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Individual Assignment 1 (IBS)
Individual Assignment 1 (IBS)
Solution to Question No. 2 of Problem Set:Probability that a lab specimen contains a high level of
contamination
Hence, probability that a lab specimen does not contain a
high level of contamination
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
= P(C)
[say]
= 0.10
= 1 P(C)
= 1 0.10
= 0.90
= (0.90)^5
= 0.59049
= (No. of ways of choosing
1 out of 5 samples) x
P(C) x [1 P(C)]^4
= 5 x 0.10 x 0.90^4
= 0.32805
= 1 Probability that none
contains high level of
contamination
= 1 0.59049
= 0.40951
Solution to Question No. 4 of Problem Set:Probability of not getting a six on the first dice
Similarly, Probability of not getting a six on the second
dice
Hence, probability of getting no sixes on the two dice
(i)
= 5/6
= 5/6
= (5/6) x (5/6)
= 25/36
= 1 Probability of getting
no sixes
= (1 25/36)
= 11/36
= 6x5
= 30
= 5
= 5
= 5+5
= 10
= No. of favourable
outcomes / Total no. of
outcomes
1
= 10/30
= 1/3
Solution to Question No. 6 of Problem Set:Box1 contains : 6 Red balls & 4 Green balls
Box2 contains : 7 Red balls & 3 Green balls
Probability of selecting a red ball from Box1
The red ball from Box1 is put into Box2.
Hence Box2 now contains 8 Red balls & 3 Green balls.
Probability of selecting a red ball from Box2
(i)
Probability that a red ball is selected from the
first box and a red ball is selected from the
second box
= 6/10
= 8/11
= (6/10) x (8/11)
= 48/110
= 24/55
If at the end of the process (i.e. selecting a ball from first box and putting it in second
box and then selecting a ball from second box and putting it in first box), we have the
same number of red and green balls in the first box as it had in the beginning, it
implies that:a. Either a red ball was selected from first box and a red ball was selected from
second box,
b. Or, a green ball was selected from first box and a green ball was selected from
second box.
The probability of (a) has been obtained in Part (i) of the problem.
Probability of selecting a green ball from Box1
= 4/10
The green ball from Box1 is put into Box2.
Hence Box2 now contains 7 Red balls & 4 Green balls.
Probability of selecting a green ball from Box2
= 4/11
Probability that a green ball is selected from the first box
= (4/10) x (4/11)
and a green ball is selected from the second box
= 16/110
= 8/55
(ii)
Probability that at the end of this process, the
= (24/55) + (8/55)
first box has the same number of red and green
balls as it had in the beginning
= 32/55
Solution to Question No. 7 of Problem Set:Probability of watching the advertisement on TV = P(T) = 0.4
Probability of listening to the advertisement on radio = P(R) = 0.15
Probability of reading the advertisement in newspaper = P(N) = 0.3 [So, P( N )
= 1 P(N) = 0.7]
The following are also provided:P(R|N) = 0.1
P(T|N) = 0.6
P(RUT|N) P(RT|N) = 0.65
P( R U T | N ) = 0.90
-------------------------------- (1)
-------------------------------- (2)
2
P( RT|N ) = 0.1
---------------------------------------- (4)