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Wells Fargo Wireless Auction October 14
Wells Fargo Wireless Auction October 14
Equity Research
Broadcast: A Detailed Look At the Incentive Auction
We took a detailed look at spectrum using the FCCs reserve prices. On
10/1, the FCC released an information packet (Incentive Auction Opportunities
For Broadcasters) that is flush with information for those station groups eligible
to participate in the Incentive Auction. This intensely complex document has a
lot of incremental data--the most important to us being i) the FCCs estimated
reserve prices by market, and ii) a partial description of the potential tax
implications. In this note, we summarize the most important aspects of the
broadcast incentive auction as well as the recent FCC document. Perhaps most
valuable is how we use the new data to provide both a total spectrum portfolio
value as well as hidden spectrum value for all publicly traded station groups.
BOTTOM LINE: We found SBGI and NXST have the greatest spectrum
portfolio value as a % of equity and enterprise value; while NXST and
MEG have the highest hidden spectrum value.
not overlap with many stations or cover as large a number of people. That is because if the FCC doesnt get that
one station with the bigger footprint, it might have to buy three or four stations to achieve the same repacking.
We provide a complete list of the FCCs estimated reserve prices (both median and maximum)
excerpted directly from the Information Package in Appendix 1 on pages 11-15.
As part of Appendix 2 (pages 16-20) we also provide the per-MHz pop valuations implied by the FCCs
estimated reserve prices--which we use to compare to the per-MHZ pop valuations that resulted from
the 2008 wireless spectrum auction (Auction 73).
We still pull our hair out over the potential tax implications.
We read the FCC document, the IRS letter and way too many sections of the Internal Revenue Code cover to cover.
And while it is sort of clear as to how the potential gains will be taxed upon both relinquishment of spectrum as well
as repacking, we still dont know how to calculate such gains because WE HAVE NO IDEA HOW THE IRS IS
DETERMINING THE COST BASIS OF THE BROADAST SPECTRUM.
We certainly dont believe the cost basis should be $0. We do understand that the broadcasters initially received this
spectrum for free. BUT: (i) since that time, 96% of spectrum has changed hands via M&A, providing a pretty clear
basis; and (2) these companies have spent a lot of money in building a business model around the free spectrum,
which should also be taken into account when calculating the cost basis. Unfortunately, the IRS does a pretty poor
job of providing any clarity here, so we really had no choice but to use a $0 cost basis assumption in some of our
calculations below (see page 9). We intend to update our analyses and conclusions once we have more information
(whenever that may be).
Now, onto what we DO know.
The most important thing we learned from the FCC document is that the tax treatment of any sale of spectrum will
be determined by HOW a broadcast owner decides to participate in the auction.
If a broadcaster outrights sells spectrum with no channel sharing or move to VHF, the gain from the sale of such
spectrum will be treated as a long-term capital gain as long as the rights to that spectrum were held for longer than
one year.
If spectrum is relinquished through channel sharing, there are two potential outcomes:
1) In a partnership, the relocating party may qualify for deferral from tax for the portion of the gain associated with
moving to a shared channel.
2) In a cost-sharing arrangement, the gain will be taxed as if it is a straight relinquishment of spectrum (i.e. long
term capital gain if held for one year).
Lastly, if spectrum is relinquished via a move from UHF to VHF, the broadcaster can defer immediate taxation of a
portion of the gain resulting from the relinquishment of existing spectrum rights in exchange for a VHF channel
under the like-kind exchange provisions of the Internal Revenue Code. The proceeds under this option would
constitute boot and any gain attributable to such boot must be reported in gross income.
The last part of the tax document confirms that there will be NO taxation on any reimbursement of repacking/
relocating costs.
Other stuff we
Broadcasters:
learned
from
the
Incentive
Auction
Opportunities
For
The documents begin with an overview of the incentive auction and its relevance--reiterating that this process is
COMPLETELY VOLUNTARY.
A couple of the more interesting parts of this document:
IT IS NOT JUST LARGE MARKET STATIONS that are being targeted for participation. Specifically, the FCC
says that due to the daisy chain nature of interference, stations in mid- to smaller-sized markets will be
valuable in this process. In other words, adjacent markets (regardless of size) may also be needed to help clear
the most congested top markets.
PARTICIPATION OF OVER 200 BROADCASTERS IS NEEDED (we dont know what happens if the FCC
doesnt hit this target).
Independent studies have estimated that the total auction proceeds (FORWARD AUCTION) could
approach $45B. This assumes 100MHz of spectrum sold for an average of $1.50/MHzPop.
Total net proceeds to the broadcasters COULD approach $38B (although we question how realistic
this is given that the FCC has no intention of allowing station groups to receive a windfall from
this aucti0n). We get to this $38B by subtracting from that $45B above: i) $5B to cover the costs of FirstNet
that are not covered by the H Block and AWS-3 auctions; ii) $1.75B for the TV Broadcaster Relocation Fund; and
iii) $250MM for auction-related costs.
The FCC has a 126MHz clearing target the difference between the 126MHz and the 100MHz that is actually
being sold has to do with guard bands and the duplex gap (buffers between TV and wireless services sharing
the band), which are not available for auctioning.
An overview of prior wireless auctions and recent secondary transactions: The document goes on to
provide an overview of the last auction (Auction 73 in 2008), whereby 62MHz of spectrum in the 700MHz band
(right next to the TV stations) went for $19B, with an average unit price for all blocks of $1.28 per MHz-pop and an
average unit price for paired blocks (most comparable to the TV stations 600MHz band) of $1.35 per MHz pop.
Somewhere in the middle, the FCC highlighted rising spectrum valuations and included a summary of the most recent
transactions (see our chart below).
