MC Shri Final

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
India has a well developed banking system. Most of the banks in India were founded
by Indian entrepreneurs and visionaries in the pre-independence era to provide
financial assistance to traders, agriculturists and budding Indian industrialists. Indian
banks have played a significant role in the development of Indian economy by
inculcating the habit of saving in Indians and by lending finance to Indian industry.
CNX Bank Index is an index comprised of the most liquid and large capitalized
Indian Banking stocks. It provides investors and market intermediaries with a
benchmark that captures the capital market performance of Indian Banks. The index
will have 12 stocks from the banking sector which trade on the National Stock
Exchange.
The project titled Fluctuations In Banking Stocks deals with the study of the
analysis and the performance of the listed companies of Bankex.
The Banking Companies are

Bank of India
HDFC
ICICI
State Bank of India (SBI)
Canara Bank
The information regarding the same was collected through various sources like
website, books and internet sources.
The performance and the behavior of share price movements for the period of 2nd Jan
2006 to 29th Dec the companies under the above mentioned Banking Companies are
analyzed using the Technical analysis, there Beta and Alpha testing, Five days
Moving average and simple charts and smooth line graphs.
Design of the Study
Introduction
The project titled Fluctuations In Banking Stocks deals with the study of the
analysis and the performance of the listed companies of Bankex.
Analyzing the performance of each company. It will also be helpful for retail investor
and trader in a companys shares.
Objectives of the study
To know the variations in Banking Stocks.

Effect of Banking Index on these Banking Stocks.
Forecasting of these on the basis of our study.
To carry our Technique analysis.
Outcomes and Benefit of the Study:
As my study is Fluctuations in Banking Stocks its related to some

listed companies which are regularly traded on CNX Bankex and also an
Bankex effect on these Banking companies.
Out of five scripts which are studied and analyzed, three are performing well
(Bank of India, SBI, Canara Bank) and other banks show (ICICI, HDFC)
volatility in prices they can be considered good for Speculation.
LIMITATIONS
As for as possible I have put in my best efforts to collect the data in the course of the
entire study.
Throughout the study, I found some of limitations, which are
The study is restricted to the period of one year.
The Study has been done by selected sectors.
The stocks are not traded all the trading days hence the analysis may not give
100% clear picture.
Methodology of data Collection

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Source of Data
As my study is mainly depend on past datas the availability of
information is mostly secondary data.
Primary data: the information thus gathered is an unstructured
interview which is going to ask to brokers.
Secondary data: all the information is collected thru internet sources
and news paper.
Tools and Techniques of Data Collection

Internet
Broachers of the companies
News papers
Introduction
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Investment is the sacrifice of certain present value for the uncertain future
reward. An investment decision is a trade-off between risk and return. All investment
choices are made at points of time in accordance with the personal investment ends and
in contemplation of an uncertain future. Since investment in securities are revocable,
investment ends are transient and investment environment is fluid, the reliable bases for
reasoned expectations become more and more vague as one conceives of the distant
future. Investments in securities will, therefore from time to time, re-appraise and
re-evaluate their various investment commitments in the light of new information,
changed expectations and ends.
There are basically 3 concepts of investment:

1. Economic investment- That is, an economists definition of investment.
2. Investment in a more general or extended sense, which is used by the
common man.
3. Financial investment-means an exchange of financial claims-stocks and bonds
(which are collectively called securities), real estate etc.
Stock exchanges are intricately inter-woven in the fabric of nations economic life. Of
all the modern service institutions, stock exchanges are perhaps the most crucial agent
and facilitators of entrepreneurial progress. After the industrial revolution, as the size of
business enterprises grew, it was no longer possible for proprietors or even partnerships
to raise large amounts of money required for undertaking entrepreneurial ventures, such
huge requirement of capital could only be met by the participation of very large number
of investors; their number running into hundreds, thousands and millions, depending on
the size of the business ventures.
It is not always possible to find buyers of an entire business or even a part of business,
just when one wishes to sell it. Similarly, it is not easy for some one with savings,
especially with a small amount of savings, to readily find an appropriate business
opportunity, or a part there of, for investment. This implies that ownership in business
has to be Broken up into a large number of small units, such that each unit may be

independently and easily bought and sold without hampering the business activities as
such.
This end is achieved in a modern business through the mechanism of shares. A
share represents the smallest recognized fraction of ownership, represented in form of a
certificate, known as the share certificate. The breaking up of the total ownership of a
business into small units, each unit represented by a share certificate, enables them to
be easily bought and sold. The institution where this buying and selling of shares takes
place is called the stock exchange.
By enabling the convertibility of ownership in product market into financial assets
namely shares, stock exchanges bring together buyers and sellers of fractional
ownerships of companies. These activities relating to stock exchanges and its variations
are appropriately known as stock market or security market.
EARLY HISTORY AND DEVELOPMENTS OF THE INDIAN

STOCK MARKETS:
The earliest records of security dealings in India are meager and obscure. Towards
the close of the 18th century, the East India Company was the dominant institution and
business in its loan securities used to be transacted. The beginning of 19th century saw a
perceptible increase in the nature of business in corporate stocks and shares. However
the main importance to the stock business came in 1856 when the companies act
providing for limited liability of members was enacted. This was followed by a period
of boom and crisis and formation of organized stock exchanges.
SHARE MANIA OF 1861-65:

MARKETS:
The American civil war (1860-61) resulted in the share mania of 1861-65
during which the number of brokers increased to about 200-250 and they became
possessed of great influence, authority and wealth. Like the south sea bubble and tulip
mania of the 18th century in Europe, the share mania of 1861-65 caused undesired
desolation at the end of the American civil war . Very few companies were solvent in
Mumbai. The depression was long and severe, but the share mania had certain lasting
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effects. The brokers organized an informal association in 1875 which was later on
formally established in Mumbai on 3rd December 1887 as society to be called the
Native shares and stock brokers association. The expansion of liquid capital and the
establishment of a regular market in securities helped to take Mumbai what it is todayThe chief center of the money and capital markets and The financial capital of
India.
The cotton textile industry which established the primacy of Mumbai also
contributed to the development of the Ahmedabad share and stockbrokers association
in 1894.The stock exchanges at Mumbai and Ahmedabad were well set up properly
organized associations of the 20th century, but the Calcutta stock exchange was not so
constituted despite the fact that stock business in an organized way had been existing
since 1830.
INTER-WAR PERIOD
On the eve of the worldwar-1, the stock market in India consisted of 3 stock
exchanges at Mumbai, Calcutta and Ahmedabad as hostilities developed, the import of
manufacturers into India stopped almost completely as Europe ceased to produce any
manufactured articles except those required for the war. As a result Indian
manufacturers were able to penetrate the home market. It was a period of phenomenal
prosperity. The stock exchange soon became the centre of attraction for all. Rival stock
exchange in Mumbai and Ahmedabad an 1917 and 1920 respectively were formed but
could not survive long as they could not obtain official recognition under the provisions
of the Mumbai securities contracts control act in 1925. Futile attempts to establish stock
exchange in Madras and northern India were also made.
The boom petered out in 1921 and Indian stock market went
through a lean period. The improvement in business conditions and in stock market
activity in 1935 was marked by growing public interest in stocks, shares and securities.
There was a rapid increase in textile mills and many new plantation companies were
floated in south India. To cater to this expanding trade in plantation and mill shares, a

stock exchange was organized in Madras on 4th September 1937 under the name and
style of the Madras stock exchange association (private) limited.
WORLD WAR II AND AFTER:

A period of unprecedented prosperity to the stock exchanges was ushered in
world war II. Many new associations were constituted. In Ahmedabad, as many as four
new stock exchanges were set up one after another. Similarity in Lahore, which
witnessed a great expansion of monetary income during the war, four new exchanges
were established. Calcutta and Delhi had two stock exchanges besides the existing
ones. In 1940, two stock exchanges, namely the U.P. stock Exchange Ltd & the Nagpur
stock exchange Ltd, were established in Kanpur and Nagpur, respectively. In 1944, the
Hyderabad stock Ltd, was incorporated in Hyderabad recognized under the Hyderabad
securities contacts control act. A small stock exchange was also set up in Bangalore
city.
The mushroom growth of stock exchanges during the war time
suffered a total depression. The exchanges in Lahore closed down. Most of the others
stock exchanges withered a way when they applied to the Central Government for
recognition under the securities contacts (Regulation) Act, 1956. only the old
established stock exchanges in Mumbai, Calcutta, Madras, Ahmedabad ,Delhi,
Hyderabad and Indore were recognized under this Act. The Bangalore stock exchange
Ltd was registered subsequently in 1957 and recognized 1963.
ORGANISATION OF INDIAN STOCK EXCHANGES

The recognized stock exchanges in India vary from voluntary no-profit
making organizations (as in Mumbai, Ahmedabad and Indore) to joint stock companies
Ltd by shares (as in Calcutta, Delhi and Bangalore) and companies Ltd by guarantee (as
in Madras and Hyderabad) since the rules or articles of association defining the
constitution of the recognized stock exchanges are approved by the Central
Government. The Mumbai stock exchange was the first to get permanent recognition
followed by Calcutta, Delhi, Madras, Ahmadabad, Hyderabad, Indore and Bangalore.
At present there are 21 stock exchanges in India (excluding NSE and OTCEI) the
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largest being the Bombay stock exchange (BSE). The prominent ones are-Mumbai,
Calcutta, Madras, Delhi and Ahmedabad. The overall development and regulation of
the securities market has been entrusted to the SECURITIES EXCHANGE BOARD
OF INDIA (SEBI) by an Act of parliament in 1992.
MEMBERSHIP
The regulations governing the admission of members the recognized stock
exchanges are uniform in terms of the provisions of securities contracts (Regulations)
rules, 1956.
These statutory rules provide that no person shall be eligible to be elected as a
member if he isI. Less than 21 yrs of age.
II. Not an Indian citizen.
III. Adjudged bankrupt.
IV. Convicted for offence involving fraud or dishonesty.
V. Engaged as principal or employee in any business other than that of securities.
VI. Member of any other association in India where dealing in securities are carried on.
VII. Director or employees of company whose principal business is that of dealing in
securities.
Members of the exchange are entitled to work either as individual entities, or in

partnership, or as representative members transacting business on the floor of the
market not in their own name but in the name of the appointing members who assume
the market responsibility for the business so transacted.
Members are entitled to appoint attorneys to supervise their stock exchange

business. Such persons satisfy in all respects the conditions of eligibility prescribed for
membership of the exchange and their appointment must be approved by the Governing
body.
Role of SEBI in Security Market

The Security and Exchange Board of India, is the national regulatory body for
the security market, set-up under the Security and Exchange Board of India Act, 1992,
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to protect the interest of investors in securities and promote the development of, and to
regulate, the securities market and for matters connected there with or incidental to.
SEBI has its head office in Bombay and it is in the process of setting up
regional offices in the metropolitan cities of Calcutta, Madras and Delhi. The board of
SEBI comprises a chairman, two members from the central government representing
the ministries of finance and law, One member from the R.B.I. and two other members
appointed by central government.
As per the SEBI Act 1992, the powers and functions of the board the
regulations of the stock exchanges and other securities market; registration and
regulation of the working of stock brokers, sub-brokers, bankers to an issue (a public
offer), trusties of trust deeds. Registers to an issue, underwriters and such other
intermediaries whom may be associated with stock market in any way; promotion and
regulation of self regulatory organizations; prohibiting fraudulent and unfair trade
practices and insider trading in securities markets; regulating substantial acquisition of
shares and takeover of companies; undertaking inspection, conducting inquiries and
audits of stock exchanges; performing such function and exercising such powers as
contained in the provisions of the capital issues Act 1947 and the securities contracts
(regulations) Act,1956, laving various fees and other charges, conducting necessary
research for above purposes and performing such other functions as may be prescribed
from time to time.
Over the Counter Exchange of India (OTCEI)

With a view to facilitate low capital companies as well as protecting the
investors, an OVER THE COUNTER MARKET (OTC Market) has been setup jointly
by the UNIT TRUST OF INDIA (UTI) and the Industrial Credit and Investment
Corporation of India (ICICI). The naming of this organization never posed a
challenges. It was over the counter exchange of India.
The purpose of the OTCEI which is nothing but another stock exchange of
sorts is to have the small new companies spend a period of internship at the OTC
market for some time, before being allowed to be listed in a stock exchange. As per the
current norms, no company can be simultaneously listed in the OTCEI and a stock
exchange.
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NATIONAL STOCK EXCHANGE (NSE)

