Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Cambridge Textbook
Cambridge Textbook
HH
HT
TH
TT
Tree diagrams
6.1
Draw a tree diagram with each event as a new branch of the tree.
Always draw large clear tree diagrams and list the sample space on the right-hand side.
203
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204
Probability is the chance of something happening. The event is denoted by the letter E and
P(E) refers to the probability of event E. The probability of the event is calculated by dividing
the number of favourable outcomes by the total number of outcomes.
Probability
Probability (Event) =
Example 1
or
P( E ) =
n( E )
n( S )
3
4
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Die
1
Coin
Sample space
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
H6
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
n( T2 )
n( s )
1
=
12
P(T2) =
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205
Exercise 6A
1
1st
2nd
1st
2nd
3rd
1
2
3
4
11
12
13
14
15
16
5
6
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206
Tens
1
A menu has two entrees (E1 and E2) and four mains (M1, M2,
M3 and M4).
a Construct a tree diagram to find the sample space.
b What is the probability of choosing E1 for the entree?
c What is the probability of choosing M4 for the mains?
d What is the probability of choosing E1 and M3?
e What is the probability of choosing E2 and either M1 or M2?
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Units
2
3
1
3
1
2
207
Development
8
William tosses a coin and spins a spinner that has white, pink and red sections. Use a tree
diagram to find the sample space.
One cup contains two discs labelled A and B. A second cup contains two discs labelled C
and D. A third cup contains two discs labelled E and F. A disc is chosen from each cup at
random.
a Use a tree diagram to find the sample space.
b What is the probability of choosing A from the first cup?
c Find the probability of choosing a C or D from the second cup?
d What is the probability of choosing ABC?
e What is the probability of choosing ACE or BDF?
f
What is the probability of choosing a disc labelled with a vowel?
10
A two-digit number is formed using the digits 1, 3 and 5. The same number can be used
twice. The first digit chosen is the tens digit and the second digit chosen is the units
digit. Use a tree diagram to find the sample space.
11
Three blue balls (B1, B2, B3) and one red ball (R1) are placed in a bag. Two balls are
selected at random with replacement.
a Use a tree diagram to determine the number of elements in the sample space.
b What is the probability of selecting B1 twice?
c What is the probability of selecting two blue balls?
d What is the probability of selecting two red balls?
e What is the probability of selecting B1 and R1?
12
Five cards (ace, king, queen, jack and ten) are placed face down on a table. One card is
selected at random and the result recorded. This card is not returned to the table. A
second card is then selected at random.
a Use a tree diagram to determine the number of elements in the sample space.
b What is the probability of selecting an ace followed by a jack?
c What is the probability of choosing one king?
13
There are four candidates for the positions of principal and deputy principal. The four
candidates are Amy, Barry, Chelsea and David. Construct a tree diagram with choosing
the principal as the first event and choosing the deputy principal as the second event. Use
a tree diagram to determine the sample space.
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208
A coin is tossed and a die is rolled. How many different outcomes are possible?
Solution
1
2
3
Example 3
The first page of the Mathematics paper has three multiple-choice questions, each with
four answers (A, B, C and D). How many different ways are there of answering these three
questions?
Solution
1
2
3
4
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Example 4
209
Anthony, Bailey, Chloe and Donald are required to stand in a row for selection to a committee.
a How many different arrangements are possible?
b List all the possible outcomes.
B
A
C
D
A
C
D
A
B
D
A
B
C
C
D
B
D
B
C
C
D
A
D
A
C
B
D
A
D
A
B
C
B
A
C
A
B
D
C
D
B
C
B
D
C
D
A
C
A
D
B
D
A
B
A
B
C
C
A
B
A
Solution
1
2
3
4
5
6
Number of arrangements
= 4 3 2 1
= 24
Possible outcomes
ABCD, ABDC, ACBD,
ACDB, ADBC, ADCB
BACD, BADC, BCAD,
BCDA, BDAC, BDCA
CABD, CADB, CBAD,
CBDA, CDAB, CDBA
DABC, DACB, DBAC,
DBCA, DCAB, DCBA
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210
Exercise 6B
1
Three picture cards (king, queen and jack) are placed in a row on the table.
a How many different arrangements are possible?
b List all the possible arrangements.
