Sentient Trader - Current Cyclic Model

Current Cyclic Model XAUUSD60.csv(hourly) as of 18/9/2015

80d

66.5d

1.0w

-2.5

40d

33.3d

1.0w

-2.4

20d

13.4d

1.0w

-21.3

10d

6.0d

1.0w

-29.4

5d

3.7d

3.4d

-14.2

2d

2.0d

1.3d

-10.8

1d

23.4h

13h

-13.4

5h

4.6h

1h

-8.0

Price is currently in the FOURTH 4 hour cycle, of the SECOND 23 hour cycle, of the SECOND 2 day cycle, of
the SECOND 3 day cycle, of the FIRST 6 day cycle, of the FIRST 13 day cycle, of the FIRST 33 day cycle, of
the 66 day cycle.
Formal Phasing Analysis (normal analysis: synchronised troughs) reveals that the dominant cycle has a
wavelength of 33.3d, or 798 bars. This is assumed to be the 40d nominal wave, which implies that all waves
will be (46%) longer than nominal.This cycle is RISING fast. The underlying trend to this cycle is currently
slightly UP. Recent fulfilled projections confirm the trend is slightly UP, but indicate it is accelerating
(speeding up). The future FLD indicates that this cycle will influence prices very little because of a narrow
FLD range of 9.2
The sub-dominant cycle (next wave down from the dominant cycle) has a wavelength of 13.4d, or 321 bars.
This is assumed to be the 20d nominal wave. This cycle is just beginning to FALL. This is probably the FIRST
of 2 sub-waves. The underlying trend to this cycle is currently strongly UP. Recent fulfilled projections
however would seem to indicate that the underlying trend is only SLIGHTLY UP, but accelerating (speeding
up). The future FLD indicates that this cycle will influence prices very little because of a narrow FLD range of
7.7
The pre-dominant cycle (next wave up from the dominant cycle) has a wavelength of 66.5d, or 1597 bars.
This is assumed to be the 80d nominal wave. This cycle is beginning to RISE, and is accelerating. The
underlying trend to this cycle is currently slightly UP. Recent fulfilled projections however indicate that the
underlying trend is FLAT, probably turning UP. The future FLD indicates that this cycle will influence prices
very little because of a narrow FLD range of 5.1
L is currently UP (strength: 1)
The 33.3d CYCLE component of L is currently DOWN (strength: 1)
The 13.4d CYCLE component of L is currently FLAT, likely TURNING DOWN.
The 6.0d CYCLE component of L is currently DOWN (strength: 1), and accelerating.
The 3.7d CYCLE component of L is currently DOWN (strength: 1), but decelerating.
The 2.0d CYCLE component of L is currently DOWN (strength: 1), but decelerating.
The 23.4h CYCLE component of L is currently DOWN (strength: 1), but decelerating.
The 4.6h CYCLE component of L is currently FLAT
There is no cycle which provides an average potential of at least 20% per half-cycle, and so it is not
recommended that you trade this stock unless you are trading on a leveraged basis, in which case you
should change the Trading Settings by using the Tools|Trade Settings|Edit menu.
The dominant cycle is the ideal trading cycle, with an average potential of 7.7% per half-cycle.
As you have chosen a shorter cycle than this to trade, Sentient Trader would recommend that you change
the trading cycle, or change the leverage in the Trading Settings by using the Tools|Trade Settings|Edit
menu. To allow the trading cycle to be changed automatically in circumstances like this, change the "Allow
continued on next page ...