Major Wireless Spectrum Transactions Over The Last Several Years
Dec. 2010
ATT-Qualcom
700 MHz Band
$1.9 billion
Dec. 2011
Jan. 2013
Verizon-SpectrumCo
AWSBand
$3.6 billion
Verizon-Grain
700 MHz Band
$189 million
June 2013
Jan. 2014
T-Mobile-USCC
AWSBand
$308 million
T-Mobile-USCC
700 MHz Band
$3.3 billion
$4.25 700MHz
$4.00
$4.00 AWStransactions
$3.50
($ / MHz-POP)
$3.00
$2.50
T-Mobile / Verizon
700MHz A Block
$1.85
$2.00
$1.50
700MHz auction
$1.29
AWS-1 auction
$0.54
$0.50
$0.00
Feb-05
Jul-06
Nov-07
Mar-09
T-Mobile / USCellular
$0.96
Qualcom / AT&T
$0.85
$1.00
Aug-10
Dec-11
May-13
Sep-14
As the FCC states, MHz-POP unit prices for spectrum licenses have increased at a 6% CAGR over auction prices, or
approximately 33% over a five-year period IF WE WERE TO APPLY THAT 6% CAGR SINCE THE 2008
AUCTION, WE WOULD GET AN AVERAGE PER MHZ POP VALUE OF $2.03 BY 2015 (this compares
to the FCCs current target valuation of $1.50/MHzPop).
Ways in which the broadcast stations can participate in the reverse auction: The document goes on to
remind us of the various ways that the broadcasters can participate in the reverse auction--we summarize these here,
as this is a question that comes up often from the investment community.
1) A station can relinquish its entire 6MHz channel and go off the air
This would result in the highest level of compensation.
A broadcaster has up to 3 months after it receives proceeds to cease operations
2) A broadcaster can CHANNEL SHARE by relinquishing its entire 6MHz channel and negotiate a commercial
arrangement with another broadcaster to share channels/facilities and stay on the air (by the way, this is
explicitly why we do NOT think SSAs are going away--Shared Service Agreements (SSAs) are needed to channel
share).
This allows broadcasters to remain on the air while receiving the same level of compensation as in (1) above.
Each shared station remains a primary FCC licensee with all current licensee rights ESPECIALLY MUST
CARRY
Those that channel share must vacate the relinquished channel within 3 months of receiving compensation
3) A broadcaster can MOVE TO A VHF station by relinquishing its 6MHZ UHF station in exchange for another
channel
Broadcasters will retain must carry rights on their new channel
Broadcasters choosing this option will have up to 39 months after the Incentive Auction ends to move to the
new channel.
4) There is a FOURTH option that we did NOT know about (maybe we missed it in earlier documents--who knows?).
Here, a HIGH VHF broadcaster can move to a LOWER VHF channel.
Broadcasters will retain must carry rights on their new channel
Broadcasters choosing this option will have up to 39 months after the Incentive Auction ends to move to the
new channel.
A few things to remember here: (1) Every channel is comprised of 6MHz of spectrum; but (2) NOT
EVERY CHANNEL has the right kind of spectrum. The FCC is primarily looking for FULL POWER
UHF, some HIGH VHF, and Class A stations--all of which must have been licensed as of February
22, 2012.
The mechanics of the reverse and forward auction proceedings: A big portion of this document describes
the specific mechanics of both the reverse and the forward auctions. We re-print both sections below.
The Reverse AuctionWill Use A DescendingClock Format to Make Participation Easy And Transparent For Broadcasters
Illustrative Reverse Auction Example Where 2 StationsAre Needed
(Assumestechnically identical stations)
Round
Bid Price
(1)
$$$$$$
3 stations
(2)
$$$$$
1 station
(3)
$$$$
1 station
(4)
$$$
0 station
(1)
(3)
ii. All 3 remaining stations still bid to accept this bid price
(4)
The Forward Auction Is Designed To Be Efficient And Fast To Draw In Maximum Participation From WirelessProviders
Bidder 1 Bidder 2
Excess Demand
(4)
$$$$$
2 Blocks 4 Blocks
(3)
$$$$
3 Blocks 4 Blocks
1 Block
(2)
$$$
4 Blocks 4 Blocks
2 Blocks
(1)
$$
6 Blocks 6 Blocks
6 Blocks
(1)
(3)
(4)
Results from the L.A. channel sharing test: Last but not least, the FCCs document sheds light on the results
from the Channel Sharing trial that had been held in Los Angeles in early 2014. If you recall, PBS affiliate KLCS and
Spanish Language affiliate KJLA tested the technical feasibility of having two different licensees share a single 6MHz
channel. Data from the trial suggested (among other things):
Channel sharing is feasible--all TVs and tuners received and correctly parsed the required information;
One HD stream is possible with numerous SD programs (the trial tested 1 HD and up to 7SD streams); and
It is technically feasible to have two 720p high def streams combine with 2 SD program streams
FCC Median And Maximum Spectrum Valuations as a % of Equity Value And Enterprise Value
(figures in millions, except per share and percentage data)
Ticker
SBGI
NXST
MEG
GTN
MDP
TRBAA
CBS
GCI
FOXA
CMCSA
DIS
FCC Med.
Spec. Val.
$3,681
$1,428
$1,471
$466
$636
$2,501
$2,909
$602
$1,786
$3,322
$146
FCC Max.
Spec. Val.
$5,134
$2,016
$2,022
$657
$920
$3,503
$4,077
$985
$2,276
$4,633
$160
Diluted sh
O/S (Q2'14)
98
32
137
58
37
94
581
232
2,228
2,628
1,728
Med. Val.
