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How Different Are The Results Acquired From Mathematical and Subjective
How Different Are The Results Acquired From Mathematical and Subjective
Geomorphology
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/geomorph
How different are the results acquired from mathematical and subjective
methods in dendrogeomorphology? Insights from landslide movements
Karel ilhn
Department of Physical Geography and Geoecology, Faculty of Science, University of Ostrava, Chittussiho 10, 710 00 Ostrava, Czech Republic
a r t i c l e
i n f o
Article history:
Received 9 June 2015
Received in revised form 19 October 2015
Accepted 20 October 2015
Available online 21 October 2015
Keywords:
Dendrogeomorphology
Landslide
Tree sensitivity
The Orlick hory foreeld
a b s t r a c t
Knowledge of past landslide activity is crucial for understanding landslide behaviour and for modelling potential
future landslide occurrence. Dendrogeomorphic approaches represent the most precise methods of landslide
dating (where trees annually create tree-rings in the timescale of up to several hundred years). Despite the advantages of these methods, many open questions remain. One of the less researched uncertainties, and the
focus of this study, is the impact of two common methods of geomorphic signal extraction on the spatial and temporal results of landslide reconstruction. In total, 93 Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) Karst.) trees were sampled at
one landslide location dominated by block-type movements in the foreeld of the Orlick hory Mts., Bohemian
Massif. Landslide signals were examined by the classical subjective method based on reaction (compression)
wood analysis and by a numerical method based on eccentric growth analysis. The chronology of landslide movements obtained by the mathematical method resulted in twice the number of events detected compared to the
subjective method. This nding indicates that eccentric growth is a more accurate indicator for landslide movements than the classical analysis of reaction wood. The reconstructed spatial activity of landslide movements
shows a similar distribution of recurrence intervals (Ri) for both methods. The differences (maximally 30% of
the total Ri ranges) in results obtained by both methods may be caused by differences in the ability of trees to
react to tilting of their stems by a specic growth response (reaction wood formation or eccentric growth). Finally, the ability of trees to record tilting events (by both growth responses) in their tree-ring series was analysed for
different decades of tree life. The highest sensitivity to external tilting events occurred at tree ages from 70 to
80 years for reaction wood formation and from 80 to 90 years for eccentric growth response. This means that
the ability of P. abies to record geomorphic signals varies with not only eccentric growth responses but also
with age.
2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Landslides are very broadly extended geomorphic processes that
often occur in populated areas (Gutirrez et al., 2010; Van Den
Eeckhaut and Hervs, 2012), where they can present a signicant natural hazard. Therefore, knowledge of the chronology of past landslide activity is important for modelling their future potential occurrence
(Borgatti and Soldati, 2010). Moreover, data regarding the spatial distribution of landslide activity are necessary for safe land-use planning. Unfortunately, direct information regarding past landslide activity is often
scarce, particularly in remote areas. Landslides inventory and mapping
is required to better understand where and when they may occur. Nevertheless, as the dates of triggering of past events are often uncertain,
the application of absolute dating methods becomes necessary (Lang
et al., 1999).
Dendrogeomorphic methods represent the most precise way of dating past landslide activity in areas with forest cover located in
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2015.10.012
0169-555X/ 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
190
stem tilting, and a potential minimum tilting value for its creation had
not been dened until recently (ilhn and Stoffel, 2015). Moreover, potential delay in the compression wood formation after the tilting event
can occur (Shroder, 1978). However, compression wood identication
in tree ring series is a subjective approach, and results can be inuenced
by a researcher error. Additionally, broad-leaved trees create reaction
(tension) wood on the upper side of their tilted stems. Unfortunately,
this type of reaction wood is practically unidentiable at a macroscopic
scale (Westing, 1965). In spite of potential limitations regarding compression wood analysis, many recent studies of landslide dating have
been based on this subjective approach (Lopez-Saez et al., 2012a,b;
ilhn et al., 2012, 2013). Another growth reaction to stem tilting is eccentric growth. Tilted coniferous trees start to produce wide tree-rings
on the lower side of the stem, whereas the upper side of the stem is
dominated by suppressed growth (Braam et al., 1987). The position of
wide tree-rings and suppressed growth is usually opposite in the case
of broad-leaved trees. Identication of a tilting event based on dating
of this reaction has a mathematical base, as the eccentricity is based
on the calculation from measured tree-ring widths, and subjective errors can be excluded. Unfortunately, some limitations even for the eccentric growth analysis exist. The eccentric growth can occur even as a
response to non-geomorphic events (e.g. strong wind). Due to the
aforementioned difculties with identication of tension wood, the
analysis of tree-ring series of broad-leaved trees is dominantly focused
on eccentric growth as a reaction to stem tilting (Van Den Eeckhaut
et al., 2009; ilhn et al., 2014). To date, the resulting effect of these
two different approaches (reaction wood vs. eccentric growth) on reconstructed chronologies or spatial reconstruction is not known. However, answering this question is crucial for increasing the accuracy of
past events identication. Therefore, as noted above,
dendrogeomorphology is characterized by some biases (while it is
very accurate), so that a comparison of different methods is highly
important.
