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A Model of Diurnal Grazing Patterns and Herbage Intake of A Dairy Cow, Mindy Model Description
A Model of Diurnal Grazing Patterns and Herbage Intake of A Dairy Cow, Mindy Model Description
Ecological Modelling
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolmodel
a r t i c l e
i n f o
Article history:
Received 23 June 2013
Received in revised form 28 August 2013
Accepted 3 September 2013
Available online 5 October 2013
Keywords:
Modeling
Grazing behavior
Herbage intake
Cattle
a b s t r a c t
Estimates of herbage intake and parallel measurements of ingestive and digestive behaviors of grazing ruminants pose considerable experimental and technical difculties, owing to dynamic interactions
between the plant, the rumen and the animal. As a consequence, advances in the area have been slow
and costly. Model simulations that capture such interactions are critical for research and management
decisions involving the grazing process. This work describes MINDY, a mathematical, mechanistic and
dynamic simulation model of the diurnal grazing pattern of a dairy cow. MINDY is based on a cluster of
three models: (1) Molly (Baldwin, 1995), a model of ruminant digestion and metabolism; (2) a model
representing feed consumption as a function of diurnal uctuations in the internal state of the animal;
and (3) a sward structure, herbage quality and grazing behavior model. The objective of the work was
to describe the diurnal grazing pattern, including ingestive actions and rumination behaviors, herbage
intake, and nutrient supply to the animal in response to the animals internal state and grazing environment. The model was coded in ACSL and simulations were conducted using ACSLXtreme. In addition
to dietary nutrient composition required by Molly, MINDY requires sward surface height and mass, and
grazing area offered to the cow. Key sub-model parameters were identied by sensitivity analyses and
parameterized using two data sets from mid-lactation Friesian and late lactation Holstein dairy cows
breeds under set stock conditions. The parameterized model predicted realistic estimates of ingestive
behavior for different cow genotypes managed under set stocking and rotational grazing. It also predicted a realistic number of steps taken while eating and searching and sward defoliation dynamics as
well as diurnal uctuations of digestion and metabolism. Additional evaluations are required and further
data may be needed to better dene some parameters, but the model offers promise as an heuristic tool
for feed intake and grazing process research and as an informative tool for grazing and cow management
decisions.
2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Herbage intake is the most important variable affecting animal
performance in pastoral production systems (Kolver and Muller,
1998; Burns and Sollenberger, 2002). No reliable means exist to
measure it, therefore, its prediction and modeling are critical for
supporting targeted research to improve management of intake
in grazing systems. Herbage intake results from grazing (Gibb,
1996), a complex process involving animal decisions at multiple
spatio-temporal scales (Arnold and Dudzinski, 1978; Senft et al.,
1987; Bailey et al., 1996). Considerable research has been conducted on several aspects of this process, from bite formation to
Corresponding author. Tel.: +64 7 858 3787; fax: +64 7 858 375.
E-mail addresses: Pablo.Gregorini@dairynz.co.nz (P. Gregorini),
Pierre.Beukes@dairynz.co.nz (P.C. Beukes), Alvaro.Romera@dairynz.co.nz
(A.J. Romera), Gil.Levy@dairynz.co.nz (G. Levy), mhanigan@vt.edu (M.D. Hanigan).
0304-3800/$ see front matter 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013.09.001
12
Fig. 1. Schematic representation of MINDY: a mechanistic and dynamic model to simulate diurnal patterns of herbage intake and grazing behavior of a grazing dairy cow.
White boxes with solid lines represent true pools (hard components) of the model, white dashed with dashed lines represent soft components of the model, solid arrows
represent modiers. Grey boxes (functional components) and arrows represent the motivational system of feeding behavior adapted from Jensen and Toates (1993), Hughes
and Duncan (1988) and Smith (1996).
13
Fig. 2. A simplied schematic representation of Baldwin (1995). Adapted from Hanigan et al. (2008). Boxes with dashes lines represent conceptual compartments as dened
in the model; boxes with solid lines represent pools; solid arrows represent modiers; and the circles associated with dashed arrows indicate the direction of the modies.
FA, fatty acids, VFA, volatile fatty acids.
