Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2015 Apr EH21
2015 Apr EH21
15
27
30
Asset Flows
Update for
the Month of
March 2015
Hedge Fund
Performance
Commentary for
the Month of
March 2015
2014 Overview:
Key Trends in
Asian Hedge
Funds
Top 10 Tables
Index Return
Matrix
EUREKAHEDGE: +1 646 380 1932 (US) | +65 6212 0925 (Singapore) | advisor@eurekahedge.com | www.eurekahedge.com
22 MAY 2015
CAPELLA SINGAPORE
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and sponsorship opportunities available, please contact our awards team on
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Asian Hedge Fund
Awards 2015
Introduction
Hedge funds edged even higher in March to close at another record high, with the Eurekahedge Hedge Fund Index gaining 0.78%1,
2
outperforming underlying markets as the MSCI World Index fell 0.39%. Easy monetary policy in Japan and Europe continued to
push regional equities into record territory, while US market volatility rose with increasing uncertainty over the Federal Reserves
timing of interest rate hikes and the outcome of the Greek talks.
Final asset flow figures for February revealed that managers reported performance-based gains of US$19.2 billion while
recording net asset inflows of US$17.9 billion. Preliminary data for March shows that managers have posted performance-based
gains of US$10.1 billion while recording net inflows of US$0.9 billion, bringing the current assets under management (AUM) of
the global hedge fund industry to a total of US$2.19 trillion over US$50.0 billion higher than the record US$2.14 trillion
reported last year.
Figure 1: Summary monthly asset flow data since January 2011
60
40
2,050
20
1,850
0
1,650
AssetflowinUS$billion
TotalassetsinUS$billion
2,250
(20)
1,450
Jan11
Jun11
Nov11
Apr12
Performancebasedgrowth
Sep12
Feb13
Jul13
Netassetflows
Dec13
May14
Oct14
(40)
Mar15
Totalassets
Source: Eurekahedge
1
2
Hedge funds returned US$54.1 billion in performance-based gains for the first quarter of 2015; their highest Q1 gains
on record since 2006 which brings the total industry AUM to a record high of nearly US$2.2 trillion.
Asia ex-Japan investing funds have delivered the best returns globally and were up 2.08% for March, led by Greater
China focused funds which gained 4.85%.
European hedge funds were up 4.21% in Q1 2015 and have grown their asset base by US$10.5 billion which brings their
current AUM close to a record high of US$500 billion.
CTA/managed futures funds have reported asset inflows of US$9.7 billion for the first quarter of 2015, reversing a trend
of nearly uninterrupted outflows since 2H 2013.
North American managers lead in terms of net investor inflows recording US$8.4 billion in new allocations, roughly half
the level seen for the same period last year.
Based on 37.99% of funds which have reported March 2015 returns as at 15 April 2015
MSCI AC World Index (Local)
Net growth
(performance)
Net flows
Assets at end
% change in assets
2185.6
10.1
0.9
2196.7
0.51%
Asia ex-Japan
148.6
1.1
0.3
150.0
0.97%
Japan
16.4
0.1
0.0
16.5
0.56%
Europe
495.7
2.1
(0.4)
497.3
0.33%
Latin America
56.5
0.3
(0.8)
56.0
(0.92%)
North America
1468.4
6.6
1.9
1476.8
0.57%
Arbitrage
134.0
(0.0)
2.8
136.8
2.11%
CTA/managed futures
217.9
3.0
3.2
224.1
2.82%
Distressed debt
62.2
(0.0)
0.0
62.2
0.00%
Event driven
225.3
0.2
(1.7)
223.8
(0.65%)
Fixed income
174.0
0.1
(0.5)
173.6
(0.21%)
Long/short equities
750.3
2.2
(1.4)
751.0
0.10%
Macro
159.3
0.3
(0.6)
159.0
(0.17%)
Multi-strategy
350.2
4.3
(1.2)
353.3
0.90%
Relative value
58.0
0.1
0.0
58.1
0.24%
Others
54.5
(0.1)
0.2
54.7
0.25%
20
16.5
0.0
0.2
16.7
1.16%
>20-50
37.1
0.1
(0.3)
36.9
(0.60%)
>50-100
52.4
0.2
(0.3)
52.3
(0.23%)
>100-250
211.4
0.8
(2.6)
209.6
(0.85%)
>250-500
296.9
1.1
(5.9)
292.2
(1.60%)
>500-1000
445.4
1.1
(0.5)
446.0
0.13%
>1000
1125.9
6.9
10.3
1143.0
1.53%
Hedge funds
By geographic mandate
By strategic mandate
By fund size
Note: All figures are in US$ billion, and rounded up to 1 decimal place
Source: Eurekahedge
North American funds recorded net asset inflows of US$1.9 billion while posting performance-based gains of US$6.6 billion
during the month of March. Net asset allocations to the region since the start of the year stand at US$8.4 billion, while managers
have delivered performance-based gains of US$36.2 billion over this time period. Total assets in North American hedge funds
breached past the US$1.47 trillion mark this month, the highest level on record.
