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World Tourism Barom Jan2015 - (UNWTO)
World Tourism Barom Jan2015 - (UNWTO)
Contents
Inbound tourism: short-term trends 2014
Regional results
International tourism receipts
International tourism expenditure
UNWTOs Panel of Tourism Experts
UNWTO outlook for 2015
Air transport results 2014 ICAO and IATA
Air transport booking trends ForwardKeys
Travel Insurance Trends Mapfre
The economic environment
Statistical Annex
7
9
16
17
18
21
23
25
28
30
Annex 1 to Annex 35
1,138
1,087
1,038
997
949
910927891
854
809
764
674675696692
625
602
561587
527
500
400
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
(million)
Over the past years, tourism has proven to be a surprisingly strong and resilient economic activity and a fundamental
contributor to the economic recovery by generating billions of
dollars in exports and creating millions of jobs. This has been true
for destinations all around the world, but particularly for Europe,
as the region struggles to consolidate its way out of one of the
worst economic periods in its history, said UNWTO SecretaryGeneral, Taleb Rifai.
By region, the strongest growth in 2014 was registered in
the Americas (+7%) and Asia and the Pacific (+5%), while Europe
(+4%), the Middle East (+4%) and Africa (+2%) grew at a slightly
more modest pace. By subregion, North America (+8%) recorded
the best results, followed by North-East Asia, South Asia,
Southern and Mediterranean Europe, Northern Europe and the
Caribbean, all increasing by 7%.
www.unwto.org
4
2
4.1
98
71
72
20
17
14
20
11
20
08
20
05
20
20
02
99
19
19
9
93
19
1.9
-0.6
-4
-3.9
96
/9
97 5
/96
98
/9
99 7
/9
00 8
/99
01
/0
02 0
/01
03
/0
04 2
/0
05 3
/0
06 4
/05
07
/0
08 6
/0
09 7
/0
10 8
/0
11 9
/
12 10
* /1
13 1
*/
Fo
rec 14* 12
as /13
t2
01
5
-6
Long-term average
-3.9%
-5.0%
-1.6%
-4.7%
3.4%
-5.4%
6.5%
3.1%
13.1%
6.5%
8.9%
13.1%
4.7 4.7
World
Europe
Asia and the Pacific
Americas
Africa
Middle East
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
87
3.1
5.1
0.2
-2
Evaluation (after)
25
19
3.8
Prospects (before)
Worse 50
20
6.5
75
7.8
8 6.4
6
4.5
Equal 100
40
(% change)
10.4
10
125
19
90
12
Better 150
119
150
144
144
140
140
136
137
143
132
175
131
140
139
127
122
121
125
129
138
136
133
2011
2012
real, change
full year
5.1%
4.1%
6.6%
3.7%
6.5%
6.9%
3.5%
4.4%
-0.1%
5.2%
-3.5%
-5.6%
2013
2014*
4.7%
5.0%
6.8%
3.5%
4.8%
-3.4%
Jan.-Dec.
4.7%
3.9%
5.4%
7.4%
2.3%
4.4%
projection 2014*
(issued January)
between
+4% and +4.5%
+3% and +4%
+5% and +6%
+3% and +4%
+4% and +6%
+0% and +5%
average
a year
2005-2013
3.8%
2.8%
6.2%
2.9%
5.8%
4.6%
projection 2015*
(issued January)
between
+3% and +4%
+3% and +4%
+4% and +5%
+4% and +5%
+3% and +5%
+2% and +5%
Share
(%)
100
4.1
2014*
2013
(%)
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
4.7
4.7
3.9
5.8
4.3
4.9
3.9
5.8
4.1
4.6
6.3
4.3
4.1
4.1
World
674
809
Advanced economies
419
463
510
555
582
615
54.0
3.8
4.8
5.6
4.8
7.6
4.9
5.4
4.9
7.1
4.9
3.9
4.7
3.8
5.3
5.6
Emerging economies
255
346
439
482
505
523
46.0
4.4
4.7
3.6
3.1
3.6
3.5
4.3
2.6
4.3
3.4
5.2
7.8
5.0
2.5
2.6
4.9
By UNWTO regions:
Europe
Northern Europe
51.7
3.7
5.0
3.9
2.9
5.1
3.7
3.6
3.3
4.5
2.9
3.1
5.7
4.2
4.7
72.6
6.4
1.4
4.1
6.9
8.9
8.6
5.9
4.5
7.2
3.8
5.4
4.6
3.4
2.5
4.7
6.0
15.4
3.6
2.7
2.2
-0.5
4.9
1.3
2.8
1.7
3.8
2.0
2.2
2.8
1.3
3.2
3.7
44.8
Western Europe
Central/Eastern Eu.
