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Corporate Presentation - December 2014
Corporate Presentation - December 2014
December 2014
Forward-Looking Information
In the interest of providing investors with information regarding Inter Pipeline, including managements current expectations, estimates and projections about the future, certain statements and
graphs throughout this presentation contain forward-looking statements or information (collectively referred to as "forward-looking statements") within the meaning of applicable securities
legislation. When used in this presentation, the words "may", "would", "should", "could", "will", "intend", "plan", "anticipate", "believe", "estimate", "expect", "continue", "project", "forecast", "target"
and similar expressions, as they relate to Inter Pipeline or its management are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements contained in this presentation relate to,
among other things, statements regarding business strategy, plans and other expectations, beliefs, goals, objectives, information and statements about possible future events. Specific forwardlooking statements that may be contained in this presentation include statements regarding the ability of Inter Pipeline to maintain its current level of dividends; changes in legislation relating to
Inter Pipeline and its structure, including income tax considerations and the treatment of security holders under tax laws; and the composition of the management and Board of Directors of Inter
Pipeline; in addition, this presentation may contain forward-looking statements attributed to third-party industry sources. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking
statements. Such statements reflect the current views of Inter Pipeline with respect to future events and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause the results of
Inter Pipeline to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to vary from forward-looking information or may affect the
operations, performance, development and results of Inter Pipeline's businesses include, among other things: risks and assumptions associated with operations, such as Inter Pipeline's ability to
successfully implement its strategic initiatives and achieve expected benefits, including the further development of its oil sands pipeline systems; assumptions concerning operational reliability; the
availability and price of labour and construction materials; the status, credit risk and continued existence of customers having contracts with Inter Pipeline and their respective affiliates; availability
of energy commodities; volatility of and assumptions regarding prices of energy commodities; competitive factors, pricing pressures and supply and demand in the natural gas and oil
transportation, ethane transportation and natural gas liquids (NGL) extraction and storage industries; assumptions based upon Inter Pipeline's current financial and operational guidance;
fluctuations in currency and interest rates; inflation; the ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources; risks and uncertainties associated with the ability to maintain Inter
Pipeline's current level of cash dividends; risks inherent in Inter Pipeline's Canadian and foreign operations; risks of war, hostilities, civil insurrection, instability and political and economic
conditions in or affecting countries in which Inter Pipeline and its affiliates operate; severe weather conditions; terrorist threats; risks associated with technology; Inter Pipeline's ability to generate
sufficient cash flow from operations to meet its current and future obligations; Inter Pipeline's ability to access external sources of debt and equity capital; general economic and business
conditions; the potential delays of and costs of overruns on construction projects, including, but not limited to Inter Pipeline's current oil sands projects and future expansions of Inter Pipeline's oil
sands pipeline systems; risks associated with the failure to finalize formal agreements with counterparties in circumstances where letters of intent or similar agreements have been executed and
announced by Inter Pipeline; Inter Pipeline's ability to make capital investments and the amounts of capital investments; changes in laws and regulations, including environmental, regulatory and
taxation laws, and the interpretation of such changes to laws and regulations; the risks associated with existing and potential future lawsuits and regulatory actions against Inter Pipeline and its
affiliates; increases in maintenance, operating or financing costs; availability of adequate levels of insurance; difficulty in obtaining necessary regulatory approvals and maintenance of support of
such approvals; the inability to meet or continue to meet listing requirements of the TSX; and such other risks and uncertainties described from time to time in Inter Pipeline's reports and filings with