European fund managers recorded net outflows of US$0.4 billion, while registering performance-based gains of US$2.1 billion
during the month. European funds have experienced net asset outflows almost every month since July 2014 as redemptions
picked up pace, with underlying regional market outlook remaining lukewarm compared to other geographic mandates. Total
assets in European hedge funds now stand at US$497.3 billion, having once again surpassed their June 2014 high of US$496.2
billion led by performance-based gains from strongly performing markets in the region due to determined quantitative easing
from the European Central Bank.
Japan
Europe
Performancebasedgrowth/(decline)(US$billion)
LatinAmerica
NorthAmerica
Netflows(US$billion)
Source: Eurekahedge
30
20
10
(10)
AsiaexJapan
Japan
Europe
Performancebasedgrowth/(decline)(US$billion)
LatinAmerica
NorthAmerica
Netflows(US$billion)
Source: Eurekahedge
Figure 4 gives a breakdown of performance-based gains and net flows for the hedge fund industry by various strategies for the
month of March. Asset flows were mixed across the strategies, with CTA/managed futures funds recording the highest net
THE EUREKAHEDGE REPORT APRIL 2015
CTA/managed
futures
Distressed
debt
Eventdriven
Fixedincome
Long/short
equities
Performancebasedgrowth/(decline)(US$billion)
Macro
Multistrategy Relativevalue
Others
Netflows(US$billion)
Source: Eurekahedge
CTA/managed
futures
Distressed
debt
Eventdriven
Fixedincome
Long/short
equities
Performancebasedgrowth/(decline)(US$billion)
Macro
Multistrategy Relativevalue
Others
Netflows(US$billion)
Source: Eurekahedge
CTA/managed futures funds saw a further recovery from the wave of redemptions that have plagued the strategy since 2H 2013,
reporting the highest asset inflow out of all strategic mandates during March (US$3.2 billion). Net capital allocations for 2015
totalled up to a solid US$9.7 billion, a far cry from 2014 when investors withdrew US$16.1 billion from the said strategy.
5
Net growth
(performance)
Net flows
Assets at end
% change in assets
2136.2
54.1
6.4
2196.7
2.83%
Asia ex-Japan
144.4
4.3
1.3
150.0
3.88%
Japan
16.2
0.4
(0.1)
16.5
1.81%
Europe
486.8
12.0
(1.4)
497.3
2.17%
Latin America
56.5
1.2
(1.8)
56.0
(0.99%)
North America
1432.2
36.2
8.4
1476.8
3.12%
Arbitrage
133.6
1.8
1.4
136.8
2.44%
CTA/managed futures
204.0
10.4
9.7
224.1
9.85%
Distressed debt
61.9
0.1
0.2
62.2
0.48%
Event driven
225.7
1.3
(3.1)
223.8
(0.80%)
Fixed income
172.4
1.8
(0.6)
173.6
0.71%
Long/short equities
738.0
14.2
(1.2)
751.0
1.76%
Macro
155.6
4.8
(1.4)
159.0
2.20%
Multi-strategy
331.7
19.6
2.0
353.3
6.51%
Relative value
58.8
0.1
(0.8)
58.1
(1.25%)
Others
54.5
(0.0)
0.2
54.7
0.36%
20
16.0
0.1
0.4
16.5
3.17%
>20-50
36.2
0.3
0.1
36.6
1.20%
>50-100
52.4
0.4
(0.5)
52.3
(0.17%)
>100-250
206.9
2.5
(0.5)
208.9
0.95%
>250-500
289.8
3.7
2.3
295.9
2.08%
>500-1000
438.2
3.7
0.9
442.7
1.03%
>1000
1096.7
22.9
(2.8)
1116.8
1.83%
Hedge funds
By geographic mandate
By strategic mandate
By fund size
Note: All figures are in US$ billion, and rounded up to 1 decimal place
Source: Eurekahedge
CumulativePerformanceFlows
150
20
Performancegains/losses(US$billion)
Performancegains/losses(US$billion)
30
10
0
(10)
(20)
(30)
100
>5001000
>100500
100
50
>1000
100
(US$million)
>5001000
>100500
>1000
(US$million)
Source: Eurekahedge
Source: Eurekahedge
CumulativeAssetFlows
40
200
30
150
20
100
Flows(US$billion)
50
10
0
(10)
(20)
50
0
(50)
(30)
100
>5001000
>100500
100
>1000
>100500
(US$million)
(US$million)
Source: Eurekahedge
>5001000
Source: Eurekahedge
>1000
Introduction
Hedge funds reported their third consecutive month of gains, returning 0.78%1 and outperforming underlying markets as the
2
MSCI World Index finished the month down 0.39%. Global equity markets performance was mixed, with overall gains seen in
Europe and Japan while US equity markets retreated following weaker durables data signalling that perhaps the stronger dollar
is finally beginning to bite into the US economic recovery. Although expected, the Federal Reserve made headlines during the
month by dropping the word patience from its statement, opening up the possibility of an interest rate hike as soon as June but
simultaneously reassuring investors that any rise would be gradual. European Central Bank quantitative easing remained in full
effect, pushing Eurozone government bond yields further into unprecedented negative territory. Meanwhile, Greece moved
dangerously closer to a default as funds began to run low while negotiations appeared to be at an impasse. While European
governments and banks have made contingency plans for a Greek default, the full impact of a Grexit remains unknown.