Nathan places four different coloured pegs in a row on the table. The coloured pegs are
blue, green, red and yellow.
a How many different arrangements are possible?
b List all the possible arrangements.
Max, Oliver, Noah and Peter are nominated for chairman and assistant chairman. What
are all the possible combinations?
In how many ways can Kim, Molly, Nicky, Olivia and Paige stand in a queue?
There are five parcels labelled D, E, F, G and H under the Christmas tree.
a A parcel is chosen at random and removed from the tree. A second parcel is then
chosen and removed from the tree. How many different choices are possible?
b A third parcel is then chosen and removed from the tree. How many different choices
for the three parcels are possible?
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211
10
11
The letters from the word ASHBURY are being used to form other words.
a How many two-letter arrangements are possible?
b How many three-letter arrangements are possible?
c How many four-letter arrangements are possible?
12
13
14
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212
Development
15
Four cards each with a different suit (diamond, heart, spade or club) are placed face down
on the table. A card is selected from the table. Its suit is noted and the card replaced on
the table. The cards are shuffled. A second card is then chosen and its suit noted.
a How many possible outcomes are there?
b What is the probability that both cards are diamonds?
c What is the probability that both cards are not a diamond?
d What is the probability that the first card is a club and the second card a heart?
e What is the probability that both cards are black?
f
What is the probability that both cards are not black?
16
17
Motor vehicle number plates consist of three letters followed by three digits.
a How many different number plates are possible?
b What is the probability that the number plate will be BON007?
c What is the probability of the number plate starting with BON?
d What is the probability of the number plate ending with 007?
18
A menu has four entrees (E1, E2, E3, E4), five mains (M1, M2, M3, M4, M5) and three
desserts (D1, D2, D3).
a How many different meals are possible?
b How many different meals have M1 as the main meal?
c What is the probability of choosing E1, M1 and D1?
d What is the probability of choosing E2 as the entree and D2 as the dessert?
e The restaurant has decided to remove one of the entrees from the menu. How many
different meals are now possible?
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213
Example 5
Solution
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ordered selection.
Number of selections
= 5 4 or 5 P2
= 20
a
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214
Example 6
The first, second and third speakers in a debate are selected randomly from a group of seven
students.
a How many different selections are possible?
b Jack was in the group of seven students and selected as the first speaker. How many
different selections are possible for the second and third speakers?
c Chloe was in the group of seven students and selected as the second speaker. How many
different selections are possible for the third speaker?
d What is the probability of Jack, Chloe and Kerry being selected from the group of seven
students as the first, second and third speakers?
Solution
1
2
3
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Ordered selection.
Number of selections
a
= 7 6 5 or 7 P3
= 210
Ordered selection.
Number of selections
= 6 5 or 6 P2
= 30
Ordered selection.
Number of selections
c
= 5 or 5 P1
d One selection out of 210
possible selections.
n(JCK)
1
P(JCK) =
=
n( s )
210
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215
Exercise 6C
1
Ava has eight balls, each labelled with a different number from 1 to 8. How many
arrangements are possible if selecting (without replacement):
a 2 balls?
b
3 balls?
c 4 balls?
d 5 balls?
e
6 balls?
f 7 balls?
Ethan has 26 cards, each labelled with a different letter from A to Z. How many
arrangements are possible if selecting (without replacement):
a 2 cards?
b
3 cards?
c 4 cards?
A school is selecting a captain and a vice captain. The nominations are Dylan, Ella,
Holly, Patrick, Samuel and Tahlia. The captain is selected first, then the vice captain.
How many different selections are possible?
The local community has nominated the best five gardens. There is a first prize and a
second prize awarded to these gardens. How many different selections are possible?
There are 40 discs in a container each labelled with a number from 1 to 40. Two discs are
removed and placed in order. How many different selections are possible?
How many arrangements of three letters can be made from the letters P, Q, R, S, T, U and
V? The arrangement PQR is different from PRQ.
The letters of the word GRAFTON are written on cards and turned face down. Cards are
selected at random.
a How many two-letter arrangements can be made from this word?
b How many three-letter arrangements can be made from this word?
c How many four-letter arrangements can be made from this word?
