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Journal of Health Economics: Ana C. Dammert, Jose C. Galdo, Virgilio Galdo
Journal of Health Economics: Ana C. Dammert, Jose C. Galdo, Virgilio Galdo
a r t i c l e
i n f o
Article history:
Received 24 August 2012
Received in revised form 7 February 2014
Accepted 7 February 2014
Available online 5 March 2014
JEL classication:
I10
O12
Keywords:
Dengue
e-Health
Peru
Framing
Experimental design
a b s t r a c t
Dengue is the most rapidly spreading mosquito-borne viral disease in the world (WHO, 2009). During
the last two decades, the dramatic rise in the number of dengue infections has been particularly evident in Latin American and the Caribbean countries. This paper examines the experimental evidence
of the effectiveness of mobile phone technology in improving households health preventive behavior in
dengue-endemic areas. The main results suggest that repeated exposure to health information encourages
households uptake of preventive measures against dengue. As a result, the Breteau Index in treatment
households, an objective measure of dengue risk transmission, is 0.10 standard deviations below the
mean of the control group, which shows a reduction in the number of containers per household that test
positive for dengue larvae.
The estimates also show marginally signicant effects of the intervention on self-reported dengue
symptoms. Moreover, we use a multiple treatment framework that randomly assigns households to one
of the four treatment groups in order to analyze the impacts of framing on health behavior. Different
variants emphasized information on monetary and non-monetary benets and costs. The main results
show no statistical differences among treatment groups.
2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Dengue is one of the most serious mosquito-borne viral diseases
affecting humans and is a leading cause of illness in the tropics
and subtropics. It is transmitted by the bite of Aedes mosquitoes
infected with any of four dengue serotypes. According to the World
This research has beneted from comments and suggestions received by the editor, three anonymous referees as well as seminar participants at the 2012 LACEA,
2013 Canadian Economics Association Meeting, and 2013 RECODE meeting. We
thank SASE Asociacion Civil, Centro IDEAS, and the Ministry of Health-DIRESA Sullana for their logistic and institutional support. Special thanks to Cecilia Bustamante,
Teodoro Saez, Dr. Walter Vegas, and Mary Villavicencio for their dedication and
care in the project implementation, eld work, and data collection. Minoru Higa
and Rene Castro provided excellent research assistance. This work was supported
by a research grant from the Inter-American Development Bank (Proyecto Red de
Centros de Investigacion - ATN/SF-11298-RG). The standard disclaimer applies.
Corresponding author at: Department of Economics and Norman Paterson
School of International Affairs, 1125 Colonel by Drive, Ottawa, ON K1S5B6, Canada.
Tel.: +1 613 5202600.
E-mail addresses: ana dammert@carleton.ca (A.C. Dammert),
jose galdo@carleton.ca (J.C. Galdo), vgaldo@worldbank.org (V. Galdo).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2014.02.002
0167-6296/ 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
148
1
We do not focus on indoor residual spray, since the costs of this intervention are
borne by the government, which is in charge of conducting the spraying campaigns.
virus in Piura. Since then, more than 20,000 people have been clinically diagnosed with the virus (Ramrez, 2011).
Following the World Health Organization guidelines on dengue
prevention, we sent information regarding the mosquitos life cycle
(e.g., eggs laid on the wet walls of containers of water), the conditions that allow dengue to spread, and several strategies for
controlling the spread of the disease. To be effective, messages were
locally relevant by customizing them based on local uses of language and local illness classications. We measure the impact of
this informational exposure on health-preventive behavior (covering of water reservoirs, the use of mosquito nets and window
screenings, among others), self-reported dengue symptoms, cases
of diarrhea, and the presence of dengue larvae in water containers three months later. Importantly, the presence of externalities
is addressed by using GIS coordinates for all households in the
sample.
Based on several prior experiments on health prevention that
were done mainly in developed countries, we are also interested
in analyzing whether the perspective in which the information is
presented affects preventive behavior. It has been shown that the
framing of messages could shape attitudes toward risk and thereby
inuence behavior and choices (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979). In
order to analyze the impacts of message framing on health behavior, we randomly assigned localities within the treatment group
to one of four treatment groups. Each framing group highlighted
a piece of general information; some messages provided general
information by highlighting the positive (and negative) consequences of adopting a preventive behavior while other messages
emphasized the monetary cost.
Several results emerged. First, exposure to repeated health
preventive information affects households health behavior. The
Breteau Index, an objective measure of dengue risk transmission,
shows that households exposed to preventive information experienced a decrease in the number of water containers per household
testing positive for dengue with respect to the control group.
