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Corp Govern - Liquidity
Corp Govern - Liquidity
Corp Govern - Liquidity
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Rich panel data for a large and representative sample of Estonian firms are used to
estimate the sensitivity of access to capital to differing ownership structures. This
is done through explicitly modelling firm investment behaviour in a dynamic setting
in the presence of adjustment costs, liquidity constraints and imperfect
competition. We estimate Euler equations derived in the presence of symmetric
and quadratic adjustment costs and both debt and equity constraints. Generalized
Method of Moments (GMM) estimates confirm the importance of access to capital in
determining investment rates and suggest that firms owned by insiders, especially
non-managerial employees, are more prone to be liquidity constrained than others.
Comparative Economic Studies (2010) 52, 82103. doi:10.1057/ces.2009.10;
published online 3 December 2009
INTRODUCTION
The importance of liquidity constraints in firms real investment decisions
has long been the focus of economic research (Stein, 2003). The literature
finds that access to capital is not unlimited and is determined by the degree of
informational asymmetries and agency costs. The large extant empirical work
has focused on identifying indicators at the firm level, such as dividend
payout ratios, bond rating, degree of bank affiliation, membership in financial
conglomerates, firm size, firm age and/or governance structure, that
approximate for the severity of capital market imperfections and explain
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1
This literature, which started with the seminal work of Fazzari et al. (1988), is large and
includes, for instance, Devereux and Schiantarelli (1990), Hoshi et al. (1991), Whited (1992), Oliner
and Rudebusch (1992), Schaller (1993), Galeotti et al. (1994), Petersen and Rajan (1994), Bond and
Meghir (1994), Vogt (1994), Hubbard et al. (1995), Kaplan and Zingales (1997), Hu and Schiantarelli
(1998), Hadlock (1998), Cleary (1999), Kaplan and Zingales (2000), Fazzari et al. (2000), Goergen
and Renneboog (2001), Alti (2003), Moyen (2004), Clementi and Hopenhayn (2006), Hanazaki and
Qun (2007) and Hennessy et al. (2007).
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The traditional analysis of employee ownership assumes that employee-owned firms are
characterized by collective ownership and non-transferable individual rights. An important
development in transition economies is that, in most of the cases, employee-owners are share
owners, that is, they own part of the firm on an individual basis and are able to trade shares in the
capital markets. However, these firms still retain a strong degree of collective ownership by imposing
limits on share trading. Evidence of this is provided by, for example, Kalmi (2002) for Estonia. In a
field survey of firms under insider ownership, the author reports that in only 6% of his sample were
there no restrictions on share trading. Furthermore, in 92% of the cases insiders are asked to offer
their shares first to current shareholders.
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At the same time, there are competing views of the role of employee-owners.
In particular, a large literature points to employee ownership having a
potentially powerful motivational effect, resulting in better mutual monitoring and heightened discretionary effort (Kruse and Blasi, 1997). It is clearly
possible that, if these effects dominate, then outside investors hesitation to
invest in employee-owned firms would be overcome.
Similarly, there are competing hypotheses concerning the role of
managerial ownership. In one camp are those who see increases in
managerial ownership as beneficial. One argument is that managerial
ownership better aligns the interests of managers and shareholders and,
consequently, lowers managerial discretion. Also, management buy-outs
serve as screening mechanisms that allow only highly qualified, growthoriented managers to become owners.3 Finally, it is noted that markets for
corporate control serve as disciplining devices for managers.
However, most researchers take a more pessimistic view concerning
the effects of managerial ownership (Morck et al., 1988). They argue that at
high levels, it4 is associated with entrenchment and divergence of interests
between managers and shareholders. In transition economies, managerial
shareholding in post-privatization ownership configurations, in the form of
majority, dominant or minority shareholders, is substantial. The possibility
of entrenchment and subsequent rent-seeking or asset-stripping behaviour
on the part of managers has been an argument against managerial ownership (Djankov, 1999). The likelihood of this happening depends to a large
extent on managers outside career opportunities and portfolio diversification, the way they obtain shares and the efficiency of the market for corporate
control. When outside career opportunities do not exist and managers
have invested most of their human and financial capital in the firm, they will
try to hold on to their equity share by following policies, including
investments, which will increase their job security. Furthermore, a managers
behaviour might be fundamentally different depending on whether she/he
acquires the firm through a managerial buy-out or gets it either free or in
the framework of a voucher-funded privatization. If ownership is gained
through one of the latter two methods, the manager might perceive it as a
Financing of an Managerial Buy-outs (MBO) often requires external financing, which only
qualified managers might be able to raise.