There are 15 horses running in a race. Assume there are no dead heats.
a How many different arrangements are possible for first and second place?
b How many different arrangements are possible for first, second and third place?
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Development
10
Joshuas class has 19 students. The principal needs to select four students from this class
to represent the school at four different conferences. The students are selected at random
with the first student chosen to attend conference A, the second student chosen to attend
conference B, etc.
a How many different selections are possible?
b What is the probability that Joshua, Emily, Mia and Thomas will be selected to
attend the conferences A, B, C and D respectively?
c There are two new enrolments to Joshuas class. How many selections are possible if
the new students are included in the calculation?
d Joshua was selected to attend conference A. How many different selections are
possible for the other places, if the two new students are included?
11
12
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217
Selection is made from a group of items and the order is not important.
Example 7
4
5
6
7
Unordered selection.
OU is the same as UO.
Number of selections
a
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5 4
or 5C2
2 1
= 10
=
n( OU) 1
=
n( s )
10
218
Example 8
4
5
6
7
9
10
11
12
Unordered selection.
Number of selections
76
or 7C2
2 1
= 21
Unordered selection.
Number of selections
765 7
or C3
3 2 1
= 35
c One
selection out of 35
possible selections.
n(HPT) 1
=
P(HPT) =
n( s )
35
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219
Exercise 6D
1
Two teenagers are to be selected from a group of six teenagers to form a team. How
many different teams can be formed?
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Development
7
There are six cards, each labelled with a different number from 1 to 6. Two cards are to
be drawn at random without replacement.
a How many different selections are possible?
b What is the probability of drawing a 1 and a 2 from the six cards?
c A card with the number 7 is added to these six cards. How many selections are
possible if this new card is included in the calculation?
d Three cards are drawn at random without replacement from the seven cards. How
many different selections are possible?
Five different flavours of ice-cream are available: chocolate, strawberry, vanilla, caramel
and passionfruit.
a How many different double-cone
selections are possible if two different
flavours must be used?
b What is the probability of choosing
chocolate and vanilla?
c How many different triple-cone
selections are possible if three different
flavours must be used?
d What is the probability that the
chocolate scoop will be at the bottom
of a triple cone?
e What is the probability of choosing
chocolate, vanilla and strawberry?
f
How many different triple-cone
selections are possible if strawberry is
unavailable?
9 A
a
b
10
survey is to be conducted and three people are to be chosen from a group of twenty.
In how many different ways could the three be chosen?
If the group contains eight men and twelve women, how many groups containing
exactly one man are possible?
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Example 9
1
6
1
2
1
2
Head
5
6
1
6
Not 4
4
Tail
5
6
Not 4
Solution
1
2
3
4
5
6
1 1
2 6
1
=
12
P(Head and 4) =
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1 5
2 6
5
=
12
222
Example 10
Joshua has a 0.6 chance of winning a set of tennis against Harry. Find the probability of:
a
b
1st
2nd
0.6
0.4
W
0.6
0.4
0.6
0.4
3rd
0.6
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.6
0.4
Solution
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
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223
Exercise 6E
1
1
2
1
2
1
2
Head
Head
1
2
1
2
Tail
1
2
Tail
Head
Tail
Daniel buys 7 tickets in a raffle in which 100 tickets were sold. Two different tickets are
drawn for the first and second prizes.
a What is the probability Daniel wins first prize?
b What is the probability Daniel wins both prizes?
c What is the probability Daniel does not win either prize?
4
Each time he shoots an arrow, the probability that Andrew hits the target is . He shoots
9
two arrows, one after the other.
a What is the probability he hits the target with both arrows?
b What is the probability he misses the target with both arrows?
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4
In a particular group of students, the probability of a boy having blue eyes is
and
11
2
blond hair is . A boy is chosen at random from that group.
7
a What is the probability the boy is blue-eyed and has blond hair?
b What is the probability the boy is blue-eyed but does not have blond hair?
There are 70 girls and 80 boys in Year 11 and 60 girls and 60 boys in Year 12. A student
is chosen at random from each year.
a What is the probability of choosing a boy from Year 11?
b What is the probability of choosing a boy from Year 12?
c What is the probability that the students in both years will be boys?
