ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report: 21st Annual

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2014

21st Annual

ABA Real Estate


Lending Survey Report

2014

21st Annual

ABA Real Estate


Lending Survey Report
Contents
Acknowledgements 1
Summary of Key Survey Findings

Survey Participant Profile

Loan Production

Loan Destination

Mortgage Products and Features

15

Escrow Services

23

Delinquencies and Foreclosures

26

Regulatory Impact

27

Automated Underwriting, Systems, Imaging and Quality Control

34

Commercial Real Estate

37

Mortgage Market Outlook and Concerns

41

2014 American Bankers Association, Washington, D.C. All rights reserved.

Acknowledgements
The American Bankers Association extends its appreciation to the bankers who
contributed essential information to the 21st edition of the Real Estate Lending
Survey. Their participation in this extensive study, despite already heavy reporting
burdens, ensured the success of this research project.

ABA Staff
Bob Davis, Executive Vice President, American Bankers Association
Rod Alba, VP, Sr. Regulatory Counsel, American Bankers Association
Joe Pigg, VP, Sr. Counsel II, American Bankers Association
Krista Shonk, VP, Sr. Regulatory Counsel, American Bankers Association
Debbie Whiteside, SVP Mortgage Solutions, American Bankers Association
Alex Maroulis-Cronmiller, VP, American Bankers Association

Data Processing and Analysis


Michael Mazur, Senior Manager, American Bankers Association

If you have a question regarding the survey, please contact:


Michael Mazur at mmazur@aba.com or 1-800-BANKERS

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 1

Summary of Key Survey Findings


The 21st Real Estate Lending Survey had the participation of 208 banks. The data
was collected from January 25 to February 28, 2014, and in most cases reports
calendar year or year-end results. In other cases, data reflect current activities and
expectations at the time of data collection. Of the survey participants, 65 percent of
respondents were commercial banks and 35 percent were savings institutions. About
76 percent of the participating institutions had assets of less than $1 billion.
Following the January effective dates of new Dodd-Frank

regulations, about two-thirds of respondents will be restricting


lending to Qualified Mortgages, or to QM loans plus non-QM loans
that are restricted to targeted markets or products.
About 80 percent of respondents expect that the new regulations

will have a measurable reduction in credit availability, and


two-thirds of respondents characterize the impact as moderate.
The percentage of single family mortgage loans made to first time

home buyers increased from 11 percent in 2012 to 13 percent in


2013, the highest percentage since 2007.
The average delinquency rate for single family mortgage loans

at surveyed banks decreased from 2.40 percent in 2012 to 1.87


percent in 2013, while foreclosure rates dropped from .98 percent
to .73 percent.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage remains dominant in bank

lending, growing from 46.3 percent to 50.3 percent of all


mortgages in 2013, and the purchase market increased from
39 percent to 44 percent of mortgage originations.
Commercial real estate (CRE) loan delinquency was reported

at 3.3 percent for non-farm, nonresidential properties, and


1.8 percent each for multifamily and ADC lending.
CRE loan demand is trending higher among 26 percent of

survey respondents compared to 2012, while it remains the


same for approximately 51 percent of respondents.
The delinquency rate was 3.32 percent in 2013 for CRE loans

secured by non-farm, non-residential properties, little changed


from 3.31 percent in 2012.
Top concerns for bankers are regulatory burden and

compliance cost.

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 2

Survey Participant Profile

2%

Bank Asset Sizes


Bank Asset Sizes

2% 1% 1%
Bank
4%Asset Sizes
2%
1% 4%
9%
9%

21%
21%

4%

21%

9%

13%
13%

13%

17%
17%
17%

16%

16% 16%

17%
17%
17%
to $50
million
$51-$100 million
Up toUp$50
million
$51-$100
million
$101-$200
$201-300
million million
Up to $50million
million
$51-$100
$101-$200 million
$201-300 million
$301-$500
million
million-$1 billion
$101-$200
million $501 $201-300
million
$301-$500
million
$501
million-$1
billion
$1 billion-$10
billion
$10 billion-$20
billion
$301-$500 million
$501 million-$1 billion
$1 billion-$10
billion
$10 billion-$20 billion
Over $20 billion
$1 billion-$10 billion
$10 billion-$20 billion
Over $20 billion
Over $20 billion

