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CorenetGlobal 2015 India Report
CorenetGlobal 2015 India Report
INDIA
U P C O M I N G L O C AT I O N S
By Sonali Tare
EXCLUSIVE
RESEARCH
Mumbai, Delhi, Bengaluru (Bangalore), are cities that every CRE professional in the world has heard of and is
aware of. Mumbai is the financial capital of India, Bangalore the silicon valley of India, and Delhi, including
New Delhi (the capital of India), has one of the largest urban populations in the world.
There are however, many upcoming, smaller, Tier 2 and 3 cities
that are increasingly gaining attention, and have the potential to draw
investment from international as well as Indian companies.
Tier 1 cities such as Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore have been going
through exponential growth, and will continue to grow. However, as
the pressure on these cities grows, so will the costs associated with
As can be seen from the graphs above, there has already been
a significant rise in the total amount of deposits in the country.
Estimates put the Indian banking and financial sector in third place
by 2025, in terms of volume as well as employment. In terms of
employment, the expectation is that over the next decade, 2 million
jobs will be created by this industry alone and that a lot of this
growth will be targeted towards the Tier 2 and 3 cities.6
1 Emerging Delivery Locations in India: The Rising Tide, Nasscom and Cushman & Wakefield, 2014
2 Growth of ATM industry in India, Prof. Jyotiranjan Hota, CSI Communications, February 2013
3 Indian ATM Industry: Gearing up for the next phase of growth, Paymentscardsandmobile.com
4 Indias Narendra Modi launches bank accounts for all, BBC.com, 28 August 2014
5 Banking sector in India, IBEF.org
6 Indian Banking Sector To Create 2 Million Jobs In The Next Decade: Experts, Trak.in,
February 10, 2014
MIDDLE CLASS
AND RETAIL
Another factor that is sure to influence the way India and its economy grows is the growth in its middle class.
By 2030, the Indian middle class is projected to reach 475 million, which will be one of the largest in the world,
according to a report by E&Y.7
8
Impacting the Tier 2 and 3 cities, specifically, is the fact that about
100 million of this middle class will live in these cities, and consumption
in these regions will grow from US$ 5.7 billion in 2014 to over US$ 80
billion by 2026.9
According to a recent PricewaterhouseCoopers report, retail in
India is expected to grow to 1 trillion USD by 2020, from a level of
500 million USD in 2012. While much of the retail sector in India is
still unorganized, according to the report, the organized sector will
grow from 8 percent in 2012 to an estimated 50 percent in 2034.10
And as the sector organizes further, the pressure on retail-related
real estate needs will increase. Additionally, with increasing incomes
in the smaller cities, interest in luxury brands is on the rise. For
7 Hitting the sweet spot - The growth of the middle class in emerging markets, Ernst &
Young, 2013
8 Hitting the sweet spot - The growth of the middle class in emerging markets, Ernst &
Young, 2013
9 Why should a retailer move to tier-II & -III cities, Indiaretailing.com, Manisha Bapna,
September 17, 2014
10 Future of India The Winning Leap, PricewaterhouseCoopers, 2014
11 Merc plans used car push in small cities, Economictimes.com, Aditi Saxena and Ketan
Thakkar, 19 December, 2014
12 Sony looks to tap Indias small cities, affordable segment, Deccanchronicle.com,
September 28, 2014
13 Tier II & III cities dominate eBay traffic, Financialexpress.com, January 20, 2015
14No more doubts about e-commerce survival, Livemint.com, Shrutika Verma and Mihir
Dalal, December 29, 2014
in India comes from Tier 2 and 3 cities. Significantly, the demand for
ecommerce in India is further encouraged by the easy availability and
high level of penetration of cell phones, as well as the increasingly
ubiquitous nature of internet connectivity.13 This increased demand
is seen by Indian e-commerce companies such as Snapdeal as well.
For example, Indian e-commerce sites are seeing over 60 percent
of their demand come from Tier 2 and smaller cities.14 This increase
in e-commerce is impacting real estate by increasing demand for
warehouses. According to a recent report, in 2014 25 percent of the
increase in demand in warehouses came from e-retailers. In an effort
to cement their presence, e-retailers are also demanding more office
space, and from 2013 to 2014 there was a 400 percent increase in
office space demand from this sector.15
As these cities grow, and continue to urbanize further, demand
for what might be considered more typically urban things has
increased as well. For example, the smaller cities are becoming more
and more lucrative from the perspective of fast food companies.
Over the last two years, fast food consumption in Tier 2 and 3 cities
has grown 108 percent, as opposed to 35 percent in Tier 1 cities,
according to a report by The Associated Chambers of Commerce &
Industry of India (Assocham). Furthermore, according to the report,
there is tremendous potential for additional growth in the fast food
industry in the smaller cities.