This is explained by changes in household behavior since there
are statistically signicant increases in the probability of covering water reservoirs, cleaning of water reservoirs, consumption of
safe water, and the use of screens in windows and/or mosquito
bed nets. These ndings contribute to the literature on preventive behavior, the area in which most of the experimental studies
that nd small effects provided information during a one-time
visit (Dupas, 2009). Studies that nd positive effects were conducted over many months by providing repetitive information
(Cairncross et al., 2005; Luby et al., 2004; Pop-Eleches et al., 2011;
Lester et al., 2010).
Second, we evaluated the impact of exposure to repetitive
information on different dengue indicators. The follow-up data
included self-reported information on dengue incidence and illness
of household members during the treatment period. The results
show that behavioral changes associated with the intervention
translated into a reduction in dengue symptoms (fever, headache,
and eyes pain) but did not affect the number of clinical diagnosed
dengue cases. Mild episodes of dengue may not lead to signicant
costs to households, but they affect peoples perception toward the
severity of the disease. We also analyzed whether the behavioral
changes are big enough to have an effect on preventable waterrelated diseases. The results show a decline in the incidence of
diarrhea in treatment households, although the null of no difference between the treatment and control areas cannot be rejected
at standard levels. These indicators, however, were self-reported
and thus are likely to be affected by recall error and misdiagnosis.
Third, the point estimates suggest that households exposed
to non-monetary loss messages experienced a slightly higher
2. Related literature
In recent years, the use of text messages to deliver health services has been studied mostly in developed countries with the
aimed at encouraging people to change their health behavior. For
instance, reminders for outpatient appointments were associated
with a reduction in the likelihood of patients missing their appointments (Koshy et al., 2008), promotion of weight-loss behavior
among overweight people (Patrick et al., 2009; Joo and Kim, 2007),
smoking cessation (Rodgers et al., 2005) and adherence to diabetes treatment among children and adolescents (Franklin et al.,
2006). Nonetheless, after a careful meta-evaluation of more than 33
studies from the medical literature in developed countries, Fjelsoe
et al. (2009) reported that only fourteen studies satised quality standards, four studies targeted preventive health behaviors,
and ten studies targeted clinical care. The authors conclude that
SMS-delivered interventions have positive short-term behavioral
outcomes, but further research is required to evaluate preventive
health behaviors.
Text messaging has not been used to spread awareness and
information about infectious diseases in endemic regions despite
recent evidence suggesting that households are responsive to information on the health risks they face (Dupas, 2011a; Cairncross et al.,
2005; Rhee et al., 2005). Madajewicz et al. (2007), for example,
show that informing households about the arsenic concentration
in their well water increased the probability that they would switch
to a safer well. Similarly, Jalan and Somanathan (2008) report
that households that receive information about the concentration
of fecal bacteria in drinking water improved water-purication
behavior. Prevention is a key component of dengue control and can
be achieved through vector control and personal protection measures (WHO, 2009). Not all information, however, can be effective.
Dupas (2011b) review of the literature shows that the provision
of information can inuence peoples behavior when they are not
fully informed about the health situation they face, when the source
of information is credible, and when they are able to process the
new information.
It is also important to analyze how informational campaigns
affect the adoption of preventive measures against the disease.
Prior work in psychology has shown that message framing has
an effect on motivating people to change their behavior (for
a review of framing on health outcomes, see Rothman and
Salovey, 1997; Salovey and Williams-Piehota, 2004; Rothman
et al., 2006). In particular, framing might have differential effects
149
150
Fig. 1. Study areas. Note: Study areas included 100 localities in Parinas, Piura. Red dots represent localities in the treatment group, while blue dots represent those in the
control group. (For interpretation of the references to color in this gure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of the article.)
3. Experimental design
We implemented a randomized intervention in the district of
water and toilet facilities. The latter was constructed using health
administrative data regarding the incidence of dengue at the locality level. The dengue index is based on various indicators measuring
the percentage of houses where dengue larvae was found, the
percentage of containers where the larvae was found, and the
percentage of infected containers per 100 inspected houses. We
complemented this analysis with baseline information on the availability of mosquito nets, window screenings, and indoor residual
spraying at the locality level. Random stratication proceeded after
we split the data into four categories according to the distribution of
the poverty and dengue indices: high/high, high/low, low/high, and
low/low. Thresholds were determined according to the median of
the distribution for each index. Within each category, we conducted
random assignment between treatment and control localities following a ratio of 2:1. As a result, we randomly assigned 64 localities
to the treatment group and 36 localities to the control group.
In the second step, within treatment localities, we randomly
assigned localities to two orthogonal information sets: gain/loss
messages and monetary/non-monetary messages. This framework
allows us to make causal comparisons within each domain (i.e.,
gain versus loss groups and monetary versus nonmonetary groups)
as well as across four different combinations (i.e., monetary/gain,
monetary/loss, nonmonetary/gain, and nonmonetary/loss treatment groups).
