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Key Observations: Week On Week Nifty Ends Below 8350 Down by 2%
Key Observations: Week On Week Nifty Ends Below 8350 Down by 2%
RaviSharma@PLIndia.com
91-22-6632 2216 / 2470
DATE: 30-Mar-2015
% Chg.
Key Observations
Nifty
8342.15
8341.40
-0.01
FUT (Apr)
8455.75
8434.90
-0.25
Basis
113.60
93.50
few hours then after saw profit booking and again a bounce back in the second half of
Spread (Fut)
57.95
53.90
the day to close flat. All in all markets witnessed consolidation throughout the day
Nifty OI (Sh)
22.76
22.34
-1.81
Vol (Nifty)
15.24
12.96
-14.98
PCR (OI)
0.86
0.83
is fall of more than 0.40mn shares amidst below average volumes. The market breadth
PCR (Vol)
1.04
0.90
was in favor of losers as there were 66 stocks on the gaining side as against 79 on
IVs (Apr)
13.35
13.25
VIX NIF/CBO*
15-15
15-16
HVs
17.10
17.50
Fut Adv/Dec
39/106
66/79
NIF50 Ad/Dec
10/40
20/30
On Friday markets opened on a flat to positive note and remained above parity line for
Nifty futures saw shed in OI due to profit booking as OI went down by around 2% that
losing side.
Nifty PCR (OI) came off a bit due to selling pressure and closed at 0.83 vs 0.86 levels.
Call writing was seen at 8500 and 8600 strikes as both saw addition of more than
0.4mn shares in OI. On the other hand put writing was seen at 8000 strike which
added more than 0.65mn shares in OI. The maximum call OI in APR stands at 9000 &
8600 strike whereas maximum put OI stands at 8200 & 8400 strike. The total
accumulation of OI is at 8500 strike. The IV (Apr) remained flat at 13% levels.
% Chg.
IDX Nifty
192476
187714
-2.47
- Others
42627
42199
-1.00
Stock Fut.
630495
640036
1.51
Nifty Opt.
687911
746971
8.59
Stock Opt.
48970
68089
39.04
1602479
1685010
5.15
Total
On a weekly basis, top long OI addition was seen in CENT (14%), WPL (14%), IBREL
(9%), SKSM (3%) & UPL (1%) whereas short OI addition was seen in SHTF (10%),
ARVND (3%), YES (3%), UT (2%) & LICHF (1%). From options data, Nifty may take
support around 8250-8200 levels whereas the upside looks capped around 8550-8600
levels.
Stocks with +ve bias: CENT, HEXW, IDFC, LICHF, LT, SBIN, SKSM, STR, YES.
Stocks with -ve bias: BHARTI, HCLT, HDFC, HUVR, RIL, WPL.
Nifty Future Technical Indicators
Index Fut.
229913
70944
30.86
Index Opt.
746971
236738
31.69
Stock Fut.
640036
267023
41.72
Stock Opt.
68089
5055
7.42
1685010
579759
34.41
Total
404452
185662
-54.10
Stock Fut.
770154
255679
-66.80
Index Opt.
4474982
1321831
-70.46
Stock Opt.
135476
97870
-27.76
Total
5785064
1861042
-67.83
Support
8295
RSI (Avg)
37 (39)
Pivot
8425
55 DEMA
8650
200 SMA
8195
PSAR
8675
FII Statistics
(Rs Mn)
IDX Future
IDX Option
STK Future
STK Option
Total
BUY
48664
251723
159351
6796
466534
27-Mar
SELL
15614
186288
26492
15958
244352
NET
3922
35044
1423
-70
40319
Options
NIFTY Strike Wise OI Concentration
Month
Maximum Call OI
Maximum Put OI
Max OI (Call + Put)
Apr
8600-8500-8800
8200-8400-8300
8500-8600-8400
Total NIFTY Call OI Shares
Total NIFTY Put OI Shares
26-Mar :
42290575
27-Mar :
46885675
Diff :
4595100
26-Mar :
36538000
27-Mar :
38854375
Diff :
2316375
CE
PE
Total OI
OI (No.ofShares)
(Mn)
4
3
2
1
0
8000
8100
8200
8300
8400
8500
8600
8700
8800
8900
Strikes
Source: PL FNO Research
Expiry
30-Apr-15
30-Apr-15
Vol (Shares)
13970450
12436225
NIFTY 8500 CE
NIFTY 8700 CE
30-Apr-15
30-Apr-15
102643
96539
11923975
11041925
NIFTY 8400 PE
30-Apr-15
87551
10265400
LCP (INR)
69.05
87.10
O.I (shares)
2639550
2415300
Chg in OI (shares)
428475
71875
I V.s (%)
12.95
13.85
107.60
42.55
2569775
2225250
716025
278450
13.15
12.91
123.60
2453575
325100
13.34
OI (shares)
49500
% Change
9800.00
LCP (INR)
16.75
48500
203750
25500
11750
58750
23000
40000
26500
127000
48000
201250
25000
11500
57500
22500
39000
25750
123250
9600.00
8050.00
5000.00
4600.00
4600.00
4500.00
3900.00
3433.33
3286.67
5.70
1.50
15.45
8.20
2.15
3.70
10.65
33.10
4.55
Please note: For the sake of conciseness and brevity, only those stock options, which have had a trading volume of more than Rs. 10mn, have
been considered.