Bank Charter Type

Bank Charter Type

65%
Commercial
Bank

35%
Savings Bank/
Institution

Savings Bank/Institution
Commercial Bank

Bank Ownership Type

Bank Ownership Type


23%
Mutual/MHC
77%
Stock

Mutual/MHC

Stock

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 3

Survey Participant Profile


Participant Profile Breakdown by Region

England (Connecticut, Massachusetts, Maine,


New England
New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Vermont)
antic (D.C., Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey,
Mid-Atlantic
New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia)
e Southeast (Kentucky, North Carolina, South
Middle
Southeast
Carolina, Tennessee, West
Virginia)
Lower Southeast (Alabama, Florida, Georgia,
Lower Southeast
Mississippi)
Lakes (Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota,
Great Lakes
Ohio, Wisconsin)
h (Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas,
South
Arkansas)
Plains (Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, North Dakota,
Plains
Nebraska, South Dakota)

10%
16%
4%
4%
29%
9%
20%

(Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Utah, Wyoming)


Mountain

uthwest (Arizona, California, Hawaii,


Nevada)
Southwest
Northwest (Alaska, Oregon, Washington)
Northwest

4%
3%
1%

New England Connecticut, Massachusetts, Maine, New Hampshire, Rhode Island,


Vermont

Mid-Atlantic
Washington D.C., Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, New York,
Pennsylvania, Virginia


Middle Southeast Kentucky, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, West Virginia
Lower Southeast Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi
Great Lakes Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, Wisconsin

South Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas, Arkansas

Plains Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, North Dakota, Nebraska, South Dakota

Mountain Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Utah, Wyoming

Southwest Arizona, California, Nevada

Northwest Alaska, Oregon, Washington

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 4

Loan Production
Chart 1
Total
Total Dollar
dollar Volume
volume Originated
originated for 2013
(average and median)
1-4 Family Mortgage

Home Equity (drawn lines)

Second Trusts (closed-end)

Multifamily Mortgages

$183,525,713
$43,590,390
$16,699,759
$2,820,295
$9,431,842

Average
Median

$1,675,000
$29,833,754
$4,500,000

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 5

Loan Production
Chart 2
Top Loan Origination Systems
Ranking

Loan Origination System

Encompass (Ellie Mae)

Laser Pro (Harland);


EasyLender (Fiserv)

Mortgagebot (D+H)

ARTA Lending (Wolters Kluwer)

Calyx Point (Calyx Software);


Compliance One (WoltersKluwer)

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 6

2012

Loan Production
38%

Chart 3
62%Mortgage Loan Production
14 Family
Year-to-Year Origination Comparison
Purchase

Refinance

2013

44%
56%

2011

2012

37%

38%

62%

Purchase

63%

Refinance

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 7

9%
82%

Loan Production

82%

82%

82%
Chart 4
Retail

Origination Sources at a Glance

Retail

Wholesale/Correspondent
Retail
Wholesale/Correspondent
Internet
Wholesale/Correspondent
Retail
Internet
Other
Internet
Wholesale/Correspondent
Other
Other
Internet
Other

3%

2013

6%
9%

82%

2012
5%

4%

4%

2011

6%

9%

9%

82%

81%

Retail
Wholesale/Correspondent
Internet
Other

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 8

Loan Destination
Selling Mortgage LoansChart
with5 Servicing Released vs.
Selling Mortgage Loans with Servicing Released
Servicing
Retained,
2013
vs. Servicing
Retained, 2013

Both
34%

Servicing
released
33%
Servicing
retained
33%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 9

Loan Destination
Chart 6
14 Family Mortgage Originations (dollar volume)
Retained and/or Sold to Buyers, 2013 and 2012

2013
2013
4.3%

8.7%

39.2%

17.6%

Sold to Fannie Mae

.9%

15.1%

2012

Loans retained in
portfolio

5.6%

9.3%

Sold to Freddie Mac

40.6

14.2%
Securitized by lender
through Ginnie Mae

2012

Loans retained in
portfolio
Sold to Fannie Mae

Sold to private
mortgage conduits or
aggregators

2012
5.6%

9.3%

40.6%

Sold to private
mortgage conduits or
aggregators
Sold to other financial
institutions as portfolio
investment
Sold through FHLB
MPF/MPP Program

