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Research Project Latest Irfan
Research Project Latest Irfan
Supervised by:
Submitted by:
Irfan Asghar
Section-B
2011-ag-1400
Semester 7th
MBA 3.5 Years
Abstract
The present study aims to investigate the impact of liquidity on profitability
so that every firm has to maintain this relationship while in conducting day to
day operations. This study examine the impact of liquidity on firms
profitability of chemical firms that are listed in Karachi Stock Exchange for
the period of 5 years from 2009 to 2013. Current ratio, Quick ratio and Liquid
ratios are used as on the other side Return on Asset (ROA) used as indicators
of firms profitability. Multiple Regressions is used to determine the impact of
liquidity on firms profitability. The result of the study shows that there is
significant impact of current ratio on return on asset and there, but quick
ratio and liquid ratio have weak impact on ROA. The main results of the study
demonstrate that each ratio (variable) has an impact on the financial
positions of enterprises.
Key words: Liquidity ratios, Return on Assets, Regression analysis
1. Introduction
Chemical sector plays a fundamental role in the economic development of
any nation. The global business of chemical forms the structure of the
modern world. It converts essential raw materials into more than 70,000
various products, for industry as well as the goods of consumers that people
depend on in their daily life. The modern chemical industry can be divided
into four wide categories, including basic chemicals, specialty chemicals, life
sciences, and consumer products. The cause for its outstanding success is
the constant scientific and technological advances and breakthroughs, which
have
led
to
the
expansion
of
new
products
and
procedures.
planning which is very important for the efficient working of firm. For efficient
performance of the firm, there must be proper flow of funds. This fund is
called working capital which is equally defined as the net current assets, or
the current assets less the current liabilities (Prasana, 2000).
Liquidity has been a source of worry for the management of the firm.
Liquidity plays an important role in the successful functioning of a firm. When
we say about the liquidity of an asset its mean that how quickly it can be
transformed into cash. When we referring to company liquidity is the
condition which shows that firms are able to pay its current liabilities and it is
measured by different financial ratios. Liquidity ratios are used for liquidity
management in every organization in the form of current ratio, quick ratio
and Liquid ratio that greatly effect on profitability of organization
Profitability is a measure of the amount by which a companys revenue
exceeds its relevant expenses. The profitability of a firm means its ability to
generate income which surpasses its liabilities. Profitability is usually
measured by different ratios such as ROA, ROE. Profitability ratios shows that
how effectively management can make profits from the sales. Profitability
ratios are very important for the company because potential investors are
interested in the dividends and market price of the stock, so they focus on
profitability ratios. But managers are more interested in measuring the
operating performance in terms of profitability. So a low profit margin leads
to ineffective management and we may lost our potential investors.
Efficient liquidity management includes planning and controlling current
assets and current liabilities in such a manner that eliminates the risk of the
inability to meet due short-term obligations, on one hand, and avoids
excessive investment in these assets, on the other. A firm must ensure that it
does not suffer from lack-of or excess liquidity to meet its short-term
obligations. Therefore firm should try to maintain a balance between liquidity
and profitability.
from low liquidity position and if it has high liquid assets than it reduce the
firms profitability. The firms liquidity should not be too high or too low.
Excessive dependence on liquidity indicates the accumulation of idle funds
that dont fetch any profits for the firm (Smith, 1980).On other side,
insufficient liquidity might be damage the firms goodwill. Hence in this study
we will examine the impact of liquidity on profitability of listed chemical
companies in Pakistan.
Research Question
The concept of Liquidity has been a source of worry to the management of
firms of the uncertainty of the future.
Increasing profitability would tend to reduce firms liquidity and too much
attention on liquidity would tend to affect the profitability (Smith, 1980).
Saleem and Rehman (2011) they conclude that liquidity ratios affect the
profitability ratios and profitability is improved for oil and gas sector that hold
some liquid assets. Shahchera (2012), Bordeleau and Graham (2010) also
find that liquidity is improved for the banks which hold some liquid assets.
