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Technical Analysis by Nattawat 070913 1
Technical Analysis by Nattawat 070913 1
1.
(Technical Analysis)
2.
(Fundamental Analysis)
3.
(Quantitative Analysis)
2
(Technical Analysis)
trends
Price Pattern
Volume Analysis
Candle Sticks
Fibbonanci
Elliots wave
Indicators
Candlestick
2
2
4
Technical
:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6. Mr.Market
Timeframe
5 A B C D F
Timeframe
A Candlesticks 1-3
A
B
C 2
3 B
D
F
E
7
A B C D F
A
Timeframe Fundflow
Fundflow
NVDR A
NET buy/sell
MSCI Index
8
20% 5
Fundflow
Fundflow
9
SET Index A
SET Index A
10
A
20
Fundflow
Net Buy/sell
Fundflow
A
A
11
A 510%
2-4 20%
2
A 3
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4-6
Candlestick
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
new high
27
28
29
A
6
New high 6
Set
SET Sideway
SET
15
3
2
5
30
A
31
DW
32
B C
5
Candlestick
20% 5
20 C
50 B
33
B C
B C
B C
50
B 20 C
20%
34
B
20-30%
3-5
New High
50% 2
3-5
B
35
36
50
37
Sideway
38
39
Sideway
40
41
C B
C B
3
1
20 50
2-3
42
C
B C
C
C
Lets Profit Run Stop Loss
43
50
44
20
50
45
C
2
C 2 20 50
C 3
Candlestick
20
20
50
50 2
C 20 Panic
50
46
B C
Candlestick
47
B 50
B
50
C 20 50
C B
48
B C
49
B C Cut Loss
Short against Port
B C
B C
SET Index
2
1-2
2
50
51
2
7 1 1
52
(Trends)
53
TFEX SBL
50%
100% 20%
20% 100%
54
80
60
40
20
Low
New high
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
New Low
Higher High
62
Rebound
Short against Port
Technical Rebound
Rebound
Price Pattern , Hamonic Trading
Fibonanci number Short
against Port
63
64
65
2
66
Stop Loss 3
LetProfit Run
Follow Buy
bid
Sideway
67
Sideway
68
Sideway
Sideway
Sideway
Sideway 3
Sideway
Sideway 3-6
Sideway
69
Sideway C D
70
1-2
10 Downtrend line
3
1
Follow Buy Let Profit Run
Stop
Loss
71
72
73
SET
74
75
76
22
2556 1464.72
77
78
79
80
(Moving Average )
N SMA
P =
T = t
N =
81
1-3
Save
82
Source:Bisnews
83
Dead Cross
Gold Cross
Source:Bisnews
84
43%
36%
34%
59%
85
(Multiple Moving Average:MMA)
6 3 , 5, 8 , 10 , 12 , 15
6 30 , 35 , 40 , 45 , 50 , 60
86
20 , 50 , 200
SME , EMA
200
200
25
75 200
Vol 15
RSI 25 45
87
BC C
BC B C
BC 20 50
C 20
50
B
A D F 100 200
C D 10
88
89
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Tenkan-sen
Kijun-sen
Chikou Span
Senkon Span A
Senkon Span B
90
91
92
2. Kijun-sen
(26 period high + 26 period low)/2
( 26 26 ) 2
26
93
94
95
96
3 B C Volume
vol
Vol
15 Vol Vol
Vol
Vol
VOL
Vol
97
98
B C 3
99
B C
Price Pattern
B C
C B
B Sideway
100
B 2
higher Low
new low
101
B C
102
103
104
105
Candlestick
106
Candlesticks
107
Candlestick
108
3
1. Bullish Candlestick
109
2. Bearish Candlestick
110
3. Doji
111
112
Candlestick
1-3
Gap
2-3
Rebound 1-3
Sideway
113
20
114
3-4
115
116
.2556
A
BANK
2
A
C D HOT
B
B
117
118
119
Price Pattern
50:50
Candlesticks
Candlesticks
120
(PRICE PATTERN)
3
(REVERSAL TREND)
(CONTINUATION TREND)
(SIDEWAYS
PATTERN)
121
(REVERSAL TREND)
(V FORMATION)
(HEAD & SHOULDERS)
(DOUBLE/TRIPLE BOTTOMS &
DOUBLE/TRIPLE TOPS)
(THE ROUNDING TURN)
(BROADENING
TRIANGLE)
122
(V FORMATION)
V
(V-Bottom)
V (V-Top)
V GAP Candle Sticks
3
3
123
125
(DOUBLE/TRIPLE BOTTOMS &
DOUBLE/TRIPLE TOPS)
(DOUBLE TOPS)
M 2
2
126
127
(DOUBLE BOTTOMS)
W
(DOUBLE TOPS) (DOUBLE
BOTTOMS)
(NECKLINE) Follow Buy
128
129
(TRIPLE TOPS)
3
Divergent MACD RSI
3
3-6
130
131
132
133
134
(ROUNDING Top)
135
136
(GAP)
COMMON GAP
Gap
Sideway
BREAKAWAY GAP
BREAKAWAY GAP
137
CONTINUATION/RUNAWAY GAP
( )
EXHAUSTION GAP
GAP BREAKAWAY GAP
CONTINUTION GAP
138
139
140
141
142
143
(CONTINUATION TREND)
2 FLAG PENNANT
(FLAG) 2
BULLISH FLAG
BEARISH FLAG
(PENNANT)
144
(BULLISH FLAG)
145
(BEARISH FLAG)
146
(PENNANT)
(PENNANT)
147
(SIDEWAYS
PATTERN)
6 1-2 2
RECTANGLE TRIANGLE
1 (RECTANGLE)
(SIDEWAYS)
(SUPPORT LINE) (RESISTANCE LINE)
10-20%
148
149
2 SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE
2
1.