4
The models on which these conclusions are based start from zero managerial ownership and
then consider the dynamics once managerial ownership increases. However, the definition of low
and high managerial ownership should not be taken as meaning majority (dominant) versus
minority managerial ownership. High managerial ownership could be considered a stake around
10%.
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windfall gain and consume it faster than earned income (Djankov, 1999).
In addition, in an environment of high uncertainty and underdeveloped
capital markets, informational asymmetries might lead to adverse selection
problems in the market for corporate control (Earle and Estrin, 1996).
Overall, for most researchers on transition economies, these arguments imply
that ownership concentration in the hands of managers is likely to lead to
managers entrenchment, which is expected to exacerbate informational
asymmetries and lead to more expensive external finance and less
investment.
When managers control, but do not own, the firm, agency problems
arise. Under these circumstances the identity of outside owners is crucial to
their ability to curb managerial discretion. We distinguish three types of
outside owners: the state, foreign and domestic outside owners. The
efficiency of each in disciplining management results in differences in
managerial discretion across firms, which, in turn, results in differences in
access to capital and investment behaviour. High degrees of managerial
discretion mean that managers can engage in unprofitable investment
projects or even in projects with negative present value that are valuable
to them and lead to their entrenchment. Moreover, high managerial
discretion accentuates the degree of information asymmetry and makes
external finance more expensive. The outcome is a reliance on internal funds,
which results in investment being highly sensitive to the availability of
internal finance.
When a firm is under foreign ownership, managerial discretion is kept at
minimal levels because foreign owners are expected to possess enough
experience and resources to engage in effective monitoring. Moreover,
conventional wisdom is that foreign owners have access to their parent
companys resources and/or to international capital markets and thus the
investment behaviour of foreign-owned firms is not expected to be
constrained by the availability of either internal or external finance. On
the other hand, foreign ownership may not always enhance business
performance. Foreigners may understand local culture much less than
locals. They may also be less effective in coping with corruption and suffer
more from information failure of various kinds. When ownership is
concentrated in the hands of domestic outside investors the degree
of effective monitoring depends on the identity, number and size of
investors. Depending on the combination of these factors several scenarios
might arise. For instance, if ownership is concentrated in the hands of a
few big institutional investors with experience, resources and low coordination costs, then effective monitoring will be possible. Alternatively,
if ownership is dispersed in the hands of a large number of small investors,
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Kt ;Lt ;Bt
1
X
bts Dts
s1
As Shleifer and Vishny (1997) point out, state ownership can be viewed as relation between a
principal and two agents. The principal is the body of citizens, who are the ultimate owners of the
firm. Being dispersed they have no ability or resources to monitor the state, that is the politicians
and bureaucrats, who act as the first agent and who themselves have to monitor managers, the
second agent. Both agents usually have objectives quite different from those of the principal and can
easily collude to pursue their objectives at the expense of the principal.
6
Except for the time index, the firms maximization problem has to be written with a firm
identification index. Given that it plays no role in altering the solution to the problem not to
complicate notation the index is dropped.
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xt1
where I denotes investment, K capital, S sales, L labour, B debt as a measure
of external financing and CF cash flow as a measure of internal funds.7
Equation 2 is derived under the assumption that firms are dividend
maximizers, whereas equation 3 is derived under the assumption that firms
are dividend per worker maximizers.
7
Although our model is similar to the one of Bond and Meghir (1994) there is an important
difference with respect to the final estimating equations. Our estimating equations 2 and 3 differ
from the ones of Bond and Meghir (1994) in that our liquidity terms enter in first differences while
theirs in levels. This difference arises from the way financial constraints are specified in our model.
We have adopted an approach that allows for explicit solution of Lagrangean multiplier related to
dividend constraint in terms of financial variables. Our models solution is available from the
authors upon request.
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The following seven criteria were applied to the data: the firms capital at the beginning and
the end of the period should be positive, investment should be non-negative, investment should be
smaller than end of period capital stock, sales should be positive, the average employment per year
should be positive and equal to or greater than 10, labour cost in a given year should be positive and
ownership shares should add up to 100.
