is known, a bank's balance sheet is very important and to a fairly large
extent determines its income statement. This is unlike other businesses where there is no direct
relation between balance sheet and the income statement and income and expenditure cannot be
estimated from balance sheet.
Now let us look at how the balance sheet may be used to estimate the income statement of a bank:
(Figures in Mn. INR)
Particulars
Average
balance
Assets:
Cash and balances with RBI
Loans Given: I
Housing Mortgage
Rate of Interest
Interest
Income /
(Expense)
635000
0.00%
1800000
11.50%
2,07,000
600000
12.30%
73,800
16000
8000000
4340000
20.00%
14.00%
8.00%
3,200
11,20,000
3,47,200
347000
9.00%
31,230
15103000
120000
11.80%
0.00%
17,82,430
0
Total Assets
15858000
Liabilities:
Share Capital
Reserves and Surplus
Interest Bearing liabilities (Deposits): I
20000
1400000
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17,82,430
0.00%
0.00%
3500000
2100000
800000
5300000
4.00%
0.00%
8.50%
9.00%
(1,40,000)
(68,000)
(4,77,000)
80000
1500000
13280000
1158000
7.25%
8.50%
6.16%
0.00%
(5,800)
(1,27,500)
(8,18,300)
-
Total Liabilities
15858000
(8,18,300)
Now we have the interest income and expense of bank from its balance sheet and it can be used to
construct its income statement as given. The values for interest income and expenditure have been
taken directly from the calculations done in the balance sheet.
(Figures in Mn. INR)
Particulars
Interest Earned
Interest Expenditure
Net Interest income
Other income
Current
17,82,430
8,18,300
9,64,130
1,58,000
Total Income
Operating expense
Provisions for bad debts
Total Expenditure
Earnings before Tax
Taxes
11,22,130
3,00,000
1,00,000
4,00,000
7,22,130
2,38,303
4,83,827
It is clearly visible from the above tables that most of the income of a bank comes from interest on
its assets and hence balance sheet is the most important accounting statement when evaluating a
bank. Hence, the size of bank depends upon the size of balance sheet.
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New banks licensed in private sector to inject competition in the system - 10 in 1993 and 2 more
in 2003. Another lot of new banks will be licensed in the next few months
Aggregate foreign investment (FDI, FII and NRI) up to 74% allowed in private sector banks
Listing of PSBs on stock exchanges and allowing them to access capital markets for augmenting
their equity, subject to maintaining Government shareholding at a minimum of 51%. Private
shareholders represented on the Board of PSBs
Progressive reduction in statutory pre-emption (SLR and CRR) to improve the resource base of
banks so as to expand credit available to private sector. SLR currently at 23% (38.5% in 1991) and
CRR at 4% (15% in 1991)
Adoption of international best practices in banking regulation. Introduction of prudential norms
on capital adequacy, IRAC (income recognition, asset classification, provisioning), exposure
norms etc.
Phased liberalisation of branch licensing. Banks can now open branches in Tier 2 to Tier 6
centres without prior approval from the Reserve Bank
Deregulation of a complex structure of deposit and lending interest rates to strengthen
competitive impulses, improve allocative efficiency and strengthen the transmission of
monetary policy
Base rate (floor rate for lending) introduced (July 2010). Prescription of an interest rate floor on
savings deposit rate withdrawn (October 2011)
Functional autonomy to PSBs
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Use of information technology to improve the efficiency and productivity, enhance the payment
and settlement systems and deepen financial inclusion
Improvements in the risk management culture of banks
Next are the various types of banking and non- banking financial institutions which function under
the guidelines laid by RBI.
The general overview of India's banking sector can be given as:
RBI
Commercial
Banks
Nationalize
d Banks
SBI and
Associate
Banks
Specialized
Banks
Foreign
Banks
Private
Sector
Banks
Old Private
Sector
Banks
New
Private
Sector
Banks
Regional
Rural Banks
Institutional
Banks
Non Banking
Financial
Institutions
Co-operative
Banks
Land
Mortgage
IFCI
Asset
Finance
companies
Primary
Credit
societies
Rural Credit
SFCs
Investment
companies
State Cooperative
banks
Industrial
Development
IRBI
Loan
companies
Central cooperative
banks
Housing
Finance
Infrastructure
Finance
companies
EXIM Bank
Systematically
important
core
investment
companies
NABARD
SIDBI
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Commercial banks
A commercial bank may be defined as a financial institution that provides services, such as accepting
deposits, giving business loans and auto loans, mortgage lending, and basic investment products like
savings accounts and certificates of deposit. In addition to giving short-term loans, commercial banks
also give medium-term and long-term loans to business enterprises.
Commercial banks are of the following five types:
Nationalized banks
SBI and associates
Regional rural banks
Private sector banks
Foreign banks
The distribution of deposits, credit given and national coverage is shown below:
Source: RBI, Quarterly Statistics on Deposits and Credit of Scheduled Commercial Banks: December 2012
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Source: RBI, Quarterly Statistics on Deposits and Credit of Scheduled Commercial Banks: December 2012
Source: RBI, Quarterly Statistics on Deposits and Credit of Scheduled Commercial Banks: December 2012
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The private banks, which existed and were not nationalized at the time of bank nationalization that
took place during 1969 and 1980, are known to be the old private sector banks. These were not
nationalized, because of their small size and regional focus. Some of the main old private sector
banks are Catholic Syrian Bank, Federal Bank, ING Vysya Bank, Dhanlaxmi Bank and Karnataka Bank.