ASCENDING TRIANGLE
150
151
2 .DESCENDING Triangle
Sideway
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
D F
D F
Technical Analysis
1-2
Ticker
D Value Investor
164
D F
Let Profit Run 5
Stop Loss Stoploss 3%
165
SET
166
C D F
Follow Buy
Follow Buy
Follow Buy
167
168
169
D Candle/price
pattern/trendline/ Volume
170
Jesse Livermore
1)
2) STOP LOSS
3)
4) Let Profit Run
5)
J.L.
171
Follow Buy
172
Follow Buy
Follow
Buy
173
Follow Buy
Follow Buy
174
175
176
D F
Force sell
177
178
TFEX F
1 Position
2 Long
position long Position
Short Position
3
4 Long Position
Short Position Short Position
179
5 TFEX
Position
2 Position
3 TFEX
TFEX
180
6
TFEX
Moving average
181
182
183
Trendline
Price Pattern
Harmonic Patterns
Elliots Wave
Harmonic Elliots Wave
184
185
Price Pattern
186
Fibonacci
187
(Leonardo Pisano)
(Leonardo Fibonacci)
(Fibonacci)
0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34,
55, 89, 144, 233, ...,
2+3 =5
0.618 21/34 = 0.618
0.382 13/34 = 0.382
188
Fibonacci
0.236(23.6%)
0.382(38.2%)
0.500(50%)
0.618(61.8%)
0.764(76.4%)
1.000(100%)
1.318(131.8%)
1.618(161.8%)
2.618(261.8%)
4.236(423.6%)
2 5 22/7
189
14.6
23.6
33.3
38.2
41.4
50
58.6
61.8
66.7
76.4
85.4
90.0
94.4
100.0
105.6
109.2
114.6
123.6
138.2
166.7
176.4
185.4
190.2
194.4
223.6
261.8
276.4
285.4
294.4
361.8
376.4
385.6
423.6
190
166.7% 1567
176.4 1658
138.2% 1340
D
191
Harmonic
192
Harmonic 6 Pattern
1. ABCD Pattern
2.Three Drive Pattern
3.Gartley Pattern
4.Crab Pattern
5.Bat Paatern
6.Butterfly Pattern
The Shark Pattern ,The Dragon Pattern
193
194
2 .618 .786
196
197
198
CD
1.618 BC
2.618 CD
.886 XA
AB
.382
0.50
BC XA
BC AB 200
201
203
CD
1.618 BC
2.618 BC
1.271.618
XA
BC XA
AB
.786
BC AB
204
205
CD 2.24
BC 2.618
3.618 BC
1.271.618
XA
BC XA
AB
.618
XA
BC AB
207
208
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
Elliots wave
218
ELLIOTS WAVE
Elliot Wave ()
(Market Emotion
Market Emotion
(Pattern and Rules)
FIBO
2 Impulse phase
Correction Phase
219
Elliots wave
Impuse
Correction
220
221
5
B
3
A
4
2
222
5
2
B
3
A
C
A
3
2
B
4
1
3
2
223
1 A C 5 b
2 B 4 a c
224
225
(Corrective Wave) 2 B 4 a c
6
Zig-Zag : 5 - 3 - 5
Flat : 3 - 3 - 5
Irregular : 3 - 3 - 5
Horizontal Triangle : 5 ABCDE
3 - 3 - 3 - 3 - 3
Double Three : abc 2 x 2
226
3
5
3
5
227
228
229
(Corrective
Wave)
: Wave 4 Wave 1
4
1 ""
Wave 2 Wave 4 Wave
2 a-b-c
Wave 4
wave 2
ZigZag Flat Double Three
230
Impulse 5
3 5
231
Elliots Wave
PRICE OBJECTIVE 2 = < 0.382, 0.5,
0.618, 1.00 > 1(W1)
232
1. 5 3 5 fail
2. 3 161.8% 1
5 1
3. 3 161.8% 1 5
4. 4 50% 3 5 fail
5. 3 161.8%
1 2 261.8% 423.6%
233
5
Wedge
5
5
234
Elliots Wave
Elliots wave
235
Technical Indicators
Commodity Channel
Index (CCI)
Chaikin Money Flow
Moving Average
Elliot oscillator
Convergence /Divergence
(MACD)
Exponential Moving
Average (EMA)
Average Directional
Movement Index (ADX)
On Balance Volume
(OBV)
Parabolic SAR (pSAR)
Bollinger Bands
Williams %R
Historical volatility
McClellan Oscillator
Money Flow Index
(MFI)
Negative Volume Index
(NVI)
Ect.
236
237
RSI = 100 100
(1 + RS*)
*RS =
RSI 0 100
70 Over Bought
30 Over Sold
RSI
RS = 1
RSI
RSI 50 ()
RSI 30
RSI
RSI 28 45
238
RSI
267
RSI 25
242
239
RSI 70
RSI 30
Over Bought
Source:Bisnews
Over Sold
240
RSI
RSI 70
CDF
A B RSI 70
Divergence Day Week
1-3
25 45
RSI
RSI 60 40
Rebound
241
A RSI 70-75
Candlesticks
A RSI 70
B RSI 75-80
Candlesticks
C RSI 80-85
Candlesticks
D F RSI 85-90
Candlesticks
242
RSI A
243
RSI B C
244
RSI D F
245
RSI
246
D F RSI 70
247
248
Source:Bisnews
249
EMA 26 EMA)
Signal Line: 9 EMA MACD
MACD Line: (12
( )
MACD Signal
MACD Signal
MACD 0
MACD 0
250
MACD
0 0
Day Week
Macd 0 3 confirm
3-5
Macd 0 3 confirm
week
MACD
Efinance D-macd
251
252
253
254
255