The NSE is a fully computerized stock exchange. To being with, only corporate
dept instruments and government securities were traded in the NSE. In due course,
however, other securities were included to provide them a National Market. The most
significant features of the NSE is the market makers will be allowed to deal on or off
the Trading Ring so that the restricts on trading hours will disappear. Instead,
transaction will be carried out continuously on the computers based on automated
quotations system. The real-time prices of all the listed securities (in the NSE) will be
displayed on the computer screen and the system will be able to cope with enormous
volume of transactions in a very short time, thereby speeding up the entire mechanism.
STOCK HOLDING CORPORATION OF INDIA LIMITED (SHCIL)

As the name suggests, it is a corporation holding stock on behalf of investors.
To begin with the corporations activities were limited to the holding of financial
institutions, banks and mutual funds only. However, presently even individual investors
are proposed to be covered through the broker. The National Clearance Depository
System (NCDS) operated by the SHCIL is aimed at improving the operation of the
Indian Stock Market.
The manual system of clearing and settlement of transactions, transfer and

registration of securities etc. have become increasingly sluggish in the face of the
phenomenal growth in the capital markets in the last few years. These systems, which
have served well, have now gone weak. The market is so increasingly being subjected
to delays, frauds, defaults and various other infractions of large proportions that the
systemic risk in the market has gone up substantially in recent times. We cannot hope
to join the mainstream of world markets without dated systems. These compulsions
have triggered the need for the National Clearance And Depository System, a full
computerized system of clearing, settlement, which will not only do away with the
manual systems, but also dispense with the antiquated system of physical transfer of
shares; which itself is the primary cause of much of our stock market malady. NUDS,
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when operational, it is hope that, it will bring down the cost of clearing and settlement
of transactions and transfer of shares; speed up the processes manifold; reduce the
systemic risk associated with the clearing and settlement processes in our capital
market; meet international standards; provide credibility to the Indian Stock Market in
the world markets; pave the way for other related financial services to develop and all
in all hasten the overall development of the Indian Capital Market. The exact modalities
of its operation will be known only after the system become fully operational. Broadly
however, the SHCIL in due course is expected to result in centralization of all clearing.
Settlement and share registration and transfer functions at one point, much in the
manner of a bank acting as a central clearing house for cheques.
PROSPECTUS
A prospectus is a document that must accompany the application forms of all
public issue of securities, whether ordinary shares, preference shares or debentures. It
contains the terms and conditions of the issue, along with specific features of the
security, the purpose for which issue is being made, the company track record, the risks
inherent for which the capital is being raised and so on. It may also contain information
such as the date of conversion, exercise price, redemption, interest rate and so on. SEBI
has laid out certain guidelines for the information content of a prospectus. Misleading
or false information in the prospectus can attract penal actions.
WHY OF SECURITY TRADING:

Securities are traded in three different ways in stock exchanges in India. They
are1.
Spot Basis: under this the sellers of the share must deliver the share certificate within
48hours to the buying broker. As such, the seller receives the selling price immediately
upon the share. Under this basis of trading, delivery of security certificate and payment
of cash are more or less immediate.
2.
Cash Basis: In this method, the securities are not exactly traded for cash. In general,
actual delivery of certificates and the payment of cash must take place before the next
settlement date meant for cash transactions, when outstanding accounts arising from the
cash basis of trading among the brokers are settled. Since the settlement date for cash
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transactions occurs only once in two weeks in most stock exchanges in India, the cash
or certificate mostly change hands only on the following settlement date after deal is
made.
3.
Settlement Trading: Under this type of trading, it is possible to buy shares, even if we
do not have requisite amount of money, or sell shares even if we do not have the share
certificate. While this system facilitates buying and selling of shares without payment
of cash or delivery of shares at short notice, it requires the buyers and sellers to go
around hunting for suitable lenders of money and share certificates respectively. This
snag is overcome by routing once transactions through a broker, who attends to the
problem of finding such lenders.
However, this system of trading has been suspended by SEBI. It is excepted that in
due course more modern systems of trading will replace this system.
CAPITAL MARKET:
Capital is required to bring a business into existence, to keep it alive and see it
growing. Achieving the goal of business requires the performance of such business
functions as production, distribution, marketing, research and development all of which
involve investment of capital. Further, companies require capital not only for meeting
their long term requirements of funds for new projects, modernization, expansion and
diversification programmes also for covering operational expenses.
Categories of Capital:
1. Long-term capital/fixed capital: It represents the amount of capital invested in
fixed assets. It is a long term investment.
2. Short-term capital/working capital: it represents the amount of capital invested

in current assets. Current assets are those assets which can be converted into cash with
in a year/an accounting period. Working capital is required for meeting the operating
cost of the concern.
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3. Export capital:
The amount of capital required for making payment in
international trade is called export capital. The methods of payment in international

trade are:
a. Cash with order

b. Open account
c. Bills of exchange and
d. Bankers documentary credits.
4. Venture capital: Venture capital is the capital invested in highly risky ventures.
Meaning and Definition of Capital Market:

Generally speaking, capital market is the place wherein funds are raised for
companies for meeting their long term requirements. Capital market is a market for
long term capital.
Capital market may be defined as the mechanism which co-ordinate the
demand and supply forces of long term capital. The participants on the demand and
supply side of this market are financial institutions, mutual funds, agents, brokers,
dealers, borrowers and lenders.
Components of Capital Market:

Broadly speaking, capital market is composed of two segments.
i. The new issues market or Primary market
ii. The secondary market
i. The new issues market or Primary market:-
The primary market the existing
companies or the new companies offer shares/debentures to the public for

subscription. The primary market also includes the offer of securities to the existing
share holders of the companies on right and bonus basis. In the primary market the
companies acquire long term funds for meeting their requirements like project
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financing, expansion, modernizations etc. Primary market creates financial claims.
In this market the public can only buy the shares. Parties involved in the primary
market are the lenders and the borrowers. Merchant bankers, registrars, issue
companies, under-writers, bankers to the issue, public financial institutions, mutual
funds etc. are the major players in the new issue market.
ii. The Secondary market:- In the secondary market or stock market old issue are bought
and sold. In this market the public can buy and sell securities. This market does not
create financial claims. In this market fund does not flow between borrowers and
lenders but funds flows between lenders and others/buyers of security. The brokers,
the investors, mutual funds and the financial institution are the important
constituents of the secondary market.
Players in the capital market:The players in the capital market are divided into three categories:
i) Companies issuing securities:- As per the SEBI Guidelines, companies intending

to issue securities are divided three categories, viz.
a) New companies.
b) Existing unlisted companies
c) Existing listed companies
A company is a new company if it satisfies all the following three conditions.
1. It has not completed 12 months of commercial operations.

2. Its audited operative results are not available.
3. It is set up by entrepreneurs with or without track record.
A company is said to be an existing listed company if its shares are listed in the any one
of the recognized stock exchanges.
Existing closely held or private companies are called existing unlisted companies.
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i. Intermediaries: - Intermediaries are institutional or individual agencies who assist
in the process of transforming savings into investment. The major intermediaries in
the capital market are:
a) Merchant bankers
b) Under-writers
c) Registrars
d) Brokers
e) Depositories
f) Collecting agents
g) Adverting agencies
h) Agents
i) Stock brokers and Sub-brokers
j) Mutual Funds
ii. Investors:- The investors are comprising of financial and investment companies
and a general public. Companies are employing funds in the hope of receiving future
benefits. All rational investors prefer return, but most investors are risk averse,
attempt to maximize capital gain. Their preferences for dividends are a capital gain
depends on their economic status and the effect of tax differential on dividends and
capital gains. The institutions and companies raising capital from investors frame the
schemes in such a way that these are suitable to all types of investors. The main
objectives of investments are as follows:
A. Safety: - Safety of money is the first objective of an investor.
B. Liquidity: - The liquidity refers to the receipt back of investment when the investor
wants it. Capital appreciation and, Minimum risk.
Profitability: - The investor makes investment for earning money. He would like to
invest in those securities where rate of return is higher.
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Structure of Capital Market in India: - The structure of Indian capital market
has undergone a remarkable transformation over the last four and a half decades and
now comprises an impressive network of financial institutions and new financial
instruments. The secondary market has become more sophisticated in response to the
varied needs of the investors. Provision of long term credit is entrusted with specialized
financial institutions. Of these IDBI, IFCI, UTI, LIC, GIC etc. Constitute the largest
segment. The various constitutes of capital market are:
i. Equity market
ii. Debt market
iii. Government securities market
iv. Mutual fund schemes.
Factors Influencing the growth of Capital market:The growth of the capital market is influenced by several factors which are listed
below:
The level of savings and investment
Economic development
Rapid industrialization
Speed in acquiring, processing and acting upon information
Technological advances
Political stability
Increased price volatility
Corporate performance
Globalization of finance
Financial innovation and Tax asymmetries
Advances in financial theory
Regulatory change
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) participation in the capital market
NRIs investment
Sophistication among investment managers
Emergence of financial intermediaries like Mutual funds
Development of financial service sectors like merchant banking, leasing,
venture capital financing
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International agreement
Liquidity factors
Agency costs
About the Organization

Dantkale and Vijay.Javalegekar a partnership sub broker firm works for the main
broker Vimal and Sons who operate under the brand Share Spot. Vimal and Sons are
the registered broker for the BSE and NSE.
Name of the Organisation
: Dantkale and V.Javalegekar Association

Spot Market 48, Navipeth, above Ram Mandir,
Solhapur 413007 .Ph(0217)2628101/2744451
This organization was running successfully since from 15 years. It started in

year 1992.It is partnership firm.
Its sub broker registered under SEBI.
In this organization they are dealing with
F&O Trading
NSE Trading
BSE Trading
They are charging brokerage of 0.1% for buying and delivery charge at 0.75 OR 1%
They have good facilities for trading process which leads to satisfy the customers
like- LCD facility, Computer and Office boys.
The term broker of stock broker is loosely used to denote intermediately, but the
member broker of a Stock Exchange is a registered member, licensed to trade as per
the Rules, Bylaws and Regulations of the stock exchange. He has been given a
responsibility to observer some rules, and order and a code of conduct and behaves in
a befitting manner to sub serve the objectives of the Exchange and in the public
interest. The so called brokers acting as an agent of UTI, LIC etc, are necessarily the
members of stock exchange.
Since May 1992, the member brokers and sub brokers have also to register
with Securities and Exchange Board of India and the public should deal with such
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brokers and sub brokers only. These brokers are not supposed to advertise their
business. Each is given a code number of registration number.
Organization Structure
Main Broker
Sub Broker
Partner 1
Partner 2
Branch manager
Senior Executives
Executives
Junior Executives
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TECHINICAL ANALYSIS
It is a process of identifying trend reversals at an earlier stage to formulate the
buying and selling strategy. With the help of several indicators they analyze the
relationship between price volume and supply demand for the overall market and the
individual stock. Volume is favourable on the up swing i.e. the number of shares
traded is greater than before and on the down side the number of shares traded
dwindles. If it the other way round, trend reversals can be expected.
Assumptions
1. The market value of the scrip is determined by the interaction of supply and
demand.
2. The market discounts everything. The price of the security quoted

represents the hopes fears and inside information received by the market players. The
inside information regarding the issue of bonus shares, and right issues in support the
prices.
The loss of earnings and information regarding the forthcoming labors
problem may result in fall in price. These factors may cause a shift in demand and
supply, changing the direction of trends.
3. The market always moves in trend. Except for minor deviations, the stock
prices move in trends. The prices may create definite patterns too. The trend may be
either increasing or decreasing.
The trend continues for sometime and then it
reverses.
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4. Any layman knows the fact that history repeats itself. It is true to the stock
market also. In the rising market investors psychology has up beats and they purchase
the shares in greater volumes, driving the prices higher. At the same time, in the
down trend they may be eager to get out of the market by selling them and thus
plunging the share price further. The market technicians assume that past prices
predict the future.
HISTORY OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
The technical analysis is based on the doctrine given by Charles.H.Dow in

1984, in the Wall Street Journal. He wrote a serious if articles in the Wall street
Journal. A.J.Nelson, a close friend if Charles Dow formalized the Dow theory for
economic forecasting. The analysis used of individual sticks and moving averages in
the early 1920s Later on, with the aid of calculators and computers, sophisticated
techniques came into vogue.
TECHNICAL TOOLS
Generally used technical tools are, Dow theory, volume of trading, short
selling, odd lot trading, bars and line charts, moving averages and oscillators.
DOW THEORY
Dow developed his theory to explain the movement of the indices of Dow
Jones Averages. He developed the theory on the basis of certain hypotheses. The
first hypothesis is that, no signal individual or buyer can influence the major trend of
the market. However, an individual investor can affect the daily price movement by
buying or selling huge quantum of particular scrip. The intermediate price movement
also can be affected to a lesser degree by an investor.
His second hypothesis is that the market discounts every thing. Even natural
calamities such as earthquake, plague and fire also get quickly discounted in the
market. The Pokhran blast affected the share market for a short while and then the
market returned back to normally.
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His third hypothesis is that the theory is not infallible. It is not a tool to beat
the market but provides a way to understand it better.
The theory according to Dow theory the trend is divided into primary,
intermediate and short term trend. The primary trend may be the broad upward or
downward movement that may last for a year or two. The intermediate trends are
corrective movements, which may last for three weeks to three months. The primary
trend may be interrupted by the intermediate trend. The short term trend refers to the
day to day price movements. It is also known as oscillatons.
TREND
Trend is the direction of the movement. The prices can either increase or fall
or remain flat. Three directions of the share price movements are called as rising,
falling and flat trends. The point to be remembered is that share price does not rise or
fall in a straight line. Every rise or fall in a price experiences a counter move. If a
share price is increasing, the counter move will be a fall in the price and vice versa.
The share prices move in zigzag manner.
Trend Line
Y
Rising trend line