These are the Private Banks which were set up post liberalization, with the introduction of reforms in
the banking sector. The entry of new private sector banks was permitted after the Banking
Regulation Act was amended. Banking licenses were given in two phases. In the first phase, in 1994
banks like HDFC and ICICI were given licenses. In the next round of bank licenses, in 2004 banks like
Yes Bank were set up. The prominent new private sector banks are HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank,
Yes Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank.
Foreign Banks
Foreign banks have their registered and head offices in a foreign country but operate their branches
in India. The RBI permits these banks to operate either through branches; or through wholly-owned
subsidiaries. The primary activity of most foreign banks in India has been in the corporate segment.
In addition to the entry of the new private banks in the mid-90s, the increased presence of foreign
banks in India has also contributed to boosting competition in the banking sector.
As of 31st March 2013, there were 43 Foreign Banks who had branches in India; 46 banks had
representative offices in India. There were a total of 331 branches of foreign banks in India with
Standard Chartered Bank (101) having the highest number of branches.
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Bank
Country Of
origin
Number of
Branches
UK
101
HSBC Limited
Hong Kong
50
Citibank N.A.
USA
42
Netherlands
31
Deutsche Bank
Germany
18
The other major foreign banks are DBS Bank, Barclays and BNP Paribas.
As per new Government regulations, foreign banks with more than 20 branches will have to conform
to priority sector lending norms of providing 40% credit to the priority sector which includes
agriculture, micro and small enterprises, education, housing and export credit.
Till recently, the 40% priority sector loan norm was applicable to local banks; for foreign banks it was
32%. Even within this, 12% could have been given as export credit. Now, the credit option has also
been removed and only export credit to the priority sector will be treated as priority sector credit.
The new norms come into effect from August, 2018.
Specialized Banks
There are some banks, which cater to the requirements and provide overall support for setting up
business in specific areas of activity. EXIM Bank, SIDBI and NABARD are examples of such banks.
They engage themselves in some specific area or activity and thus, are called specialized banks.
Institutional Banks
These are banks which were set up by the Government with the purpose of catering to the needs of
the Industry. These banks provide low cost funds to borrowers. Examples include institutions like
IFCI and the State Financial Corporations (SFCs).
NBFCs
Non-Banking Financial institutions or NBFCs are those financial institutions which provide financial
services without meeting the general definition of bank. These institutions do not hold a banking
license. Despite this, they provide a wide range of financial services and are regulated by the RBI.
NBFCs offer most of the services offered by the conventional banking system including loans and
credit facilities, education funding, retirement plans, wealth management and trading in money
markets. NBFCs can accept public deposits but they cannot demand deposits. NBFCs do not form a
part of the payment and settlement system and hence cannot issue cheques drawn on self. NBFCs
are discussed in more detail later in the report.
Co-operative banks
A co-operative bank is a financial entity which belongs to its members, who are at the same time the
owners and the customers of their bank. Co-operative banks are often created by persons belonging
to the same local or professional community or sharing a common interest. Co-operative banks
generally provide their members with a wide range of banking services (loans, deposits, banking
accounts, etc.). Co-operative banks are formed under the Co-operative societies act. Co-operative
banks are run on not for profit basis.
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Basel I Norms
In 1988, BCBS introduced capital measurement system called Basel capital accord, also called as
Basel I. It focused almost entirely on credit risk. It defined capital and structure of risk weights for
banks. The minimum capital requirement was fixed at 8% of risk weighted assets (RWA). RWA means
assets with different risk profiles. For example, an asset backed by collateral would carry lesser risks
as compared to personal loans, which have no collateral. The G-10 countries agreed to apply the
common minimum capital standards to their banking industries by end of 1992. India adopted Basel
I guidelines in 1999.
Basel II Norms
In June 2004, Basel II guidelines were published by BCBS, which were considered to be the refined
and reformed versions of Basel I accord. The guidelines were based on three parameters, which the
committee calls it as pillars:
1. Capital Adequacy Requirements: Banks should maintain a minimum capital adequacy
requirement of 8% of risk assets.
2. Supervisory Review: According to this, banks were needed to develop and use better risk
management techniques in monitoring and managing all the three types of risk that a bank faces,
viz. credit, market and operational risk.
3. Market Discipline: This needs increased disclosure requirements. Banks need to mandatorily
disclose their CAR, risk exposure, etc. to the central bank.
R) =
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Tier 1 Capital: Tier I capital is equal to sum of equity capital and disclosed reserves.
Tier 2 Capital: Tier 2 capital is secondary bank capital that includes items such as undisclosed
reserves, loss reserves, term debts etc.
Significance of Tier 1 and Tier 2 Capital:
Tier 1 capital absorbs losses without a bank being required to cease trading and
Tier 2 capital absorbs losses if the bank winds-up its business.
Thus, Capital adequacy ratio acts as a cushion in the event of loss or default, and protects the
depositors.
Basel III*
11.5%
4.5% to 7%
6%
2.5%
3%
0% to 2.5%
100%
100%
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(e) Leverage Ratio: A review of the financial crisis of 2008 has indicted that the value of many assets
fell quicker than assumed from historical experience. Thus, now Basel III rules include a leverage
ratio to serve as a safety net. A leverage ratio is the relative amount of Tier 1 capital to total assets
(not risk-weighted). This aims to put a cap on swelling of leverage in the banking sector on a global
basis. 3% leverage ratio of Tier 1 will be tested before a mandatory leverage ratio is introduced in
January 2018.