/ Sh
$37.61
$44.72
$10.74
$7.99
$17.29
$26.69
$5.01
$2.59
$0.80
$1.26
$0.08
Max. Val.
/ Sh
$52.46
$63.13
$14.76
$11.27
$25.01
$37.39
$7.02
$4.24
$1.02
$1.76
$0.09
10/1/2014
Close Price
$25.79
$39.68
$12.72
$7.71
$42.33
$63.06
$52.81
$29.21
$33.70
$52.93
$87.49
Enterprise
Val.
$5,715
$2,335
$4,399
$1,541
$2,235
$8,839
$34,124
$10,707
$88,727
$181,949
$163,148
Note: spectrum valuations are pro forma for all announced acquisitions; Source: TvB, BIA, Public FCC Documents,
FactSet and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates
20% Tax Effected FCC Median And Maximum Spectrum Valuations as a % of Equity Value And
Enterprise Value
(figures in millions, except per share and percentage data)
Ticker
SBGI
NXST
MEG
GTN
MDP
TRBAA
CBS
GCI
FOXA
CMCSA
DIS
20% Tax-effected
FCC Med.
FCC Max.
Spec. Val.
Spec. Val.
$2,945
$4,107
$1,142
$1,613
$1,177
$1,618
$373
$526
$509
$736
$2,001
$2,802
$2,327
$3,262
$482
$788
$1,429
$1,821
$2,658
$3,706
$117
$128
Diluted sh
O/S (Q2'14)
98
32
137
58
37
94
581
232
2,228
2,628
1,728
Med. Val.
/ Sh
$30.09
$35.78
$8.59
$6.39
$13.83
$21.36
$4.01
$2.07
$0.64
$1.01
$0.07
Max. Val.
/ Sh
$41.97
$50.51
$11.81
$9.01
$20.01
$29.91
$5.61
$3.40
$0.82
$1.41
$0.07
10/1/2014
Close Price
$25.79
$39.68
$12.72
$7.71
$42.33
$63.06
$52.81
$29.21
$33.70
$52.93
$87.49
Enterprise
Val.
$5,715
$2,335
$4,399
$1,541
$2,235
$8,839
$34,124
$10,707
$88,727
$181,949
$163,148
Note: spectrum valuations are pro forma for all announced acquisitions; Source: TvB, BIA, Public FCC Documents,
FactSet and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates
40% Tax Effected FCC Median And Maximum Spectrum Valuations as a % of Equity Value And
Enterprise Value
(figures in millions, except per share and percentage data)
Ticker
SBGI
NXST
MEG
GTN
MDP
TRBAA
CBS
GCI
FOXA
CMCSA
DIS
40% Tax-effected
FCC Med.
FCC Max.
Spec. Val.
Spec. Val.
$2,209
$3,080
$857
$1,210
$883
$1,213
$280
$394
$382
$552
$1,501
$2,102
$1,745
$2,446
$361
$591
$1,072
$1,366
$1,993
$2,780
$88
$96
Diluted sh
O/S (Q2'14)
98
32
137
58
37
94
581
232
2,228
2,628
1,728
Med. Val.
/ Sh
$22.57
$26.83
$6.44
$4.79
$10.38
$16.02
$3.00
$1.56
$0.48
$0.76
$0.05
Max. Val.
/ Sh
$31.48
$37.88
$8.85
$6.76
$15.01
$22.43
$4.21
$2.55
$0.61
$1.06
$0.06
10/1/2014
Close Price
$25.79
$39.68
$12.72
$7.71
$42.33
$63.06
$52.81
$29.21
$33.70
$52.93
$87.49
Enterprise
Val.
$5,715
$2,335
$4,399
$1,541
$2,235
$8,839
$34,124
$10,707
$88,727
$181,949
$163,148
Note: spectrum valuations are pro forma for all announced acquisitions; Source: TvB, BIA, Public FCC Documents,
FactSet and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates
website), stations that share employ a single channel and transmission facility but each continue to be licensed
separately, retain its original call sign, retain all the rights pertaining to an FCC license, and remain subject to all of
the FCCs rules, policies, and obligations.
We tried our hand at determining each broadcasters hidden spectrum value by using this channel sharing
philosophy. In essence, we assume that each broadcaster will sell ONE of their duopoly channels back to the FCC for
cash; while maintaining all of the programming (and hence EBITDA) via multi-cast on that remaining channel.
In these calculations, we used almost all of the same assumptions that underlie our spectrum portfolio value analysis
above. The big difference, however, is two-fold. In our hidden spectrum value analysis, we actually had to INCLUDE
the VHF stations, as these are viable options for channel sharing; but we had to EXCLUDE any channel that is already
being used to multi-cast another channels programming.
ACCORDING TO OUR CALCULATIONS, companies with the GREATEST HIDDEN SPECTRUM VALUE
include: NXST, MEG, TRBAA and MDP; while companies with the LEAST HIDDEN SPECTRUM
VALUE include: CMCSA, FOXA, GTN (we remind you that GTN already multi-casts on almost all of
their stations), and DIS.
Median and Maximum Hidden Spectrum Value per Share
Ticker
NXST
MEG
TRBAA
MDP
SBGI
CBS
GCI
CMCSA
FOXA
GTN
DIS
0% Tax Effected
Med. Val.
Max. Val.