P
r
i
c
e
Flat trend line
Falling trend line
Y
Days
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PRIMARY TREND
A primary trend may a bull market moving in a steady upward direction, or a

bear market steadily dropping. When the market exhibits the increasing trend, it is
called bull market. The bull market shows three clear cut peaks. Each peak is higher
than the previous peak. The bottoms are also higher than the previous bottoms. The
reactions following the peak used to halt before the previous bottoms. The phases
leading to the three peaks are revival, improvement in corporate profit and
speculation. The revival period encourages more and more investors to buy scrips,
their expectations about the future being high. In the second phase, increased profits
of corporate would result in the future price rise. In the third phase, prices advance
due to inflation and speculation. The below diagram clarifies three phases of bull
market.
Y
Bull Market
T3
T2
P
r
i
c
e
T1
Speculation phase3
Good corporate
earnings phase2
Revival of b1
market confidence
phase1
Y
Days
The reverse is true with the bear market. Here, the first phase of falls starts with the
abandonment of hopes. The chances of price moving back to the previous high level
seemed to be low. This would result in the sale of shares. In the second phase,
companies are reporting lower profits and dividends. This would lead to selling
pressure. The final phase is characterized by the distress sale of shares.
23

Bear Market
Y
P
r
i
c
e
Recession in business(phase2)
Loss of hope (phase1)

T1
T2
B1
B2
Distress selling(phase3)
B3
X
Days
THE SECONDAY TREND
The secondary trend or the intermediate trend moves against the main trend and leads
to correction. In the bull market the secondary trend would result in the fall of about
33.66% of the earlier rise. In the bear market, the secondary trend carries the price
upward and corrects the main trend. The correction would be 33% to 66% of the
earlier fall. Intermediate trends corrects the over bought and over sold condition. It
provides the breathing space to the market.
P
r
i
c
e
Secondary Corrections
33% to 66% of B
33% to 66% of A
Days
24

MINOR TRENDS
Minor trends or tertiary moves are called random wriggles. They are simply daily
price fluctuations. Minor trend tries to correct the secondary trend movement. It is
better for the investors to concentrate on the primary or secondary trends then on the
minor trends. The chartist plots the scrips price or the market index each day to trace
the primary or secondary trend.
MOVING AVERAGE
The market indices do not rise or fall in the straight line. The upward or downward
movements are interrupted by counter moves. The underline trend can be studied by
smoothening of the data. To smooth the data moving average technique is used.
The word moving means that the body of data moves ahead to include the
recent observations. It it is five day moving average, on the sixth day the body of date
moves to include the sixth day observation eliminating the first days observation.
Like wise it continues. In moving average calculation, closing price of stock is used.
Calculation of Five-Day Moving Average for Reliances Stock

Day
Price
Average
Feb 4, 99
255
---
261
----
269
266.2
273
270.8
11
273
272.8
12
278
273.2
13
271
274.0
14
271
273.8
25

Index and stock price moving average
Individual stock price is compared with the stock market indices.
The moving
average of the stock and index are plotted in the same sheet and trends are compared.
If BSE/NSE index is above the stocks moving average line the particular stock has
bullish trend.
The price may increase above the market average. If the SENSEX or NIFTY is below
the stocks moving average, the bearish market can be expected for the particular
stock
RISK
Risk refers to the possibility that the actual outcome of an investment will differ from
its expected outcome. More specifically, most investors are concerned about the
actual outcome being less than the expected outcome.
The wider the range of
possible outcomes, the greater the risk.
SOURCES OF RISK
The three major ones are
1) Business risk
2) Interest rate risk
3) Market risk.
TYPES OF RISK
The modern portfolio theory looks at risk form a different respective. It divides the
total risk as follows.
Total risk= Unsystematic + Systematic
The unsystematic risk (Unique risk) of a security represents that portion of its total
risk which stems from firm specific factors like the development of a new product, a
labor strike, or the emergence of a new competitor. Events of this nature primarily
affect the specific firm and not all firms in general.
26
In a diversified portfolio, unique risks of different stocks tend to cancel each

othera favourable development in one firm may upset an adverse happening in
another and vice versa.. Hence unique risk is also referred to as diversifiable risk or
unsystematic risk.
The systematic risk (Market risk)
The market risk of a stock represents that portion of its risk which is attributable to
economy- wide factors like the growth rate or GDP, the level of government
spending, money supply, interest rate structure, and inflation rate. Since these factors
affect all firms to a greater or lesser degree, the investors cannot avoid the risk arising
from them, however diversified portfolio may be.
Hence, it is also referred as
systematic risk or non diversifiable risk.
The Characteristic Regression Line (CRL)
CRL is a simple linear regression model estimated for a particular stock against the
market index return to measure its diversifiable and un diversifiable risks. The
model is
Ri = i + iRm + ei
Ri Return of the ith stock
i Intercept
i Slope of the ith stock
Rm Return of the market index.
Ei the error term
27

The security return is
Todays security return = Todays Price Yesterdays Price

Yesterdays Price
X 100
Todays Market return = Todays Index Yesterdays Index

Yesterdays Index
X 100
Beta
Beta is the slope of the CRL. Beta describes the relationship between the stocks
returns and the index returns.
1) Beta = +1.0
One percent change in market index returns causes exactly 1% change in the stock
return. It indicates that the stock moves in tandem with the market
2) Beta = + 0.5
One percent changes in market index return causes 0.5 % change in the stock return.
The stock is less volatile compared to the market.
3) Beta = + 2.0
One percent change in market index return causes 2% change in the stock return. The
stock is more volatile. When there is a decline of 10% in the market return, the stock
with a beta of 2 would give a return of 20%. The stock with more than 1 beta is
considered to be risky.
4) Negative Beta
Negative beta indicates that the stock return moves in the opposite direction to the
market return. A stock with a negative Beta of -1 would provide a return of 10%, if
the market return declines by 10% and vice versa.
Stocks with negative beta resist the decline in the market return, but stocks
with negative returns are very rare.
a) Beta = 1
Y
28
Stock Return
Beta
Alpha
0
X
Market return
b) Beta > 1
Y
Beta
Stock Return
Alpha
Market return
c) Beta < 1
Y
29
Beta
Stock Return
Beta
Alpha
0
X
Market return
Alpha:
The intercept of the characteristic regression line is alpha i.e. the
distance between the intersection and the horizontal axis. It indicates that the
commodity return is independent of the market return. A positive value of
alpha is a healthy sign. Positive alpha values would yield profitable return.
According to the portfolio theory in well diversified portfolio the average
value of alpha of all commodities turn out to be zero.
Beta () = n*X*Y (X * Y)/ n* X^2- X^2

Alpha= Avg of Y- Beta* Avg of X
Banks in India
India has a well developed banking system. Most of the banks in India were founded
by Indian entrepreneurs and visionaries in the pre-independence era to provide
30

financial assistance to traders, agriculturists and budding Indian industrialists. Indian
banks have played a significant role in the development of Indian economy by
inculcating the habit of saving in Indians and by lending finance to Indian industry.
The commercial banking structure in India consists of: Scheduled Commercial Banks
and Unscheduled Banks. Scheduled commercial Banks constitute those banks, which
have been included in the Second Schedule of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Act,
1934. RBI includes only those banks in this schedule, which satisfy the criteria laid
downNvidePsectionD42B(6)(a)MofUtherAct.
Indian banks can be broadly classified into nationalised banks/public sector banks,
private banks and foreign banks.
Foreign Banks in India
31

Foreign banks have brought latest technology and latest banking practices in India.
They have helped made Indian Banking system more competitive and efficient.
Government has come up with a road map for expansion of foreign banks in India.
The road map has two phases. During the first phase between March 2005 and March
2009, foreign banks may establish a presence by way of setting up a wholly owned
subsidiary (WOS) or conversion of existing branches into a WOS. The second phase
will commence in April 2009 after a review of the experience gained after due
consultation with all the stake holders in the banking sector. The review would
examine issues concerning extension of national treatment to WOS, dilution of stake
and permitting mergers/acquisitions of any private sector banks in India by a foreign
bank.
Major foreign banks in India are:
ABN-AMRO Bank
Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank Ltd.
American Express Bank Ltd
BNP Paribas
Citibank
DBS Bank Ltd
Deutsche Bank
HSBC Ltd
Standard Chartered Bank
Nationalised Banks in India
Banking System in India is dominated by nationalised banks. The nationalisation of

banks in India took place in 1969 by Mrs. Indira Gandhi the then prime minister. The
32

major objective behind nationalisation was to spread banking infrastructure in rural
areas and make available cheap finance to Indian farmers. Fourteen banks were
nationalised in 1969. TheseMBanksPwereOBefore 1969, State Bank of India (SBI)
was the only public sector bank in India. SBI was nationalized in 1955 under the SBI
ActNofM1955.
The second phase of nationalisation of Indian banks took place in the year 1980.
SevenMmoreNbanksKwereRnationalisedGwithPdepositsPoverQ200Pcrores.
List of Public Sector Banks in India is as follows:
Allahabad Bank
Andhra Bank
Bank of Baroda
Bank of India
Bank of Maharashtra
Canara Bank
Central Bank of India
Corporation Bank
Dena Bank
Indian Bank
Indian Overseas Bank
Oriental Bank of Commerce
Punjab and Sind Bank
Punjab National Bank
State Bank of Bikaner & Jaipur
State Bank of Hyderabad
State Bank of India (SBI)
State Bank of Indore
State Bank of Mysore
State Bank of Patiala
State Bank of Saurashtra
State Bank of Travancore
Syndicate Bank
33
UCO Bank
Union Bank of India
United Bank of India
Vijaya Bank
Private Banks in India
All the banks in India were earlier private banks. They were founded in the preindependence era to cater to the banking needs of the people. But after nationalisation
of banks in 1969 public sector banks came to occupy dominant role in the banking
structure. Private sector banking in India received a filip in 1994 when Reserve Bank
of India encouraged setting up of private banks as part of its policy of liberalisation of
the Indian Banking Industry. Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited
(HDFC) was amongst the first to receive an 'in principle' approval from the Reserve
Bank of India (RBI) to set up a bank in the private sector.
Private banks have played a major role in the development of Indian banking industry.
They have made banking more efficient and customer friendly. In the process they
have jolted public sector banks out of complacency and forced them to become nore
competitive.
Major private banks in India are:
Bank of Rajasthan
Bharat Overseas Bank
Catholic Syrian Bank
Centurion Bank of Punjab
Dhanalakshmi Bank
Federal Bank
HDFC Bank
ICICI Bank
IDBI Bank
IndusInd Bank
34
ING Vysya Bank
Jammu & Kashmir Bank
Karnataka Bank
Karur Vysya Bank
Kotak Mahindra Bank
SBI Commercial and International Bank
South Indian Bank
United Western Bank
UTI Bank
YES Bank
CNX Bank Index

The Indian banking Industry has been undergoing major changes, reflecting a number
of underlying developments. Advancement in communication and information
technology has facilitated growth in internet-banking, ATM Network, Electronic
transfer of funds and quick dissemination of information. Structural reforms in the
35

banking sector have improved the health of the banking sector. The reforms recently
introduced include the enactment of the Securitization Act to step up loan recoveries,
establishment of asset reconstruction companies, initiatives on improving recoveries
from Non-performing Assets (NPAs) and change in the basis of income recognition
has raised transparency and efficiency in the banking system. Spurt in treasury
income and improvement in loan recoveries has helped Indian Banks to record better
profitability. In order to have a good benchmark of the Indian banking sector, India
Index Service and Product Limited (IISL) hasBdevelopedBtheBCNXPBankKIndex.
CNX Bank Index is an index comprised of the most liquid and large capitalized
Indian Banking stocks. It provides investors and market intermediaries with a
benchmark that captures the capital market performance of Indian Banks. The index
will have 12 stocks from the banking sector which trade on the National Stock
Exchange.
The average total traded value for the last six months of CNX Bank Index stocks is
approximately 74% of the traded value of the banking sector. CNX Bank Index stocks
represent about 79% of the total market capitalization of the banking sector as on
March
31,G2005.
The average total traded value for the last six months of all the CNX Bank Index
constituents is approximately 10% of the traded value of all stocks on the NSE. CNX
Bank Index constituents represent about 9% of the total market capitalization as on
MarchP31,K2005.
Methodology
The index is a market capitalization weighted index with base date of January 01,
2000,MindexedGtoHaKbaseGvalueMofM1000.
36