.1%

Sold to other financial


institutions as portfolio
investment

Sold to Freddie Mac

Securitized by lender
through Ginnie Mae

17.5%

Sold through FHLB


MPF/MPP Program

17.5%

.1%

15.0%
12.0%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 10

15.0%
12.0%

Loan Destination
Chart 7
Where is Volume Going? A Historical Perspective
Percentage of originations sold to each of the following buyers

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

Conduits/Wholesalers

18%

18%

17%

22%

19%

10%

15%

10%

14%

Fannie Mae

14%

12%

15%

13%

12%

5%

4%

3%

7%

Freddie Mac

15%

15%

13%

15%

17%

5%

8%

6%

7%

FHLB MPF/MPP

9%

9%

7%

5%

5%

4%

2%

2%

4%

Other

4%

6%

7%

8%

4%

2%

3%

2%

1%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 11

Loan Destination
Chart 8
Ranking of Most Used Aggregators, Top Outlets
2013
Ranking

Aggregator

U.S. Bank

Wells Fargo

FHLB

BB&T

Frank American

2012
Ranking

Aggregator

Wells Fargo

U.S. Bank

Franklin American

Bankers Bank, PHH Mortgage


BB&T, FHLB, and SunTrust

2011
Ranking

Aggregator

US Bank

Bank of America

GMAC

JPMorgan Chase

BB&T

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 12

Loan Destination
Chart 9
For your servicing operations, do you use a
subservicer or component servicer?
Subservicer
8%

Component
servicer
2%
Both
3%

Neither
87%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 13

Loan Destination
Chart 10
Are you contemplating selling servicing rights
due
to new regulatory
requirements
or capital
Are you
contemplating
selling
servicing rights
due totreatment
new regulatory
of mortgage
servicing
rights? servicing rights?
requirements or capital
treatment
of mortgage

Yes
11%

No
89%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 14

Mortgage Product Features


Chart 11
Family Mortgage Mix at a Glance
Breakdown of fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgage production, by dollar volume

2013
2013
2.0%

.2%
4.9%

1.5% 2.5%
.1%

6.1%

9.7%

50.3%

22.7%

Fixed Rate
(30- Year)
Fixed Rate
(15- Year)
2.6%
Other Fixed
.9%
Rate
6-Month ARM
1-Year ARM

2012
1.3% .8%
5.0%
6.2%

46.3

11.9%

3/1 ARM

Fixed Rate
(30- Year)
Fixed Rate
(15- Year)
2.6%
Other Fixed
.9%
Rate
6-Month ARM
1-Year ARM

2012
2012

5/1 ARM
7/1 ARM

1.3% .8%
5.0%

25.1%

Interest-Only
ARM
Other ARM

6.2%

46.3%

11.9%

3/1 ARM
5/1 ARM
7/1 ARM
Interest-Only
ARM
Other ARM

25.1%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 15

Mortgage Product Features


Chart 12
A Closer Look at Mortgage Loan Features
Average Percentage of Loans Originated (Dollar Volumes) by Features

2013

3.1%

2.1%

2.7%

Low Documentation
Mortgages

3.1%

2012

2011

9.3%

8.6% 8.9%

4.6%

3.8%
1.1%

Piggyback
Mortgages
(simultaneous first
and second
mortgages)

1.1%

2.5%

Prepayment
Penalties

Balloon Payments

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 16

Mortgage Product Features


Chart 13
14 Family Mortgage Loan Production
of Dollar
1-4 Family(Percentage
Mortgage
LoanVolume)
Production (percentage of
dollar volume)

2013

2012

2011

74.8
76.1
72.0

Conforming
15.0
13.7
14.0

Non-Conforming
FHA
Jumbo

3.8
3.8
5.0
6.4
6.4
9.0

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 17

Mortgage Product Features


Chart 14
Servicing Portfolios
Data as of year-end 2013

By Asset Size

Serviced for Bank


(averages in millions,
unless otherwise noted)

Serviced for Others


(averages in millions,
unless otherwise noted)

Over $20 Billion

$11 - $20 Billion

$2,265.6

$1 - $10 Billion

$529.6

$366.4

$501 Million - $1 Billion

$195.6

$151.0

$301 - $500 Million

$87.8

$201 - $300 Million

$74.9

$42.5

$101 - $200 Million

$31.9

$51 - $100 Million

$12.7

Up to $50 Million

$11.4

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 18

Mortgage Product Features


Chart 15
Average Percentage of 14 Family Loans
Made to First-Time
Home
Buyers
Average Percentage
of 1-4 Family
Loans
Made to First
Time Home Buyers
13%
11%
9%