Another open question is the changing sensitivity of trees to geomorphic events with increasing age. For example, ilhn et al. (2013)
found the highest sensitivity of Crimean pine (Pinus nigra ssp.
pallasiana) to rockfall events at ages of 80 to 90 years. The highest sensitivity of P. nigra to landslides was found to be present in two phases,
between the ages of 40 to 60 years and 120 to 130 years (ilhn and
Stoffel, 2015) in the dependence on the dominant growth response (reaction wood vs. eccentric growth). However, for Norway spruce (Picea
abies (L.) Karst.), a very common tree species occupying landslides in
the northern hemisphere, the most suitable ages for recording tilting
events have not been determined yet.
Based on the aforementioned open questions, the objective of this
study is to show the effects of using subjective and mathematical approaches (reaction wood and eccentric growth, respectively) on different aspects of dendrogeomorphic reconstruction of landslide
movements. This objective will be achieved using the following strategies: (i) evaluating landslide event chronologies obtained using both
Fig. 1. Location, geomorphology, and geology of the studied area. A location of the study area in the Czech Republic, B geomorphic map of the studied landslide area (1 position of the
topographic prole in Fig. 2; 2 sampled trees; 3 border of studied domains; 4 gully; 5 debris talus; 6 partial landslide block; 7 alluvial fan; 8 main scarp; 9 bedrock outcrop; 10 accumulation lobe), C geology of the studied landslide surroundings (1 uvial sands and gravel, 2 marlstone and sandstone, 3 marlstone, 4 limestone claystones, 5
loess, 6 fault), and D LiDAR image of hillslope affected by the studied landslide.
191
Fig. 2. Topographic proles, geomorphic features, and disturbed trees on the landslide area. A main scarp with bedrock outcrop; B surface of subsided landslide block; C upslope
tilted trees on slightly rotated landslide block; D disrupted marl layers at the foot of the landslide area; E deformed trees on the steep parts of the landslide area.
approaches, (ii) comparing the effect of each approach on the reconstructed spatial activity of landslides, and (iii) assessing the changes in
sensitivity to tilting events of P. abies with increasing age for both
approaches.
2. Study area
For the purpose of this study, a landslide area dominated by blocktype movements was selected. The studied landslide area is located in
the foreland of the Orlick hory Mountains (5006 N., 1612 E.;
~ 300 m asl; Fig. 1A). The probable pre-conditioning factors include
the climatic conditions and geological structure of the hillslope. The climate of the region can be characterized as moderately humid with a
mean annual temperature of 78 C and a mean annual precipitation
of 550700 mm (Quitt, 1971; Tolasz et al., 2007). The landslide area developed in the sub-horizontal layers of limestone marls (ech, 2001) on
a hillslope located on the left bank of the Divok Orlice River (Fig. 1C, D).
The existence of faults parallel with the slope direction and the past undercutting of the hillslope by the Divok Orlice river can serve as potential preparatory factors. The age of undercutting, which is evidenced by
the presence of an old river branch at the foot of the hillslope in some
places, is not known up to now.