SelectionMCriteria
Selection of the index set is based on the following criteria:
1. Company's market capitalization rank in the universe should be less than 500
2. Company's turnover rank in the universe should be less than 500
3. Company's trading frequency should be at least 90% in the last six months.
4. Company should have a positive net worth.
5. A company which comes out with a IPO will be eligible for inclusion in the
index, if it fulfills the normal eligibility criteria for the index for a 3 month
period instead of a 6 month period.
Bank of India
1st Quarter
Date
Stock
Price(X)
Index
Price(Y)
X
Stock Price Return
Y
Index Price
Return
X^2
Y^2
XY
6-Jan
132.5
4673.34
16-Jan
133.47
4624.15
0.0073
-0.0105
0.0001
0.0001
-0.0001
23-Jan
126.58
4487.18
-0.0516
-0.0296
0.0027
0.0009
0.0015
37

31-Jan
129.43
4574.71
0.0225
0.0195
0.0005
0.0004
0.0004
7-Feb
122.71
4476.5
-0.0519
-0.0215
0.0027
0.0005
0.0011
15-Feb
131.81
4562.5
0.0742
0.0192
0.0055
0.0004
0.0014
22-Feb
132.17
4473.68
0.0027
-0.0195
0.0000
0.0004
-0.0001
1-Mar
133.55
4520.89
0.0104
0.0106
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
8-Mar
136.18
4618.39
0.0197
0.0216
0.0004
0.0005
0.0004
16-Mar
132.56
4661.64
-0.0266
0.0094
0.0007
0.0001
-0.0002
23-Mar
131.23
4660.88
-0.0100
-0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
133.78
4668.97
30-Mar
Total
Beta
0.0194
0.0017
0.0004
0.0000
0.0000
0.0161
0.0007
0.0131
0.0032
0.0047
Alpha
0.358983
-0.00046
2nd Quarter
Date
Stock
Price(X)
7-Apr
18-Apr
25-Apr
2-May
9-May
16-May
23-May
30-May
7-Jun
14-Jun
21-Jun
27-Jun
Index
Price(Y)
133.43
126.51
124.45
124.74
147.07
145.04
130.23
121.32
112.64
101.86
102.32
104.52
Beta
0.613621
4760.16
4585.45
4563.47
4530.25
4896.37
4861.72
4453.24
4300.74
4072.38
3644.75
3705.85
3756.99
X
Stock Price
Return
-0.0519
-0.0163
0.0023
0.1790
-0.0138
-0.1021
-0.0684
-0.0715
-0.0957
0.0045
0.0215
-0.2124
Y
Index Price
Return
-0.0367
-0.0048
-0.0073
0.0808
-0.0071
-0.0840
-0.0342
-0.0531
-0.1050
0.0168
0.0138
-0.2208
X^2
Y^2
XY
0.0027
0.0003
0.0000
0.0320
0.0002
0.0104
0.0047
0.0051
0.0092
0.0000
0.0005
0.0651
0.0013
0.0000
0.0001
0.0065
0.0001
0.0071
0.0012
0.0028
0.0110
0.0003
0.0002
0.0306
0.0019
0.0001
0.0000
0.0145
0.0001
0.0086
0.0023
0.0038
0.0100
0.0001
0.0003
0.0417
X^2
Y^2
XY
0.0000
0.0084
0.0000
0.0412
0.0068
0.0002
0.0014
0.0001
0.0102
0.0013
0.0000
0.0034
0.0000
0.0205
0.0030
Alpha
-0.00823
3rd Quarter
Date
4-Jul
11-Jul
18-Jul
25-Jul
1-Aug
8-Aug
Stock
Price(X)
99.38
99.69
90.54
90.11
108.4
117.35
Index
Price(Y)
3682.11
3736.74
3596.63
3632.22
3999.31
4143.54
X
Stock Price
Return
0.0031
-0.0918
-0.0047
0.2030
0.0826
Y
Index Price
Return
0.0148
-0.0375
0.0099
0.1011
0.0361
38

16-Aug
23-Aug
30-Aug
6-Sep
128.52
130.25
138.85
141.57
4357.24
4414.12
4522.24
4667.96
Company
13-Sep
20-Sep
27-Sep
Beta
0.433464
141.18
152.48
149.65
0.0952
0.0135
0.0660
0.0196
Quarter
4658.03
4903.92
5008.75
0.0516
0.0131
0.0245
0.0322
Beta
-0.0028
0.0800
-0.0186
0.4451
0.0091
0.0002
0.0044
0.0004
0.0027
0.0002
0.0006
0.0010
0.0049
0.0002
0.0016
0.0006
0.0000
0.0064
0.0003
0.0772
0.0000
0.0028
0.0005
0.0210
0.0000
0.0042
-0.0004
0.0381
X^2
Y^2
0.0002
0.0013
0.0006
0.0160
0.0000
0.0022
0.0031
0.0018
0.0004
0.0161
0.0041
0.0456
0.0000
0.0003
0.0000
0.0020
0.0000
0.0044
0.0004
0.0002
0.0001
0.0058
0.0002
0.0133
Alpha
-0.0021
0.0528
0.0214
0.3177
Alpha
0.010401
4th Quarter
Date
5-Oct
12-Oct
19-Oct
27-Oct
3-Nov
10-Nov
17-Nov
24-Nov
1-Dec
8-Dec
15-Dec
22-Dec
Beta
0.4356
Stock
Price(X)
162.21
164.39
158.57
154.78
174.33
175.4
183.56
193.75
201.89
205.86
179.7
191.19
Index
Price(Y)
5280.94
5270.22
5366.56
5382.36
5622.14
5620.59
5991.68
6104.34
6195.59
6247.43
5771.04
5849
X
Stock Price
Return
Y
Index Price
Return
0.0134
-0.0354
-0.0239
0.1263
0.0061
0.0465
0.0555
0.0420
0.0197
-0.1271
0.0639
0.1872
-0.0020
0.0183
0.0029
0.0445
-0.0003
0.0660
0.0188
0.0149
0.0084
-0.0763
0.0135
0.1089
XY
Alpha
0.002485
Bank of India
Table-1
39
0.0000
-0.0006
-0.0001
0.0056
0.0000
0.0031
0.0010
0.0006
0.0002
0.0097
0.0009
0.0203

Bank of India
0.3909
-0.0004
0.6331
-0.0072
0.3818
0.0113
0.4457
0.0021
Graph-1
Bank Of India
0.7
0.6331
Value
0.5
0.3909
0.3
0.1
-0.1
-0.0004
1
0.4457
0.3818
0.0113
-0.0072
2
0.0021
Quarter
Beta
Alpha
Interpretation of Beta:- In first quarter, it shows a positive trend of 0.3909 and in

next quarter it went up to 0.6331 which is more than 0.5 which indicates that one
percent change in market return causes a 0.5% change in stock return. The stock is
less volatile compared to market, but this did not continue in third quarter, with value
of 0.3818 which is less than previous quarter. In fourth quarter, there is slight up ward
movement,0.4457 which is near to 0.5.
By this interpretation the stock is less volatile compared to the market.
Interpretation of Alpha:- Here Alpha is the Market return. In first quarter it is not
giving any return and this continued with in second quarter. But in third quarter gives
a return of 0.0113 which is high compared to the fourth quarter as the alpha is 0.0021.
Conclusion: - From the above Interpretation of Beta and Alpha values of four
quarters the individual script is volatile but its not going to be influenced by the
market.
Quarter Wise 5days Moving Average

40
1st Quarter
Graph-1
40
30
20
10
0
6J
12 an
-J -06
17 a n
-J -0
20 a n 6
-J -0
25 a n 6
-J -0
31 a n 6
-J -06
3- a nFe 06
8- b-0
14 Feb 6
-F -0
17 eb 6
-F - 0
22 eb 6
-F - 0
27 eb 6
-F - 0
6
2- ebM 06
7- a r-0
M
10 a r 6
-M -0
16 ar 6
-M - 0
21 ar 6
-M - 0
24 ar 6
-M - 0
29 ar 6
-M - 0
ar 6
-0
6
Value
Bank of India Qtr 5 days Moving Avg
Date
Stock Avg
Index Avg
Interpretation of 5-days MA:- In the above graph, we depicts that, the stock price
for 5days MA line and market index MA line goes on with correlation and it is
continued with whole quarter. On 6th Jan to 20th Jan there is a decline in the market
after that form 25th Jan to 3rd Feb it goes up and for the rest of the Quarter this ups and
down were continued. During all these up and downs the Market Index is constant. .
Conclusion: This we conclude that even thaw there is a Constant move in the Index
price, but in individual script is so volatile and its moving with the market.
2nd Quarter
41

Graph-2
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
3A
7- p r-0
13 Ap r 6
-A -0
19 pr 6
-A -0
24 pr 6
- -0
27 Apr 6
-A -0
2- pr- 6
M 0
5- a y- 6
10 Ma 0 6
-M y15 ay 0 6
-M 18 ay 06
- 23 Ma 06
-M y26 ay 06
-M - 0
a 6
1- y- 0
Ju 6
6- n Ju 06
9- n -0
J
14 un 6
-J -06
19 u n
-J -0
22 u n 6
-J -0
26 u n 6
- -0
29 Ju n 6
-J -06
un
-0
6
Value
Bank of India Qtr wise 5 days Moving Avg
Date
Stock Avg
Index Avg
Interpretation of 5-days MA:- From the above graph, it shows that the 5days MA
line of stock and MA line market index goes on with correlation and it is continued
with whole quarter. On 3rd Apr to 5th may there is a down ward movement in Both
Index and Script prices, but after this there is a sudden increase up to 15th May and
later a fall continue till the Quarter ending.
Conclusion:- As from the above Interpretation, It indicates that the stock moves in
Tandem with the market. Hear the market is bearish as the prices of Market index and
stock lines are continually falling.
3rdQuarter
42
Graph-3
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
3Ju
6- l- 0
11 Jul- 6
-J 0
14 u l- 6
- 0
19 Ju l- 6
-J 0
24 u l- 6
- 0
27 Ju l- 6
-J 0
1- u l- 6
A 0
4- u g- 6
A 0
9- u g- 6
0
14 Au g 6
-A -0
18 ug 6
- 23 Aug 0 6
-A -0
28 ug 6
- -0
31 Aug 6
-A -0
5- ug- 6
S 0
8- e p- 6
S 0
13 e p 6
-S -0
18 ep 6
-S 21 ep 0 6
- 26 Sep 0 6
-S 29 ep 0 6
-S -0
ep 6
-0
6
Value
Bank of India Qtr wise 5 days Moving Avg
Date
Stock Avg
Index Avg
Interpretation of 5-days MA:- From the above graph, it clears that 3rd Jul to 24th Jul
there is a down ward movement in Both Index and Script prices, but after this there is
a sudden increase up to 5th Sep then a little-bit increase and the rise was continued till
the Quarter ending. Here the individual stock and market index lines were goes with
correlation and this was continued with the whole Quarter.
Conclusion:- As from the above Interpretation, it indicates that the stock moves in
Tandem with the market. It also shows the Bullish trend as the market and stock
prices are moving in an upward trend.
4th Quarter
Graph-4
43

Bank of India Qtr wise 5 Days moving Avg
50
Value
40
30
20
10
3O
6- ct-0
11 Oct 6
-O -0
16 ct 6
- -0
19 Oct 6
-O -0
23 ct 6
- -0
30 Oct 6
-O -0
6
2- ct-0
No 6
7- v0
10 Nov 6
-N -0
15 ov 6
- 20 Nov 0 6
-N 23 ov 0 6
- 28 Nov 0 6
-N -0
1- ov 6
D -0
6- ec- 6
11 Dec 06
-D 14 ec 06
- -0
19 Dec 6
-D -0
22 ec 6
- -0
28 Dec 6
-D -0
ec 6
-0
6
Date
Stock Avg
Index Avg
Interpretation of 5-days MA:- From the above graph, it depicts that market index
and individual stock price lines are correlated and this was continued with the whole
quarter. On 3rd Oct to 30th Oct there is a fall in stock prices but during this period the
Market price was not affected so much, on 28th Nov to 6th Dec the market index and
stock price are intersect each other and they get a little diversion on 14th Dec and on
28 Dec again there is collision.
Conclude: - It indicates that the stock moves in tandem with the market index. There
is a volatility exists in the stock price as compare to the market index, even though the
market line is up ward the script is not going with that upward trend but at the end of
Quarter it was moved along with market index.
Final Conclusion:- From the above observation made in these Four Quarters, its
clears that the Investment in Bank of India stock is a good during the First Quarter but
this will be not with Second Quarter as the market is falling a bearish mode of market
a good situation to buy and in Third Quarter the market is in Bullish mood and hear
the investor can sell his stock and make a good money out of it. Even though he holds
and its a good investment as the market is continued its Bullish move till the end of
Fourth Quarter.
HDFC
st
1 Quarter
Date
Stock
Price(X)
Index
Price(Y)
X
Stock Price
Return
Y
Index Price
Return
X^2
Y^2
XY
44