Approximately 1 out of 5 households that own a mobile phone
was included in the nal sample. This represents 2021
in Parinas
households, of which 1350 belong to the treatment localities and
671 to control localities.2 Of the initial 2021 households with complete baseline information, 1784 (88%) were re-interviewed in early
March 2010, three months after the intervention started and during the month at which temperatures in the region are at their
peak. The main reasons for attrition were migration (3.9%), the
inability to nd eligible respondents despite repeated visits (5.7%),
2
Within the treatment localities, 309 households were assigned to the monetary/gain framing, 383 to monetary/loss framing, 362 to nonmonetary/gain framing,
and 296 to nonmonetary/loss framing.
3
Given that text messages must contain up to 143 characters, it was quite important to tailor the messages to the uses and representations of the local people. For
this reason, we conducted a focus group in the area of intervention during July
2009. The use of focus groups was particularly important to gather information
on language uses in terms of dengues knowledge and preventive practices. Representatives from the Asociacin de Mujeres de Negritos, an NGO actively working
on health interventions, participated in this rst focus group. Their feedback was
complemented with detailed interviews with personnel from the public health system, who provided useful information about current policies implemented by the
Ministry of Health aimed at facilitating communication with the population in the
area of intervention. Once the content of text messages was dened, a second focus
group was carried out in Piura with the participation of communication specialists
in epidemiological health care. The aim was to check the relevance of the information, identify the messages that needed to be adjusted (e.g., better wording),
identify additional information that should be included, and validate the health
content based on local illness classications. Finally, we received feedback from the
local enumerators after testing their comprehension of the messages.
4
The NGO IDEAS in collaboration with FORO Salud-Piura administered the preintervention baseline survey. All local enumerators, supervisors, and monitors
participated in an intensive weekend training program, including discussion of
interview methods, questionnaire content, survey protocol, data quality checks,
and mock interviews. Survey manuals developed specically for the baseline survey
were provided to all enumerators, supervisors, and monitors. Numerators assisted
in reviewing the survey instruments for inconsistencies and problems before implementing the survey. In addition, we provided each enumerator with an information
pamphlet with local phone numbers in case the members of the household had questions about the veracity of the survey. In the baseline survey, the surveyor gathered
verbal consent to participate in this study and provided information regarding the
possibility of receiving text messages.
151
the dataset provided detailed information on dwelling characteristics including toilet facilities, house infrastructure, and household
density, which proxy for households long-run economic status
(Filmer and Pritchett, 2001).
Table 2 shows the p-values for the mean differences in relevant baseline covariates across treatment and control localities. The
results do not reject the null hypothesis of equality of means for
most covariates, as the differences are not statistically signicantly
different from zero.5 Likewise, Table 2 shows no statistically significant differences across all treatment groups except for household
size, the rate of computer ownership, and the proportion of households reporting that vaccinations prevent dengue. The differences
are very small for the last two variables though, and they are only
statistically signicant due to the size of the standard deviations.
Nonetheless, we control for these differences in the econometric
estimations. Overall, the result shows that the stratied randomization was effective in balancing the covariate mean values
between treatment and control households.
From Table 2, the average head of household is a 50-year-old
male, with 9 years of completed schooling, living with 4.9 family
members in the household. About 96% of cell phone users have a
pre-paid phone, which is used mostly to communicate with family members (85% among heads of households and 96% among
spouses). The average amount spent on pre-paid phone cards was
18 soles (about US$6.50) during the month before the survey. About
5% of the sample did not send and/or receive text messages, the
majority of them report not knowing how to do so.
Most respondents in the sample had heard about dengue; 89% of
the sample knew that it is transmitted by mosquito bite. However,
23% reported that dengue could be prevented by using the chemical treatment temephos (distributed under the name Abate) to kill
the larvae in the container. Abate is distributed free of charge by
the Ministry of Health and is one of the cores of the current public
educational campaign. In addition, 3% incorrectly report that vaccinations can prevent dengue. Concerning dengue incidence, about
25% of the sample self-reported being diagnosed with dengue during the previous two years: 64% were diagnosed by a doctor or
nurse, 13% were diagnosed by a family member or self-diagnosed,
and 7% were diagnosed by a pharmacist. On average, the illness
lasted for over a week. It is important to note that the head of the
household or the spouse provided this information for all members
of the household; therefore, recall error might have affected these
self-reported data.