The landslide area is characterized by a frontal shape with a width of
~1.2 km and a NE orientation. The maximum vertical distance is approximately 75 m. The landslide area can be dened as block-type movements (according to Cruden and Varnes, 1996) with several levels of
mildly inclined, subsided blocks separated by steep steps (Fig. 2E). The
northern part of the landslide area is represented by one subsided
block with several steps decreasing in height to the north (Figs. 1C
and 2B). The middle part of the landslide area has up to three levels of
subsided blocks (Figs. 1C and 2C) and, including its horizontal movements, shows the greatest elongation in this section. The southern
part of the landslide area is dissected by individual blocks separated
by a network of gullies. At the mouth of the gullies, two long alluvial
192
Fig. 3. Methods used for determining landslide movement. A onset of reaction (compression) wood in coniferous trees; B extraction of the geomorphic signal based on abrupt changes
in the eccentricity of tree rings.
fans (up to 100 m long) were created (Fig. 1B). Several man-made structures such as forest roads have been built on parts of the slope. The
fronts of some of the subsided blocks are compressively deformed
(Fig. 2D), resulting in the formation of accumulation lobes. The main
scarp is very steep (more than 35) and has bedrock outcrops in several
locations (Fig. 2A). Debris tali have formed below some of the outcrops.
There are several linear subsidence features that likely follow fault lines
on the plateau above the main scarp. The landslide area is covered by a
forest dominated by Littleleaf Linden (Tilia cordata Mill.), European
Beech (Fagus sylvatica L.), Norway Spruce (P. abies), European Larch
(Larix decidua Mill.), and Scots Pine (Pinus sylvestris L.).
Because landslide reactivation often impacts only a limited part
of the whole landslide area (Floris and Bozzano, 2008; Lopez-Saez
et al., 2013; ilhn et al., 2013), the studied landslide area was divided
into ve quasi-homogenous domains (Fig. 1B). This approach is
particularly suitable for dendrogeomorphic research (ilhn, 2012).
Dendrogeomorphic research focused on the following parts of landslide
area (not described from upper to lower parts, but focusing on the
analysed areas). Domain I is the northern part with one subsided long
block; domain II is the middle part with three vertical levels of blocks;
domain III consists of a connective level of blocks bordering domain II
from the south; domain IV consists of two vertical levels of blocks
Table 1
The number and age of P. abies in individual landslide domains.
Domain
Trees (number)
Maximal age
Minimal age
I
II
III
IV
V
Total
33
10
12
27
11
93
142
108
125
133
136
142
16
32
35
68
66
16
108.8 (31.9)
44.3 (28.1)
91.3 (33.5)
108.4 (19.3)
115.4 (23.5)
101.5 (32.9)
with a large debris talus in the middle of the domain; and domain V is
the southern part of the landslide area with blocks separated by a network of gullies.
3. Methods
A total of 372 increment cores were extracted from 93 disturbed
P. abies trees in an area of block-type movements. Tree-ring series
were analysed using two different methods: mathematical-based analysis of eccentric growth and the subjective method of reaction wood
identication. Results from both methods were analysed separately to
assess their inuence on the dendrogeomorphic analysis of a landslide
area.
First, detailed eld geomorphic mapping (at 1:500 scale) was performed. The mapping was produced using eld investigation and a digital elevation model (DEM) created from LiDAR data. Along with other
map features such as landslide blocks, rocky scarps, gullies, and debris
tali, the positions of the disturbed (tilted) trees selected for sampling
were recorded.
For the purpose of this study, P. abies were sampled. Trees were selected by two criteria: their position on the geomorphic map with an effort to evenly distribute the sampled trees within the landslide area
(Corona et al., 2014) and visible external disturbance caused by landslide movements (tilted or bent stems). Trees were sampled preferably
on the surface of blocks with a variety of topographical surface slope angles. The steepest parts of the main scarp were ignored. Trees were sampled using a Pressler increment borer (max. length: 40 cm; diameter:
0.5 cm) at the height of maximum stem bending. Four increment
cores were extracted from each tree perpendicular to each other (one
from the lower side of the stem, one from the upper side of the stem,
and two parallel to the slope). Additionally, 30 individual specimens
of P. abies were sampled (two cores per tree) from a stable position
193
Fig. 4. Chronology of landslide movements in individual domains and for the total landslide area as reconstructed from reaction wood analysis.
outside the landslide area (stable plateau above the main scarp) to create a reference chronology reecting only the effects of climatic conditions or occasional insect outbreaks on tree growth (Cook and
Kairiukstis, 1990). The reference chronology was created using a
double-detrending procedure in the Arstan software (Cook, 1983).
The negative exponential curve (or linear regression) was used in the
rst step, and the cubic smoothing spline function was applied in the
second step (Holmes, 1994).