(f) Liquidity Ratios: Under Basel III, a framework for liquidity risk management will be created. A
new Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) and Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) are to be introduced in a
phased manner starting 2015 and 2018, respectively.
The goal of the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) is to ensure that banks have adequate, high quality
liquid assets to survive a short-term stress scenario. The definition of the standard is as follows:
.
stock of high-quality liquid assets
.
100%
total net cash outflows over the next 30 calendar days
The goal of the net stable funding ratio (NSFR) is to protect banks over a longer time horizon. The
net stable funding ratio promotes a sustainable maturity structure for assets and liabilities by
creating incentives for banks to use more stable funding sources.
available amount of stable funding
required amount of stable funding
100%
Available stable funding sources (ASF) include Capital, preferred stock with a maturity of more than
one year, liabilities with an effective maturity of more than one year, non-maturity deposits and
time deposits that would be expected to stay at the bank in periods of extended stress, the
proportion of wholesale funds that would be expected to stay at the bank in periods of extended
stress.
The building blocks of Basel III are by and large higher and better quality capital; an internationally
harmonised leverage ratio to constrain excessive risk taking; capital buffers which would be built up
in good times so that they can be drawn down in times of stress; minimum global liquidity
standards; and stronger standards for supervision, public disclosure and risk management.
Are Indian banks adequately prepared for migration to Basel III regime?
With Commercial banks having already adopted standardized approaches under Basel II, by and
large barring some, Indian Private Banks will be in a comfortable position to adjust to the new capital
rules both in terms of quantum and quality. However, Public Sector banks might find themselves on
a slippery ground, doubt is reinforced with the data of last quarter which has shown a significant
increase in NPAs in some of the Public Sector Banks.
According to RBI estimates, Indian Banks will need an additional capital of Rs 500,000 crores to meet
the Basel 3 norms. Out of this, the total equity capital would be Rs 175,000 crores while the rest
would be non-equity capital. Government Banks would require Rs 90,000 crores of infusion from the
Government in the form of equity if it has to retain its present ownership of Public Sector Banks.
Basel III requires higher and better quality capital and since, the cost of equity capital is high. The
average Return on Equity (RoE) of the Indian banking system for the last three years has been
approximately 14%. Implementation of Basel III is expected to result in a decline in Indian banks' RoE
in the short-term.
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Classification of Assets
1. Standard Assets:
Assets which do not disclose any problem and do not carry more than the normal risk attached to
the business. Such assets are not non-performing assets.
2. Non-performing Assets (NPA)
The definition of NPA as given by RBI is an asset, which ceases to generate income for a bank.
Hence it is a loan, the payment of which is unlikely to be received. Any loan is recognized as NPA
only when the receipt of payment for it 'remains due' for a specified period of time.
A NPA is a loan or advance where:
a. Interest or instalment remains overdue for over 90 days in case of a term loan.
b. The account remains 'out of order' in case of overdraft/cash credit facility. A current account is
treated as 'out of order' if outstanding balance is in excess of sanctioned limits or when it is
within sanctioned limits and there are no credits for 90 days or are not enough to cover the
charges for interest debited.
c. The bill remains overdue for a period of more than 90 days in the case of bills purchased and
discounted.
d. Agricultural loans are classified as NPAs, if, for short duration crops, instalment of principal or
interest remains overdue for two crop seasons; for long duration crops, this period is taken to be
one crop season.
e. In case of derivative and liquidity transactions, if the dues for these remain unpaid for 90 days.
According to norms, any income received from NPAs is recorded only when it is received.
Banks are required to classify non-performing assets further into the following three categories
based on the period for which the asset has remained non-performing and the realisability of the
dues:
a. Sub-standard assets:
A sub-standard asset would be one, which has remained NPA for a period less than or equal to 12
months. Such an asset will have well defined credit weaknesses that jeopardise the liquidation of the
debt and is characterised by the distinct possibility that the banks will sustain some loss, if
deficiencies are not corrected.
b. Doubtful assets:
An asset would be classified as doubtful if it has remained in the substandard category for a period
of 12 months. A loan classified as doubtful has all the weaknesses inherent in assets that were
classified as sub-standard, with the added characteristic that the weaknesses make collection or
liquidation in full - on the basis of currently known facts, conditions and values - highly questionable
and improbable.
c. Loss assets:
An asset would be considered as a loss asset if loss has been identified by the bank or by internal /
external auditors or by RBI inspection, but the amount has not been written off, wholly or in part.
Such assets are considered uncollectible and of so little value that their continuance as bankable
assets is not warranted, even though there may be some salvage or recovery value.
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Provisioning of Assets
Provisioning Coverage Ratio (PCR) - 70% is essentially the ratio of provisioning to gross nonperforming assets and indicates the extent of funds a bank has kept aside to cover loan losses so
that it does not find itself out of cash when that asset is actually written-off.
According to RBI Norms, Sub-standard assets require a provision of 15%, doubtful assets, depending
on their age, carry a provision of 25%-100%, while banks are required to make 100% provision for
loss assets.
Profitability: Declining net interest margins (NIMs), rising credit costs, money getting blocked
due to a weak macro-economic environment, large rupee depreciation, vulnerability of a large
number of infrastructure projects and the rising yields will have significant bearing on the
earnings and asset quality of the banks. The profitability of bank decreases not only by the
amount of NPAs but NPAs lead to opportunity cost as well equivalent to profit from this
projected invested in some other return earning project/asset. So NPAs not only affect current
profit but also future stream of profit, which may lead to loss of some long-term beneficial
opportunity. Another impact of reduction in profitability is low RoI (return on investment), which
adversely affects the current earning of a bank.
