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CNN/ORC Poll Iowa 12-7-15 Trump Dominates
CNN/ORC Poll Iowa 12-7-15 Trump Dominates
If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following
people you would be most likely to support. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly
Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul,
Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump (RANDOM ORDER)
Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11
2015
2015
2015
Trump
Cruz
Carson
Rubio
Bush
Fiorina
Paul
Christie
Huckabee
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Jindal
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
RP2.
33%
20%
16%
11%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
1%
25%
11%
23%
13%
5%
4%
2%
3%
2%
2%
*
*
2%
*
4%
N/A
N/A
*
*
3%
22%
8%
14%
5%
5%
7%
5%
3%
7%
2%
1%
*
2%
*
2%
1%
9%
*
2%
4%
Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Republican caucus, are you leaning
toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?
Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11
2015
2015
2015
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
POLL IA3
3
26%
26%
48%
*
27%
23%
50%
*
15%
19%
66%
*
-2-
RP3.
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name
a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER)
The economy
Trump
Carson
Cruz
Bush
Rubio
Fiorina
Christie
Paul
Huckabee
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Jindal
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
Illegal immigration
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Huckabee
Kasich
Paul
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Santorum
Jindal
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
POLL IA3
3
RP3.
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name
a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER)
Foreign policy
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Bush
Carson
Paul
Christie
Fiorina
Huckabee
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Jindal
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
21%
19%
17%
8%
7%
6%
4%
4%
3%
2%
1%
*
*
*
N/A
1%
4%
4%
27%
13%
12%
10%
8%
6%
6%
2%
4%
1%
2%
*
*
1%
3%
*
2%
4%
-4-
RP3.
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name
a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER)
ISIS
Trump
Cruz
Bush
Rubio
Carson
Christie
Fiorina
Paul
Huckabee
Graham
Gilmore
Kasich
Pataki
Santorum
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
POLL IA3
3
Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
41%
18%
9%
9%
8%
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
2%
3%
-5-
RP4.
Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER)
25%
22%
18%
11%
7%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
N/A
*
N/A
N/A
1%
*
1%
20%
12%
25%
10%
7%
2%
6%
3%
3%
2%
1%
*
1%
4%
*
N/A
N/A
*
*
1%
Aug. 7-11
2015
12%
10%
14%
4%
6%
6%
11%
5%
3%
3%
1%
1%
1%
5%
*
2%
9%
1%
1%
5%
Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November
Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4
2015
2015
Trump
Cruz
Carson
Rubio
Bush
Christie
Huckabee
Kasich
Paul
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Santorum
Jindal
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
POLL IA3
3
42%
17%
11%
11%
7%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
5%
33%
8%
25%
17%
6%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
*
1%
5%
Aug. 7-11
2015
22%
7%
5%
9%
16%
3%
4%
3%
2%
3%
*
1%
*
2%
1%
*
11%
1%
2%
7%
-6-
RP4.
Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER)
36%
17%
15%
9%
5%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
POLL IA3
3
28%
22%
13%
10%
9%
5%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
-7-
54%
36%
4%
N/A
N/A
N/A
2%
*
3%
55%
37%
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
3%
50%
31%
1%
12%
*
1%
1%
*
4%
DM2. Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Democratic caucus, are you leaning
toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?
Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11
2015
2015
2015
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
POLL IA3
3
38%
22%
39%
*
40%
21%
38%
*
30%
16%
54%
*
-8-
DM3. Im going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle
that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may
not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job
handling: (RANDOM ORDER)
The economy
Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
47%
42%
7%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
2%
42%
31%
3%
14%
*
1%
1%
3%
4%
Health care
Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
63%
31%
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
*
2%
54%
28%
*
13%
*
*
*
2%
2%
Race Relations
Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
POLL IA3
3
52%
36%
6%
1%
*
5%
-9-
DM3. Im going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle
that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may
not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job
handling: (RANDOM ORDER)
Foreign policy
Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
72%
21%
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
*
3%
66%
9%
2%
18%
*
1%
1%
3%
1%
ISIS
Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
POLL IA3
3
67%
19%
5%
3%
3%
3%
-10-
DM4. Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Democratic candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER)
Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself
Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11
2015
2015
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
46%
44%
5%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
2%
50%
42%
4%
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
1%
2%
41%
33%
3%
16%
*
1%
1%
2%
3%
Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November
Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4
2015
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
77%
18%
3%
1%
*
2%
76%
20%
2%
1%
1%
1%
POLL IA3
3
50%
43%
4%
*
*
2%
-11-
5.
Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for
president? (RANDOM ORDER) [READ LIST]
30%
18%
18%
9%
9%
9%
4%
4%
29%
27%
13%
10%
9%
8%
2%
2%
38%
22%
13%
10%
10%
4%
3%
1%
-12-
METHODOLOGY
A total of 2,003 Iowa adults were interviewed by telephone statewide by live interviewers calling both
landline and cellphones. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the
entire sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of
the state.
Respondents were asked questions about whether they are registered to vote, their likelihood of voting, past
voting behavior, and interest in the campaign. Based on the answers to those questions, 1,266 respondents
were classified as likely caucus-goers, including 552 who were likely to participate in the Republican
presidential caucus and 442 who were likely to participate in the Democratic presidential caucus.
The Iowa regions are composed of the following counties: the "East" region is composed of Cedar, Clinton,
Dubuque, Jackson, Johnson, Jones, Linn, Muscatine and Scott counties; the "East Central" region is
composed of Allamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Chickasaw, Clayton, Delaware,
Des Moines, Fayette, Floyd, Grundy, Henry, Howard, Iowa, Jefferson, Keokuk, Lee, Louisa, Mitchell,
Poweshiek, Tama, Van Buren, Wapello, Washington and Winneshiek counties; the "Des Moines Area"
region is composed of Dallas, Madison, Polk, Story and Warren counties; the "Central" region is composed
of Adair, Appanoose, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Emmet, Franklin,
Greene, Guthrie, Hamilton, Hancock, Hardin, Humboldt, Jasper, Kossuth, Lucas, Mahaska, Marion,
Marshall, Monroe, Palo Alto, Pocahontas, Ringgold, Union, Wayne, Webster, Winnebago, Worth and
Wright counties; and the "West" region is composed of Adams, Audubon, Buena Vista, Cass, Cherokee,
Clay, Crawford, Dickinson, Fremont, Harrison, Ida, Lyon, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, O'Brien, Osceola,
Page, Plymouth, Pottawattamie, Sac, Shelby, Sioux, Taylor and Woodbury counties.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to
produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of
the population of Iowa to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted
among these subgroups but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are
not displayed.