/ Sh
/ Sh
$14.03
$20.73
$4.55
$6.85
$3.76
$5.85
$3.26
$4.49
$3.16
$4.18
$2.68
$3.84
$0.81
$1.31
$0.52
$0.73
$0.46
$0.55
$0.02
$0.03
$0.00
$0.00
Note: spectrum valuations are pro forma for all announced acquisitions; Source: TvB, BIA, Public FCC Documents,
and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates
10
Appendix 1:
FCC Estimated Auction Reserve Prices by DMA
(figures in millions of dollars, except for DMA ranking data)
Full Power
Class A
DMA Rank
DMA
Maximum
Medium
Maximum
Medium
New York, NY
490
410
360
280
Los Angeles, CA
570
340
370
310
Chicago, IL
130
120
120
100
Philadelphia, PA
400
230
180
110
Dallas-Ft. Worth, TX
67
53
58
50
140
110
92
70
Boston, MA
140
93
77
77
Washington, DC
140
130
98
67
Atlanta, GA
91
65
54
51
10
Houston, TX
52
45
38
36
11
Detroit, MI
170
110
58
46
12
Phoenix, AZ
36
23
22
10
13
Seattle-Tacoma, WA
95
36
14
Tampa-St Petersburg-Sarasota, FL
71
60
43
39
15
32
20
18
18
16
80
78
76
70
17
Denver, CO
33
28
22
10
18
Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne, FL
85
68
67
44
19
Cleveland-Akron, OH
130
72
26
18
20
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, CA
130
94
55
43
21
St. Louis, MO
21
20
13
11
22
Portland, OR
24
18
15
14
23
Pittsburgh, PA
46
40
38
21
24
Raleigh-Durham, NC
51
47
26
20
25
Charlotte, NC
54
44
25
20
26
Indianapolis, IN
42
36
28
21
27
Baltimore, MD
180
160
79
79
28
San Diego, CA
250
200
230
140
29
Nashville, TN
30
20
12
11
30
Hartford-New Haven, CT
280
170
77
63
31
14
14
32
Columbus, OH
41
36
20
14
33
12
12
11
34
Milwaukee, WI
68
53
32
30
35
Cincinnati, OH
44
42
35
35
36
San Antonio, TX
35
29
22
20
37
Greenville-Spartanburg, SC-Asheville, NC
57
36
38
100
93
47
29
39
70
39
20
14
40
Austin, TX
48
36
24
12
41
Oklahoma City, OK
17
13
13
12
42
Las Vegas, NV
15
12
13
11
43
Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York, PA
180
130
44
Birmingham, AL
33
25
20
12
45
Norfolk-Portsmouth-Newport News, VA
28
24
16
11
46
60
45
47
Albuquerque-Santa Fe, NM
48
Jacksonville, FL
27
23
16
15
49
Louisville, KY
31
25
18
11
50
Memphis, TN
13
11
10
Note: blank values were not disclosed; Source: Public FCC Documents, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
11
Appendix 1 (continued):
FCC Estimated Auction Reserve Prices by DMA
(figures in millions of dollars, except for DMA ranking data)
Full Power
Class A
DMA Rank
DMA
Maximum
Medium
Maximum
Medium
51
New Orleans, LA
18
15
13
11
52
Buffalo, NY
73
46
53
160
110
56
56
54
Wilkes Barre-Scranton, PA
150
140
56
55
Fresno-Visalia, CA
30
26
17
16
56
16
12
57
Richmond-Petersburg, VA
44
39
58
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
81
37
110
10
59
Mobile, AL-Pensacola, FL
15
12
10
10
60
Tulsa, OK
19
14
11
10
14
61
Knoxville, TN
27
19
62
Ft. Myers-Naples, FL
50
35
63
Lexington, KY
31
20
64
Dayton, OH
53
48
65
Charleston-Huntington, WV
23
16
66
Roanoke-Lynchburg, VA
25
22
12
12
67
Wichita - Hutchinson, KS
68
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, MI
100
45
69
Honolulu, HI
10
70
Green Bay-Appleton, WI
13
10
71
Tucson, AZ
38
20
15
11
72
Des Moines-Ames, IA
13
73
Spokane, WA
74
Omaha, NE
75
Springfield, MO
11
76
Toledo, OH
100
55
38
38
77
Columbia, SC
41
17
78
Rochester, NY
34
30
20
16
79
Huntsville-Decatur-Florence, AL
26
22
18
16
80
Portland-Auburn, ME
37
22
81
17
82
Shreveport, LA
16
13
83
Madison, WI
40
35
12
12
84
Champaign-Springfield-Decatur, IL
35
19
85
Syracuse, NY
34
24
10
86
Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, TX
32
21
28
13
87
Chattanooga, TN
62
33
21
18
88
Waco-Temple-Bryan, TX
63
47
15
14
89
Colorado Springs-Pueblo, CO
25
22
90
21
13
7
91
El Paso, TX
92
Savannah, GA
11
93
Baton Rouge, LA
24
18
14
94
Jackson, MS
17
11
95
Charleston, SC
14
10
10
96
South Bend-Elkhart, IN
65
56
97
Tri-Cities, TN-VA
32
21
13
11
98
Burlington, VT-Plattsburgh, NY
58
17
99
Greenville-New Bern-Washington, NC
33
22
100
22
20