Liquidity: Money gets blocked; decreased profit leads to lack of enough cash at hand which
leads to borrowing money for shortest period of time which leads to an additional cost to the
company. Difficulty in operating the functions of a bank due to lack of money is another impact
of NPAs.
Involvement of management: Time and efforts of management is another indirect cost which
bank has to bear due to NPAs. Time and efforts of management in handling and managing NPAs
would have diverted to some fruitful activities, which would have given good returns. Nowadays
banks have special employees to deal and handle NPAs, which is an additional cost to the bank.
Public Sentiment: There is a definite loss of faith associated with the NPA numbers rising and
this cannot be compensated by larger profits. See SBI & its NPA Story for more information:
State Bank of India (SBI), the country's largest lender, topped the list of banks with the highest gross
NPAs (in percentage terms) during the quarter among BSE-Bankex constituents (13 Banks). The gross
NPA to advances for SBI, which has seen a steady increase in bad loans, surged to 5.56% in AprilJune, the highest since the quarter ending March 2011. Gross NPAs have increased 81 basis points
(0.81%) for SBI during the quarter. Private sector banks have not seen much deterioration in asset
quality and have managed to maintain their NPAs at low levels.
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Financial Inclusion
Financial Inclusion is the process of ensuring access to appropriate financial products and services
needed by all sections of the society in general and vulnerable groups such as weaker sections and
low income groups in particular at an affordable cost in a fair and transparent manner by
mainstream institutional players.
Key Regulatory Points
Domestic Scheduled Commercial Banks have been permitted to freely open branches in Tier 2 to Tier
6 centres. Banks have been mandated to open 25 % of all new branches in unbanked rural centres. It
will end up giving an extreme impetus to the industry as whole, its reach and scope will strengthen
its image and provide solidarity in bad times. Moreover, it will find many new applications for the
banks apart from its regular day to day functionalities. However, it will pinch its bottom line in the
short term and if banks are unable to achieve operational efficiency it will become a huge burden for
the industry.
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Poor Governance
Government of India has largely been unable to boost the investment sentiments for domestic as
well as foreign investors. With scams becoming every day news and the magnitude breaking all
ceilings, India finds itself in a very precarious situation where a robust structural change is required
to make ends meet, however what has been proposed falls largely out of place as they lack the
complete majority to ensure their clearances. Also, scams and out of place regulations have created
a lot of stress on the banks assets as more often than not they end up turning into NPAs, moreover
there is an added pressure of credit downgrades across sectors, none of which is uncorrelated to our
Banking Industry. There have been many fiscal incentive initiatives which impinges the countrys
exchequer quite hard like MGNREGA, Food Security Bill etc. which diverts the money from the
market to fund these activities and thus reducing the overall supply of money and subsequently
increasing the cost of capital in the market.
Fiscal Deficit
Every year, the Government puts out a plan for its income and expenditure for the coming year. This
is known as the annual Union Budget. A budget is said to have a fiscal deficit when the Government's
expenditure exceeds its income. When faced with deficits governments have one of the two options:
To raise money through taxes in order to bridge the deficit
To borrow more money in order to meet its spending requirements
Economic effects of fiscal deficit
The size of fiscal deficit has substantial effect on the economy of the India. While small amounts of
fiscal deficits generally have a positive effect on the economy, large amounts are detrimental for the
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health of the economy. A large fiscal deficit is a hindrance to economic growth. Governments
generally borrow more money thereby leading to a shortage of funds for the industry and a rise in
interest rates. This hurts industrial growth in the country. Governments can also resort to printing
money to pay off their debts and this could also increase inflation.
The Indian Situation
Indias fiscal deficit has remained high for the past six years and has exceeded budget estimates.
From a low of 3.17% of the GDP in 2007-08 it has climbed to 4.89 % in 2012-13. Coupled with a high
inflation, this has adversely affected the economic growth in the country.
Indias fiscal deficit during the April13-July13 period was Rs. 3.41 trillion ($50.91 billion), or 62.8%
of the full-year target (4.8% of GDP). Net tax receipts for the first four months of the current fiscal
year to March 2014 touched Rs1.45 trillion while total expenditure was Rs5.21 trillion.
The high interest rate along with lack of investments in the productive sectors of the economy has
brought economic growth in the country to a 10 year low. The most worrying fact about this
situation is that most of the deficit is due to high government spending on payment of interest on its
debts, which effectively means that the deficit is not leading to any productive activity. Another
downside associated with a high deficit is that rating agencies have threatened to downgrade Indias
sovereign credit ratings. This would mean India losing its investment grade status (it has the lowest
investment grading, BBB-). This would mean flight of foreign capital from India and pushing
borrowing costs even higher which is not good for economic growth.
Inflation
Effect of Inflation on Banking of India
Inflation figures released by the government based on the Wholesale Price Index WPI climbed to
5.79% for July 2013 as compared to the same month in 2012. The globally more preferred Consumer
Price Index (CPI) - that is calculated by looking at prices at retail markets, from where consumers buy
goods is no longer the main marker of inflation (what is called as headline inflation) by the
government was considerably high at 9.87%.