IDX Futures
Futures
Nifty Apr
Nifty May
BANKNift Apr
Vol.
(Shrs)
12420075
O.I (Shrs)
OI Chg (Shrs)
% Chng
LCP(INR)
High / Low
21287100
-550750
-2.52%
8434.90
8484.85 / 8357
-0.25
363850
961225
42625
4.64%
8488.80
8539.45 / 8413.3
-0.29
4036000
2048950
-113925
-5.27%
18277.35
18325 / 17935
1.17
PLFNO View
Volatile
Vol
OI (MN)
OI (%)
UNITECH
69.71
182.78
7.00
IDFC
25.58
65.97
AXISBANK
22.09
SAIL
IDBI
Pr (%)
STOCK
16.55
1.53
SRTRANSFIN
4.29
169.80
3.32
HEXAWARE
29.75
7.38
553.45
0.65
8.27
48.74
3.63
64.85
19.23
37.59
3.81
71.00
Vol
OI (MN)
OI (%)
0.68
0.97
13.60
1098.15
-0.65
15.63
7.96
12.59
314.40
7.25
PFC
4.38
4.49
8.62
267.65
-2.30
-3.35
BHARTIARTL
8.90
9.80
8.51
380.05
-5.76
-2.67
MINDTREE
0.12
0.19
8.37
1355.65
-1.45
LCP
Pr (%)
Vol
OI (MN)
OI (%)
LCP
Pr (%)
Pr (%)
STOCK
Vol
OI (MN)
OI (%)
SBIN
45.07
82.79
-4.82
266.60
2.70
RANBAXY
2.29
5.24
-6.19
808.10
-1.47
GMRINFRA
26.87
162.54
-0.98
15.80
1.94
ALBK
6.15
8.17
-5.09
99.30
3.01
HINDALCO
7.69
23.16
-3.19
135.15
3.09
LT
3.99
7.42
-4.31
1693.65
2.32
ONGC
4.00
25.32
-2.80
308.00
0.83
COLPAL
0.13
0.35
-3.96
2014.60
0.27
NHPC
3.17
32.91
-1.67
19.90
0.51
HCLTECH
2.73
9.19
-3.70
969.10
-2.10
Delivery Statistics
Delivery above 10DMA (Price Gainers)
STOCK
LCP
Vol
(MN)
Del
Del %
STOCK
LCP
Vol
(MN)
Del
Del %
10
DMA
61.75
8.93
4.75
53.23
1.93
MINDTREE
1355.65
0.35
0.26
74.43
0.08
1693.65
3.53
2.10
59.68
1.06
BATAINDIA
1093.20
0.62
0.38
61.14
0.14
HEXAWARE
314.40
6.45
1.27
19.67
0.67
SYNDIBANK
101.00
4.76
1.38
28.97
0.55
UPL
440.75
2.75
1.47
53.46
0.84
ZEEL
341.60
3.13
2.08
66.46
0.93
AXISBANK
553.45
11.74
4.95
42.15
2.99
RELINFRA
426.45
2.68
0.78
28.98
0.39
JISLJALEQS
LT
Abbreviations : OI Open Interest, IV- Implied Volatility, HV- Historical volatility, Fut. Futures, Vol Volumes, PCR Put Call Ratio, DEMA
Daily Exponential Moving Average, DMA - Daily Moving average, SMA Simple Moving average