4. Results
4.1. Overall effects of text messaging
This section examines whether providing any type of information about preventive health affected household behavior. The
relevant parameter of interest is the intent-to-treat (ITT) that measures the average impact of being exposed to preventive information
via text messages. For household i, the estimated regression for
each preventive outcome Yi (buying nets or screens, treating storage water, cleaning reservoirs, among others), is given by:
Yi = + 1 Ti + X + i ,
(1)
5
Unreported results show that there are no differences in means and signicance
of the tests of equality if the means are computed over the sample of households
present at follow-up only. Results are available upon request.
152
Table 1
Message treatment (examples).
Frame
Monetary
Non-monetary
Messages
Water
Window screens
Water-holding solid
waste
Gain
Loss
Go to the nearest
health center if you or
a family member has
fever, headache, pain
below the eyes, or a
rash. It could be
dengue!
Go to the nearest
health center if you or
a family member has
fever, headache, pain
below the eyes, or a
rash. It could be
dengue!
Gain
Loss
Go to the nearest
health center if you or
a family member has
fever, headache, pain
below the eyes, or a
rash. It could be
dengue!
Go to the nearest
health center if you or
a family member has
fever, headache, pain
below the eyes, or a
rash. It could be
dengue!
Y =
k=1
153
Table 2
Descriptive statistics 2009 baseline health survey.
Treatment groups
Cement wall
Electricity
Radio
TV
Refrigerator
Computer
Piped water
Piped sewage
Wealth index
Dengue index
Head: age
Head: male
Head has health
insurance
Head: years of
completed
schooling
Head: level of education
No schooling
Primary
Secondary
Post-secondary
Household size
Dengue is
transmitted by a
mosquito bite
Dengue could be avoided by:
Getting
vaccinated
Using abate in water
reservoirs
A member of the
household was
diagnosed with
dengue during the
past two years
By a doctor/nurse
By family member/self
diagnosed
Pharmacist
Number of days ill
Monthly money
spend on pre-paid
cell phone cards
(soles): head
Spouse
Dont know how to
send/read a text
message: head
Spouse
Control
group
Difference
(T C)
p-Value
p-Value of joint
F-test
[T1 = T2 = T3 = T4]
Any
Monetary
gain (T1)
Monetary
loss (T2)
Nonmonetary
gain (T3)
Nonmonetary
loss (T4)
0.825
0.988
0.963
0.975
0.593
0.196
0.914
0.943
0.677
0.372
50.334
0.736
0.584
0.847
0.994
0.963
0.977
0.530
0.150
0.910
0.962
0.675
0.346
49.534
0.761
0.602
0.809
0.969
0.974
0.977
0.589
0.247
0.915
0.948
0.695
0.347
50.987
0.738
0.581
0.869
0.998
0.967
0.970
0.659
0.249
0.947
0.969
0.712
0.405
51.522
0.732
0.608
0.776
0.990
0.950
0.976
0.594
0.139
0.885
0.894
0.627
0.389
48.875
0.713
0.541
0.796
0.979
0.968
0.980
0.602
0.214
0.908
0.914
0.685
0.356
49.307
0.773
0.539
0.029
0.009
0.004
0.005
0.010
0.018
0.006
0.029
0.008
0.016
1.027
0.037
0.045
0.544
0.331
0.687
0.573
0.837
0.565
0.827
0.346
0.828
0.710
0.366
0.235
0.247
0.481
0.499
0.630
0.965
0.452
0.019
0.419
0.648
0.426
0.791
0.589
0.837
0.634
9.486
9.828
9.291
9.398
9.488
9.787
0.301
0.394
0.832
0.025
0.296
0.444
0.235
4.973
0.888
0.032
0.249
0.476
0.243
4.770
0.913
0.029
0.291
0.476
0.204
5.228
0.885
0.025
0.326
0.403
0.246
4.867
0.854
0.014
0.314
0.422
0.250
4.986
0.909
0.019
0.267
0.477
0.237
4.867
0.903
0.006
0.029
0.032
0.002
0.106
0.015
0.444
0.360
0.274
0.955
0.347
0.424
0.437
0.498
0.126
0.849
0.014
0.240
0.032
0.213
0.010
0.184
0.039
0.259
0.047
0.221
0.027
0.176
0.021
0.232
0.011
0.019
0.212
0.738
0.026
0.683
0.239
0.208
0.238
0.249
0.258
0.251
0.012
0.687
0.483
0.641
0.139
0.652
0.184
0.688
0.112
0.583
0.140
0.640
0.137
0.632
0.198
0.009
0.057
0.858
0.317
0.316
0.731
0.067
6.924
20.843
0.046
7.045
22.972
0.047
7.013
21.113
0.088
6.724
19.047
0.085
6.949
20.740
0.044
6.837
20.994
0.023
0.088
0.151
0.359
0.754
0.923
0.578
0.558
0.143
16.850
0.053
18.463
0.045
16.438
0.047
15.914
0.058
16.455
0.061
17.483
0.067
0.634
0.014
0.499
0.476
0.399
0.913
0.043
0.045
0.039
0.039
0.051
0.063
0.020
0.163
0.933
Note: Data from 2021 households included in the pre-intervention baseline survey. For each variable, the p-values report the values for a test of the null hypothesis that the
means are identical in treatment and control groups and the values for a test of the null hypothesis that the means are identical across the experimental groups.