2. Literature Review
Liquidity and Profitability, both are very important topics of finance. So,
many researchers of finance seeks to evaluate the connections between
liquidity and profitability and large number of studies have been conducted
to find the relationship between the Liquidity and Profitability. In research
papers, some scholars argued that profitability is more important than
liquidity and others are against this statement, and some of them said that
both are equally important.
In the literature review, many researchers said that there is a significant
relationship exist between liquidity and profitability and some said that there
is no relationship exist between liquidity and profitability.
As of one of Pakistani researchers Qasim Saleem and Ramiz Ur Rehman
(2011) in his study of Impacts of liquidity ratios on profitability with
the samples of 26 Oil and Gas companies listed on KSE using the data
representing the periods of 2004 2009 found that liquidity ratios
affect the profitability ratios. They have used CR, QR, LR as
independent variables and ROA, ROE, ROI as dependent variable. They
conclude that liquidity ratios affect the profitability ratios and
profitability is improved for oil and gas sector that hold some liquid
assets.
Shahchera (2012) in his study of The Impact of Liquidity Asset on
Iranian Bank Profitability with the samples of 17 commercial banks
using the data representing the periods of 2000-2009 find evidence of
a nonlinear relationship between profitability and liquid asset holdings.
And conclude that Profitability is improved for banks that hold some
liquid assets, however, there is a point at which holding further liquid
assets diminishes a banks profitability.
Other researchers Bordeleau and Graham (2010) also study The
Impact of Liquidity on Bank Profitability with the sample of Canadian
and American banks from 1997 t0 2009 and also find the nonlinear
and
there
is
significance
impact
of
liquidity
on
were used
section
explain
the
data
collection,
sampling,
and
research
methodology.
3.1.
Data Source
The present study used secondary data for the analysis. The data employed
in the study is exerted from the comprehensive income statements and
annual financial reports of the sample firms and financial position of the
sample trading companies quoted in Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE)
database. In addition to this, scholarly articles from academic journals and
relevant textbooks were also used.
3.2.
Sampling Design
liquidity current ratio, quick ratio, and liquid ratio taken as independent
variables.
Table-1
Liquidity Ratios/Independent variables
Current Ratio
Quick Ratio
Liquidity Ratio
on
Assets
Notes: Above table shows that profitability is our dependent variable and it is
measured by return on assets, and liquidity is independent variable which is
measured by current ratio, quick ratio and liquid ratio.
Variables Explanation
Table-1 explain the liquidity ratios as independent variables which are
current ratio, quick ratio, liquid ratio and profitability ratio as dependent
variable which is return on asset.
Table 2
Descriptive Statistics of the variables
Variable
Mean
Std.
Deviation
Minimum
Maximum
Return
on .0435598
.1864559
-1.2138
.4625
Asset
Current Ratio
1.364732
1.432717
.0181
13.3211
Quick Ratio
.9140507
1.299267
.0152
13.3123
Liquid Ratio
.4343018
1.164176
.00181
12.5961
3.3 .
Research Methodology
first we may create a research hypothesis and then empirical model for the
regression analysis.
Research Hypothesis
Hypothesis One
H0: There is no impact of liquidity on profitability.
H1: There is impact of liquidity on profitability.
Empirical Model
Multiple regression analysis was performed to investigate the impact of
liquidity on profitability the model which is used in this study is given below:
Profitability=f (CR; QR; and LR)
It is important to note that the profitability depend upon Current ratio (CR),
Quick Ratio (QR) and Liquid Ratio (LR).The following models are formulated
to measure the impact of liquidity on profitability.
ROA=0 + 1 (CR) + 2 (QR) +3 (LR) +. (1)
Where:
ROA stands for return on asset, 0 is the intercept, and 1, 2 and 3 are
the regression coefficient. CR, QR, and LR is Current ratio, quick ratio, and
liquid ratio respectively.
4. Research Analysis
This section explain the result and analysis of our research. To find the
relationship we take correlation and to find the impact between liquidity and
profitability in this study we analyze our data by multiple regression models.