Figure 1: February and March 2015 returns across regions
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
NorthAmerica
Europe
Japan
AsiaexJapan
Feb15
LatinAmerica
EHHedgeFundIndex
Mar15
Source: Eurekahedge
Asia ex-Japan managers were the best performers during the month, returning 2.08%. Greater China equities were a major
winning theme - the CSI 300 Index soared 13.74% amid speculation that the government would take steps to support faltering
economic growth, while Chinese property developers rallied sharply as the government enacted policies to urge local authorities
to restrict land supply. European funds were also up 0.98%, although following underlying markets higher as the MSCI Europe
3
Index gained 0.76% on Euro weakness and the prospect of a delay in US interest rate hikes. Funds focused on Latin America
and North America outperformed underlying markets which were in negative territory, gaining 0.70% and 0.49% respectively.
The US S&P 500 Index ended the month lower by 1.74% as a strong dollar and weak corporate earnings growth put a dent in
investor optimism. Japanese managers came in last place with gains of 0.17%, trailing the Nikkei 225 which climbed 2.18%.
In terms of 2015 year-to-date returns, Asia ex-Japan managers lead the table with returns of 4.55%, attributing much of their
gains to a strong showing in Greater China and India mandated funds. Funds with a European and North American mandate
came in second and third place, delivering returns of 4.21% and 2.30% respectively. Japan and Latin America focused funds were
tied for last place with returns of 0.73%.
Based on 37.99% of funds which have reported March 2015 returns as at 15 April 2015
MSCI AC World Index(Local)
3
MSCI Europe Index All Core (Local)
2
5.0%
4.5%
4.0%
3.5%
3.0%
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
NorthAmerica
Europe
Japan
AsiaexJapan
LatinAmerica
EHHedgeFundIndex
Source: Eurekahedge
2%
6%
1%
4%
0%
2%
(1%)
0%
(2%)
(2%)
(3%)
(4%)
(4%)
(5%)
(6%)
2015YTD
Mar15
Main
AsiaPacific
Multistrategy
Source: Eurekahedge
Top100
Long/shortequities
Emergingmarkets
Main
AsiaPacific
Multistrategy
Source: Eurekahedge
Top100
Long/shortequities
Emergingmarkets
Strategy Performance
All hedge fund strategies with the exception of arbitrage funds reported positive returns in March. CTA/managed futures funds
resumed their spot at the top of the table, gaining 1.28%, followed by macro (up 0.95%) and long/short equities (up 0.91%).
Arbitrage funds, were in the red with losses of 0.02%. In terms of 2015 year-to-date returns, CTA/managed futures funds
maintained a good lead over other strategies despite their dismal returns in February, topping out the table with gains of 4.97%.
Figure 4: February and March 2015 returns across strategies
3.0%
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
(0.5%)
Arbitrage
CTA/managed
futures
Distressed
debt
Eventdriven Fixedincome
Long/short
equities
Macro
Feb15
Multistrategy Relativevalue
EHHedge
FundIndex
Mar15
Source: Eurekahedge
6%
4%
2%
0%
Arbitrage
CTA/managed
futures
Distressed
debt
Eventdriven Fixedincome
Long/short
equities
Macro
Source: Eurekahedge
10
Relative value funds were up 0.27% for the month, although paling in comparison to the previous month when it was up 1.63%.
As of March year-to-date, the mandate has returned 1.48%, out of which North American managers gained 1.94% while
European funds suffered losses of 1.26%.
Figure 6a: Arbitrage and relative value
March 2015 returns
1.0%
2.0%
0.8%
1.5%
1.0%
0.6%
0.5%
0.4%
0.0%
0.2%
(0.5%)
0.0%
(1.0%)
(0.2%)
(1.5%)
Arbitrage
Relativevalue
Allregions
Europe
NorthAmerica
LatinAmerica
Source: Eurekahedge
Arbitrage
Allregions
Europe
Relativevalue
NorthAmerica
LatinAmerica
Source: Eurekahedge
11
2.0%
6%
1.5%
5%
4%
1.0%
3%
0.5%
2%
0.0%
1%
0%
(0.5%)
(1%)
(1.0%)
(2%)
(1.5%)
(3%)
Long/shortequities
Allregions
LatinAmerica
Fixedincome
NorthAmerica
AsiaexJapan
Long/shortequities
Europe
Japan
Source: Eurekahedge
Allregions
LatinAmerica
Fixedincome
NorthAmerica
AsiaexJapan
Europe
Japan
Source: Eurekahedge
12%
14%
10%
12%
10%
8%
8%
6%
6%
4%
4%
2%
2%
0%
0%
EventDriven
Allregions
LatinAmerica
Distresseddebt
NorthAmerica
AsiaexJapan
Source: Eurekahedge
Europe
Japan
EventDriven
Allregions
LatinAmerica
Distresseddebt
NorthAmerica
AsiaexJapan
Europe
Japan
Source: Eurekahedge
12
2.5%
6%
2.0%
5%
4%
1.5%
3%
1.0%
2%
0.5%
1%
0.0%
CTA/managedfutures
Allregions
LatinAmerica
NorthAmerica
AsiaexJapan
0%
Macro
CTA/managedfutures
Europe
Allregions
LatinAmerica
Source: Eurekahedge
NorthAmerica
AsiaexJapan
Macro
Europe
Source: Eurekahedge
13
5%
7%
4%
6%
3%
5%
2%
4%
1%
3%
0%
2%
(1%)
1%
(2%)
Multistrategy
Allregions
LatinAmerica
Source: Eurekahedge
Insurancelinked
securities
NorthAmerica
AsiaexJapan
0%
Multistrategy
Europe
Japan
Allregions
LatinAmerica
Insurancelinked
securities
NorthAmerica
AsiaexJapan
Europe
Japan
Source: Eurekahedge
14
Introduction
The Asian hedge fund industry has kept up a steady pace of growth and returns comparable to that seen over the same period
last year, with modest February year-to-date gains of 1.64%. Total assets under management (AUM) increased by US$3.5 billion
largely supported by performance-based gains, bringing the total size of the Asian hedge fund industry to US$164.2 billion
managed by a population of 1,382 hedge funds.