6-Jan
16-Jan
23-Jan
31-Jan
7-Feb
15-Feb
22-Feb
1-Mar
8-Mar
16-Mar
23-Mar
30-Mar
Beta
0.375931
733.45
746.23
733.36
735.58
745.14
752.52
735.2
729.11
759.17
767.6
741.95
748.31
4673.34
4624.15
4487.18
4574.71
4476.5
4562.5
4473.68
4520.89
4618.39
4661.64
4660.88
4668.97
0.0174
-0.0172
0.0030
0.0130
0.0099
-0.0230
-0.0083
0.0412
0.0111
-0.0334
0.0086
0.0223
-0.0105
-0.0296
0.0195
-0.0215
0.0192
-0.0195
0.0106
0.0216
0.0094
-0.0002
0.0017
0.0007
0.0003
0.0003
0.0000
0.0002
0.0001
0.0005
0.0001
0.0017
0.0001
0.0011
0.0001
0.0045
0.0001
0.0009
0.0004
0.0005
0.0004
0.0004
0.0001
0.0005
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0032
X^2
Y^2
0.0001
0.0007
0.0001
0.0023
0.0001
0.0038
0.0031
0.0011
0.0065
0.0034
0.0015
0.0229
0.0013
0.0000
0.0001
0.0065
0.0001
0.0071
0.0012
0.0028
0.0110
0.0003
0.0002
0.0306
X^2
Y^2
-0.0002
0.0005
0.0001
-0.0003
0.0002
0.0004
-0.0001
0.0009
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0017
Alpha
-0.0007
2nd Quarter
Stock
Price(X)
Date
Index
Price(Y)
7-Apr
18-Apr
25-Apr
2-May
9-May
16-May
23-May
30-May
7-Jun
14-Jun
21-Jun
27-Jun
807.93
817.46
838.84
831.14
870.87
861.62
808.35
763.02
737.29
677.64
717.3
744.89
Beta
Alpha
0.935019
4760.16
4585.45
4563.47
4530.25
4896.37
4861.72
4453.24
4300.74
4072.38
3644.75
3705.85
3756.99
X
Stock Price
Return
0.0118
0.0262
-0.0092
0.0478
-0.0106
-0.0618
-0.0561
-0.0337
-0.0809
0.0585
0.0385
-0.0696
Y
Index Price
Return
-0.0367
-0.0048
-0.0073
0.0808
-0.0071
-0.0840
-0.0342
-0.0531
-0.1050
0.0168
0.0138
-0.2208
XY
-0.0004
-0.0001
0.0001
0.0039
0.0001
0.0052
0.0019
0.0018
0.0085
0.0010
0.0005
0.0224
-0.01416
3rd Quarter
Date
Stock
Price(X)
Index
Price(Y)
X
Stock Price
Return
Y
Index Price
Return
XY
45

4-Jul
11-Jul
18-Jul
25-Jul
1-Aug
8-Aug
16-Aug
23-Aug
30-Aug
6-Sep
13-Sep
20-Sep
27-Sep
Beta
0.799204
767.54
785.37
730.91
725.8
788.18
799.01
815.71
847.79
846.85
869.46
847.02
876.64
885.1
3682.11
3736.74
3596.63
3632.22
3999.31
4143.54
4357.24
4414.12
4522.24
4667.96
4658.03
4903.92
5008.75
0.0232
-0.0693
-0.0070
0.0859
0.0137
0.0209
0.0393
-0.0011
0.0267
-0.0258
0.0350
0.0097
0.1512
0.0148
-0.0375
0.0099
0.1011
0.0361
0.0516
0.0131
0.0245
0.0322
-0.0021
0.0528
0.0214
0.3177
0.0005
0.0048
0.0000
0.0074
0.0002
0.0004
0.0015
0.0000
0.0007
0.0007
0.0012
0.0001
0.0177
0.0002
0.0014
0.0001
0.0102
0.0013
0.0027
0.0002
0.0006
0.0010
0.0000
0.0028
0.0005
0.0210
X^2
Y^2
0.0008
0.0031
0.0004
0.0010
0.0000
0.0066
0.0000
0.0001
0.0001
0.0023
0.0001
0.0145
0.0000
0.0003
0.0000
0.0020
0.0000
0.0044
0.0004
0.0002
0.0001
0.0058
0.0002
0.0133
0.0003
0.0026
-0.0001
0.0087
0.0005
0.0011
0.0005
0.0000
0.0009
0.0001
0.0018
0.0002
0.0166
Alpha
0.016408
4th Quarter
Date
5-Oct
12-Oct
19-Oct
27-Oct
3-Nov
10-Nov
17-Nov
24-Nov
1-Dec
8-Dec
15-Dec
22-Dec
Beta
0.759975
Stock
Price(X)
919.07
945.33
997.54
977.94
1009
1011.73
1093.76
1095.09
1106.2
1093.06
1040.42
1028.25
Index
Price(Y)
X
Stock Price
Return
5280.94
5270.22
5366.56
5382.36
5622.14
5620.59
5991.68
6104.34
6195.59
6247.43
5771.04
5849
Y
Index Price
Return
0.0286
0.0552
-0.0196
0.0318
0.0027
0.0811
0.0012
0.0101
-0.0119
-0.0482
-0.0117
0.1193
-0.0020
0.0183
0.0029
0.0445
-0.0003
0.0660
0.0188
0.0149
0.0084
-0.0763
0.0135
0.1089
XY
Alpha
0.001653
HDFC
Table-2
Company
HDFC
Quarter
Beta
Alpha
0.406
-0.0007
1.0059
-0.0125
46
-0.0001
0.0010
-0.0001
0.0014
0.0000
0.0054
0.0000
0.0002
-0.0001
0.0037
-0.0002
0.0113

3
0.7912
0.0152
0.7626
0.0014
Graph-2
Value
HDFC
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
-0.2
1.0059
0.7912
0.7626
0.406
-0.0007
0.0152
-0.0125
0.0014
4
Quarter
Beta
Alpha
Interpretation of Beta:- In first quarter the beta is having a positive move with 0.406
which is nearer to 0.5 and this positive trend continued in second quarter with 1.0059.
Here 1% change in index return causes exactly 1% change in the stock return. It
indicates that both stock and indices move in the same direction.
But this does not continue with third quarter. A slight decline to 0.7912 which
is again a healthy sign being more than 0.5. This trend almost continued with decline
of 0.7626 indicating that stock is slightly volatile.
Interpretation of Alpha:- In first quarter there is no market return i.e. the alpha value
is Zero. But in third quarter a return is 0.0152 and continuing the same with fourth
quarter with a little decline to 0.0014.
Conclusion:- From the above Interpretation of Beta and Alpha values of four quarters
the individual script is volatile but it is little bit influenced by the market, which leads
to small amount of variations in values of market return.

1st Quarter
Graph-1
47
52
50
48
46
44
42
40
6J
12 an -J 06
17 a n-J 06
20 a n-J 06
25 a n-J 06
31 a n-J 06
a
3- n-0
Fe 6
8- b-0
F
14 eb 6
-F -0 6
17 eb
-F - 06
22 eb
-F - 06
27 eb
-F - 06
e
2- b- 0
M 6
a
7- r-0
M 6
10 a r
-M -0
16 ar 6
-M - 06
21 ar
-M - 0
24 ar 6
-M - 0
29 ar 6
-M - 06
ar
-0
6
Value
HDFC Qtr wise 5 days Moving Avg
Date
Stock Avg
Index Avg
Interpretation of 5-days MA:- From the above graph, it shows that market index
and stock lines are goes on with correlation with and its continue with the whole
Quarter. Here the individual stock is performing well as compared with the Market
Index. The 5 days MA line of stock is up and there is lots of volatility in script as well
as in the market prices. On 14th Feb the stock price is go up and on 27th Feb it was
fallen down and again pickup back on 21st Mar and a fall again on 29th Mar.
Conclusion:- Here it indicates that the performance of the stock is good as compare
to the Market Index. There is so much volatility exists in the stock that the market will
not able to influence the script prices.
2nd Quarter
Graph-2
48
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
3Ap
7- r-0
A 6
13 pr-A 06
19 pr-A 06
24 pr-A 06
27 pr-A 06
p
2- r-0
M 6
a
5- y-0
M 6
10 a y
-M -0 6
15 ay
-M -06
18 ay
-M -06
23 ay
-M -06
26 ay
-M -06
ay
1- -0
Ju 6
n
6- -0
Ju 6
n
9- -0
Ju 6
14 n-J 06
u
19 n-J 06
u
22 n-J 06
u
26 n-J 06
29 u n-J 06
un
-0
6
Value
HDFC Qtr wise 5days Moving Avg
Date
Stock Avg
Index Avg
and stock lines are goes on with correlation and its continued with the whole Quarter.
Here the individual stock is performing well as compared with the Market Index. The
5 days MA line of stock is up and there is a lots of volatility in script as well as in the
market prices. From 2nd May to 15th May there is up ward movement and later there
was down ward movement up to 14th June and a small pickup by the Quarter ending.
Conclusion:- Here it indicates that the performance of the stock is good as compared
to the Market Index. There is so much volatility exists in the stock that the market was
not able to influence the script prices and there was lots of ups and downs exists
during this period.
3rdQuarter
Graph-3
49
3Ju
6- l- 06
J
11 ul- 0
-J 6
14 u l-0
-J 6
19 u l-0
-J 6
24 u l-0
-J 6
27 u l-0
-J 6
1- u l-0
Au 6
4- g-0
Au 6
9- g-0
A 6
14 u g
-A -06
18 ug
-A -0 6
23 ug
-A -0 6
28 ug
-A -0
31 ug 6
-A -0 6
u
5- g-0
Se 6
8- p-0
S
13 e p 6
-S -06
18 ep
-S -0 6
21 ep
-S -0 6
26 ep
-S -0 6
29 ep
-S -0 6
ep
-0
6
Value

70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Date
Stock Avg
Index Avg
G
Interpretation of 5-days MA:- From the above graph, it clears that market index
5 days MA line of stock is up and there is a lots of volatility in script as well as in the
market prices. From 19July to end of Quarter there is a up ward trend in the script as
well as in index.
Conclusion:- The market and the individual script lines are up ward trend and the
market is in Bullish mode. Here it indicates that the performance of the stock is good
as compared to the Market Index.
4th Quarter
Graph-4
50
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
3O
c
6- t-0
O 6
11 ct-0
-O 6
16 ct-O 0 6
19 ct-0
-O 6
23 ct-O 0 6
30 ct-O 0 6
c
2- t-0
No 6
7- v-0
N 6
10 ov-N 06
15 ov
-N -0 6
20 ov-N 0 6
23 ov
-N -0 6
28 ov
-N -0 6
o
1- v-0
De 6
6- c-0
D 6
11 ec-D 06
14 ec
-D -0 6
19 ec
-D -0 6
22 ec-D 0 6
28 ec
-D -0 6
ec
-0
6
Value
Date
Stock Avg
Index Avg
and stock lines are goes on with correlation and its continue with the whole Quarter.
5 days MA line of stock is up and there was a lots of volatility in script as well as in
the market prices. From 3rd Oct to 19th Oct there was a rising trend in the script and
market index prices and later on 23rd Oct to 11th Dec there are a lot of ups and downs
and later a down ward trend in the Market till the end of this Quarter.
market is in Bullish mode and later there is a recession. Here it indicates that the
performance of the stock is good as compared to the Market Index.
Final Conclusion:-From the above observation made in these Four Quarters, its
clears that the Investment in HDFC stock in First Quarter is quite a risky one as there
is a lots of volatility exists during this period, in Second Quarter as the market was
falling a bearish mode of market a good situation to buy and in Third Quarter the
market is in Bullish mood and hear the investor can sell his stock and make a good
money out of it. Even though he holds and its a good investment as the market is
continued its Bullish move till the end of Fourth Quarter and later there is a recession
in this script.
ICICI Bank
1st Quarter
Date
Stock
Index
X^2
Y^2
XY
51