POLL IA3
3
-13-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------4%
3%
6%
5%
16%
15%
16%
17%
2%
3%
2%
2%
20%
22%
17%
21%
3%
2%
3%
2%
*
*
*
*
2%
1%
3%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
3%
3%
2%
3%
11%
11%
13%
12%
1%
1%
2%
1%
33%
36%
29%
31%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
16%
2%
20%
3%
*
2%
1%
*
3%
11%
1%
33%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-4.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
4%
N/A
16%
N/A
2%
N/A
23%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
3%
N/A
11%
N/A
1%
N/A
34%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-5.5
5064
----6%
16%
3%
24%
3%
*
3%
2%
*
2%
14%
*
25%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0
65+
----5%
13%
5%
20%
4%
*
1%
3%
*
1%
13%
1%
32%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----7%
17%
2%
19%
2%
*
3%
2%
*
3%
13%
2%
27%
*
2%
1%
1%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----4%
17%
1%
19%
1%
*
2%
1%
*
4%
9%
2%
37%
1%
1%
1%
2%
+/-7.5
50 and
Older
-----5%
15%
4%
22%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
1%
14%
*
28%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-14-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------4%
7%
16%
12%
2%
2%
20%
19%
3%
1%
*
*
2%
2%
1%
*
*
*
3%
4%
11%
12%
1%
3%
33%
32%
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
16%
2%
20%
3%
*
2%
1%
*
3%
11%
1%
33%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-4.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------4%
19%
2%
22%
3%
*
1%
2%
*
2%
12%
*
32%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.5
No
College
------3%
15%
4%
18%
1%
*
3%
*
*
1%
6%
2%
40%
*
2%
2%
3%
+/-8.0
Independent
-----6%
11%
3%
15%
4%
*
2%
*
*
4%
9%
2%
40%
2%
*
*
3%
+/-8.0
Republican
-----4%
18%
2%
23%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
2%
13%
1%
30%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Attended
College
Urban
-----------5%
4%
16%
6%
1%
1%
22%
26%
3%
3%
*
*
2%
1%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
2%
14%
11%
1%
3%
30%
37%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
3%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----7%
18%
2%
11%
1%
*
1%
4%
*
6%
9%
*
37%
*
2%
*
2%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----3%
21%
3%
20%
2%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
11%
1%
33%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.5
Conservative
------4%
16%
3%
27%
3%
*
2%
*
*
1%
13%
2%
29%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-15-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
16%
2%
20%
3%
*
2%
1%
*
3%
11%
1%
33%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-4.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
16%
2%
20%
3%
*
2%
1%
*
3%
11%
1%
33%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-4.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------*
11%
*
33%
2%
*
2%
*
*
2%
10%
2%
33%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-7.0
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------6%
16%
4%
16%
2%
*
1%
1%
*
3%
13%
1%
34%
1%
1%
*
2%
+/-6.0
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------3%
5%
20%
12%
2%
3%
26%
16%
3%
3%
*
*
4%
1%
1%
2%
*
*
1%
4%
12%
11%
2%
*
24%
40%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
2%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5
POLL IA3
3
-16-
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------26%
29%
22%
25%
26%
29%
22%
27%
48%
41%
56%
47%
*
1%
*
*
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----26%
26%
48%
*
+/-4.0
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------26%
27%
26%
22%
48%
50%
*
*
+/-4.0 +/-7.5
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----26%
26%
48%
*
+/-4.0
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----26%
26%
48%
*
+/-4.0
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----26%
26%
48%
*
+/-4.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------32%
29%
39%
1%
+/-7.0
5064
----18%
35%
47%
*
+/-7.0
$50K
or more
------26%
30%
43%
*
+/-5.5
White
Women
-----20%
23%
56%
*
+/-6.5
Under
50
----31%
23%
46%
*
+/-7.5
Attended
College
Urban
-----------27%
40%
27%
20%
47%
40%
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Republican
-----26%
29%
45%
*
+/-5.0
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------23%
23%
53%
*
+/-6.0
65+
----27%
21%
50%
2%
+/-7.0
No
College
------25%
25%
49%
1%
+/-8.0
Independent
-----26%
19%
54%
*
+/-8.0
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
28%
N/A
30%
N/A
41%
N/A
1%
+/-5.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----25%
25%
50%
*
+/-8.0
50 and
Older
-----22%
30%
48%
1%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----22%
29%
49%
1%
+/-5.5
Conservative
------27%
28%
44%
*
+/-5.0
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------21%
29%
29%
24%
49%
47%
1%
*
+/-6.5 +/-5.5
POLL IA3
3
-17-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------7%
7%
6%
7%
10%
9%
10%
10%
3%
3%
3%
2%
10%
11%
8%
10%
4%
3%
6%
4%
*
1%
*
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
3%
4%
2%
3%
5%
5%
5%
5%
1%
1%
1%
1%
52%
52%
52%
52%
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----7%
10%
3%
10%
4%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
5%
1%
52%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
7%
N/A
10%
N/A
2%
N/A
12%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
2%
N/A
*
N/A
4%
N/A
6%
N/A
1%
N/A
52%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
*
+/-5.5
5064
----11%
10%
2%
7%
5%
*
5%
1%
*
1%
6%
*
50%
*
*
*
1%
+/-7.0
65+
----8%
8%
4%
14%
5%
*
1%
3%
*
1%
5%
3%
48%
*
*
*
1%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----7%
10%
3%
9%
4%
*
2%
2%
*
2%
5%
1%
51%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----4%
10%
3%
11%
2%
*
1%
2%
*
5%
5%
*
55%
*
1%
2%
*
+/-7.5
50 and
Older
-----10%
9%
3%
9%
5%
*
4%
2%
*
1%
5%
1%
50%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-18-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------7%
9%
10%
6%
3%
4%
10%
11%
4%
2%
*
*
2%
4%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
4%
5%
7%
1%
1%
52%
46%
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
*
*
+/-4.0 +/-7.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----7%
10%
3%
10%
4%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
5%
1%
52%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------6%
12%
2%
10%
4%
*
*
2%
*
2%
5%
*
55%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.5
No
College
------4%
11%
4%
8%
3%
*
3%
2%
*
3%
3%
1%
55%
*
2%
2%
*
+/-8.0
Independent
-----8%
8%
4%
6%
7%
1%
2%
*
*
5%
5%
1%
51%
*
*
1%
*
+/-8.0
Republican
-----6%
11%
2%
12%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
2%
5%
*
53%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Attended
College
Urban
-----------8%
6%
9%
6%
2%
1%
11%
13%
4%
3%
*
*
1%
3%
2%
1%
*
*
3%
2%
6%
7%
*
1%
52%
56%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----10%
10%
3%
4%
6%
*
2%
3%
*
6%
4%
1%
49%
*
2%
*
*
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----5%
11%
3%
11%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
3%
5%
1%
53%
*
1%
2%
*
+/-5.5
Conservative
------5%
10%
3%
14%
3%
*
2%
1%
*
2%
6%
*
54%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-19-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----7%
10%
3%
10%
4%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
5%
1%
52%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----7%
10%
3%
10%
4%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
5%
1%
52%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------3%
6%
2%
17%
3%
*
1%
1%
*
4%
3%
*
57%
*
*
2%
1%
+/-7.0
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------8%
10%
3%
7%
4%
*
3%
2%
*
3%
7%
1%
52%
*
1%
*
*
+/-6.0
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------5%
8%
13%
7%
3%
3%
12%
8%
2%
6%
*
1%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
*
1%
5%
6%
5%
1%
*
49%
55%
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
*
1%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5
POLL IA3
3
-20-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------6%
6%
6%
7%
9%
10%
7%
9%
2%
2%
1%
2%
16%
18%
12%
16%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
1%
11%
9%
14%
12%
*
*
1%
*
49%
50%
48%
47%
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----6%
9%
2%
16%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
49%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-4.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
6%
N/A
10%
N/A
2%
N/A
18%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
