PP 7767/09/2010(025354)

Malaysia Corporate Highlights

RHB Research
Institute Sdn Bhd
A member of the
RHB Banking Group
Company No: 233327 -M

R e su l ts N o t e
1 March 2010
MARKET DATELINE

Texchem Resources Share Price

Fair Value
:
:
RM0.925
RM0.66
Below Expectations Recom : Underperform
(Maintained)

Table 1 : Investment Statistics (TEXCHEM; Code: 8702) Bloomberg: TEX MK

Net Core EPS Net
FYE Turnover profit EPS EPS# Growth PER C.EPS* P/NTA Gearing ROE GDY
Dec (RMm) (RMm) (sen) (sen) (%) (x) (sen) (x) (%) (%) (%)
2009 1,154.9 (9.6) (7.7) (5.2) (141.5) (17.8) - 1.0 139.9 (4.0) 7.5
2010f 1,184.1 7.5 6.0 6.0 (215.0) 15.5 - 1.2 172.0 4.8 10.8
2011f 1,260.2 20.2 16.2 16.2 170.2 5.7 - 1.0 161.2 12.6 10.8
2012f 1,337.4 20.9 16.8 16.8 3.4 5.5 - 1.0 153.8 12.2 13.0
# Excludes exceptionals
Main Market Listing / Trustee Stock / Syariah-Approved Stock By The SC * Consensus Based On IBES Estimates

RHBRI Vs. Consensus

♦ Full-year net loss of RM6.5m. Despite reporting an improved set of 4Q Above
core results, this, nevertheless, was not strong enough for Texchem’s full- In Line
year core net loss of RM6.5 (FY08: net loss of RM1.4m) to meet our Below
expectations. The key variance was a higher-than-expected tax charge of
Issued Capital (m shares) 124.1
RM5.5m during the year.
Market Cap(RMm) 114.8
♦ Revenue down 9.9% qoq largely due to lower revenue from all of the Daily Trading Vol (m shs) 0.001
52wk Price Range (RM) 0.90-1.10
divisions (industrial: -15% qoq; food: -9% qoq; family care: -8.6% qoq)
Major Shareholders: (%)
except for the packaging division, which grew 7.7% qoq. The increase in
Texchem Holdings 31.4
the packaging division, we believe, was on the back of the general
Texchem Corporation 20.6
recovery in the electrical and electronics sector. Coupled with higher taxes TSDS Fumihiko Konishi 5.6
(+30.3% qoq), partly offset by lower MI, 4Q core net profit grew 63% qoq.
Texchem made a provision for impairment on unquoted bond and property, FYE Dec FY10 FY11 FY12
plant and equipment totaling RM3.1m during the quarter EPS chg (%) - - n.a.
Var to Cons (%) n.a. n.a. n.a.
♦ Net gearing still a concern. As at end-Dec, total borrowings stood at
Share Price Chart
RM283.5m, down from RM288.3m as at end-Sep. The net gearing ratio has
also been reduced to 1.4x, down from 1.5x, as at end-Sep (end-4Q08:
1.1x). Despite improving macro conditions, we remain concerned on
Texchem’s high financial leverage. We note that 4Q interest expense ate
up 52% of operating profit.

♦ Risks. The risks include: 1) stronger-than-expected margins, which could

be due to falling raw material prices; and 2) quicker-than-expected
recovery in the global economy, which would aid in the recovery of the
semiconductor and consumer electronics sectors. Relative Performance To FBM KLCI

♦ Forecasts. We are maintaining our FY10 and FY11 earnings forecasts

FBM KLCI
unchanged for now and expect Texchem to return to the black for the full
year this year on the back of improving global economic conditions. We
introduced our FY12 numbers.
Texchem
♦ Investment case. Our fair value is maintained at RM0.66 based on
unchanged target CY10 PER of 11x. We reiterate our Underperform call
on the stock.

Coverage Under CMDF-Bursa

Research Scheme
Please read important disclosures at the end of this report.
David Chong, CFA
(603) 9280 2179
david.chong@rhb.com.my

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Table 2 : Earnings Review

QoQ YoY YoY
FYE Dec (RMm) 4Q08 3Q09 4Q09 FY08 FY09 Comments
(%) (%) (%)
Revenue 290.5 318.4 286.8 (9.9) (1.3) 1,430.2 1,154.9 (19.2) Full-year yoy decline due to lower
contribution from the industrial,
packaging and food divisions as a
result of the global economic
downturn, partly mitigated by stronger
contribution from the family care
division.

Operating profit (1.5) 6.7 6.6 (0.7) +>100 25.5 14.7 (42.4) Full-year lower yoy mainly due to
weaker contribution from the industrial
segment while the packaging segment
was in the red.
Interest expense (4.0) (3.5) (3.4) (3.6) (13.8) (17.1) (14.7) (14.0) Total borrowings as at 4Q09:RM283.5m
(3Q09:RM288.3m and
4Q08:RM293.6m)
Associates (2.3) (0.3) (0.4) (33.6) (87.2) (6.1) (2.2) (63.2)
Exceptionals - - (3.1) ->100 ->100 - (3.1) ->100
Pre-tax profit (7.7) 2.7 (0.2) ->100 (97.8) 2.4 (5.3) ->100
Tax 2.4 (1.0) (1.3) 30.3 ->100 (4.2) (5.5) 30.8
Minority interest 1.4 (0.6) 0.1 +>100 (91.6) 0.4 1.2 +>100
Net profit (3.9) 1.1 (1.4) ->100 (64.8) (1.4) (9.6) ->100
Core net profit (3.9) 1.1 1.7 63.0 +>100 (1.4) (6.5) ->100