All samples were processed following a standard procedure
(e.g., Stoffel and Bollschweiler, 2008, 2009). The individual steps of
this procedure included sample drying, gluing samples into the woody
supports, sanding, tree ring counting, and measuring ring widths
using dendrochronological TimeTable and PAST4 software (VIAS,
2005). The increment curves were cross-dated with the reference chronology to identify and correct possible false or missing tree rings.
Two dating approaches of tilting events were applied. First, a subjective analysis of reaction (compression) wood presence (Fig. 3A) was
carried out on all four increment cores from each tree using a binocular
microscope. Reaction wood can be found in two forms (pronounced and
mild). Tracheids with compression wood anatomy (thicker and
rounded walls) can be visible in the latewood part of a ring in the case
of mild reaction wood, whereas pronounced reaction wood contains
such tracheids throughout the entire width of the ring (Lopez-Saez
et al., 2012a). The onset of both reaction wood types was considered
as a tilting signal. Second, a mathematical approach, based on tree ring
eccentricity calculation and analysis was applied. The determination of
a tree tilting event was based on eccentric growth using the approach
published by ilhn et al. (2014) and ilhn and Stoffel (2015). Eccentricity was analysed by comparison of two tree ring series growing perpendicular to each other (one from the lower side of the stem and the
second perpendicular to the rst). This strategy reduces the risk of missing a ring while still providing a chance at calculating tree-ring eccentricity (Shroder, 1978). In the rst step, tree-ring eccentricity (e) was
calculated according to Braam et al. (1987):
e
ac
ac
where a is the ring width from the upper side of the stem and c is the
ring width perpendicular to a. Eccentricity values were separated into
Fig. 5. Chronology of landslide movements in individual domains and for the total landslide area as reconstructed from eccentric growth analysis.
194
Fig. 6. Proportion of dated landslide events based on data from reaction wood analysis and eccentric growth analysis in individual landslide domains.
three intervals (marked as 0, 1, and 2), according to Fig. 3B. The occurrence of specic interval patterns (e.g., 0022; Fig. 3) allows determination of the intensity of the tilting signal. For the purpose of this study,
this pattern was used only to determine whether a tilting signal occurred or not.
Landslide activity in individual domains was expressed using the
standard event-response index (It) according to Shroder (1978):
It
X
Rt =
Nt 100%
where Rt is the number of trees with a tilting signal in year t and Nt is the
number of all sampled trees living in year t. The It values were calculated
individually for each domain and for each tree group. To dene a landslide event, at least two trees had to show a landslide signal and the It
value had to be at least 7.5%.
The frequency of landslide events recorded by a single tree was
expressed by the recurrence interval (Ri), calculated as:
X
Ri At =
LSt
Fig. 7. Spatial distribution of mean recurrence interval between two landslide movements, reconstructed based on data from reaction wood analysis and eccentric growth analysis.
195
Fig. 8. Difference (absolute value) of the recurrence interval maps, reconstructed based on data from reaction wood analysis and eccentric growth analysis.
where LSt is the number of tilting signals in the tree rings of a tree and At
is the total age of the tree. The Ri values from each tree were spatially interpolated using the ordinary kriging model due to irregular spatial pattern of sampled trees locations, with the grid cell size of 1 m due to
minimal distance between trees, using the Surfer 8 software (Golden
Software, 2002). Resulting grids based on reaction wood data and eccentric growth data were subsequently subtracted from each other to
determine places on the landslide area with the highest differences between results obtained by the two different approaches.
Finally, based on the assumption of Stoffel and Corona (2014), an attempt was made to express changes in a tree ability to record tilting
events with increasing age. The number of tilting events recorded by
each tree was summarized for individual decades of tree live and
expressed as the number of recorded events per tree in each decade.
This evaluation was based on data from both reaction wood and eccentric growth analysis.
4. Results
4.1. Number and age of sampled trees and growth disturbances
From the entire landslide area, 93 individual P. abies trees were sampled. In total, 372 increment cores were extracted. The highest number
of trees was sampled in domain I (33 trees) and the fewest number of
trees was sampled in domain II (10 trees). The mean age of the sampled
trees was 101.5 years (stdev = 32.9 years); the oldest and youngest
trees were 142 and 16 years old, respectively; the oldest trees were
sampled in domain V (mean = 115.4 years), whereas the youngest
were sampled in domain II (mean = 44.3 years). Details about the number and age of the sampled trees in the individual domains are listed in
Table 1.
