Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Futures Trading Journal: Stretch & Squeeze
Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Futures Trading Journal: Stretch & Squeeze
Pr0crast
Volume 4:
Stretch & Squeeze
April 2007
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Editors Note ............................................................................................................................... 1
Stretch & Squeeze ....................................................................................................................... 1
Spyders introduction .............................................................................................................. 1
Bundlemaker on setting up STR/SQU in Ensign .................................................................... 5
Bearbelly on getting STR/SQU set up for Quotetracker ......................................................... 7
DKM on getting a STR/SQU indicator working in Esignal .................................................... 7
Audkid1 on getting a STR/SQU indicator working in Tradestation ....................................... 8
Spooz posts a YM snippet ....................................................................................................... 9
Spyder on handling confusing low-volume periods .............................................................. 10
Ezzy on ensuring that Qcharts STR/SQU is running on time ............................................... 10
Spyder on sufficiency ............................................................................................................ 11
Spyder reiterates that STR/SQU is not an always on indicator ......................................... 12
Mak on eSignals limitations ................................................................................................. 12
Spyder answers a bunch of questions .................................................................................... 13
Excerpt from Channels for Building Wealth by Jack Hershey .............................................. 15
Bundlemaker on ideal FTT sequences................................................................................... 15
On the uselessness of historically tracking STR/SQU .......................................................... 16
Mak on nailing the basics ...................................................................................................... 16
Some moral support from bundlemaker ................................................................................ 17
Ezzy on waiting for STR/SQU to synch ................................................................................ 17
Koamana posts his QC workspace for STR/SQU ................................................................. 18
Bundle notes a helpful tip from Spyder regarding execution ................................................ 18
Bearbelly on what kind of progress one should be making before adding tools ................... 18
Ivos AHA moment regarding FTT volume .......................................................................... 19
Help with getting maks spreadsheet to work ....................................................................... 19
PointOnes Quiz .................................................................................................................... 20
Spyder posts a STR/SQU video ............................................................................................ 24
Spyder answers a question on what harmonics are ............................................................... 24
Spyder on washes and taking heat ......................................................................................... 24
ii
iii
EDITORS NOTE
If you wish to read the April section of the journal on Elitetrader in its entirety, it can be accessed
at this link:
http://tinyurl.com/3bmhzl
method for
f STR/SQU
U comparingg the ES to YM
Y while addding some IF1IF2
I
logicc for good
measure.
Determ
mining whichh method to use
u for each individual trader,
t
best results
r
by,
determinning which method
m
workks within a sppecific charting platform
m (or Excel).
e
into a quotesheeet, and createe a
For Qchaarts users, Pllace the folloowing formuula (copy it exactly)
one minuute chart of that
t formula (in Histograam Style). Pllease note thhat I have myy chart set too
Histograam, rather th
han to 'bar chhart.' See atttached screen capture.
((YM07M
M -INDU) -7
72)
By example, if a trader had just entered short, a 'Squeeze' signal (below -2) on STR/SQU
provides continuation. However, had the same trader entered long, the same 'Squeeze' signal
(below -2) on STR/SQU, provides a signal for change. Keep in mind, we use STR/SQU only on
our 'action points' as determined by our individual Resolution Level.
To monitor STR/SQU manually, feel free to use this log file (http://tinyurl.com/36yh6r).
O.K. So where do we go from here? Spend some time monitoring STR/SQU through the day.
Learn how it can provide two different signals within the same bar during periods of High
Volatility. Note also, how such a fine level monitoring (Bug Level) currently sits far beyond our
current focus. Take some notes to 'see' how STR/SQU acts around FTT's, Point Threes and Spike
Bars. In other words, spend some time learning this new tool before working it into a regular
position within your monitoring paradigm.
Lastly, If a trader has not yet spent the appropriate time monitoring the YM and the ES, or if a
trader hasn't yet mastered PRV Volume, Price Channels and Gaussians, then one should not add
STR/SQU until completing the previously mentioned tasks - and practiced to an appropriate
level of proficiency.
I hope you all find the above information useful.
- Spydertrader
1. Your assertion above fails to account for several variables - one of which is when the cash and
futures invert. 2. The temporary changes in premium value provide superior signals during
periods of odd harmonics (See Jack Hershey, Grob109, Bubba7). 3. We seek to monitor the
temporary differences which materialize from time to time, and not every wiggle, head-fake
and / or short term retrace (at this point in the learning process).
