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Market Pulse Alternative Assets Survey
Market Pulse Alternative Assets Survey
Market Pulse Alternative Assets Survey
Key findings from J.P. Morgan Asset Managements latest poll of institutional investors
Overview
The experiences and lessons of the
recent financial crisis, the most devastating period for market participants in the
post-World War II era, can be expected to
have a lasting impact on the investment
outlook, behavior and strategies of
institutional investors.
J.P. Morgans Market Pulse surveys are designed to capture the
changing perspectives, shifting allocations and developing
portfolio management trends of investors as they continue
their passage out of crisis, into recovery and beyond.
In our latest survey, Market Pulse: Alternative Assets, conducted in March through April of this year, we set out to test the
R e s e a rc h Method ology
Our on-line survey was completed by 349 respondents from a universe of approximately 3,000 North American institutional investors,
including clients and prospects of J.P. Morgan Asset Management, across all client segments.
Respondent profile by type of institution
Other 12%
$10 billion +
11%
Taft Hartley 3%
Endowment/
Foundation
23%
Corporate 43%
Key Findings
Worsening
No change
56
Hedge Funds
13
62
Private Equity
12
52
Real Estate
10
Other
Real Assets
14
44
0
20
22
46
53
Commodities
26
25
44
Infrastructure
32
32
48
40
60
% of respondents
80
100
Q: What is your investment outlook for the following alternative asset classes
over the next 12 months?
Base = 349 respondents
Hedge Funds
24%
Infrastructure
9%
Private Equity
21%
Real Estate
24%
Asia/Pacific
56%
North America
37%
Europe
3%
Q: Which of the following geographic regions do you feel offers the greatest
opportunity for alternative investments over the intermediate investment term
(i.e., 3 to 5 years)? (Check one)
Base = 349
Components may not sum to 100% due to rounding.
Percent
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
3
12
31
5
13
35
3
13
33
Cash
28
18
20
35
35
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
54
Actual 2009
allocation
Target 2010
allocation
Strategic
(23 years)
allocation
56% of respondents
Increasing
14.6
19.3
23.3
31% of respondents
Maintaining
14.3
14.2
14.3
13% of respondents
Decreasing
24.8
23.7
23.7
51
47
Original
2008 Target
Alternatives
Equities
Actual
2008
46
12month
Target
Actual
2009
45
Target
2010
43
Strategic
(23 years)
Pension Investment Strategies for a New Playing Field: J.P. Morgans survey of
major U.S. pension plans, JuneJuly, 2006.
25
Private Equity
Commodities
Real Estate
Other Real Assets
20.2
20
18.2
15.8
Percent
15
10
4.5
4.9
5.6
6.4
6.8
Actual
2009
Target
2010
Strategic
(23 years)
4.0
5
0
4.9
4.5
3.9
% planning to
Percent
46
61
52
10
16
17
Private
Equity
Real
Estate
Greatest
Disadvantages
Fees 70%
Transparency 68%
Liquidity 67%
Greatest
Deterrents
Transparency 59%
Fees 44%
Volatility of
returns 28%
Returns 94%
Liquidity 85%
Diversification
Fees 68%
68%
Transparency 27%
Top manager access
42%
Liquidity 62%
Transparency 43%
Fees 30%
Diversification
Liquidity 79%
81%
Fees 48%
Inflation protection Leverage 34%
65%
Returns 63%
Liquidity 66%
Returns 29%
Internal resources
25%
9
Hedge
Funds
Private
Equity
13.6
Real
Estate
Infrastructure Commodities
Other
Real Assets
Actual 2009
12.3
Percent
Hedge
Funds
Greatest
Advantages
Diversification
73%
Returns 63%
Volatility of returns
51%
7.6
8.5
6.3
7.2
5.7
4.3
6.7 6.8
5.2 5.1
Hedge Funds Private Equity Real Estate Infrastructure Commodities Other Real
(140)
(160)
(188)
(29)
(48)
Assets (51)
Hedge funds
Private equity
By risk factor/traditional
asset categories
(e.g. Equity/Fixed Income)
26
$10 billion +
37
38
10
20
30
40
% of respondents
26
Corporate
25
42
43
50
50
13
11
32
Public Fund
50
56
17
25
32
13
20
11
19
52
40
60
10
80
100
Q: Have you purchased any private equity on the secondary market in the last
12 months?