Among the analysed tree-ring series of P. abies, a total of 118 indications of reaction (compression wood) were identied. On the other
hand, based on the analysis of eccentric growth, a total of 149 tiltingevent signals were identied. Very strong event signals were identied
Fig. 9. Sensitivity of P. abies to tilting events based on reaction wood analysis expressed as: A number of dated tilting events in individual decades of tree life; B number of dated tilting
events per one tree in individual decades of tree life.
196
Fig. 10. Sensitivity of P. abies to tilting events based on eccentric growth analysis expressed as: A number of dated tilting events in individual decades of tree life; B number of dated
tilting events per one tree in individual decades of tree life, and proportion of signal intensities.
Tree age limits do not allow for the reconstruction of higher Ri values;
this means that the real period between two landslide events in the
less active parts of the landslide area could be higher than what was
found from the reconstructed chronology.
Based on the assumption that different thresholds of stem tilting
produce different growth reactions (reaction wood vs. eccentric
growth), it can be supposed that the greatest differences between results obtained by the different methods can be found in the trees with
low stem inclination. Data based on eccentric growth in these trees
should show higher frequency of tilting events in these cases. Accordingly, areas with signicant differences between both grids probably
correspond to locations characterized by low stem inclination. This assumption should be further investigated by research focusing on
dendrometric evidence.
5.3. Ability of P. abies to record tilting signals
One of the aims of this study was to analyse the changing ability of
P. abies trees to record tilting signals in their tree-ring series. This question is quite new for landslide research, as the inuencing geomorphic
factors have not been intensively studied (ilhn and Stoffel, 2015).
However, solving this open question is crucial for establishing a generally recommended sampling strategy for a wide range of tree ages. Initial results are known only for impacts of debris ows on P. nigra
(ilhn et al., 2015), rockfalls on P. nigra (ilhn et al., 2013), and for
landslides on P. nigra and F. sylvatica (ilhn and Stoffel, 2015). In this
study, the highest sensitivity of P. abies to landslide movements was recorded at tree ages of 60 to 80 years for reaction wood formation and
ages 80 to 90 years for the formation of eccentric growth. These results
are quite different from the results of ilhn and Stoffel (2015). P. abies
trees seem to be better able to allocate their wood material along stem
circumferences during ages of limited ability to create reaction wood,
nevertheless the next research of this difference reason should be
realised in the future. The result is a shift of the highest sensitivity to
stem tilting from the formation of reaction wood toward eccentric
growth. An open question remains the effect of changes in tree size
(stem diameter) on the sensitivity of a tree to landslide movements.
6. Conclusion
This study highlights how the choice of a dendrogeomorphic method can imply some biases on the results. For this research, 93 trees of
P. abies were sampled from one landslide area. The onsets of reaction
(compression) wood formation and abrupt changes in tree-ring eccentricity were used as landslide signals.
The chronology of landslide movements based on eccentric growth
analysis indicated nearly twice the number of events compared to the
chronology based on reaction wood analysis. This means that the use
of eccentric growth is a much more sensitive approach to landslide dating than the classical analysis of reaction (compression) wood in the
tree-ring series of P. abies. Nevertheless, each method can identify
only a part of the landsliding events, and not necessarily the same
ones. Therefore, the combination of both methods for landslide research
can be recommended. The assumption that trees react in different ways
to various values of stem inclination requires additional study, as it can
have consequences on the spatial reconstruction of landslide activity.
The sensitivity of P. abies to landslide movements via its ability to
create reaction wood or eccentric growth as response to stem tilting
changes with increasing tree age. The greatest ability to record tilting
events via reaction wood formation and eccentric growth occurs at
tree ages of 70 to 80 years and 80 to 90 years, respectively. This indicates
differences in a tree ability to allocate its woody material in different decades of tree life. Future research should focus on changes in tree sensitivity to landslide activity during various age periods (not only decades)
or various intervals of stem diameter.
197
Acknowledgement
This study was funded by the Czech Science Foundation project no.
15-02067S. The English language was reviewed by Elsevier Language
Editing Services. I offer my sincere gratitude to Mauro Soldati and an
anonymous reviewer for their insightful comments and to Takashi
Oguchi for the thorough editing.
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