10%
N/A
*
N/A
49%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-5.5
5064
----5%
9%
2%
18%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
44%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-7.0
65+
----6%
4%
3%
24%
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%
11%
*
46%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----7%
8%
1%
13%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
15%
1%
44%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----7%
10%
1%
11%
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
13%
1%
51%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-7.5
50 and
Older
-----6%
7%
2%
20%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
45%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-21-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------6%
6%
9%
7%
2%
2%
16%
17%
1%
*
*
*
1%
2%
1%
*
*
*
1%
2%
11%
10%
*
1%
49%
46%
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----6%
9%
2%
16%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
49%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-4.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------6%
10%
1%
17%
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%
13%
*
47%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.5
No
College
------4%
11%
2%
15%
*
*
2%
*
*
*
8%
*
50%
*
1%
2%
4%
+/-8.0
Independent
-----4%
6%
2%
12%
*
*
*
*
*
2%
12%
1%
54%
*
1%
*
5%
+/-8.0
Republican
-----6%
10%
2%
18%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
12%
*
47%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Attended
College
Urban
-----------7%
4%
7%
3%
2%
1%
16%
20%
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
2%
*
13%
18%
1%
*
48%
49%
*
*
*
*
*
*
2%
4%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----12%
8%
1%
10%
1%
*
*
1%
*
3%
12%
*
48%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----5%
12%
2%
15%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
9%
1%
50%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-5.5
Conservative
------4%
9%
2%
19%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
12%
1%
48%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-22-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----6%
9%
2%
16%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
49%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-4.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----6%
9%
2%
16%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
49%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-4.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------2%
4%
*
26%
1%
*
1%
*
*
1%
8%
1%
52%
*
*
1%
*
+/-7.0
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------6%
10%
2%
11%
1%
*
*
1%
*
2%
14%
*
49%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-6.0
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------5%
7%
14%
5%
1%
3%
19%
13%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
2%
11%
12%
1%
*
42%
54%
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
2%
3%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5
POLL IA3
3
-23-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------9%
9%
9%
10%
8%
6%
12%
9%
3%
2%
4%
2%
21%
23%
18%
21%
3%
3%
3%
2%
*
*
*
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
4%
6%
2%
4%
13%
12%
14%
13%
1%
1%
*
1%
30%
32%
26%
28%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
3%
3%
4%
3%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----9%
8%
3%
21%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
4%
13%
1%
30%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-4.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
9%
N/A
6%
N/A
1%
N/A
23%
N/A
2%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
6%
N/A
13%
N/A
1%
N/A
32%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
3%
+/-5.5
5064
----12%
8%
5%
26%
2%
*
3%
1%
*
1%
15%
1%
22%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0
65+
----10%
5%
4%
20%
2%
1%
1%
3%
*
*
19%
2%
24%
*
*
1%
7%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----10%
13%
4%
19%
1%
*
2%
2%
*
2%
14%
*
23%
*
2%
1%
4%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----7%
10%
1%
19%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
8%
9%
*
37%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-7.5
50 and
Older
-----11%
7%
4%
23%
2%
1%
2%
2%
*
1%
17%
1%
23%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-24-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------9%
9%
8%
7%
3%
2%
21%
19%
3%
2%
*
*
2%
2%
2%
*
*
*
4%
7%
13%
11%
1%
2%
30%
33%
*
*
1%
2%
1%
2%
3%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----9%
8%
3%
21%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
4%
13%
1%
30%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-4.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------10%
10%
3%
23%
2%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
15%
*
27%
*
*
*
4%
+/-5.5
No
College
------7%
8%
4%
17%
1%
*
2%
*
*
6%
9%
2%
35%
*
2%
2%
3%
+/-8.0
Independent
-----11%
7%
3%
15%
6%
*
3%
*
*
7%
9%
1%
32%
*
1%
*
6%
+/-8.0
Republican
-----8%
9%
2%
24%
1%
*
1%
2%
*
3%
15%
1%
29%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-5.0
Attended
College
Urban
-----------10%
7%
9%
3%
2%
1%
23%
21%
2%
3%
*
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
2%
15%
15%
*
1%
28%
37%
*
*
*
*
*
*
3%
4%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----14%
10%
4%
9%
2%
1%
1%
3%
*
8%
9%
*
32%
*
2%
*
5%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----8%
11%
2%
22%
2%
*
1%
*
*
4%
13%
1%
30%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-5.5
Conservative
------7%
8%
3%
28%
2%
*
3%
*
*
2%
16%
1%
27%
*
*
*
2%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-25-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----9%
8%
3%
21%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
4%
13%
1%
30%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-4.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----9%
8%
3%
21%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
4%
13%
1%
30%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-4.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------5%
5%
*
36%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
4%
10%
*
33%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-7.0
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------11%
9%
4%
14%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
4%
16%
1%
30%
*
1%
*
5%
+/-6.0
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------8%
10%
11%
6%
2%
3%
27%
16%
2%
4%
*
1%
3%
1%
*
2%
*
*
2%
6%
12%
14%
1%
*
24%
34%
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
4%
3%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5
POLL IA3
3
-26-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------4%
4%
4%
4%
21%
20%
21%
22%
3%
3%
3%
2%
17%
20%
12%
18%
7%
5%
10%
6%
*
*
1%
*
6%
4%
8%
6%
2%
2%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
4%
4%
3%
4%
8%
6%
10%
9%
1%
1%
2%
2%
19%
21%
18%
17%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
1%
4%
4%
3%
4%
4%
5%
1%
4%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
21%
3%
17%
7%
*
6%
2%
*
4%
8%
1%
19%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-4.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
4%
N/A
21%
N/A
2%
N/A
21%
N/A
5%
N/A
*
N/A
4%
N/A
2%
N/A
*
N/A
4%
N/A
7%
N/A
1%
N/A
19%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
4%
N/A
5%
+/-5.5
5064
----6%
22%
4%
15%
9%
*
10%
1%
*
4%
8%
1%
10%
*
2%
2%
4%
+/-7.0
65+
----3%
16%
5%
22%
5%
*
6%
4%
*
1%
9%
2%
17%
*
*
2%
7%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----5%
23%
3%
13%
7%
1%
9%
1%
*
3%
11%
2%
16%
*
2%
4%
2%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----4%
22%
1%
17%
5%
*
3%
1%
*
5%
8%
2%
24%
*
*
6%
2%
+/-7.5
50 and
Older
-----5%
20%
5%
18%
7%
*
9%
2%
*
3%
9%
1%
13%
*
1%
2%
5%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-27-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------4%
5%
21%
19%
3%
3%
17%
14%
7%
3%
*
1%
6%
7%
2%
2%
*
*
4%
6%
8%
7%
1%
3%
19%
21%
*
*
1%
2%
4%
6%
4%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
21%
3%
17%
7%
*
6%
2%
*
4%
8%
1%
19%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-4.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------4%
24%
2%
18%
8%
*
5%
2%
*
3%
9%
1%
16%
*
*
3%
3%
+/-5.5
No
College
------3%
17%
5%
14%
5%
1%
7%
2%
*
3%
5%
2%
25%
*
2%
3%
6%
+/-8.0
Independent
-----6%
13%
3%
9%
9%
1%
8%
3%
*
8%
5%
1%
25%
*
2%
3%
5%
+/-8.0
Republican
-----4%
24%
3%
21%
7%
*
5%
1%
*
2%
10%
2%
16%
*
*
3%
3%
+/-5.0
Attended
College
Urban
-----------5%
3%
