1 A Hands On Modelling Start Here Overview 2013-10-06

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1a.

Hands On Modelling

Start here Overview


www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au
1

Spend only a few seconds on most slides.

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au
2

Level 3: Decision making

give a quick
overview of

Level 2: Evaluating the business/project

Level 1: Hands-on economic modelling

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au
3

Modelling is as easy as A B C
A.

B.

C.

Three levels of evaluation

i. Decision Making
ii. Evaluating
iii. Hands-on modelling

Three Layouts:

i. A simple assessment
ii. Comparing alternatives
iii. One long detailed complex model

Hands-on modelling practices

i.
ii.
iii.
iv.

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

Six principles
Four cashstreams
Worked examples
What people want!

Level 3: Decision making

Level 2: Evaluating the business/project

Level 1: Hands-on economic modelling


.

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

Level 3: Decision making


Selecting the alternative for the project/activity that best
fits the total business; by using the results gleaned from
the evaluation work in Level 2

Level 2: Evaluating the business/project

Level 1: Hands-on economic modelling

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

Level 3: Decision making


Selecting the alternative for the project/activity that best
fits the total business; by using the results gleaned from
the evaluation work in Level 2
This is the
most important

Level 2: Evaluating the business/project

Level 1: Hands-on economic modelling

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

Level 3: Decision making

Level 2: Evaluating the the business/project


Using hands-on modelling to understand values,
drivers, ranges, high & low possibilities, alternatives,
options, flexibility, industry cost curve much more
than NPV

Level 1: Hands-on economic modelling

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

Level 3: Decision making

Level 2: Evaluating the the business/project


Using hands-on modelling to understand values,
drivers, ranges, high & low possibilities, alternatives,
options, flexibility, industry cost curve much more
than NPV

Level 1:

This is the most


challenging and
Hands-on economic
productive modelling

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

Level 3: Decision making


Level 2: Evaluating the business/project
Level 1: Hands-on economic modelling

Using rigorous modelling practices, to create an easy-tounderstand, transparent, robust and audited working tool

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

10

Level 3: Decision making


Level 2: Evaluating the business/project
Level 1: Hands-on economic modelling

Using rigorous modelling practices, to create an easy-tounderstand, transparent, robust and audited working tool
NPV, IRR & payback are just a few of the outcomes
Your model may become long and detailed but must
always remain easy for others to follow.
.

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

11

Level 3: Decision making


Level 2: Evaluating the business/project
Level 1: Hands-on economic modelling

Using rigorous modelling practices to create an easy-tounderstand, transparent, robust and audited working tool
NPV, IRR & payback
Thisare
is just
the a few of the outcomes

Your model may


become long and detailed but
workhorse
must always remain easy for others to follow.
.

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

12

Your task is to develop a model that anyone


around you can understand rapidly.
It may become long detailed and complex but it must remain easy for others to follow.

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

13

Your task is to develop a model that anyone


around you can understand rapidly .

Others must be able to confidently play with their copy.


That is how you measure your success

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

14

Your task is to develop a model that anyone


around you can rapidly understand.

If your model is sophisticated and smart so that you


and only a couple of others can easily use it, then it is
1990s era, poor quality product!

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

15

i. A simple assessment
ii. Comparing alternatives
iii. One long, detailed, complex evaluation

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

16

such as

Day-to-day activities
Preliminary assessments
Concept studies

the workbook layout might look like


www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

17

Existing case
carbon in pulp technology

NPV - Existing Case


IRR - Existing Case

Purpose
This 'Worked Exam ple' illustrates the econom ic evaluation m odelling practices recom m ended by AusIMM
It com pares a gold m ine using existing com m on technology with a new technology - at concept level
Warnings
This exam ple has not been audited and should not be used without a thorough check.

Self audit
existing case
new tech case
taxes
external peer

P Card
D M artin
G Darwin
G Wise
C Casey

Yet to be completed
Yet to be completed
Yet to be completed
Yet to be completed
Yet to be completed

9.1%

10
0

10

0
-10

Existing Case - NPV

30
20

20

A$M

Audits

2,007,342

A$

Existing Case - Four Cash Streams

40
30

A$ M

Worked Example - MetPlant 2011


Contact
Peter Card 04 07 508 924

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

-20

2011

-10

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

-20
-30
-40

-30

-50

-40 2: Capital Costs - Existing Case


Cashstream

Cashflow Deficit

Cashflow if positive

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Existing Case

-60

Discounted Cashflow - Existing Case

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Existing Case

Cumulative NPV - Existing Case

Simplified to four cash streams

67.4

300,000
200,000
100,000

0
2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Ore Production

2018

2019

60Existing

Case - Sales, Price, Margin

1,200
1,000

40

800

$/ounce

6
5
4
3
2
1
0

500,000
400,000

Gold Ounces (000's)

Existing Case - Mining

600,000

Au Grams/Tonne

Accounting can be derived from these.

Understanding the colour coding


13 Aug2011 B White, "Sales Plan for Operations to 2025"
67.4
Every item of input data is exposed in a cell using blue font on a blue background
It has its source, date and person in blue font in the row immediately above. (Not as a hidden cell note)
67.4
202.2
Any item that is dubious or needing verification is in pink font
Every item which is referenced across from another worksheet is in green font on green background.
recovery
% silver
36%
36%
The complete row is referenced across including its title in column A as a check that the correct data is being referenced.
If a referenced cell is in Column B in the source worksheet then it appears in the same column (B) in this worksheet. (this greatly reduces errors)
Therefore if 2013 is in column K in one worksheet then it is in column K in every other worksheet
134.8
Every algorithm must use cells only from this worksheet. (It does not reference data in another worksheet, nor contain hidden fresh data)
134.8
Computational algorithms should not change across a row. If there is an exception it should be highlighted with a dark border

Tonnes Ore or Ounces Gold

Each evaluation is simplified into four streams: Rev enue, Operating Costs, Capital Costs and Taxes.

600

20

400
200

0
2011

2020

2012

2013

2014

Gold sold

Head grade

2015

2016

2017

Gold price Forecast

2018

2019

2020

Pretax margin/oz

Some people use italics for nominal terms data and vertical font for real terms data

Existing Case - Opex

20,000,000

35,000,000
30,000,000
25,000,000
20,000,000
15,000,000
10,000,000
5,000,000
0

15,000,000

10,000,000

A$

A$

5,000,000
0
2011

2012

2013

2014

mining cost

Life of Mine

2015

2016

2017

2018

processing cost

units

Total

2019

Existing Case - Capex

2011

2020

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Initial Capital Costs

fixed costs

2012

2018

2019

2020

Ongoing Capital Costs

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

500,000
3.1
49,839
83%
41,367

500,000
3.8
61,093
83%
50,707

500,000
2.9
46,624
83%
38,698

350,000
2.8
31,511
83%
26,154

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


Production
10 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan 12 June 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
Head grade
grams/tonne
Contained gold mined
ounces
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces

2,150,000
3.1
213,183

175,736

300,000
2.5
24,116
78%
18,810

3
0

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,387
40,065

3
2,925
50,169

3
2,233
39,391

3
1,509
26,878

3
0
1,509

3
0
0

1,000
0

1,000
0

1,000
0

1,000
17,725,080

1,000
40,065,236

1,000
50,168,501

1,000
39,390,613

1,000
26,877,999

1,000
1,508,904

1,000
0

30
0

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,293,033

30
4,123,438

30
3,237,585

30
2,209,151

30
0

30
0

16,268,224

38,229,059

49,338,096

40,276,467

27,906,433

3,718,055

Sales
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

175,736

Revenue
23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price
Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

1,000
175,736,334

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

Cashstream 1: Revenue - ExistingA$


Case
Real

175,736,334

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs


10 Aug 10 G Dawson "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates Version G"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
58,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
10,000,000

3,000,000

30,000,000

25,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Existing


A$ Real
Case

3,000,000

30,000,000

25,000,000

68,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

10%
6,858,601

23%
15,502,975

29%
19,412,366

22%
15,241,935

15%
10,400,262

1%
583,860

0%
0

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure


3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure
% of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
68,000,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs


5 May 11 G Dawson "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
31
mining cost
A$ Real
13,300,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
100
processing cost
A$ Real
43,000,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Existing


A$ RealCase
cost per ounce

71,300,000

A$/ounce Real

5
1,500,000
20
6,000,000
3,000,000

5
2,500,000
20
10,000,000
3,000,000

6
3,000,000
20
10,000,000
3,000,000

7
3,500,000
20
10,000,000
3,000,000

8
2,800,000
20
7,000,000
3,000,000

10,500,000

15,500,000

16,000,000

16,500,000

12,800,000

558

375

316

426

489

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties
2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly
State Royalty
% of revenue
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,757,363

1%
0

1%
0

1%
0

1%
177,251

1%
400,652

1%
501,685

1%
393,906

1%
268,780

1%
15,089

1%
0

40,065,236

50,168,501

39,390,613

26,877,999

1,508,904

15,500,000
15,502,975
400,652
8,661,608

16,000,000
19,412,366
501,685
14,254,450

16,500,000
15,241,935
393,906
7,254,773

12,800,000
10,400,262
268,780
3,408,957

0
583,860
15,089
909,955

0
0
0
0

30%
2,598,483
2,598,483

30%
4,276,335
4,276,335

30%
2,176,432
2,176,432

30%
1,022,687
1,022,687

30%
272,986
272,986

30%
0
0

Company Income Tax


2 June 11 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
175,736,334
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Existing Case
71,300,000
0
0
0
10,500,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
68,000,000
0
0
0
6,858,601
State Royalty
1,757,363
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
34,678,971
0
0
0
189,228
Company Income Tax Rate
Income Tax
Income tax payment

% of assessable income

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Existing Case

A$ Real

10,403,691
10,403,691

30%
0
0

30%
0
0

30%
0
0

30%
56,768
56,768

12,161,055

234,019

2,999,135

4,778,020

2,570,338

1,291,467

288,075

175,736,334
68,000,000
71,300,000
12,161,055

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
30,000,000
0
0

0
25,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
3,000,000
10,500,000
234,019

38,229,059
4,000,000
15,500,000
2,999,135

49,338,096
2,000,000
16,000,000
4,778,020

40,276,467
1,000,000
16,500,000
2,570,338

27,906,433
0
12,800,000
1,291,467

3,718,055
0
0
288,075

0
0
0
0

24,275,280

-3,000,000

-30,000,000

-25,000,000

2,534,205

15,729,924

26,560,076

20,206,129

13,814,966

3,429,979

Cashflow and NPV


Cashlows
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Existing Case
A$ Real
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Existing Case A$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Existing Case
A$ Real
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Existing Case
A$ Real

Cashflow - Existing Case

A$ Real

IRR - Existing Case

9.1%

Discounting
17 July 11 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96

Intro & Audit


worksheet
www.economicevaluation.com.au

Discounted Cashflow - Existing Case


Cumulative NPV - Existing Case

A$ Real
A$

NPV - Existing Case

A$

2,007,342

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

8%
0.48

-26,729,179
-29,615,930

-20,624,367
-50,240,297

1,935,792
-48,304,505

11,125,505
-37,179,000

17,393,968
-19,785,033

12,252,613
-7,532,420

7,756,605
224,185

1,783,157
2,007,342

0
2,007,342

2,007,342

Workings in one worksheet

peter@economicevaluation.com.au

18

Existing case
carbon in pulp technology

Purpose
This 'Worked Exam ple' illustrates the econom ic evaluation m odelling practices recom m ended by AusIMM
It com pares a gold m ine using existing com m on technology with a new technology - at concept level
Warnings
This exam ple has not been audited and should not be used without a thorough check.

Self audit
existing case
new tech case
taxes
external peer

P Card
D M artin
G Darwin
G Wise
C Casey

Yet to be completed
Yet to be completed
Yet to be completed
Yet to be completed
Yet to be completed

9.1%

10
0

10

0
-10

Existing Case - NPV

30
20

20

A$M

Audits

2,007,342

A$

Existing Case - Four Cash Streams

40
30

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

-20

2011

-10

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

-20
-30
-40

-30

Summary
of results

-50

-40 2: Capital Costs - Existing Case


Cashstream

Cashflow Deficit

Cashflow if positive

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Existing Case

-60

Discounted Cashflow - Existing Case

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Existing Case

Cumulative NPV - Existing Case

Simplified to four cash streams

67.4

6
5
4
3
2
1
0

500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000

0
2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Ore Production

2018

2019

60Existing

Case - Sales, Price, Margin

1,200
1,000

40

800

$/ounce

Existing Case - Mining

600,000

Gold Ounces (000's)

Accounting can be derived from these.

Understanding the colour coding


13 Aug2011 B White, "Sales Plan for Operations to 2025"
67.4
Every item of input data is exposed in a cell using blue font on a blue background
It has its source, date and person in blue font in the row immediately above. (Not as a hidden cell note)
67.4
202.2
Any item that is dubious or needing verification is in pink font
Every item which is referenced across from another worksheet is in green font on green background.
recovery
% silver
36%
36%
The complete row is referenced across including its title in column A as a check that the correct data is being referenced.
If a referenced cell is in Column B in the source worksheet then it appears in the same column (B) in this worksheet. (this greatly reduces errors)
Therefore if 2013 is in column K in one worksheet then it is in column K in every other worksheet
134.8
Every algorithm must use cells only from this worksheet. (It does not reference data in another worksheet, nor contain hidden fresh data)
134.8
Computational algorithms should not change across a row. If there is an exception it should be highlighted with a dark border

Au Grams/Tonne

Each evaluation is simplified into four streams: Rev enue, Operating Costs, Capital Costs and Taxes.

Tonnes Ore or Ounces Gold

what
who
how
audits

NPV - Existing Case


IRR - Existing Case

A$ M

Worked Example - MetPlant 2011


Contact
Peter Card 04 07 508 924

600

20

400
200

0
2011

2020

2012

2013

2014

Gold sold

Head grade

2015

2016

2017

Gold price Forecast

2018

2019

2020

Pretax margin/oz

Some people use italics for nominal terms data and vertical font for real terms data

Existing Case - Opex

20,000,000

35,000,000
30,000,000
25,000,000
20,000,000
15,000,000
10,000,000
5,000,000
0

15,000,000

10,000,000

A$

A$

5,000,000
0
2011

2012

2013

2014

mining cost

Life of Mine

2015

2016

2017

2018

processing cost

units

Total

2019

Existing Case - Capex

2011

2020

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Initial Capital Costs

fixed costs

2012

2018

2019

2020

Ongoing Capital Costs

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

500,000
3.1
49,839
83%
41,367

500,000
3.8
61,093
83%
50,707

500,000
2.9
46,624
83%
38,698

350,000
2.8
31,511
83%
26,154

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


Production
10 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan 12 June 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
Head grade
grams/tonne
Contained gold mined
ounces
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces

2,150,000
3.1
213,183

175,736

300,000
2.5
24,116
78%
18,810

3
0

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,387
40,065

3
2,925
50,169

3
2,233
39,391

3
1,509
26,878

3
0
1,509

3
0
0

1,000
0

1,000
0

1,000
0

1,000
17,725,080

1,000
40,065,236

1,000
50,168,501

1,000
39,390,613

1,000
26,877,999

1,000
1,508,904

1,000
0

30
0

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,293,033

30
4,123,438

30
3,237,585

30
2,209,151

30
0

30
0

16,268,224

38,229,059

49,338,096

40,276,467

27,906,433

3,718,055

Sales
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

175,736

Revenue
23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price
Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

1,000
175,736,334

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

Cashstream 1: Revenue - ExistingA$


Case
Real

175,736,334

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs


10 Aug 10 G Dawson "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates Version G"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
58,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
10,000,000

3,000,000

30,000,000

25,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Existing


A$ Real
Case

3,000,000

30,000,000

25,000,000

68,000,000

4,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

4,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

10%
6,858,601

23%
15,502,975

29%
19,412,366

22%
15,241,935

15%
10,400,262

1%
583,860

0%
0

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure


3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure
% of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
68,000,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs


