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AHGP Alliance Holdings Dec 2009 Presentation
AHGP Alliance Holdings Dec 2009 Presentation
AHGP Alliance Holdings Dec 2009 Presentation
December 8, 2009
Brian L. Cantrell
Chief Financial Officer
Forward-Looking Statements
2
Why Coal?
Abundant
Reliable
Affordable
Domestic
3
Coal Consumption Grows with GDP
1000
10000
800
8000
Billions of Dollars
600
6000
400 4000
200 2000
0 0
1949
1954
1959
1964
1969
1974
1979
1984
1989
1994
1999
2004
1949
1954
1959
1964
1969
1974
1979
1984
1989
1994
1999
2004
Source: EIA, Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)
4
Coal Creates High-Paying Jobs
5
Coal Serves as the Cornerstone for
America’s Electricity Generation
Sources: EIA 2008 Annual Energy Review; Barclays Capital Markets Research
6
Coal is Abundant
Coal is the
foundation of Northern
America’s Appalachia
Region
energy (NAPP)
security ~
accounting for
93% of fossil
fuel reserves in Central
the U.S. & 27% Appalachia
Region (CAPP)
of worldwide
coal reserves
Southern
Appalachia
Region (SAPP)
Four Corners
Anthracite
Bituminous Coal Gulf Lignite
Subbituminous Coal
Lignite
7
Coal is Reliable
$ per mmBtu
$20
$16
The delivered
cost of coal is
$12 consistently less
than that of other
fossil fuels
$8
$4
$0
1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009YTD
8
Coal is Affordable and Results in Lower
Electricity Costs to Consumers
6.7¢
8% 7.4¢
6.6¢
62%
91%
7.3¢ 7.8¢ 16.7¢
5.7¢ 60% 9.0¢
7% 7.1¢ 14%
1% 66% 9.2¢
52%
5.7¢ 61% 9.4¢
94% 7.0¢ 53%
6.5¢ 8.4¢
77%
9.9¢ 66% 9.2¢ 7.1¢ 85%
5.6¢
22% 6.5¢ 48% 95%
98% 8.1¢
82% 8.6¢ 7.6¢ 6.9¢ 44%
13.0¢
65% 73% 81% 6.3¢ 94%
1% 8.1¢
61%
8.0¢ 63%
8.0¢ 7.9¢ MA 16.2¢ 25%
9.1¢ 7.8¢
8.3¢ 48% 41% CT 17.0¢ 15%
37% 47%
¢ = average retail price 74% 8.6¢ 9.0¢ NH 14.6¢ 15%
8.9¢
per kilowatt hour 51% 63%
35% RI 16.1¢ 0%
for CY 2008 10.9¢ 9.4¢ NJ 14.9¢ 15%
37% 26% VT 12.3¢ 0%
% = percent of total 10.8¢
14.5¢ 30% MD 13.0¢ 58%
generation from coal
10% DE 12.3¢ 70%
for CY 2008
29.2¢ < 9.5¢
15%
> 9.5¢
Hydro
9
Coal Drives Economic Growth
¾ November 3, 2009: Warren Buffett
announced Berkshire Hathaway, Inc.’s
Purchase of Burlington Northern Santa Fe
Corp. for $44 Billion
Source: Reuters
10
Coal is the World’s Fastest Growing Fuel
Nuclear 4% CAGR
Coal demand expected to
0.7%
exceed growth in natural
gas, nuclear, hydro, wind,
Oil 7%
and solar combined
1.3%
through 2025(1)
Hy dro 20%
3.8%
Coal 27 % 4.9%
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
15,000 800
U.S.
U.S.
600
9,000
U.K.
S. Korea
Saudi Arabia 400
U.K. Saudi Arabia
6,000 Russia Italy
S. Korea
200
3,000 Russia
Brazil
Mexico Brazil Mexico
China
India India China
0 0
$0 $10,00 $20,00 $30,00 $40,00 $50,00 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000
0 0 0 0 0
GDP Per Capita (in $U.S.) GDP Per Capita (in $U.S.)
13
Investing in Alliance
Why Alliance?
15
Why Alliance?
16
Alliance Snapshot
Corporate Headquarters – Tulsa, Oklahoma
17
Alliance Operations Summary
Northern
Appalachia
11%
Central
Appalachia
12% Central
Appalachia
4%
18
Well Positioned in Scrubber Markets
Future growth potential for scrubber market bodes well for Alliance’s high
sulfur operations
Current and Projected Eastern U.S. Installed Scrubber Capacity
12,500 Btu Equivalent
Million Tons(1)
220 220 220 220 220 220 220 220 220 220 220 220
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Installed Scrubber Capacity Incremental Scrubber Capacity
Source: Ventyx Net Winter Capacity as of September 2009
19
Large Inventory of Organic Growth
Projects
River View Tunnel Ridge
Under construction
Currently operating three production units
Estimated reserves ~ 70 million tons high sulfur coal
Scheduled to reach full production capacity of 6.4
million tons/year by mid 2010 Production capacity ~ 6 million tons/year
Estimated reserves ~ 105 million tons high sulfur coal Initial longwall production in late 2011
Estimated capital expenditures of $250-
$250-$275 million Capital estimated to be $265-
$265-$285 million excluding
capitalized development and interest costs
Pennsylvania
Indiana Ohio
Illinois Maryland
West
Virginia
Virginia
Kentucky
20
Strong Balance Sheet
21
Alliance Partnership Profiles
Asset Profile: 5th largest eastern coal producer Ownership Interests in Alliance Resource
operating 9 underground mining
complexes ⎯ 1.98% G.P. Interest
22
Consistent Track Record of Growth
$ in millions
22.3 $920.0
Millions of Tons
20.4 $799.6
$623.5
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009LTM 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009LTM
16.7% 4%
CAGR: : 18. $2.89
$320.0 CAGR
$2.53
$250.9 $267.0 $257.8 $2.20
$230.1 $1.92
$ in Millions
$1.58
$147.9 $1.24
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009LTM 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009LTM
Sep-0 6
D ec-0 6
M a r -0 7
J un -0 7
Sep-0 7
D ec-0 7
M a r -0 8
J un -0 8
Sep-0 8
D ec-0 8
M a r -0 9
J un -0 9
Sep-0 9
Source: Company filings
24
Strong Distribution Growth
8.6%
7.1%
2.4%
1.4%
0.7%
ARLP AHGP Oil & Gas Propane Pipe line & All Ene rgy All GPs
MLPs MLPs Proce ssing MLPs
(16.7% )
25
Alliance Investment Take Aways
26
Alliance EBITDA Reconciliation
27
Wells Fargo Securities
MLP & Pipeline Symposium
December 8, 2009
Brian L. Cantrell
Chief Financial Officer