Home Away

Midfield Solid (high) 27 Inadequade (high) 19

R defence Passable (high) 23 Passable (high) 23 Average result
C defence Passable (high) 23 Passable (high) 23 3 1 0
L defence Passable (high) 23 Passable (high) 23 3.47 1.33 1
R attack Passable (high) 23 Passable (high) 23 2
C attack Passable (high) 23 Passable (high) 23 3
L attack Passable (high) 23 Passable (high) 23 >1 goal 62.6 4
hatstats 219 195 1 78.7 5
x 11.1 6+
Tactic Normal 1 Normal 1 2 10.3 home
Ability Excellent 8 Excellent 8 >1 goal 4.1

Conf. Bonus 0 0 90
Result
SP eff. % 30 30 80

70

60

50

Special Events Ignore 1.00 40

30

Head spec. 0 0 20

Other SE % 20 20 10

1 x 2
 Home Away
Exact score % Chances
0 1 2 3 4 5 6+ away Possession: 58.89 41.11
0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 Chances 7.23 2.77
1.0 2.2 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.5 Pressing 7.23 2.77
2.9 5.9 5.3 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 17.9 CA 7.23 2.77
5.2 9.2 7.1 3.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 25.4 Final 7.23 2.77
6.0 9.2 5.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 23.6 CA chances 0 0
4.8 6.2 3.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 15.1
4.0 3.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.2 Distribution
24.0 36.8 25.4 10.4 2.8 0.5 0.1 Central att. 0.40 0.40
Wing att. 0.50 0.50
Set pieces 0.10 0.10
Chances for home team

Accuracy
Right 0.50 0.50
Center 0.50 0.50
Left 0.50 0.50
Set Pieces 0.30 0.30
total 0.480 0.480

CA
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Probability: 0 0
Convertions: 0 0

Pressing
Probability: 0 0
reduced: 0 0

SE
Headers: 0 0
Other SE: 0 0
Total: 0 0

Chance distribution
Home Away Prob.
3 7 0.00652
4 6 0.02581
5 5 0.08094
6 4 0.17629
7 3 0.2633
8 2 0.25807
9 1 0.14989
10 0 0.03918
11 0 0
12 -1 0
Preferences

C onv ertion rate %

10
General

Chances
9
Interpret values Average2.00 8
100

90
7
80
Tactic disadvantage No 1.00 6 70

5 60
Game Engine 4 50
Variance 3 40
Possession: 15 2 30

20
1
Convertion: 15 10
0
Att. bonus: 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
0
Possession % 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Attack/defense rat

%
Distribution: center: 40
wings: 50
set pieces: 10
100

Special tactics
Weak Solid Brilliant Mythical
min max
AIM: 20 40 49.4 50.6 52.2 54.6
AOW: 16 32 59.4 60.6 62.2 64.6

adjustment
CA: 100 1.4 1.9 2.5 3.2
Pressing: 100 1.4 1.9 2.5 3.2
Creative: 50
 Possession Chances Convertion
0 0.004291 0.042906033
5 0.013499 0.134989803
0
10 0.038304 0.383038057
0
15 0.098153 0.981532863
0
20 0.227501 2.275013195
0
25 0.477904 4.779035227
0

0
30 0.912112 9.121121973
0
35 1.586553 15.86552539
0
40 2.524925 25.24925375
0 42 2.969014 29.69014286
0 44 3.445783 34.45782584
0 46 3.948629 39.48629105
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Attack/defense 70
ratio 80 90 100
48 4.469649 44.69648834
50 5 50
52 5.530351 55.30351166
54 6.051371 60.51370895
56 6.554217 65.54217416
58 7.030986 70.30985714
60 7.475075 74.75074625
65 8.413447 84.13447461
70 9.087888 90.87887803
75 9.522096 95.22096477
80 9.772499 97.72498681
85 9.901847 99.01846714
90 9.961696 99.61696194
100 9.995709 99.95709397
 Matchpredictor for hattrick.org v. 1.41
Made by GM-Sule

Password for unlocking: 17897

Latest version can be downloaded at:

http://www.esnips.com/web/matchp

Change log

V. 1.41
- Added the 'tactic disadvantage' option
- Added the creative tactic option
- Made slight change to the formula of CA and pressing, due to more
data
- Corrected AOW bug, which moved too few chances to the wings

V. 1.40:
- Added 'preferences' tab
- Aorrected minor errors

V. 1.30
- Added other SE's, and incorporated them in the 1x2 result
- Added comments to the main sheet
- Added the 'exact score' box
- Changed the overall look of the sheet
- Added 6 new ratings: divine+1 -> divine +6
- Removed calculations from 7-10 goals, which were unnecessary
- Fixed minor bugs

V. 1.21
- Added 'about' sheet
- Corrected pressing bug in the average result, which occured when
both teams were playing pressing.

V. 1.20
- Added more CA-matches to the study, no changes were made to
the formula
- Changed the formula for accuracy, so it fitted to the study on
global made by LA-GetAssista.

V. 1.10
- Added colors to the boxes on the main page, and changed the
layout slightly
- Added the graphical representation of 1x2 and chances for home
team
- Changed the formulas for CA and pressing slightly

V. 1.0
- Increased the number of chances being calculated from 2 to 10
and introduced the binormial distribution of the chances.
- Added dropdown menus with skill levels instead of numbers.
- Added the effect of CA and pressing to the 1x2 result
- Corrected some minor errors.
- Added colors to the boxes on the main page, and changed the
layout slightly
- Added the graphical representation of 1x2 and chances for home
team
- Changed the formulas for CA and pressing slightly

V. 1.0
- Increased the number of chances being calculated from 2 to 10
and introduced the binormial distribution of the chances.
- Added dropdown menus with skill levels instead of numbers.
- Added the effect of CA and pressing to the 1x2 result
- Corrected some minor errors.

<V. 1.0
Preliminary versions only available to SFTM members.