5 May 11 G Dawson "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
31
mining cost
A$ Real
13,300,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
100
processing cost
A$ Real
43,000,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Existing


A$ RealCase
cost per ounce

71,300,000

A$/ounce Real

5
1,500,000
20
6,000,000
3,000,000

5
2,500,000
20
10,000,000
3,000,000

6
3,000,000
20
10,000,000
3,000,000

7
3,500,000
20
10,000,000
3,000,000

8
2,800,000
20
7,000,000
3,000,000

10,500,000

15,500,000

16,000,000

16,500,000

12,800,000

558

375

316

426

489

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties
2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly
State Royalty
% of revenue
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,757,363

1%
0

1%
0

1%
0

inputs,
computations,
outputs,
results

3,000,000

3,000,000

1%
177,251

1%
400,652

1%
501,685

1%
393,906

1%
268,780

1%
15,089

1%
0

40,065,236

50,168,501

39,390,613

26,877,999

1,508,904

15,500,000
15,502,975
400,652
8,661,608

16,000,000
19,412,366
501,685
14,254,450

16,500,000
15,241,935
393,906
7,254,773

12,800,000
10,400,262
268,780
3,408,957

0
583,860
15,089
909,955

0
0
0
0

30%
2,598,483
2,598,483

30%
4,276,335
4,276,335

30%
2,176,432
2,176,432

30%
1,022,687
1,022,687

30%
272,986
272,986

30%
0
0

Company Income Tax


2 June 11 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
175,736,334
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Existing Case
71,300,000
0
0
0
10,500,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
68,000,000
0
0
0
6,858,601
State Royalty
1,757,363
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
34,678,971
0
0
0
189,228
Company Income Tax Rate
Income Tax
Income tax payment

% of assessable income

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Existing Case

A$ Real

10,403,691
10,403,691

30%
0
0

30%
0
0

30%
0
0

30%
56,768
56,768

12,161,055

234,019

2,999,135

4,778,020

2,570,338

1,291,467

288,075

175,736,334
68,000,000
71,300,000
12,161,055

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
30,000,000
0
0

0
25,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
3,000,000
10,500,000
234,019

38,229,059
4,000,000
15,500,000
2,999,135

49,338,096
2,000,000
16,000,000
4,778,020

40,276,467
1,000,000
16,500,000
2,570,338

27,906,433
0
12,800,000
1,291,467

3,718,055
0
0
288,075

0
0
0
0

24,275,280

-3,000,000

-30,000,000

-25,000,000

2,534,205

15,729,924

26,560,076

20,206,129

13,814,966

3,429,979

Cashflow and NPV


Cashlows
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Existing Case
A$ Real
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Existing Case A$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Existing Case
A$ Real
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Existing Case
A$ Real

Cashflow - Existing Case

A$ Real

IRR - Existing Case

9.1%

Discounting
17 July 11 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96

Intro & Audit


worksheet
www.economicevaluation.com.au

Discounted Cashflow - Existing Case


Cumulative NPV - Existing Case

A$ Real
A$

NPV - Existing Case

A$

2,007,342

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

8%
0.48

-26,729,179
-29,615,930

-20,624,367
-50,240,297

1,935,792
-48,304,505

11,125,505
-37,179,000

17,393,968
-19,785,033

12,252,613
-7,532,420

7,756,605
224,185

1,783,157
2,007,342

0
2,007,342

2,007,342

Workings in one worksheet

peter@economicevaluation.com.au

19

such as
Cost reduction
Day-to-day comparisons
Pre-Feasibility or Selection Phase Studies

the workbook layout might look like


www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

20

2022

2023

2024

-10

2016

2017

-30

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

-40

Cashflow Deficit

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

Cashflow if positive

Cashstream 4: Taxes

Cashflow Deficit

0
-10

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

Cashflow if positive

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative B

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

-20
-40

-40

-60

2015

-10

-60

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Cumulative NPV

2016

Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative B

2016

2017

3,000

60

1,000
0

$/ounce

2,000

-1,000
-2,000
-3,000
2016

2017

Gold sold

2018

2019

2020

2021

Gold price Forecast

2022

2023

2024

Alternative A - Sales, Price, Margin

1,000

2016

2017

Gold sold

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

Gold price Forecast

2023

A$

A$

processing cost

0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2018

2019

1,500
1,000

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

State Royalty

2022

2023

Income Tax

2024

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Gold sold

2021

mining cost

2022

2023

2021

2022

2023

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

processing cost

2017

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

1,800

2,000

1,900

1,800

1,700

1,600

1,600

1,600

1,600

1,600

30

30

30

30

30

30

30

30

30

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

2 June 12 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Company Income Tax Rate
% of assessable income
30%
30%
30%
30%
30%
30%
30%
30%
30%

30%

A$M

Au Grams/Tonne

Au Grams/Tonne

Government Royaties

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

State Royalty

2018

2019

17 July 12 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2012
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
8%
8%

8%

8%

8%

8%

8%

8%

8%

2022

2023

Total

Initial Capital Costs

2022

2023

2024

Ongoing Capital Costs

2024

www.economicevaluation.com.au

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

Ore Production

2022

2023

2024

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

500,000
3.1
49,839
83%
41,367

500,000
3.8
61,093
83%
50,707

500,000
2.9
46,624
83%
38,698

350,000
2.8
31,511
83%
26,154

A$ Real

175,736

300,000
2.5
24,116
78%
18,810

3
0

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,387
40,065

3
2,925
50,169

3
2,233
39,391

3
1,509
26,878

3
0
1,509

3
0
0

0
288,729,675

1800
0

2000
0

1900
0

1800
31,905,145

1700
68,110,902

1600
80,269,602

1600
63,024,981

1600
43,004,798

1600
2,414,247

1600
0

30
0

30
0

30
2,622,341

30
5,598,156

30
6,597,502

30
5,180,135

30
3,534,641

30
0

30
0

2022

2023

- Sales, Price, Margin

2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000

2024

2015

2016

2017

2018

Gold sold

3,000,000

30,000,000

25,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

3,000,000

30,000,000

25,000,000

A$ Real

68,000,000

3 May 12 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure
% of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
68,000,000

A$ Real
A$/ounce Real

76,300,000

29,282,804 65,135,086 79,270,257 64,442,348 44,650,293 5,948,888

2019

2020

Gold price Forecast

2021

4,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

4,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

10%
6,858,601

23%
15,502,975

29%
19,412,366

22%
15,241,935

15%
10,400,262

5
1,500,000
20
6,000,000
3,000,000

5
2,500,000
20
10,000,000
3,000,000

6
3,000,000
20
10,000,000
3,000,000

7
3,500,000
20
10,000,000
3,000,000

8
2,800,000
20
7,000,000
3,000,000

1%
583,860

0%
0

0
5,000,000

10,500,000

15,500,000

16,000,000

16,500,000

12,800,000

5,000,000

558

375

316

426

489

2024

2022

2023

2024

10,000,000

0
2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

processing cost

0.0%
14,436,484

5.0%
0

5.0%
0

5.0%
0

5.0%
1,595,257

5.0%
3,405,545

5.0%
4,013,480

5.0%
3,151,249

5.0%
2,150,240

5.0%
120,712

5.0%
0

68,110,902

80,269,602

63,024,981

43,004,798

2,414,247

15,500,000
15,502,975
3,405,545
33,702,381

16,000,000
19,412,366
4,013,480
40,843,756

16,500,000
15,241,935
3,151,249
28,131,798

12,800,000
10,400,262
2,150,240
17,654,296

5,000,000
583,860
120,712
-3,290,326

0
0
0
0

30.0%
10,110,714
10,110,714

30.0%
12,253,127
12,253,127

30.0%
8,439,539
8,439,539

30.0%
-987,098
-987,098

30.0%
0
0

A$ Real

53,434,441

5,480,643

13,516,259

16,266,607

11,590,788

7,446,529

-866,385

Cashstream 1: Revenue
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs
Cashstream 4: Taxes

A$ Real
A$ Real
A$ Real
A$ Real

288,729,675
68,000,000
76,300,000
53,434,441

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
30,000,000
0
0

0
25,000,000
0
0

29,282,804
3,000,000
10,500,000
5,480,643

65,135,086
4,000,000
15,500,000
13,516,259

79,270,257
2,000,000
16,000,000
16,266,607

64,442,348
1,000,000
16,500,000
11,590,788

44,650,293
0
12,800,000
7,446,529

30.0%
5,296,289
5,296,289

5,948,888
0
5,000,000
-866,385

0
0
0
0

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

Cashflow

A$ Real

90,995,234

-3,000,000

-30,000,000

-25,000,000

10,302,161

32,118,827

45,003,650

35,351,559

24,403,764

1,815,273

IRR

Real

28.8%

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

Initial Capital Costs

A$ Real
A$

NPV

A$

45,900,828

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

8.0%
0.89

8.0%
0.82

8.0%
0.76

8.0%
0.71

8.0%
0.65

8.0%
0.61

8.0%
0.56

8.0%
0.52

8.0%
0.48

-26,729,179
-29,615,930

-20,624,367
-50,240,297

7,869,465
-42,370,832

22,717,094
-19,653,739

29,472,507
9,818,768

21,436,514
31,255,282

13,701,832
44,957,115

943,713
45,900,828

0
45,900,828

45,900,828

Existing case

peter@economicevaluation.com.au

2022

Cashflow if positive

2023

2024

0
2015

-10

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

-20
-30

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative B

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative B

Cumulative NPV - Alternative B

Alternative B - Mining

0
2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

units

2020

2021

2022

2023

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

Ore Production

60Alternative B

6
5
4
3
2
1
0

300,000
200,000

2022

2023

- Sales, Price, Margin

2,500
2,000

40

1,500
1,000

20

500
0

-500
2015

2024

2016

2017

2018

Gold sold

Head grade

2019

2020

Gold price Forecast

2021

2022

2023

2024

2023

2024

Pretax margin/oz

Alternative B - Opex

16,000,000
14,000,000
12,000,000
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
0

2022

2023

2016

2017

2018

mining cost

2024

2019

2020

2021

2022

processing cost

2023

Alternative B - Capex

35,000,000
30,000,000
25,000,000
20,000,000
15,000,000
10,000,000
5,000,000
0
2015

2024

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

Initial Capital Costs

fixed costs

2022

Ongoing Capital Costs

Ongoing Capital Costs


14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2

Tax - Alternative B

2015

2016

2017

2024

2018

2019

2020

2021

State Royalty

2022

2023

2024

Income Tax

Income Tax

Total

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

Life of Mine

units

Total

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

300,000
2.5
24,116
75%
18,087

500,000
2.7
43,408
80%
34,727

500,000
1.6
25,723
80%
20,579

500,000
3.5
56,270
80%
45,016

1.1
0
80%
0

3
0

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,043
17,043

3
2,003
33,767

3
1,187
21,395

3
2,597
43,606

3
0
2,597

3
0
0

3
0
0

0
196,238,715

1800
0

2000
0

1900
0

1800
30,678,024

1700
57,403,382

1600
34,232,006

1600
69,769,973

1600
4,155,330

1600
0

1600
0

30
0

30
0

30
2,521,481

30
4,718,086

30
2,813,590

30
5,734,518

30
0

30
0

30
0

30,000,000

20,000,000

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


Production

Production
0

0
0

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

3
0

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

3
0
0

0
266,633,502

1800
0

2000
0

1900
0

1800
31,905,145

1700
63,655,392

1600
65,614,643

1600
69,730,398

1600
33,899,580

1600
1,828,345

1600
0

30
0

30
0

30
2,622,341

30
5,231,950

30
5,392,984

30
5,731,266

30
2,786,267

30
0

30
0

13 Aug 12 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
1,800,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
2.6
Contained gold mined
ounces
149,518
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
118,408

Sales

23 Aug 12 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2012"


Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

0
162,090

23 Aug 12 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2012"


Gold in circuit
Gold in circuit
Gold sold

weeks
ounces
ounces

0
118,408

Revenue

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ Real A 266,633,502

######### ######### ######### ######### ######### 4,614,612

10 Aug 12 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

40,000,000

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

3,000,000 ######### ######### 6,000,000 6,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ Real B 196,238,715

######### ######### ######### ######### 9,889,849

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

0%
0

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs -A$


Alternative
Real
62,000,000
B

3,000,000

3,000,000

3,000,000

3,000,000

3,000,000 ######### ######### 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000

14%
8,924,095

29%
17,680,636

18%
11,202,674

37%
22,832,733

2%
1,359,862

0%
0

0%
0

4
1,200,000
15
4,500,000
3,500,000

4
2,000,000
15
7,500,000
3,500,000

5
2,500,000
15
7,500,000
3,500,000

6
3,000,000
15
7,500,000
3,500,000

6
0
15
0
3,500,000

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure


11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

3 May 12 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure
% of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
62,000,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs


25 May 12 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs


A$-Real
Alternative
103,600,000
A

23 Aug 12 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2012"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

10 Aug 12 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
53,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
9,000,000

40,000,000

3 May 12 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure
% of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

cost per ounce

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

A$/ounce Real

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

######### ######### ######### ######### #########


792

583

571

560

919

25 May 12 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
8,700,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
27,000,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs


A$-Real
Alternative
53,200,000
B
cost per ounce

9,200,000 ######### ######### ######### 3,500,000

A$/ounce Real

509

374

656

311

5.0%
1,533,901

5.0%
2,870,169

5.0%
1,711,600

5.0%
3,488,499

5.0%
207,767

5.0%
0

5.0%
0

30,678,024

57,403,382

34,232,006

69,769,973

4,155,330

9,200,000
8,924,095
1,533,901
11,020,027

13,000,000
17,680,636
2,870,169
23,852,577

13,500,000
11,202,674
1,711,600
7,817,732

14,000,000
22,832,733
3,488,499
29,448,741

3,500,000
1,359,862
207,767
-912,298

0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0

30.0%
3,306,008
3,306,008

30.0%
7,155,773
7,155,773

30.0%
2,345,320
2,345,320

30.0%
8,834,622
8,834,622

30.0%
-273,690
-273,690

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

-65,923

9,889,849
0
3,500,000
-65,923

0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0

Cashstream 4: Taxes

Cashstream 4: Taxes

Government Royaties
0.0%
13,331,675

5.0%
0

5.0%
0

5.0%
0

5.0%
1,595,257

5.0%
3,182,770

5.0%
3,280,732

5.0%
3,486,520

5.0%
1,694,979

5.0%
91,417

5.0%
0

2 June 12 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
State Royalty
A$ Real

0.0%
9,811,936

5.0%
0

5.0%
0

5.0%
0

Company Income Tax

Company Income Tax


2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
266,633,502
0
0
0
31,905,145
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
13,331,675
0
0
0
1,595,257
Assessable Income
51,701,827
0
0
0
4,693,264
2 June 12 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Company Income Tax Rate
% of assessable income
0.0%
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
Income Tax
15,510,548
0
0
0
1,407,979
Income tax payment
15,510,548
0
0
0
1,407,979

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative


A$ Real
A

28,842,223

266,633,502
98,000,000
103,600,000
28,842,223

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

65,614,643

69,730,398

33,899,580

1,828,345

23,500,000
24,794,226
3,280,732
14,039,685

24,500,000
26,349,473
3,486,520
15,394,406

18,200,000
12,809,852
1,694,979
1,194,749

0
690,889
91,417
1,046,039

0
0
0
0

30.0%
4,600,105
4,600,105

30.0%
4,211,905
4,211,905

30.0%
4,618,322
4,618,322

30.0%
358,425
358,425

30.0%
313,812
313,812

30.0%
0
0

405,229

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative


A$ Real
B

4,614,612
0
0
405,229

0
0
0
0

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative B


Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative B
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative B
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative B