Another sector that is starting to be impacted is the hospitality
sector. International chains like Marriott and Wyndham are already
looking to expand in smaller locations. Additionally, Indian brands
such as Sarovar Hotels and The Fern Hotels and resorts are similarly
counting on Tier 2 and 3 cities to be growth areas.
As some of the sectors mentioned above continue to grow, their
demand for real estate changes as well. The graph below illustrates
these trends:
16
15 Almost 25% of Indias total demand for warehousing space in 2014 driven by e-retail,
CBRE.com, January 21, 2015
16 Rowing the New Wave Game-changing Rules for Indian Real Estate, JLL, 2014
UPCOMING
CITIES
All of these prospects will ultimately lead to increased interest in emerging cities in India. There was an
uptick in interest in the smaller cities before the global financial crises in 2008. Everyone was looking to
expand and upcoming locations made sense.
After the crises, however, the general mood was to try and consolidate as much as possible. Some of the costs advantages that Tier 2 and 3 cities
had were eroded due to corrections in income and real estate costs in the Tier 1 cities. The end result being that many corporates ended up staying in
the bigger cities, according to Sanjay Dutt, Executive Managing Director- South Asia, Cushman & Wakefield. However, over the past few years, there
have been a few cities that have garnered more interest than others.
A good marker of where and how business is trending is the IT and BPO sector, which according to a
recent report by Cushman & Wakefield, is the biggest private sector employer in India. The same report
identifies four cities as the most promising cities in terms of future growth: Ahmedabad, Jaipur, Kochi
and Kolkata.17 Though these are identified as the best next-generation locations for the IT/BPO sector
specifically, in terms of future office demand, this sector is a good identifier of upcoming trends.
18
19
17 Emerging Delivery Locations in India: The Rising Tide, Nasscom and Cushman &
Wakefield, 2014
18 India Map with Capital, Major Cities, Roads and Water Features, Mapresources.com
19 Emerging Delivery Locations in India: The Rising Tide, Nasscom and Cushman &
Wakefield, 2014
Ahmedabad
Jaipur
The city of Jaipur, also known as the pink city due to its uniquely
colored architecture, is the capital of the north-western state of
Rajasthan. In addition to being the capital city of the state, it is also a
very attractive tourist destination, with tourists from all over the world
flocking there. The main industries in Jaipur, apart from tourism, are
mostly related to handicrafts, such as jewelry, and stone and metal
works. More recently, it has been attracting increasing attention from
corporates, especially in the IT and BPO sectors.
Improvements to infrastructure, such as the building of a metro
system, and a new IT park, Mahindra World City are having a positive
effect on the attractiveness of Jaipur as a business location. The
Mahindra World City is one of the largest IT parks in the country. It
was specifically built with IT companies in mind, and has Grade A
office stock on offer.
Furthermore, Jaipur has a good talent base, with numerous
universities in the city, as well as the premier Indian Institute of
Technology, a few hours away, in Jodhpur. In addition to the presence
of IT companies such as Wipro, Infosys and Genpact, there are
indications that Jaipur is becoming a hub for finance and bankingrelated BPO operations.22 Deutsche Bank as well as Indian banks ICICI
and State Bank of India have facilities in the Mahindra World City.23 In
a sign that there is increased recognition of the citys potential, Oracle
recently announced that they would be opening offices in Jaipur, as
part of a 5 city expansion plan in India, aimed at Tier 2 and 3 cities.24
Other sectors showing interest in the city include the manufacturing
sector, with the JCB group, the largest manufacturer of construction
equipment in India announcing new facilities near Jaipur.25
Jaipurs proximity to the Delhi-NCR region, and the development of
the Mumbai-Delhi Industrial Corridor on which Jaipur falls, will ensure
that the city will continue to attract increasing attention.
Kochi
Kochi or Cochin is situated in the Kerala state of India, which lies on
the south-west side of the country. Kochi, which is the commercial
capital of the state, has a vibrant commercial port, and is also a
popular tourist destination. Major industries include, shipbuilding,
spice exports, health services, IT, and tourism, amongst others. With
a large talent pool and high literacy rates, Kochi is emerging as a
lucrative destination for IT and BPO activity. Recognizing the potential
of the IT/BPO industry to create growth and employment in the region,
the state government of Kerala initiated in 2004 the construction of
an InfoPark. The InfoPark already employs over 18,000 people and
houses over 130 firms. More recently, it has been garnering increased
attention, with Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), the India-based IT
giant, as well as Cognizant planning to add 1.5 millilon square feet
and 12,000 jobs each to the InfoPark by 2016.26
There is also a Smart City in the works, a 246-acre facility, which, it
is estimated, will employ 90,000 people. The city is to be completed
by 2020 and opportunities will include retail, schools, hospitals, food
& beverage, hospitals, etc.27 The first phase, including an IT center
will be completed by mid-2015, and there is already a plan in place
to locate IT firms there.28 The city is also improving its infrastructure
by building a new international terminal, capable of handling over
Kolkata
Kolkata (formerly Calcutta), is the capital of the eastern state of
West Bengal and the major commercial and urban center for most
of eastern India. It also houses one of Indias major ports. Being the
capital of the state, Kolkata has always been on the business radar
and is not necessarily a new upcoming city. It was mentioned in the
2008 Nasscom and AT Kearney report as being one of the leaders of
the IT/BPO scene, however the city has gone through many ups and
downs since, and is now undergoing a revival with the government
keen on welcoming further business.
