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Environmental Analysis: Philippines GDP Growth Rate Rise Up To 6% in 2015
Environmental Analysis: Philippines GDP Growth Rate Rise Up To 6% in 2015
Environmental Analysis: Philippines GDP Growth Rate Rise Up To 6% in 2015
Environmental Analysis
Economic Forecast (Opportunity)
Standard Chartered Asia economist Jeff Ng said that the 2015 Philippine economy
will remain anchored amidst the tempest in the global financial system resulting
from the frequent adjustments in US interest rate.
Mr. Ng pointed out that provided vital infrastructure investments are laid in place,
The Philippines may likely reach the higher end of the projection this year. We
expect the Philippines to still outperform the rest of its Asean neighbors. Its a bright
spot in Asia. He added, The Philippines is seen as a standout.
Relevance: Standard Chartered Bank has strong confident to stay their business in
the Philippines due to good economic development and improving standards of
living, poverty levels in emerging market economies (EMEs) are dropping. High
opportunity to reach their target market because of high consumer market and
investment potential in an economy. The bank expects the Bangko Sentral ng
Pilipinas (BSP) to increase interest rates by 50 basis points by the fourth quarter of
this year, as major economies continue to adjust their monetary policies as concern
over the world economic growth linger.
Philippines GDP Growth Rate rise up to 6% in 2015
The Philippines GDP advanced 1.1 percent in the third quarter of 2015, down from
an upwardly revised 2.0 percent expansion reported in April to June and below
market expectations. While the agriculture sector further contracted, growth in the
services and industry sectors slowed. GDP Growth Rate in Philippines averaged 1.17
percent from 1998 until 2015, reaching an all-time high of 3.30 percent in the first
quarter of 2010 and a record low of -2.40 percent in the first quarter of 2009. GDP
Growth Rate in Philippines is reported by the Philippine National Statistical
Coordination Board.
The Philippines has a status of emerging economy. In recent years, the country has
been steadily growing mainly due to inflow of foreign direct investment and
remittances. The Philippines is the worlds largest center for business process
outsourcing. The country also has a strong industrial sector based on the
manufacturing of electronics and other high-tech components for overseas
corporations. The Philippines is rich in natural resources; it has significant reserves
of chromite, nickel, copper, coal and oil. This page provides - Philippines GDP
Growth Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic
calendar and news. Philippines GDP Growth Rate - actual data, historical chart and
calendar of releases - was last updated on December of 2015.
Relevance: Philippine banks remain well capitalized; it is to note that the
Philippine market is booming because of since different and massive transactions
from individual and business consumers. This is a good inhibition that more
businesses can merge and thus, the more competitive the banks can be to cater to
potential.
Philippines Inflation Rate Steady for 2015 and have the lowest rate for the
last two decades (Opportunity)
Philippines annual inflation rate was at 0.4 percent in October of 2015, the same
pace as in the previous month and below market expectations. It is the lowest figure
since April 1987, as an increase in cost of transport and a slower decline in cost of
housing and utilities offset a further slowdown in cost of food and non-alcoholic
beverages.
Year-on-year, prices rose for: alcoholic beverages and tobacco (+3.7 percent in
October from +3.6 percent in September), clothing and footwear (+2.2 percent from
+2.1 percent), health (+1.7 percent from +1.5 percent) and transport (+0.1 percent
from -0.3 percent). In contrast, prices declined for housing, water, electricity, gas
and other fuels (-2.1 percent from -2.2 percent). While prices remained unchanged
for communication, cost was steady for education (+3.6 percent) and restaurant
and miscellaneous goods and services (+1.2 percent). Prices moderated for:
heavily-weighted food and non-alcoholic beverages (+0.7 percent from +0.8
percent); furnishing, household equipment and routine maintenance (+1.5 percent
from +1.6 percent) and recreation and culture (+0.9 percent from +1.0 percent).
From January to October 2015, inflation was 1.4 percent, below the central bank's
target range of 2.0 percent to 4.0 percent for this year.
Core inflation was recorded at 1.5 percent year-on-year in October, up from 1.4
percent in September.