Base = Those investing or planning to invest in private equity: Total 211,
Corporate 84, Public funds 41, Endowments and foundations 61, Taft Hartley/
Other 25
60
Q: How do you categorize your hedge fund allocation? (check all that apply)
Base = Less than $1 billion 77, $1 billion to < $10 billion 90, $10 billion+ 24
Due to small sample size, some results should be interpreted directionally only.
All
Respondents
Percent
6
5
7
8
Other
0
52
53
52
46
39
Endowment/
Foundation
32
As a stand-alone
Hedge Fund allocation
Absolute return
70
64
60
Percent
50
40
30
16
20
18
10
10
15
3
0
North America
Europe
Asia/Pacific
Other
Q: Please indicate the percentage of your private equity portfolio you currently
invest and plan to invest over the next 12 months, in the following geographic
areas (Total = 100%).
Base: Current allocations 168, Planned allocations 134
Components may not sum to 100% due to rounding.
70
60
68
62
50
Percent
40
30
24
24
20
12
6
10
0
North America
Europe
Asia/Pacific
Other
Commodities and other real assets are (as seen in the Peer
Perspectives section below) a clear area of interest for
endowments and foundations. Once again, these institutions
appear to be leading the way as they search for new sources
of alpha, uncorrelated returns, and to preserve the real value
of their assets.
Peer Perspectives
The steady growth trend in alternatives and the decline in more
traditional assets is apparent, not only in aggregate, but within
specific investor segmentsacross corporate plans, public
funds, endowments and foundations. But these broad allocation
shifts, as well as the composition of alternative portfolios, are
nuanced by the primary objectives and specific challenges
faced by each distinct investor type (Exhibits 14, 15 and 16).
Public funds
Corporate plans
Our survey results confirm that the primary objective for
corporate plans in managing pension assets is asset/liability
management (followed by return generation)with the
greatest challenges revolving around funded status and
liquidity concerns (Exhibit 14).
These objectives and challenges are driven largely by the need
to meet pension benefit obligations in the long run, while
adapting to progressively more stringent funding and
accounting regulations (under the 2006 Pension Protection
Act, SFAS 158 and FSP SFAS 132(R)-a), for example) which
have short-term implications for managing portfolio assets.
These rules and regulations have increased funding targets,
imposed more market-based valuation of assets and liabilities
and essentially recognized pension-funded status on corporate
balance sheetsall of which has heightened the need for
pension plan CIOs to more carefully manage the volatility of
funded status and contributions.
Exhibit 14: Differences in objectives and challenges shape investment behaviors across institutional segments
Allocation/ALM 20%
Funding status 16%
Risk/return 22%
Return expectations 14%
Liquidity 22%
Allocation 14%
Liquidity 28%
Transparency 14%
Primary objective
Respondent base in parenthesis (e.g., 150 corporate plans responded to Q1: What is your primary objective?); Due to small sample size, some results should be
interpreted directionally only.
Q1: What is your primary portfolio objective driving your asset allocation decisions (Check one: Return generation, volatility management, asset liability management,
protection against inflation, preserving liquidity, other).
Open-ended questions
Q2: What is the biggest challenge you face when you think about managing your portfolio assets?
Q3: What is the biggest challenge you face when you think about managing your portfolios alternative asset allocation?
Exhibit 15: The trend toward alternatives is seen across investor segments
Equities
Corporate
Spring 2009
survey
3
10
11
12
14
100
90
Fixed income
Spring 2009
survey
3
15
Cash
Alternatives
Public Fund
2
Spring 2009
survey
3
14
18
21
21
31
30
23
Endowment/Foundation
80
36
Percent
70
40
41
42
60
32
31
26
29
31
23
22
22
47
48
46
2009
Actual
12month
Target
Strategic
23 years
50
40
30
20
51
51
46
45
42
2009
Target
2009
Actual
12month
Target
Strategic
23 years
52
52
50
48
2009
Target
2009
Actual
12month
Target
Strategic
23 years
54
10
0
2009
Target
Q (2009): Please indicate your asset allocation as of 12/31/08 as well as your original target weight at that time. Please also indicate what your target allocation is for
12 months from now.
Q (2010): Please indicate your current asset allocation (as of 12/31/09), your target asset allocation (12/31/10) as well as your strategic asset allocation (23 years out).
Base (2009 Survey): 272 Total; Corporate 147; Public 52; E&F 35, Taft-Hartley/Other 38
Base (2010 Survey): 306 Total; Corporate 138; Public 56; E&F 65; Taft-Hartley/Other 47
Components may not sum to 100% due to rounding. Due to small sample size, some results should be interpreted directionally only.