DayTwlength
24
(1)
where Daylight assumes a positive value when it is light and a negative value when it is dark. T is time of day (unit: days). DayTwlength
(hrs.) is the length of the day including twilight and calculated from
the day of the year and latitude as:
DayTwlength = 24
24
acos (DayTwlengthP2)
(2)
where,
DayTwlengthP2 =
0.9671396
(4)
14
These equations do not perfectly reect the length of day at latitudes greater than 60 . Thus, a set of conditional statements are
used to cap daylength to a value of not greater than 24 h (Appendix
A.2.1).
kFdRat = 1 +
(6)
IHorSyn =
xVFA
+ AHor/kaHor kFdRat
xaHor
MamCellsPart
1000
(8)
(5)
(dIHor) + iIHor
kBCS +
IHor =
BCSTarget
1
BCS
VmIHorSyn
+ RumDM/kRumDM kFdRat
xRumDM
+ Am/AmCor/kAm kFdRat
xAm
(7)
well as the orexigenic neuropeptide-Y (Schwartz et al., 1996; GilCampos et al., 2006). There is an interaction between leptin and the
neuropeptide-Y (Gil-Campos et al., 2006) that explains the negative relationship between leptin and ghrelin secretion (Stylianou
et al., 2007). Leptin does not dictate the onset or cessation of a
meal, it modulates feeding motivation (Houseknecht et al., 1998).
Roche et al. (2006) observed that genetic selection for milk production increased plasma ghrelin concentrations and associated
herbage intake levels in dairy cows. This mechanism is represented
by MamCellsPart, which represents secretory cell numbers and differentiates udder metabolic capacity between cows, enabling the
model to represent genetic merit for milk production.
A reduction of intake in early lactation (LagDMI) is generally
observed in dairy cows. This relates to reductions in gut capacity
and is potentiated by adipose tissue mobilization (utilization) and
status (Faverdin et al., 1999). The lag function described by Roseler
et al. (1997) captures this phenomenon.
IHor degradation is calculated as a mass action function of IHor,
kIHor being a constant for adjustments.
IHorDeg = kIHor IHor
(9)
IHorRange
2
StartIHor = iIHor +
IHorRange
2
(10)
A meal will start (IHor > StartIHor) and stop (IHor < StopIHor) subject to additional constraints executed as a series of logical tests
(Appendix A.2.2). These include: (1) a primary meal cannot start
when Daylight < 0; (2) once started, a meal can continue past dusk;
(3) a small meal can occur after dusk, and (4) a meal cannot occur
when the cow is out of the paddock and/or being milked. Because
StopIHor and StartIHor are not equal, the time between meals and
the length of a meal are primarily determined by the magnitude
of the range between the triggers (IHorRange), creating an intermittent grazing pattern. Because meals occurring during the late
afternoon and early evening are generally longer and more intensive compared to previous meals of the day (Gibb et al., 1998;
Taweel et al., 2004; Gregorini, 2012), StopIHor was adjusted downwards 3 h before the end of the day, a period labeled Latefeeding,
and a logical statement was used to reduce the StopIHor during that
period (Appendix). Latefeeding was determined from DayTwlength;
DayTwlenght
(11)
24
MeanLM =
(12)
where, ETHini (m) and ETHlim (m) are the initial extended tiller
height and the sward canopy barrier, respectively. The barrier is the
sward canopy height under which cows are not allowed to (determined by management) or able to graze (determined by sward
canopy structure; i.e. stem/pseudostem physical barrier). ETHlim is
an input to the model. DD, a constant proportion of ETHini , represents bite depth for each GS (Wade et al., 1989), thus dening the
depth (m) and ETH (m) of each GSi in the sward canopy. The latter
is calculated as:
ETHi = ETHini (1DD)(i1)
(13)
[ETHi + ETHi1 ]
2
(14)
1
LMIi =
MeanLM
15
LM +
(SM LM)
1 + MeanSwardHeight/Hi
eLMI
(15)
where, LM and SM are the masses of lamina and sheath plus stem
(kg DM/m) respectively. MeanSwardHeight is half of ETHini and eLMI
is a parameter that changes the shape of the curve and so the
distribution of herbage mass in the vertical plane, allowing the
representation of different vertical distributions. MeanLM is the
mean linear mass (kg DM/m) of a grass tiller plus stem (or erect
legume) calculated from the integration of the MichaelisMenten
curve between ETHini and MeanSwardHeight.