On a monthly basis, consumer prices increased by 0.1 percent, following a 0.2
percent drop in September. Prices rose for: food and non-alcoholic beverages (+0.1
percent), alcoholic beverages and tobacco (+0.3 percent), clothing and footwear
(+0.1 percent), health (+0.2 percent) and restaurant and miscellaneous goods and
services (+0.2 percent). While prices steady for furnishing, household and routine
maintenance (+0.1 percent) and transport (+0.2 percent), cost remained
unchanged for housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels, communication,
recreation and culture and education.
Relevance: Standard Chartered Bank can see this trend as an opportunity to
engage customers and investors members especially businesses in who needs more
disposable income. The higher the inflation rate equates to higher cost of living and
the value of money depreciates fast. Inflation tends to increase spending and
encourage borrowing at the expense of savings or consumption.
Foreign Exchange Reserves and Exchange Rate increased in 81,142.30
USD million (Opportunity)
Foreign exchange reserves in Philippines increased to 81,142.3 USD million in
October from 80,550.5 USD million in September of 2015. It is the largest figure
since December 2013; mainly due to the national governments net foreign currency
deposits and revaluation of gold holding and income from overseas investments.
The country's central bank expects its foreign reserves to hit 81,600 USD million at
the end of 2015, following a 79,500 USD million a year earlier. Foreign Exchange
Reserves in Philippines averaged 13468.58 USD Million from 1960 until 2015,
reaching an all-time high of 85273.61 USD Million in January of 2013 and a record
low of 44.07 USD Million in December of 1961. Foreign Exchange Reserves in
Philippines is reported by the Bangko Sentral Ng Pilipinas.
In Philippines, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled
by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency.
They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in
foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and
equities and foreign currency loans.
Relevance: One of the main sources of income of Standard Chartered Bank is in
foreign exchange.
The Philippine economy is expected to strengthen its growth this year on the back
of robust consumption and exports data.
We expect bubblier consumer spending in the coming quarters as a result of high
job generation and drastically lower inflation due to the collapsing crude-oil prices,
said a joint report by the First Metro Investment Corp. (FMIC) and the University of
Asia and the Pacific (UA&P).
Philippines are leading in numbers. While we're yet to see the majority of the
Philippine population online, enough data supports how addicted the Philippines is
to the digital life. According to We Are Social's Digital Report as of January 2015, the
Philippines leads in average "Time Spent on the Internet" through laptop and
desktop, and one of the highest via mobile worldwide.
From a global average of 4.4 hours/day, the Filipino spends an average of 6.3
hours/day online via laptop and 3.3 hours/day via mobile
Relevance: The growing trends now for Filipinos are conscious awareness in health
and wellness. Regardless of the status an individual belongs to, awareness on
healthy living is whats driving the market. Standard Chartered Bank recognizes the
trend as an opportunity to come up with products or promos on credit cards that will
cater to that growing market
Local operators are in the best position to win in the local market due to
their extensive network infrastructure
Domestic banks such as BPI, BDO and Metro bank also have an advantage over
their foreign counterparts, as these home grown financial institutions have more
branches and lower requirements for initial deposit
Relevance: and maintained balance, making them more attractive to consumers.
Offering more advanced and secure card technology, as well as emphasizing the
ability to use the debit card overseas a feature that is not provided by most local
companies may be one of the ways for multinationals to capture shares in the
category.
In general, foreign banks have their own limitation when it comes to expanding their
market share in the country. They are bound by laws, which slow down their growth
and market expansion. Currently, a foreign bank is mandated by law not to exceed
7 local branches across the country, that limits their network and market
accessibility.
3. Political Legal Forces
Low level of public debt allows government to boost spending during
slowdown (Opportunity)
Bangko Sentral to monitor banks' business risk compliance more
closely (Opportunity)
Implementation of Basel III (Threat)
The building blocks of Basel III are: (i) higher quality and level of capital, (ii)
widened risk coverage, (iii) prevention of excessive leverage, (iv) stronger liquidity,
(v) addressing of systemic risk, and (vi) higher standards for risk management and
supervision.10 These are expected to enhance capital and liquidity regulations of
the banking system and therefore reduce the intensity and frequency of financial
crisis.
According to MAG (2010a), banks are likely to use a combination of these
methods. The choice may in part depend on the length of time over which capital
needs to be increased. A longer implementation period will give banks more
flexibility as regards the mechanisms they can use to achieve targets. Thus, if Basel
III is implemented over longer periods, output effects are expected to be smaller
than
if
implemented
over
shorter
periods.