A deck of cards has 8 clubs and 6 spades. A second deck has 3 clubs and 7 spades. One
card is selected at random from each deck. What is the probability of selecting two
clubs?
One bag contains 6 cards numbered 1, 2, 3,... 6, and a second bag contains 10 cards
lettered a, b, c,..., j. One card is drawn from each bag. Find the probability of drawing:
a the number 5 and the letter d
b an odd number and the letter c
c an even number and a vowel
d a number less than 5 and the
letter f.
10
In one bag there are 4 blue and 5 red balls and in a second bag there are 3 blue and 4 red
balls. One ball is drawn from each bag.
a What is the probability the balls drawn are both red?
b What is the probability the balls drawn are both blue?
c What is the probability of drawing a blue ball from the first bag and a red ball from
the second bag?
d What is the probability of drawing a red ball from the first bag and a blue ball from
the second bag?
11
An unbiased coin and a die are tossed. Find the probability of obtaining a:
a Tail on the coin and a 2 on the die.
b Head on the coin and an even number on the die.
c Tail on the coin and a number greater than 1 on the die.
d Head on the coin and a number divisible by 3 on the die.
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225
Development
12
Five men and seven women meet at a restaurant. However, some of the people need to
leave.
a One person is selected at random to leave the restaurant. What is the probability that
the person will be a female?
b Two people are selected at random to leave the restaurant. What is the probability
that the two people selected are male?
c Three people are selected at random to leave the restaurant. What is the probability
that the three people selected are female?
13
14
A jar contains 7 green and 5 yellow balls. Find the probability of drawing out balls
alternating in colour starting with a green ball (without replacement) if there are:
a
15
two draws
three draws
four draws.
Luke travels to Melbourne for the annual general meeting. He stays at one of three
motels. Motel D is his favourite and he stays there on 60% of his visits to Melbourne.
When he does not stay at Motel D, he is equally likely to stay at Motel E or F. Luke flips
a coin on the first morning of every visit to decide whether he has a walk before
breakfast. If the coin is heads he goes for a walk. If the coin is tails he stays in bed.
a What is the probability of staying at Motel E?
b List all the possible combinations of motel and whether he walks or stays in bed.
c What is the probability Luke stays at Motel D and goes for a walk?
d What is the probability Luke stays at Motel E and stays in bed?
e What is the probability Luke stays at Motel F and goes for a walk?
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226
To calculate the probability of one event or the second event on a tree diagram, add the
probabilities for each event. The probability of each event is obtained by multiplying the
probabilities along each successive branch.
Example 11
4
7
4
7
Pink
3
7
Green
3
7
4
7
3
7
Pink
Green
Pink
Green
Solution
1
2
5
6
3 3 9
=
7 7 49
b Event A or B two branches
(PG + GP)
P(GG) =
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Example 12
227
Bailey has three aces and two kings face down on the table.
a Draw a probability tree diagram for selecting two cards at
random.
b What is the probability of Bailey selecting an ace with the
first card and a king with the second card?
c What is the probability of Bailey selecting an ace with the
first or the second card, but not both?
Solution
1
2
3
4
7
8
9
10
11
12
2
4
3
5
Ace
2
5
King
2
4
3
4
1
4
Ace
King
Ace
King
5 4
6
3
=
=
20 10
P(AK) =
P(AK or KA) =
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228
Exercise 6F
1
1
2
1
2
1
2
Head
Head
1
2
1
2
Tail
1
2
Tail
Head
Tail
5
9
Blue
4
9
5
9
Red
4
9
Red
Blue
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229
Ryan participates in a dart competition. He throws two darts. The probability that he hits
the bullseye on any one throw is 19%.
a What is the probability that Ryan
misses the bullseye with his first
throw?
b What is the probability that Ryan
hits the bullseye once only?
c Calculate the probability that
Ryan hits the bullseye with both
throws.
A discount shop has 13 DVDs for sale. Of these DVDs, 4 are rated G, 7 are rated PG and
2 are rated M.
G
a Amy chooses two DVDs at random. The first DVD
4
is shown on a tree diagram. Complete the tree diagram
13
for second DVD.
7
13
b What is the probability of choosing two DVDs that are
PG
rated G?
c Find the probability that Amy chooses two DVDs with the
2
13
same rating.