Adjusting the offset from time to time places the formula back at the 'zero' line when signals
become skewed in one direction or another. Adjusting does not mask subtle changes. More
importantly, adjusting the 'offset' (when needed), prevents the development of 'false' signals.
Quote from hypostomus:
Ultimately I found the whole exercise to be a waste of time, as all it did was reinforce what
you can already see happening in price and volume.
Perhaps, we could agree to allow others to determine their own value, rather than, have someone
of dubious credibility proclaim the entire exercise 'a complete waste of time' each time I
introduce a new monitoring tool? After all, you have gone on record as saying your efforts
amount to nothing more than dissuading others from learning what you so often already use.
Quote from hypostomus:
Used alone, it is an absolute disaster, as it will shake you out of a run that still has legs.
Let's try 'reading for comprehension', shall we? Please link to the post, sentence, phrase or word
which indicated in your mind where I recommended 'using it alone.'
Quote from Spydertrader:
STR/SQU creates a dangerous situation for a trader who fails to use it correctly because
doing so places the trader on the wrong side of the market. As I discussed in this post, a
trader on the correct Resolution Level only monitors change at certain 'Action Points'
throughout the trading day. Just as we have seen with all other tools, we also need to use
STR/SQU only at those same 'action points.' In other words, using STR/SQU at the
incorrect time can cause negative results.
Bundlem
maker on setting upp STR/SQU
U in Ensiggn
Here is a PDF to show how to seet up for Ensign. Please PM
P if you haave questionns in order too
keep threead clean.
DKM on
o getting a STR/SQ
QU indicatoor workingg in Esignnal
Quote froom optionprro007:
Greetinggs guys, Does anybodyy know how to get the sttr/squ indiccator workin
ng for esign
nal
?Thankss!
For esignnal users, herre is an efs that will plott str/squ in histogram forrmat. After loading the efs,
e
right clicck on the stud
dy pane entiitled "... Addd symbol", seelect edit stuudies, in the Value box for
f
Symbol1 type:
$
- 68
ym #f - $INDU
The valuue 68 is just an
a example offset
o
and shhould be adjuusted accorddingly. Be caareful with thhe
spaces. The
T histogram
m plots the close
c
of eachh interval e.gg. 1 min. Thee histogram time intervaal
will depeend upon thee interval of the chart, soo you will neeed to open up
u an advancced chart witth a
1 min intterval. Now I just need too be able to make some sense of it
Downloaad: http://tin
nyurl.com/22stacb
Downloaad the attachm
ment and save as
SymbolC
CompareAssHistogram..efs in the foolder
Program Files>Esign
nal>Formulaas>Downloadds
(n.b. this will involvee changing thhe file extennsion
from .txt to .efs
u a new 1 min
m chart of say ym #f
2. Open up
3. Right click
c
on the chart and seelect
Formulass>Download
ds>SymbolC
CompareAsH
Histogra
m.efs
4. The EF
FS should lo
oad as a new
w indicator paane below thhe chart
5. Follow
w the previou
us instructionns for enteriing the symbbol formula
ym #f - $INDU
$
- offeest
You shouuld now see the histograam
7
Spooz posts
p
a YM
M snippet
Here's a YM
Y snippet around the time
t
of a sim
m-trade
entry (short) by me th
his morning. My timestaamp is
prolly off
ff +/- a few seconds due to
t the fact thhat my data
is timestaamped locallly (as opposed to the feeed's server).
Also, I was
w glued to the
t ES whenn this occureed and only
really noticed this sn
nippet duringg replay, postt-market
close. In other wordss, the ES got me in. But I thought I'dd
share thiss replay snip
ppet. My repplay is only accurate
a
to
the seconnd (not milliseconds). Soo, the replay could be a
bit off froom RT, I dun
nno. Enoughh caveats...
ows my RT YM
Y Premium
m
The bottoom pane sho
calculatioon, using 2 min
m bars. I know,
k
the insstructions
are to usee 1 min bars but I like my
m layout of price
p
+
volume + premium wth
w vertical alignment.
a
S I may
So,
have to change
c
this at
a some pointt. The greenn dash in
each bar shows wherre the Premiuum closes. I have no
idea if thhis is useful info
i
(knowinng prem bar close) at
this pointt.
Currentlyy, I do not bo
other myselff with Fair Value
V
(the
"offset").. If I type on
ne in, the panne is very sim
milar to a
histogram
m. But I've noticed
n
that "my
"
brain" does
d
a
decent joob of determiining what is Neutral. Tiime will tell
if I need to bother wiith Fair Valuue or not.