(16)
16
HM
ETHini
(17)
(18)
(19)
where FAdjustment is the adjustment factor to the herbage chemical composition, T represents time of day (days) calculated using a
MOD function; a, b and c are coefcients derived for each nutrient
from the data of Gregorini et al. (2008c, 2009d). FAdjustment was centered on a value of 1. As composition data were only available for
daylight hours, the adjustment factors were calculated as a linear
interpolation of the value at sunset and the value at sunrise during
dark hours. Thus, the adjustments cycled each day. Fiber and protein concentrations (g/kg DM) were then calculated continuously
from the herbage chemical composition inputs as:
NutrientAdjusted = Nutrientinput FAdjustment
(20)
Soluble carbohydrates are calculated by difference after specication of all of the other nutrients in the herbage. Thus, net changes
in the sum of temporally adjusted and explicitly dened nutrients
were inversely proportional to the soluble carbohydrate content
of herbage. Changes in biomechanical (e.g. toughness) features of
herbage affecting ingestive behavior are represented by the neutral detergent ber content. Neutral detergent ber content varies
in the vertical plane of the sward canopy and by time of day. These
spatio-temporal changes were represented using the equation of
Baumont et al. (2004) with temporal adjustment using FAdjustment
for neutral detergent ber (FAdjustmentNDF ):
NDFi = (1.15 7.33e 4 Hi) NDFadjusted
(21)
BMi
TBi
(22)
(23)
is the
(24)
BAi =
2 DA2
1 + MeanSwardHeight/Hi
exp [0.3 (MBDi 1)] (25)
where DA (m) is the animals dental arcade width, which is calculated based on a modication of the Illius and Gordon (1987)
allometric relationship to avoid the effect of gut ll, adipose tissue
and gravid uterus on animal body weight (BW, kg):
DA = 8.6 NonFatNonUterEmptyBW 0.36
(26)
(27)
(28)
(29)
Ingestive chewing is a variable function of the mass and brosity of herbage and hunger (Prez-Barbera and Gordon, 1998).
Grazing cattle increase TB as BM and ber content of harvested
herbage increase, but reduce it as hunger increases as a compensatory mechanism to increase herbage intake rate (Greenwood and
Demment, 1988; Gregorini, 2011). Therefore, from TBi and IHor, the
actual chewing time (ACHT, min) required for each bite taken is
calculated as:
ACHTi = (TBi PT ) ChewFactor
(30)
(31)
BMi
PT + ACHT
(32)
17
(33)
(HMtotavail + HMunavail )
iHMtotal
HMtotavail =
(34)
(35)
(36)
iHMtotal = HM TA
(37)
(38)
(39)
where, SGRi and CRi are the rates of change in the area (m2 ) of
each GS due to sward canopy growth (m2 /min) and consumption,
respectively (Also see Fig. 3a). SGRi and CRi are calculated similarly
to Baumont et al. (2004).
[(TAGSAi ) HGR] dGSAi
= SGRi CRi
SGRi =
BDi
dt
(40)
(41)
where GSAi (m2 ) is the ungrazed and accessible area for GSi
(derived
by numerical integration of Eq. (39)); HGR is the herbage growth
rate (m/min); and BRi is bite rate (bites/min) for GSi (see Section
2.4.5).
2.4.4.2. Foraging decisions. As successive GS become accessible, the
animal can either (1) completely graze the upper GS before starting
to graze the next lower GS, or (2) graze completely down the sward
canopy at each feeding station (FS, Section 2.4.6) before moving to
the next FS. The former is consistent with an attempt by the animal
to maximize intake rate given that BM successively becomes less
in each lower GS (Demment et al., 1993; Illius et al., 1999). Under
rotation grazing management, cattle graze by stratum (Wade et al.,
Fig. 3. a) A schematic representation of the bite features and grazing strata during
grazing; b) a schematic representation of the harvesting step length calculus.
(Adapted from Galli et al. (1999) and Baumont et al. (2004)).
1989). They start consuming the next lower GS as the area of the
upper stratum shrinks. In MINDY, it was assumed that the animal
would only graze from the upper two available GS, and the preference for each strata (PREFi and PREFi 1 ) was calculated from the
proportion of the upper GSA remaining using a MichaelisMenten
function to achieve a continuous shift in preference from the upper
to the lower GS as the GSA of the upper stratum declined. A series of
logical statements (Appendix A.2.5.) was used to shift grazing down
to the next pair of GS (i.e. GSi 1 and GSi 2 ) when GSAi reached a
negligible area (minimumGSA).
2.4.5. Real herbage and nutrient intake and bite rate
Herbage intake rate (FdRat, kg/min) is a function of ActualIR and
PREF for each of the pair of available GS:
FdRat = (PREFCurrentStratum ActualIRCurrentStratum + PREFCurrentStratum1
ActualIRCurrentStratum1 )
(42)
(43)
t
HDMI =
FdRat
0
(44)
18
PREF
CurrentStratum ActualIRCurrentStratum
BMCurrentStratum
PREF
CurrentStratum1
ActualIRCurrentStratum1
BMCurrentStratum1
FSR =
(46)
(47)
HSL
(48)
t
DWH =
MSH
(49)
(50)
t
STI =
pSTI
(51)
SSpeedS = pSTI
MVelsearching
GIHor
SSpeedS
(53)
(45)
t
SDI =
(52)
SSpeedS
(HSL 1.4)
TSS =
x
y
(54)
SSR
yx
(55)
Cows were milked twice a day at 5 am and 2:30 pm. The experiment of Taweel et al. (2004) was conducted in the spring and
used Holstein cows in late lactation (310 days in milk) with an
approximate liveweight of 600 kg, grazing a L. perenne dominated
sward of approximately 1015 cm surface height and a mass of
1700 kg DM/ha. Cows were milked twice a day at 6:30 am and 6 pm.