M
Jacob has 10 pens in a desk drawer. There are 6 black and 4 blue pens.
Two pens are selected at random.
a Construct a tree diagram. Label the probability of each outcome.
b What is the probability of selecting a pair of pens that are different colours?
c What is the probability of selecting a pair of pens that are the same colour?
A one deck of cards has 7 clubs and 5 spades. A second deck has 4 clubs and 9 spades.
One card is selected at random from each deck. What is the probability of selecting two
cards with the same suit?
10
A container has 6 white and 5 yellow tennis balls. Two balls are selected at random. What
is the probability the two balls will be different colours?
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230
Development
11
12
A financial adviser predicts the sharemarket has a 0.6 chance of rising and a 0.4 chance
of falling in any year.
a Calculate the probability over the next two years that shares will:
i rise in both years
ii rise in the first year and fall in the second year
iii rise in at least one of the two years.
b
Calculate the probability over the next three years that shares will:
i fall in all three years
ii fall in at least two of the three years
iii fall in at least one of the three years.
13
A pile of cards contains hearts and spades only. These occur in the ratio of 2 to 5. If three
cards are chosen at random from the pile and each card is replaced before the next one is
chosen, find the probability that:
a exactly two are hearts
b at least one is a spade.
14
The probability of a boy being born in a community is 40%. Find the probability that in a
family of three children:
a all the children are boys
b all the children are girls
c there are two boys and a girl
d there are two girls and a boy.
15
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231
Two coins are tossed 120 times and the results recorded.
a What is the expected number of outcomes for two heads?
b What is the expected number of outcomes for a head and a tail?
Solution
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1
4
Expected outcomes
= P( E ) Number of trials
1
= 120
4
= 30
2 1
Calculate the probability for a head and a tail. b P(HT or TH) = =
4 2
Number of favourable outcomes is 2 (HT, TH).
Expected outcomes
The total number of outcomes is 4 (HH, HT,
= P( E ) Number of trials
TH, TT).
1
Write the formula for expected outcomes.
= 120
2
Substitute into the formula.
= 60
Evaluate.
Calculate the probability of two heads.
Number of favourable outcomes is 1 (HH).
The total number of outcomes is 4
(HH, HT, TH, TT).
Write the formula for expected outcomes.
Substitute into the formula.
Evaluate.
P(HH) =
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232
Exercise 6G
1
. How many red traffic lights
3
are expected on a trip that passes through 54 intersections?
Andrew and Caitlin are planning to have five children. A genetic counsellor has
calculated they have a 40% chance of having a child with green eyes. How many of
Andrew and Caitlins children are expected to have green eyes?
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Development
8
10
A bag contains 6 yellow discs and 5 red discs. Two discs are drawn in succession from
the bag. The first disc is not replaced before the second disc is drawn. This process is
repeated 352 times.
a How many of the first discs are expected to be yellow discs?
b How many of the first discs are expected to be red discs?
c How many double yellow discs are expected?
d How many double red discs are expected?
e How many are expected to have a first disc yellow and a second disc red?
f
How many are expected to have a first disc red and a second disc yellow?
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234
11
a
b
c
Cell C8 has a formula that multiplies cells B8 and B4. Enter this formula.
Fill down the contents of C8 to C11 using the formula in cell C8.
Change the number of trials from 230 to 800. Observe the change in C8:C11.
12
13
Two cards are selected at random from a normal playing pack with replacement. This
experiment is repeated 2704 times with the cards being replaced each time.
a What is the expected number of times the result would be two spades?
b What is the expected number of times the result would be two aces?
c What is the expected number of times the result would be two picture cards?
d What is the expected number of times the result would be two cards with a number
less than 9?
14
Two dice are tossed simultaneously onto a table. This event is repeated 144 times.
a On how many occasions would you expect the result to be a 6 then a 1?
b On how many occasions would you expect the result to be two 3s?
c On how many occasions would you expect the result to be two odd numbers?
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235
What is the expected number of car thefts in one day if there is a 30% chance of no car thefts,
a 50% chance of one car theft and a 20% chance of two car thefts?
Solution
1
2
3
Example 15
Expected value
= Sum[P(E ) outcome]
30
50
20
2 = 0.9
=
0 +
1 +
100
100 100
Find the financial expectation of a ticket in a raffle. The raffle has 300 tickets and there is one
prize worth $250.