Price(X)
Price(Y)
Stock Price
Return
6-Jan
16-Jan
23-Jan
31-Jan
7-Feb
15-Feb
22-Feb
1-Mar
8-Mar
16-Mar
23-Mar
30-Mar
Beta
0.520905
604.38
582.31
568.66
602.72
595.62
605.44
592.82
602.12
607.6
607.8
599.17
595.48
4673.34
4624.15
4487.18
4574.71
4476.5
4562.5
4473.68
4520.89
4618.39
4661.64
4660.88
4668.97
Index Price
Return
-0.0365
-0.0234
0.0599
-0.0118
0.0165
-0.0208
0.0157
0.0091
0.0003
-0.0142
-0.0062
-0.0114
-0.0105
-0.0296
0.0195
-0.0215
0.0192
-0.0195
0.0106
0.0216
0.0094
-0.0002
0.0017
0.0007
0.0013
0.0005
0.0036
0.0001
0.0003
0.0004
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0002
0.0000
0.0069
0.0001
0.0009
0.0004
0.0005
0.0004
0.0004
0.0001
0.0005
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0032
0.0004
0.0007
0.0012
0.0003
0.0003
0.0004
0.0002
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0036
X^2
Y^2
XY
0.0015
0.0000
0.0001
0.0103
0.0001
0.0083
0.0007
0.0020
0.0078
0.0002
0.0011
0.0320
0.0013
0.0000
0.0001
0.0065
0.0001
0.0071
0.0012
0.0021
0.0078
0.0004
0.0007
0.0272
Alpha
0.000605
2nd Quarter
Date
7-Apr
18-Apr
25-Apr
2-May
9-May
16-May
23-May
30-May
6-Jun
13-Jun
20-Jun
26-Jun
Beta
0.875191
Stock
Price(X)
605.68
582.11
579.43
584.83
644.18
639.45
581.15
566.16
540.91
493.26
486.38
502.53
Index
Price(Y)
X
Stock Price
Return
4760.16
4585.45
4563.47
4530.25
4896.37
4861.72
4453.24
4300.74
4104.69
3742.06
3663.94
3758.13
Y
Index Price
Return
-0.0389
-0.0046
0.0093
0.1015
-0.0073
-0.0912
-0.0258
-0.0446
-0.0881
-0.0139
0.0332
-0.1705
-0.0367
-0.0048
-0.0073
0.0808
-0.0071
-0.0840
-0.0342
-0.0456
-0.0883
-0.0209
0.0257
-0.2224
0.0014
0.0000
-0.0001
0.0082
0.0001
0.0077
0.0009
0.0020
0.0078
0.0003
0.0009
0.0291
Alpha
-0.00666
3rd Quarter
Date
Stock
Price(X)
Index
Price(Y)
X^2
Y^2
XY
52

Stock Price
Return
3-Jul
10-Jul
17-Jul
24-Jul
31-Jul
7-Aug
14-Aug
22-Aug
29-Aug
5-Sep
12-Sep
19-Sep
26-Sep
Beta
0.94109
488.71
493.55
487.03
486.4
544.58
554.02
589.27
592.07
590.35
607.37
605.09
643.82
661.28
3662.6
3755.37
3638.84
3552.51
3963.4
4100.5
4323.81
4421.72
4482
4649.14
4631.33
4888.75
4963.8
Index Price
Return
0.0099
-0.0132
-0.0013
0.1196
0.0173
0.0636
0.0048
-0.0029
0.0288
-0.0038
0.0640
0.0271
0.3140
0.0253
-0.0310
-0.0237
0.1157
0.0346
0.0545
0.0226
0.0136
0.0373
-0.0038
0.0556
0.0154
0.3160
0.0001
0.0002
0.0000
0.0143
0.0003
0.0040
0.0000
0.0000
0.0008
0.0000
0.0041
0.0007
0.0246
0.0006
0.0010
0.0006
0.0134
0.0012
0.0030
0.0005
0.0002
0.0014
0.0000
0.0031
0.0002
0.0251
0.0003
0.0004
0.0000
0.0138
0.0006
0.0035
0.0001
0.0000
0.0011
0.0000
0.0036
0.0004
0.0237
X^2
Y^2
XY
0.0000
0.0006
0.0012
0.0023
0.0000
0.0105
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0012
0.0009
0.0004
0.0176
0.0001
0.0002
0.0000
0.0025
0.0000
0.0034
0.0009
0.0001
0.0003
0.0049
0.0001
0.0001
0.0127
Alpha
0.001703
4th Quarter
Date
4-Oct
11-Oct
18-Oct
26-Oct
2-Nov
9-Nov
16-Nov
23-Nov
30-Nov
7-Dec
14-Dec
21-Dec
29-Dec
Beta
0.748947
Stock
Price(X)
697.89
697.88
715.29
740.49
776.27
779.31
859.34
872.83
869.66
872
841.28
866.96
883.79
Index
Price(Y)
X
Stock Price
Return
5238.9
5283.08
5353.67
5340.28
5608.56
5591.63
5919.34
6097.55
6160.16
6266.67
5826.31
5882.56
5948.14
Y
Index Price
Return
0.0000
0.0249
0.0352
0.0483
0.0039
0.1027
0.0157
-0.0036
0.0027
-0.0352
0.0305
0.0194
0.2446
0.0084
0.0134
-0.0025
0.0502
-0.0030
0.0586
0.0301
0.0103
0.0173
-0.0703
0.0097
0.0111
0.1333
Alpha
-0.00415
ICICI
Table-3
Company
ICICI
Quarter
Beta
1
Alpha
0.5672
0.0005
53
0.0000
0.0003
-0.0001
0.0024
0.0000
0.0060
0.0005
0.0000
0.0000
0.0025
0.0003
0.0002
0.0121

2
0.8857
-0.0059
0.7074
0.0072
0.5941
-0.0009
Graph-3
ICICI
1
0.8857
Value
0.8
0.7074
0.6
0.5941
0.5672
0.4
0.2
0
-0.2
0.0005
1
0.0072
-0.0059
2
-0.0009
4
Quarter
Beta
Alpha
Interpretation of beta:- In first quarter, the beta is having a positive mode of 0.5672
which is more than 0.5 and there does not exist much volatility in market. This trend
continued and Beta went up by 0.8857 which depicts the stock moves in the same
direction as market moves. But in third quarter there is a slight decline in Beta i.e.
0.7074 which again shows that stock price moves with market. Finally in fourth
quarter it came down to 0.5941 which is the healthy sign for the individual stock as
the stock is less volatile as compared to the market.
Interpretation of Alpha:- In first and third quarter there is a market return is 0.0005
and 0.0072 this shows a small increase in the market return. But this will is followed
by second and fourth quarter as there is no return from the market.
the individual script is not so volatile but it is little bit influenced by the market,
which leads to get a positive return in two quarters.

1st Quarter
Graph-1
54

ICICI Qtr wise 5 days Moving Avg
50
Values
40
30
20
10
6J
12 an -J 06
17 a n-J 06
20 a n-J 06
25 a n-J 06
a
4- n-0
Ja 6
9- n -0
Ja 6
8- n -0
F 6
14 eb-F 0 6
17 eb-F 06
22 eb-F 06
27 eb-F 06
e
2- b- 0
M 6
a
7- r-0
M 6
10 a r-M 0 6
16 ar-M 06
21 ar-M 06
24 ar-M 06
29 ar-M 06
ar
-0
6
Date
Stock Avg
Index Avg
continued with whole quarter. On 6th Jan to 9th Jan there is a decline in the market
after that from 8th Feb it goes up and for the rest of the Quarter these ups and down
were continued. During all these up and downs the Market Index is constant. .
Conclusion: This we conclude that even though there is a Constant move in the Index
price, but in individual script is so volatile and its moving with the market. Here the
market is stable and volatility exists only with the stock prices.
2nd Quarter
Graph-2
55
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
3Ap
7- r-0
A 6
13 p r-A 06
19 pr
-A -0 6
24 pr-A 0 6
27 pr
-A -0 6
2- pr-0
M 6
5- a yM 0
10 a y 6
-M -0
15 ay 6
-M - 0
18 ay 6
-M - 0
23 ay 6
-M - 0
26 ay 6
-M - 0
31 ay 6
-M - 06
a
5- y- 0
Ju 6
8- n -0
J 6
13 un
-J -0
16 u n 6
-J -06
21 u n-J 06
25 u n
-J -06
28 u n-J 06
un
-0
6
Value
ICICI Qtr wsie 5 days Moving Avg
Date
Stock Avg
Index Avg
From 3rd Apr to 27th Apr there is a down ward movement and on 5th May to 15th May
a rising trend and till the end of Quarter there is a continues fall.
Tandem with the market. Hear the market is bearish as the prices of Market index and
stock lines are continually falling.
3rdQuarter
Graph-3
56
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
3Ju
6- l- 0
J 6
11 ul-J 06
14 u l-J 06
19 u l-J 06
24 u l-J 06
27 u l-J 06
1- u lA 06
4- u gA 06
9- u gA 0
14 u g 6
-A -0
18 ug 6
-A -0
23 ug 6
-A -0
28 ug 6
-A -0
31 ug 6
-A -0
6
5- ugSe 0 6
8- pS 0
13 e p 6
-S -0
18 ep 6
-S -0
21 ep 6
-S -0
26 ep 6
-S -0
29 ep 6
-S -0
ep 6
-0
6
Value
Date
Stock Avg
Index Avg
Interpretation of 5-days MA:- From the above graph, it clears that 3rd Jul to 24th Jul
there is a down ward movement in both Index and Script prices, but after this there is
a sudden increase from 27th Jul to 4th Aug then a little-bit decrease in script line and
the rise will continued till the Quarter ending. Here the individual stock and market
index lines go with correlation and this was continued with the whole Quarter.
Tandem with the market. It also shows the Bullish trend as the market and stock
prices are moving in an upward trend.
4th Quarter
Graph-4
57

3O
c
6- t-0
O 6
11 ct-O 06
16 ct-O 0 6
19 ct-O 0 6
23 ct-O 0 6
30 ct-O 0 6
c
2- t-0
No 6
7- v-0
N 6
10 ov
-N -06
15 ov
-N -0 6
20 ov
-N -0 6
23 ov
-N -0 6
28 ov
-N -0 6
1- ovDe 0 6
6- c-0
D 6
11 ec
-D -06
14 ec
-D -0 6
19 ec
-D -0 6
22 ec
-D -0 6
28 ec
-D -0 6
ec
-0
6
Value
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Date
Stock Avg
Index Avg
and individual stock prices lines are correlated and this will continued with the whole
quarter. On 3rd Oct to 16th Oct there is a fall in stock prices but during this period the
Market price will not affected so much, from 19th Nov to 20th Nov the market index
and stock price are intersect each other and they get a little diversion till 14th Dec and
on 19th Dec again there is collision and this will continued further.
Conclude:- It indicates that the stock moves in tandem with the market index. There
is a volatility exists in the stock price as compare to the market index, the market line
is up ward at some points the script is going to intersect with the Market Price line.
clears that the Investment in ICICI stock is a good during the First Quarter but this
will be not with Second Quarter as the market is falling a bearish mode of market a
good situation to buy and in Third Quarter the market is in Bullish mood and hear the
investor can sell his stock and make a good money out of it. Even thaw he holds and
its a good investment as the market is continued its Bullish move till the end of
Fourth Quarter.
State Bank of India

1st Quarter
Date
Stock
Price(X)
Index
Price(Y)
X
Stock Price
Y
Index Price
X^2
Y^2
XY
58