(http://www.bsp.gov.ph/downloads/publications/2012/wps201202.pdf)
Relevance: Currently, SCB is at Basel II level for which they need to initiate a lot of
capital raising activities which may be risky for the bank. To meet the requirements
of the Basel III reform, there is an expansion of assets considered as liquid to
include investment grade corporate bonds, shares and high quality mortgage
securities.
4. Technological Forces
Bitcoin / Block chain Technology (Threat)
Bitcoin / Block chain Technology (Opportunity)
Strong Business Process Outsourcing growth
Clear and consistent focus. Too often banks try to be all things to all people. But
that doesnt work. Banks must define their strategy, make trade-offs in
building capabilities (strategy+business), make clear decisions about where to
invest their dollars, and relentlessly manage performance.
For example, one large bank in the United States decided to focus on convenience,
innovation, and simplicity. To this end, it has standardized platforms and processes
to reduce cycle time, targeted multichannel delivery to give consumers a range of
options and devices for managing their accounts and communicating with the bank,
and elected to innovate and invest in technology to grow revenue and reduce cost.
Meanwhile, another top-tier U.S. bank has chosen a different, more high-touch
customer approach, adding value through the expertise of its employees and their
relationships with consumers. Consequently, this bank has a branch-based system
with relatively limited investment in alternative channels, an unambiguous incentive
model to drive sales and service, and a strong performance management culture
with an emphasis on profitability.
the number of households served per FTE by 32 percent. During this time, the bank
conducted a detailed analysis of the number and type of products sold per
household and built on the findings to generate ambitious sales targets. By
rebalancing the workload and implementing more rigorous sales goals, it increased
the number of new products sold per FTE daily from 4.6 to 6.7, and grew the
number of banking services per retail household by more than 45 percent.
Executional excellence. Increasingly, banks must identify and address sources of
complexity. The first step is to reduce or eliminate product variety that makes the
business more cumbersome and less efficient or that doesnt create adequate
value. Next, standardize IT and operations using common processing architectures,
deploy IT resources optimally, and put an operating structure in place that enables
scale. Finally, simplify processes for clients and employees.
For example, another top-tier domestic bank automated end-to-end client onboarding to increase capacity and reduce cost. The results included an 80 percent
reduction in client on-boarding cycle time; a 50 percent reduction in management
overhead; a 40 percent increase in throughput capacity; the elimination of more
than 60 percent of manual steps; improved visibility of client status during the onboarding process; and a new ability to capitalize on lessons learned from previous
client on-boarding.
Smart partnering. As banks look for growth, they must determine which
capabilities they want to build on their own to differentiate themselves, and which
they should leverage through third-party partnerships to address consumer pain
points or achieve savings. For example, a large European bank recently outsourced
its procurement function in order to improve procure-to-pay process efficiency and
enforce pricing and billing compliance, while freeing itself to build a competitive
advantage in its core consumer and commercial operations.
The multiyear agreement will manage more than 5 billion (US$6.2 billion) in
external spending, and impact 4 million annual transactions across 200 legal
entities. The net result was a savings in excess of 200 million (US$247 million).
Ruthless performance management. Successful banks develop clear datadriven metrics, implement regular assessments, and impose accountability and
consequences. For example, one large U.S. bank designed detailed metrics for
tracking customer call center wait time and customers serviced per FTE. Bank
management reviews the data monthly and uses the findings to address
shortcomings and set new goals.
This bank and others with a similar approach are using a step-by-step process to
operationalize performance management, a process that includes defining and
socializing key metrics; developing clear adoption plans; establishing the frequency
of performance assessment meetings and determining the participants; developing
meeting agendas and content based on the key metrics; defining process roles; and
aligning incentives and consequences for meeting or not meeting goals.
(http://www.strategyand.pwc.com/perspectives/2015-retailbanking-trends)
The Emerging Digital Banking in Asia
With six full-service branches and a track record for innovation and customer
service, Citibank's consumer banking presence in the Philippines spans
leadership in credit cards, wealth management and a growing franchise for
consumer finance. The Regional Consumer Bank offers retail loans and
deposits, personal investments, insurance, consumer branch services and
lifestyle convenience products and financial services such as credit cards and
Citigold wealth management banking. It is the single largest credit card issuer
in the country. To complement its commercial bank presence in the country,
Citi has a network of 36 retail bank branches and loan Centre through
Citibank Savings to better serve the financial needs of the mass
affluent with its world-class suite of banking products and services.