that the gain frame is equally effective as the loss frame except
for cleaning water reservoirs daily or weekly. Households receiving loss messages experienced a statistically signicant increase in
the probability of cleaning the water reservoirs by 14 percentage
points. From a health policy standpoint, these results suggest that
SMS framing for health preventive behavior is not as important as
providing the information itself. This lack of statistical signicance
for framing effects is consistent with the evidence found in Dupas
(2009).
We are also interested in learning whether there are heterogeneous effects, since households investment decisions on
preventive health care depend on factors such as access to nancial
markets and ex ante information on the burden associated with
the specic disease. We then consider variation in the effects of
text messaging as a function of observable characteristics through
the interaction of the treatment indicator with baseline indicators.
First, households are classied in three categories: high if their
baseline wealth index belongs to the highest quartile of the index
154
Table 3
Effects of text messaging.
Panel A
Any message
Panel B
Monetary
Non-monetary
p-Value of
[M = NM]
Panel C
Gain
Loss
p-Value of
[G = L]
Mean control
group
(5)
Use mosquito
nets for
sleeping and/or
screens in
windows
(6)
Have
water-holding
solid waste
(tires, bottles,
or others)
(7)
0.033**
(0.015)
0.017
(0.020)
0.046**
(0.022)
0.026*
(0.014)
0.072
(0.040)
0.096**
(0.042)
0.576
0.025
(0.018)
0.040**
(0.017)
0.358
0.030
(0.024)
0.003
(0.022)
0.228
0.047*
(0.025)
0.044*
(0.026)
0.917
0.015
(0.014)
0.037**
(0.020)
0.216
0.025
(0.021)
0.042**
(0.018)
0.260
0.027
(0.048)
0.140**
(0.053)
0.008
0.034*
(0.026)
0.031*
(0.018)
0.852
0.001
(0.028)
0.034
(0.025)
0.119
0.065**
(0.030)
0.026
(0.032)
0.129
0.030**
(0.015)
0.022
(0.027)
0.654
0.927
0.639
0.895
0.685
0.734
0.065
Overall
standardized
index
Cover water
reservoirs
Clean water
reservoirs daily
or weekly
Drink boiled
water or treat
water with
chlorine
Change abate
every 3 months
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
0.120***
(0.034)
0.034**
(0.014)
0.084**
(0.036)
0.115**
(0.040)
0.124**
(0.038)
0.829
0.030*
(0.017)
0.038**
(0.016)
0.597
0.102**
(0.041)
0.137***
(0.037)
0.380
Note: N = 1754 households. Controls in all regressions include head of household characteristics at baseline (age, gender, schooling, employment, and health insurance),
assets index and dengue index. Observations are clustered at the locality level. Robust standard errors in parenthesis.
*
10%.
**
5%.
***
1%.
6
We inputted the gender of the head of household in cases where both the head
of household and the spouse owned a cell phone, (95 cases, or 5% of the sample).
7
In addition, our previous self-reported estimates could be affected by the
Hawthorne effect, as study participants having received messages stressing prevention measures might be more likely to report having taken those measures, even if
not true. We thank one of the referees for pointing this out.
155
Table 4
Heterogeneous effects of text messaging.
Overall
standardized
index
Cover water
reservoirs
Clean water
reservoirs daily or
weekly
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
Have
water-holding
solid waste (tires,
bottles, or others)
(6)
0.076
(0.069)
0.087*
(0.051)
0.153**
(0.066)
0.091
(0.066)
0.039
(0.067)
0.0280
0.037*
(0.020)
0.027
(0.022)
0.027
(0.037)
0.005
(0.027)
0.048
(0.031)
0.1326
0.015
(0.061)
0.042
(0.053)
0.129*
(0.070)
0.118*
(0.067)
0.043
(0.075)
0.2539
0.006
(0.033)
0.025
(0.019)
0.069**
(0.029)
0.010
(0.027)
0.006
(0.033)
0.0633
0.071
(0.045)
0.015
(0.035)
0.084**
(0.039)
0.000
(0.047)
0.023
(0.046)
0.0677
0.026
(0.018)
0.016
(0.029)
0.052**
(0.024)
0.014
(0.029)
0.035
(0.026)
0.0777
0.037*
(0.020)
0.008
(0.023)
0.070*
(0.039)
0.031
(0.051)
0.020
(0.018)
0.028
(0.026)
0.078**
(0.027)
0.073
(0.046)
0.004
(0.016)
0.046
(0.028)
0.040*
(0.024)
0.013
(0.025)
0.078
(0.048)
0.012
(0.050)
0.025
(0.024)
0.014
(0.030)
0.052
(0.032)
0.012
(0.043)
0.025
(0.018)
0.001
(0.022)
Note: ***1%. Controls in all regressions include head of household characteristics at baseline (age, gender, schooling, employment, and health insurance), assets index and
dengue index. Observations are clustered at the locality level. Robust standard errors in parenthesis.