59.8
69.3
Southern/Mediter. Eu.
62.7
95.1
65.3
68.0
11.0
8.5
7.6
-0.4
0.4 -1.9
0.4
0.1
0.8
11.8
7.4
6.5
2.8
18.9
1.9
5.6
7.0
5.1
6.4
7.5
5.0
5.8
5.4
5.4
5.0
7.2
7.5
7.7
6.6
- of which EU-28
40.1
2.8
4.1
5.3
3.3
6.6
5.0
5.5
5.5
6.4
4.9
4.7
3.6
3.0
4.6
5.4
23.1
6.9
6.8
5.3
5.0
5.6
4.0
6.9
4.1
7.3
5.6
7.9
8.3
6.1
7.6
5.5
6.0
3.7
1.6
4.4
4.1
14.8 12.1
11.7
7.2
4.1
4.3
5.0
North-East Asia
58.3
3.4
7.1
5.2
8.6
6.4
9.0
6.2
8.8
8.8
9.4
South-East Asia
36.3
49.0
70.5
84.7
94.3
96.6
8.5
8.7 11.3
2.4
4.5
0.6 -0.4
4.7
0.6
5.3
1.7
6.7
9.6
10.9
11.4
11.9
12.5
13.2
1.2
4.2
5.9
4.9
8.3
6.0
4.5
6.5
6.7
5.2
6.1
8.1
12.0
14.4
16.0
17.1
1.5
15.9
Oceania
South Asia
Americas
11.9
4.6
4.7
4.9
5.9 11.4
7.1
5.9
7.8
9.5
5.4
6.7
6.9
2.9
6.5
10.6 13.2
15.4
7.7
4.4
7.4
5.3 11.8
6.6
6.3
4.2
8.9
5.7
4.6
3.1
4.0
4.5
3.5
1.9
North America
91.5
89.9
10.5
4.1
3.9
8.2
6.9 13.3
6.4
6.3
3.6
9.7
6.8
2.7
4.4
2.9
4.3
3.8
Caribbean
17.1
18.8
19.5
20.6
21.1
22.5
2.0
3.1
2.8
6.6
3.7
7.5
7.5
8.4
8.1 11.9
8.3
6.5
1.0
-0.2
1.8
6.5
Central America
4.3
6.3
7.9
8.9
9.1
9.6
0.8
7.3
2.6
5.7
3.8
9.3
4.4
5.9
5.5
3.5
3.4
9.5
3.2
0.6
2.2
3.9
South America
15.3
18.3
23.5
26.7
27.4
29.0
2.5
5.8
2.7
5.7
2.4
9.6
7.4
4.9
4.4
5.5
1.0
7.5
0.8
0.0
4.2
6.0
5.7
Africa
26.2
34.8
49.7
52.2
54.7
56.0
4.9
5.2
4.8
2.3
6.3
2.4
0.1
0.1
3.1
2.5
5.7
North Africa
10.2
13.9
18.8
18.5
19.6
19.7
1.7
8.7
6.0
0.5
8.5
2.1
-6.0
-8.8
0.1
0.7
7.1
4.8
Subsaharan Africa
16.0
20.9
30.9
33.7
35.1
36.3
3.2
3.4
4.2
3.3
5.5
2.6
2.5
0.8
2.5
3.8
4.4
3.7
4.6
6.2
22.4
33.7
54.7
49.8
48.2
50.3
4.4
-5.6
-3.4
4.4
0.3
0.0 13.2
6.0
3.2
14.3
Middle East
2.5
0.6
Classification based on the International Monetary Fund (IMF), see the Statistical Annex of the IMF World Economic Outlook of April 2012, page 177,
at www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2012/01.
See box at page 'Annex-1' for explanation of abbreviations and signs used
(million)
2011
120
(% change)
15
2010
130
10
2012
110
2013
100
2014*
5
0
90
-5
80
70
-10
60
-15
50
10
11
12
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014*
(% change)
7
6.8
5
5.0
4.7 5
4.8
3.5
2
2
0
13/12
-2
14*/13
-4
World
Europe
Asia and
the Pacific
Americas
Africa
-3.4
Middle East
14
13/12
11
11
12
10
8
6
4.7 4.7
7
5
4
3
14*/13
4
3
0
0
-2
-4
-3
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