Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Asset Optimisation and Trading
Asset Optimisation and Trading
Todays focus
Organisation and key figures
AOT comprises four business activities
AOTs role within Vattenfall
Hedge strategy process
Hedge position
Market development and outlook
Asset optimisation
Nordic
925
Counterparts
~550
Asset
Optimisation
and Trading (AOT)
Asset optimisation
Europe
Gas in TWh
Trading
>1,650
Operations
Market Access
Analysis
Prop Trading
Interface to Assets
Fuel Sourcing
IT operation
Origination
Dispatch optimisation
Maximize value of
assets in spot and
intraday markets
Asset backed
proprietary trading
Maximize value of
assets in forward
markets
- Trade on flows
incl. hedging
- Exploit physical
optionality
Origination
Acquire & restructure contractual assets (semi-physical contracts) and other contracts
Asset
Optimisation
and Trading
Power
Generation
Supply of fuels
Sales
Hydro
Coal
B2B
Nuclear
Oil
B2C
Thermal
Gas
Renewables
CO2
Identify hedge
objectives
Set guiding
thresholds
Analyse/decide
hedge strategy
Implement and
review
Hedge ratios
% hedged of forecasted electricity generation, 30 June 2011
99
96
100
90
80
78
76
70
60
50
38
40
31
30
20
Nordic region
10
Continental Europe
0
2011
EUR/MWh
2012
2013
2011
2012
2013
Nordic region
45
44
45
Continental Europe
56
55
59
Appendix
Systemprice
Hydrological Balance
100
-50
Outlook
90
80
70
-30
50
-10
40
30
20
10
10
20
30
okt-13
jul-13
apr-13
jan-13
okt-12
jul-12
apr-12
jan-12
okt-11
jul-11
mar-11
nov-10
jul-10
feb-10
okt-09
jun-09
jan-09
sep-08
maj-08
dec-07
aug-07
apr-07
nov-06
jul-06
mar-06
okt-05
jun-05
feb-05
okt-04
TWh
EUR/MWh
-40
-20
60
jun-04
Systemprice
SRMCC
90
Outlook
80
70
EUR/MWh
60
50
40
30
20
okt-13
jul-13
apr-13
jan-13
okt-12
aug-12
maj-12
feb-12
nov-11
aug-11
mar-11
nov-10
jul-10
mar-10
okt-09
jun-09
feb-09
sep-08
maj-08
jan-08
aug-07
apr-07
dec-06
aug-06
mar-06
nov-05
jul-05
100
Outlook
90
80
70
60
EUR/MWh
Systemprice
50
40
30
20
10
jul-13
apr-13
jan-13
okt-12
jul-12
apr-12
jan-12
okt-11
jul-11
mar-11
nov-10
jul-10
feb-10
okt-09
jun-09
jan-09
sep-08
maj-08
dec-07
aug-07
apr-07
nov-06
jul-06
mar-06
okt-05
jun-05
feb-05
The Nordic system price is most of the time below the German peak
- except hydro balance is extremely strained in winter*
*in combination with low nuclear availability, low temperature and precipitation.
Ge rm a n Pe a k
120
Outlook
110
100
90
80
70
EUR/MWh
Syste m price
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
okt-13
jul-13
apr-13
jan-13
okt-12
jul-12
apr-12
jan-12
okt-11
jul-11
mar-11
nov-10
jul-10
feb-10
okt-09
jun-09
jan-09
sep-08
maj-08
dec-07
aug-07
apr-07
nov-06
jul-06
mar-06
okt-05
jun-05
feb-05
MW (+ Import / - Export)
6000
Offline before:
Biblis B, Krmmel
Brunsbttel
Isar 1, Philippsburg 1
Neckarwestheim 1
Unterweser, Biblis A
Grafenrheinfeld (maintenance)
4000
2000
0
-2000
-4000
Grohnde, Gundremmingen B
Philippsburg 2, Emsland
-6000
-8000
Jan
Feb
Mar
2007
Apr
Mai
2008
Jun
2009
Jul
2010
Aug
Sep
2011
Oct
Nov
Dec
Average (07-10)
Feb
Mar
2007
Apr
Mai
2008
Jun
2009
Jul
2010
Aug
Sep
2011
Oct
Nov
Dec
Average (07-10)
TWh
280
240
200
160
120
80
40
0
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mai
Jun
Jul
2011
Aug
2010
Sep
Oct
2009
Nov
2008
Dec
2007
Feb
2007
Mar
Apr
2008
Mai
2009
Jun
Jul
2010
Aug
Sep
2011
Oct
Nov
Average (07-10)
Dec
MW
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
Mai
Jun
Jul
Aug
Solar (Peak)
Sep
Wind
Oct
Nov
Dec
Definitions
Asset backed
Trading
Proprietary
Trading
Origination