*
10%.
**
5%.
Table 5
Dengue risk transmission indices.
Panel A
Any message
Panel B
Monetary
Non-monetary
Panel C
Gain
Loss
Panel D
Monetary gain
Monetary loss
Non-monetary gain
Non-monetary loss
Standardized
Container
Index
(1)
Standardized
House
Index
(2)
Standardized
Breteau
Index
(3)
0.108**
(0.046)
0.045
(0.064)
0.098**
(0.047)
0.106**
(0.051)
0.109**
(0.049)
0.047
(0.079)
0.044
(0.069)
0.089
(0.054)
0.107**
(0.048)
0.081*
(0.052)
0.133**
(0.049)
0.006
(0.076)
0.093
(0.073)
0.073
(0.052)
0.121**
(0.050)
0.047
(0.062)
0.152**
(0.053)
0.112**
(0.056)
0.106*
(0.054)
0.050
(0.104)
0.122
(0.093)
0.036
(0.089)
0.054
(0.080)
0.041
(0.068)
0.127**
(0.057)
0.102*
(0.053)
0.113**
(0.052)
Notes: ***1%. N = 1496 households. Controls in all regressions include head of household characteristics at baseline (age, gender, schooling, employment, and health
insurance), assets index and dengue index. Observations are clustered at the locality
level. Robust standard errors in parenthesis.
*
10%.
**
5%.
experienced a decrease of 0.108 standard deviations in the percentage of water-holding containers testing positive for dengue, while
the Breteau Index shows that households in treatment localities
experienced a decrease in the number of positive containers per
household by 0.098 standard deviations of the mean of the control
group. We do not nd, however, statistically signicant effects on
the Standardized House Index. These results imply that households
in the treatment group experienced a decreased in the percentage of water-holding containers testing positive for dengue larvae
(1.44% vs. 2.47% in the treatment and control groups) as well as the
number of positive water-holding containers per household (10.66
vs. 18.91 in the treatment and control groups). These effects were
not big enough, however, to change the percentage of houses with
at least one positive water-holding container.
It is important to note that, even though there is a correlation between the critical levels of the mosquito breeding and
the intensity of virus transmission, the interpretation of the various indices in relation to human infection and disease can be
difcult to assess (Focks, 2004). For example, larvae might be clustered in a small number of containers so that the Container Index
will be low, although the number of infectious bites per person
may be high. The relationship between dengue risk measures and
dengue infestation gets more complicated when one realizes that
the latter is affected by mosquito longevity, the immunological
status of the human population, and temperature (Silver, 2008).
International evidence, for instance, suggests that the majority of
dengue outbreaks occurred in localities with low Aedes indices, and
more importantly, even when there is some statistical relationship
between the indices, these were inconsistent across years within
the same localities (Shah et al., 2012). Indeed, it is widely argued
the need for better methods to quantify the relationship between
dengue risk and dengue endemicity to ensure better future
156
8
Malaria endemicity is commonly measured by the proportion of a population
with detectable malaria parasite in their blood. As Anders and Hay (2012) showed,
however, no comparable measure exists to quantify the endemic level of dengue
where most epidemiological data rely on clinical reports.
9
Reports from the Ministry of Health also show low levels of clinical dengue cases
in the area during the same months in 2010.
10
An alternative explanation of the low dengue infection prevalence in our sample
population could be due to the suppression of the mosquito vector population in the
area under study. This might not be the case, however, given that Talara reported
about 52% of the total number of clinical cases in the region during the summer
months of 2013.
Table 6
Effects of text messages on dengue symptoms and diarrhea.
Panel A
Any message
Panel B
Monetary
Non-monetary
p-Value of
[M = NM]
Panel C
Gain
Loss
p-Value of [G = L]
Mean control
group
N
0.031*
(0.018)
0.021
(0.019)
0.032*
(0.019)
0.031
(0.020)
0.9360
0.053**
(0.023)
0.013
(0.024)
0.0167
0.029
(0.021)
0.033*
(0.019)
0.8670
0.066
0.021
(0.023)
0.020
(0.025)
0.9831
0.159
1730
1754
11
It is important to note that, in our paper, as in Tarozzi et al. (2013), there is no
treatment variation within localities. This is different from Dupas (2013), where the
author is able to exploit the exogenous variation given by the randomization of the
fraction of beneciary households within each locality.