The rate of food inflation in particular has been high for quite a long period, with latest figures in July
(WPI) showing a near 12% increase in prices since a year ago. Vegetable prices in particular have
shown a whopping 47% increase over the year, so much so, that news reports point out that even
middle class families have cut down on their vegetable expenses, and are narrowing down their
preferred diet. With depreciation of rupee, it will increase further. Inflation is one the major factors
which affects Indian Economy on a very vast scale and scope. Higher inflation has led to a
depreciating currency vis-a-vis its counterpart.
Inflation has a profound effect on the sentiments and savings-investment pattern of households of
the country, a higher inflation leaves less with people to save or invest, moreover with high inflation
people demand more of their investments and savings pushing the cost of deposit in the upward
direction. Also, they become more risk averse and has tendency to rely more on physical assets
rather than on financial assets. For example, there is huge demand for gold in our country which has
made our Balance of Payments (BoP) go out of sync and has led to huge currency depreciations and
it also makes the money unavailable for other productive purposes.
High Inflation is thus a major worry for RBI. So, RBI frames its monetary policies in a manner which
has a focus of having a balancing act between growth and inflation and the same has a direct impact
on the funding rates available to banks and subsequently the economy.
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GAAR
GAAR stands for General Anti Avoidance Rules. GAAR provides the tax authorities the power to deny
tax benefits to any entity if it has carried out a transaction with the sole intention of tax avoidance.
GAAR also proposes to tax investments coming in through the Mauritius route into India. Mauritius
is the largest source of foreign investments into India, because of a double taxation treaty between
India and Mauritius. Another problem with GAAR is that the onus lies on the assessee to prove that
there was no tax avoidance related to a transaction.
Implications for India
The proposal to tax investments from Mauritius has scared off the foreign investors who invest into
India mainly through the Mauritius route due to a double taxation treaty. Moreover investors from
other countries also fear being unjustly targeted by what they see is an unjust tax law. Hence if
GAAR is implemented, there is expected to be a decrease in foreign investment in the country
leading to a slowdown in the economy which would adversely affect the banking sector.
However, implementation of GAAR has been postponed to 1st April, 2016.
Money Supply
M1 (Narrow Money): Currency notes and coins with public ( excluding cash in hand of all banks)
+ Demand deposit (excluding interbank deposit) + Deposit held with RBI ( excluding IMF,PF,
guarantee fund & adhoc liabilities
M2 = M1 + Saving deposit with post office saving bank
M3 (Broad Money) = M1 + Time deposit of commercial bank & cooperative bank (excluding
inter-bank deposit) + It includes net bank credit to government +bank credit to commercial
sector + net foreign exchange assets + government currency liability to the public.
The M3 money supply as on 9th August, 2013 was 87,69,700 crores out of which 13% is currency held
by the public and rest are the time and demand deposits with the banks.
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Interest Rates
10.00%
9.00%
8.00%
6.00%
6.00%
5.00%
6.50%
7.25%
4.50%
4.00%
2.00%
0.10%
0.25%
0.50%
0.50%
0.00%
Source: www.fxstreet.com
Liquidity
It is one of the most important concern for banks in emerging countries where there always dearth
of liquidity in the market. Liquidity in our country is mainly governed by RBI which has many tools in
its arsenal to tackle and control liquidity in the market like CRR, SLR and open market operations.
Banks in India have to abide by specific requirements every fortnight when their respective ratios
are checked. Banks falling short of money use windows (LAF and MSF) and instruments (money
market instruments) provided by RBI or otherwise to cater to these requirements.
Some measures are:
1. Liquidity adjustment facility (LAF)
Banks borrow money from Reserve bank of India to meet short term needs through repurchase
agreements. Borrowing is taken out by auction process with interest rate of 7.25%. The maximum
amount of money that can be borrowed under this facility is capped at 0.5% of NDTL to restrict
liquidity in the banking system.
2. Collateralized Borrowing and Lending Obligation (CBLO)
A discounted instrument available in electronic book entry form with maturity period ranging
from one day to ninety Days (can be made available up to one year as per RBI guidelines). A
product developed by CCIL for the benefit of the entities who have either been phased out from
interbank call money market or have been given restricted participation in terms of ceiling on call
borrowing and lending transactions and who do not have access to the call money market. The
CBLO interest rates were 10.20% (as of EOD 2nd September 2013).
3. Marginal Standing Facility (MSF)
Banks can borrow up to 2% of their respective Net Demand and Time Liabilities" after
exhausting 0.5% of LAF window. This scheme is likely to reduce volatility in the overnight rates
and improve monetary transmission. It is used over and above the LAF window as it does not
require collateral as in the case of LAF. The current interest rate of MSF has been set to 10.25%.
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Insurance
Insurance is a hedging mechanism wherein a large number of parties come together to share risk by
the pooling of resources. All the parties involved in pooling pay a certain amount of money or
premium to a third party generally called the insurer. The amount of premium paid is commensurate
with the risk involved and the value of the asset insured. Insurance can be obtained for things like
automobiles, home, health, accident, sickness, unemployment, life, credit and many other types of
insurance. Any risk associated with any of these may be insured by paying a premium. This collective
risk bearing is called insurance.
Life Insurance: This type of insurance is for long term. This protects an individual against risk of
death. It ensures financial security for the family members of the insured in case of his death,
but also provides attractive investment and tax benefit options. Within life insurance a large no
of options are also available and any potential customer has the flexibility to choose from them
based on his requirements and priorities.
General Insurance: This type of insurance is for short term. This is for insuring property and
casualty against some unforeseen events which result in a financial loss for the insured. This
provides compensation to the individual in case of losses, to the extent of the loss suffered by
the individual.