Margins (%)
Op profit (0.5) 2.1 2.3 1.8 1.3
Pre-tax (2.7) 0.8 (0.1) 0.2 (0.5)
Effective tax rate 30.5 38.0 n.m. 176.4 102.5 Above statutory rate as losses by
certain subsidiaries could not be offset
against the taxable profits made by
other subsidiaries as well as non-
deductibility of certain expenses.
Net profit (1.4) 0.3 (0.5) (0.1) (0.8)
Core net profit (1.4) 0.3 0.6 (0.1) (0.6)

Segmental revenue
Industrial 125.9 159.0 135.1 (15.0) 7.4 746.2 521.7 (30.1)
Packaging 44.1 46.8 50.4 7.7 14.4 220.7 176.4 (20.1)
Family care 30.3 37.8 34.5 (8.6) 13.9 133.5 155.1 16.2
Food 91.0 75.3 68.5 (9.0) (24.7) 333.7 306.0 (8.3)
Eliminations (0.8) (0.5) (1.8) ->100 ->100 (3.8) (4.4) 14.5
Total 290.5 318.4 286.8 1,430.2 1,154.9 (19.2)

Segmental results
Industrial 0.7 4.2 5.3 25.5 +>100 15.2 11.6 (24.2) Full-year was impacted by economic
condition.
Packaging (3.4) 1.2 1.0 (16.0) +>100 4.9 (2.6) (152.0) Full-year was impacted by economic
condition.
Family care (1.2) 1.6 0.8 (47.1) +>100 3.7 5.7 52.5
Food 3.5 2.1 2.9 36.5 (18.7) 7.2 8.4 17.0
Eliminations (1.0) (2.4) (3.4) 39.3 ->100 (5.6) (8.5) (50.5
Total (1.5) 6.7 6.6 (0.7) +>100 25.5 14.7 (42.4)

Segmental margins (%)

Industrial 0.5 2.7 3.9 2.0 2.2
Packaging (7.7) 2.6 2.0 2.2 (1.5)
Family care 3.9 4.1 2.4 2.8 3.7
Food 3.9 2.8 4.2 2.2 2.8

Source: Company, RHBRI

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Table 3. Earnings Forecasts Table 4. Forecast Assumptions

FYE Dec (RMm) FY09a FY10F FY11F FY12F FYE Dec FY10F FY11F FY12F

Turnover 1,154.9 1,184.1 1,260.2 1,337.4 Ind. div. rev contribution (%) 43.7 41.5 39.3
Turnover growth (%) (8.9) 2.5 6.4 6.1 Packaging rev. contribution (%) 13.6 15.0 17.9
Family care rev. contribution (%) 14.1 13.9 13.5
EBITDA 38.7 59.1 82.8 84.1 Food div. rev. contribution (%) 26.6 29.6 29.3
EBITDA margin (%) 3.4 5.0 6.6 6.3 Source: RHBRI estimates

Depreciation (27.2) (28.3) (30.0) (31.8)

EBIT 14.7 30.8 52.8 52.4

EBIT margin (%) 1.3 2.6 4.2 3.9
Net Interest (14.7) (16.3) (16.3) (16.3)
Associates (2.2) (1.6) (1.6) 0.0
Exceptionals (3.1) 0.0 0.0 0.0

Pretax Profit (5.3) 12.9 34.9 36.1

Tax (5.5) (3.9) (10.5) (10.8)
Minorities 1.2 (1.6) (4.3) (4.4)
Net Profit (9.6) 7.5 20.2 20.9
Core Net Profit (6.5) 7.5 20.2 20.9
Source: Company data, RHBRI estimates

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

This report has been prepared by RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd (RHBRI) and is for private circulation only to clients of RHBRI and RHB Investment Bank Berhad
(previously known as RHB Sakura Merchant Bankers Berhad). It is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The opinions
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“Connected Persons” means any holding company of RHBRI, the subsidiaries and subsidiary undertaking of such a holding company and the respective directors,
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This report has been prepared by the research personnel of RHBRI. Facts and views presented in this report have not been reviewed by, and may not reflect
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The research analysts, economists or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of this research report have received compensation based upon
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The recommendation framework for stocks and sectors are as follows : -

Stock Ratings

Outperform = The stock return is expected to exceed the FBM KLCI benchmark by greater than five percentage points over the next 6-12 months.

Trading Buy = Short-term positive development on the stock that could lead to a re-rating in the share price and translate into an absolute return of 15% or more over
a period of three months, but fundamentals are not strong enough to warrant an Outperform call. It is generally for investors who are willing to take on higher risks.

Market Perform = The stock return is expected to be in line with the FBM KLCI benchmark (+/- five percentage points) over the next 6-12 months.

Underperform = The stock return is expected to underperform the FBM KLCI benchmark by more than five percentage points over the next 6-12 months.

Industry/Sector Ratings

Overweight = Industry expected to outperform the FBM KLCI benchmark, weighted by market capitalisation, over the next 6-12 months.

Neutral = Industry expected to perform in line with the FBM KLCI benchmark, weighted by market capitalisation, over the next 6-12 months.

Underweight = Industry expected to underperform the FBM KLCI benchmark, weighted by market capitalisation, over the next 6-12 months.

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subject to the duties of confidentiality, will be made available upon request.

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