157
Table 7
Testing for spillover effects.
Standardized
Container
Index
Standardized
House Index
Standardized
Breteau
Index
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
0.006
0.003
0.004
0.002
0.008
0.000
0.010
(0.006)
0.007
(0.004)
0.001
(0.006)
0.008
(0.003)
0.003
(0.011)
0.028
(0.014)
0.017
(0.010)
0.008
(0.013)
0.006
(0.008)
0.003
(0.012)
0.007
(0.006)
0.002
(0.024)
0.043*
(0.030)
0.018
(0.022)
0.003
(0.013)
(0.008)
(0.013)
(0.006)
(0.025)
(0.031)
(0.023)
0.005
0.003
0.002
0.003**
0.004
0.001
0.005
(0.003)
0.011**
(0.002)
0.006*
(0.003)
0.004
(0.001)
0.003
(0.005)
0.016*
(0.007)
0.015
(0.005)
0.004
(0.005)
0.003
(0.003)
0.004
(0.004)
0.005
(0.002)
0.001
(0.009)
0.023**
(0.011)
0.017*
(0.008)
0.010
(0.005)
(0.003)
(0.004)
(0.002)
(0.008)
(0.011)
(0.008)
0.001
0.003**
0.001
0.003**
0.002
0.002
0.003
(0.002)
0.004
(0.001)
0.003
(0.002)
0.002
(0.001)
0.004**
(0.004)
0.008
(0.005)
0.011
(0.003)
0.002
(0.003)
0.002
(0.002)
0.000
(0.003)
0.003
(0.002)
0.001
(0.006)
0.012**
(0.007)
0.007
(0.005)
0.006
(0.003)
(0.002)
(0.003)
(0.001)
(0.005)
(0.007)
(0.005
1754
1754
1754
1754
1487
1487
1487
Clean water
reservoirs
daily or
weekly
Drink boiled
water or
treat water
with chlorine
(1)
(2)
Within 50 m of household
0.000
Number of
households
(0.003)
Number of
0.006
treated
households
(0.006)
Treatment# of
0.004
treated
households
(0.006)
Within 100 m of household
0.002
Number of
households
(0.001)
Number of
0.003
treated
households
(0.002)
0.001
Treatment# of
treated
households
(0.002)
Within 150 m of household
0.002**
Number of
households
(0.001)
Number of
0.004**
treated
households
(0.002)
Treatment# of
0.001
treated
households
(0.001)
N
(3)
Use mosquito
nets for
sleeping
and/or
screens in
windows
(4)
Cover water
reservoirs
1754
Note: ***1%. The estimation includes locality xed effects and controls for head of household characteristics at baseline (age, gender, schooling, employment, and health
insurance) Robust standard errors in parenthesis.
*
10%.
**
5%.
12
We have assessed the presence of externalities by testing whether the number
of control households living within a 150 m radius of treatment localities experienced changes in behavior and health outcomes. The point estimates, however, are
imprecisely estimated. We thank one of the referees for pointing this out.
158
to identify some of these effects more accurately. Moreover, variation in treatment density may be correlated with unobservable
characteristics of observed location characteristics.
Table A1
Ministry of Health Division.
Urban Parinas
Sector
Localities
QUINONES,9OCTUBRE,SANSEBASTIAN,STA.ROSA,B.AIRES,S.CERRO,
5. Conclusions
2
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
J.BASADRE
7JUNIO,A.GARCIA,L.A.SANCHEZ,M.CHAVEZ,A.FUJIMORI,LOS
GERANIOS,AH.LOS ROBLES,AH.MIRAFLORES,BELLO
HORIZONTE,H.CARLIN,2FEBRERO,LOS FICUS,JOSE.C.MARIATEGUI
TALARA ALTA,LAS PALMERAS,URB.LOS ROBLES,CRISTO REY CRUZ
DE MAYO,02 MAYO,URB.MARIA AUXILIADORA
AV. F PAR, URB. LOS VENCEDORES, JAMES STORE, SUDAMERICA,
ENAPU, V.TALARA, L.ALVA CASTRO, M.CABREDO, LUCIANO
CASTILLO.
APROVISER,FONAVI,LAS MERCEDES
URB. LOS PINOS. URBA, VILLA FAP CORPAC
PARQUES DEL 4357, AV. H PAR; AV. E, F IMPAR Y G.
PARQUE DEL 3542 y 5862; AV. H IMPAR AV. D E y G.
PARQUES DEL 6372, LA PARADA, AV. E, AV. A; URB LOS JAZMINES,
CENTRO CIVICO Y MERCADO CENTRAL.
