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Estimating Remaining Service Life
Estimating Remaining Service Life
Estimating Remaining Service Life
Estimating
Remaining
Service Life
10/31/2014
Network-Level
Impact
10/31/2014
Some Perspective
on Asset Management
Strategic asset allocation is a well established theory that is most notably
applied in personal portfolio management
This method adheres to the base policy mix principle, in which a combination
of asset classes exists and the combined return is based on a proportionate
combination of each asset
For example, for an investment portfolio:
% of
Portfolio
Stocks
75
Bonds
25
Combined
100
Annual
Rate of
Return
10%
5%
8.75%
Return
7.5
1.25
8.75
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Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
10/31/2014
Network Health
10/31/2014
Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
10/31/2014
The % of the
network with 0
years remaining will
begin to increase
with time
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Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
10/31/2014
Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
10/31/2014
10
mi (km) of
Network
1,000
1,000
1,000
Years to
Next Fix
mi (km) of
Network
1,000
1,000
1,000
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Years of Service
in Segments
Years to
Next Fix
Years of Service
in Segments
LONG-TERM
SHORT-TERM
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Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
12
In the U.S., attempts are being made now to try and tie RSL and $
together in PMS to develop metrics like $ / lane mi (km) / yr this
will server as a much more pure metric of the cost effectiveness of
both new construction and preservation alternatives
10/31/2014
Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
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Project-Level
Estimation
14
Rounding in design
Over- or underbuilding pavement layer thicknesses during construction
In-place strength of materials
Construction defects
Poor traffic projections (e.g., if 50% of the design traffic is realized in the
first 5 years the pavement is in service, 50% of the cracking fatigue
capacity should be expected to remain, regardless of what other
performance metrics like FWD at joints or surface profile [IRI] might
indicate)
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Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
Accuracy Improves as
PMS Builds Upon Itself
16
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Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
Estimation of RSL of an
Existing Pavement
17
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Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
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Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
FHWAs PHT
Software
19
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Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
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FHWAs PHT
Software
23
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Questions?
24
Might be network-level:
Leverages automated data collection efforts
Metrics like IRI, faulting, cracking, friction, etc.
Might be project-level:
Requires more subject interpretation and detailed field surveys
Metrics like material-related distress, lane-to-should separation, lane-tolane opening, etc.
10/31/2014
Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
Step 1: Deciding
Performance Triggers
25
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Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
26
If such historic performance data is not available locally, wellsupported existing performance prediction models might be used
as a starting point in the system, to then be updated in the future
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Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
Step 3: Selecting/Developing
Performance Prediction Curves
27
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Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
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Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
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Evaluation of Concrete Pavements
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Role
of
RSL
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Role
of
RSL
32
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