the Canadian securities regulatory authorities. The impact of any one assumption, risk, uncertainty or other factor on a particular forward-looking statement is not determinable with certainty, as
these are interdependent and Inter Pipeline's future course of action depends on management's assessment of all information available at the relevant time. See "Risk Factors" in the
management's discussion and analysis of Inter Pipeline's operating results for the years ended December 31, 2013 and 2012 and other reports and filings available at www.sedar.com. Although
the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are based upon what management believes to be reasonable assumptions, there can be no assurance that actual results will be
consistent with these forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements contained, or incorporated by reference, herein are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary
statement. The forward-looking statements included, or incorporated by reference, in this presentation are made as of the date hereof and Inter Pipeline undertakes no obligation to publicly update
such forward-looking statements to reflect new information, subsequent events or otherwise, except as required by applicable securities laws. You are further cautioned that the preparation of
financial statements in accordance with GAAP requires management to make certain judgments and estimates that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses. These
estimates may change, having either a negative or positive effect on net earnings as further information becomes available and as the economic environment changes. GAAP and Non-GAAP
Measures In addition to providing measures prepared in accordance with GAAP this presentation may contain references to non-GAAP measures as identified herein. These measures do not
have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other entities. Investors are cautioned that non-GAAP and additional
GAAP financial measures should not be construed as alternatives to other measures of financial performance calculated in accordance with GAAP. References to the term EBITDA used in this
presentation may include EBITDA or adjusted EBITDA. The most closely related GAAP and non-GAAP measures are defined in Inter Pipelines most recent Management Discussion and
Analysis available at www.interpipeline.com. Industry Data - Certain market, independent third party and industry data contained in this presentation is based upon information from government or
other independent industry publications and reports or based on estimates derived from such publications and reports. Government and industry publications and reports generally indicate that
they have obtained their information from sources believed to be reliable, but do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of their information. This presentation also includes certain data,
including information on export and refining capacity, supply and demand for certain commodity types and total remaining established oil ands reserves, and other operational results, derived from
public filings made by independent third parties. While Inter Pipeline believes this data to be reliable, market and industry data is subject to variations and cannot be verified with complete certainty
due to limits on the availability and reliability of raw data, the voluntary nature of the data gathering process and other limitations and uncertainties inherent in any statistical survey. Inter Pipeline
has not independently verified any of the data from independent third party sources referred to in this presentation or ascertained the underlying assumptions relied upon by such sources.
Market Information
Market Capitalization
$10.7 billion
Enterprise Value
$15.1 billion
Annualized Dividend
$1.47/share
Yield
4.5%
Conventional
Oil Pipelines
NGL
Extraction
Bulk Liquid
Storage
3,700 km
pipeline network
in western
Canada
Process 40% of
natural gas
exported from
Alberta
19 million
barrels of
storage capacity
in western
Europe
Areas of Operation
2014 September YTD EBITDA
Canada
Europe
88%
Fort McMurray
12%
ALBERTA
SASKATCHEWAN
SCOTLAND
DENMARK
Edmonton
North Sea
Hardisty
B.C.
Cochrane
Extraction
Plant
IRELAND
ENGLAND
Empress II & V
Extraction
Plants
Calgary
U.S.A.
GERMANY
FRANCE
SWITZERLAND
Visible
Growth
Financial
Financial
Strength
Strength
Solid balance sheet
Strong Investor
Returns
12 consecutive
dividend increases
5year dividend
CAGR ~10%
Superior
Project
Execution
$7+ billion of
identified capital
opportunities
~$4.5 billion of
projects placed into
service since 2006
2015F EBITDA of
over $1 billion; ~60%
higher than 2013A*
Industry leading
project execution
program
*Source: 2015F EBITDA from RBC Capital Markets
Excellent access to