As at end-1999, the size of the industry stood at US$14 billion, growing to US$176 billion over the next eight years by end-2007
a period which saw strong growth in the hedge fund industrys tilt towards Asia. By end-2007, the total fund population in the
region stood at 1,237 funds up from 145 funds in 1999. Gains realised over this period were partially reversed by the advent of
the global financial crisis which saw the Eurekahedge Asia Hedge Fund Index decline by 20.48% in 2008, ushering in a spate of fund
liquidations as managers struggled to deal with negative returns and redemption requests from investors. The industry
bottomed out in April 2009 with AUM declining to a low of US$104.8 billion before witnessing a rebound of sorts amid rallying
equity markets and some positive asset flows in the second half of 2009. Upward trajectory in the industry continued in 2010,
realising strong performance-based growth as the Eurekahedge Asian Hedge Fund Index gained 9.17% during the year.
Figure 1a: Industry growth since 1999
1,600
200
1,400
180
Numberoffunds
140
1,000
120
800
100
600
80
60
400
AUM(US$billion)
160
1,200
40
200
20
0
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
AUM(US$billion)
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 Feb15
Numberoffunds
Source: Eurekahedge
In 2011 the industry shed some of its earlier gains as the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis dominated market sentiment resulting
in US$6.4 billion worth of performance-based losses for fund managers in the second half of the year alone. While 2012 saw
Asian managers post a mild recovery in terms of performance, net asset flows were in the red with the industry losing US$4.4
billion through redemptions.
Figure 1b: Contribution of performance and investor allocation to industry growth
Performanceandassetflows(US$billion)
60
40
20
0
(20)
(40)
(60)
2006
Source: Eurekahedge
15
2007
2008
2009
Netgrowth(performance)
2010
2011
Netflows
2012
2013
Assetsatend
2014
Feb15
2013 provided the much needed turnaround for the industry, with performance-based gains of US$10.2 billion and net asset
allocations of US$11.0 billion as the theme of a global economic recovery began to gather more credence. Going into 2014,
growth was somewhat slower during the year as net flows into Asia fell despite performance-based gains remaining strong,
sustained by equity market outperformance particularly from India and Greater China in the latter half of 2014.
In 2015 thus far, investors have remained cautious about investing more into hedge funds and the markets in general, following
heightened market valuations and the potential for a pullback, although hedge funds continue to perform. Since the start of
2013, Asian hedge fund AUM has grown by 29.9% but are yet to breach their 2007 peak of US$176 billion.
170
165
160
155
150
145
140
135
(2)
AUM(US$billion)
Assetflows(US$billion)
130
(4)
125
(6)
120
Q12012
Q22012
Q32012
Q42012
Q12013
Netgrowth(performance)(LHS)
Q22013
Q32013
Netflows(LHS)
Q42013
Q12014
Q22014
ChangeinAUM(LHS)
Q32014
Q42014
Q12015
Assetsatend(RHS)
Source: Eurekahedge
16
Launches/closures
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015
Launches
Source: Eurekahedge
Closures
The chart below shows the breakdown of fund launches and closures by strategic mandate. Over 50% of fund launches have
been dedicated to the long/short equity strategies while fixed income, macro, CTA/managed futures and multi-strategy share
over 35% of the fund launches between them. As illustrated, total launches and closures for long/short equity managers were
pretty evenly matched in the last six years, with launches overtaking closures owning to strong launch activity in 2014 and 2015.
Attrition rates for long/short equities saw a sharp rise after the steep losses suffered during the financial crisis but the sector has
since begun to see renewed interest as equities have continued to perform strongly over the past few years.
Relativevalue
Others
Multistrategy
Macro
Long/shortequities
Fixedincome
Eventdriven
Distresseddebt
CTA/managedfutures
Arbitrage
0
Source: Eurekahedge
100
200
Launchessince2008
300
400
500
600
Closuressince2008
Fees
As shown in Table 1, average management fees have stayed relatively stable at around 1.60% from 2006 to 2015, though dipping
to 1.50% and 1.46% respectively in 2013 and 2014. Average performance fees, however, have been falling since 2006, reaching a
new low of 15.50% in 2015. The traditional 2 and 20 hedge fund management and performance fee structure has become less
and less common, with investors questioning whether their investment performance commensurate with their high fees. Being
a relatively late entrant to the hedge fund industry and a favourable incubation ground for new hedge funds, Asia still possesses
a high proportion of hedge fund start-ups which would be more willing to negotiate lower fees to attract seed capital. This has
contributed to the downward pressure on hedge fund fees in recent years.
