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    Seagrass Modeling in Banana River 1997

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    Michael Corsello
    The document describes the development of a model to approximate the effects of changes to hydrologic and human activities on the productivity of seagrass beds in Banana River and Mosquito Lagoon. The model will allow evaluation of proposed industrial and construction projects on these bodies of water to help preserve natural resources. It outlines steps to collect and analyze existing seagrass data, develop models for critical factors, integrate the models, and determine each factor's relationship to seagrass productivity.

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    Seagrass Modeling in Banana River 1997

    Uploaded by

    Michael Corsello
    29 views23 pages
    The document describes the development of a model to approximate the effects of changes to hydrologic and human activities on the productivity of seagrass beds in Banana River and Mosquito Lagoon. The model will allow evaluation of proposed industrial and construction projects on these bodies of water to help preserve natural resources. It outlines steps to collect and analyze existing seagrass data, develop models for critical factors, integrate the models, and determine each factor's relationship to seagrass productivity.

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    The document describes the development of a model to approximate the effects of changes to hydrologic and human activities on the productivity of seagrass beds in Banana River and Mosquito Lagoon. The model will allow evaluation of proposed industrial and construction projects on these bodies of water to help preserve natural resources. It outlines steps to collect and analyze existing seagrass data, develop models for critical factors, integrate the models, and determine each factor's relationship to seagrass productivity.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as pdf or txt
    29 views23 pages

    Seagrass Modeling in Banana River 1997

    Uploaded by

    Michael Corsello
    The document describes the development of a model to approximate the effects of changes to hydrologic and human activities on the productivity of seagrass beds in Banana River and Mosquito Lagoon. The model will allow evaluation of proposed industrial and construction projects on these bodies of water to help preserve natural resources. It outlines steps to collect and analyze existing seagrass data, develop models for critical factors, integrate the models, and determine each factor's relationship to seagrass productivity.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    of 23

    Prepared By Michael Corsello

    This model is being developed to approximate the


    effects of alteration of hydrologic and anthropogenic
    cycles on the productivity of seagrass beds in the
    Banana River and Mosquito Lagoon. The model will
    permit the evaluation of proposed industrial and
    construction activities in relation to these bodies of
    water in an attempt to preserve the natural resources
    inhabiting the estuary.
    To predict future seagrass growth patterns

    To predict the effects of development efforts on


    seagrass populations prior to initiation of
    construction

    To assist in devising the most productive


    management plans for preserving seagrass beds
     Collate and analyze existing SAV data to determine
    most critical factors
     Acquire and analyze data for each factor
     Develop a representative model for each factor
     Integrate independant factor models
     Determine the relationship and magnitude of each
    factor with respect to SAV gross primary
    productivity
    MTA MMT RN ( MTx , MTx )
    SD SD
    31

    n 11mos.@10samples / mo.
    29

    2
    27 R 0.9978
    25

    23

    21

    19

    17

    15
    15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31
    BVA( t ) BV(i ) ( MRA * SFA)

    MRA MMR( t ) RN ( MVV( t ) , MVV( t ) )

    SFA 2( BL *WSD) 2( BW *WSD) BV(i ) / Dx


    MSA( t ) ( SSQ / BVA( t ) )1000 SRandom

    SSQ ( BV(i ) / 1000) Sx

    S x Random RN ( S x , S x )
    SD SD
    40

    2
    38 R .5587
    36

    34

    32

    30

    28

    26

    24

    22

    20
    20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40
    40

    38

    36 ACTUAL
    SIM

    34

    32

    30

    28

    26

    24

    22

    20
    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 12
    40

    38
    MOS. Apr Aug, Oct Nov
    36

    34
    R2 .6859
    32

    30

    28

    26

    24

    22

    20
    20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40
    G rowth Ha lod ule P er cen t Co ve r Die off
    De nsity De pe nd an t G rowth S upp re ssion

    ~
    Se aso na l Va ria tio n Mo nth Cou nte r
    ~ De nsity De pe nd an t Dea th Rate
    G row Su pp re ssion Ra tio Cal cula ti on Sa lin ity De pen da nt Gr owth Su pp ressi on
    Te mpe ratu re De pen da nt Gr owth Su pp re ssi on

    Sa lin ity Ca lcula ti on

    Mo nthly Sa lini ty Ap pro ximatio n Re set S

    ~
    Va ria te Sa lini ty Va lue Ra nd om Num ber G e ner ator S Sta tic S alt Qu an tity

    Mo nth Cou nte r

    Ba sin V olu me A pp roxima tion


    Ba sin Influ x V olu me Re set B V

    ~
    Mo nthly Mea n Ra infal l Mo nthly Rain fall A pp roxim ation Sh ee tfl ow Are a

    ~
    Mo nthly Va ria tio n V alu e Ra nd om Num ber G e ner ator RF

    Mo nthly Temp er atur e Ap pro xima tio n

    ~
    Mo nthly Mea n Tem pe ratur e Te mpe ratu re Ca lcula ti on Re set T
    Ra nd om Mon thly Devia tio n V alu e Ra nd om Num ber G e ner ator T

    ~
    AA( t ) Arc tan( SAA / 1 SAA2 ) *180 /
    SAA sin( LR) *sin( DR) cos( LR) *cos( DR) *cos( HA)

    DR (12.45 *sin(((360(284 DOY )) / 365.25) / 180)) / 180)

    HA (( HOD 12) *15) / 180

    LR LD * / 180
    K 4.125 ( KF * 2.125) Kr

    KF sin((2 (365 DOY ) / 30.42) / 24)


    Kr RN ( .4,.4)

    (.00000069 ( e (. 28 T ) ) T )
    TL e
    HAL( t ) HAL( t 1) (G ( DDR * HAL( t 1) ))
    G HAL( t 1) *(( SD * 4) ( LL * 6)) / 10
    k'
    Io e
    Io
    ef I opt
    LL (e e I opt )
    k'
    k ' 2.09 (.00144 * HAL( t 1) )

    Io I m ( 0 .71C)
     Tune salinity model for better R-squared and slope fit
     Integrate all models and validate
     Develop herbivory model and integrate
     Adapt model to each species of SAV
     Incorporate flexibility parameters
     Compile model in C++ for added efficiency

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