Return
6-Jan
16-Jan
23-Jan
31-Jan
7-Feb
15-Feb
22-Feb
1-Mar
8-Mar
16-Mar
23-Mar
30-Mar
923.26
922.44
903.61
894.2
866.44
875.87
865.24
875.58
895.81
934.17
964.77
980.4
Beta
0.489641
4673.34
4624.15
4487.18
4574.71
4476.5
4562.5
4473.68
4520.89
4618.39
4661.64
4660.88
4668.97
-0.0009
-0.0204
-0.0104
-0.0310
0.0109
-0.0121
0.0120
0.0231
0.0428
0.0328
0.0162
0.0628
Return
-0.0105
-0.0296
0.0195
-0.0215
0.0192
-0.0195
0.0106
0.0216
0.0094
-0.0002
0.0017
0.0007
0.0000
0.0004
0.0001
0.0010
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.0005
0.0018
0.0011
0.0003
0.0056
0.0001
0.0009
0.0004
0.0005
0.0004
0.0004
0.0001
0.0005
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0032
X^2
Y^2
0.0024
0.0003
0.0003
0.0036
0.0000
0.0036
0.0010
0.0023
0.0053
0.0004
0.0000
0.0192
0.0013
0.0000
0.0001
0.0065
0.0001
0.0071
0.0012
0.0021
0.0078
0.0004
0.0007
0.0272
0.0000
0.0006
-0.0002
0.0007
0.0002
0.0002
0.0001
0.0005
0.0004
0.0000
0.0000
0.0026
Alpha
-0.00273
2nd Quarter
Date
7-Apr
18-Apr
25-Apr
2-May
9-May
16-May
23-May
30-May
6-Jun
13-Jun
20-Jun
26-Jun
Beta
1.28762
Stock
Price(X)
987.06
939.07
922.62
906.93
961.49
957.02
899.5
870.98
828.84
768.72
754.06
751.75
Index
Price(Y)
4760.16
4585.45
4563.47
4530.25
4896.37
4861.72
4453.24
4300.74
4104.69
3742.06
3663.94
3758.13
X
Stock Price
Return
-0.0486
-0.0175
-0.0170
0.0602
-0.0046
-0.0601
-0.0317
-0.0484
-0.0725
-0.0191
-0.0031
-0.2625
Y
Index Price
Return
-0.0367
-0.0048
-0.0073
0.0808
-0.0071
-0.0840
-0.0342
-0.0456
-0.0883
-0.0209
0.0257
-0.2224
XY
0.0018
0.0001
0.0001
0.0049
0.0000
0.0050
0.0011
0.0022
0.0064
0.0004
-0.0001
0.0220
Alpha
0.010508
3rd Quarter
Date
Stock
Price(X)
Index
Price(Y)
X
Stock Price
Return
Y
Index Price
Return
X^2
Y^2
XY
59

3-Jul
10-Jul
17-Jul
24-Jul
31-Jul
7-Aug
14-Aug
22-Aug
29-Aug
5-Sep
12-Sep
19-Sep
26-Sep
724.74
742.06
728.32
714.83
774.58
817.41
858.11
882.21
896.77
934.77
936.48
978.62
980.9
Beta
1.198536
3662.6
3755.37
3638.84
3552.51
3963.4
4100.5
4323.81
4421.72
4482
4649.14
4631.33
4888.75
4963.8
0.0239
-0.0185
-0.0185
0.0836
0.0553
0.0498
0.0281
0.0165
0.0424
0.0018
0.0450
0.0023
0.3117
0.0253
-0.0310
-0.0237
0.1157
0.0346
0.0545
0.0226
0.0136
0.0373
-0.0038
0.0556
0.0154
0.3160
0.0006
0.0003
0.0003
0.0070
0.0031
0.0025
0.0008
0.0003
0.0018
0.0000
0.0020
0.0000
0.0187
0.0006
0.0010
0.0006
0.0134
0.0012
0.0030
0.0005
0.0002
0.0014
0.0000
0.0031
0.0002
0.0251
0.0006
0.0006
0.0004
0.0097
0.0019
0.0027
0.0006
0.0002
0.0016
0.0000
0.0025
0.0000
0.0209
X^2
Y^2
XY
0.0000
0.0000
0.0001
0.0037
0.0002
0.0013
0.0041
0.0019
0.0021
0.0056
0.0000
0.0000
0.0192
0.0001
0.0002
0.0000
0.0025
0.0000
0.0034
0.0009
0.0001
0.0003
0.0049
0.0001
0.0001
0.0127
Alpha
-0.0048
4th Quarter
Stock
Price(X)
Date
4-Oct
11-Oct
18-Oct
26-Oct
2-Nov
9-Nov
16-Nov
23-Nov
30-Nov
7-Dec
14-Dec
21-Dec
29-Dec
1021.5
1027.48
1031.17
1041.96
1105.38
1119.25
1159.63
1234.31
1288.81
1347.52
1246.54
1238.37
1238.85
Beta
0.720811
Index
Price(Y)
X
Stock Price
Return
5238.9
5283.08
5353.67
5340.28
5608.56
5591.63
5919.34
6097.55
6160.16
6266.67
5826.31
5882.56
5948.14
Y
Index Price
Return
0.0059
0.0036
0.0105
0.0609
0.0125
0.0361
0.0644
0.0442
0.0456
-0.0749
-0.0066
0.0004
0.2024
0.0084
0.0134
-0.0025
0.0502
-0.0030
0.0586
0.0301
0.0103
0.0173
-0.0703
0.0097
0.0111
0.1333
Alpha
-0.00105
SBI
Table-4
Company
SBI
Quarter
Beta
1
2
Alpha
0.5
0.9713
-0.0025
0.0027
60
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0031
0.0000
0.0021
0.0019
0.0005
0.0008
0.0053
-0.0001
0.0000
0.0136

3
4
0.7721
0.6514
0.0057
0.0001
Graph-4
Value
SBI
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
-0.2
0.9713
0.7721
0.6514
0.5
0.0027
-0.0025
1
0.0057
3
0.0001
4
Quarter
Beta
Alpha
Interpretation of Beta:- In the first quarter with the Beta of 0.5 which shows a
very healthy sign as the stock is less volatile compare to the market, but this trend did
not continue with the second quarter, there is a substantial hike in Beta value by
0.9713 which is near to 1, indicate that stock is moving along with the market. In third
quarter there is a decline of 0.7721 compare to second quarter, which is not going to
have any effect on individual stock. This decline continued in fourth quarter also, a
Beta of 0.6514 which is a little bit more than 0.5.
Hence it indicates that the stock is volatile compared to the market.
Interpretation of Alpha:- In first quarter there is no market return, but in second
quarter there is a return of 0.0027 which is followed with third and fourth quarter i.e.
0.0057 and 0.0001 it is less than the third quarter.
the script is performing in a good manner and market return is also good. Here the
individual script and market are moving in the same direction.

1st Quarter
Graph-1
61

SBI Qtr wise 5 days Moving Avg
50
Value
48
46
44
42
6J
12 an -J 06
17 a n
-J -06
20 a n-J 06
25 a n
-J -06
31 a n-J 06
a
3- n-0
Fe 6
8- b-0
F
14 eb 6
-F -0 6
17 eb
-F - 0
22 eb 6
-F - 0
27 eb 6
-F - 06
e
2- b- 0
M 6
7- a r-0
M
10 a r 6
-M -0 6
16 ar
-M - 0
21 ar 6
-M - 0
24 ar 6
-M - 0
29 ar 6
-M - 06
ar
-0
6
40
Date
Stock
Index
Interpretation of 5-days MA:- From the above graph, its shows that On 17th Jan
there is a intersection between the Market index and stock line, later a fall up to 20th
Jan and again a intersection on 25th Jan. A radical fall in the script as well as in market
index up to 22nd Feb and a tremendous increase and on 16th Mar a intersection
between the stock and market line and this individual script is moving up ward than
the market index line.
Conclude:- There is a volatility exists in the stock price as compared to the market
index, the market line is up ward at some points the script is going to intersect with
the Market Price line. The individual script performance is good as compared to the
market. At the end of this Quarter there is a Bullish move in the script.
2nd Quarter
Graph-2
62

SBI Qtr wise 5 days Moving Avg
3Ap
7- r-0
A 6
13 p r-A 06
19 pr-A 0 6
24 pr-A 0 6
27 pr-A 0 6
2- pr-0
M 6
5- a y-0
M
10 a y 6
-M -0 6
15 ay
-M - 0
18 ay 6
-M - 0
23 ay 6
-M - 0
26 ay 6
-M - 0
31 ay 6
-M - 06
a
5- y- 0
Ju 6
8- n -0
J 6
13 un -J 06
16 u n-J 06
21 u n-J 06
25 u n-J 06
28 u n-J 06
un
-0
6
Value
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Date
Stock
Index
continued with whole quarter. Here the Market index and script price lines are moving
in the same direction and they are in declining move.
Tandem with the market. Hear the market is Bearish as the prices of Market index and
stock lines are continually falling and also the individual script is moving along with
the market.
3rdQuarter
Graph-3
63

SBI Qtr wise 5days Moving Avg
60
Value
50
40
30
20
3Ju
6- l- 0
J 6
11 ul-J 06
14 u l-J 06
19 u l-J 06
24 u l-J 06
27 u l-J 06
1- u lAu 06
4- gAu 06
9- gA 0
14 u g 6
-A -0
18 ug 6
-A -0
23 ug 6
-A -0
28 ug 6
-A -0
31 ug 6
-A -0
6
5- ugSe 0 6
8- pS 0
13 e p 6
-S -06
18 ep
-S -0
21 ep 6
-S -0
26 ep 6
-S -0
29 ep 6
-S -0
ep 6
-0
6
10
0
Stock
Index
Date
Interpretation of 5-days MA:- In the above graph, we shows that, the stock price for
5days MA line and market index MA line goes on with correlation and it is continued
with whole quarter. Here the Market index and script price lines are moving in the
same direction and they are is an up ward trend.
Tandem with the market. Hear the market is Bullish as the prices of Market index and
stock lines are continually rising and also the individual script is moving along with
the market.
4th Quarter
Graph-4
64
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
3O
c
6- t -06
O
11 ct -0
-O 6
16 ct-0
-O 6
19 ct-0
-O 6
23 ct-0
-O 6
30 ct-0
-O 6
c
2- t-0
No 6
7- v-0
N 6
10 ov-N 06
15 ov-N 0 6
20 ov-N 0 6
23 ov-N 0 6
28 ov-N 0 6
o
1- v-0
De 6
6- c-0
D 6
11 ec-D 06
14 ec-D 0 6
19 ec-D 0 6
22 ec-D 0 6
28 ec-D 0 6
ec
-0
6
Value
SBI Qtr wise 5days Moving Avg
Date
Stock
Index
with whole quarter. Here the Market index and script price lines are moving in the
same direction and they are is an up ward trend from 3rd Oct to 6th Dec and a little fall
the script as well as in market line.
Tandem with the market. Hear the market is Bullish as the prices of Market index and
stock lines are continually rising and also the individual script is moving along with
the market and at the end of Quarter a small decline in the both individual script as
well as in market index line.
Final Conclusion:- From the above observation made in these Four Quarters, its
clears that the Investment in SBI stock in is a wise investment First Quarter but this
will be not with Second Quarter as the market is falling a bearish mode its an good
situation to buy and in Third Quarter the market is in Bullish mood and here the
investor can sell his stock and make a good money out of it. Even thaw he holds and
its a good investment as the market is continued its Bullish move till the end of
Fourth Quarter.
Canara Bank
1st Quarter
65

Date
6-Jan
16-Jan
23-Jan
31-Jan
7-Feb
15-Feb
22-Feb
1-Mar
8-Mar
16-Mar
23-Mar
30-Mar
Beta
0.128049
Stock
Price(X)
243.84
235.4
226.48
239.21
235.48
266.74
264.26
271.62
280.58
277.19
269.43
272.83
Index
Price(Y)
4673.34
4624.15
4487.18
4574.71
4476.5
4562.5
4473.68
4520.89
4618.39
4661.64
4660.88
4668.97
X
Stock Price
Return
-0.0346
-0.0379
0.0562
-0.0156
0.1328
-0.0093
0.0279
0.0330
-0.0121
-0.0280
0.0126
0.1249
Y
Index Price
Return
-0.0105
-0.0296
0.0195
-0.0215
0.0192
-0.0195
0.0106
0.0216
0.0094
-0.0002
0.0017
0.0007
X^2
Y^2
XY
0.0012
0.0014
0.0032
0.0002
0.0176
0.0001
0.0008
0.0011
0.0001
0.0008
0.0002
0.0267
0.0001
0.0009
0.0004
0.0005
0.0004
0.0004
0.0001
0.0005
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0032
0.0001
0.0009
0.0004
0.0005
0.0004
0.0004
0.0001
0.0005
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0032
Alpha
-0.00139
2nd Quarter
Date
7-Apr
18-Apr
25-Apr
2-May
9-May
16-May
23-May
30-May
7-Jun
14-Jun
21-Jun
27-Jun
Beta
0.924553
Stock
Price(X)
269.82
255.31
253.66
251.69
270.07
262.4
229.34
224.76
221.02
202.69
207.96
204.04
Index
Price(Y)
4760.16
4585.45
4563.47
4530.25
4896.37
4861.72
4453.24
4300.74
4072.38
3644.75
3705.85
3756.99
X
Stock Price
Return
-0.0538
-0.0065
-0.0078
0.0730
-0.0284
-0.1260
-0.0200
-0.0166
-0.0829
0.0260
-0.0188
-0.2618
Y
Index Price
Return
-0.0367
-0.0048
-0.0073
0.0808
-0.0071
-0.0840
-0.0342
-0.0531
-0.1050
0.0168
0.0138
-0.2208
X^2
Y^2
XY
0.0029
0.0000
0.0001
0.0053
0.0008
0.0159
0.0004
0.0003
0.0069
0.0007
0.0004
0.0336
0.0013
0.0000
0.0001
0.0065
0.0001
0.0071
0.0012
0.0028
0.0110
0.0003
0.0002
0.0306
0.0013
0.0000
0.0001
0.0065
0.0001
0.0071
0.0012
0.0028
0.0110
0.0003
0.0002
0.0306
X^2
Y^2
XY
Alpha
0.001925
3rd Quarter
Date
Stock
Price(X)
Index
Price(Y)
X
Stock Price
Y
Index Price
66