Cashflow - Alternative B

A$ Real

49,858,746

IRR - Alternative B

Real

20.2%

3,003,236 7,782,875 7,492,638 8,104,842 2,053,404

2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
196,238,715
0
0
0
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative B
53,200,000
0
0
0
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
62,000,000
0
0
0
State Royalty
9,811,936
0
0
0
Assessable Income
71,226,779
0
0
0
2 June 12 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Company Income Tax Rate
% of assessable income
0.0%
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
Income Tax
21,368,034
0
0
0
Income tax payment
21,368,034
0
0
0

63,655,392
22,500,000
22,638,938
3,182,770
15,333,685

31,179,970

196,238,715
62,000,000
53,200,000
31,179,970

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
30,000,000
0
0

0
20,000,000
0
0

4,839,909 ######### 4,056,920 #########

Cashflow and NPV

Cashflow and NPV

Cashlows

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A


Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A

A$ Real
A$ Real
A$ Real
A$ Real

Cashflow - Alternative A

A$ Real

IRR - Alternative A

Real

29,282,804
6,000,000
14,900,000
3,003,236

61,045,783
6,000,000
22,500,000
7,782,875

65,453,608
2,000,000
23,500,000
7,492,638

69,392,117
1,000,000
24,500,000
8,104,842

36,844,578
0
18,200,000
2,053,404

36,191,279 -3,000,000 ######### ######### 5,379,568 ######### ######### ######### ######### 4,209,383

9.7%

A$ Real
A$ Real
A$ Real
A$ Real

28,156,542
3,000,000
9,200,000
4,839,909

55,206,778
3,000,000
13,000,000
10,025,942

36,136,503
3,000,000
13,500,000
4,056,920

66,849,044
0
14,000,000
12,323,121

-3,000,000 ######### ######### ######### ######### ######### ######### 6,455,772

Discounting

Discounting

Discounted Cashflow
Cumulative NPV

2021

-40

2015
2015

Cashlows

Cashflow and NPV

2020

-50

2024

fixed costs

Tax - Alternative A

2 June 12 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
State Royalty
A$ Real

Company Income Tax

2019

100,000

30,000,000
20,000,000

5,000,000

Government Royaties

Cashstream 4: Taxes

2018

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative B

Pretax margin/oz

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure


3,000,000

3,000,000

2 June 12 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
288,729,675
0
0
0
31,905,145
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs
76,300,000
0
0
0
10,500,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
68,000,000
0
0
0
6,858,601
State Royalty
14,436,484
0
0
0
1,595,257
Assessable Income
129,993,191
0
0
0
12,951,286
2 June 12 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Company Income Tax Rate
% of assessable income
0.0%
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
Income Tax
38,997,957
0
0
0
3,885,386
Income tax payment
38,997,957
0
0
0
3,885,386

2017

Cashflow Deficit

500,000

Alternative A - Capex

50,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs -A$


Alternative
Real
98,000,000
A

10 Aug 10 G Dawson "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates Version G"


Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
58,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
10,000,000

2016

400,000

40,000,000

23 Aug 12 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2012"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

288,729,675

2015

Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

Revenue

23 Aug 12 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2012"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

-30
-40

Sales

2,150,000
3.1
213,183

175,736

20
10

10
-10
-20

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative B

Head grade

13 Aug 12 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


Production

Alternative B - NPV

30

A$ M

A$M

2021

500

Alternative A - Opex

Life of Mine

Discounting

Intro &
Audit
worksheet

2020

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


2015

17 July 12 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2012
Discount Rate
% Real
0.0%
8.0%
Discount Factor
0.96

Results
summary &
common
inputs

2019

20

15,000,000

2021

Cashlows

Discounting

2018

40

10,000,000

2020

Income Tax

units

10 Aug 12 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan 12 June 11"


Ore Production
tonnes
Head grade
grams/tonne
Contained gold mined
ounces
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces

Cashstream 4: Taxes

Company Income Tax

2017

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A

25,000,000

Government Royaties

2018

2015

mining cost

2016

2016

-40

60Alternative A

6
5
4
3
2
1
0

State Royalty
2016

2 June 12 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
State Royalty
A$ Real

2017

Alternative A - Mining

2015

2015

2015

-20

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A

400,000

Gold price Forecast

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

Income Tax

Cashflow if positive

200,000

2015

2015

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs


2018

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A

800,000

30,000,000

-5

cost per ounce


2017

2024

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure

Ongoing Capital Costs

State Royalty

2023

600,000

2024

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

2016

2022

1,000,000

Capex

35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0

2024

5 May 12 G Dawson "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
31
mining cost
A$ Real
13,300,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
100
processing cost
A$ Real
43,000,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
20,000,000

2015

2021

-80

Cashflow Deficit

0
2015

Initial Capital Costs

14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2

2020

20,000,000

2020

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

fixed costs

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

A$M
2016

2016

5%

2024

2019

-60

Cashstream 1: Revenue

Revenue

2 June 12 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue

2024

Revenue

processing cost

Tax - Alternative B

Total

2023

Sales

5,000,000

Ongoing Capital Costs

2015

units

Pretax margin/oz

15,000,000

Income Tax

23 Aug 12 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2012"


Gold in circuit
weeks
23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price
Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
23 Aug 12 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2012"
Debtors
days

2022

500

Head grade

23 Aug 12 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2012"


Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

Inputs - Common
Life of Mine

2024

Alternative B - Opex

Tax - Alternative A

2015

2023

10,000,000

A$M

A$M

2018

2022

25,000,000

Initial Capital Costs

-5

2021

20,000,000

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

2020

35,000,000

Ongoing Capital Costs

2021

30,000,000

Tax - Existing Case

10

2019

Gold price Forecast

mining cost

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

15

2018

Alternative B - Capex

A$

5,000,000

2017

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

fixed costs

A$

15,000,000
10,000,000

State Royalty

-500

Alternative A - Capex

25,000,000

2017

16,000,000
14,000,000
12,000,000
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
0

45,000,000
40,000,000
35,000,000
30,000,000
25,000,000
20,000,000
15,000,000
10,000,000
5,000,000
0

2016

1,500

1,000

2016

Gold sold

5,000,000

mining cost

20,000,000

2020

2,500
2,000

500

2015

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

35,000,000

Initial Capital Costs

Pretax margin/oz

15,000,000

20

Alternative B - Sales, Price, Margin

20

10,000,000

fixed costs

30,000,000

2023

2018

Life of Mine

10

25,000,000

processing cost

2022

2019

Head grade

30

2024

Alternative A - Opex

30,000,000

Existing Case - Capex

A$

Ore Production

20,000,000

mining cost

2021

2018

10

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

0
2015

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

2015

40

2,000
1,500

500

200,000
100,000

50

2,500

20

Pretax margin/oz

Existing Case - Opex

18,000,000
16,000,000
14,000,000
12,000,000
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
0

Head grade

40

2020

2017

15

6
5
4
3
2
1
0

$/ounce

Existing Case - Sales, Price, Margin

2015

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Ore Production

20
0

Head grade

40

2019

2017

600,000

2,500
2,000

2016

Tax - Existing Case

Cumulative NPV - Alternative B

Alternative B - Mining

400,000
300,000

A$

Gold Ounces (000's)

60

400,000
200,000

Tonnes Ore or Ounces Gold

Ore Production

2018

fixed costs

500,000

2016

after debtors

Sales and Price


2015

Opex

2015

600,000

$/ounce

Au Grams/Tonne

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Tonnes Ore or Ounces Gold

6
5
4
3
2
1
0

800,000

600,000

Gold Ounces (000's)

Tonnes Ore or Ounces Gold

200,000
100,000

Alternative A - Mining

1,200,000
1,000,000

2015

-40

Cashstream 1: Revenue

20

6
5
4
3
2
1
0

400,000

300,000

0
-10
-20

-50

20

15

-50

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A

Existing Case - Mining

500,000

2017

10

2024

10

-40

-80

Discounted Cashflow

2024

1,200,000

040

5
2015

-20
-30

600,000

2023

Cumulative NPV

Revenue

50
60

A$ M

A$ M

A$ M

2019

20

20

2018

100,000

10

2017

300,000
200,000

Cashflow if positive

Alternative B - NPV
30

20

0
2016

2022

Cashflow Deficit

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative B

Alternative A - NPV
40

40
20

-20

6
5
4
3
2
1
0

Ore Production

Cashstream
2: Capital Costs - Alternative B
-40

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A

60

2015

2021

-30

100

Cashflow if positive

Mining

500,000
400,000

-30

Cashstream
2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
-50

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

10

-20

Existing Case - NPV

Some people use italics for nominal terms data and vertical font for real terms data

2019

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A

Accounting can be derived from these.

Understanding the colour coding


13 Aug2011 B White, "Sales Plan for Operations to 2025"
67.4
Every item of input data is exposed in a cell using blue font on a blue background
It has its source, date and person in blue font in the row immediately above. (Not as a hidden cell note)
67.4
202.2 Any item that is dubious or needing verification is in pink font
Every item which is referenced across from another worksheet is in green font on green background.
recovery
% silver
36%
36% The complete row is referenced across including its title in column A as a check that the correct data is being referenced.
If a referenced cell is in Column B in the source worksheet then it appears in the same column (B) in this worksheet. (this greatly reduces errors)
Therefore if 2013 is in column K in one worksheet then it is in column K in every other worksheet
134.8
Every algorithm must use cells only from this worksheet. (It does not reference data in another worksheet, nor contain hidden fresh data)
134.8
Computational algorithms should not change across a row. If there is an exception it should be highlighted with a dark border

2018

Gold Ounces (000's)

Each evaluation is simplified into four streams: Revenue, Operating Costs, Capital Costs and Taxes.

2015

-20
-30

-40
Cashstream
2: Capital Costs

2020

A$M

2021

2019

A$M

2020

2018

Tonnes Ore or Ounces Gold

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

600,000

A$M

2019

A$M

2018

A$M

A$M

A$M

Simplified to four cash streams

20

10

Tonnes Ore or Ounces Gold

20

20
10

2017

2017

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A

Cashstream 4: Taxes

40
30

2016

2016

Discounted Cashflow

Alternative B
Alternative B - Four Cash Streams

50

40
30

2015

2015

-60

-40

Alternative A
Alternative A - Four Cash Streams

50

40
30

-10

30
20

0
-20
-40

2024

-30

Existing Case - Four Cash Streams

50

2023

-20

21,417,060
20.2%

Existing Case

P Card
Yet to be completed
D Martin Yet to be completed
G Darwin Yet to be completed
G Wise
Yet to be completed
C Casey Yet to be completed

2022

$/ounce

2021

Gold Ounces (000's)

2020

Au Grams/Tonne

2019

A$

2018

Tonnes Ore or Ounces Gold

2017

A$

2016

40
30
20

20

$/ounce

2015

Alternative A - NPV

40

21,417,060
20.2%

Alternative B - Four Cash Streams

50

Alternative A - Four Cash Streams

50
40

A$ M

NPV - Alternative B
A$
IRR - Alternative B Real

4,561,833
9.7%

Gold Ounces (000's)

10
-10

-20

67.4

40
20

20

Alternative B
NPV - Alternative A$
B
IRR - Alternative BReal

40
30

A$ M

4,561,833
9.7%

A$M

Alternative A

NPV - Alternative A
A$
IRR - Alternative A Real

Existing Case - NPV

60

Au Grams/Tonne

Four Cash Streams


50

NPV - Alternative A$
A
IRR - Alternative AReal

Alternative B

Alternative A
45,900,828
28.8%

A$

Audits
Self audit
existing case
new tech case
taxes
external peer

This example is an illustration. It has not been audited and should be checked before being used.

A$
Real

$/ounce

Warnings
This example is an illustration. It has not been audited and should be checked before being used.

Worked Example - For Website

Existing case
NPV
IRR

A$M

Purpose
This 'Worked Example' illustrates the economic evaluation modelling practices recommended by AusIMM
It compares a gold mine using existing common technology with a new technology - at concept level

This example is an illustration. It has not been audited and should be checked before being used.

This example is an illustration. It has not been audited and should be checked before being used.

carbon in pulp technology

45,900,828
0
28.8%

Gold Ounces (000's) A$M real

Contact
Peter Card 04 07 508 924

A$

Au Grams/Tonne

Existing case
NPV
IRR

A$

Results Comparison
Worked Example - For Website

17 July 12 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2012
Discount Rate
% Real
0.0%
8.0%
Discount Factor
0.96
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

NPV - Alternative A

A$ Real
A$

4,561,833

A$

4,561,833

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

8.0%
0.89

8.0%
0.82

8.0%
0.76

8.0%
0.71

8.0%
0.65

8.0%
0.61

8.0%
0.56

8.0%
0.52

8.0%
0.48

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

4,109,266
-67,415,378

17,514,379
-49,900,999

21,258,413
-28,642,585

21,700,724
-6,941,861

9,315,346
2,373,484

2,188,349
4,561,833

0
4,561,833

Alternative A

17 July 12 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2012
Discount Rate
% Real
0.0%
Discount Factor
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative B
Cumulative NPV - Alternative B

NPV - Alternative B

A$ Real
A$

21,417,060

A$

21,417,060

8.0%
0.96

8.0%
0.89

8.0%
0.82

8.0%
0.76

8.0%
0.71

8.0%
0.65

8.0%
0.61

8.0%
0.56

8.0%
0.52

8.0%
0.48

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

-26,729,179
-29,615,930

-16,499,493
-46,115,424

8,491,612
-37,623,812

20,639,103
-16,984,709

10,202,936
-6,781,773

24,574,150
17,792,377

3,624,683
21,417,060

0
21,417,060

0
21,417,060

Alternative B
21

such as
Major assessments of operations
Major assessments of projects
Major evaluations of the whole business
Final Feasibility Studies
M&A

the workbook layout might look like


www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

22

Life of Mine

Worked Example - For Website

Worked Example - For Website


Contact
Peter Card 04 07 508 924
Purpose
This 'Worked Example' illustrates the economic evaluation modelling practices recommended by AusIMM
It compares a gold mine using existing common technology with a new technology - at concept level
Warnings
This example is an illustration. It has not been audited and should be checked before being used.