23%
13%
2%
4%
19%
22%
7%
8%
*
*
6%
4%
2%
5%
*
*
4%
1%
9%
9%
1%
5%
17%
19%
*
*
*
1%
4%
1%
3%
6%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----9%
18%
3%
8%
6%
1%
4%
2%
*
7%
5%
*
26%
*
1%
4%
6%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----5%
26%
3%
18%
5%
1%
4%
1%
*
3%
7%
1%
20%
*
*
4%
3%
+/-5.5
Conservative
------2%
23%
3%
23%
7%
*
7%
1%
*
2%
10%
2%
14%
*
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-28-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
21%
3%
17%
7%
*
6%
2%
*
4%
8%
1%
19%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-4.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----4%
21%
3%
17%
7%
*
6%
2%
*
4%
8%
1%
19%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-4.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------*
21%
1%
28%
4%
*
7%
*
*
5%
6%
2%
19%
*
1%
2%
4%
+/-7.0
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------6%
21%
4%
13%
8%
1%
5%
1%
*
3%
10%
1%
19%
*
1%
3%
4%
+/-6.0
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------3%
5%
27%
16%
2%
4%
21%
14%
4%
9%
1%
*
9%
3%
1%
2%
*
*
2%
5%
8%
8%
2%
1%
15%
23%
*
*
1%
*
2%
5%
2%
5%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5
POLL IA3
3
-29-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------9%
8%
10%
9%
8%
5%
10%
8%
3%
2%
4%
3%
18%
20%
15%
18%
2%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
9%
9%
10%
10%
*
1%
*
*
41%
46%
35%
40%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
3%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----9%
8%
3%
18%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
9%
*
41%
*
1%
2%
3%
+/-4.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
8%
N/A
6%
N/A
2%
N/A
20%
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
10%
N/A
1%
N/A
45%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
3%
+/-5.5
5064
----11%
5%
3%
20%
*
*
2%
*
*
1%
13%
*
39%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-7.0
65+
----7%
5%
6%
20%
*
1%
1%
*
*
2%
10%
*
41%
*
*
2%
4%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----10%
11%
4%
16%
*
2%
2%
*
*
2%
10%
*
33%
*
2%
2%
4%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----9%
10%
2%
16%
1%
2%
1%
*
*
3%
7%
1%
42%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-7.5
50 and
Older
-----10%
5%
4%
20%
*
1%
2%
*
*
1%
12%
*
40%
*
*
1%
4%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-30-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------9%
11%
8%
6%
3%
1%
18%
13%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
2%
4%
9%
12%
*
1%
41%
41%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----9%
8%
3%
18%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
9%
*
41%
*
1%
2%
3%
+/-4.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------8%
9%
4%
23%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
7%
*
40%
*
*
*
3%
+/-5.5
No
College
------7%
7%
3%
15%
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
5%
1%
50%
*
2%
4%
2%
+/-8.0
Independent
-----12%
9%
3%
14%
4%
*
3%
*
*
2%
10%
*
39%
*
*
2%
3%
+/-8.0
Republican
-----8%
7%
3%
20%
1%
2%
1%
*
*
2%
9%
1%
42%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-5.0
Attended
College
Urban
-----------10%
7%
8%
3%
3%
3%
19%
22%
1%
1%
2%
4%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
3%
1%
11%
9%
*
2%
38%
44%
*
*
*
*
1%
3%
3%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----14%
9%
4%
8%
2%
*
1%
1%
*
4%
9%
*
41%
*
2%
2%
4%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----8%
9%
3%
18%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
10%
*
42%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-5.5
Conservative
------7%
7%
3%
24%
*
2%
2%
*
*
1%
10%
1%
40%
*
*
*
3%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-31-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----9%
8%
3%
18%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
9%
*
41%
*
1%
2%
3%
+/-4.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----9%
8%
3%
18%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
9%
*
41%
*
1%
2%
3%
+/-4.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------4%
5%
1%
28%
*
1%
1%
*
*
2%
8%
1%
46%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-7.0
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------11%
8%
4%
13%
1%
2%
*
*
*
3%
11%
*
41%
*
1%
2%
4%
+/-6.0
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------11%
8%
12%
4%
2%
4%
22%
15%
1%
2%
3%
*
3%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
3%
9%
10%
1%
*
33%
47%
*
*
1%
*
1%
2%
2%
4%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5
POLL IA3
3
-32-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------7%
6%
9%
8%
18%
16%
20%
19%
2%
1%
3%
2%
22%
27%
15%
23%
3%
2%
4%
2%
*
*
*
*
4%
3%
6%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
5%
6%
3%
4%
11%
10%
12%
11%
1%
1%
1%
1%
25%
26%
22%
22%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
*
*
1%
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----7%
18%
2%
22%
3%
*
4%
1%
*
5%
11%
1%
25%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-4.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
6%
N/A
17%
N/A
1%
N/A
28%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
3%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
5%
N/A
10%
N/A
1%
N/A
24%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
+/-5.5
5064
----9%
23%
2%
25%
2%
*
7%
1%
*
3%
10%
*
16%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0
65+
----6%
13%
4%
19%
6%
*
4%
2%
*
*
15%
2%
26%
*
*
2%
1%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----10%
21%
3%
16%
2%
*
7%
1%
*
3%
12%
1%
19%
*
2%
1%
2%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----7%
17%
1%
22%
1%
*
3%
1%
*
7%
10%
*
28%
*
2%
*
1%
+/-7.5
50 and
Older
-----8%
19%
3%
22%
3%
*
6%
1%
*
2%
12%
1%
20%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-33-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------7%
12%
18%
13%
2%
1%
22%
20%
3%
*
*
*
4%
5%
1%
*
*
*
5%
7%
11%
11%
1%
1%
25%
25%
*
*
1%
2%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----7%
18%
2%
22%
3%
*
4%
1%
*
5%
11%
1%
25%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-4.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------5%
22%
2%
24%
3%
*
4%
2%
*
3%
11%
*
23%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.5
No
College
------6%
17%
3%
18%
1%
*
7%
*
*
3%
5%
2%
31%
*
4%
1%
2%
+/-8.0
Independent
-----7%
12%
2%
19%
5%
*
5%
*
*
10%
9%
1%
26%
*
2%
*
*
+/-8.0
Republican
-----7%
20%
2%
23%
2%
*
4%
1%
*
2%
12%
*
23%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-5.0
Attended
College
Urban
-----------8%
8%
18%
8%
1%
1%
24%
27%
3%
5%
*
*
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
5%
2%
13%
13%
*
1%
22%
29%
*
*
*
3%
*
*
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----10%
19%
2%
14%
2%
*
*
3%
*
6%
8%
*
30%
*
4%
1%
*
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----5%
24%
1%
21%
1%
*
3%
1%
*
5%
11%
1%
25%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-5.5
Conservative
------6%
18%
2%
28%
2%
*
6%
*
*
2%
13%
1%
20%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-34-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----7%
18%
2%
22%
3%
*
4%
1%
*
5%
11%
1%
25%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-4.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----7%
18%
2%
22%
3%
*
4%
1%
*
5%
11%
1%
25%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-4.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------4%
13%
*
38%
1%
*
7%
*
*
5%
7%
*
22%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------8%
20%
3%
16%
2%
*
2%
*
*
4%
13%
1%
27%
*
2%
*
1%
+/-6.0
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------7%
7%
23%
14%
2%
2%
25%
20%
2%
4%
*
*
8%
1%
*
1%
*
*
2%
7%
11%
11%
1%
*
17%
30%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5
POLL IA3
3
-35-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------7%
6%
7%
7%
11%
12%
11%
12%
1%
1%
1%
1%
17%
21%
13%
17%
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
11%
10%
12%
12%
*
1%
*
1%
42%
41%
42%
41%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
5%
3%
7%
4%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----7%
11%
1%
17%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
42%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-4.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
6%
N/A
12%
N/A
1%
N/A
20%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
11%
N/A
1%
N/A
41%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
3%
+/-5.5
5064
----4%
11%
1%
21%
1%
*
2%
1%
*
1%
19%
*
34%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-7.0
65+
----5%
7%