One last Premium deetail, the thinn blue horizoontal line
nt Premium (STR),
(
Discount
displays at the curren
(SQU), or
o Neutral at all times (asssuming I caan "see it", lool). As show
wn in this snipppet, what does
d
your braiin tell you? SQU,
S
right? No Fair Vallue/offset neeeded. I'm NO
OT saying too do somethhing
different than what has
h been instrructed, I'm just showingg my layout. Just food for thought annd
discussioon.
The other higher-leveel thing to loook at in thiss snippet is my
m PRV bluee "ghost bar". This mighht be
a good exxample of caapturing incrreasing red, based on PR
RV, very earlly in a bar. My
M PRV is
loosely physics-based
p
d, so I believve my PRV upon bar open is reasonable. I factorr in the pacee
coming in to new barrs and never reset PRV volume
v
to zeero. But this is a bit OT.
In order to capture the smaller, shorter trends within a market lateral, one would need to move
down into finer levels of resolution. As such, change occurs on a more rapid pace. Your
observations with respect to today's market action mirror the same activity occurring normally on
a much faster fractal.
- Spydertrader
10
Spyder on sufficiency
Remember, sufficient data sets means obtaining the data needed to differentiate between
continuation and change. If the sufficient data sets needed can be observed using ES or YM,
then a trader need not continue to STR/SQU at that point in time. The goal of adding tools as we
continue through the syllabus is to provide an opportunity to catch the change signal sooner in
the bar while remaining on the correct Resolution Level for monitoring. In other words, we
want to remain on the Forest or Tree Level for monitoring, but we use tools that can provide the
opportunity to 'see' the change signal sooner in the bar. We do not want to use the finer tools to
catch every signal for change throughout the day - only those occurring at our individual 'Action
Points.' When a trader masters their current Resolution level for monitoring using all the tools
available (even those tools not yet discussed), then the time may be appropriate to move to the
next level for monitoring and thereby increasing the number of signals received and trades taken.
By example, Forest Level Resolution Traders look for Point Three's and Breaks of the Right
Trend Line. The only time a Forest Level Resolution Trader needs to use any tool (PRV,
Gaussians, YM, STR/SQU, DOM, T&S, Tic Charts) is at the right side trend line. As long as
price remains within the channel, the Forest Level Resolution trader need not care whatever else
is going on. Once price approaches the right trend line, The Forest Level trader thinks, "What do
I need for continuation, and What do I need For Change?"
Using one specific example of how the mental process needs to work ....
If an uptrend, then,
Increasing Black ES Volume with Increasing ES Price (on a PRV basis) = continuation
Increasing Black YM Volume with Increasing YM Price = continuation
STR/SQU > +2 = continuation
Increasing Red ES Volume with Increasing ES Price (on a PRV basis) = change
Increasing Red YM Volume with Increasing YM Price = change
STR/SQU < -2 = change
The trader then thinks, "O.K., I know what I need to see, now what do I see?"
The trader sees increasing PRV Volume with STR/SQU > +2
This sufficient data set says continuation, so the trader mentally moves to the 'Action Step'
which changes based on 'context.'
Is the trader already long in the uptrend? Then Continuation means hold.
Is the trader short in the uptrend? Then, continuation means reverse.
Is the trader sidelined? Then, continuation means enter long.
11
As you can see, the action required of the trader at any point in time changes based on the
context. However, the market's mode (continuation or change) remains the same irrespective of
context.
Some, may recall my warnings over attempting to perform brain surgery while using sledge
hammers and pick axes. Previously, traders attempted to trade at resolution levels for which they
did not yet have the tools. While STR/SQU definitely holds no resemblance to a pick axe or a
sledge hammer, it isn't a scalpel either. As a result, I recommend using STR /SQU in a manner
more closely correlated to each individual's Resolution Level Monitoring, rather than, a stand
alone signal by which we look to take every wiggle, head-fake, and pop.
I apologize for the length of this post, but hope many find the information useful.
- Spydertrader
12
Other than to insure I do not need to 'reset' the 'offset' value, no.
Quote from ivob:
Can conclusions be drawn from str/sq values over several bars or should we just look at the
"now"? So is there something like a trend in str/sq?
I look at STR / SQU only in the now.
Quote from ivob:
Also I notice when price volatility increases str/sq bar length also seems to increase.
A very nice thing to notice.