capital markets
Dividend Growth
$/Share
$1.32
$1.47
$1.18
$1.06
$0.97
$0.91
$0.84
$0.84
$0.85
$0.80
$0.75
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
*Based on actual dividends to November 2014 and $0.1225/share per month thereafter
2012
2013
2014E* 2015E*
13.6%
9.3%
10.0%
7.0%
4.8%
5.0%
3.6%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Peer 1
Inter Pipeline
Peer 2
Peer 3
Peer 4
Peer 5
-5.0%
CAGR from 2009 to 2014E; 2014E is based on actual dividends paid to November 2014 and annualized thereafter;
peers include ALA, ENB, ENF, KEY, PPL, TRP and VSN
Peer 6
Peer 7
-4.8%
Enterprise Growth
$ Million
18,000
16,225
16,000
14,000
11,885
12,000
9,595
10,000
7,595
8,000
6,650
6,000
5,370
4,000
2,000
2,215
2,680
2,510
2005
2006
3,985
3,920
2007
2008
0
2004
2009
Market Capitalization
7
2010
2011
Debt
2012
2013 Q3 2014
Recent Developments
44%
Imperial Kearl
Suncor
Husky Sunrise
Fort McMurray
Jacos/Nexen
Hangingstone
AOC Hangingstone
CNR Primrose /
Wolf Lake
Osum Orion
Canexus Facility
Edmonton
Hardisty
Polaris Pipeline
Cold Lake Pipeline
Corridor Pipeline
PolarisExtension
Extension
Polaris
BlendLine
LineExpansion
Expansion
Blend
10
700
660
600
30
500
400
18
10
120
Contracted
Volumes
350
300
540
200
100
0
FCCL
11
Imperial
Kearl
Husky
Sunrise
CNR Kirby
South
Suncor
Connection
JACOS
AOC
Hangingstone Hangingstone
Ultimate
Capacity
1,800
2,000
Available
Capacity
1,600
673
1,400
500
1,200
63
14
1,000
Contracted
Volumes
800
650
1,227
600
400
200
0
Original Cold
Lake
12
FCCL
Osum Orion
Ultimate Capacity
1,400
1,400
1,200
1,000
935
Potential
3rd Party
Capacity**
800
600
465
400
344
465
200
0
Current Throughput*
Installed Capacity
13
Ultimate Capacity
Contracted
Volumes
200
150
100
50
0
2008
2009
2010
Corridor
14
2011
Cold Lake
2012
Polaris
2013
Contract
Type
InService
Date
Capital
Cost
($mm)
LT Annual
EBITDA
($mm)
Implied
Multiple
Polaris
COS
2014
$1,300
$120
10.8x
Cold Lake
COS
Q1 2015
1,340
160
8.4x
Cold Lake
& Polaris
COS
2H 2017
275
50
5.5x
Cold Lake
COS
2014
60
12
5.0x
Polaris
COS
Q3 2015
45
19
2.4x
Polaris
COS
Q1 2015
29
5.8x
JACOS Hangingstone
Polaris
COS
Mid 2016
25
Not Disclosed
N/A
~$3,100
~$365
Project
FCCL Foster Creek & Christina Lake
COS
2015+
~$4,000
~$7,100
Cold Lake EBITDA & capital cost presented on 85% basis; COS = Cost-of-Service contract; see forwardlooking information
15
$250
Polaris: AOC
Hangingstone Phase I
$200
$150
$100
$0
2014E
2015E
2016E
2017E
2018E
Cold Lake presented on 85% basis; EBITDA in project commencement year is prorated; certain projects have been excluded; see forward-looking information
16
potential opportunities
from 2015+
Imperial Aspen
Cenovus - Telephone Lake
Fort McMurray
AOC Hangingstone
Expansion
Cheecham
of additional volume
Cenovus GrandRapids
PTTEP Mariana Oil Sands Project
Blackpearl Blackrod
CNR Kirby North
CNR Grouse
storage infrastructure at
Husky - Caribou
key hubs
Osum Taiga
Lamont Terminal
TC Heartland
NW Upgrader
Lamont Terminal
Edmonton
Well positioned to
accommodate small and
large scale project
phases:
In-Situ: 20 to 40 kb/d
Hardisty
Polaris Pipeline
Cold Lake Pipeline
Corridor Pipeline
Polaris Expansion
Polaris Extension
Blend Line Expansion
Diluent and/or Bitumen Blend
Diluent
Mining: 80 to 100
Northern Athabasca
Southern Athabasca/Cold Lake
Peace River
Disclaimer: Information depicted does not represent opportunities Inter Pipeline is necessarily undertaking, nor does it imply that these
opportunities will materialize. The intent of the slide is to depict possible development opportunities in the oil sands region based on
managements current expectations, estimates, and projections about the future. Refer to slide Forward-Looking Information.
17
kb/d
Pipeline
Stream (b/d)
Multi-Modal
Connections
Terminal
Hub
Storage
Blending
Pipeline
Connections
Control 4.5 million b/d of ultimate pipeline capacity which can be leveraged
into value-added service integration
Disclaimer: Information depicted does not represent opportunities Inter Pipeline is necessarily undertaking, nor does it imply that these opportunities will materialize. The intent of the slide is to depict
possible development opportunities in the oil sands region based on managements current expectations, estimates, and projections about the future. Refer to slide Forward-Looking Information.
18
5,000
1,500
4,000
1,200
3,000
900
2,000
600
1,000
300
0
2008
2010
2012
2014F
2016F
2018F
Bitumen
19
2020F
2022F
Diluent
2024F
2026F
2028F
2030F
7.0
Northern Gateway
6.0
TCPL Energy East
Production / Capacity
5.0
TMPL Expansion
4.0
Keystone XL
Rail (Expansion)
Alberta Clipper Expansion
3.0
Rail (Current)
2.0
Keystone
Alberta Clipper
1.0
Enbridge ML East
Express
0.0
2010
Refining
2015
2020
2025
20
2030
24%
21
Conventional Pipelines
Edmonton
ALBERTA
SASK.
Hardisty
Stettler
Kerrobert
Kindersley
Calgary
Brooks
Medicine Hat
Glauconite
Pekisko
Sunburst
Bakken
Lethbridge
Viking
22
Milk River
U.S.A.