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Table 1: Ownership distribution over time according to dominant owner
Year ownership group 1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Total
Domestic outsiders
Employee
Former employees
Foreign
Managers
State
No answer
Total
94
54
0
60
53
181
56
498
97
47
11
63
65
262
110
41
14
68
76
204
1
514
95
27
19
67
81
172
19
480
90
26
15
59
71
123
18
402
119
29
16
72
84
6
31
357
118
24
13
79
87
19
4
344
104
19
3
72
77
15
104
19
3
72
77
15
290
290
1,012
334
94
654
716
1,225
183
4,218
81
48
0
42
45
228
54
498
545
Note: A firm is considered to be dominantly owned by the owner who holds the largest share.
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Table 2: Means and standard deviations in parentheses of principal variables
Variablesa
Investment
Mean
St. dev.
3,715
(15,218)
4,207
Capital
Sales
Employmentb
Real wagec
Cash flow
Debt
15,168
(46,382)
28,428
(73,559)
154
(327)
24.72
(16.19)
2,364
(14,106)
2,158
(3,591)
4,218
4,218
4,218
4,218
4,218
4,218
All the variables except employment are expressed in thousands of Estonian kroons and in 1993 prices.
Average number of employees in a given year.
c
Real average wage per employee.
b
increase over time, that, on average, the cash flow is positive, that short-term
debt increases over time and that cash flow and short-term debt are
approximately the same in almost all years. Another important feature of
Estonian firms during this period is that, on average, they have become more
capital intensive, as demonstrated by the increase in capital and decrease in
employment.
In terms of equations 2 and 3 coefficients a are functions of these structural parameters. These
functions can be solved to obtain the parameters of interest, which are then reported in the
respective tables. The exact solution for the parameters is available from the authors upon request.
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Table 3: GMM estimates of investment functions by ownership group for dividend maximization model
Ownership group parameters
State
owned
2.131***
(4.75)
Optimal investment-capital ratio, b
0.206**
(2.143)
Market power parameter, Z
0.783
(0.882)
Internal funds parameter
0.027***
(4.178)
Internal funds squared parameter
0.001
(1.038)
External funds parameter
0.003
(0.837)
External funds squared parameter
0.002
(0.483)
Firm size
0.218
(0.974)
F-test 5% critical value
19.28
1.75
Sargans statistic degrees of Freedom 27.17
14
0.17
Second order autocorrelation test
0.83
0.57
No. of observations
342
0.216
Adjusted R2
Employee
owned
2.916***
(2.49)
0.089**
(2.033)
0.871
(0.804)
0.047***
(3.218)
0.004*
(1.683)
0.059**
(1.819)
0.014**
(2.092)
0.337*
(1.673)
17.37
1.75
33.92
14
0.18
0.93
0.33
239
0.227
Manager
owned
Foreign
owned
2.216**
1.457***
(1.27)
(7.12)
0.142*
0.193**
(1.679)
(2.236)
0.918
1.117**
(1.398)
(2.073)
0.022
0.010
(0.982)
(0.478)
0.002
0.000
(0.819)
(1.227)
0.026*** 0.000
(2.371)
(0.128)
0.011***
0.001
(5.328)
(1.192)
0.518**
0.278
(2.017)
(1.117)
13.17
21.63
1.75
1.75
29.81
19.03
14
14
0.38
0.14
1.15
0.58
0.26
0.48
307
284
0.231
0.208
Domestic
outsider
owned
2.117**
(1.71)
0.184***
(4.729)
1.067***
(5.028)
0.031**
(1.678)
0.000
(0.559)
0.022***
(3.827)
0.001
(1.017)
0.308**
(2.218)
27.12
1.75
22.48
14
0.15
0.51
0.62
296
0.199
Notes: Values in brackets denote respective t-statistics. Each model is estimated with time dummies,
whose estimates are not reported here. Internal funds are measured by the sum of cash flow, short-term
assets and revenue from sale of non-current assets, whereas external funds are measured by the amount
of outstanding debt. The t-statistics of adjustment cost, optimal investment/capital ratio and market
power parameters are calculated using delta method with analytical first derivatives. Instrument sets
include all real and financial variables lagged three periods or more. All regressions include the inverse of
Mills Ratio to account for sample selection bias.
***significant at 1% significance level; **significant at 5% significance level; *significant at 10%
significance level.