17
2006
18.35
1.59
2007
18.38
1.63
2008
17.48
1.59
2009
17.40
1.68
2010
18.30
1.61
2011
17.62
1.60
2012
17.56
1.60
2013
17.07
1.50
2014
16.78
1.46
Feb-15
15.50
1.63
Source: Eurekahedge
Fund size
The breakdown of the Asian hedge fund industry by fund size displays interesting trends emerging in the industry. The
percentage of funds managing up to US$100 million in assets has increased from 65.7% in 2007 to 77.0% by 2015 - peaking at
79.4% briefly in 2010 on the back of renewed launch activity in the region which saw a number of small hedge funds enter the
industry. The proportion of hedge funds managing less than US$100 million in the region has remained high over the years as
investors have increasingly shied away from smaller hedge funds thereby limiting their ability to grow their fund size. Funds
managing in excess of US$100 million controlled 34.3% of the Asian hedge fund space in 2007, with their share dropping to
20.6% by 2010 on the back of performance-based losses and heavy redemptions following the financial crisis. It has since
marginally recovered to 23.0% as of 2015, with most of the gains coming from larger hedge funds (>US$500 million).
Figure 4: Breakdown of fund population by fund size (US$ million)
120%
100%
2.6%
0.8%
1.4%
3.6%
2.3%
3.8%
11.0%
6.5%
10.9%
17.0%
15.9%
13.5%
22.8%
25.8%
40.7%
37.6%
2010
2015
80%
60%
40%
20%
16.5%
8.9%
8.9%
20.6%
28.7%
0%
2007
<=20
2150
51100
101200
201500
5011000
>1000
Source: Eurekahedge
18
Geographic mandates
Asset allocation by geographic mandate in Asia has been influenced by an overall decline in AUM in the region since the highs of
2007 and a general rebalancing of manager portfolios to gain wider exposure to the underlying markets. This trend has driven
an increase in the AUM share of globally mandated funds from 14.5% in 2008 to 17.0% by 2015. Collective asset allocation to
single country mandated funds, such as those focused on Japan, India, Korean and Taiwan, has also slightly decreased from
17.1% in 2007 to 13.0% in 2015 as managers have sought to diversify their regional exposure. Similarly, the share of emerging
markets focused funds fell by 5.1% since 2007 as investors have sought exposure to the underlying markets via globally
mandated funds, with the trend gaining momentum as emerging markets come under further pressure on the back of the winddown in the Feds QE. Managers investing in Greater China have seen their share of AUM increase the most, rising by 8.8% over
the past seven years as fund managers were attracted by the growth in HNWI (high net worth individuals), Chinas continued
economic expansion since the financial crisis and performance gains from rallying equity markets in the region.
Figure 5: Geographic mandates by assets under management
120%
0.1%
100%
13.5%
0.5%
12.1%
3.0%
80%
11.9%
18.6%
21.2%
17.0%
12.2%
3.6%
7.4%
5.5%
27.9%
18.4%
25.6%
14.2%
16.8%
12.9%
14.5%
12.5%
4.1%
40%
0.4%
1.6%
13.6%
9.8%
60%
0.1%
0.2%
0.0%
20%
0.9%
0%
2007
AsiaexJapan
AsiaincJapan
2010
Australia/NewZealand
Emergingmarkets
2015
Global
GreaterChina
India
Japan
Korea
Taiwan
Source: Eurekahedge
Strategic mandates
In terms of the composition of the industry by strategic mandate, the Asian hedge fund industry delineates some interesting
trends; the most striking being a 16.0% decline in the share of long/short equity funds from 2007 to 2015. A great part of this
contraction happened during the financial crisis - the Eurekahedge Asia Long Short Equities Hedge Fund Index declined 21.8% in
2008 as long/short equity managers posted heavy losses. Furthermore, as the Asian hedge fund industry has matured,
managers have diversified away from long/short equity strategies (which are strongly correlated to the underlying markets)
towards multi-strategy, event driven and macro strategies which have seen their share of AUM increase by 8.0%, 4.5% and 4.1%
respectively since 2007. We expect this diversification to increase in the region, especially for Greater China focused funds as the
Chinese economy transitions to relatively lower rates of economic growth, which will squeeze gains derived from a largely beta
driven approach. The share of CTA/managed futures funds rose from 5.1% in 2007 to a 6.7% in 2010 as investors looked towards
them for diversification given their low correlation to underlying markets. However as of February 2015, CTA/managed futures
funds comprise only 2.0% of total Asian hedge fund AUM with investor redemptions forcing a number of trend following funds
to close shop.