Audits
Self audit
existing case
new tech case
taxes
external peer

2011

Total

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

2019

4,561,833
9.7%

0
0

40
30

A$M

10

3
0

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

1000
162,090,032

1000
0

1000
0

1000
0

1000
17,725,080

1000
37,444,348

1000
41,009,152

1000
43,581,499

1000
21,187,237

1000
1,142,716

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

30
0

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,077,618

30
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

30
1,741,417

30
0

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ RealA

162,090,032

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

2,884,133

162,090

Revenue

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

-20
-30
-40
-50

13 Aug2011 B White, "Sales Plan for Operations to 2025"


67.4
Every item of input data is exposed in a cell using blue font on a blue background
It has its source, date and person in blue font in the row immediately above. (Not as a hidden cell note)
67.4
202.2 Any item that is dubious or needing verification is in pink font
Every item which is referenced across from another worksheet is in green font on green background.
recovery
% silver
36%
36% The complete row is referenced across including its title in column A as a check that the correct data is being referenced.
If a referenced cell is in Column B in the source worksheet then it appears in the same column (B) in this worksheet. (this greatly reduces errors)
Therefore if 2013 is in column K in one worksheet then it is in column K in every other worksheet
134.8
Every algorithm must use cells only from this worksheet. (It does not reference data in another worksheet, nor contain hidden fresh data)
134.8
Computational algorithms should not change across a row. If there is an exception it should be highlighted with a dark border

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A

Cashflow Deficit

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A

Cashflow if positive

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A

Alternative A - NPV
40
20

A$ M

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

-20

-60
-80

Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

Alternative A - Mining

1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000

200,000
0
2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

Ore Production

Gold Ounces (000's)

2022

2023

2024

2,500

1,000
500
0
2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Gold sold

2020

2021

Gold price Forecast

2022

2023

20,000,000
15,000,000

A$

0
2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

mining cost

2020

2021

2022

2023

processing cost

2024

fixed costs

Alternative A - Capex
45,000,000
40,000,000
35,000,000
30,000,000
25,000,000
20,000,000
15,000,000
10,000,000
5,000,000
0

3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure % of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

Initial Capital Costs

2022

2023

2024

cost per ounce

103,600,000

2019

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

2018

2019

2020

State Royalty

2021

2022

Income Tax

3
0

3
0
0

1000
162,090,032

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ RealA

162,090,032

1000
0

3
0
0

1000
0

3
1,085
17,725

1000
0

30
0

1000
17,725,080

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

1000
37,444,348

1000
41,009,152

2024

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

13%
12,809,852

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

1%
690,889

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Life of Mine

units

Total

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

3
0

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

2019

3
0
1,143

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

1000
43,581,499

1000
21,187,237

1000
1,142,716

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,077,618

30
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

30
1,741,417

30
0

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

2,884,133

40,000,000

40,000,000

40,000,000

40,000,000

98,000,000

3,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

Revenue

103,600,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

792

583

571

560

919

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
177,251

1.0%
374,443

1.0%
410,092

1.0%
435,815

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

A$/ounce Real

0
0

1000
0

1000
0

30
0

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,077,618

30
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

30
1,741,417

30
0

162,090,032

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

2,884,133

10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

40,000,000

40,000,000

1000
17,725,080

1000
37,444,348

1000
41,009,152

1000
43,581,499

1000
21,187,237

1000
1,142,716

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794
Company Income Tax Rate
Income Tax
Income tax payment

% of assessable income

0.0%
-12,339,260
-12,339,260

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

41,009,152

43,581,499

21,187,237

1,142,716

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

-10,718,360

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

162,090,032
98,000,000
103,600,000
-10,718,360

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

30.0%
132,120
132,120

Cashflow - Alternative A

A$ Real

IRR - Alternative A

14,900,000

-28,791,608

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

7,626,335

2,740,585

792

583

571

560

919

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
177,251

1.0%
374,443

1.0%
410,092

1.0%
435,815

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

37,444,348

41,009,152

43,581,499

21,187,237

1,142,716

-9.4%

Discounting

22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

0.0%
-12,339,260
-12,339,260

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

30.0%
132,120
132,120

-10,718,360

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

Cashflow - Alternative A

-28,791,608

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

7,626,335

2,740,585

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A


Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

A$ Real
A$

NPV - Alternative A

A$

-37,833,798

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

units

Total

2011

-103,600,000

2012

2013

2014

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

103,600,000

2015
600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

2016
1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

2017
1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

2018
1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

2019
700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

2014

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

0
0

2015

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

2016

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

2017

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

2018

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

2019

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative


A$ Real
A

40,000,000

40,000,000

6,000,000

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

792

583

571

560

919

98,000,000

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

1000
17,725,080

1000
37,444,348

1000
41,009,152

1000
43,581,499

1000
21,187,237

1000
1,142,716

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,077,618

30
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

30
1,741,417

30
0

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ Real
A

162,090,032

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

2,884,133

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs


10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000
98,000,000

40,000,000

40,000,000

40,000,000

40,000,000

6,000,000

3,000,000

3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure
% of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

6,000,000

3,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

1,000,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$


Alternative
Real
A

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

cost per ounce

103,600,000

A$/ounce Real

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

792

583

571

560

919

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
State Royalty
A$ Real

0.0%
1,620,900

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
177,251

2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794

Company Income Tax Rate


Income Tax
Income tax payment

% of assessable income

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative


A$A
Real

1.0%
374,443

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

1000
0

1000
17,725,080

1000
37,444,348

1000
41,009,152

1000
43,581,499

1000
21,187,237

1000
1,142,716

1.0%
410,092

41,009,152
23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

43,581,499

21,187,237

1,142,716

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

1.0%
435,815

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

30.0%
132,120
132,120

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

Cashlows

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
177,251

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

37,444,348

41,009,152

43,581,499

21,187,237

1,142,716

22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

1.0%
374,443

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

1.0%
410,092

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

1.0%
435,815

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

Company Income Tax

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A


A$ Real
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
A$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative
A$AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
A$ Real

Cashflow - Alternative A

A$ Real

30
0

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,077,618

30
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

30
1,741,417

30
0

162,090,032

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

% of assessable income

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative


A$AReal

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

-10,718,360

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

162,090,032
98,000,000
103,600,000
-10,718,360

0.0%
-12,339,260
-12,339,260

0
3,000,000
0
0

30.0%
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

30.0%
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

30.0%
132,120
132,120

-28,791,608

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

7,626,335

2,740,585

Cashflow and NPV

2,884,133

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

162,090,032
98,000,000
103,600,000
-10,718,360

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

-28,791,608

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real


Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative AA$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative
A$AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
A$ Real
A$ Real

IRR - Alternative A

40,000,000

40,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - AltA$ernati


Realve A

40,000,000

40,000,000

98,000,000

3,000,000

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A


Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

NPV - Alternative A

A$ Real
A$

NPV - Alternative A

A$

-37,833,798

-37,833,798

units

Total

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

13%
12,809,852

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$AltRealernative A

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

792

583

571

560

919

2015

2016

2017

2018

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

2019

-37,833,798

A$

-37,833,798

units

Total

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"


Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

3
0

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

1000
0

1000
0

1000
0

1000
17,725,080

1000
37,444,348

1000
41,009,152

1000
43,581,499

1000
21,187,237

1000
1,142,716

162,090

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Data for Graphs


Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

2011

-103,600,000

2012

2013

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

103,600,000

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

1000
162,090,032

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ RealA

162,090,032

30
0

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,077,618

30
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

30
1,741,417

30
0

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

2,884,133

10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

40,000,000

40,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative


A$ Real A

40,000,000

40,000,000

98,000,000

3,000,000

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure


3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure % of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$


Alternative
Real
A
cost per ounce

103,600,000

0
0

14,900,000
792

583

571

560

919

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
177,251

1.0%
374,443

1.0%
410,092

1.0%
435,815

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

37,444,348

41,009,152

43,581,499

21,187,237

1,142,716

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

A$/ounce Real

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties
2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly
State Royalty
% of revenue
0.0%
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,620,900

Company Income Tax


2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794

8%
0.52

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

Revenue

2,740,585

8%
0.82
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

1%
690,889

Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

-103,600,000

Company Income Tax Rate


Income Tax
Income tax payment
0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

103,600,000

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

% of assessable income

Cashstream 4: Taxes - AlternativeA$AReal

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

0.0%
-12,339,260
-12,339,260

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

30.0%
132,120
132,120

-10,718,360

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

162,090,032
98,000,000
103,600,000
-10,718,360

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

-28,791,608

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

Cashflow and NPV


Cashlows
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative AA$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative
A$AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
A$ Real

Cashflow - Alternative A

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

A$ Real

7,626,335

2,740,585

-9.4%

Discounting
17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000
cost per ounce

2014

Data for Graphs

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure


3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure % of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

7,626,335

8%
0.89
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-9.4%

A$ Real
A$

2013

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

Discounting
17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96

10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

-9.4%

Discounting

2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794
Company Income Tax Rate
Income Tax
Income tax payment

2012

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs


37,444,348
22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

0.0%
-12,339,260
-12,339,260
-10,718,360

Cashflow and NPV

1000
0

2011

0
0

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties
11%
10,716,624

IRR - Alternative A

1000
0

Total

13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

Sales

Company Income Tax

103,600,000

A$/ounce Real

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
0.0%
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,620,900

1000
162,090,032

units

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue

3
0
0

1000
0

30
0

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$


Alternative
Real
A

Life of Mine

Production

0
0

3
0
0

1000
0

IRR - Alternative A

-37,833,798

Data for Graphs


Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

2013

0
0

3
0

1000
0

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

Cashflow - Alternative A

Cashflow and NPV


Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative AA$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative
A$AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
A$ Real

0
162,090

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative


A$ Real
A

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties

Cashstream 1: Revenue - AlternatiA$vReale A


37,444,348
22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

2012

0
0

1000
162,090,032

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure

3
0

cost per ounce

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

1000
0

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ Real
A

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

Revenue

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

1000
162,090,032

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure
% of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

0
162,090

2011

Total

Sales
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

Revenue
0
162,090

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

Sales
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

6,000,000

6,000,000

units

Production
13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

Sales
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

Life of Mine

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

Cashlows

162,090,032
98,000,000
103,600,000
-10,718,360

103,600,000

A$/ounce Real

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A


Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

NPV - Alternative A

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
0.0%
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,620,900

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
177,251

1.0%
374,443

1.0%
410,092

1.0%
435,815

37,444,348

A$ Real
A$

-37,833,798

A$

-37,833,798

units

Total

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

0
Data for Graphs
Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties
1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

-103,600,000

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

103,600,000

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

Company Income Tax

A$ Real

2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794

-9.4%

Discounting
17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96

NPV - Alternative A

2011

Total

13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

Cashlows

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real


Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative AA$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - AlternativeA$AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A A$ Real

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A


Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

3
2,523
43,581

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure

Cashlows

2023

units

Production

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative


A$ Real A

3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure % of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96

% of assessable income

Life of Mine

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


0

Company Income Tax

A$/ounce Real

IRR - Alternative A
2017

2018

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

Cashflow and NPV

Ongoing Capital Costs

Tax - Alternative A

2016

2017

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

Cashstream 4: Taxes - AlternativeA$AReal

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$Alternative


Real A

Cashstream 4: Taxes - AlternativeA$AReal


2015

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
0.0%
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,620,900

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

Company Income Tax Rate


Income Tax
Income tax payment

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

2016

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties

6,000,000

6,000,000

2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794

5,000,000

2015

3,000,000

Company Income Tax

10,000,000

A$

40,000,000

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
0.0%
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,620,900

25,000,000

A$M

40,000,000

40,000,000

98,000,000

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties

2024

Pretax margin/oz

Alternative A - Opex

30,000,000

$/ounce

2,000
1,500

20

40,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative


A$ Real A

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

Head grade

- Sales, Price, Margin

40

2015

0
0

Production

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

cost per ounce

10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure

6
5
4
3
2
1
0

Au Grams/Tonne

Tonnes Ore or Ounces Gold

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A

2015

2014

0
0

162,090

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$


Alternative
Real
A

-40

60Alternative A

2012

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

Some people use italics for nominal terms data and vertical font for real terms data

2013

0
0

Revenue

20

-10

2011

Total

Sales
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"


Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

Alternative A - Four Cash Streams

50

Accounting can be derived from these.

Understanding the colour coding

units

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


Production

13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

Sales

Simplified to four cash streams

Life of Mine

13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

Production

NPV - Alternative A$
A
IRR - Alternative AReal

P Card
Yet to be completed
D Martin Yet to be completed
G Darwin Yet to be completed
G Wise
Yet to be completed
C Casey Yet to be completed

Each evaluation is simplified into four streams: Revenue, Operating Costs, Capital Costs and Taxes.

67.4

units

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue

Results
Alternative A

A$ Real
A$

-37,833,798

A$

-37,833,798

units

Total

Company Income Tax Rate


Income Tax
Income tax payment

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

% of assessable income 0.0%


-12,339,260
-12,339,260

Cashstream 4: Taxes - AlternativA$e AReal

-10,718,360

41,009,152

43,581,499

21,187,237

1,142,716

22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

30.0%
132,120
132,120

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

Cashflow and NPV


Cashlows
Data for Graphs
Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

-103,600,000

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

103,600,000

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real


Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A $ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - AlternativA$e AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A A$ Real

162,090,032
98,000,000
103,600,000
-10,718,360

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

Cashflow - Alternative A

-28,791,608

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

7,626,335

2,740,585

A$ Real

IRR - Alternative A

-9.4%

Discounting
17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A A$ Real
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
A$

NPV - Alternative A

-37,833,798

A$

-37,833,798

units

Total

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Data for Graphs


Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

Intro &
Audit

results

production,
sales,
revenue

www.economicevaluation.com.au

-103,600,000

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

103,600,000

capex

peter@economicevaluation.com.au

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

opex

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

Taxes &
govt
royalties

Cash flow
NPV, IRR,
etc

accounting

23

Life of Mine

Life of Mine

units

2011

Total

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Life of Mine

2019

units

2011

Total

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2012

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue

Sales

Life of Mine
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

units
0

units

2011

Total

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

600,000
1.3
1000
25,080
41,009,152
75%
18,810

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

Sales

3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted


the life of mine.
Debtorsin proportion to the gold sold over days
0
0
30
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011" 11%
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure %Debtors
of contained
- Closinggold
A$ Real
0
Gold in circuit
weeks10,716,624
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
Gold162,090,032
in circuit
ounces 0
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative
A$ RealA
Gold sold
ounces

1,000,000
1.5
1000
48,232
43,581,499
80%
38,585
30
2012
3,582,041

30
2013
1,741,417

30
2014

3
43,370,073

3
23,027,861

3
2,884,133

1,085
17,725

2,226
37,444

2,374
41,009

2,523
43,581

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

2015
3
1,143
21,187

600,000
1.3
25,080
1000
75%
0
43,581,499
18,810

30
13%
3,370,615
3
12,809,852

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
1000
80%
21,187,237
38,585

30
1%
3,582,041
3
690,889

30
1,741,417
3

0
16,268,224

0
35,823,587

0
40,716,154

1,085
43,370,073

2,226
23,027,861

17,725

37,444

4
40,000,000
4,000,000
1000
15
162,090,032
40,000,000
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
1000
6,000,000
15
0
6,000,000
15,000,000

6
6,000,000
1000
6,000,000
15
0
6,000,000
15,000,000

6
4,200,000
1000
2,000,000
15
0
2,000,000
10,500,000

0
1000
1,000,000
17,725,080
1,000,000
0

3,500,000

3,500,000

3,500,000

22,500,000
0

23,500,000
0

24,500,000
30

18,200,000
30

583

571
11%
10,716,624

5600
23%
0
22,638,938

9190
25%
0
24,794,226

162,090

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

1000
162,090,032

1000
0

1000
0

1000
0

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

30
0

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,077,618

30
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

30
1,741,417

30
0

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ RealA

162,090,032

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

2,884,133

2019

10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

40,000,000

40,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative


A$ Real A

40,000,000

40,000,000

1000
17,725,080

98,000,000

3,000,000

1000
37,444,348

1000
41,009,152

1000
43,581,499

1000
21,187,237

1000
1,142,716

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

2016

2017

2018

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

0 3: Operating Costs - A$Alternative


Cashstream
Real
A
1,143

103,600,000

A$/ounce Real

Cashstream
1,000,000 4: Taxes
1,000,000
Government Royaties

1.6
51,447
1000
80%

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

1.7
54,662
80%

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
0.0%
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,620,900

Company
Tax
1,142,716
41,158 Income43,730

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

792

583

571

560

919

30
0
3

3
2,523
43,581

2,374
2,884,133
41,009

3
1,143
21,187

13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

1.0%
177,251

1.0%
374,443

1.0%
410,092

1.0%
435,815

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

3
0

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

1000
162,090,032

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ Real
A

162,090,032

1000
0

1000
0

1000
0

1000
17,725,080

1000
37,444,348

1000
41,009,152

1000
43,581,499

1000
21,187,237

1000
1,142,716

3
0
0

162,090

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,077,618

30
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

30
1,741,417

30
0

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

2,884,133

40,000,000

40,000,000

40,000,000

98,000,000

6,000,000

3,000,000

1000
0

1000
0

1000
0

30
0

1000
17,725,080

30
0

30
1,456,856

1000
37,444,348

30
3,077,618

1000
41,009,152

30
3,370,615

1000
43,581,499

30
3,582,041

1000
21,187,237

30
1,741,417

1000
1,142,716

30
0

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$


Alternative
Real
A

103,600,000

A$/ounce Real

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

792

583

571

560

919

% of assessable income

3 0.0%
-12,339,260
0
-12,339,260
1,143
-10,718,360

Cashstream 1: Revenue - AlternatiA$vReale A


37,444,348

41,009,152

43,581,499

21,187,237

1,142,716

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

162,090,032

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

30.0%
132,120
132,120

143,547

Cashflow and NPV

0.0%
-12,339,260
-12,339,260

1.0%
0

30.0%
0
0

1.0%
0

30.0%
0
0

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real


Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative AA$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative
A$AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
A$ Real