Conventional EBITDA
$ Millions
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2004
2005
2006
2007
Oil Gathering
23
2008
Hardisty
2009
2010
2011
Midstream Marketing
2012
2013
Conventional Throughput
000s b/d
225
200
196
175
34
150
202
187
169
176
37
35
23
22
26
28
33
33
36
41
54
113
110
108
107
98
100
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 YTD*
33
125
165
170
66
100
75
129
50
25
0
2008
Bow River
*YTD September 30, 2014
24
Mid-Saskatchewan
Central Alberta
Growth Opportunities
Edmonton
System expansions
ALBERTA
Hardisty
Stettler
Kerrobert
Kindersley
Rail connections
Hardisty South transmission
expansion
Calgary
MSPL expansion
Brooks
Medicine Hat
Lethbridge
Milk River
U.S.A.
25
Production (b/d)
1,200
1,000
60,000
IPL pipeline services Viking producers
50,000
40,000
600
30,000
400
20,000
200
10,000
0
2004
0
2005
2006
Vertical
Source: geoSCOUT
26
2007
2008
2009
Horizontal
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
20%
27
NGL Extraction
Edmonton
ALBERTA
SASKATCHEWAN
Calgary
Empress II / V**
3.7 bcf/d
Capacity
B.C.
U.S.A.
*YTD September 30, 2014; **50% working interest in the Empress V facility
28
1.00
Closed extraction
acquisition
0.80
15 year average frac spread: 54.6 US cents
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Only applicable to propane plus sales from the Cochrane NGL Extraction facility
29
Jan-10
Jan-11
Jan-12
Jan-13
Jan-14
Future Opportunities
ALBERTA
SASK.
MONTNEY
Terminals
Major project
development
DUVERNAY
Edmonton
Cochrane
Extraction
Plant
B.C.
Calgary
Empress II & V
Extraction Plants*
U.S.A.
30
Opportunities to pursue
large scale and strategic
partnerships
12%
31
SCOTLAND
DENMARK
North Sea
NORTHERN
IRELAND
WALES
Shannon
12 multi-product terminals
Tyne
Seal Sands
Riverside
Immingham West
Immingham East
Ensted
IRELAND
ENGLAND
Asnaes
Stigsnaes
Gulfhavn
GERMANY
TLG North
TLG South
FRANCE
SWITZERLAND
32
Strategic Drivers
33
Capacity Utilization
Simon Storage
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
Q1
2006
2006
100%
Q12007
2007
Q12008
2008
Q12009
2009
Q12010
2010
Q12011
2011
Q12012
2012
Q12013
2013
Q12014
2014
Inter Terminals
75%
50%
25%
0%
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
Ensted, Asnaes & Stigsnaes
34
Gulfhavn
35
36
37
Financial Discipline
Recourse Debt to Total Capitalization
Capital Structure*
60%
50%
40%
30%
~11%
20%
10%
~48%
0%
2009
~41%
2010
2011
2012
2013
Q3 2014
60%
Common Equity
40%
20%
0%
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 YTD
38
2044
22%
2017
17%
2018
9%
2022
17%
2021
14%
2020
22%
39
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
NGL Extraction
*Source: 2014F & 2015F based on RBC Capital Markets estimates; see forwardlooking information
40
2012
~10%
41%
16%
41%
~60%
~30%
43%
37%
Cost of Service
Fee Based
Commodity Based
Cost of Service
Fee Based
Commodity Based
*Original Cold Lake TSA based on modified cost of service contract as detailed in IPLs AIF; see forwardlooking information
41
EBITDA Stability
Inter Pipeline
2015F EBITDA
~10%
~30%
~60%
~35%
Cost of Service
Fee Based
Commodity Based
*Source: RBC Capital Markets; Mid Cap Peers includes ALA, GEI, KEY, PPL and VSN
**original Cold Lake TSA based on modified cost of service; see forwardlooking information
42
~27%
Dividend Stability
$ Million
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2009
2009
FFO Dividend
2010
2010
FFO Dividend
2011
2011
FFO Dividend
2012
2012
FFO Dividend
2013
2013
FFO Dividend
NGL Extraction
43
2014
2014
FFO* Dividend*
Looking Forward
44
Contact Information
Christian Bayle
President & CEO
Brent Heagy
Chief Financial Officer
Jeremy Roberge
Vice President, Capital Markets
investorrelations@interpipeline.com
Inter Pipeline Ltd.
Suite 2600, 237 4th Avenue SW
Calgary, Alberta T2P 4K3
Phone:
Phone:
Fax:
Web:
45