Note: blank values were not disclosed; Source: Public FCC Documents, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
12
Appendix 1 (continued):
FCC Estimated Auction Reserve Prices by DMA
(figures in millions of dollars, except for DMA ranking data)
Full Power
Class A
DMA Rank
DMA
Maximum
Medium
Maximum
101
Ft. Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
14
10
Medium
5
102
Myrtle Beach-Florence, SC
32
25
21
21
103
Johnstown-Altoona, PA
38
26
23
12
104
Evansville, IN
16
10
10
105
Lincoln-Hastings-Kearney, NE
14
106
Tallahassee, FL-Thomasville, GA
10
107
Reno, NV
48
17
108
Tyler-Longview, TX
34
24
109
Ft. Wayne, IN
33
31
110
Boise, ID
111
Sioux Falls-Mitchell, SD
112
Augusta, GA
25
17
113
Youngstown, OH
95
90
114
Springfield-Holyoke, MA
120
120
32
32
115
Lansing, MI
84
62
116
Fargo-Valley City, ND
117
Peoria-Bloomington, IL
30
17
118
Macon, GA
40
19
119
Traverse City-Cadillac, MI
28
120
Montgomery, AL
18
13
121
Eugene, OR
21
122
Lafayette, LA
16
14
123
120
30
59
124
Yakima-Pasco-Richland-Kennewick, WA
125
Monterey-Salinas, CA
79
72
36
31
126
Columbus, GA
38
18
127
Bakersfield, CA
80
31
28
15
128
La Crosse-Eau Claire, WI
18
13
129
Corpus Christi, TX
16
11
0
12
130
Amarillo, TX
131
Wilmington, NC
18
17
132
Chico-Redding, CA
18
16
22
133
Columbus-Tupelo-West Point, MS
13
11
134
Topeka, KS
18
135
Wausau-Rhinelander, WI
15
136
Rockford, IL
55
45
137
11
138
Columbia-Jefferson City, MO
139
Duluth, MN-Superior, WI
140
Medford-Klamath Falls, OR
141
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
17
14
142
Salisbury, MD
55
50
143
Lubbock, TX
144
15
12
145
Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson, ND
146
Anchorage, AK
147
Sioux City, IA
12
148
Palm Springs, CA
180
100
170
26
149
Erie, PA
41
29
150
Odessa-Midland, TX
Note: blank values were not disclosed; Source: Public FCC Documents, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
13
Appendix 1 (continued):
FCC Estimated Auction Reserve Prices by DMA
(figures in millions of dollars, except for DMA ranking data)
Full Power
Class A
DMA Rank
DMA
Maximum
Medium
151
Albany, GA
14
10
152
Joplin, MO-Pittsburg, KS
12
153
15
154
Panama City, FL
15
155
Terre Haute, IN
22
17
Maximum
Medium
19
10
156
Bangor, ME
157
59
53
158
Bluefield-Beckley-Oak Hill, WV
16
15
159
Binghamton, NY
40
16
160
Biloxi-Gulfport, MS
16
14
161
Sherman, TX - Ada, OK
61
40
162
Idaho Falls-Pocatello, ID
163
Gainesville, FL
31
28
28
12
164
Missoula, MT
165
Abilene-Sweetwater, TX
10
165
11
167
Hattiesburg-Laurel, MS
15
13
168
Billings, MT
169
Clarksburg-Weston, WV
31
15
170
171
Utica, NY
52
14
172
Dothan, AL
12
173
Rapid City, SD
174
Elmira, NY
175
Lake Charles, LA
25
15
176
Watertown, NY
17
16
17
177
Jackson, TN
13
13
178
Harrisonburg, VA
64
31
179
Alexandria, LA
10
180
Marquette, MI
181
Jonesboro, AR
12
12
182
Bowling Green, KY
26
11
183
Charlottesville, VA
39
27
22
22
184
Laredo, TX
185
Grand Junction-Montrose, CO
186
Meridian, MS
13
10
187
Lima, OH
36
29
15
15
188
Butte-Bozeman, MT
189
Lafayette, IN
52
52
190
Greenwood-Greenville, MS
191
Great Falls, MT
192
Twin Falls, ID
193
Bend, OR
194
Parkersburg, WV
16
16
1
0
195
Eureka, CA
196
Cheyenne, WY-Scottsbluff, NE
35
197
Casper-Riverton, WY
198
San Angelo, TX
199
Mankato, MN
14
14
200
St. Joseph, MO
15
14
Note: blank values were not disclosed; Source: Public FCC Documents, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
14
Appendix 1 (continued):
FCC Estimated Auction Reserve Prices by DMA
(figures in millions of dollars, except for DMA ranking data)
Full Power
Class A
DMA Rank
DMA
Maximum
Medium
201
Ottumwa, IA-Kirksville, MO
202
Fairbanks, AK
203
Victoria, TX
20
19
204
Zanesville, OH
32
32
205
Helena, MT
206
Presque Isle, ME
207
Juneau, AK
208
North Platte, NE
209
Alpena, MI
210
Glendive, MT
Maximum
Medium
Note: blank values were not disclosed; Source: Public FCC Documents, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