2%
21%
*
*
*
*
*
*
16%
*
38%
*
1%
1%
9%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----8%
12%
1%
14%
*
*
2%
1%
*
1%
13%
*
41%
*
1%
1%
6%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----9%
14%
1%
14%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
5%
1%
48%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-7.5
50 and
Older
-----5%
10%
1%
21%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
17%
*
35%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-36-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------7%
11%
11%
10%
1%
1%
17%
17%
*
1%
*
*
1%
2%
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
11%
10%
*
1%
42%
41%
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
5%
3%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----7%
11%
1%
17%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
42%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-4.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------4%
14%
1%
18%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
13%
*
41%
*
*
1%
4%
+/-5.5
No
College
------6%
8%
2%
18%
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
6%
*
50%
*
3%
*
3%
+/-8.0
Independent
-----6%
8%
1%
9%
*
1%
2%
*
*
*
8%
2%
50%
*
3%
1%
8%
+/-8.0
Republican
-----7%
13%
1%
21%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
13%
*
38%
*
*
1%
3%
+/-5.0
Attended
College
Urban
-----------7%
9%
13%
6%
1%
1%
17%
22%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
1%
1%
14%
7%
1%
*
39%
45%
*
*
*
3%
1%
1%
5%
5%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----12%
11%
3%
9%
*
*
*
3%
*
2%
6%
*
45%
*
3%
1%
4%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----4%
14%
1%
17%
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
11%
*
44%
*
*
1%
5%
+/-5.5
Conservative
------4%
12%
*
22%
*
*
2%
*
*
*
15%
*
39%
*
*
1%
3%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-37-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----7%
11%
1%
17%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
42%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-4.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----7%
11%
1%
17%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
42%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-4.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------2%
9%
*
27%
*
*
1%
*
*
2%
13%
*
42%
*
*
1%
3%
+/-7.0
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------9%
12%
2%
14%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
10%
1%
44%
*
2%
1%
4%
+/-6.0
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------4%
8%
14%
9%
*
2%
22%
14%
1%
*
*
1%
3%
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
11%
11%
*
1%
36%
46%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
*
5%
5%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5
POLL IA3
3
-38-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------5%
5%
5%
5%
15%
14%
15%
16%
3%
3%
3%
3%
17%
20%
13%
17%
3%
3%
4%
3%
*
*
*
*
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
3%
4%
2%
4%
9%
7%
11%
10%
1%
1%
1%
1%
36%
36%
35%
34%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
1%
2%
1%
4%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----5%
15%
3%
17%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
9%
1%
36%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-4.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
5%
N/A
15%
N/A
3%
N/A
20%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
4%
N/A
8%
N/A
1%
N/A
35%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
+/-5.5
5064
----6%
15%
2%
19%
5%
*
4%
1%
*
2%
9%
1%
31%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0
65+
----4%
10%
6%
17%
2%
*
2%
4%
*
*
14%
*
36%
*
*
3%
1%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----5%
16%
3%
14%
3%
*
3%
2%
*
2%
12%
1%
33%
*
2%
1%
4%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----3%
17%
2%
17%
2%
*
1%
2%
*
6%
7%
1%
38%
*
2%
*
2%
+/-7.5
50 and
Older
-----6%
13%
4%
18%
4%
*
3%
2%
*
1%
11%
*
33%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-39-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------5%
7%
15%
12%
3%
4%
17%
13%
3%
2%
*
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
5%
9%
10%
1%
2%
36%
34%
*
*
1%
3%
1%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----5%
15%
3%
17%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
9%
1%
36%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-4.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------3%
17%
3%
20%
3%
*
2%
3%
*
2%
10%
*
35%
*
*
*
2%
+/-5.5
No
College
------3%
15%
2%
14%
1%
*
4%
*
*
5%
5%
3%
39%
*
5%
2%
2%
+/-8.0
Independent
-----5%
11%
3%
12%
6%
*
3%
3%
*
7%
6%
*
38%
*
3%
1%
2%
+/-8.0
Republican
-----5%
16%
3%
20%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
2%
10%
1%
34%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-5.0
Attended
College
Urban
-----------5%
5%
15%
5%
3%
3%
18%
22%
3%
3%
*
*
2%
1%
3%
3%
*
*
3%
4%
11%
10%
*
3%
34%
38%
*
*
*
3%
*
*
2%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----7%
16%
3%
6%
2%
*
*
4%
*
6%
8%
*
39%
*
5%
*
3%
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----3%
20%
3%
18%
3%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
10%
*
34%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-5.5
Conservative
------4%
15%
3%
23%
3%
*
3%
1%
*
2%
10%
1%
33%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-40-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----5%
15%
3%
17%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
9%
1%
36%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-4.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----5%
15%
3%
17%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
9%
1%
36%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-4.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------1%
10%
2%
32%
3%
*
2%
*
*
4%
7%
1%
35%
*
*
*
2%
+/-7.0
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------6%
15%
2%
11%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
3%
11%
1%
38%
*
3%
1%
3%
+/-6.0
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------2%
6%
21%
9%
2%
4%
21%
13%
4%
3%
*
*
3%
1%
1%
3%
*
*
1%
5%
9%
9%
1%
*
27%
42%
*
*
2%
1%
1%
*
3%
2%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5
POLL IA3
3
-41-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------10%
12%
9%
11%
13%
13%
13%
14%
5%
4%
5%
4%
22%
25%
19%
23%
2%
1%
3%
1%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
2%
1%
*
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
2%
3%
2%
9%
7%
11%
9%
1%
2%
*
2%
28%
30%
26%
26%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
2%
*
3%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----10%
13%
5%
22%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
2%
9%
1%
28%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-4.0
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
12%
N/A
14%
N/A
3%
N/A
25%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
8%
N/A
2%
N/A
29%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
+/-5.5
5064
----8%
13%
7%
27%
2%
1%
4%
2%
*
2%
9%
*
22%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0
65+
----9%
9%
4%
23%
2%
1%
1%
2%
*
*
14%
2%
31%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----9%
14%
5%
20%
1%
1%
3%
2%
*
3%
11%
*
24%
*
2%
*
3%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----13%
15%
3%
20%
*
*
2%
*
*
4%
7%
2%
30%
*
2%
*
1%
+/-7.5
50 and
Older
-----9%
11%
6%
25%
2%
1%
2%
2%
*
1%
11%
1%
25%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-42-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------10%
12%
13%
11%
5%
5%
22%
19%
2%
1%
*
*
2%
3%
1%
*
*
*
2%
2%
9%
10%
1%
4%
28%
27%
*
*
1%
2%
*
*
2%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----10%
13%
5%
22%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
2%
9%
1%
28%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-4.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------11%
15%
4%
25%
1%
*
2%
2%
*
2%
9%
*
28%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.5
No
College
------6%
16%
7%
18%
*
*
2%
*
*
1%
4%
3%
34%
*
4%
*
2%
+/-8.0
Independent
-----12%
8%
7%
16%
5%
1%
4%
*
*
4%
6%
3%
33%
*
3%
*
*
+/-8.0
Republican
-----9%
15%
4%
26%
1%
*
1%
2%
*
1%
10%
1%
27%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-5.0
Attended
College
Urban
-----------13%
8%
12%
4%
3%
2%
25%
32%
2%
1%
1%
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
2%
11%
9%
1%
3%
26%
32%
*
*
*
3%
*
*
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----15%
15%
8%
10%
2%
1%
1%
2%
*
5%
8%
*
29%
*
4%
*
*