35
Private Equity
Real Estate
Infrastructure
Commodities
30
26.1
25
2.7
Percent
20
18.2
15
10.6
10
2.6
3.4
3.3
20.9
30.7
3.0
12.1
13.6
2.9
3.3
3.3
3.5
3.6
4.3
4.6
Actual
2009
12month
Target
Strategic
23 years
Corporate (138)
13.7
7.5
8.1
5.0
4.7
4.2
6.6
7.2
11.6
12.3
12.6
Actual
2009
12month
Target
Strategic
23 years
6.1
5.8
2.9
2.6
Actual
2009
3.8
4.6
3.7
4.2
12month
Target
Strategic
23 years
Endowment/Foundation (65)
For more on the endowment model and incorporating liquidity into asset
allocation decisions for E&Fs, see: Defending the Endowment Model
Quantifying liquidity risk in a post-credit crisis world, J.P. Morgan Asset
Management, June 2010.
Conclusion
The recent financial crisis has clearly shaken the confidence of
investors but in our survey as well as our continuing conversations with clients, we see resiliency, flexibility and an openness
to re-think investment approaches from the inside out. Our
survey results indicate a willingness to re-examine pre-crisis
target allocations and to understand more completely the
alpha, beta and liquidity risk components of their investments.
Investors are beginning to think more holistically about their
portfoliosviewing hedge funds investments, for example, as a
less liquid, unconstrained extension of traditional equity and
fixed income allocations. In their open-ended survey responses we see a desire: to better understand total plan characteristics and risk and the economic sensitivities of individual
investments; to incorporate liquidity into asset allocation
models, and to manage downside or left-tail risks.
These findings indicate to us a renewed commitment to
alternatives as investors continue to fine-tune their strategies
and frameworks for optimizing portfolio risk/return and
liquidity trade-offs. We believe the increasing innovation
within alternatives and the expanding global dimension of
Acknowledgement
J.P. Morgan Asset Management would like to thank all 349
investors and the 325 institutions they represent for responding to our survey. Without their participation, this report
would not have been possible.
Authors
Advisor
Annette Whittemore
Barbara Heubel
Senior Writer
Institutional Marketing
Vice President
Strategic Investment Advisory Group
FOR QUALIFIED PURCHASERS ONLY. This presentation has been prepared for persons who qualify to invest in private equity investments as mentioned in this
presentation. Generally they would include persons who are Qualified Purchasers for the purpose of the Investment Company Act of 1940 and Accredited
Investors for the purpose of the Securities Act of 1933. The presentation is confidential and may not be reproduced or used as sales literature with members of
the general public.
This document is intended solely to report on various investment views held by J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Opinions, estimates, forecasts, and statements of financial market trends that are based on current market conditions constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice. We believe the information provided
here is reliable but should not be assumed to be accurate or complete. The views and strategies described may not be suitable for all investors. References to specific
securities, asset classes and financial markets are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, recommendations. Indices
do not include fees or operating expenses and are not available for actual investment. The information contained herein employs proprietary projections of expected
return as well as estimates of their future volatility. The relative relationships and forecasts contained herein are based upon proprietary research and are developed
through analysis of historical data and capital markets theory. These estimates have certain inherent limitations, and unlike an actual performance record, they do not
reflect actual trading, liquidity constraints, fees or other costs. References to future net returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may
achieve. The forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.
Arbitrage strategies are highly complex. Such trading strategies are dependent upon various computer and telecommunications technologies and upon adequate liquidity
in markets traded. The successful execution of these strategies could be severely compromised by, among other things, illiquidity of the markets traded. These strategies
are dependent on historical correlations that may not always be true and may result in losses.
Investors should consider a hedge fund investment a supplement to an overall investment program and should invest only if they are willing to undertake the risks
involved. A hedge fund investment will involve significant risks such as illiquidity and a long-term investment commitment.
Private equity investments may be illiquid, present significant risks, and may be sold or redeemed at more or less than the original amount invested. The value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate and your investment is not guaranteed. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Real estate and infrastructure investing may be subject to a higher degree of market risk because of concentration in a specific industry, sector or geographical sector.
Real estate and infrastructure investing may be subject to risks including, but not limited to, declines in the value of real estate, risks related to general and economic
conditions, changes in the value of the underlying property owned by the trust and defaults by borrower.
J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the marketing name for the asset management businesses of JPMorgan Chase & Co. Those businesses include, but are not limited to,
J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc., Security Capital Research & Management Incorporated and J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management Inc.
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2010 JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Alternative Survey_Executive Summary
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