A well-known statistical software STATA is used in order to analyze the
data. For the study, entire analysis is done by personal computer.
Table 3
Correlation among Explanatory Variables for Chemical
Sector
Variables
CR
QR
CR
1.0000
QR
0.9610
1.0000
LR
0.8658
0.9238
LR
1.0000
Note: Table 3 explains the correlation results and in the table, CR is stand for
current ratio, QR, and LR is quick ratio, and liquid ratio respectively.
Data Source: Self calculated on state bank of Pakistan data.
Table 4
Impact of Independent Variable on Dependent by Utilizing
Multiple Linear Regressions
COEF.
T- VALUE
P > [t]
Intercept
-0.0335415
-1.38
0.168
CR
0.0956547
2.54
0.012
QR
-0.0477885
-0.88
0.379
LR
-0.0224742
-0.67
0.502
Notes: R2= 0.1081, Adjusted R2= 0.0898, No of obs. 150, COEF. is coefficient and
shows the impact of independent variable on dependent variable, P > [t] is
probability. Intercept depicts that there are other factors that impact our dependent
variable other than variables used in our study.
Data source: Self calculated on state bank of Pakistan data.
The above table shows the regression analysis which is used to test the
impact of liquidity on profitability of listed companies of chemicals sector in
Karachi Stock Exchange. The result shows return on asset is significantly
affected by current ratio, but quick ratio and liquid ratio have weak impact
on ROA. According to this regression analysis return on asset is significantly
affected by current ratio because p-value is 0.012.This means that one
increase in current ratio increase the return on asset by 9.56%. Quick ratio
has insignificant negative relationship with return on assets this mean that
an increase in quick ratio by one will reduce the return on asset by
4.77%.Liquid ratio also insignificant negative relationship with return on
assets this mean that an increase in liquid ratio by one will reduce the return
on asset by 2.247%.
Hypothesis Testing
No.
H0
Hypothesis
There is no impact of liquidity on profitability.
Results
Rejected
Tool
Regression
H1
Accepted
Regression
Conclusion
Liquidity plays an important part in the firms performance and the purpose
of this research study is to determine the impact of liquidity on profitability of
chemical sector in Pakistan. For this purpose 30 chemical firms selected as
study sample and data is collected for the period of 2009-2013. First of all
data is tested for correlation in order to check the association between
explanatory variables. The results show that there is high correlation
between independent variables. Multiple linear regression model is used to
test the relationship among dependent and independent variables and the
results reveal that current ratio has a strong and positive impact on liquidity
while quick ratio and liquid ratio have negative and insignificant impact on
ROA. Since liquidity has impact on profitability of the firms of chemical sector
thats why we accept H1.
Recommendations
Based on the conclusions drawn from the findings of this study, the
researcher recommends that firms should maintain a moderate level of
liquidity that does not threaten their going concern status, and yet allows
them to make adequate profits on their investments. This is because when
there is no significant impact between liquidity and profitability then firm
may freeze its capital in its current asset which is not favorable for the
company. In this case firm may utilize its capital for profit. Thus, firms should
try to find an optimum balance between liquidity and profitability. According
to some studies Bordeleau and Graham (2010), Shahchera (2012) they
conclude that Profitability is improved for firms that hold some liquid assets,
however, there is a point at which holding further liquid assets diminishes a
firms profitability. So firms should try to find the optimum level between
liquidity and profitability.
This study may be very useful for the financial managers of chemical
industry in framing policies for managing the firms liquidity and
profitability but there are 580 companies listed in Karachi stock
Exchange (KSE) under 36 sectors. This study only covers the chemical
firms in chemical sector. Therefore, further investigation is required to
References
in
an
Emerging
Market.
International
Journal
of
Journal
of
Finance
and
Accounting
A study of
Commerce.
Bhunia, Khan, and Mukhuti (2011) A Study of Managing Liquidity
65.
Kothari, C.R. (2004). Research Methodology: Methods & Techniques,
p.55.