Solution
1
2
3
Financial expectation
= Sum[P(E ) Financial outcome]
1
299
0 = $0.83
=
250 +
300
300
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236
Example 16
Roulette is a game played in a casino. The winning number in roulette is determined by the
position of a small ball spun on a roulette wheel. A player can bet on any of the numbers from
1 to 36 or a combination of these numbers, such as
1 to 18 or the even numbers. This is shown on the
roulette table opposite. When a zero is rolled the
casino wins.
What is the financial expectation for the following
games? Answer correct to the nearest cent.
a Zachary bets $20 on red. When a red number
is spun, he wins $20 otherwise he loses $20.
b Amy bets $20 on 112. When a number from
1 to 12 is spun she wins $40, otherwise she
loses $20.
c What conclusions can be made about the
above game?
Solution
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
20
=
20 +
financial outcome is positive for a win
37
37
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237
Exercise 6H
1
A landscape gardener mows 20 lawns per day on sunny days and 15 lawns per day on
cloudy days. The weather is sunny 65% and cloudy 35% of the time. How many lawns
can he expect to mow per day?
A car dealer gets daily complaints about his cars. The probabilities of receiving 0, 1, 2, 3
or 4 complaints are 0.1, 0.3, 0.4, 0.1 and 0.1 respectively. What is the expected number
of complaints per day?
An unbiased coin is tossed. What are the financial expectations of these games?
a A tail wins $10 and a head loses $10.
b A tail wins $10 and a head loses $5.
c A tail wins $5 and a head loses $10.
A fair die is thrown. What are the financial expectations of these games?
a A 6 wins $50 and not a 6 loses $25.
b An even number wins $20 and an odd number loses $15.
c A 1 or a 2 wins $30 and a number greater than 2 loses $20.
A business has a 30% chance of making $200000, a 20% chance of making $100000,
a 15% chance of making $50000, a 25% chance of breaking even and a 10% chance of
losing $200000. Calculate the financial expectation of the small business.
A lottery has a $600000 first prize and a $240000 second prize. There were 360000 tickets
sold in the lottery. What is the financial expectation, to the nearest cent, of each ticket?
Sarah plays a game by throwing two unbiased dice. The rules of the game are:
Sarah wins $25 if there are two 4s.
Sarah wins $2.50 if there is only one 4.
Sarah loses $10 if there are no 4s.
a
b
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238
Development
10
In basketball, you can earn 3 points for a shot and 1 point for a free throw. If Jacks
probability of getting a 3-point shot is 40% and 80% for a free throw, what is his
expected score for the game?
11
Hayley is playing a game at an amusement park. There is a 0.1 probability that she will
score 10 points, a 0.2 probability that she will score 20 points and a 0.7 probability that she
will score 30 points. How many points can Hayley expect to receive by playing the game?
12
Daniel plays a game by selecting one of four aces. The rules of the game are as follows.
Daniel wins $40 by selecting a red card.
Daniel has no result by selecting a club.
Daniel loses $100 by selecting a spade.
He plays the game 160 times and replaces the card after each game.
a How many times would he expect to win $40?
b How many times would he expect to lose $100?
c What is the financial expectation of this game? Answer to the nearest cent.
13
Paige plays a game by throwing three coins. The rules of the game are as follows.
Paige wins $60 if there are three tails.
Paige wins $15 if there are two tails.
Paige loses $30 if there is one or no tails.
She plays the game 120 times and replaces the card after each game.
a How many times would she expect to win $60?
b How many times would she expect to lose $30?
c What is the financial expectation of this game? Answer to the nearest cent.
14
Four hundred raffle tickets are sold at $3 each. The first prize is $500, second prize is
$250 and there are ten third prizes each consisting of a gift card.
a Blake buys two tickets in the raffle. What is the probability that he wins first prize?
b Ignore the gift card and determine the financial expectation of the raffle.
c What is the value of the gift card for the raffle to be fair?
15
Emily is designing a game with four possible results. She has decided on three of these
results. What must be the value of the loss in Result D in order for the financial
expectation of this game to be $0?