Sentient Trader - Current Cyclic Model

Current Cyclic Model XAUUSD60.csv(hourly) as of 18/9/2015 (continued)

Sentient Trader to adjust trading cycle" option

CURRENT FLD PATTERN PROJECTION:
Price has fallen over the past 1 bars (last close 1138.72) in a generally RANGE-BOUND price movement,
with the FLD pattern indicating an impending DOWNWARD move, because: It is possible that the first
sequence of the FLD pattern has already been fulfilled, by the high of 1139.74 on 18/9/2015 10:00:00 PM
which would indicate that the second, DOWNWARD sequence of the pattern is now in progress.
The first FLD pattern sequence (ref #0) projects a price movement UP to a target of 1141.56 by about
19/9/2015 2:00:00 AM.
The second FLD pattern sequence (ref #1) projects a price movement DOWN to a target of 1130.04 by about
19/9/2015 3:00:00 AM.
Having reviewed the entire projection sequence Sentient Trader is unable to find a move suitable for trading
at the moment, and so no trades have been set up.
OUTSTANDING FLD PROJECTIONS:
66.5d Normal FLD projection created on 30/9/2015 4:00:00 AM projecting a price fall of 67.7963 to
1043.3810 by 17/11/2015 4:00:00 AM. This is still a valid projection target.
33.3d: no projection
13.4d Mid-Channel Pause FLD projection created on 14/9/2015 5:00:00 AM projecting a price rise of 10.2987
to 1119.1870 by 17/9/2015 10:00:00 PM. This projection target was reached and exceeded on 16/9/2015
5:00:00 PM.
6.0d Normal FLD projection created on 18/9/2015 6:00:00 AM projecting a price rise of 14.6478 to 1127.8860
by 24/9/2015 8:00:00 PM. This projection target was reached and exceeded on 18/9/2015 6:00:00 AM.
3.7d Refined FLD projection created on 17/9/2015 9:00:00 AM projecting a price rise of 19.2953 to
1139.9330 by 18/9/2015 8:00:00 AM. This projection target was reached and exceeded on 18/9/2015 3:00:00
PM. Normal FLD projection created on 16/9/2015 10:00:00 AM projecting a price rise of 5.4702 to 1113.3600
by 18/9/2015 12:00:00 AM. This projection target was reached and exceeded on 16/9/2015 3:00:00 PM.
2.0d: no projection
23.4h Refined FLD projection created on 18/9/2015 12:00:00 PM projecting a price rise of 6.4652 to
1140.3900 by 18/9/2015 4:00:00 PM. This projection target was reached and exceeded on 18/9/2015 3:00:00
PM. Normal FLD projection created on 18/9/2015 4:00:00 AM projecting a price rise of 10.1057 to 1135.4610
by 19/9/2015 1:00:00 AM. This projection target was reached and exceeded on 18/9/2015 12:00:00 PM.
4.6h Refined FLD projection created on 18/9/2015 7:00:00 PM projecting a price rise of 1.7047 to 1139.2590
by 18/9/2015 8:00:00 PM. This projection target was reached and exceeded on 18/9/2015 10:00:00 PM.
CURRENT FLD PATTERN PROJECTION:
Price has fallen over the past 1 bars (last close 1138.72) in a generally RANGE-BOUND price movement,
with the FLD pattern indicating an impending DOWNWARD move, because: It is possible that the first
sequence of the FLD pattern has already been fulfilled, by the high of 1139.74 on 18/9/2015 10:00:00 PM
which would indicate that the second, DOWNWARD sequence of the pattern is now in progress.
The first FLD pattern sequence (ref #0) projects a price movement UP to a target of 1141.56 by about
19/9/2015 2:00:00 AM.
The second FLD pattern sequence (ref #1) projects a price movement DOWN to a target of 1130.04 by about
19/9/2015 3:00:00 AM.
Sequence #1 (the 23 hour cycle) is most probably already fulfilled (at bar 3392 on 18/9/2015 10:00:00 PM at
1139.74).
Sequence #2 (the 23 hour cycle) seemed to offer a possible trading opportunity as it suggested a short trade,
however the TARGET BAR for this cyclic move has already passed, and so it is unlikely that this target will
be achieved.
No trade will be made.
Having reviewed the entire projection sequence Sentient Trader is unable to find a move suitable for trading
at the moment, and so no trades have been set up.
Having reviewed the entire projection sequence Sentient Trader is unable to find a move suitable for trading
at the moment, and so no trades have been set up.