19
1.44%
1.51%
100%
1.88%
14.13%
80%
15.60%
5.95%
1.46%
1.83%
22.08%
8.70%
10.04%
60%
54.55%
45.76%
38.51%
40%
20%
5.21%
5.44%
5.08%
0%
5.77%
9.02%
2.88%
3.88%
6.72%
2007
Arbitrage
Long/shortequities
Source: Eurekahedge
CTA/managedfutures
Macro
8.19%
9.95%
4.25%
1.85%
3.24%
2010
Distresseddebt
Multistrategy
2.00%
2.07%
2015
Fixedincome
Relativevalue
Eventdriven
Others
Feb2009
United
States
13.3%
Singapore
12.9%
HongKong
16.7%
Feb2015
United
Kingdom
12.3%
Singapore
16.7%
Australia
11.4%
United
Kingdom
19.2%
Japan
5.3%
Others
13.1%
HongKong
23.2%
France
3.0%
Switzerland
1.6%
Source: Eurekahedge
Australia
9.8%
Japan
4.8%
Luxembourg
2.3%
Others
14.2%
Luxembourg
2.4%
Source: Eurekahedge
China
1.7%
Switzerland
1.8%
20
Performance review
This section of the report begins with an evaluation of the overall performance of the Asian hedge fund industry by comparing
their returns with alternative investment vehicles. We further look at the performance of Asian fund managers across regional
and strategic mandates and conclude with a comparison of their returns across various fund sizes.
Figure 8: Performance of Asian hedge funds versus market index and other investment vehicles
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
EurekahedgeAsianHedgeFundIndex
EurekahedgeAsiaPacificAbsoluteReturnFundIndex
EurekahedgeAsiaPacificFundofFundsIndex
MSCIACAsiaPacificIMILocalIndex
Source: Eurekahedge
In Figure 8, Asian hedge fund managers have outperformed competing investment vehicles with the Eurekahedge Asian Hedge
Fund Index gaining 253.44% since December 1999, compared with the MSCI AC Asia Pacific IMI Local Index which was up only
13.64% over the same period. Fund managers have also beaten absolute return vehicles which gained 240.30% over the same
time period, and although the Eurekahedge Asia Pacific Absolute Return Fund Index appears to be closely trailing the Eurekahedge
Asian Hedge Fund Index, it was nearly twice as volatile with an annualised standard deviation of 12.26% compared with 6.54% for
the Eurekahedge Asian Hedge Fund Index over the past five years. Asian hedge fund managers have also adapted better to market
volatility post the financial crisis, offering the best reward-to-risk profile Sharpe Ratio of 1.37 and 0.77 over the last three and
five years respectively.
Table 2: Performance across alternative investment vehicles
Eurekahedge Asian
Hedge Fund Index
1.64%
4.10%
1.59%
6.46%
2014 returns
6.83%
12.43%
5.98%
5.17%
8.79%
11.98%
7.45%
12.02%
4.96%
9.06%
4.84%
10.29%
1.37
1.10
1.13
0.97
7.03%
9.63%
4.82%
7.22%
6.54%
12.26%
5.81%
12.51%
0.77
0.62
0.48
0.42
21
Figure 9 shows the performance of Asian hedge funds across geographic mandates, with all regional mandates in positive
territory for February 2015 year-to-date returns. India focused funds seem on track to repeat their stellar performance in 2014,
delivering 6.07% so far this year. They delivered exceptional performance in 2014, with the Eurekahedge India Hedge Fund Index
gaining 38.83% during the year. The election of the pro-business party BPJ in India and the promise of reforms led to widespread
investor optimism and soaring equity markets in the country. Greater China funds also did quite well, returning 8.11% in 2014
though trailing the meteoric 51.66% rise in the CSI 300 index. A combination of expansionary monetary policy and the opening
of the Hong Kong-Shanghai connect saw the Chinese equity markets post strong rallies during the last few months of the year.
Asia ex-Japan focused hedge funds were up 9.46% in comparison to Pan-Asia investing hedge funds which gained 6.83% for
2014, with their larger exposure to the strongly performing Indian and Chinese equity markets.
Figure 9: Performance of geographic mandates
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Asia
AsiaexJapan
Source: Eurekahedge
Australia/New
Zealand
February2015yeartodatereturns
GreaterChina
2014returns
India
Japan
Taiwan
3yearannualisedreturns
Table 3 summarises the key performance indicators for Asian hedge funds by regional mandates over both a three year and five
year time horizon. In terms of their reward to risk profiles, Australia/New Zealand focused funds have delivered excellent risk
adjusted returns (Sharpe ratios of 2.18 and 1.50 for both time periods). It is also interesting to note that they offer the lowest
annualised volatility, which is in stark contrast to other single country investment mandates such as India and Taiwan and even
lower than that of more diversified mandates such as Asia. Indian fund managers, despite their stellar returns in 2014, possess
the lowest three year Sharpe ratio of 0.55 due to their high volatility and poor showing in 2013.