2013

2012

2011

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 19

Mortgage Product Features


Chart 16
Loan-to-Value Ratios
for 14 Family Mortgage Loans Originated

2013

2013

6%

6%

18%

7%
2012

14%
60% or less

49%

60% - 80%
80% - 85%

2012

60% - 80%
80% - 85%

6%

5%

5%

19%

14%

51%

90% - 95%

19%

95% and
greater

14%

85% - 90%
90% - 95%

5%

85% - 90%

2012

60% or less

6%

5%

51%

95% and
greater
21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 20

Mortgage Product Features


Chart 17
For For
1-414
family
mortgage
above
family
mortgageloans
loanswith
with an
LTVLTV
Above
80%:80%:
yourequire
require private
private mortgage
DoDoyou
mortgageinsurance?
insurance?
No
19%

Yes
81%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

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Mortgage Product Features


Chart 18
Percentage of 14 Family Mortgage Loans
Percentageby
of FICO
1-4 Family
Mortgage Loans by FICO
Categories
Categories
720 and above

48.0

680 and 719

32.9

620 and 679


Below 620

16.6
2.5

Escrow Services
Does your bank provide
19 for its
escrow Chart
services
Does your bank provide escrow services
mortgage customers?
for its mortgage customers?
No
12%

Yes
88%

Are escrow accounts


mandatory for mortgage
Are escrow accounts mandatory
customers?
for mortgage
customers?
Yes
27%

No
73%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 23

Escrow Services
Chart 20 Escrow Services
Reasons for Not Providing

Reasons for Not Providing Escrow Services


Lack of escrow capabilities/adequate staff

57%

It is cost prohibitive
Lack of third-party service provider

46%
3%

Customer preference
Difficulty obtaining tax information for certain
dwellings classified as personal property
Other

26%
3%

Other reasons listed


include excessive
regulatory
requirements and high
compliance risk, as well
as not servicing

29%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

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Escrow Services
Chart 21
Monthly vs. Annual Escrow Account Statements, 2013

Monthly vs. Annual Escrow Account Statements, 2013


95%

9%
Monthly

Annual

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 25

Delinquencies and Foreclosures


Chart 22
Average Delinquency Rates (60-Days or More Past Due)
Average
Delinquency
Rates
(60-Days
or More Past
Due)
and Foreclosure
Rates,
14
Family Mortgage
Loans
and Foreclosure Rates
2013

2012

2.40%
1.87%

0.73%

Delinquency rate

0.98%

Foreclosure rate

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

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Regulatory Impact
Chart 23
Percentage of 2013 Production
Percentage
of
2013
QM
Compliant
Percentage
of 2013 Production
Production
Compliant
and and
Non Non
QM Compliant
and
Non QM QM
Compliant
(Average)

QM
(average)
QM Compliant
Compliant (average)

QMCompliant
Compliant
QM

Non-QM
Compliant
Non-QM
Compliant

16%

16%
84%

84%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 27

Regulatory Impact
Chart 24
What do you expect will be the overall impact of the
Ability-to-Repay/QM
rules
onoverall
your lending
2014?
What do you expect will
be the
impact ofinthe
Ability-to-Repay/QM rules on your lending in 2014?

Bank will restrict lending to QM segments

33%

Bank will originate primarily QM loans, and


non-QM loans will be restricted to targeted
markets only

29%

Bank will make no changes from


current/historical underwriting practices,
including those loans now classified as non-QM
Bank will cease offering mortgage loans

36%

2%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 28

Regulatory Impact
Chart 25
If you plan to originate non-QM loans, will you:
If you plan to originate non-QM loans, will you:
Hold as portfolio investments
Sell to secondary market investors

95%

5%

Sell directly to other investors

1%

All the above

2%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 29

Regulatory Impact
Chart 26
What do you expect will be the impact of the
Ability-to-Repay/QM
rules
on credit
What do you expect will be
the impact
of theavailability
Ability-toin
the
market
generally?
Repay/QM rules on credit availability in the market
generally?

There will be a measurable reduction in credit


availability across all mortgage lending
segments.

41%

There will be a measurable reduction in credit


availability in the non-QM lending segments
only.
There will be no measurable impact on
mortgage lending levels, regardless of QM or
non-QM classification.

