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WRWM 0414 DWNLD
WRWM 0414 DWNLD
lose more often than they win. Well now you can
have a piece of the pie.
Football strategy:
DRT Football Trading Inner Secrets ............................. 9
Reviews:
Systems and Tipsters Update .................................... 12
Betting strategy:
Now you can increase the betting markets you shortlist in order to create your treble. We can now back
and lay in a treble.
3. Create a shortlist. I hinted at this above. Make
a habit of looking in the following markets in
order to find possible selections you can put into
a treble.
The In-play football coupon at www.betfair.
com or with your local bookmaker. I will use
www.betfair.com and arrow for you some potential selections:
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What does that tell me? It tells me that this Taradrewe is really fancied by those experts at www.
racingpost.com. This is a horse to shortlist.
Heres how to make this bet even safer if indeed this
horse becomes a final shortlisted part of our treble...
4. Create a shortlist of the shortlist. Having shortlisted football teams, tennis players, and horses
whose chances of winning are strong, we should
now look to create a shortlist of that shortlist in
order to really get to those selections which look
the most likely to profit.
Start Up
Ramp Up
However, if we had built our original bank by profiting from bookmaker and casino bonuses we may not
even feel the need to do this.
This is perfectly achievable, once your seed capital has been taken off the table, and your Portfolio
Betting bank is big enough to withstand temporary
setbacks.
Unlucky!
You simply add the outstanding balances for all
failed sub-banks to your Duck and Cover pot, and
suspend every failed system until its bank has been
replenished.
Thus, if you lose 40% of your bank across two Ramp
Up systems, you would be working with a combined
Duck and Cover fund of 1,100. You would then
trade your way to a total of 1,500, at which point
you would once again extract your 500 Duck and
Cover capital, and restart the suspended Ramp Up
systems with 500 each.
On the Bets tab, you simply enter one row for every
bet you place. Trades will typically involve entering two rows: one for the backing component, and a
second for the matching lay.
Subsystems
As we have seen, a Dashboard Betting portfolio is
constructed from a selection of:
A Start Up system, supplemented by additional
seed capital
Ramp Up systems
Duck and Cover systems
This might seem strange (as, in this case, we are logging a horse racing result against a football system),
but, by recording your bets in this way, you will
ensure that Duck and Cover winnings are correctly
attributed to the right subsystem.
Conclusion
I believe Portfolio Betting is the only sensible way
to bet. It provides control and reassurance that you
always have a Plan B. And, as discussed, over time
you should find that the need for that Plan B slowly
recedes, so you eventually leave Duck and Cover
systems behind.
Now, back over to Clive...
Blinkers (b)
Winners
Strike Rate
76,295
7,052
8.89%
Profit/Loss
Betfair to 1
stake
-1,868.36
Profit/Loss
Starting Price
to 1 stake
-20,181.82
Profit/Loss
Betfair to 1
stake
-502.11
Profit/Loss
Starting Price
to 1 stake
-1,094.03
Profit/Loss
Betfair to 1
stake
+211.66
Profit/Loss
Starting Price
to 1 stake
-1,086.99
Profit/Loss
Betfair to 1
stake
-2,729.00
Profit/Loss
Starting Price
to 1 stake
-9,669.79
Runners
Winners
Strike Rate
3,554
308
8.67%
Runners
Winners
Strike Rate
6,298
725
11.51%
Runners
Winners
Strike Rate
38,779
3,610
9.31%
Hood (h)
b = blinkers
t = tongue tie
es = eye shield
h = hood
v = visor
p = cheek pieces
If you notice the number 1 after any of these letters
it implies that the headgear is being worn for the first
time.
Runners
Visor (V)
Winners
Strike Rate
88,506
7,832
8.85%
Profit/Loss
Betfair to 1
stake
-9,483.83
Profit/Loss
Starting Price
to 1 stake
-25,572.98
Blinkers (b)
Strike Rate
17,843
1,304
7.31
Profit/Loss
Betfair to 1
stake
-298.80
Profit/Loss
Starting Price
to 1 stake
-5,005.56
Winners
Strike Rate
Profit/Loss
Betfair to 1
stake
-2,309.33
Profit/Loss
Starting Price
to 1 stake
-341.47
801
57
7.12%
Winners
Strike Rate
Profit/Loss
Betfair to 1
stake
-13.47
Profit/Loss
Starting Price
to 1 stake
-438.92
2,036
201
9.87%
Winners
Strike Rate
Profit/Loss
Betfair to 1
stake
-443.83
Profit/Loss
Starting Price
to 1 stake
-2,430.65
9,174
763
8.32%
Winners
Strike Rate
Profit/Loss
Betfair to 1
stake
-9,483.83
Profit/Loss
Starting Price
to 1 stake
-25,572.98
88,506
7,832
8.85%
1,047
820
785
802
237
344
11,075
9,151
9,245
9,005
2,625
4,082
Conclusions...