In addition, the Philippines is the regional hub for: a) Citi Shared Services
(CSS), the global processing Centre performing financial reporting operations
and payment services, supporting 92 countries across the Americas, Asia
Pacific, Japan, Europe, Middle East, and Africa; b) Citi Employee Services
(CES), the regional processing Centre for employee data, HR Administration
and payroll services for 62 countries across the Asia Pacific, Japan, Europe,
Middle East, and Africa; c) Asia Pacific Credit Risk management services and
analysis serving 16 countries in Asia Pacific; d) Asia Pacific Compliance Centre
of Excellence providing standardized market surveillance, monitoring of
employee trading activities, information barrier surveillance and training
administration support to 14 countries in the Asia Pacific region, and e) the
Citi Center for Advance Learning, the in-house training center for Citi
professionals in the Asia Pacific region
An active corporate citizen in the Philippines, Citi's citizenship activities focus on:
Small and Growing Businesses - helping small enterprises grow and create
more jobs; supporting green enterprise development that generates 'triple
bottom-line' economic, environmental and social benefits
Wholesale Banking
CITIbank
HSBC
Credit card and Loans Credit card, Personal Loans. Home Loan, Assetlink
Investment
Structured Deposits. Government Securities ,Corporate Debt
Securities, Directed Trust Services, Offshore Referral Services
market share. The banking sector in the Philippines is under consolidation and
strong competition and expected to continue to do so in the next few years.
Because of that threat of potential entrants is high
Bargaining power of suppliers and customers (Moderately High)
The bargaining power for individual customer and corporate customer is very
different the main reason behind it is that the deposit of an individual customer is
very insignificant compared to the total amount of deposits. Some corporate entities
do have large deposits in Standard Chartered Bank is currently, and exercise strong
bargaining power to receive special rates from the bank, SCB is currently marketing
strong in providing wide range of banking services as a result of that they have
strong strategic advantage.
Depositors are considered to be the suppliers of the banks. There are thousands of
depositors from all walks of life. There are businessmen, service holders and people
from the virtually any other professions who are depositors of the banks. Big
amount depositors have strong powers in determining interest rate of their deposits.
Creditors are considered to be the buyers of the banks. There are thousands
creditors from all walk of life. Mainly businessmen or corporation are the major
buyer of Standard Chartered Bank credit. Big amount creditors have a strong power
in determining interest rate of their credit amounts. Standard Chartered Bank
distinguishes their prime customers for other by setting a prime interest rate for
them. So currently the bargaining power of buyers (customers) is low and the
bargaining power of the suppliers (bank) is moderately high.
services than foreign banks. Therefore, there is intense competition in the banking
industry. By analyzing the above points we can say that the threat of new entrants
is considerable and there is intense competition and rivalry. It would be very difficult
to survive in a market where almost every banks-foreign and local is waiting to grab
market share away with the slightest of chances. Therefore SCB must strive to be
more innovative and competitive in order to protect its customer base and expand
it.
In the banking, rivalry among the competing banks is moderate to high due to the
following reasons:
Major rivals are equal or close to in size and capability (revenue and volume)
REFERENCE:
http://www.newsbtc.com/2015/07/15/bitcoin-technology-intrigues-standardchartered/
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-11-30/imf-backs-yuan-in-reservecurrency-club-after-rejection-in-2010
http://www.bworldonline.com/content.php?section=TopStory&title=philippines-mayimport-more-rice-as-concern-over-el-ni&241o-persists&id=112214
http://www.iweb.ph/philippine-economy-2015-standard-chartered#
http://www.timeincnewsgroupcustompub.com/sections/121231_Philippines.pdf
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/philippines/foreign-exchange-reserves
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jonha-revesencio/philippines-a-digitallif_1_b_7199924.html
http://www.bankingtech.com/270792/five-challenges-for-the-banking-industry-in2015/
file:///C:/Users/ENVY/Downloads/2014%20Digital%20Banking%20in%20Asia%20%20winning%20approaches%20in%20a%20new%20generation%20of%20financial
%20services.pdf