15
Appendix 2:
FCC Estimated Auction Reserve Prices And MHz-Pops v. 2008 Auction MHz-Pops by DMA
(figures in millions of dollars, except for DMA ranking data)
DMA Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
DMA
New York, NY
Los Angeles, CA
Chicago, IL
Philadelphia, PA
Dallas-Ft. Worth, TX
San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, CA
Boston, MA
Washington, DC
Atlanta, GA
Houston, TX
Detroit, MI
Phoenix, AZ
Seattle-Tacoma, WA
Tampa-St Petersburg-Sarasota, FL
Minneapolis - St. Paul, MN
Miami - Ft. Lauderdale, FL
Denver, CO
Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne, FL
Cleveland-Akron, OH
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, CA
St. Louis, MO
Portland, OR
Pittsburgh, PA
Raleigh-Durham, NC
Charlotte, NC
Indianapolis, IN
Baltimore, MD
San Diego, CA
Nashville, TN
Hartford-New Haven, CT
Kansas City, KS-MO
Columbus, OH
Salt Lake City, UT
Milwaukee, WI
Cincinnati, OH
San Antonio, TX
Greenville-Spartanburg, SC-Asheville, NC
West Palm Beach-Ft. Pierce, FL
Grand Rapids-Kalamazoo-Battle Creek, MI
Austin, TX
Oklahoma City, OK
Las Vegas, NV
Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York, PA
Birmingham, AL
Norfolk-Portsmouth-Newport News, VA
Greensboro-High Point-Winston Salem, NC
Albuquerque-Santa Fe, NM
Jacksonville, FL
Louisville, KY
Memphis, TN
Maximum
490
570
130
400
67
140
140
140
91
52
170
36
95
71
32
80
33
85
130
130
21
24
46
51
54
42
180
250
30
280
14
41
12
68
44
35
57
100
70
48
17
15
180
33
28
60
9
27
31
13
Full Power
MHz/Pop
Medium
$4.16
410
$5.67
340
$2.37
120
$8.89
230
$1.62
53
$3.54
110
$3.98
93
$3.84
130
$2.50
65
$1.42
45
$6.20
110
$1.28
23
$3.58
36
$2.80
60
$1.26
20
$3.11
78
$1.44
28
$3.99
68
$6.14
72
$5.70
94
$1.17
20
$1.36
18
$2.89
40
$3.01
47
$3.18
44
$2.61
36
$11.08
160
$14.33
200
$2.00
20
$19.07
170
$1.02
14
$3.01
36
$0.73
12
$5.19
53
$3.31
42
$2.47
29
$4.72
36
$8.89
93
$6.39
39
$4.53
36
$1.63
13
$1.32
12
$16.76
130
$3.16
25
$2.66
24
$6.03
45
$0.87
5
$2.77
23
$3.19
25
$1.29
11
MHz/Pop
$3.48
$3.38
$2.19
$5.11
$1.28
$2.78
$2.65
$3.57
$1.79
$1.23
$4.01
$0.82
$1.36
$2.37
$0.78
$3.03
$1.23
$3.19
$3.40
$4.12
$1.11
$1.02
$2.51
$2.77
$2.59
$2.24
$9.85
$11.46
$1.33
$11.58
$1.02
$2.64
$0.73
$4.05
$3.16
$2.05
$2.98
$8.26
$3.56
$3.40
$1.24
$1.05
$12.11
$2.40
$2.28
$4.52
$0.48
$2.36
$2.57
$1.09
2008 Auction
MHz/Pop
$4.57
$2.58
$9.19
$6.05
$2.13
$5.06
$5.71
$4.81
$5.53
$3.69
$3.54
$6.04
$7.79
$4.23
$4.90
$5.00
$1.93
$5.07
$2.54
$3.95
$4.25
$2.16
$3.13
$3.62
$4.85
$3.73
$3.99
$5.24
$4.42
$4.44
$3.65
$1.40
$3.37
$6.17
$1.88
$2.93
$1.44
$1.99
$3.94
$2.66
$7.32
$4.98
$0.91
$2.22
$3.39
$4.41
$1.05
$2.28
$2.93
$2.46
Source: TvB, BIA, Public FCC Documents, and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates
16
Appendix 2 (continued):
FCC Estimated Auction Reserve Prices And MHz-Pops v. 2008 Auction MHz-Pops by DMA
(figures in millions of dollars, except for DMA ranking data)
DMA Rank
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
DMA
New Orleans, LA
Buffalo, NY
Providence, RI-New Bedford, MA
Wilkes Barre-Scranton, PA
Fresno-Visalia, CA
Little Rock-Pine Bluff, AR
Richmond-Petersburg, VA
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Mobile, AL-Pensacola, FL
Tulsa, OK
Knoxville, TN
Ft. Myers-Naples, FL
Lexington, KY
Dayton, OH
Charleston-Huntington, WV
Roanoke-Lynchburg, VA
Wichita - Hutchinson, KS
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, MI
Honolulu, HI
Green Bay-Appleton, WI
Tucson, AZ
Des Moines-Ames, IA
Spokane, WA
Omaha, NE
Springfield, MO
Toledo, OH
Columbia, SC
Rochester, NY
Huntsville-Decatur-Florence, AL
Portland-Auburn, ME
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg-Mt Vernon
Shreveport, LA
Madison, WI
Champaign-Springfield-Decatur, IL
Syracuse, NY
Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, TX
Chattanooga, TN
Waco-Temple-Bryan, TX
Colorado Springs-Pueblo, CO