Quote from C99:
First, are we working on the assumption that futs always lead cash, or is there room in the
analysis for the thought that cash sometimes leads?
The futs leads the cash until you see an inversion. On February 27, 2007, we witnessed the first
inversion in a very long time.
Quote from C99:
Second question is when we see values worth noting, does it matter which one, cash or futs,
brings us back to neutral?
The value of STR/SQU is what matters, as well as, at what point in time the market generates the
value.
13
14
As we add additional tools (later this year), we move closer to 'seeing' the change signal develop
even earlier than we do with STR / SQU.
Hopefully, the above information provides some additional clarity.
- Spydertrader
15
This is a gross processs. No sophiisitication orr delicateness is involvedd. I know firrst hand how
w easy
it is to NO
OT see whatt you can't seee. Looking back, I can'tt believe how
w stubborn my
m eyes werre.
Once youu get it, you'll say to youurself, "how the hell did I miss this",, it's that obvvious (once you
y
see it )
Hope thiss helps.
16
Man, this sure sounds a lot like where I was roughly 5 or 6 weeks ago. I did two things that
transformed my situation.
First, I followed Spyder's suggestion to NOT annotate an FTT UNTIL the bar AFTER the bar I
thought was an FTT closed. I did this for a good week or so. It quickly became painful to wait
that long, but it sure cured my earliness.
Second, once the above ocurred, the problem that was left was not being on the correct resolution
level. Now, mind you, I fought tooth and nail against that idea. I was SURE, ABSOLUTELY
POSITIVE, that I was on the forest level. Ha ha ha, turns out I was jumping all over the place.
The cure for this comes in the form of recording a live chart along with your own commentary.
Say a loud what you are thinking. Do this continuously for an hour or two on several occaisions.
Then play it back. YOu might be real surprised about where your head is and where it isn't.
I suspect you are right on top of getting it.
17
Bearbelly on what kind of progress one should be making before adding tools
I would like some input on the best way to progress here. It is my understanding that you should
be making cash money on a fairly consistent basis using only the 5 min ES chart with channels,
volume and prv before moving on. You just watch and annotate the 5 min. You then sim the 5
min until you get consistent results. You then trade the 5 min realtime. When you become
proficient at this level THEN you move to the next level. Mak burned this into my brain awhile
back and it makes a great deal of sense to me. In the chat room there are a number of people
simming with everything up to and including stretch and squeeze without ever having made a
dime and I cant help but feel that this is a huge mistake. Having jumped ahead several times over
the course of this thread I understand where they are coming from but I did realize that I was
making a mistake and backed up all the way to the beginning again. More is not neccessarily
better if you are not equipped to handle it. Jack has mentioned that the one minute is way too
hyper and I cant help but feel, after watching the 2 min ym for quite awhile that it, too, is too
hyper if you are not prepared for it. People are not going to the 2 min ym from the 5 min for
clarification but rather watching the 2 min and then going back to the 5 min. Going back to the 5
min only has slowed things down considerably for me and I am doing better. I am posting this,
not to criticize, lord knows Im one of the worst about jumping ahead, but to try and get others to
keep from burning out before they ever get a grip on this thing.
18
19
PointOnes Quiz
Take a look at the attached Nikkei chart and tell me what happens next. The final bar shown is
complete and is in very dry-up.
No Str/Squ.
20
Spydertrader:
21
Moz:
R/R: The dominant trend of the forest is down. The break out of the RTL (brown) does not
show a strong B2B relative to the previous volume levels and goes into a lateral with decreasing
volume. This does not represent continuation of a dominant uptrend therefore the latest action is
likely a larger retrace creating a new point 3 (down) of the forest as its channel is widened. So
IMO the RTL will be broken and price will resume down.
22
PointOne posts the answer: Here is what happened. At the time I thought the market can only
do one thing next, given the context and sequence.
23
No. I do not 'take heat' in the sense most people use the term. When I say I 'take a loss' I mean to
say that price has moved a certain distance before I realise I misread the market. Sometimes, I
exit with a small profit. Other times, I reverse with a break even (wash) trade. Occasionally, I
reverse and take a loss because I wasn't paying close enough attention, or the market moved too
fast, or I was just plain too stupid to react quicker. The resulting reversal then provided me the
'loss' for that particular trade.
Quote from ivob:
For example on downtrend and you are short, if there is no FTT but price does break RTL.