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Table 4: GMM estimates of investment functions by ownership group for dividend per worker
maximization model
Ownership group parameters
State
owned
2.047*
(1.648)
Optimal investment-capital ratio, b
0.217***
(4.226)
Market power parameter, Z
1.005
(0.221)
Internal funds parameter
0.017**
(2.019)
Internal funds squared parameter
0.001*
(1.648)
External funds parameter
0.001
(0.925)
External funds squared parameter
0.001
(0.682)
Firm size
0.178
(0.775)
F-test 5% critical value
31.26
1.67
Sargans statistic degrees of Freedom 15.25
14
0.27
Second order autocorrelation test
1.17
0.31
No. of observations
342
2
0.227
Adjusted R
Employee
owned
2.218**
(1.748)
0.193***
(6.681)
0.967
(1.026)
0.028**
(2.127)
0.001**
(2.186)
0.005**
(1.891)
0.002**
(2.018)
0.269
(1.053)
19.92
1.67
11.48
14
0.65
1.56
0.38
239
0.231
Manager
owned
Foreign
owned
Domestic
outsider
owned
1.883***
1.357***
1.448**
(5.328)
(2.918)
(1.782)
0.178**
0.373***
0.283**
(2.018)
(4.552)
(2.179)
1.117
1.218**
1.307***
(0.729)
(2.216)
(3.471)
0.001
0.001
0.021***
(1.003)
(0.836)
(4.128)
0.000
0.001
0.000
(0.983)
(0.483)
(0.348)
0.003
0.002
0.001
(0.482)
(1.184)
(0.218)
0.001
0.005
0.002
(0.581)
(0.318)
(0.735)
0.492**
0.117
0.478**
(2.241)
(0.952)
(1.927)
17.67
22.93
25.82
1.67
1.67
1.67
12.51
11.89
17.15
14
14
14
0.68
0.66
0.21
1.11
0.56
0.71
0.29
0.61
0.47
305
280
292
0.248
0.206
0.218
Notes: Values in brackets denote respective t-statistics. Each model is estimated with time dummies,
whose estimates are not reported here. Internal funds are measured by the sum of cash flow, short-term
assets and revenue from sale of non-current assets, whereas external funds are measured by the amount
of outstanding debt. The t-statistics of adjustment cost, optimal investment/capital ratio and market
power parameters are calculated using delta method with analytical first derivatives. Instrument sets
include all real and financial variables lagged three periods or more. All regressions include the inverse of
Mills Ratio to account for sample selection bias.
***significant at 1% significance level; **significant at 5% significance level; *significant at 10%
significance level.
with a set of variables that are correlated with them but not with the error
term.
However, this instrumental variable approach is not without problems.
Finding appropriate instruments for ownership dummies is difficult. The
literature on the determinants of ownership structures identifies firm size,
productivity, profitability, capital intensity, financing requirements and/or
firm quality as determinants of ownership shares. All these variables could
serve as instruments for the endogenous ownership dummies. The application of the instrumental variable approach requires all instruments to be
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find that adjustment costs for foreign-owned firms vary between 15% and
19% of investment expenditures, for domestic outsider-owned firms between
19% and 24%, for manager-owned firms between 27% and 34%, for
employee-owned firms between 32% and 37% and for state-owned firms
between 27% and 33%. When optimal investment/capital ratios are
compared with their sample means across ownership groups we find that
state-owned firms have the lowest deviation of actual investment rate from
the optimal, while manager and employee-owned firms have the highest.
This suggests that, even accounting for the non-zero value of b in calculating
adjustment costs, manager and employee-owned firms will face large
adjustment costs relative to investment expenditures. Finally, the estimates
of the market power parameter are insignificant for state, manager and
employee-owned firms. In contrast, the values of this parameter for domestic
outsider and foreign-owned firms are positive, significant and well above
unity, indicating that these firms operate in the elastic portion of their
demand curve and enjoy some monopoly power.
Important differences in investment behaviour across ownership groups
emerge when inspecting the estimates of coefficients of financial variables.
Comparing the coefficients across groups several things are worth noting.
First, as expected, different types of firms display different sensitivity to
measures of financial constraints. As seen from the tables, estimates of all
coefficients of financial variables for foreign-owned firms are insignificant,
indicating that these firms are not constrained in any sense in their
investment behaviour. Given that foreign-owned firms in Estonia might be
either subsidiaries or joint ventures with foreign partners, it is highly
probable that profits earned in other countries could be invested in Estonia
and vice versa. Consequently, the measures of internal funds and debt as
defined here will not be relevant to these firms. Instead, measures of global
funds across different markets where these firms operate will be needed to
describe their behaviour.