40%

20%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 30

Regulatory Impact
Chart 27
What
expect
will
beoverall
the overall
of the
What
dodo
youyou
expect
will be
the
impact impact
of the Ability-toAbility-to-Repay/QM
on credit
availability?
Repay/QM rulesrules
on credit
availability?
Severe
10%

Negligible
24%

Moderate
66%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 31

Regulatory Impact
Have the new Dodd-FrankChart
mortgage
regulations caused
28
Havebank
the new
Dodd-Frank its
mortgage
regulations
caused your
your
to reconsider
commitment
to mortgage
bank to reconsider its commitment
lending? to mortgage lending?

Yes
38%
No
62%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 32

Regulatory Impact
Has FEMA remapping Chart
or any
29 other issue related to
Has Flood
FEMA remapping
or any
other issue
relatedaffected
to
National
Insurance
Program
pricing
National Flood Insurance Program pricing affected
affordability
for
your
market?
affordability
forloans
loans ininyour
market?

No
53%

Yes
47%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 33

Automated Underwriting, Systems,


Imaging and Quality Control
Chart 30
Which of the following automated 14 family mortgage
loan underwriting systems do you use?
Which of the following automated 1-4 family mortgage
loan underwriting systems do you use?
Other
6%
None
17%
Loan Prospector
16%

Both Desktop
Underwriter and
Loan Prospector
34%

Desktop
Underwriter
27%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 34

Automated Underwriting, Systems,


Imaging and Quality Control
Do you scan/image loan
Chart 31
documentation
for
Do you scan/image loan documentation for investor delivery?
investor delivery?
No
38%
Yes
62%

If not currently
imaging, is it a
If not currently imaging, is it a priority in 2014?
priority in 2014?

No
56%

Yes
44%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 35

Automated Underwriting, Systems,


Imaging and Quality Control
Chart 32

Do you
outsource
your
quality
control
Do you
outsource
your
quality
controlfunction
functionor
perform
it in-house?
or perform
it in-house?

Outsource
40.5%
In-house
59.5%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 36

Commercial Real Estate


Chart 33
Percentage of total capital represented by Commercial Real
EstatePercentage
(CRE) loans
forcapital
construction,
development
of total
representedland
by Commercial
Real and
other
owner occupied
properties)
Estateland
(CRE)(excluding
loans for construction,
land development
and
other land (excluding owner occupied properties)
2013
100% and Over
50 to 99%
26 to 49%

2012

7%
6%
8%

13%
18%
15%
56%
55%

1 to 25%
0%

11%
13%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 37

Commercial Real Estate


Chart 34
Percentage of total capital represented by CRE loans secured
by multifamily
nonfarm
nonresidential
properties
and
Percentageand
of total
capital represented
by CRE
loans secured
loans by
formultifamily
construction,
land development,
other and
land
and nonfarm
nonresidentialand
properties
(excluding
ownerland
occupied
properties)
loans
for construction,
development,
and other land
(excluding owner occupied properties)
2013
300% and Over
200 to 299%

2%
3%
7%
10%
16%

100 to 199%
1 to 99%
0%

2012

23%
58%

68%

7%
6%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 38

Commercial Real Estate


Chart 35
CRE Loan Delinquency
2013
30 DaysCRE
or Loan
MoreDelinquency,
Delinquent,
2013
CRE loans secured by non-farm,
nonresidential properties

3.32

CRE loans secured by multifamily (5 or more)


residential properties

1.84

ADC Lending (including 1-4 family residential


construction loans)

1.82

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 39

Commercial Real Estate


How does demand for
Chart 36
CRE
loans
with
How does demandcompare
for CRE loans
compare
demand
a year
with
demand
a yearago?
ago?

About
the
same
51%

Higher
26%

Lower
23%

Challenges
in Making
BiggestBiggest
Challenges
in Making
CRE Loans?
CRE Loans?
Low demand for credit

53%

Fewer credit-worthy
projects
Inability to obtain funding

59%
2%

Hard caps on CRE imposed


by the regulators

10%

Other supervisory
requirements

12%

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 40

Mortgage Market Outlook Concerns


Chart 37
Looking Forward Primary Concerns Regarding the
Residential Mortgage Market in 2014
Five Most Frequent Concerns
Cost of compliance
Regulatory burden
Continuing impact of Dodd-Frank
Lack of loan volume/demand
QM/ATR impact

21st Annual ABA Real Estate Lending Survey Report

| 41

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