Cedar Rapids-Waterloo-Iowa City-Dubuque, IA
El Paso, TX
Savannah, GA
Baton Rouge, LA
Jackson, MS
Charleston, SC
South Bend-Elkhart, IN
Tri-Cities, TN-VA
Burlington, VT-Plattsburgh, NY
Greenville-New Bern-Washington, NC
Davenport, IA-Rock Island-Moline, IL
Maximum
18
73
160
150
30
16
44
81
15
19
27
50
31
53
23
25
8
100
10
13
38
13
7
9
11
100
41
34
26
37
17
16
40
35
34
32
62
63
25
21
9
11
24
17
14
65
32
58
33
22
Full Power
MHz/Pop
Medium
$1.88
15
$8.28
46
$17.99
110
$17.94
140
$2.75
26
$2.00
12
$5.43
39
$10.70
37
$1.95
12
$2.46
14
$3.63
19
$7.16
35
$4.48
20
$7.46
48
$3.58
16
$4.06
22
$1.20
2
$15.49
45
$1.34
5
$2.07
10
$5.93
20
$2.11
8
$1.15
3
$1.47
8
$1.86
8
$16.96
55
$15.15
17
$5.99
30
$4.59
22
$6.83
22
$3.13
9
$2.86
13
$7.50
35
$6.61
19
$6.28
24
$4.35
21
$11.86
33
$11.82
47
$4.95
22
$4.33
13
$1.53
7
$2.21
8
$4.80
18
$3.39
11
$3.04
10
$13.31
56
$7.27
21
$13.05
17
$7.60
22
$5.13
20
MHz/Pop
$1.57
$5.22
$12.37
$16.74
$2.39
$1.50
$4.81
$4.89
$1.56
$1.81
$2.55
$5.01
$2.89
$6.76
$2.49
$3.58
$0.30
$6.97
$0.67
$1.59
$3.12
$1.30
$0.49
$1.31
$1.36
$9.33
$6.28
$5.29
$3.88
$4.06
$1.66
$2.32
$6.56
$3.59
$4.43
$2.85
$6.31
$8.82
$4.36
$2.68
$1.19
$1.61
$3.60
$2.20
$2.17
$11.47
$4.77
$3.83
$5.07
$4.66
2008 Auction
MHz/Pop
$1.94
$0.75
$4.10
$0.04
$1.47
$2.37
$2.38
$1.08
$1.70
$2.41
$2.65
$2.39
$2.34
$1.39
$0.16
$0.81
$1.97
$1.21
$1.13
$1.03
$2.67
$3.71
$1.66
$1.95
$0.43
$1.21
$2.41
$1.54
$1.88
$0.46
$2.35
$1.69
$2.35
$0.38
$1.38
$0.64
$1.68
$2.21
$1.03
$0.99
$1.14
$2.58
$2.21
$1.35
$2.04
$0.59
$0.95
$0.74
$1.56
$0.92
Source: TvB, BIA, Public FCC Documents, and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates
17
Appendix 2 (continued):
FCC Estimated Auction Reserve Prices And MHz-Pops v. 2008 Auction MHz-Pops by DMA
(figures in millions of dollars, except for DMA ranking data)
DMA Rank
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
DMA
Ft. Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Myrtle Beach-Florence, SC
Johnstown-Altoona, PA
Evansville, IN
Lincoln-Hastings-Kearney, NE
Tallahassee, FL-Thomasville, GA
Reno, NV
Tyler-Longview, TX
Ft. Wayne, IN
Boise, ID
Sioux Falls-Mitchell, SD
Augusta, GA
Youngstown, OH
Springfield-Holyoke, MA
Lansing, MI
Fargo-Valley City, ND
Peoria-Bloomington, IL
Macon, GA
Traverse City-Cadillac, MI
Montgomery, AL
Eugene, OR
Lafayette, LA
Santa Barbara-Santa Maria-San Luis Obispo, CA
Yakima-Pasco-Richland-Kennewick, WA
Monterey-Salinas, CA
Columbus, GA
Bakersfield, CA
La Crosse-Eau Claire, WI
Corpus Christi, TX
Amarillo, TX
Wilmington, NC
Chico-Redding, CA
Columbus-Tupelo-West Point, MS
Topeka, KS
Wausau-Rhinelander, WI
Rockford, IL
Monroe, LA-El Dorado, AR
Columbia-Jefferson City, MO
Duluth, MN-Superior, WI
Medford-Klamath Falls, OR
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Salisbury, MD
Lubbock, TX
Wichita Falls, TX -Lawton, OK
Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson, ND
Anchorage, AK
Sioux City, IA
Palm Springs, CA
Erie, PA
Odessa-Midland, TX
Maximum
14
32
38
16
14
10
48
34
33
5
8
25
95
120
84
3
30
40
28
18
21
16
120
5
79
38
80
18
16
2
18
18
13
18
15
55
11
9
7
5
17
55
3
15
1
2
12
180
41
3
Full Power
MHz/Pop
Medium
$3.10
10
$7.63
25
$9.36
26
$3.93
10
$3.57
5
$2.51
9
$12.06
17
$8.39
24
$8.25
31
$1.24
4
$2.18
2
$6.55
17
$25.97
90
$32.52
120
$23.15
62
$0.90
1
$8.54
17
$11.21
19
$8.32
6
$5.12
13
$6.41
6
$4.64
14
$32.35
30
$1.32
3
$20.15
72
$12.07
18
$19.12
31
$5.93
13
$5.01
11
$0.67
1
$6.95
17
$6.38
16
$4.69
11
$7.09
8
$6.00
6
$20.46
45
$4.30
8
$3.60
7
$3.06
3
$2.14
1
$6.80
14
$24.29
50
$1.23
2
$6.58
12
$0.48
0
$0.83
1
$5.32
5
$73.09
100
$18.43
29
$1.29
1
MHz/Pop
$2.22
$5.96
$6.40
$2.46
$1.28
$2.26
$4.27
$5.93
$7.75
$0.99
$0.55
$4.45
$24.61
$32.52
$17.09
$0.30
$4.84
$5.32
$1.78
$3.70
$1.83
$4.06
$8.09
$0.79
$18.37
$5.72
$7.41
$4.28
$3.44
$0.33
$6.56
$5.67
$3.97
$3.15
$2.40
$16.74
$3.12
$2.80
$1.31
$0.43
$5.60
$22.08
$0.82
$5.26
$0.00
$0.42
$2.22
$40.61
