Further instability causes prolif

Alvarez 12Rodrigo, international partner of the Fissile Materials Working

Group. Alvarez is the executive manager of the Global Consortium on Security
Transformation, based in Chile, Why Latin America matters at the Nuclear
Security Summit, 2/16/12, AD: 1/20/15, http://thebulletin.org/why-latinamerica-matters-nuclear-security-summit, Shree
Among Latin American countries, 22 out of 23 nations qualify as without
weapons-usable nuclear materials. Argentina is the lone outlier. But while the region as a
whole is doing well, individual countries in Latin America could still use some work:
Being non-nuclear does not mean Latin America is non-problematic. Based on
social factors like political stability, the pervasiveness of corruption, and
whether or not the country is home to groups interested in illicitly acquiring
nuclear materials, NTI rates Chile, Peru, and Cuba very highly; but Haiti, Venezuela,
Belize, and Bolivia are rated the lowest in Latin America. In Central America
and the Caribbean, Guyana, Honduras, and Suriname don't fare very well,
either; nor do Colombia, Ecuador, and Venezuela in South America. This is
consistent with the Fund for Peace's Failed States Index, which ranks all of
those low-rated NTI nations in Latin America as in "alert" or "warning" for
failed statehood. The Fund for Peace considers everything from poverty to the
number of refugees, from vengeance-seeking groups to the legitimacy of the state, in making its
determinations. That's why enhancing state stability, combating corruption, and containing groups
that could be interested in acquiring or trafficking nuclear material must be Latin America's -- and the
world's -- priorities at the 2012 Nuclear Security Summit in Seoul.

Regional stability prevents Brazil from going nuclear

Stalcup 12Travis C., George and Barbara Bush Fellow at the George H.W.
Bush School of Government and Public Service at Texas A&M University, What
is Brazil Up to with its Nuclear Policy?, Georgetown Journal of International
Affairs, 10/10/12, AD: 1/20/15, http://journal.georgetown.edu/what-is-brazilup-to-with-its-nuclear-policy-by-travis-stalcup/, Shree
when one considers
how Brazils security environment is changing, these actions bring Brazils
intentions into question. The perceived decline in the United States
willingness and ability to intervene militarily in Latin America, hostility of
neighboring countries to Brazils economic interests, and the hopelessness of
nuclear disarmament provide powerful incentives to explore nuclear
capability. None can claim that Brazil is actively pursuing a nuclear weapon, but its more
assertive military posture, refusal to sign the NPTs Additional Protocol, and
pursuit of nuclear propulsion technology should give American policymakers
and nonproliferation analysts pause.
Taken independently, these actions are not necessarily provocative. However,