Re Insurance: It is the insurance that is purchased by an insurance company to mitigate some of
the risks associated with its insurance business.
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The proposed increase in FDI limit to 49% in the insurance sector would provide insurance
companies with much needed capital needed for expansion and would boost insurance density
in India.
Government spending on health sector during the 12th five year plan is expected to be around
2% of the GDP from the current 1%. This would increase the total expenditure on health to 4% of
GDP.
Health insurance accounts for only 10% of overall healthcare spending of $30B in India. This
leaves for lot of scope for development in this area. Only 5% of the total population of India has
health cover compared to almost 75% in USA and only 6% have life insurance.
The insurance penetration in the country stands at around 4% for life insurance and 0.75% for nonlife insurance of the countrys GDP in terms of total premium written annually. This is way below the
insurance penetration in the developed countries. According to CII estimates, insurance industry is
set to grow at the rate of 5% for FY2013-14 of which major growth driver would be non life
insurance.
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Asset Finance Company (AFC): AFC is defined as any company which is engaged in financing of
physical assets supporting economic activity like automobiles, tractors and machines etc.
Principal business for this purpose is defined as aggregate of financing real/physical assets
supporting economic activity and income arising there from is not less than 60% of its total
assets and total income respectively.
Investment Company (IC): An investment company means any company which is a financial
institution carrying on as its principal business the acquisition of securities.
Loan Company (LC): LC is a company which is a financial institution carrying on as its principal
business the providing of finance whether by making loans or advances or otherwise for any
activity other than its own. This does not include companies in financing of physical assets which
are different.
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Infrastructure Finance Companies (IFC): An IFC is defined as non-deposit taking NBFC that fulfils
the criteria mentioned below:
o A minimum of 75 % of its total assets should be deployed in infrastructure loans
o Net owned funds of Rs. 300 Crore or above
o Minimum credit rating 'A' or equivalent of CRISIL, FITCH, CARE, ICRA or equivalent rating by
any other accrediting rating agencies
o CRAR of 15 % with tier 1 capital at 10%
Infrastructure Debt Fund: Non- Banking Financial Company (IDF-NBFC): IDF-NBFC is a company
registered as NBFC to facilitate the flow of long term debt into infrastructure projects. IDF-NBFC
raise resources through issue of Rupee or Dollar denominated bonds of minimum 5 year
maturity. Only Infrastructure Finanace Companies (IFC) can sponsor IDF-NBFCs.
Non-Banking Financial Company: Micro Finance Institution (NBFC-MFI): NBFC-MFI is a nondeposit taking NBFC having not less than 85% of its assets in the nature of qualifying assets
which satisfy the following criteria:
o loan disbursed by an NBFC-MFI to a borrower with a rural household annual income not
exceeding Rs. 60,000 or urban and semi-urban household income not exceeding Rs.
1,20,000;
o loan amount does not exceed Rs. 35,000 in the first cycle and Rs. 50,000 in subsequent
cycles;
o total indebtedness of the borrower does not exceed Rs. 50,000;
o tenure of the loan not to be less than 24 months for loan amount in excess of Rs. 15,000
with prepayment without penalty;
o loan to be extended without collateral;
o aggregate amount of loans, given for income generation, is not less than 75 per cent of the
total loans given by the MFIs;
o loan is repayable on weekly, fortnightly or monthly instalments at the choice of the
borrower
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Microfinance
Microfinance is usually understood to entail the provision of financial services to microentrepreneurs and small businesses, which lack access to banking and related services due to the
high transaction costs associated with serving these client categories. The two main mechanisms for
the delivery of financial services to such clients are
i.
relationship-based banking for individual entrepreneurs and small businesses; and
ii.
group-based models, where several entrepreneurs come together to apply for loans and
other services as a group.
All MFIs will have to register themselves with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The central bank can
specify lending rates and margins that can be charged by an MFI, the recovery methods to be
followed, the processing fees, the tenure and ceiling of the loan. They generally dole out petty loans
with interest rates in the range of 24%-36%. Some of the Indian Microfinance Giants are SKS,
ShriKshetraDharmasthala Rural Development Project, Cashpor Micro Credit (CMC) etc.
AP (Andhra Pradesh) act & its implication on Microfinance Institutions
In October 2010, the Government of Andhra Pradesh issued the Andhra Pradesh Microfinance
Institutions (Regulation of Money Lending) Ordinance, 2010 (passed into law in December 2010)
which effectively shut down all private sector microfinance operations in the state. The passage of
this act dealt a major blow to the entire microfinance industry across India since Andhra Pradesh,
which is widely regarded as the birthplace of private sector microfinance in India, accounted for 30%
of all loans by MFIs across India according to some estimates. RBI is working on fixing the upper limit
for interest rates in the range of 24-26% for MFIs.
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Mutual Funds
A mutual fund is a trust that pools money taken from a large number of investors, who themselves
do not have the skills or the resources to invest money in the financial markets. The money collected
is invested the fund managers in financial instruments such as equities, debt instruments etc. The
income earned by this investment is then shared among the investors in the proportion of their
investment in the fund, after charging of the necessary fees by the fund.
Mutual funds may be open end or closed end funds, the definitions for which are given as follows:
Open end funds: Open end funds are those mutual funds in which investors may invest and
withdraw at any time. These are the most common type of mutual funds.
Closed end Funds: Close end funds are those mutual funds in which the investors money is
locked in for a particular period. Investors who want their money back cannot get it back
directly from the fund. They will have to sell their assets in the funds to other investors.