Other types of firms, albeit to differing degrees, display sensitivity to the
availability of internal and/or external finance. Manager-owned firms are the
only ones not displaying significant sensitivity to the availability of internal
funds, whereas state, domestic outsider and employee-owned firms all
display positive and significant sensitivity to measures of internal funds,
implying different degrees of financing constraints. Among the latter three
groups, the sensitivity is highest for employee-owned firms, followed by
state-owned firms. For example, the estimate of the internal funds parameter
in Table 3 for employee-owned firms is 0.047. This estimate is 75% larger
than the one for state-owned firms and about 50% larger than the one for
domestic outsider-owned firms. The differences in estimates vary depending
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on the objective function assumed, but the pattern remains the same. The
estimate of internal funds squared parameter, included to capture potential
non-linearities, is significant only for employee-owned firms, indicating that
for these firms the availability of internal finance is crucial in investment
policies.
Our results are consistent with a body of studies that find cash flow an
important predictor of investment and interpret its coefficient as an indicator
of financial constraints (Fazzari et al., 2000; Aggarwal and Zong, 2006). One
argument against such an interpretation is that these coefficients also proxy
for future investment opportunities (Kaplan and Zingales, 2000). However, if
measures of cash flow are equally correlated with future opportunities across
all firm types, then the differences in these coefficients are unbiased
indicators of differences in financing constraints. This conjecture is tested
by estimating an equation with sales as the dependent variable and different
lags of cash flow, ownership dummies and their interaction with lagged
cash flow variables as independent variables. The results, not reported
here, show that cash flow predicts future sales across all firms and that the
effect is larger for foreign and domestic outsider-owned firms than for the
other types. This finding supports the conjecture that differences in the
internal funds parameter between, for example, employee-owned or stateowned firms and foreign-owned firms are a good predictor of financial
constraints.
Further evidence of financial constraints comes from the inspection of
coefficients of external finance variables. In this case, state-owned firms
display no sensitivity to the availability of external finance, as shown by the
insignificant coefficients of debt and its squared parameters. This could
serve as an indicator that state-owned firms are not as constrained as might
be conjectured in raising external finance, that is they might be operating in a
soft budget constraints regime. Alternatively, it could be conjectured that, due
to the high price they have to pay for external finance, they rely mostly on
internal funds to finance their investment, as expressed by the positive and
significant coefficient of the internal funds parameters, and, as such, have
not yet hit their credit limit. Finally, the significant coefficient of internal
finance and the insignificant coefficient of external finance could also be
interpreted as evidence of managerial discretion and their preferences against
outside control. In contrast, all other domestic-owned firms, whether
domestic outsider-owned, manager-owned or employee-owned, do seem to
have hit their debt limit in that, whenever significant, higher levels of debt
are associated with lower investment rates. The sensitivities are highest,
in absolute value, for employee-owned firms and then for domestic
outsider-owned firms across all specifications. Interestingly, the case of
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Table 5: Results of testing for the existence of different objective functions across ownership groups
using the Davidson and Mackinnon J-test for non-nested models
Model ownership group
Dividend
model
Dividend per
worker model
Dividend
model
Dividend per
worker model
State
t=6.94***
(0.000)
t=11.56***
(0.000)
t=5.37***
(0.000)
t=10.55***
(0.000)
Foreign
t=0.89
(0.578)
t=8.37***
(0.000)
t=1.04
(0.148)
t=11.21***
(0.000)
Domestic
t=1.58
(0.218)
t=6.53***
(0.000)
t=0.68
(0.237)
t=6.19***
(0.000)
Manager
t=8.12***
(0.000)
t=4.82***
(0.000)
t=8.45***
(0.000)
t=12.38***
(0.000)
Employee
t=12.75***
(0.000)
t=10.18***
(0.000)
t=0.38
(0.682)
t=1.27
(0.528)
Notes: The table reports the results of testing whether firm behaviour across ownership groups is better
characterized by maximization of the discounted present value of total dividends or by maximization of
the discounted present value of dividends per worker. The t-statistic corresponds to the fitted values of
the alternative model added as an additional variable in the basic model, which is the one identified in
the respective column. Numbers in brackets are the respective P-values. A significant coefficient of the
fitted values leads to the rejection of the respective basic model in favour of the alternative one.
***significant at 1% significance level; **significant at 5% significance level; *significant at 10%
significance level.
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