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

37,444,348

41,009,152

43,581,499

21,187,237

1,142,716

22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

1.0%
177,251

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

1.0%
374,443

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

1.0%
410,092

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

1.0%
435,815

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

30.0%
132,120
132,120

-10,718,360

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

162,090,032
98,000,000
103,600,000
-10,718,360

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

A$ Real

-28,791,608

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

7,626,335

2,740,585

IRR - Alternative A

40,000,000

40,000,000

40,000,000

98,000,000

3,000,000

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A


Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

NPV - Alternative A

3
0

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

units

2011

Total

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

162,090

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

3
0

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

1000
162,090,032

1000
0

1000
0

1000
0

1000
17,725,080

1000
37,444,348

1000
41,009,152

1000
43,581,499

1000
21,187,237

1000
1,142,716

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

30
0

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,077,618

30
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

30
1,741,417

30
0

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ Real
A

162,090,032

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

2,884,133

40,000,000

40,000,000
6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

162,090

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative


A$ Real
A

1000
162,090,032

1000
0

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ RealA

162,090,032

1000
0

1000
0

1000
17,725,080

1000
37,444,348

1000
41,009,152

1000
43,581,499

1000
21,187,237

1000
1,142,716

40,000,000

6,000,000

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

103,600,000

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

792

583

571

560

919

0.0%
1,620,900

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
177,251

1.0%
374,443

1.0%
410,092

1.0%
435,815

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

98,000,000

3,000,000

40,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure


3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure
% of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,077,618

30
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

30
1,741,417

30
0

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

2,884,133

10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

40,000,000

30
0

40,000,000
6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative


A$ Real A

40,000,000

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$


Alternative
Real
A
cost per ounce

A$/ounce Real

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties

162,090,032

1.0%
40,000,000
4
435,815
4,000,000

40,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000
43,581,499

1.0%
40,000,000
5
211,872
5,000,000

40,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000
21,187,237

30
3,077,618
13%

35,823,587
12,809,852

1.0%
6
11,427
6,000,000
6,000,000

6
6,000,000
4,200,000

6,000,000
15

6,000,000
15

15,000,000
3,500,000
1,142,716

10,500,000
3,500,000

30

Discounting
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

A$ Real

-28,791,608

30
1,741,417

30
0

1%

40,716,154
690,889

43,370,073

23,027,861

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A


Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

A$ Real
A$

NPV - Alternative A

A$

2,000,000
0

Data for Graphs

2,000,000

1,000,000

units

23%
919
22,638,938

25 May30.0%
11 G Dawson email "Operating
to be mined. 30.0%
%2 ofJuneassessable
income
30.0%paid monthly
30.0% Cost Estimate:
30.0%Indicative Estimates
30.0%for new technology."
30.0%There is no waste30.0%
11 R Torply:
SA State 0.0%
Royalty is 1% of revenue
mining 0.0%
cost0 per tonne 1.0%
A$ Real/
tonne ore -2,420,710
25
-12,339,260 % of revenue
0
0
-2,420,638
-2,308,550
-2,311,137
-3,010,346
State Royalty
1.0%
1.0%
1.0%
1.0%
1.0%
mining1,620,900
cost0
A$ Real-2,420,638
21,600,000
-12,339,260 A$ Real 0
-2,420,710
-2,308,550
-2,311,137
-3,010,346
State Royalty
0
0
0
177,251
374,443
410,092
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
Cashstream 4: Taxes - AlternativeA$Company
AReal Income-10,718,360
0
0
0
-2,243,387 64,500,000
-2,046,266
-1,898,458
-1,875,322
-2,798,474
Tax
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000
2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$Alternative
Real A 103,600,000
0
0
0
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
37,444,348
41,009,152
cost per ounce
A$/ounce Real
less

30.0%
4
132,120
1.0%
2,400,000
132,120
435,815
15
9,000,000
143,547
3,500,000

4
1.0%
4,000,000
211,872
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
1.0%
5,000,000
11,427
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

560

919

24,500,000
26,349,473
2,884,133
435,815
0
-7,703,789
0
143,547
30.0%
1.0%
-2,311,137
177,251
2,740,585
-2,311,137

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

410,092
-7,695,166

Cashflow and NPV

Cashlows

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A


103,600,000
0
0
0
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000 4: Taxes0
0
0
Cashstream
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real
162,090,032
0
0
0
16,268,224
35,823,587
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative AA$ Real
98,000,000
3,000,000 Government
40,000,000
40,000,000
6,000,000
6,000,000
Assessable Income
-41,130,868 Royaties0
0
0
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - AlternativeA$AReal
103,600,000
0
0 is 1% of revenue
14,900,000
2 June 11 R0 Torply: SA State Royalty
paid monthly 22,500,000
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A A$Company
Real Income Tax Rate
-10,718,360 % of assessable
0 incomeState Royalty
0
-2,243,387
-2,046,266
0.0%0
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
% of revenue
0.0%
0
0
0
Royalty
A$ Real-2,388,388
1,620,900
Cashflow - Alternative A A$Income
Real Tax
-28,791,608
-3,000,000 State-12,339,260
-40,000,000
-40,000,000
9,369,853
Income tax payment
-12,339,260
0
0
0

IRR - Alternative A

14,900,000
10,716,624
40,716,154
177,251
2,000,000
-8,068,794
23,500,000
-1,898,458
30.0%
1.0%
-2,420,638
0
17,114,612
-2,420,638

22,500,000
22,638,938
43,370,073
374,443
1,000,000
-8,069,033
24,500,000
-1,875,322
30.0%
1.0%
-2,420,710
0
19,745,395
-2,420,710

23,500,000
24,794,226
23,027,861
410,092
0
-7,695,166
18,200,000
-2,798,474
30.0%
1.0%
-2,308,550
0
7,626,335
-2,308,550

43,581,499
792

21,187,237
583

30.0%
1.0%
-3,010,346
374,443
-3,010,346

Company Income Tax

-9.4%
Cashstream 4: Taxes - AlternativeA$AReal

-10,718,360
0
0
0
-2,243,387
-2,046,266
-1,898,458
-1,875,322
2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011 Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
8% for capital expenditure
8%
8%
8%
8%0
8%0
8%0
8%
Tax deduction
98,000,000
10,716,624
Cashlows
Discount Factor
0.96
0.89
0.82
0.76
0.71
0.65
0.61
0.56
0.52
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real
162,090,032
0
0
0
16,268,224
35,823,587
40,716,154
43,370,073
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794
- Alternative AA$ Real-2,886,751
98,000,000
3,000,000
40,000,000
40,000,000
6,000,000
6,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A A$Cashstream
Real 2: Capital Costs-37,833,798
-35,638,906
-32,998,987
-1,824,407
6,627,136
11,208,214
11,973,232
4,281,912
1,424,759
103,600,000
0
0 income -66,721,915
14,900,000
22,500,000
23,500,000
24,500,000
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
A$Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - AlternativeA$AReal-2,886,751 Company
-38,525,657
-73,349,051
-55,513,701
-43,540,468
-39,258,557
-37,833,798
Income Tax Rate-71,524,643
% of assessable
0.0%0
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
Income
Tax
-12,339,260
0
0
0
-2,420,638
A A$ Real
-10,718,360
0
0
0
-2,243,387
-2,046,266
-1,898,458
-1,875,322
NPV - Alternative A
A$Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative
-37,833,798
Income
tax payment -3,000,000
0
0
0
-2,420,638
Cashflow - Alternative A A$ Real
-28,791,608
-40,000,000 -12,339,260
-40,000,000 -2,388,388
9,369,853
17,114,612
19,745,395

Discounting

Cashflow and NPV

Cashstream
-9.4% 4: Taxes - AlternativeA$AReal

IRR - Alternative A
Data for Graphs
Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

Discounting

units

Total

Cashflow
2012 and NPV
2013

2011

2014

-10,718,360

-2,243,387

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

NPV - Alternative A

Data for Graphs

-103,600,000

A$

103,600,000
units

0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

Cashflow
- Alternative
A
-37,833,798
0
0
40,000,000

IRR - Alternative
-40,000,000 A
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

Discounting

0
0A$ Real
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385

-22,500,000

-23,500,000

9,369,853
0

17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858

0
1,000A$ Real
0
0A$
-3,000,000
A$
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A


Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

NPV - Alternative
A
-103,600,000

Data for Graphs


Life of Mine
Ore Production 103,600,000
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Ta

0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-9.4% 9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812

2015

19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

-18,200,000

2016

7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

2017

2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

98,000,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$


Alternative
Real
A

3,000,000

40,000,000

2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794
Company Income Tax Rate
Income Tax
Income tax payment

% of assessable income

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative


A$A
Real

37,444,348

41,009,152

43,581,499

21,187,237

1,142,716

22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

0.0%
-12,339,260
-12,339,260

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

30.0%
132,120
132,120

-10,718,360

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

A$

-37,833,798

8%
0.89

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

8%
0.82

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

8%
0.76

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

8%
0.71

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

8%
0.65

6,627,136
-66,721,915

8%
0.61

11,208,214
-55,513,701

8%
0.56

11,973,232
-43,540,468

Cashflow and NPV


Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
A$ Real
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
A$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative
A$AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
A$ Real

Cashflow - Alternative A

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

792

583

571

560

919

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
177,251

2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794
Company Income Tax Rate
Income Tax
Income tax payment

1,424,759
-37,833,798

-37,833,798

A$ Real

IRR - Alternative A

162,090,032
98,000,000
103,600,000
-10,718,360

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

-28,791,608

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

7,626,335

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A


Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

NPV - Alternative A

1.0%
374,443

1.0%
410,092

1.0%
435,815

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

% of assessable income

37,444,348
22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

41,009,152
23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

43,581,499

21,187,237

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

A$ Real
A$

-37,833,798

A$

-37,833,798

units

Total

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

2012

2013

2014

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

2015

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

2016

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

2017

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

2018

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

2019

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

units

Total

2011

-103,600,000

2012

2013

2014

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

103,600,000

2015

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

2016

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

2017

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

2018

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

-103,600,000

2019

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

103,600,000

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

1,142,716
0
690,889
11,427
440,400

0.0%
-12,339,260
-12,339,260

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

30.0%
132,120
132,120

-10,718,360

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

Cashflow and NPV

2019

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

Cashlows

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real


Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative AA$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative
A$AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
A$ Real

Cashflow - Alternative A

A$ Real

IRR - Alternative A

162,090,032
98,000,000
103,600,000
-10,718,360

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

-28,791,608

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

7,626,335

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

2,740,585

-9.4%

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A


Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$AltRealernative A

cost per ounce

103,600,000

A$/ounce Real

NPV - Alternative A

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

792

583

571

560

919

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
177,251

1.0%
374,443

1.0%
410,092

1.0%
435,815

37,444,348

A$ Real
A$

-37,833,798

A$

-37,833,798

units

Total

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Data for Graphs

Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
2,884,133
-7,695,166
0
0
30.0%
-2,308,550
143,547
-2,308,550
2,740,585

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

30.0%
132,120
132,120

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

23,500,000
1,424,759
-37,833,798
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

7,626,335

2,740,585

2018

2019

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

Company Income Tax Rate


Income Tax
Income tax payment

% of assessable income 0.0%


-12,339,260
-12,339,260

Cashstream 4: Taxes - AlternativA$e AReal

-10,718,360

41,009,152

43,581,499

21,187,237

1,142,716

22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

30.0%
132,120
132,120

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

-103,600,000

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

103,600,000

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

Cashflow and NPV


Cashlows
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A $ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - AlternativA$e AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A A$ Real

162,090,032
98,000,000
103,600,000
-10,718,360

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

Cashflow - Alternative A

-28,791,608

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

7,626,335

2,740,585

A$ Real

IRR - Alternative A

-9.4%

Discounting

-103,600,000

25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000

48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000

8%
0.71

0
0.0
0
0
11,208,214 1,000
1,143
-55,513,7012,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
2016
1,003,779
1,000,000
122
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000

8%
0.65

17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A A$ Real
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
A$

NPV - Alternative A

2017

2018
1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000

-37,833,798

A$

-37,833,798

units

Total

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2019
700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0

Data for Graphs


Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

capex

www.econom ceva uat on.com.au

-103,600,000

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

103,600,000

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

opex

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

Taxes &
govt
royalties

Cash flow
NPV, IRR,
etc

peter@econom ceva uat on.com.au

8%
0.52

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

Discounting

8%
0.76

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure % of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

2,740,585

-9.4%

Discounting
17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96

Company Income Tax

8%
0.52

4,281,912
-39,258,557

Data for Graphs

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
0.0%
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,620,900

-9.4%

A$ Real
A$

103,600,000

A$/ounce Real

Company Income Tax

22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
23,027,861
-8,069,033
0
18,200,000
30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,798,474
-2,420,710
7,626,335

0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0

production,
sales,
revenue

2,740,585

8%
0.82

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794

1.0%
11,427

0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0

43,730

7,626,335

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
0.0%
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,620,900

1,142,716

0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0

41,158

19,745,395

8%
0.89

1.0%
211,872

38,585

17,114,612

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

21,187,237

8%
40,716,154
0.52
2,000,000

9,369,853

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

Company Income Tax

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties

1.0%
435,815

-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
2014
24,442,972
600,000
439
1.3

18,810

-2,886,751 1,000 -35,638,906 1,000 -32,998,987 1,000 -1,824,407 1,000


17,725
37,444
41,009
43,581
-2,886,75116,268,224 -38,525,657
35,823,587 -71,524,643
40,716,154 -73,349,051
43,370,073

-2,388,388

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

103,600,000

43,581,499

-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
2013
23,452,8580
428
0.0

0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

8% 1,000,000
1.7
0.76 54,662

30.0%
1.0%
132,120
410,092
132,120

1%
690,889

143,547

-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
2012
22,048,8120
411
0.0

0
0

8% 1,000,000
1.6
0.82 51,447

-40,000,000

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

2011

-103,600,000

13%
12,809,852

41,009,152

-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
2011
14,040,3850
208
0.0

-37,833,798 1,000
-40,000,000
-37,833,798
0

8% 1,000,000
1.5
0.89 48,232

1,142,716
571

27%
26,349,473

37,444,348

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
6,627,136 1,000
21,187
-66,721,915
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
2015
18,611,194
1,000,000
122
1.5

Total

units
0

-24,500,000

-28,791,6082,046,266 -3,000,0001,898,458 -40,000,000


1,875,322 -40,000,000
2,798,474 -2,388,388-143,547

17 July 10TotalF Green email:


discount
2011 rate for investment
2012 in gold is 8% Real.2013The base date is 1 July
2014 2011
0
0
208
411
428
0% Real
0
0
Discount Rate
8% 600,000
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.3
Discount Factor
0.96 25,080
0
0
0

25%
0
24,794,226

-2,798,474

600,000
1,000,000
1,000,000
1,000,000
700,000
0
17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is0 8% Real. The base 0date is 1 July 2011 0
0.0 Cashlows 0.0
0.0
1.3
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.1
0.0
Discount Rate
% Real
8% 0
8% 25,080
8% 48,232
8% 51,447
8% 54,662
8% 24,759
8% 0
8%
0
0
Cashstream 1: Revenue
- Alternative
0 41,158
0 43,730
0 19,807 16,268,224
Discount Factor
0.96 A 0A$ Real 0.89 18,810 162,090,032
0.82 38,585
0.76
0.71
0.65
0.61 0 35,823,587
0.56
0
0
1,000Cashstream 2: Capital
1,000 Costs - Alternative
1,000AA$ Real
1,000 98,000,000 1,000
3,000,000 1,000 40,000,000 1,000 40,000,000 1,000 6,000,000 1,000 6,000,000
0
0
0
17,725
37,444
41,009
43,581
21,187
1,143
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - AlternativeA$AReal 16,268,224 103,600,000
0 40,716,154 6,627,136
0 43,370,073 11,208,214
0 23,027,861 11,973,232
14,900,0002,884,133 22,500,000
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A A$ Real
-32,998,987
4,281,912
0 -37,833,798 0 -2,886,751 0 -35,638,906
35,823,587 -1,824,407
-3,000,000Cashstream 4:-40,000,000
-6,000,000 -10,718,360
-6,000,000 -73,349,051
0 -43,540,468
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
A$
-2,886,751
-71,524,643
Taxes - Alternative
A-40,000,000A$ Real-38,525,657
0 -2,000,000 -66,721,915
0 -1,000,000 -55,513,701
0
-2,243,387 0 -39,258,557
-2,046,266

Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

Total

18,200,000

374,443
-8,069,033

-40,000,000

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

1,000,000

Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

11%
5600
10,716,624
690,889
11,427
440,400

177,251
-8,068,794

-3,000,000

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

-9.4%

-37,833,798

24,500,000

0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

-37,833,798

571
18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

2,884,133

23,500,000

0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96

583
24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

1,620,900
Cashstream 4: Taxes
-41,130,868
Government Royaties

Company Income Tax Rate


Income Tax
Income tax payment

results &
key
inputs

IRR - Alternative A

1000
21,187,237

22,500,000

State Royalty
Assessable Income

Intro &
Audit

1000
43,581,499

Cashflow - Alternative A

30
0
1,456,856
27%

16,268,224
26,349,473

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
11 G Dawson email "Operating
Estimates
new technology."
waste1.0%
to be mined. 1.0%
State Royalty
%25ofMay
revenue
0.0% Cost Estimate:
1.0%IndicativeInitial
1.0%forCosts
1.0%There isA$noReal
1.0%
Capital
83,000,000
3,000,000
4
State Royalty
A$mining
Real cost per tonne 1,620,900 A$ Real/ tonne
0 ore Ongoing 25Capital
0 Costs
0
374,443
410,092
A$ Real177,251
15,000,000
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
2,400,000
A$ Real A
98,000,000
3,000,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore Cashstream
75 2: Capital Costs - Alternative
15
Company Income Tax processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
9,000,000
2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate
30%. The cash payment averages mid
year. Assume operating
cost cashstream approximates
cost of goods sold.
fixediscosts
A$ Real
3,500,000
Tax17,500,000
deductions
for CapitaltheExpenditure
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
37,444,348
41,009,152
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$Alternative
Real A 3 May
103,600,000
0 is deducted in proportion
0
11 E Hermi Assume all capital
to the gold0sold over the life14,900,000
of mine.
less
Tax Deduction
% of contained
792
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - AlternativecostA per ounce
103,600,000 A$/ounce Real
0
0 for Capital Expenditure
0
14,900,000gold 22,500,000
23,500,000
Tax deduction
98,000,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0 for capital expenditure
0
10,716,624
22,638,938
24,794,226

1000
41,009,152
0

0
3,000,000
0
0

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties
2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly
State Royalty
% of revenue
State Royalty
A$ Real

As the evaluation proceeds there may be multiple worksheets


for production, for pricing, for opex, etc
1000
37,444,348
0

162,090,032
1000
98,000,000
103,600,000
1,142,716
-10,718,360

0
0

Sales
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

cost per ounce

Data for Graphs

Cashlows

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real


Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative AA$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative
A$AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
A$ Real

2019

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


Production
13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

Revenue

Cashstream 4: Taxes - AlternativeA$AReal

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

Discounting
17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96

40,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - AltA$ernati


Realve A

2019

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

Cashlows

% of assessable income

Cashflow and NPV

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs


10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

2018

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs


1.0%
0

Company Income Tax Rate


Income Tax
Income tax payment

Cashflow - Alternative A

2017

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure % of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

Company Income Tax


2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative


A$AReal

2,884,133

2016

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure

Cashlows

22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

2015

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
0.0%
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,620,900

1000
162,090,032

2014

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

2013

Life of Mine

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

30
0

40,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative


A$ Real
A

cost per ounce

2012

Revenue

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure

3
0

2011

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"


Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs


10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure
% of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

Total

13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

Revenue

units

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


Production

162,090

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

Sales

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794
Company Income Tax Rate
Income Tax
Income tax payment

2011

Sales

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"


Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

Revenue

2019

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000
cost per ounce

Total

Sales

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"


Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

0
Tax deductions
for Capital Expenditure
3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure % of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

Cashstream 4: Taxes - AlternativeA$AReal

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There isRevenue
no waste to be mined.
10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
4
23 Aug
10 ABC Company Forecast
of gold price 40,000,000
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
2,400,000
Gold15,000,000
price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
15
Gold98,000,000
Revenue
2: Capital64,500,000
Costs - Alternative
A$ Real A
3,000,000 A$ Real
40,000,000
processing cost
A$Cashstream
Real
9,000,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000
3,500,000
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"
TaxRealdeductions
Capital Expenditure
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$Alternative
A for
103,600,000
0
0
Debtors 0
days 14,900,000
cost per ounce
A$/ounce
3 May 11 EReal
Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion toDebtors
the gold- Closing
sold over the life of mine. A$ Real 792
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure % of contained gold
Cashstream
A$ RealA
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000 1: Revenue - Alternative

3
0

162,090

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

0
1000
0
41,009,152
0

30
27%
3,077,618
3
26,349,473

2018

1,000,000
1.7
1000
54,662
1,142,716
80%
43,730

30
2011
3,370,615

30
25%
1,456,856
3
24,794,226

1,000,000
1.6
1000
51,447
21,187,237
80%
41,158

0
1,000,000
1000
1,000,000
37,444,348
0

Production

Revenue

3
40,716,154

0
2,000,000
1000
2,000,000
17,725,080
0

30
23%
0
0
22,638,938

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs


Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

units

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


0

Sales
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

162,090

13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Revenue
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce
1000
1000
1000
1000
ContainedReal
gold mined 1000
ounces 1000
204,180
0
0
0
Gold Revenue
A$Processing
Real Recovery 162,090,032 % of contained
0 gold
0
0
17,725,080
37,444,348
Gold produced
ounces
162,090
0
0
0
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"
Debtors
days
0
0
30
30
Life of Mine30
units 30
Total
Sales
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real
0
0
1,456,856
3,077,618
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
00
30
3
3
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative
A$GoldRealinAcircuit
162,090,032 weeks
16,268,224
35,823,587
Gold in circuit
ounces
0
0
0
Production
Gold sold
ounces
162,090
0
0
13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
tonnes
4,300,000
10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route" Ore Production
grade
1.5
Initial Capital Costs
A$Revenue
Real
83,000,000
3,000,000 Head40,000,000
40,000,000 grams/tonne
Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast
Contained gold mined
ounces6,000,000
204,180
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$23 Real
15,000,000of gold price
6,000,000
Real Processing
1000Recovery 40,000,000
1000 % of contained
1000 gold 6,000,000
1000
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative
A$GoldRealprice Forecast
A
98,000,000 A$/ounce
3,000,000
40,000,000
6,000,000
Gold Revenue
A$ Real
0
0
Gold162,090,032
produced
ounces 0
162,090

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure


23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

Life of Mine

Production

13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

Total
3

Cashstream 1: Production and0 Revenue

Production

Life of Mine

Production

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


Production
13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

accounting

24

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

Life of Mine

Life of Mine

units

2011

Total

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

Life of Mine

2019

units

2011

Total

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2012

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue

Sales

Life of Mine
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

units
0

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

2011

Total

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

600,000
1.3
1000
25,080
41,009,152
75%
18,810

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue

Sales

3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted


the life of mine.
Debtorsin proportion to the gold sold over days
0
0
30
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011" 11%
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure %Debtors
of contained
- Closinggold
A$ Real
0
Gold in circuit
weeks10,716,624
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
Gold162,090,032
in circuit
ounces 0
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative
A$ RealA
Gold sold
ounces

1,000,000
1.5
1000
48,232
43,581,499
80%
38,585
30
2012
3,582,041

30
2013
1,741,417

30
2014

3
43,370,073

3
23,027,861

3
2,884,133

1,085
17,725

2,226
37,444

2,374
41,009

2,523
43,581

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

2015
3
1,143
21,187

600,000
1.3
25,080
1000
75%
0
43,581,499
18,810

30
13%
3,370,615
3
12,809,852

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
1000
80%
21,187,237
38,585

30
1%
3,582,041
3
690,889

30
1,741,417
3

0
16,268,224

0
35,823,587

0
40,716,154

1,085
43,370,073

2,226
23,027,861

17,725

37,444

4
40,000,000
4,000,000
1000
15
162,090,032
40,000,000
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
1000
6,000,000
15
0
6,000,000
15,000,000

6
6,000,000
1000
6,000,000
15
0
6,000,000
15,000,000

6
4,200,000
1000
2,000,000
15
0
2,000,000
10,500,000

0
1000
1,000,000
17,725,080
1,000,000
0

3,500,000

3,500,000

3,500,000

22,500,000
0

23,500,000
0

24,500,000
30

18,200,000
30

583

571
11%
10,716,624

5600
23%
0
22,638,938

9190
25%
0
24,794,226

162,090

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

162,090,032

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

1000
162,090,032

1000
0

1000
0

1000
0

30
0

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,077,618

30
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

30
1,741,417

30
0

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ RealA

162,090,032

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

2,884,133

2019

10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

40,000,000

40,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative


A$ Real A

40,000,000

40,000,000

1000
17,725,080

98,000,000

3,000,000

1000
37,444,348

1000
41,009,152

1000
43,581,499

1000
21,187,237

1000
1,142,716

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

2016

2017

2018

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

1,143

103,600,000

A$/ounce Real

Cashstream
1,000,000 4: Taxes
1,000,000
Government Royaties

1.6
51,447
1000
80%

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

1.7
54,662
80%

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
0.0%
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,620,900

Company
Tax
1,142,716
41,158 Income43,730

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

792

583

571

560

919

30
0
3

3
2,523
43,581

2,374
2,884,133
41,009

3
1,143
21,187

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

1.0%
177,251

1.0%
374,443

1.0%
410,092

1.0%
435,815

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

1000
37,444,348
0

1000
41,009,152
0

1000
43,581,499

% of assessable income

3 0.0%
-12,339,260
0
-12,339,260
1,143
-10,718,360

Cashflow - Alternative A

30
0
1,456,856
27%

30
3,077,618
13%

16,268,224
26,349,473

35,823,587
12,809,852

IRR - Alternative A

30

Discounting
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

1000
21,187,237

A$ Real

162,090,032
1000
98,000,000
103,600,000
1,142,716
-10,718,360

1%

40,716,154
690,889

43,370,073

-28,791,608

30
1,741,417

23,027,861

A$ Real
A$

NPV - Alternative A

A$

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

3
0

162,090

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

1000
162,090,032

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ Real
A

162,090,032

1000
0

1000
0

1000
0

1000
17,725,080

1000
37,444,348

1000
41,009,152

1000
43,581,499

1000
21,187,237

1000
1,142,716

3
0

3
0
0

162,090

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,077,618

30
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

30
1,741,417

30
0

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

2,884,133

40,000,000

40,000,000

40,000,000

98,000,000

6,000,000

3,000,000

1000
0

1000
0

1000
0

30
0

1000
17,725,080

30
0

30
1,456,856

1000
37,444,348

30
3,077,618

1000
41,009,152

30
3,370,615

1000
43,581,499

30
3,582,041

1000
21,187,237

30
1,741,417

1000
1,142,716

30
0

41,009,152

43,581,499

21,187,237

1,142,716

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

162,090,032

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$


Alternative
Real
A

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

103,600,000

A$/ounce Real

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

792

583

571

560

919

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

30.0%
132,120
132,120

30
0

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

7,626,335

2,740,585

-9.4%

2,884,133

-37,833,798

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real


Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative AA$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative
A$AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
A$ Real
A$ Real

IRR - Alternative A

40,000,000

3,000,000

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A


Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

NPV - Alternative A

0.0%
-12,339,260
-12,339,260

1.0%
0

30.0%
0
0

1.0%
0

30.0%
0
0

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

37,444,348

41,009,152

43,581,499

21,187,237

1,142,716

22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

1.0%
177,251

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

1.0%
374,443

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

1.0%
410,092

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

1.0%
435,815

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

30.0%
132,120
132,120

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure


3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure % of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

3
0

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

units

2011

Total

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


Production

162,090

13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

0
0

Sales
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

3
0

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,226
37,444

3
2,374
41,009

3
2,523
43,581

3
1,143
21,187

3
0
1,143

1000
162,090,032

1000
0

1000
0

1000
0

1000
17,725,080

1000
37,444,348

1000
41,009,152

1000
43,581,499

1000
21,187,237

1000
1,142,716

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

30
0

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,077,618

30
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

30
1,741,417

30
0

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ Real
A

162,090,032

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

2,884,133

40,000,000

40,000,000
6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

162,090

10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative


A$ Real
A

1000
162,090,032

1000
0

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative


A$ RealA

162,090,032

1000
0

1000
0

1000
17,725,080

1000
37,444,348

1000
41,009,152

1000
43,581,499

1000
21,187,237

1000
1,142,716

40,000,000

6,000,000

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

103,600,000

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

792

583

571

560

919

0.0%
1,620,900

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
177,251

1.0%
374,443

1.0%
410,092

1.0%
435,815

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

98,000,000

3,000,000

40,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure


3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure
% of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,077,618

30
3,370,615

30
3,582,041

30
1,741,417

30
0

16,268,224

35,823,587

40,716,154

43,370,073

23,027,861

2,884,133

10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

40,000,000

30
0

40,000,000
6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative


A$ Real A

40,000,000

6,000,000

6,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

11%
10,716,624

23%
22,638,938

25%
24,794,226

27%
26,349,473

13%
12,809,852

1%
690,889

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$


Alternative
Real
A
cost per ounce

A$/ounce Real

0
0

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties

98,000,000

3,000,000

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
State Royalty
A$ Real

40,000,000

Company Income Tax


2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794
Company Income Tax Rate
Income Tax
Income tax payment

% of assessable income

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative


A$A
Real

37,444,348

41,009,152

43,581,499

21,187,237

1,142,716

22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

0.0%
-12,339,260
-12,339,260

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

30.0%
132,120
132,120

-10,718,360

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

Cashflow and NPV


Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
A$ Real
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
A$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative
A$AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
A$ Real

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

-10,718,360

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

162,090,032
98,000,000
103,600,000
-10,718,360

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

-28,791,608

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

7,626,335

2,740,585

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$


Alternative
Real
A
cost per ounce

-37,833,798

A$

-37,833,798

Total

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

-103,600,000

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

103,600,000

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

Cashflow - Alternative A

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

792

583

571

560

919

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
177,251

2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794
Company Income Tax Rate
Income Tax
Income tax payment

A$ Real

IRR - Alternative A

162,090,032
98,000,000
103,600,000
-10,718,360

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

-28,791,608

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

7,626,335

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

2,740,585

-9.4%

Discounting
17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A


Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

NPV - Alternative A

1.0%
374,443

1.0%
410,092

1.0%
435,815

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

Company Income Tax

8%
0.52

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

A$ Real
A$

-37,833,798

A$

-37,833,798

units

Total

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Data for Graphs

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
0.0%
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,620,900

-9.4%

A$ Real
A$

units

103,600,000

A$/ounce Real

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties

Data for Graphs


Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

700,000
1.1
24,759
80%
19,807

Revenue

% of assessable income

Cashstream 4: Taxes - AlternativeA$AReal

2019

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

Cashlows

% of assessable income

Discounting

40,000,000

40,000,000

98,000,000

2018

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
80%
41,158

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs


1.0%
0

Company Income Tax Rate


Income Tax
Income tax payment

17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96

40,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - AltA$ernati


Realve A

2017

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
80%
38,585

3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure % of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

Cashflow and NPV

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs


10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

2016

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure

Company Income Tax


2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794

Cashflow - Alternative A

2015

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative


A$AReal

2,884,133

2014

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
0.0%
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,620,900