+/-8.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----9%
19%
4%
22%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
8%
1%
29%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-5.5
Conservative
------8%
12%
3%
31%
1%
*
2%
1%
*
1%
11%
1%
27%
*
*
*
2%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-43-
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----10%
13%
5%
22%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
2%
9%
1%
28%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-4.0
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----10%
13%
5%
22%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
2%
9%
1%
28%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-4.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------6%
8%
2%
39%
1%
*
2%
1%
*
3%
7%
1%
29%
*
*
*
2%
+/-7.0
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------11%
13%
6%
16%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
12%
2%
30%
*
3%
*
2%
+/-6.0
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------7%
13%
17%
10%
4%
5%
28%
18%
2%
2%
*
1%
4%
1%
2%
1%
*
*
1%
3%
8%
10%
2%
1%
21%
34%
*
*
2%
1%
*
*
2%
1%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5
POLL IA3
3
-44-
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------54%
51%
57%
53%
4%
6%
4%
3%
36%
40%
34%
39%
2%
1%
3%
2%
*
*
*
*
3%
3%
3%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----54%
4%
36%
2%
*
3%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------54%
56%
4%
3%
36%
35%
2%
4%
*
*
3%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----54%
4%
36%
2%
*
3%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----54%
4%
36%
2%
*
3%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----54%
4%
36%
2%
*
3%
+/-4.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----57%
4%
34%
2%
*
4%
+/-5.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----57%
8%
31%
2%
1%
1%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------50%
4%
42%
*
*
4%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----54%
3%
36%
3%
*
3%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Attended
College
Urban
-----------50%
59%
4%
5%
40%
34%
2%
1%
*
*
3%
2%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------51%
4%
39%
5%
*
1%
+/-8.5
65+
----69%
4%
19%
*
1%
7%
+/-7.5
No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
49%
N/A
4%
N/A
44%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-7.5
Liberal
----47%
3%
45%
*
*
3%
+/-7.0
Moderate
----57%
5%
33%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0
50 and
Older
-----62%
7%
26%
1%
1%
4%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----55%
2%
36%
4%
1%
2%
+/-7.0
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------56%
5%
35%
*
*
4%
+/-6.0
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
51%
N/A
5%
N/A
38%
N/A
2%
N/A
*
N/A
3%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-45-
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------38%
33%
43%
39%
22%
23%
21%
24%
39%
44%
36%
37%
*
1%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----38%
22%
39%
*
+/-4.5
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------38%
44%
22%
15%
39%
41%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-7.5
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----38%
22%
39%
*
+/-4.5
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----38%
22%
39%
*
+/-4.5
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----38%
22%
39%
*
+/-4.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----41%
23%
36%
*
+/-5.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----42%
19%
39%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------34%
29%
37%
*
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----41%
24%
35%
*
+/-6.5
Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Attended
College
Urban
-----------42%
40%
25%
17%
33%
44%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-8.0
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------24%
19%
57%
*
+/-8.5
65+
----52%
20%
28%
*
+/-7.5
No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
36%
N/A
23%
N/A
41%
N/A
*
+/-7.5
Liberal
----43%
30%
27%
1%
+/-7.0
Moderate
----35%
17%
48%
*
+/-7.0
50 and
Older
-----47%
19%
34%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----37%
23%
39%
1%
+/-7.0
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------50%
26%
23%
*
+/-6.0
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
39%
N/A
21%
N/A
39%
N/A
*
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-46-
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------47%
41%
52%
45%
7%
8%
6%
6%
42%
48%
37%
45%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
*
3%
1%
2%
3%
1%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----47%
7%
42%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------47%
52%
7%
5%
42%
38%
1%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----47%
7%
42%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----47%
7%
42%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----47%
7%
42%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----48%
6%
43%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----55%
10%
33%
1%
*
1%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------41%
6%
50%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----49%
5%
40%
1%
3%
1%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Attended
College
Urban
-----------45%
50%
6%
8%
45%
38%
1%
*
2%
1%
1%
3%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------45%
6%
40%
2%
3%
3%
+/-8.5
65+
----59%
9%
29%
2%
1%
1%
+/-7.5
No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
38%
N/A
7%
N/A
51%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-7.5
Liberal
----34%
7%
52%
1%
2%
3%
+/-7.0
Moderate
----54%
7%
37%
*
1%
1%
+/-7.0
50 and
Older
-----57%
9%
31%
1%
*
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----49%
3%
42%
2%
2%
1%
+/-7.0
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------45%
8%
46%
1%
*
*
+/-6.0
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
45%
N/A
6%
N/A
43%
N/A
1%
N/A
2%
N/A
2%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-47-
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that
issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting
for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling:
B. Health care
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------63%
56%
69%
61%
3%
3%
2%
2%
31%
36%
28%
34%
1%
2%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
3%
1%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----63%
3%
31%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------63%
69%
3%
2%
31%
26%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----63%
3%
31%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----63%
3%
31%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----63%
3%
31%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----65%
2%
30%
1%
*
2%
+/-5.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----61%
5%
31%
1%
*
3%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------59%
1%
38%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----67%
2%
30%
*
*
1%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Attended
College
Urban
-----------61%
74%
2%
2%
36%
23%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------62%
4%
29%
2%
*
4%
+/-8.5
65+
----76%
2%
19%
1%
*
2%
+/-7.5
No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
53%
N/A
3%
N/A
39%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-7.5
Liberal
----53%
2%
44%
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0
Moderate
----71%
2%
24%
2%
*
1%
+/-7.0
50 and
Older
-----67%
4%
26%
1%
*
2%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----58%
1%
37%
2%
*
3%
+/-7.0
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------63%
2%
35%
*
*
*
+/-6.0
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
60%
N/A
3%
N/A
34%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-48-
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that
issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting
for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling:
C. Race relations
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------52%
48%
55%
50%
6%
9%
5%
6%
36%
38%
35%
38%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
5%
5%
5%
5%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----52%
6%
36%
1%
*
5%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------52%
58%
6%
6%
36%
29%
1%
1%
*
*
5%
6%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----52%
6%
36%
1%
*