Return
4-Jul
11-Jul
18-Jul
25-Jul
1-Aug
8-Aug
16-Aug
23-Aug
30-Aug
6-Sep
13-Sep
20-Sep
27-Sep
Beta
0.324027
198.67
199.11
191.56
177.97
193.51
197.4
206.7
208.77
217.35
236.67
245.73
258.9
217.75
3682.11
3736.74
3596.63
3632.22
3999.31
4143.54
4357.24
4414.12
4522.24
4667.96
4658.03
4903.92
5008.75
Return
0.0022
-0.0379
-0.0709
0.0873
0.0201
0.0471
0.0100
0.0411
0.0889
0.0383
0.0536
-0.1589
0.1208
0.0148
-0.0375
0.0099
0.1011
0.0361
0.0516
0.0131
0.0245
0.0322
-0.0021
0.0528
0.0214
0.3177
0.0000
0.0014
0.0050
0.0076
0.0004
0.0022
0.0001
0.0017
0.0079
0.0015
0.0029
0.0253
0.0560
0.0002
0.0014
0.0001
0.0102
0.0013
0.0027
0.0002
0.0006
0.0010
0.0000
0.0028
0.0005
0.0210
0.0002
0.0014
0.0001
0.0102
0.0013
0.0027
0.0002
0.0006
0.0010
0.0000
0.0028
0.0005
0.0210
X^2
Y^2
XY
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0015
0.0005
0.0007
0.0001
0.0001
0.0006
0.0190
0.0001
0.0232
0.0000
0.0003
0.0000
0.0020
0.0000
0.0044
0.0004
0.0002
0.0001
0.0058
0.0002
0.0133
0.0000
0.0003
0.0000
0.0020
0.0000
0.0044
0.0004
0.0002
0.0001
0.0058
0.0002
0.0133
Alpha
0.023217
4th Quarter
Date
Stock
Price(X)
5-Oct
12-Oct
19-Oct
27-Oct
3-Nov
10-Nov
17-Nov
24-Nov
1-Dec
8-Dec
15-Dec
22-Dec
Beta
0.601806
286.23
280.39
282.41
284.29
295.4
288.63
296.3
298.98
301.45
309.05
266.41
269.05
Index
Price(Y)
5280.94
5270.22
5366.56
5382.36
5622.14
5620.59
5991.68
6104.34
6195.59
6247.43
5771.04
5849
X
Stock Price
Return
Y
Index Price
Return
-0.0204
0.0072
0.0067
0.0391
-0.0229
0.0266
0.0090
0.0083
0.0252
-0.1380
0.0099
-0.0494
-0.0020
0.0183
0.0029
0.0445
-0.0003
0.0660
0.0188
0.0149
0.0084
-0.0763
0.0135
0.1089
Alpha
0.012597
Canara Bank
Table-5
Company
CANBANK
Quarter
Beta
1
Alpha
0.1322
-0.0013
67

2
3
4
0.8357
0.3481
0.6483
-0.0001
0.0212
0.0117
Graph-5
CANBANK
1
0.8357
Value
0.8
0.6483
0.6
0.4
0.3481
0.2
0.1322
-0.0013
0
-0.2
0.0212
-0.0001
2
0.0117
4
Quarter
Beta
Alpha
Interpretation of Beta:- In the first quarter, the Beta being very less i.e. 0.1322
which is less than 0.5, which is least volatile in the market. This trend did not
continue with second quarter, there is sudden change in Beta value i.e. 0.8357 which
is more than 0.5 which shows the stock is moving along with the market. We see a
declining trend in beta value in third quarter i.e.0.3481 which is less than 0.5 and here
the script is least volatile. In fourth quarter there is a up ward movement in Beta value
by 0.6483 which is more than 0.5 and by knowing and comparing all these four
quarter finally we come to a conclusion that is there is a lot of volatility existing in
stock price.
Interpretation of Alpha:- In first and second quarter there is no return from the
market. But in third and fourth quarter there is a return of 0.0212 and 0.0117 which is
a good sign.
the individual script is volatile and the market value is not going to influence the
script.

1st Quarter
68
Graph-1
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
6J
12 an -J 06
17 a n-J 06
20 a n-J 06
25 a n-J 06
31 a n-J 06
a
3- n-0
Fe 6
8- b-0
F 6
14 eb
-F -0 6
17 eb
-F - 06
22 eb
-F - 06
27 eb
-F - 06
e
2- b- 0
M 6
a
7- r-0
M 6
10 a r
-M -0
16 ar 6
-M - 06
21 ar
-M - 0
24 ar 6
-M - 06
29 ar
-M - 06
ar
-0
6
Value
CanBank Qtr wise 5 days Moving Avg
Date
Stock
Index
with whole quarter. On 12th Jan to 31st Jan there a intersection between the market
line and stock line, there was a up ward movement on 8th Feb to 17th Feb and a decline
on 22nd Feb, but a good pick-up in the rest of Quarter.
Conclusion: This we conclude that even thaw there is a Constant move in the Index
price, but in individual script is so volatile and its moving with the market. Here the
market is stable and volatility exists only with the stock prices, stock price will
dominated the market index price.
2nd Quarter
Graph-2
69
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
3A
7- p r-0
Ap 6
13 r
-A -0
19 pr 6
-A -0
24 pr 6
-A -0
27 pr 6
-A -0
2- pr- 6
M 0
5- a y- 6
M
10 a y 0 6
-M -0
15 ay 6
-M 18 ay 06
-M 23 ay 06
-M - 0
26 ay 6
-M - 0
a 6
1- y- 0
Ju 6
6- n -0
Ju 6
9- n -0
14 Jun 6
-J -0
19 u n 6
-J -0
22 u n 6
- -0
26 Ju n 6
-J -0
29 u n 6
-J -06
un
-0
6
Value
CanBank Qtr wise 5days Moving Avg
Date
Stock
Index
and stock lines are goes on with correlation and its continue with the whole Quarter.
Here the individual stock was performing well as compared with the Market Index.
The 5 days MA line of stock is up and there was a lots of volatility in script as well
as in the market prices. From 3rd Apr to 27th Apr there is down ward trend in the script
as well as market prices and later there is a up ward movement up to 10th May, later a
fall will continue till the end of Quarter.
Conclusion:- Here it indicates that the performance of the stock is good as compared
to the Market Index. There is so much volatility exists in the stock that the market will
not able to influence the script prices and there are a lots of ups and downs exists
during this period, here there is a Bearish trend in the Market index as well as in the
individual script price.
3rdQuarter
Graph-3
70
3Ju
6- l- 06
J
11 ul- 0
-J 6
14 u l-J 06
19 u l- 0
-J 6
24 u l- 0
-J 6
27 u l- 0
-J 6
1- u l- 0
Au 6
4- gAu 06
9- g-0
A
14 u g 6
-A -06
18 ug
-A -0
23 ug 6
-A -0
28 ug 6
-A -0
31 ug 6
-A -0
u 6
5- g-0
Se 6
8- p-0
S
13 e p 6
-S -06
18 ep
-S -0
21 ep 6
-S -0
26 ep 6
-S -0
29 ep 6
-S -0 6
ep
-0
6
value
CanBank Qtr wise 5days Moving Avg

60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Date
Stock
Index
Interpretation of 5-days MA:- From the above graph, it clears that market index
The 5 days MA line of stock is up and there is a lots of volatility in script as well as
in the market prices. From 3rd Jul to 23rd Jul there is a declining trend in the both
lines, On 24th Jul there is a intersection between the market line and script line and
this intersection will continue till 4th Aug and later an up ward trend continued till the
Quarter ending.
market is in Bullish mode. Here it indicates that the performance of the stock is good
as compared to the Market Index.
4th Quarter
Graph-4
71
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
3O
c
6- t-0
O 6
11 ct
-O -06
16 ct-O 0 6
19 ct-O 0 6
23 ct-O 0 6
30 ct
-O -0 6
c
2- t-0
No 6
7- v-0
N 6
10 ov
-N -06
15 ov
-N -0
20 ov 6
-N -0
23 ov 6
-N -0
28 ov 6
-N -0 6
1- ovDe 0 6
6- c-0
D 6
11 ec
-D -0
14 ec 6
-D -0
19 ec 6
-D -0
22 ec 6
-D -0
28 ec 6
-D -0 6
ec
-0
6
Value
CanBank Qtr wise 5 days Moving Avg
Date
Stock
Index
The 5 days MA line of stock is up and there is a lots of volatility in script as well as
in the market prices. From 3rd Oct to 10th Nov there is a lots of volatility in the script
and market index prices.
On 15th Nov there is a intersection between the individual script and the market index
line, this was continue till 11th Dec and later a dramatic fall in the individual script.
market is in Bullish mode and later there is a recession. Here there is a decline in the
performance of the stock is come down as compared to the Market Index.
clears that the Investment in Canara Bank stock in First Quarter good one as the
market is stagnant during this period, in Second Quarter as the market is falling a
bearish mode of market a good situation to buy and in Third Quarter the market is in
Bullish mood and hear the investor can sell his stock and make a good money out of
it. Even thaw he holds and its a good investment as the market is continued its
Bullish move, but this will not continue with the end of Fourth Quarter as there is a
sudden fall in the individual script.
Findings and Conclusions
72

The findings and conclusions have been given after each analysis point in the
report.
Methodology Adopted for the Calculation of Moving Average of both
Scripts and Index Moving Average (MA) trends,
For the appropriate graphical representation of Moving Average for Index and
the lines in the graph give the closer and clear comparative picture of the
movement/trend.
For example:
Date
2-Jan-06
3-Jan-06
4-Jan-06
5-Jan-06
6-Jan-06
ICICI
597
606.5
613.7
604.55
600.15
Avg
Avg of
5days
div by 15
604.38
40.292
Index
4556.25
4600.25
4694.15
4760.45
4755.6
Avgof 5days
div by 100
4673.34
46.7334
Formula Used for the Calculation of Alpha and Beta

Beta () = n*X*Y (X * Y)/ n* X^2- X^2
Alpha= Avg of Y- Beta* Avg of X
73

BIBLIOGRAPHY
Referred Books:
1. Security analysis and Portfolio Management By; Punithavathy Pandian.
2. Invest Analysis and Portfolio Management By; Prasanna Chandra
Websites:
1. www.nseindia.com
2. www.bseindia.com
3. Google search engine.
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Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

The Banking Companies are

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

Design of the Study

Objectives of the study

To know the variations in Banking Stocks.

As my study is Fluctuations in Banking Stocks its related to some

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

Methodology of data Collection

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

Tools and Techniques of Data Collection

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

There are basically 3 concepts of investment:

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

EARLY HISTORY AND DEVELOPMENTS OF THE INDIAN

SHARE MANIA OF 1861-65:

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

WORLD WAR II AND AFTER:

ORGANISATION OF INDIAN STOCK EXCHANGES

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

Members of the exchange are entitled to work either as individual entities, or in

Members are entitled to appoint attorneys to supervise their stock exchange

Role of SEBI in Security Market

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

Over the Counter Exchange of India (OTCEI)

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

NATIONAL STOCK EXCHANGE (NSE)

STOCK HOLDING CORPORATION OF INDIA LIMITED (SHCIL)

The manual system of clearing and settlement of transactions, transfer and

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

WHY OF SECURITY TRADING:

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

2. Short-term capital/working capital: it represents the amount of capital invested

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

The amount of capital required for making payment in

international trade is called export capital. The methods of payment in international

a. Cash with order

Meaning and Definition of Capital Market:

Components of Capital Market:

The primary market the existing

companies or the new companies offer shares/debentures to the public for

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

i) Companies issuing securities:- As per the SEBI Guidelines, companies intending

1. It has not completed 12 months of commercial operations.

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

About the Organization

Name of the Organisation

: Dantkale and V.Javalegekar Association

This organization was running successfully since from 15 years. It started in

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

2. The market discounts everything. The price of the security quoted

The loss of earnings and information regarding the forthcoming labors

The trend continues for sometime and then it

Fluctuations In Banking Stocks

HISTORY OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Beta () = nXY (X * Y)/ n* X^2- X^2