Mutual funds industry in India
The first mutual fund in India was the Unit Trust of India (UTI) set up in 1963. Privatisation was
allowed in 1993. As of now there are over 44 mutual funds operating in India. The regulatory body
for mutual funds in India is SEBI. The total assets under management for the industry are Rs 832,572
crores.
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Private Equity
Private equity funds are typically closed-end funds, which usually take controlling equity stakes
in businesses that are either private, or taken private once acquired. Private equity funds often
use leveraged buyouts (LBOs) to acquire the firms in which they invest. The most successful
private equity funds can generate returns significantly higher than provided by the equity
markets. Greater activity in this segment supports Banking Institutions as they very often use
debt in their deals; also they create a very sound environment of investment which indirectly
boosts requirement for BIs. Ex- Warburg Pincus, Blackstone, etc.
Conglomerates
A financial services conglomerate is a financial services firm that is active in more than one
sector of the financial services market e.g. life insurance, general insurance, health insurance,
asset management, retail banking, wholesale banking, investment banking, etc. A key rationale
for the existence of such businesses is the existence of diversification benefits that are present
when different types of businesses are aggregated i.e. bad things don't always happen at the
same time. As a consequence, economic capital for a conglomerate is usually substantially less
than economic capital is for the sum of its parts. Ex Indiabulls, India Infoline, MotilalOswal etc.
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Repo Rate
When banks have any shortage of funds, they can borrow it from RBI or from other banks. The rate
at which the RBI lends money to commercial banks is called repo rate, a short term for repurchase
agreement. Repo is a collateralized lending i.e. the banks which borrow money from RBI to meet
short term needs have to sell securities, usually bonds to RBI with an agreement to repurchase the
same at a predetermined rate and date. In this way for the lender of the cash (usually RBI) the
securities sold by the borrower are the collateral against default risk and for the borrower of cash
(usually commercial banks) cash received from the lender is the collateral. A reduction in the repo
rate will help banks to get money at a cheaper rate. When the repo rate increases borrowing from
RBI becomes more expensive. Current Repo Rate = 7.25%
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pump more money into the economy, while a cut on the SLR increases the cash available with bank
which it can use to lend to borrowers. Current SLR= 23%.
Bank Rate
It is the rate of interest which a central bank charges on the loans and advances that it extends to
commercial banks and other financial intermediaries. It is however, different from repo rate. While
repo rate is on short term borrowings, bank rate is for long term borrowings. A high bank rate
pushes up interests on loans and hence slows down the economy. It can however also be an
inflation control mechanism used by the central bank. Current Bank Rate is 10.25%
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Commercial papers
Commercial papers (CP) are unsecured money market instruments issued in the form of a
promissory note. These are short term borrowings and are issued for a minimum period of 7 days to
maximum period of one year. The issuer of the CP should obtain credit rating from suitable credit
agency and for issuing CP; the minimum credit rating should be A-2. These are issued at discount to
face value.
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market is important for efficient management and issue of debt by government while robust
corporate debt market plays critical role in supporting economic development. Indian capital debt
market is currently of the size of debt market is currently of 50,96,478 crores. Out of this, corporate
debt market constitutes only 5.71% of this debt market.
According to a Goldman Sachs report the Indian capital debt market has potential to reach $1.5
trillion in 2016. In line with this policy the government has hiked the FII limit for G-Secs by $5 Billion
to $30 Billion. Out of these $30Billion- $10B would be in short term securities and $20B would be in
long term securities. The FII limits for corporate debt market is $51B out of which $25B should be in
infrastructure sector.
Credit Ratings
A credit rating is a measure to evaluate the credit worthiness of a debtor. The debtor generally
includes a company or a sovereign government. The process involves assessing the issuers capacity
to generate cash from operations and assessing whether this cash would be able to service the
obligations of the issuer regarding the debt issued by him. Credit ratings are issued by credit rating
agencies. The globally accepted credit rating agencies are Standard and Poors, Moodys and Fitch.
Ratings are issued for short term as well as for long term debt. There are also specific Indian rating
agencies like CRISIL, ICRA and CARE etc.
The procedure of assigning credit rating to a company involves estimating making estimates of both
business risk, financial risk and industrial risk.
Business risk: The business risk that an issuer is exposed to is a combination of the industry risk
in its major product segments and its competitive position within the industry
Industry risk: This relates to the attractiveness of the industry of the industry in which the issuer
operates. The aspects examined include expected demand and supply situation, intensity of
competition, and overall outlook for the industry.
Financial risk: The objective in this case is to determine the debt profile and financial risk profile.
Some of the parameters to do this are operating profit, leverage, debt service coverage ratios,
working capital analysis, cash flow analysis, accounting quality, off balance sheet liabilities etc.
Currency Exchange
One of the functions of a central bank entails controlling the forex market by making interventions
to maintain the stability of the exchange rate. Different countries have different type of mechanisms
for determining the exchange rate of the currency. Some of the different exchange rate regimes are:
Floating Exchange Rate
A floating exchange rate or fluctuating exchange rate is a type of exchange rate regime wherein a
currency's value is allowed to fluctuate according to the foreign exchange market. In this case the
exchange rate is determined by market forces. As floating exchange rates automatically adjust, they
enable a country to dampen the impact of shocks and foreign business cycles. Even in float there are
different types of regimes such as free float and managed float. Free float is when the central bank
does not intervene in any way to control the exchange rate in case of appreciation or depreciation of
the currency. Managed float is when the currency is allowed to float, but the central bank may and
does intervene to control the exchange rate, through open market operations if the currency
appreciates or depreciates more than what the central deems not harmful for the economy. The
USA has a free float while India has a managed float regime.