5%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----52%
6%
36%
1%
*
5%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----52%
6%
36%
1%
*
5%
+/-4.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----54%
4%
36%
*
*
6%
+/-5.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----60%
7%
29%
1%
*
3%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------44%
6%
45%
1%
*
4%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----52%
5%
37%
*
*
6%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Attended
College
Urban
-----------49%
52%
7%
7%
41%
38%
1%
*
*
*
3%
3%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------50%
8%
36%
*
*
5%
+/-8.5
65+
----69%
5%
19%
1%
*
6%
+/-7.5
No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
46%
N/A
8%
N/A
41%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
4%
+/-7.5
Liberal
----44%
7%
45%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0
Moderate
----57%
7%
32%
*
*
4%
+/-7.0
50 and
Older
-----64%
6%
25%
1%
*
4%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----56%
5%
32%
1%
*
7%
+/-7.0
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------52%
6%
38%
*
*
4%
+/-6.0
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
51%
N/A
7%
N/A
36%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
5%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-49-
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that
issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting
for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling:
D. Foreign policy
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------72%
73%
71%
71%
3%
3%
4%
3%
21%
22%
20%
22%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
*
3%
*
5%
3%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----72%
3%
21%
1%
*
3%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------72%
68%
3%
5%
21%
21%
1%
2%
*
1%
3%
4%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----72%
3%
21%
1%
*
3%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----72%
3%
21%
1%
*
3%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----72%
3%
21%
1%
*
3%
+/-4.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----73%
3%
20%
*
*
4%
+/-5.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----83%
4%
11%
1%
*
1%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------74%
1%
21%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----68%
3%
22%
1%
*
6%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Attended
College
Urban
-----------71%
70%
3%
5%
21%
24%
1%
*
*
*
3%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------62%
6%
24%
2%
1%
6%
+/-8.5
65+
----85%
3%
8%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.5
No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
74%
N/A
2%
N/A
22%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
+/-7.5
Liberal
----68%
3%
25%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0
Moderate
----75%
3%
20%
*
1%
1%
+/-7.0
50 and
Older
-----84%
3%
10%
1%
*
2%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----74%
1%
19%
2%
*
4%
+/-7.0
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------80%
1%
17%
*
*
1%
+/-6.0
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
71%
N/A
2%
N/A
22%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
3%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-50-
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that
issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting
for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling:
E. ISIS
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------67%
63%
71%
66%
5%
7%
4%
4%
19%
21%
17%
20%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
6%
1%
3%
3%
2%
4%
3%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----67%
5%
19%
3%
3%
3%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------67%
65%
5%
6%
19%
19%
3%
5%
3%
3%
3%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----67%
5%
19%
3%
3%
3%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----67%
5%
19%
3%
3%
3%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----67%
5%
19%
3%
3%
3%
+/-4.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----69%
5%
19%
1%
2%
3%
+/-5.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----74%
4%
16%
1%
1%
4%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------68%
3%
21%
1%
4%
3%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----69%
4%
19%
3%
1%
3%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Attended
College
Urban
-----------68%
69%
5%
9%
20%
18%
1%
2%
2%
1%
3%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------62%
8%
21%
4%
3%
2%
+/-8.5
65+
----74%
2%
15%
1%
2%
6%
+/-7.5
No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
62%
N/A
5%
N/A
22%
N/A
3%
N/A
6%
N/A
2%
+/-7.5
Liberal
----67%
3%
26%
1%
1%
1%
+/-7.0
Moderate
----67%
5%
16%
2%
6%
4%
+/-7.0
50 and
Older
-----74%
3%
15%
1%
2%
5%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----67%
2%
19%
4%
4%
3%
+/-7.0
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------70%
3%
18%
2%
3%
4%
+/-6.0
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
67%
N/A
5%
N/A
18%
N/A
3%
N/A
3%
N/A
3%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-51-
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which
Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which
Democratic candidate do you think...
A. Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------46%
44%
48%
43%
5%
8%
2%
4%
44%
44%
44%
48%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----46%
5%
44%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------46%
49%
5%
4%
44%
41%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----46%
5%
44%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----46%
5%
44%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----46%
5%
44%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----48%
3%
44%
*
2%
3%
+/-5.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----51%
7%
39%
1%
2%
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------44%
4%
48%
*
2%
1%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----44%
3%
48%
1%
2%
2%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Attended
College
Urban
-----------41%
49%
6%
4%
48%
43%
1%
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------47%
4%
43%
1%
3%
1%
+/-8.5
65+
----59%
5%
30%
1%
1%
4%
+/-7.5
No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
42%
N/A
7%
N/A
46%
N/A
1%
N/A
2%
N/A
1%
+/-7.5
Liberal
----33%
4%
61%
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0
Moderate
----53%
5%
34%
*
5%
3%
+/-7.0
50 and
Older
-----55%
6%
35%
1%
2%
2%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----48%
3%
43%
2%
3%
2%
+/-7.0
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------42%
6%
48%
*
2%
2%
+/-6.0
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
46%
N/A
5%
N/A
45%
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
2%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-52-
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which
Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which
Democratic candidate do you think...
B. Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------77%
73%
79%
78%
3%
3%
2%
2%
18%
20%
17%
18%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
2%
1%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----77%
3%
18%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------77%
76%
3%
3%
18%
17%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
3%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----77%
3%
18%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----77%
3%
18%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----77%
3%
18%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----80%
1%
17%
*
*
1%
+/-5.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----82%
5%
13%
1%
*
*
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------76%
1%
22%
1%
*
*
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----80%
2%
16%
1%
*
1%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Attended
College
Urban
-----------74%
74%
2%
3%
22%
20%
1%
*
*
*
1%
3%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------65%
3%
29%
2%
*
1%
+/-8.5
65+
----87%
1%
8%
1%
1%
2%
+/-7.5
No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
72%
N/A
2%
N/A
21%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
3%
+/-7.5
Liberal
----74%
1%
22%
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0
Moderate
----80%
3%
14%
*
*
3%
+/-7.0
50 and
Older
-----84%
3%
11%
1%
*
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----78%