Table 3: Performance of geographic mandates
Asia
Asia exJapan
Australia/
New Zealand
Greater
China
India
Japan
Taiwan
1.64%
2.44%
3.19%
1.43%
6.07%
0.53%
2.65%
2014 returns
6.83%
9.46%
6.52%
8.11%
38.83%
5.86%
1.92%
8.79%
9.17%
11.60%
10.90%
10.39%
11.53%
8.05%
4.96%
5.96%
4.41%
7.86%
15.24%
6.30%
7.59%
1.37
1.20
2.18
1.13
0.55
1.51
0.80
7.03%
7.26%
10.98%
7.50%
6.00%
8.68%
5.70%
6.54%
8.50%
5.97%
10.05%
15.19%
6.13%
11.98%
0.77
0.62
1.50
0.55
0.26
1.09
0.31
22
Figure 10 segregates the Asian hedge fund industry by strategy employed, with the various strategic mandates all reporting
positive performance for 2015 and 2014. The Eurekahedge Asia CTA/Managed Futures Hedge Fund Index gained an impressive
3.49% in the first two months of the year, although it is pertinent to note that there are only a handful of funds in this sector.
They are followed by relative value and arbitrage managers who were both up 2.80% as at February 2015 year-to-date. For 2014,
event driven funds delivered the highest returns of 12.57%, lifted by their exposure to Asian equities, while Asian fund managers
deploying macro strategies delivered the worst return, only gaining 0.63% for the year.
Figure 10: Performance across strategic mandates
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
Arbitrage
Source: Eurekahedge
CTA/managed
Eventdriven
Fixedincome
Long/short
Macro
Multistrategy
futures
equities
February2015yeartodatereturns
2014returns
3yearannualisedreturns
Relativevalue
In Table 4, event driven strategies offered the best reward to risk profile over a three year time horizon (Sharpe ratio 1.95)
followed by arbitrage (1.81) and long/short equities (1.34). Long/short equities, which is the most popular strategy among Asian
hedge funds posted risk adjusted returns of 0.69 over the five year time horizon.
Table 4: Performance across strategic mandates
Arbitrage
CTA/
managed
futures
Event
driven
Fixed
income
Long/short
equities
Macro
Multistrategy
Relative
value
2.80%
3.49%
1.43%
1.02%
1.53%
0.78%
1.55%
2.80%
2014 returns
8.78%
10.02%
12.57%
4.10%
6.70%
0.63%
9.39%
10.11%
7.09%
6.43%
14.27%
3.80%
9.44%
2.71%
6.38%
7.50%
2.82%
4.72%
6.28%
3.66%
5.54%
3.89%
4.25%
7.97%
1.81
0.94
1.95
0.49
1.34
0.18
1.03
0.69
5.17%
7.28%
12.64%
6.86%
7.01%
3.70%
5.51%
7.86%
3.87%
4.87%
6.67%
6.92%
7.24%
4.07%
5.28%
8.19%
0.82
1.08
1.60
0.70
0.69
0.42
0.67
0.72
(>US$250 million) have posted the best risk adjusted returns with a Sharpe ratio of 1.77 and 0.90 respectively. Over both time
periods under consideration, larger funds also posted smaller standard deviations, pointing towards an increased emphasis on
risk management and perhaps a more cautious investment strategy.
Figure 11: Performance of Asian hedge funds by fund size
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
EurekahedgeLargeAsianHedgeFundIndex
(>US$250m)
EurekahedgeMediumAsianHedgeFundIndex
(US$50mUS$250m)
February2015yeartodatereturns
2014returns
3yearannualisedreturns
EurekahedgeSmallAsianHedgeFundIndex
(<US$50m)
5yearannualisedreturns
Source: Eurekahedge
2.80%
3.49%
1.43%
2014 returns
8.78%
10.02%
12.57%
7.09%
6.43%
14.27%
2.82%
4.72%
6.28%
1.81
0.94
1.95
5.17%
7.28%
12.64%
3.87%
4.87%
6.67%
0.82
1.08
1.60
24
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25
21.04
44.67
18.52
32.09
16.59
29.77
16.49
27.11
11.76
26.93
10.99
21.21
10.81
17.24
9.94
16.41
8.70
14.11
7.80
12.51
231.91
32.09
225.21
29.77
129.31
27.11
103.72
26.93
75.60
21.21
74.56
17.24
71.73
16.41
67.23
14.11
65.54
12.51
61.03
140.19
1.06
113.90
1.72
40.72
2.66
32.50
3.31
28.77
3.45
25.65
3.56
25.34
4.22
22.71
4.24
22.59
4.28
Elite Fund
21.91
4.36
Sharpe Ratio**
Sortino Ratio**
6.75
31.58
5.69
21.91
5.46
13.44
3.37
10.87
3.13
10.08
3.13
Backbone Asia
7.87
2.71
7.31
Backbone Asia
2.40
Yaraka Fund
6.62
Yaraka Fund
2.23
5.40
2.13
4.65
* Based on 37.99% of funds which have reported March 2015 returns as at 15 April 2015
** For funds with a track record of at least 12 months as at end-March 2015
27
Arbitrage
CTA/Managed Futures
10.62
DH Boote Program
53.15
7.47
44.67
4.99
Index Mechanics BV
37.70
4.57
31.86
4.03
29.71
3.69
19.25
3.40
18.99
3.36
17.79
3.24
17.30
3.09
16.98
Distressed Debt
Event Driven
20.29
Accendo Capital
27.39
5.82
23.62
2.75
18.36
2.44
13.15
1.59
8.79
KS Capital Partners LP
(0.66)
7.97
KS International Inc
(0.72)
7.92
(3.65)
Corsair Select LP
6.10
(5.43)
6.00
Simplon Partners LP
(5.55)
5.52
Fixed Income
Long/Short Equities
14.99
125.23
12.50
32.09
9.27
28.29
7.90
27.11
7.62
22.51
JPM Investment Funds - Global Capital Preservation Fund USD Class A EUR Hedged
7.11
21.24
7.05
20.59
5.08
19.52
4.97
17.24
4.78
16.41
29.77
14.43
21.21
13.88
19.78
Telemetry Fund I LP
12.27
Sparta Cclico
16.25
Dynamo Cougar
10.41
13.61
9.78
13.19
9.43
12.54
7.87
12.12
7.78
11.10
7.64
10.98
7.05
Macro
Multi-Strategy
Relative Value
AM Capital Opportunity Fund I LLC
10.59
3.39
3.35
2.50
SPM Core
1.97
1.60
1.34
1.32
1.26
1.11
*Based on 37.99% of funds which have reported March 2015 returns as at 15 April 2015.