PARQUE DEL 8 22, AV A y B, URB. A.TABOADA
PARQUES 17 y 2227 AV. A, B y C; PARQUE 78; UNIDAD VECINAL;
CALLE 4
PARQUE 2834 AV. B Y BARRIO PARTICULAR, BLOCK MILITAR,
BLOCK PROFESORES Y URB. STA.ROSA
URB. MUNICIPAL, L.VILLANUEVA, SAN JUDAS TADEO, J.OLAYA, B.EL
PESCADOR, SAN MARTIN, LAS MERCEDES, CEMENTERIO, TALLERES
UNIDOS, MUELLE, B.ESPECIALISTAS
SAN PEDRO, JESUS MARIA, STA. RITA, B. ESTIBADORES, LAS
PENITAS.
PT. ARENAS
SACOBSA
NEGREIROS
ENACE
results. From a policy standpoint, this result suggests that the framing of SMS health messages is not as important as the provision of
the information itself. Finally, this study showed that the largest
impacts on preventive behavior against dengue were concentrated
among the poorest households, a pattern that could be related to
the fact that these households in general are the least informed
about the health situation they face.
These ndings provide valuable evidence for other developing
countries interested in incorporating digital technologies on health
programs. Although text messages considered in this evaluation
were related to dengue prevention, this cost-effective approach
has the potential for use in the prevention of other types of
Table A2
Census 2007.
Cement wall
Electricity
Piped water
Piped sewage
Refrigerator
Computer
Head: male
Head: level of completed schooling
No schooling
Primary
Secondary
Post-secondary
Number of households
Urban Parinas:
Census 2007
All
Cell-phone household
0.817
0.986
0.917
0.933
0.598
0.211
0.749
0.751
0.873
0.765
0.767
0.422
0.142
0.740
0.811
0.921
0.821
0.820
0.537
0.220
0.762
0.696
0.827
0.705
0.715
0.277
0.045
0.712
2.53
29.29
45.68
22.50
2021
2.66
27.80
37.59
31.95
20772
1.83
21.40
37.13
39.64
11570
3.71
35.84
38.18
22.27
9202
0.082 (0.071)
0.009 (0.020)
0.033 (0.038)
0.033 (0.040)
0.060 (0.072)
0.008 (0.015)
0.054 (0.066)
0.021 (0.035)
0.056 (0.064)
0.022 (0.035)
0.043 (0.065)
0.034 (0.048)
0.041 (0.059)
0.040 (0.055)
0.020 (0.033)
0.048 (0.056)
0.135 (0.087)
0.105 (0.060)
0.086 (0.073)
0.124 (0.113)
0.037 (0.052)
(2)
(1)
Table A3 presents the attrition that occurred between the baseline and follow-up surveys by treatment status. Attrition was 12%
for the entire sample, 11.2% in the treatment group and 13.7% in
the control group. As column 8 shows, the difference is not statistically signicant from zero. Likewise, after disaggregating the
rate of attrition across three different sources (respondent not
present, migration, and refusal) we observe statistical similarity
between the treatment and control groups. The test statistic does
not reject the null hypotheses of equality of means across all three
categories.
Table A3
Attrition rates.
Appendix C. Attrition
0.044 (0.056)
Treatment
All
Monetary gain
(T1)
(3)
Monetary loss
(T2)
(4)
Non-monetary
gain (T3)
(5)
The 2007 Peruvian Census provides online information for different economic and demographic variables at the district level.
Table A2 presents the descriptive statistics of all localities in the
district of Parinas,
disaggregated by whether the households had
a mobile phone or not. The rst column corresponds to the baseline information presented in Table A2. First, we investigate how
our sample is similar to cell phone households in the same district.
had at least one
As the table shows, 56% of households in Parinas
mobile phone in 2007. By comparing the rst and third columns,
the results show that our sample looks similar to the average cell
0.112 (0.087)
0.121 (0.089)
Attrition Rate
(n = 100
localities)
Respondent
not present
Migration
Refusal
Non-monetary
loss (T4)
(6)
Appendix A.
Note: Test of equality is based on regression of attrition on treatment group with clustered standard errors at the locality level. N = 2021 including 1350 households in treatment group localities and 671 in control group
localities. Standard deviations in parenthesis.
0.0866
0.0330
0.004 [0.759]
0.003 [0.666]
0.058 (0.062)
0.024 (0.037)
0.2560
0.018 [0.134]
0.055 (0.063)
0.3873
0.025 [0.174]
0.137 (0.092)
(7)
p-Value of F-test
[T1 = T2 = T3 = T4]
(9)
Difference T C
[p-value]
(8)
Control
159
160
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