So there is just a normal non-dom traverse. You mentioned somewhere in the beginning of
this thread the procedure is to reverse on point 3 up after this BO (I am not talking
beginners here, beginners exit on RTL break of course). However, this may imply you
could be down more than 2-3 ticks or am I wrong.
I don't make error's based on P & L. When I make an error, I have failed to read the market
correctly for whatever reason. In such a case, I immediately recognize my error and immediately
take action to fix the incorrect action I previously made. The distance price has moved before I
take corrective action results from a factor of time. The faster I recognize my error, the more
likely I end up with a small profit or wash trade. The longer it takes for me to recognize my
error, the greater the opportunity for me to experience a loss. Those that have seen me trade live
often note how quickly I reverse position once I recognize me error. I do not play the game of
thinking, hoping or believing "it will come back." I take immediate action.
I hope the above post provides the clarification you were looking for.
24
25
I consider all values. You use STR / SQU in the NOW. Whatever the value is when you go to
obtain the data is the important value.
Quote from dougcs:
When is an appropriate time to use it. In a recent post you mentioned it works at "spikes"
and I'm not sure I know what you mean by a "spike".
Check the STR / SQU value near trend lines. See the attached .gif file for examples of 'spike'
bars.
26
Just as a stronger move in the STR / SQU represents a more pronounced move in ES price, so
too does a 'sticky' move (one that seems to linger) allow us to anticipate a more sustained Price
move compared to a STR / SQU 'quick pop' which immediately returns to the 'noise' area. In
other words, sustained and big are better than quick and small.
Many things in life seem to mirror this same paradigm.
- Spydertrader
What do you need to see for continuation (in this case short) and what do you need to see for
change (in the case reverse and get long)?
Assuming you used the FTT (Blue Doji Price Bar) as your signal enter into a short position, we
also know that you have chosen to hold through the apparent retrace of your red down channel
(nothing wrong with this, just setting the stage so to speak).
We note that Price exits the the red down channel on decreasing black volume. However, we
know Price only leaves a down channel on increasing black volume. In other words, our
Gaussians do not match our channel. The market has informed us that we do not have a correct
channel. In such a case we need to fan out our channel in an effort to create a correct channel.
Once you have a correct Price channel in place, PRV Volume provides an answer for where we
go next. If we see increasing black Volume, we know to reverse and enter long. If we see
increasing red Volume on a PRV basis, we know to hold and remain short.
Based on the fact that we currently see decreasing black volume (indicative of a non-dominant
27
retrace of a down channel), holding short remains the best course of action at this time. I
anticipate continuation of the short channel once the market reveals the correct down channel.
Let me know how it went.
- Spydertrader
Im short at this point from the FTT (labeled in blue) of the thin green up pt3 channel.. There
was no +blk at the RTL, the pt3 channel has broken, and SS registered -5 just before I labeled the
FTT.
28
Here we are a couple minutes later. Increasing black now, at the prior RTL (based on PRV close
to a minute into the bar). Seems like reversing would be prudent here as for continuation (I was
short) we needed +red volume right then and there, but didnt have it. Until
Oops. Is this a finer tool issue? A user problem ? or what? This is a recurring theme for me as
I get closer to picking off the actual turns.
29
Spydertrader:
1. Add your 20 SMA. Doing so shows why your Point Two turned into an FBO of the Red
Down Channel. The 20 SMA often acts exactly like a trend line in wider Price Channels.
2. Where you have marked an FTT is really an HVS (High Volatility Stall). Call it a left to right
traverse, a lateral or Even Harmonics. It all means the same thing - continuation. Since you either
have exited off the FBO or reversed off the FBO (depending on experience level), you either are
sidelined or short. Continuation would mean wait if sidelined, hold short if short.
3. You have a \/ - B2B Gaussian with no corresponding Point Three or RTL Break Out (circled
Red). Remember, you have a red down channel so Red Volume is dominant and black volume is
non-dominant until you leave the red down channel.
4. Intra-bar tools (Str / SQu / DOM, T&S,
Tic Charts) can change within the bar
itself first signaling continuation, and then
signaling change or providing multiple
change signals within the same bar. We
often see multiple change signals within
the same bar during an HVS.
5. We do not yet have the next tool (DOM)
which would have shown a 'wall' which
did not deteriorate - indicating another
change signal.
6. Alternating Red, Black, Red, Black (or
Black Red Black Red) Volume while both
colors show decreasing represents an HVS.
While the number of bars involved could
range from 3 to 8 or more, Volume tells
the tale.
I hope you find the above information
useful.