1000
162,090,032

2013

Revenue

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

2012

Life of Mine

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

30
0

40,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative


A$ Real
A

cost per ounce

2011

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"


Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs


10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure
% of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

Total

Sales

Revenue

units

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


Production
13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure

Cashstream 1: Revenue - AlternatiA$vReale A


37,444,348
22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

30.0%
0
0

17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

2011

Cashlows

Cashflow and NPV


Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative AA$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative
A$AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
A$ Real

Total

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

Sales

23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price


Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794
Company Income Tax Rate
Income Tax
Income tax payment

600,000
1.3
25,080
75%
18,810

Revenue

2019

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

0 3: Operating Costs - A$Alternative


Cashstream
Real
A

13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"


Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

0
Tax deductions
for Capital Expenditure
3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure % of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000

cost per ounce

units

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue

Sales
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

Cashlows

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
11 G Dawson email "Operating
Estimates
new technology."
waste1.0%
to be mined. 1.0%
State Royalty
%25ofMay
revenue
0.0% Cost Estimate:
1.0%IndicativeInitial
1.0%forCosts
1.0%There isA$noReal
1.0%
Capital
83,000,000
3,000,000
4
State Royalty
A$mining
Real cost per tonne 1,620,900 A$ Real/ tonne
0 ore Ongoing 25Capital
0 Costs
0
374,443
410,092
A$ Real177,251
15,000,000
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
2,400,000
A$ Real A
98,000,000
3,000,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore Cashstream
75 2: Capital Costs - Alternative
15
Company Income Tax processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
9,000,000
2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate
30%. The cash payment averages mid
year. Assume operating
cost cashstream approximates
cost of goods sold.
fixediscosts
A$ Real
3,500,000
Tax17,500,000
deductions
for CapitaltheExpenditure
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
37,444,348
41,009,152
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$Alternative
Real A 3 May
103,600,000
0 is deducted in proportion
0
11 E Hermi Assume all capital
to the gold0sold over the life14,900,000
of mine.
less
Tax Deduction
% of contained
792
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - AlternativecostA per ounce
103,600,000 A$/ounce Real
0
0 for Capital Expenditure
0
14,900,000gold 22,500,000
23,500,000
Tax deduction
98,000,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0 for capital expenditure
0
10,716,624
22,638,938
24,794,226

3
0
0

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

Cashstream 4: Taxes - AlternativeA$AReal

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There isRevenue
no waste to be mined.
10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route"
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
4
23 Aug
10 ABC Company Forecast
of gold price 40,000,000
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
83,000,000
3,000,000
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
2,400,000
Gold15,000,000
price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
15
Gold98,000,000
Revenue
2: Capital64,500,000
Costs - Alternative
A$ Real A
3,000,000 A$ Real
40,000,000
processing cost
A$Cashstream
Real
9,000,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000
3,500,000
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"
TaxRealdeductions
Capital Expenditure
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$Alternative
A for
103,600,000
0
0
Debtors 0
days 14,900,000
cost per ounce
A$/ounce
3 May 11 EReal
Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion toDebtors
the gold- Closing
sold over the life of mine. A$ Real 792
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure % of contained gold
Cashstream
A$ RealA
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000 1: Revenue - Alternative

3
0

162,090

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

0
1000
0
41,009,152
0

30
27%
3,077,618
3
26,349,473

2018

1,000,000
1.7
1000
54,662
1,142,716
80%
43,730

30
2011
3,370,615

30
25%
1,456,856
3
24,794,226

1,000,000
1.6
1000
51,447
21,187,237
80%
41,158

0
1,000,000
1000
1,000,000
37,444,348
0

Production

Revenue

3
40,716,154

0
2,000,000
1000
2,000,000
17,725,080
0

30
23%
0
0
22,638,938

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs


Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

Life of Mine

13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


0

Sales
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

3
0
0

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure


23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
80%
43,730

162,090

13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Revenue
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce
1000
1000
1000
1000
ContainedReal
gold mined 1000
ounces 1000
204,180
0
0
0
Gold Revenue
A$Processing
Real Recovery 162,090,032 % of contained
0 gold
0
0
17,725,080
37,444,348
Gold produced
ounces
162,090
0
0
0
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"
Debtors
days
0
0
30
30
Life of Mine30
units 30
Total
Sales
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real
0
0
1,456,856
3,077,618
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
00
30
3
3
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative
A$GoldRealinAcircuit
162,090,032 weeks
16,268,224
35,823,587
Gold in circuit
ounces
0
0
0
Production
Gold sold
ounces
162,090
0
0
13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
tonnes
4,300,000
10 Aug 11 G Dawson email "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for New Technology route" Ore Production
grade
1.5
Initial Capital Costs
A$Revenue
Real
83,000,000
3,000,000 Head40,000,000
40,000,000 grams/tonne
Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast
Contained gold mined
ounces6,000,000
204,180
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$23 Real
15,000,000of gold price
6,000,000
Real Processing
1000Recovery 40,000,000
1000 % of contained
1000 gold 6,000,000
1000
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative
A$GoldRealprice Forecast
A
98,000,000 A$/ounce
3,000,000
40,000,000
6,000,000
Gold Revenue
A$ Real
0
0
Gold162,090,032
produced
ounces 0
162,090

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties

units

Production

13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

Total
3

Cashstream 1: Production and0 Revenue

Production

Life of Mine

Production

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


Production
13 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan for new technology 12 Aug 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
4,300,000
Head grade
grams/tonne
1.5
Contained gold mined
ounces
204,180
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces
162,090

37,444,348
22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

41,009,152
23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

43,581,499

21,187,237

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

-103,600,000

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

103,600,000

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

1,142,716
0
690,889
11,427
440,400

0.0%
-12,339,260
-12,339,260

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

30.0%
132,120
132,120

-10,718,360

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

162,090,032
98,000,000
103,600,000
-10,718,360

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

-28,791,608

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

Cashflow and NPV

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

Cashlows
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative AA$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative
A$AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
A$ Real

Cashflow - Alternative A

A$ Real

IRR - Alternative A

7,626,335

2,740,585

-9.4%

Discounting

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

-37,833,798

17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A


Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

25 May 11 G Dawson email "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates for new technology." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
25
mining cost
A$ Real
21,600,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
64,500,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000

A$ Real
A$

-37,833,798

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

The computations may become long, detailed and complex but the whole layout
across the workbook,
and down each worksheet
will be intuitive and easy to follow
Like reading a story book!
1.0%
40,000,000
4
435,815
4,000,000

40,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000
43,581,499

1.0%
40,000,000
5
211,872
5,000,000

40,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000
21,187,237

1.0%
6
11,427
6,000,000
6,000,000

6
6,000,000
4,200,000

6,000,000
15

6,000,000
15

15,000,000
3,500,000
1,142,716

10,500,000
3,500,000

1,000,000

1,000,000

units

24,500,000

18,200,000

571
18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

11%
5600
10,716,624
690,889
11,427
440,400

23%
919
22,638,938

25 May30.0%
11 G Dawson email "Operating
to be mined. 30.0%
%2 ofJuneassessable
income
30.0%paid monthly
30.0% Cost Estimate:
30.0%Indicative Estimates
30.0%for new technology."
30.0%There is no waste30.0%
11 R Torply:
SA State 0.0%
Royalty is 1% of revenue
mining 0.0%
cost0 per tonne 1.0%
A$ Real/
tonne ore -2,420,710
25
-12,339,260 % of revenue
0
0
-2,420,638
-2,308,550
-2,311,137
-3,010,346
State Royalty
1.0%
1.0%
1.0%
1.0%
1.0%
mining1,620,900
cost0
A$ Real-2,420,638
21,600,000
-12,339,260 A$ Real 0
-2,420,710
-2,308,550
-2,311,137
-3,010,346
State Royalty
0
0
0
177,251
374,443
410,092
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
75
processing cost
A$ Real
Cashstream 4: Taxes - AlternativeA$Company
AReal Income-10,718,360
0
0
0
-2,243,387 64,500,000
-2,046,266
-1,898,458
-1,875,322
-2,798,474
Tax
fixed costs
A$ Real
17,500,000
2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$Alternative
Real A 103,600,000
0
0
0
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
37,444,348
41,009,152
cost per ounce
A$/ounce Real
less

30.0%
4
132,120
1.0%
2,400,000
132,120
435,815
15
9,000,000
143,547
3,500,000

4
1.0%
4,000,000
211,872
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
1.0%
5,000,000
11,427
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

560

919

24,500,000
26,349,473
2,884,133
435,815
0
-7,703,789
0
143,547
30.0%
1.0%
-2,311,137
177,251
2,740,585
-2,311,137

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

0
0

0
0

0
0

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs

177,251
-8,068,794

374,443
-8,069,033

410,092
-7,695,166

Cashflow and NPV

Cashlows

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A


103,600,000
0
0
0
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000 4: Taxes0
0
0
Cashstream
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real
162,090,032
0
0
0
16,268,224
35,823,587
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative AA$ Real
98,000,000
3,000,000 Government
40,000,000
40,000,000
6,000,000
6,000,000
Assessable Income
-41,130,868 Royaties0
0
0
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - AlternativeA$AReal
103,600,000
0
0 is 1% of revenue
14,900,000
2 June 11 R0 Torply: SA State Royalty
paid monthly 22,500,000
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A A$Company
Real Income Tax Rate
-10,718,360 % of assessable
0 incomeState Royalty
0
-2,243,387
-2,046,266
0.0%0
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
% of revenue
0.0%
0
0
0
Royalty
A$ Real-2,388,388
1,620,900
Cashflow - Alternative A A$Income
Real Tax
-28,791,608
-3,000,000 State-12,339,260
-40,000,000
-40,000,000
9,369,853
Income tax payment
-12,339,260
0
0
0

IRR - Alternative A

14,900,000
10,716,624
40,716,154
177,251
2,000,000
-8,068,794
23,500,000
-1,898,458
30.0%
1.0%
-2,420,638
0
17,114,612
-2,420,638

22,500,000
22,638,938
43,370,073
374,443
1,000,000
-8,069,033
24,500,000
-1,875,322
30.0%
1.0%
-2,420,710
0
19,745,395
-2,420,710

23,500,000
24,794,226
23,027,861
410,092
0
-7,695,166
18,200,000
-2,798,474
30.0%
1.0%
-2,308,550
0
7,626,335
-2,308,550

43,581,499
792

21,187,237
583

30.0%
1.0%
-3,010,346
374,443
-3,010,346

Company Income Tax

-9.4%
Cashstream 4: Taxes - AlternativeA$AReal

-10,718,360
0
0
0
-2,243,387
-2,046,266
-1,898,458
-1,875,322
2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011 Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
8% for capital expenditure
8%
8%
8%
8%0
8%0
8%0
8%
Tax deduction
98,000,000
10,716,624
Cashlows
Discount Factor
0.96
0.89
0.82
0.76
0.71
0.65
0.61
0.56
0.52
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real
162,090,032
0
0
0
16,268,224
35,823,587
40,716,154
43,370,073
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794
- Alternative AA$ Real-2,886,751
98,000,000
3,000,000
40,000,000
40,000,000
6,000,000
6,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A A$Cashstream
Real 2: Capital Costs-37,833,798
-35,638,906
-32,998,987
-1,824,407
6,627,136
11,208,214
11,973,232
4,281,912
1,424,759
103,600,000
0
0 income -66,721,915
14,900,000
22,500,000
23,500,000
24,500,000
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
A$Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - AlternativeA$AReal-2,886,751 Company
-38,525,657
-73,349,051
-55,513,701
-43,540,468
-39,258,557
-37,833,798
Income Tax Rate-71,524,643
% of assessable
0.0%0
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
Income
Tax
-12,339,260
0
0
0
-2,420,638
A A$ Real
-10,718,360
0
0
0
-2,243,387
-2,046,266
-1,898,458
-1,875,322
NPV - Alternative A
A$Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative
-37,833,798
Income
tax payment -3,000,000
0
0
0
-2,420,638
Cashflow - Alternative A A$ Real
-28,791,608
-40,000,000 -12,339,260
-40,000,000 -2,388,388
9,369,853
17,114,612
19,745,395

Discounting

Cashflow and NPV

Cashstream
-9.4% 4: Taxes - AlternativeA$AReal

IRR - Alternative A

Data for Graphs

Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

Discounting

units

Total

Cashflow
2012 and NPV
2013

2011

2014

-10,718,360

-2,243,387

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

NPV - Alternative A

Data for Graphs

-103,600,000

A$

103,600,000
units

0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

Cashflow
- Alternative
A
-37,833,798
0
0
40,000,000

IRR - Alternative
-40,000,000 A
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

Discounting

0
0A$ Real
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385

-22,500,000

-23,500,000

9,369,853
0

17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858

0
1,000A$ Real
0
0A$
-3,000,000
A$
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A


Cumulative NPV - Alternative A

NPV - Alternative
A
-103,600,000

Data for Graphs


Life of Mine
Ore Production 103,600,000
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Ta

0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-9.4% 9,369,853

6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812

2015

19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

-18,200,000

2016

7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

2017

2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

2018

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

2019

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - A$AltRealernative A

cost per ounce

103,600,000

A$/ounce Real

NPV - Alternative A

4
2,400,000
15
9,000,000
3,500,000

4
4,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

5
5,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
6,000,000
15
15,000,000
3,500,000

6
4,200,000
15
10,500,000
3,500,000

14,900,000

22,500,000

23,500,000

24,500,000

18,200,000

792

583

571

560

919

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
0

1.0%
177,251

1.0%
374,443

1.0%
410,092

1.0%
435,815

37,444,348

A$

-37,833,798

units

Total

Data for Graphs

Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

1.0%
211,872

1.0%
11,427

-103,600,000

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

103,600,000

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

Company Income Tax

22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
23,027,861
-8,069,033
0
18,200,000
30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,798,474
-2,420,710
7,626,335

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
2,884,133
-7,695,166
0
0
30.0%
-2,308,550
143,547
-2,308,550
2,740,585

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

30.0%
132,120
132,120

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

23,500,000
1,424,759
-37,833,798
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

7,626,335

2,740,585

2018

2019

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

Company Income Tax Rate


Income Tax
Income tax payment

% of assessable income 0.0%


-12,339,260
-12,339,260

Cashstream 4: Taxes - AlternativA$e AReal

-10,718,360

41,009,152

43,581,499

21,187,237

1,142,716

22,500,000
22,638,938
374,443
-8,069,033

23,500,000
24,794,226
410,092
-7,695,166

24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

18,200,000
12,809,852
211,872
-10,034,487

0
690,889
11,427
440,400

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
0
0

30.0%
-2,420,638
-2,420,638

30.0%
-2,420,710
-2,420,710

30.0%
-2,308,550
-2,308,550

30.0%
-2,311,137
-2,311,137

30.0%
-3,010,346
-3,010,346

30.0%
132,120
132,120

-2,243,387

-2,046,266

-1,898,458

-1,875,322

-2,798,474

143,547

Cashflow and NPV

Cashlows

Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A A$ Real


Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A $ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - AlternativA$e AReal
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A A$ Real

162,090,032
98,000,000
103,600,000
-10,718,360

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

0
40,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
6,000,000
14,900,000
-2,243,387

35,823,587
6,000,000
22,500,000
-2,046,266

40,716,154
2,000,000
23,500,000
-1,898,458

43,370,073
1,000,000
24,500,000
-1,875,322

23,027,861
0
18,200,000
-2,798,474

2,884,133
0
0
143,547

Cashflow - Alternative A

-28,791,608

-3,000,000

-40,000,000

-40,000,000

-2,388,388

9,369,853

17,114,612

19,745,395

7,626,335

2,740,585

A$ Real

IRR - Alternative A

-9.4%

Discounting

-103,600,000

0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0

25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000

48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000

production,
sales,
revenue

2017

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

2 June 10 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
162,090,032
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
103,600,000
0
0
0
14,900,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
98,000,000
0
0
0
10,716,624
State Royalty
1,620,900
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
-41,130,868
0
0
0
-8,068,794