$13.03
$0.43
2008 Auction
MHz/Pop
$1.89
$1.56
$0.04
$0.17
$0.44
$2.52
$0.66
$0.85
$0.67
$1.00
$1.24
$1.60
$0.94
$1.62
$2.13
$0.14
$0.67
$1.85
$1.04
$0.98
$0.51
$1.03
$2.56
$0.42
$1.03
$0.27
$1.04
$2.31
$0.28
$0.29
$0.47
$0.11
$0.50
$0.58
$1.94
$0.63
$0.98
$0.75
$0.55
$0.27
$0.57
$0.50
$0.25
$0.28
$0.31
$0.44
$1.82
$0.34
$0.05
$0.52
Source: TvB, BIA, Public FCC Documents, and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates
18
Appendix 2 (continued):
FCC Estimated Auction Reserve Prices And MHz-Pops v. 2008 Auction MHz-Pops by DMA
(figures in millions of dollars, except for DMA ranking data)
DMA Rank
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
165
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
DMA
Albany, GA
Joplin, MO-Pittsburg, KS
Rochester, MN-Mason City, IA-Austin, MN
Panama City, FL
Terre Haute, IN
Bangor, ME
Wheeling, WV- Steubenville, OH
Bluefield-Beckley-Oak Hill, WV
Binghamton, NY
Biloxi-Gulfport, MS
Sherman, TX - Ada, OK
Idaho Falls-Pocatello, ID
Gainesville, FL
Missoula, MT
Abilene-Sweetwater, TX
Yuma, AZ-El Centro, CA
Hattiesburg-Laurel, MS
Billings, MT
Clarksburg-Weston, WV
Quincy, IL-Hannibal, MO-Keokuk, IA
Utica, NY
Dothan, AL
Rapid City, SD
Elmira, NY
Lake Charles, LA
Watertown, NY
Jackson, TN
Harrisonburg, VA
Alexandria, LA
Marquette, MI
Jonesboro, AR
Bowling Green, KY
Charlottesville, VA
Laredo, TX
Grand Junction-Montrose, CO
Meridian, MS
Lima, OH
Butte-Bozeman, MT
Lafayette, IN
Greenwood-Greenville, MS
Great Falls, MT
Twin Falls, ID
Bend, OR
Parkersburg, WV
Eureka, CA
Cheyenne, WY-Scottsbluff, NE
Casper-Riverton, WY
San Angelo, TX
Mankato, MN
St. Joseph, MO
Maximum
14
12
15
15
22
6
59
16
40
16
61
2
31
2
10
11
15
1
31
8
52
12
2
8
25
17
13
64
10
4
12
26
39
9
2
13
36
1
52
7
1
2
2
16
1
35
0
2
14
15
Full Power
MHz/Pop
Medium
$6.13
10
$5.37
9
$7.37
9
$8.19
7
$10.90
17
$3.17
5
$33.20
53
$8.67
15
$21.35
16
$8.23
14
$32.89
40
$0.97
1
$18.00
28
$1.28
1
$6.06
5
$5.33
8
$9.12
13
$0.66
1
$20.95
15
$5.54
7
$35.65
14
$7.76
9
$1.44
1
$5.89
7
$17.66
15
$12.48
16
$9.66
13
$48.63
31
$7.57
7
$3.53
2
$10.29
12
$22.77
11
$36.29
27
$5.85
5
$1.95
1
$12.96
10
$47.35
29
$1.10
1
$54.39
52
$6.95
7
$1.09
0
$1.96
1
$2.21
1
$18.46
16
$1.21
1
$44.21
8
$0.00
0
$2.48
1
$18.87
14
$22.21
14
MHz/Pop
$4.38
$4.03
$4.42
$3.82
$8.43
$2.64
$29.83
$8.12
$8.54
$7.20
$21.57
$0.49
$16.26
$0.64
$3.03
$3.88
$7.90
$0.66
$10.14
$4.85
$9.60
$5.82
$0.72
$5.15
$10.60
$11.75
$9.66
$23.55
$5.30
$1.76
$10.29
$9.63
$25.12
$3.25
$0.98
$9.97
$38.14
$1.10
$54.39
$6.95
$0.00
$0.98
$1.10
$18.46
$1.21
$10.11
$0.00
$1.24
$18.87
$20.73
2008 Auction
MHz/Pop
$0.38
$1.23
$0.76
$0.70
$0.32
$0.29
$0.06
$0.38
$0.04
$1.52
$0.12
$1.00
$2.76
$0.50
$0.33
$0.18
$0.04
$1.01
$0.50
$0.04
$0.14
$1.29
$1.07
$0.13
$1.76
$0.04
$0.04
$0.04
$2.58
$0.04
$0.15
$0.04
$0.18
$0.21
$0.04
$0.04
$0.19
$0.10
$0.38
$0.10
$0.67
$0.20
$0.20
$0.15
$0.05
$0.33
$0.61
$1.24
$0.05
$1.20
Source: TvB, BIA, Public FCC Documents, and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates
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Appendix 2 (continued):
FCC Estimated Auction Reserve Prices And MHz-Pops v. 2008 Auction MHz-Pops by DMA
(figures in millions of dollars, except for DMA ranking data)
DMA Rank
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
DMA
Ottumwa, IA-Kirksville, MO
Fairbanks, AK
Victoria, TX
Zanesville, OH
Helena, MT
Presque Isle, ME
Juneau, AK
North Platte, NE
Alpena, MI
Glendive, MT
Maximum
7
0
20
32
2
1
0
2
8
0
Full Power
MHz/Pop
Medium
$10.61
5
$0.00
0
$41.11
19
$66.94
32
$5.21
1
$2.55
1
$0.00
0
$9.63
1
$35.90
6
$0.00
0
MHz/Pop
$7.58
$0.00
$39.05
$66.94
$2.61
$2.55
$0.00
$4.82
$26.92
$0.00
2008 Auction
MHz/Pop
$0.04
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Source: TvB, BIA, Public FCC Documents, and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates
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