- Spydertrader
30
We look for sufficient data sets. As such, we do not make decisions off single data elements.
Now, if you alter the question to say, "If Price was sitting on the left trend line of an uptrend
while you held a long position, and you saw a -10 on STR / SQU would you immediately
reverse?" The answer would be a resounding,Yes.
Now having said that, Once a trader uses an Intra-bar tool, they must stay with that tool
(continue monitoring) until the bar closes. The reason we do this stems from the fact that
multiple Intra-bar signals (in opposite directions) can occur within a single bar (due to the
volatility you spoke about). In other words, we continue to monitor Intra-bar to make sure no
other signals develop prior to the bar close. We then move to bar-to-bar tools (PRV) to make
sure we see what we need to see, and finally, we move back to the Coarse Level tools to continue
our 'sweep' of the data ("What do I need for continuation and What do I need for change?")
I hope the above paragraphs provide some clarity. Please, let me know if you require additional
clarification.
- Spydertrader
31
Jack often recommends waiting until bar 4 of the day before beginning to trade. Waiting allows
the Futures markets to 'sync' with the cash and affords a trader the opportunity to 'see' the market
as it begins to unfold before taking a position.
As to what I look for at the open, I want to see continuation or change of the previous day's
sentiment, and enter a position accordingly. On most days, we can easily see change (or
continuation) of the previous day's sentiment (either AH or pre-market) by simply monitoring
YM - before the opening bell. However, occasionally, we see where the market hasn't quite made
up its collective mind with respect to continuation or change. On these days, we see the market
open inside the previous day's final bar (or final several bars). In such a circumstance (what
some professionals refer to as 'a split open'), I wait for the market to 'break' in one direction or
the other.
On Friday, the market appeared to be saying change from the previous day, and then on bar
two, the market said change again. Once one recognizes the market hasn't created an FTT, but
rather an HVS, we (as beginners) needed simply to 'wait' for direction to reveal itself. More
advanced level traders would have traded each bar (or even Intra-bar) 'slaloming' back and forth
until Price exited the lateral. As beginning traders, we want to spend more time observing than
trading. we want to learn from Friday's open how we can handle such an environment in the
future. We need to make sure we use all the tools available to us and find a sufficient data set
which allows us to reach a conclusion of continuation or change.
I can say, having the DOM as a tool does assist the trader to 'see' not necessarily the HVS sooner,
but rather, the signal for change sooner, and as such, provides the ability to 'slalom' through an
HVS. Even if you choose to simply hold through an HVS (as I often do), having the ability to
'see' price bounce between two extremes in a single bar (and knowing those extremes in advance)
instantly alerts your brain to the fact "a possible lateral is forming here." After you 'see' this
phenomenon unfold enough times, you (and your brain) automatically makes the connection
from lateral to HVS to flaw to hold (or for more experienced traders, slalom).
Combine DOM with STR / SQU and Volume which shows decreasing red and black bars, and
you have all the information you need to stay on the right side of the market.
I hope you find the above information useful.
- Spydertrader
32
channels. Determining which trend one needs to follow, and how one arrives at the right side of
the market, results from careful consideration of Price. Even if one believes they 'see' the market
correctly, a trader needs to remain mindful of the possibility something remains amiss. However,
if we note the direction Price entered the Lateral Channel, we can anticipate the correct exit.
I hope everyone finds the above information helpful. If anyone needs additional clarification,
please let me know.
- Spydertrader
34
Program Trading often does unfold exactly as you observe. When such an event occurs as you
describe, the STR / SQU moves back into the Neutral Zone. Unless the Programs 'over do it' (for
lack of a better phrase), and push STR / SQU back across to the opposite extreme, we do not
have a signal for change. Since we always follow the rule: "Once we start to monitor Intra-Bar,
we stay Intra-Bar - until the current bar closes, we have plenty of time to 'see' if The Programs
have pushed too far. However, once the current bar closes, we head back to our normal
monitoring routine. Increasing Volume (based on PRV), Price remaining within the current
Trend Channel, or any of the many other signals we interpret as continuation now hold priority.
Some time may pass before we even need to look at STR / SQU again.
Basically, it all depends on how far one wishes to go down into the rabbit hole. For our current
purposes, by sticking to the Forest / Tree Level of Resolution, we avoid being sucked into the
vortex. Much later in this Journal (sometime in the fall), I'll begin to move the discussion
down into the lower levels of the rabbit hole.
- Spydertrader
35