1.0%
11,427

0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0

43,730

2016

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly


State Royalty
% of revenue
0.0%
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,620,900

1,142,716

0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0

41,158

2015

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

1.0%
211,872

38,585

2014

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

21,187,237

-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
2014
24,442,972
600,000
439
1.3

18,810

-2,886,751 1,000 -35,638,906 1,000 -32,998,987 1,000 -1,824,407 1,000


17,725
37,444
41,009
43,581
-2,886,75116,268,224 -38,525,657
35,823,587 -71,524,643
40,716,154 -73,349,051
43,370,073

2013

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties

1.0%
435,815

8%
40,716,154
0.52
2,000,000

2012

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

103,600,000

43,581,499

-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
2013
23,452,8580
428
0.0

0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

8% 1,000,000
1.7
0.76 54,662

30.0%
1.0%
132,120
410,092
132,120

1%
690,889

143,547

-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
2012
22,048,8120
411
0.0

0
0

8% 1,000,000
1.6
0.82 51,447

2011

-103,600,000

13%
12,809,852

41,009,152

-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
2011
14,040,3850
208
0.0

-37,833,798 1,000
-40,000,000
-37,833,798
0

8% 1,000,000
1.5
0.89 48,232

1,142,716
571

27%
26,349,473

37,444,348

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
6,627,136 1,000
21,187
-66,721,915
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
2015
18,611,194
1,000,000
122
1.5

Total

units
0

-24,500,000

-28,791,6082,046,266 -3,000,0001,898,458 -40,000,000


1,875,322 -40,000,000
2,798,474 -2,388,388-143,547

17 July 10TotalF Green email:


discount
2011 rate for investment
2012 in gold is 8% Real.2013The base date is 1 July
2014 2011
0
0
208
411
428
0% Real
0
0
Discount Rate
8% 600,000
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.3
Discount Factor
0.96 25,080
0
0
0

25%
0
24,794,226

-2,798,474

600,000
1,000,000
1,000,000
1,000,000
700,000
0
17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is0 8% Real. The base 0date is 1 July 2011 0
0.0 Cashlows 0.0
0.0
1.3
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.1
0.0
Discount Rate
% Real
8% 0
8% 25,080
8% 48,232
8% 51,447
8% 54,662
8% 24,759
8% 0
8%
0
0
Cashstream 1: Revenue
- Alternative
0 41,158
0 43,730
0 19,807 16,268,224
Discount Factor
0.96 A 0A$ Real 0.89 18,810 162,090,032
0.82 38,585
0.76
0.71
0.65
0.61 0 35,823,587
0.56
0
0
1,000Cashstream 2: Capital
1,000 Costs - Alternative
1,000AA$ Real
1,000 98,000,000 1,000
3,000,000 1,000 40,000,000 1,000 40,000,000 1,000 6,000,000 1,000 6,000,000
0
0
0
17,725
37,444
41,009
43,581
21,187
1,143
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - AlternativeA$AReal 16,268,224 103,600,000
0 40,716,154 6,627,136
0 43,370,073 11,208,214
0 23,027,861 11,973,232
14,900,0002,884,133 22,500,000
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A A$ Real
-32,998,987
4,281,912
0 -37,833,798 0 -2,886,751 0 -35,638,906
35,823,587 -1,824,407
-3,000,000Cashstream 4:-40,000,000
-6,000,000 -10,718,360
-6,000,000 -73,349,051
0 -43,540,468
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
A$
-2,886,751
-71,524,643
Taxes - Alternative
A-40,000,000A$ Real-38,525,657
0 -2,000,000 -66,721,915
0 -1,000,000 -55,513,701
0
-2,243,387 0 -39,258,557
-2,046,266

Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

Total

23,500,000

583
24,500,000
26,349,473
435,815
-7,703,789

1,620,900
Cashstream 4: Taxes
-41,130,868
Government Royaties

Company Income Tax Rate


Income Tax
Income tax payment

results &
key
inputs

2,000,000

22,500,000

State Royalty
Assessable Income

Intro &
Audit

2,000,000
0

Data for Graphs

Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

8%
0.71

0
0.0
0
0
11,208,214 1,000
1,143
-55,513,7012,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
2016
1,003,779
1,000,000
122
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000

8%
0.65

17 July 10 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A A$ Real
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
A$

NPV - Alternative A

2017

2018
1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000

-37,833,798

A$

-37,833,798

units

Total

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

-35,638,906
-38,525,657

-32,998,987
-71,524,643

-1,824,407
-73,349,051

6,627,136
-66,721,915

11,208,214
-55,513,701

11,973,232
-43,540,468

4,281,912
-39,258,557

1,424,759
-37,833,798

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2019
700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0

Data for Graphs


Life of Mine
Ore Production
Head grade
Contained gold mined
Gold produced
Gold price Forecast
Gold sold
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Alternative A
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Alternative A
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Alternative A
Cashflow if positive
Cashflow Deficit
Cash Flow
Discounted Cashflow - Alternative A
Cumulative NPV - Alternative A
Cost per ounce sold
Check
Pretax margin/oz

capex

www.econom ceva uat on.com.au

-103,600,000

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-3,000,000
0
0
0
3,000,000
-3,000,000
-2,886,751
-2,886,751

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-35,638,906
-38,525,657

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
0
0
-40,000,000
0
0
0
40,000,000
-40,000,000
-32,998,987
-71,524,643

103,600,000

600,000
1.3
25,080
18,810
1,000
17,725
16,268,224
-6,000,000
-14,900,000
2,243,387
0
2,388,388
-2,388,388
-1,824,407
-73,349,051
792
14,040,385
208

1,000,000
1.5
48,232
38,585
1,000
37,444
35,823,587
-6,000,000
-22,500,000
2,046,266
9,369,853
0
9,369,853
6,627,136
-66,721,915
589
22,048,812
411

opex

1,000,000
1.6
51,447
41,158
1,000
41,009
40,716,154
-2,000,000
-23,500,000
1,898,458
17,114,612
0
17,114,612
11,208,214
-55,513,701
572
23,452,858
428

1,000,000
1.7
54,662
43,730
1,000
43,581
43,370,073
-1,000,000
-24,500,000
1,875,322
19,745,395
0
19,745,395
11,973,232
-43,540,468
561
24,442,972
439

700,000
1.1
24,759
19,807
1,000
21,187
23,027,861
0
-18,200,000
2,798,474
7,626,335
0
7,626,335
4,281,912
-39,258,557
878
18,611,194
122

0
0.0
0
0
1,000
1,143
2,884,133
0
0
-143,547
2,740,585
0
2,740,585
1,424,759
-37,833,798
878
1,003,779
122

Taxes &
govt
royalties

Cash flow
NPV, IRR,
etc

peter@econom ceva uat on.com.au

accounting

25

i.
ii.
iii.
iv.

Six principles
Four cashstreams
Worked examples
Three golden rules

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

26

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.

Easy to follow
Tailored to purpose
Transparent
Disciplined, rigorous and consistent
Recording all sources of data
Rapid to audit

These are described on the AusIMM Website


www.ausimm.com.au/content/docs/guidelines_tech_economic_evaluation.pdf

www.economicevaluation.com.au
peter@economicevaluation.com.au

27

Existing case
carbon in pulp technology

NPV - Existing Case


IRR - Existing Case

9.1%

20

20

10

10

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

-20

Cashflow Deficit

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Existing Case

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

-60

Discounted Cashflow - Existing Case

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Existing Case

600,000

6
5
4
3
2
1
0

500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000

0
2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Ore Production

2018

2019

60Existing Case
Gold Ounces (000's)

Existing Case - Mining

Au Grams/Tonne

Tonnes Ore or Ounces Gold

2012

-30
-50

Cashflow if positive

1,000

20

200

2014

Life of Mine

2015

2012

2016

2017

2018

processing cost

units

2019

2013

2014

Gold sold

2011

2020

2015

2016

2017

Gold price Forecast

2018

2019

2020

Pretax margin/oz

Existing Case - Capex

35,000,000
30,000,000
25,000,000
20,000,000
15,000,000
10,000,000
5,000,000
0

A$
2013

0
2011

5,000,000

2012

400

2020

10,000,000

mining cost

1,200

600

15,000,000

2011

- Sales, Price, Margin

800

Head grade

Cumulative NPV - Existing Case

40

Existing Case - Opex

20,000,000

A$

2011

-10
-20
-40

-30
-40 2: Capital Costs - Existing Case
Cashstream

$/ounce

-10

Existing Case - NPV

30

30

A$ M

A$M

2,007,342

A$

Existing Case - Four Cash Streams

40

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Initial Capital Costs

fixed costs

2018

2019

2020

Ongoing Capital Costs

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2,150,000
3.1
213,183

500,000
3.1
49,839
83%
41,367

500,000
3.8
61,093
83%
50,707

500,000
2.9
46,624
83%
38,698

350,000
2.8
31,511
83%
26,154

300,000
2.5
24,116
78%
18,810

175,736

3
0

3
0
0

3
0
0

3
1,085
17,725

3
2,387
40,065

3
2,925
50,169

3
2,233
39,391

3
1,509
26,878

3
0
1,509

3
0
0

1,000
0

1,000
0

1,000
0

1,000
17,725,080

1,000
40,065,236

1,000
50,168,501

1,000
39,390,613

1,000
26,877,999

1,000
1,508,904

1,000
0

30
0

30
0

30
1,456,856

30
3,293,033

30
4,123,438

30
3,237,585

30
2,209,151

30
0

30
0

16,268,224

38,229,059

49,338,096

40,276,467

27,906,433

3,718,055

Total

Cashstream 1: Production and Revenue


Production
10 Aug 11 T Benson mine schedule "Mine Plan 12 June 11"
Ore Production
tonnes
Head grade
grams/tonne
Contained gold mined
ounces
Processing Recovery
% of contained gold
Gold produced
ounces

Sales
23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: "Sales Plan: July 2011"
Gold in circuit
weeks
Gold in circuit
ounces
Gold sold
ounces

175,736

Revenue
23 Aug 10 ABC Company Forecast of gold price
Gold price Forecast
A$/ounce Real
Gold Revenue
A$ Real

1,000
175,736,334

23 Aug 11 J Gomachie: " Sales Plan: July 2011"


Debtors
days
Debtors - Closing
A$ Real

Cashstream 1: Revenue - ExistingA$Case


Real

175,736,334

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs


10 Aug 10 G Dawson "Capital Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates Version G"
Initial Capital Costs
A$ Real
58,000,000
Ongoing Capital Costs
A$ Real
10,000,000

3,000,000

30,000,000

25,000,000

Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Existing


A$ Real
Case

3,000,000

30,000,000

25,000,000

68,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

2,000,000

1,000,000

10%
6,858,601

23%
15,502,975

29%
19,412,366

22%
15,241,935

15%
10,400,262

1%
583,860

0%
0

5
1,500,000
20
6,000,000
3,000,000

5
2,500,000
20
10,000,000
3,000,000

6
3,000,000
20
10,000,000
3,000,000

7
3,500,000
20
10,000,000
3,000,000

8
2,800,000
20
7,000,000
3,000,000

10,500,000

15,500,000

16,000,000

16,500,000

12,800,000

558

375

316

426

489

1%
177,251

1%
400,652

1%
501,685

1%
393,906

1%
268,780

1%
15,089

1%
0

40,065,236

50,168,501

39,390,613

26,877,999

1,508,904

15,500,000
15,502,975
400,652
8,661,608

16,000,000
19,412,366
501,685
14,254,450

16,500,000
15,241,935
393,906
7,254,773

12,800,000
10,400,262
268,780
3,408,957

0
583,860
15,089
909,955

0
0
0
0

Tax deductions for Capital Expenditure


3 May 11 E Hermi Assume all capital is deducted in proportion to the gold sold over the life of mine.
Tax Deduction for Capital Expenditure
% of contained gold
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
68,000,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs


5 May 11 G Dawson "Operating Cost Estimate: Indicative Estimates." There is no waste to be mined.
mining cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
31
mining cost
A$ Real
13,300,000
processing cost per tonne
A$ Real/ tonne ore
100
processing cost
A$ Real
43,000,000
fixed costs
A$ Real
15,000,000

Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Existing


A$ RealCase
cost per ounce

71,300,000

A$/ounce Real

Cashstream 4: Taxes
Government Royaties
2 June 11 R Torply: SA State Royalty is 1% of revenue paid monthly
State Royalty
% of revenue
State Royalty
A$ Real
1,757,363

1%
0

1%
0

1%
0

Company Income Tax


2 June 11 R Torply: Company Income tax rate is 30%. The cash payment averages mid year. Assume operating cost cashstream approximates the cost of goods sold.
Gold Revenue
175,736,334
0
0
0
17,725,080
less
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Existing Case
71,300,000
0
0
0
10,500,000
Tax deduction for capital expenditure
68,000,000
0
0
0
6,858,601
State Royalty
1,757,363
0
0
0
177,251
Assessable Income
34,678,971
0
0
0
189,228
Company Income Tax Rate
Income Tax
Income tax payment

% of assessable income
10,403,691
10,403,691

30%
0
0

30%
0
0

30%
0
0

30%
56,768
56,768

30%
2,598,483
2,598,483

30%
4,276,335
4,276,335

30%
2,176,432
2,176,432

30%
1,022,687
1,022,687

30%
272,986
272,986

30%
0
0

Cashstream 4: Taxes - Existing Case

A$ Real

12,161,055

234,019

2,999,135

4,778,020

2,570,338

1,291,467

288,075

175,736,334
68,000,000
71,300,000
12,161,055

0
3,000,000
0
0

0
30,000,000
0
0

0
25,000,000
0
0

16,268,224
3,000,000
10,500,000
234,019

38,229,059
4,000,000
15,500,000
2,999,135

49,338,096
2,000,000
16,000,000
4,778,020

40,276,467
1,000,000
16,500,000
2,570,338

27,906,433
0
12,800,000
1,291,467

3,718,055
0
0
288,075

0
0
0
0

24,275,280

-3,000,000

-30,000,000

-25,000,000

2,534,205

15,729,924

26,560,076

20,206,129

13,814,966

3,429,979

Cashflow and NPV


Cashlows
Cashstream 1: Revenue - Existing Case
A$ Real
Cashstream 2: Capital Costs - Existing CaseA$ Real
Cashstream 3: Operating Costs - Existing Case
A$ Real
Cashstream 4: Taxes - Existing Case
A$ Real

Cashflow - Existing Case

A$ Real

IRR - Existing Case

9.1%

Discounting
17 July 11 F Green email: discount rate for investment in gold is 8% Real. The base date is 1 July 2011
Discount Rate
% Real
8%
Discount Factor
0.96

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peter@economicevaluation.com.au

Discounted Cashflow - Existing Case


Cumulative NPV - Existing Case

A$ Real
A$

NPV - Existing Case

A$

2,007,342

2,007,342

-2,886,751
-2,886,751

8%
0.89

8%
0.82

8%
0.76

8%
0.71

8%
0.65

8%
0.61

8%
0.56

8%
0.52

8%
0.48

-26,729,179
-29,615,930

-20,624,367
-50,240,297

1,935,792
-48,304,505

11,125,505
-37,179,000

17,393,968
-19,785,033

12,252,613
-7,532,420

7,756,605
224,185

1,783,157
2,007,342

0
2,007,342

28

There are no template models!!!


No black box models!!!
No universal models!!!
No fixed architecture!!!

Instead there is complete freedom to create


the most appropriate model
but it MUST employ the six principles and four
cashstreams.
and it MUST flow intuitively across and down
There are worked examples that can be used as
starting models.

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peter@economicevaluation.com.au

29

1.

People want economic models they can easily


follow and trust.
Some models will become long, complex and detailed but
they must remain intuitive and easy for others to understand

2.

People do not want sophisticated models that


employ a web of Excel functions, draw-down
menus, & clever algorithms.
If only one or two experts can use your model then most
probably it is poor workmanship

3.

The economic model is not the private


domain of the modelling specialist;

It is to be constructed for everyone else to use intuitively

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peter@economicevaluation.com.au

30

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31

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32

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