2%
17%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------85%
2%
11%
*
*
2%
+/-6.0
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
76%
N/A
2%
N/A
19%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-53-
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------43%
40%
46%
39%
4%
6%
3%
4%
50%
52%
49%
54%
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
2%
*
3%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----43%
4%
50%
*
*
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Under
Total
$50K
--------43%
54%
4%
3%
50%
42%
*
*
*
1%
2%
*
+/-4.5 +/-7.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----43%
4%
50%
*
*
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----43%
4%
50%
*
*
2%
+/-4.5
Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error
Total
----43%
4%
50%
*
*
2%
+/-4.5
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Democrat
----43%
3%
52%
*
*
1%
+/-5.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5064
----49%
8%
42%
1%
*
1%
+/-8.0
$50K
or more
------32%
4%
61%
1%
*
2%
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----43%
3%
51%
*
*
3%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Attended
College
Urban
-----------36%
50%
3%
3%
57%
46%
1%
*
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------47%
3%
47%
*
1%
1%
+/-8.5
65+
----54%
6%
37%
1%
1%
2%
+/-7.5
No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
34%
N/A
6%
N/A
59%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
+/-7.5
Liberal
----32%
4%
62%
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0
Moderate
----45%
5%
47%
*
1%
3%
+/-7.0
50 and
Older
-----51%
7%
40%
1%
*
2%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----43%
3%
50%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------36%
5%
57%
*
*
2%
+/-6.0
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
43%
N/A
5%
N/A
50%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-54-
1834
----8%
9%
18%
13%
10%
31%
5%
4%
+/-6.0
Under
Total
$50K
--------Foreign policy
9%
11%
Illegal immigration
9%
7%
Health care
18%
19%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
11%
Terrorism
18%
15%
The economy
30%
33%
Other
4%
3%
No opinion
4%
3%
Sampling Error
+/-2.0 +/-4.5
3549
----7%
9%
17%
7%
19%
33%
4%
4%
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------10%
10%
14%
10%
21%
33%
2%
1%
+/-4.0
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----4%
10%
16%
9%
24%
13%
5%
8%
16%
17%
26%
36%
5%
4%
3%
3%
+/-7.5
+/-3.5
5064
----9%
7%
19%
7%
22%
29%
4%
2%
+/-4.0
No
College
------7%
10%
22%
5%
19%
29%
4%
4%
+/-3.5
65+
----11%
9%
17%
6%
22%
27%
3%
4%
+/-3.5
White
Women
-----9%
6%
21%
11%
20%
25%
3%
4%
+/-3.0
Under
50
----8%
9%
18%
11%
14%
32%
5%
4%
+/-4.0
50 and
Older
-----10%
8%
18%
7%
22%
28%
3%
3%
+/-2.5
Attended
SubCollege
Urban
urban
Rural
-------------------10%
8%
8%
9%
8%
7%
10%
9%
15%
21%
12%
18%
12%
9%
9%
9%
17%
19%
15%
19%
31%
28%
40%
27%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
4%
3%
4%
+/-3.0 +/-4.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.0
POLL IA3
3
-55-
Democrat
----8%
5%
24%
10%
13%
35%
3%
3%
+/-4.0
Total East
----- ---Foreign policy
9%
11%
Illegal immigration
9%
6%
Health care
18%
16%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
9%
Terrorism
18%
16%
The economy
30%
32%
Other
4%
4%
No opinion
4%
6%
Sampling Error
+/-2.0 +/-4.5
Total
----Foreign policy
9%
Illegal immigration
9%
Health care
18%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
Terrorism
18%
The economy
30%
Other
4%
No opinion
4%
Sampling Error
+/-2.0
Independent
-----7%
8%
21%
8%
16%
29%
6%
5%
+/-3.5
Republican
-----12%
12%
8%
9%
27%
26%
2%
3%
+/-4.0
Des
East
Moines
Central
Area
------- -----7%
7%
9%
10%
19%
17%
7%
8%
18%
16%
31%
34%
5%
2%
3%
4%
+/-5.0 +/-4.5
Tea Pty
Support
------12%
9%
7%
10%
32%
25%
1%
3%
+/-6.5
Tea Pty
Neutral
------9%
10%
19%
10%
16%
31%
3%
2%
+/-4.0
Liberal
----9%
6%
22%
14%
14%
32%
2%
1%
+/-6.5
Moderate
----8%
9%
18%
7%
14%
38%
3%
2%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------15%
9%
11%
11%
24%
26%
2%
2%
+/-4.5
Central West
------- ----10%
7%
9%
10%
21%
17%
11%
9%
17%
25%
24%
25%
4%
4%
4%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-5.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------13%
4%
17%
10%
13%
40%
3%
1%
+/-5.0
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------11%
8%
11%
8%
17%
18%
10%
8%
24%
17%
24%
31%
2%
4%
1%
5%
+/-5.0 +/-2.5
POLL IA3
3
-56-
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
--------Foreign policy
10%
13%
Illegal immigration
4%
4%
Health care
22%
21%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
10%
6%
Terrorism
13%
15%
The economy
38%
36%
Other
3%
3%
No opinion
1%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-7.5
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------7%
4%
19%
14%
10%
42%
3%
1%
+/-7.0
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
10%
N/A
6%
N/A
15%
N/A
6%
N/A
15%
N/A
45%
N/A
2%
N/A
*
+/-7.5
5064
----7%
1%
28%
7%
17%
37%
4%
*
+/-8.0
No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
65+
----14%
7%
23%
3%
20%
29%
3%
2%
+/-7.5
White
Women
-----12%
1%
24%
14%
11%
34%
2%
2%
+/-6.5
Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Attended
College
Urban
-----------13%
8%
3%
6%
17%
24%
14%
8%
11%
10%
37%
38%
4%
2%
2%
3%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0
50 and
Older
-----10%
3%
26%
5%
18%
34%
3%
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----12%
3%
25%
7%
14%
36%
2%
1%
+/-7.0
POLL IA3
3
-57-
Total
----Foreign policy
10%
Illegal immigration
4%
Health care
22%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
10%
Terrorism
13%
The economy
38%
Other
3%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Foreign policy
10%
Illegal immigration
4%
Health care
22%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
10%
Terrorism
13%
The economy
38%
Other
3%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Democrat
----10%
4%
23%
9%
11%
38%
3%
2%
+/-5.0
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------11%
6%
22%
9%
12%
37%
3%
1%
+/-8.5
Liberal
----11%
2%
22%
16%
11%
33%
3%
2%
+/-7.0
Moderate
----10%
6%
17%
5%
15%
43%
2%
1%
+/-7.0
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------10%
2%
19%
11%
11%
41%
3%
2%
+/-6.0
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
11%
N/A
4%
N/A
20%
N/A
11%
N/A
11%
N/A
38%
N/A
3%
N/A
2%
+/-5.0
POLL IA3
3
-58-
1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Under
Total
$50K
--------Foreign policy
13%
12%
Illegal immigration
10%
8%
Health care
8%
9%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
11%
Terrorism
27%
22%
The economy
29%
33%
Other
2%
1%
No opinion
2%
4%
Sampling Error
+/-4.0 +/-7.5
3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------13%
12%
8%
9%
28%
28%
1%
1%
+/-5.5
White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
14%
N/A
9%
N/A
6%
N/A
8%
N/A
21%
N/A
37%
N/A
2%
N/A
3%
+/-5.5
5064
----14%
11%
7%
8%
33%
24%
2%
1%
+/-7.0
No
College
------12%
13%
10%
7%
23%
31%
3%
2%
+/-8.0
65+
----15%
12%
5%
10%
30%
27%
1%
*
+/-7.0
White
Women
-----14%
12%
10%
12%
32%
18%
2%
*
+/-6.5
Under
50
----13%
9%
9%
10%
20%
33%
2%
3%
+/-7.5
Attended
College
Urban
-----------14%
15%
9%
6%
7%
6%
10%
11%
28%
34%
28%
25%
1%
4%
2%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
50 and
Older
-----14%
11%
6%
9%
32%
25%
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rural
----15%
11%
9%
10%
26%
24%
1%
3%
+/-5.5
POLL IA3
3
-59-
Total
----Foreign policy
13%
Illegal immigration
10%
Health care
8%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
Terrorism
27%
The economy
29%
Other
2%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-4.0
Total
----Foreign policy
13%
Illegal immigration
10%
Health care
8%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
Terrorism
27%
The economy
29%
Other
2%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-4.0
Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Independent
-----10%
11%
12%
3%
23%
37%
3%
2%
+/-8.0
East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Support
------12%
10%
3%
10%
36%
25%
1%
4%
+/-7.0
Republican
-----15%
10%
5%
12%
29%
26%
1%
2%
+/-5.0
Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Neutral
------12%
11%
10%
9%
23%
31%
2%
1%
+/-6.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----9%
13%
11%
5%
16%
42%
2%
1%
+/-8.0
Conservative
------15%
9%
6%
12%
30%
24%
2%
2%
+/-5.0
Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------13%
14%
12%
9%
11%
5%
13%
6%
27%
26%
20%
36%
2%
2%
2%
2%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5
POLL IA3
3
-60-