5
6
7
8 (1 mile)
9
10
Winners
Runners
Runners
Distance
(furlongs)
4. See if you can notice any really eye-catching patterns to the teams performance after they have
a number of matches under their belt during the
season. The quickest way to do this is to glance
at the stats tables (the work is already done for
you) at www.soccerstats.com.
In other words, we are looking for predictable football teams... its what I call The Hoffenheim Effect.
My Delay-React-Trade football traders and I have
been profiting on a weekly basis thanks to this Hoffenheim Effect. And how have we been profiting?
Hoffenheim are one of a handful of football teams
this season who have shown superbly consistent
statistical patterns.
They have been so consistently readable that we
have been able to target a number of specific betting
markets whenever Hoffenheim play, and profit from
them.
Heres a shot of the Soccerstats league table for Hoffenheim. Again, Ill ask you to study it and note what
you see from their home and away score lines...
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Bottom line...
But he still can take measures to improve his situation. Walk into any bookmakers shop and youll
soon be aware of one of them the promotion of
multiple bets.
Doubles trebles and upwards are far more profitable
for the bookie than single bets. So, as layers, Im
suggesting that we partially follow the bookmakers
example, and lay not singles, but doubles.
Why not trebles and more, you may ask? For the
same reason that I would never advocate laying
huge-priced outsiders because one day you could
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Heres my simple idea for picking our lays... Concentrate on Handicap races with 10 or more runners.
At the required price of around 2-1 (3.0 in decimal
odds on the exchanges), they will almost always be
favourites.
Reviews:
Systems and
Tipsters Update
Whats Hot?
Alex Rey Sports 2014 started well for this predominantly short-priced (largely odds-on bets) service from Alex Rey and the Tipsters Warehouse, after
a 7-point loss in the last three months of 2013.
14.22 and 6.07 points profits for January and February 2014 were followed with a 0.97-point profit in
March, which is a net loss of course, if we take off
the monthly 29.95 for joining.
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A lack of consistency early on marks out the Gambling Don: -24.35 points lost in October; 75.89
points profit in November; -36.85 points lost in
December; January 2014 saw 79.84 points profit,
salvaged by three wins in the last three January bets;
and February was terrible with a 44.47-point loss.
With the right choices, you can get great value odds.
January saw highlights including Li Na winning the
Australian Open at 14/1 and Cabrera-Bello a 40/1
placer in the golf.
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The service costs 27 per month and is yet to convince me. It will be interesting to see the gain over a
longer time period.
Zero Hype I thought Id just update you on Zerohypes lay of the day service. This service is simplicity itself and is, if you were so inclined, something
which you can attempt to replicate yourself.
What is place-only betting? I refer you to the eachway probability article in this months newsletter.
When we bet on a horse to place, we are betting
that the horse will finish first or second in a sevenrunner race; first, second or third in an eight-runner+
race; or first, second, third or fourth in a 16+ runner
Handicap race.
Whats Cold
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I left you with a 4.77-point loss for January and 3.55point loss for February. A solid last six days in March
turned a loss into a 1.9-point profit, so the losing start
to the year has been addressed. Early April has suffered from the odds limit of 3.99 meaning we dont
profit from the two successful lays which breached
that price. Two losing lays were also seen on 2 and 7
April, which results in a current 3.4-point loss for the
month.
I remain unconvinced personally, despite the historically yearly profits. Month-by-month profits are so
slim that it only takes a couple of losing selections
to wipe out the hard work. Results are recorded to
Betfair SP, which, for laying, only allows fixedliability laying rather than fixed-stake laying, so you
may need to access the betting markets near to race
time to manually place bets (unless, of course, you
employ a betting bot with a 3.99 odds limit set in).
Whats New
Betfair ATM www.betfairatm.com You may
have been receiving emails recently regarding this
particular betting system, so I thought I would give
you some background (without a solid trial from me
as yet) so you can decide for yourself whether the
system interests you.
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I will report back next month, as it seems a longrange focus on this service might unearth the profit. I
repeat though: 85 per month is a hefty charge.
And Finally
Independently Proofed
Results Show New
Forex Binary Betting
Strategy Could Turn a
250 Starting Bank into
14,266 in Just 12 Months
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