**For funds with a track record of at least 3 months as at end-March 2015
28
6.68
15.15
3.38
10.92
2.84
10.26
2.72
9.76
2.71
9.75
2.42
9.18
2.30
9.16
2.21
8.98
1.79
7.97
1.73
7.84
15.15
JS Islamic Fund
46.97
10.92
42.65
10.26
32.03
9.76
29.92
9.75
29.71
9.18
29.54
9.16
27.65
8.98
26.76
7.97
23.86
7.84
22.39
20.81
0.07
17.67
0.13
14.85
0.14
14.50
0.18
13.75
0.18
13.58
0.21
13.04
0.26
JS Islamic Fund
12.56
0.34
11.47
0.47
11.40
0.54
9.00
15.25
5.16
4.14
4.85
3.33
3.86
3.32
2.36
2.71
2.24
2.49
1.90
2.07
1.85
1.93
1.79
1.88
1.63
1.65
Sharpe Ratio**
Sortino Ratio**
* Based on 38.72% of funds which have reported March 2015 returns as at 15 April 2015
** For funds with a track record of at least 12 months as at end-March 2015
29
Arbitrage
CTA/managed
futures
Distressed debt
Event driven
Fixed income
Long/short
Macro
equities
Multi-strategy
Relative value
Insurance-linked
securities
All strategies
Mar
2015 YTD
Mar
2015 YTD
Mar
2015 YTD
Mar
2015 YTD
Mar
2015 YTD
Mar
2015 YTD
Mar
2015 YTD
Mar
2015 YTD
Mar
2015 YTD
Mar
2015 YTD
Mar
2015 YTD
2015
Returns
2015
Returns
2015
Returns
2015
Returns
2015
Returns
2015
Returns
2015
Returns
2015
Returns
2015
Returns
2015
Returns
2015
Returns
(0.04)
2.76
1.24
2.80
3.55
5.03
(0.09)
0.93
1.14
2.72
2.53
4.12
(0.89)
1.88
1.22
2.86
11.76
13.07
(1.22)
0.20
1.73
4.24
4.10
6.24
2.08
4.55
(0.23)
2.80
1.24
2.80
3.25
4.57
0.14
1.19
1.89
4.00
2.82
4.50
(0.89)
1.88
1.77
3.72
0.82
4.06
0.72
3.98
Emerging markets
2.22
2.34
(0.64)
2.52
4.90
8.44
(0.10)
0.67
0.57
2.19
1.02
2.40
1.77
3.56
(0.89)
3.81
0.82
2.41
Europe
0.37
0.82
2.27
2.65
0.34
4.87
0.61
2.65
1.08
5.18
0.85
0.53
1.14
4.41
0.26
(1.26)
0.98
4.21
9.94
9.76
Asia
Asia ex Japan
Asia inc Japan
Australia / New Zealand
0.46
2.67
Greater China
3.65
5.25
India
3.46
10.47
Japan
4.74
6.62
(0.79)
0.05
0.06
0.13
0.36
1.38
0.84
2.06
0.23
2.06
2.07
1.07
0.24
0.07
(2.62)
(3.43)
1.07
0.40
1.47
0.19
1.49
0.91
4.85
6.31
3.21
9.47
0.17
0.73
0.49
2.30
0.18
1.12
5.35
(1.46)
2.69
1.34
3.49
1.52
3.36
0.70
0.73
(9.73)
(0.26)
(0.04)
(0.12)
0.79
(1.90)
(4.47)
0.45
1.61
4.07
2.01
3.97
1.49
2.33
3.21
0.95
3.22
0.68
2.70
0.78
3.05
Korea
North America
(0.11)
1.28
1.12
3.62
0.36
0.28
Latin America
Latin America (Offshore)
Latin America (Onshore)
All Regions
(0.02)
1.56
1.28
4.97
0.62
1.21
0.71
2.70
0.81
0.27
1.94
1.48
0.12
0.76
* Based on 37.39% of funds which have reported March 2015 returns as at 15 April 2015
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