Due to its location and due to its being the major hub for business
in the region, Kolkata attracts a lot of talent. Some of Indias biggest
universities, such as the well-renowned Indian Institute of Management
are located there. According to KPMG, the presence of the Indian
Statistical Institute also allows Kolkata to deliver a high level of
finance-related services. Adding to its weight as an attractive business
destination is the presence of the Kolkata Stock Exchange, which is
27 Keralas 90,000 job IT Smart City will create 4500 jobs in 2015, Indiatoday.in, J
Binduraj, May 31, 2014
28 SmartCity targets June 15 deadline, TimesofIndia.com, December 14, 2014
29 India 2014: Enabling the prospects, EY 2014
30 Alstom to deliver signalling and electrification solutions for Indias Kochi Metro Rail,
Railway-technology.com, 23 January 2015
31 Why Kochi Metro, Kochi Metro Rail Limited
the second largest in the country.32 Being the state capital adds to its
appeal. In addition to national and state chambers of commerce being
located there, many manufacturing firms locate their headquarters in
Kolkata as well.
In 2012, the state government put into place a Technology Policy,
with the aim of becoming one of the top three states in the country in
terms of employment and turnover in the Information Technology and
electronics design and manufacturing fields. The policy plans to make
it easier for investors to invest, increase the talent pool related to these
fields, and enhance IT connectivity and training in the rural areas.33 All
of these steps will make Kolkata, as the business nerve center, more
attractive. Already, many top IT/BPO companies such as, Accenture,
Infosys, IBM, Wipro and TCS, amongst others, have a presence there.34
According to a recent report by Cushman and Wakefield, Grade A IT
office space increased by 1.6% between 2008 and 2013.35
32 City Spotlight: Kolkata, India Briefing, Business Intelligence from Dezan Shira &
Associates
33 West Bengal Policy on Information and Communication Technology, 2012 and West
Bengal ICT Incentive Scheme, 2012, Software Technology Parks of India, Kolkata
34 KPMG Global Frontiers Online: Kolkata, India
35 Emerging Delivery Locations in India: The Rising Tide, Nasscom and Cushman &
Wakefield, 2014
36 Kolkata to become fully wi-fi-enabled in 2 months time, economictimes.com, January
27, 2015
37 Kolkata airports new terminal inaugurated, Business-Standard.com, January 21, 2013
38 KPMG Global Frontiers Online: Kolkata, India
39
years back when salary increments were rising very quickly. The rise in
income related costs was eroding the cost advantages associated with
doing business in India. Now, those increments are in check, but as the
economy continues to pick up, those costs will begin to rise again, and
the need to start looking at Tier 2 and 3 cities from that perspective will
increase, Dutt adds.
However, there will be some time before the challenges of locating
higher level executives to smaller cities are overcome. With the
standard of living and amenities not always of the highest levels, it can
be difficult to convince leaders to move there. The end result being
that either more strategic facilities are kept in the metros or there is
increased travel to and fro. There is hope, nevertheless, that as the
emerging cities grow, improve infrastructure, and attract further retail,
that this will change.
Conclusion
Overall, the prognosis for upcoming cities in India is good. There are
many opportunities for them to grow as we see from the report above.
However, there are also many challenges, from lack of quality offices
to the lack of adequate infrastructure. Additionally, emerging locations
have to contend with what might be considered as micro-markets
around Tier 1 cities, such as Navi-Mumbai, which is a suburb of
Mumbai. These locations are many times cheaper than the CBD in the
city itself, and have the advantage of being in close proximity to the
city center, the big airports, as well as being able to support a higher
standard of living. This means that Tier 2 and 3 cities looking to grow
are not only competing with each other to attract business, but also
with the suburbs of the bigger cities.
George McKay
Sanjay Dutt
Joseph Reddy
Shirish Tare
40 Emerging Delivery Locations in India: The Rising Tide, Nasscom and Cushman &
Wakefield, 2014
Colliers
Cushman & Wakefield
Hiranandani
Constructions Group
Urban Infra
41 Emerging Delivery Locations in India: The Rising Tide, Nasscom and Cushman &
Wakefield, 2014
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INDIA UPCOMING LOCATIONS
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