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HDFC Bank
HDFC Bank was incorporated on August 1994 by the name of 'HDFC Bank Limited', with its registered
office in Mumbai, India. HDFC Bank commenced operations as a Scheduled Commercial Bank in
January 1995. The Housing Development Finance Corporation (HDFC) was amongst the first to
receive an 'in principle' approval from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to set up a bank in the private
sector, as part of the RBI's liberalization of the Indian Banking Industry in 1994.
HDFC showed a strong net profit growth of 30.18 (YoY) in line with its long term trend of 32% CAGR
growth over the past 10 years. The CASA which is the main source of low cost funds for a bank stood
at 47.43% which is one of the best in industry keeping its NIM (net interest margin) high at 4.5%. Net
NPA for HDFC bank was also very low at 0.2% indicating the prudent provisioning by the
management and good assessment while giving out loans. Credit to deposit ratio also showed
improvement of 171 bps and now stands at 80.92%. Non Interest Income also showed a robust
growth of 18.4 percent year on year driven by commission, exchange and brokerage income (19.8%
growth YoY) which forms the majority of the non interest income. The high P/B ratio of 4.41 can be
explained by continuous high growth that the stock is showing consistently for the last 10 year.
The fundamentals of the company remain solid with excellent operational efficiency. This makes
HDFC a good long term investment.
Market Cap
Price
P/E
P/BV
Net Interest Income (%)
CASA (%)
Net NPA (%)
147317.27
616.3
22.32
4.41
4.18
47.4
0.2
22.74
43.1
17.13
8.08
8.54
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28.27
5.5
16.8
11.1
5.7
Yes Bank
Yes Bank, incorporated in 2004 by Rana Kapoor and Late Ashok Kapur, is a new age private sector
bank. Since inception Yes Bank has fructified into a Full Service Commercial Bank that has steadily
built Corporate and Institutional Banking, Financial Markets, Investment Banking, Corporate Finance,
Branch Banking, Business and Transaction Banking, and Wealth Management business lines across
the country, and is well equipped to offer a range of products and services to corporate and retail
customers.
Higher interest income and robust loan growth helped Yes Bank report a 38 percent jump in net
profit at Rs 401 crore in the April-June quarter. The private sector bank had posted a profit of Rs 290
crore in the year-ago quarter. Net interest income (difference between interest earned and spent)
increased 40 percent at Rs 659 crore on the back of higher margins and advances growth. Other
income rose 53 percent to Rs 442 crore. During the quarter, the net interest margin increased to 3
percent, against 2.8 percent in the corresponding quarter last fiscal. As on June 30, 2013, total
advances grew 24 percent year-on-year to Rs 47,898 crore. Deposit growth was higher by 30 percent
at Rs 65,245 crore. Gross non-performing assets (NPAs), or bad loans, dipped marginally to 0.22
percent (0.28 percent). Net NPAs also fell to 0.03 percent (from 0.06 percent). However,
provisioning during the quarter trebled to Rs 97 crore (Rs 30 crore). Capital adequacy ratio, as per
Basel III norms, declined to 15.4 percent (17 percent).
Despite strong first quarter results, the RBI short-term liquidity tightening measures announced has
adversely impacted the banks scrip and stock is on a high watch alert.
Market Cap
Price
P/E
P/BV
Net Interest Income (%)
CASA (%)
Net NPA (%)
Shareholding Pattern
Promoter
Institutions
Non - Institutions
Bodies Corporates
Individual Shareholders
10550.42
292.75
11.82
2.65
2.57
18.95
0.01
25.64
61.71
12.64
1.91
9.45
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36.27
6
18.3
9.5
8.8
Sector Outlook
Banking and Financial Services
Sector Outlook: Negative
Driving Factors:
RBI Announcements CRR, LAF and MSF
RBI has asked Banks to maintain a minimum daily CRR balance of 99% of the requirement up
from a minimum of 70% earlier.
MSF Rate has been hiked from Repo + 100 bps to Repo + 300 bps (wef 15 July 13).
Each bank can now borrow 0.5% of their net demand and time liabilities (NDTL) through LAF
(wef 24 July 13).
This has resulted in driving overnight rates (say Call, Mibor) towards the 10.25% marginal
standing facility (MSF) rate.
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Insurance
The Indian Insurance sector has a high growth potential majorly on account of increasing middle
class and disposable income, increasing awareness and very low penetration. Indian insurance
industry will get a huge boost if proposal to pass FDI (49% from 26%) is passed in Rajya Sabha.
Additionally, easing of norms and opening up of avenues of investment by IRDA and Finance
Ministry will increase the return for insurance companies over their assets.
Key Takeaway
As India is suffering through a rough macro-economic environment - low growth, high CAD, high
Fiscal Deficit, high inflation, depreciating INR - the highest impact is being felt by the Indian Banking
sector. Now, the expectations from the new RBI Governor have increased and this is something that
will be very closely monitored by investors, both domestic and international.
So, now the focus in the next quarter shall be on investing in the right stocks (stocks having a low
dependence on wholesale borrowing, better credit portfolio) rather than the sector as a whole. As
and when more clarity starts coming in from RBI and Fed, investors shall start forming a firm
direction for the market.
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