Probability
Financial outcome
Result A
20%
Win $100
Result B
30%
Win $60
Result C
40%
Win $30
Result D
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1st
Multistage events
Probability
2nd
HH
HT
TH
TT
Probability (Event) =
Number of arrangements
Ordered selections
Unordered selections
Probability of independent
events A and B
Probability of event A or B
Expected outcomes
Expected value
Financial expectation
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Review
Study guide 6
Review
240
Two dice are rolled. What is the probability that only one die shows a 6?
1
5
1
11
A
B
C
D
6
18
36
36
Daniel is deciding on the number of digits required for an invoice number. How many
more numbers are available if Daniel uses five digits (e.g. 78012) compared to using four
digits (e.g. 1275)?
A 10
B 90000
C 10000
D 100000
In how many different ways can the letters of the word MATHS be arranged in a row?
A 6
B 21
C 24
D 120
There are 20 runners in a marathon. How many different selections are possible for first
and second place? Assume there are no dead-heats.
A 39
B 190
C 380
D 400
A business has nominated the best five employees. There is a first prize and a second prize
awarded to these employees. How many different selections are possible?
A 10
B 20
C 25
D 120
Jasmine has two packets of jelly babies. Each packet contains two orange and four red
jelly babies. Jasmine takes one jelly baby from each packet without looking. What is the
probability both jelly babies are orange?
A
1
9
1
6
1
2
28
121
49
121
56
121
65
121
A cupboard contains 7 white mugs and 4 black mugs. A mug is taken at random from the
cupboard, and then returned to the cupboard after its colour has been noted. A second mug
is then taken at random from the cupboard. What is the probability both mugs are the same
colour?
A
1
15
1
36
1
18
11
36
25
36
Two unbiased coins are tossed 100 times. Which calculation illustrates the expected
number of times you would get a tail and a head?
A
1
100
4
1
100
2
1
100
3
1
200
4
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241
A two-digit number is formed using the digits 2, 4, 6 and 8. The same number cannot be
used twice. The first digit chosen is the tens digit and the second digit chosen is the units
digit.
a Find the sample space from the tree diagram.
b What is the probability that the number starts with a 4?
c What is the probability that the number ends with an 8?
d What is the probability that the number formed is 62?
Four cards (heart, diamond, spade and club) are placed face down on a table. One card is
selected at random and the result recorded. This card is returned to the table. A second card
is then selected at random. What is the total number of outcomes?
In how many ways can Alyssa, Bridget, Chun, David and Eddie stand in a queue?
Two people are selected at random to represent the local community from Blake, Chris,
Debbie, Emily, Fran and Grace. Order of the selection is important.
a How many different ways of selection are
possible?
b What is the probability of selecting Chris then
Fran?
c The community has decided to send four
people instead of two people. How many
different selections are now possible?
2
1
1
A, B and C are independent events, and P(A) = , P(B) = and P(C) = . Find the value
5
3
2
of the following probabilities.
a
P(AB)
P(BC)
P(ABC)
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Review
242
A bag contains ten cards. The cards are marked with the letters A to J. Three cards are
drawn at random without replacement and used in that order to form a word.
a How many possible selections are there?
b What is the probability of selecting D as the first letter?
c What is the probability of drawing DIG?
d What is the probability of drawing a D with the first letter or with the second letter?
10
11
Luke has a 75% chance of getting his first serve into play during a tennis match. If he has
two serves, find the probability of getting:
a no serves into play
b at least one serve into play.
12
A box contains 4 blue and 9 green discs. Two discs are chosen from the box without
replacement. Find the probability of selecting:
a 2 blue discs
b 2 green discs
c 2 discs the same colour
d 2 discs of a different colour.
13
Scott has four queens and three jacks face down on the table. He draws two cards at
random without replacement. What is the probability of selecting a queen with either the
first or the second card but not both?
14
1
The probability of a couple having a baby with red hair is 33 %. If they have six children,
3
how many children with red hair are expected?
15
16
Joshua plays a game with two dice. He gains $30 if he gets two odd numbers and $5 if he
gets an odd and an even number, but he loses $35 if he ends up with two even numbers.
What is the financial expectation of this game?
3
. If there are 896 dogs in the local
8
community, how many of them would you expect to have heartworm?
Challenge questions 6
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