The model inputs were congured to reproduce the above sward
characteristics, time of year, latitude, and milking schedule. The
observed discrete patterns of grazing activity were reconstructed
using a time scale of minutes and smoothed to create a continuous
variable using the following equation. This was required for parameter estimation as the available optimizers in ACSLX are not able to
handle discrete data.
dGrazingSmotothed =
t
GrazingSmoothed =
dGrazingSmoothed
0
19
Taweel et al. (2004). The model did not display mean bias (0.35%
of the MSPE) and slope bias was minor (20% of the MSPE). This
suggests that most of the variance was due to random biological
variation (79% of the MSPE).
Table 1
Model parameter estimates derived by tting to the data of Gibb et al. (1998) and Taweel et al. (2004), and residual error analyses.
Parameter1
Final
STD of estimates
VmIHorSyn
kIHor
NightMealInter
NightMealTime
NightMult5
kLPSP
kaHor
kAm
kRumDM
kVFA
xaHor
xAm
xRumDM
xVFA
73.26
6.01
0.10
0.04
1.24
2.78
1.53
2.99
3.38
0.11
0.85
1.16
1.02
10.35
0.0027
0.009
0.00001
0.000003
0.003
0.00081
0.00023
0.00013
0.00047
0.000033
0.00036
0.00025
0.00016
0.0056
RMSPE, % of mean
Mean bias, % of MSPE
Slope bias, % of MSPE
Random error, % of MSPE
N
Mean of observed
Mean of predicted
RSMPE, square root of mean prediction error; STD, standard deviation; MSPE, mean square prediction error.
1
Parameters are described in Table A.1.
36.18
0.35
20.71
78.92
5264
0.46
0.47
20
Fig. 4. Plot of smoothed observed values from Gibb et al. (1998) and Taweel et al. (2004), overlaid with the smoothed predicted values for grazing activity (i.e. meal throughout
the day).
Table 2
Input parameters used to represent cow genotype and sward features for simulations of cows with historic or current genetic potential subjected to set stocked or rotational
grazed pastures.
Sward characteristicsa
Parameter
Set stocking
Rotational grazinga
2300
15
0.00001
0.001
2000
0.6
178
40
60
385
206
16
100
3000
30
1
0.0015
100
0.6
178
40
60
385
206
16
100
Cow genotype
Old
Modern
500
1.4
440
710
3.25
180
5 am, 3 pm
550
1.6
470
860
3.0
180
5 am, 3 pm
Strips of new pasture were allocated every 24 h right after morning milking (5:30 am). Chemical composition of the grass at noon (12:00 pm).
Table 3
Effect of cow genotype and grazing method on model predictions of variables associated with hunger, dry matter intake, grazing pattern, and distance walked.
Cow genotype
Old
Modern
Grazing method
Set stocking
Rotational grazing
Set stocking
Rotational grazing
Output variable
IHor (unitless)
Herbage intake (kg DM/d)
Grazing time (min/d)
Harvesting time (min/d)
Searching time (min/d)
Number of meals per day
Average meal length (min)
Average meal intake (kg DM)
Rumination time (min/d)
Idling time (min/d)
Distance walked while eating (m/d)
Distance walked while searching (m/d)
0.91
15.2
492
487
5
5
102
3.04
442
505
2444
30
0.99
15.3
485
297
187
5
59
3.01
471
483
3192
1044
0.95
17.8
544
537
7
5
115
3.55
441
455
2455
33
1.43
16.6
560
351
208
5
75
3.32
435
446
3357
956
21
Fig. 5. Diurnal pattern of grazing behavior, rumen function and anabolic and hunger hormones of two genotype of cows [Old (a) and Modern (b)], under two grazing methods
[set stocking and rotational] as simulated by MINDY model. (Solid lines belong to y axis and dotted lines belong to the z axis).
herbage intake (Table 3), and thus be used to evaluate the response
in herbage intake of cows with different genetic merit.
Grazing management also altered the level of intake. Herbage
intake was lower for the modern cow under rotational grazing
22
23
rumen ammonia (Table A.3). However, the parameterized sensitivity exponents in Eq. (7) (Table 1) reect the relative importance of
rumen ammonia in controlling IHor synthesis compared to rumen
VFA. The exponent for VFA is approximately 10 that for ammonia.
Rumen VFA concentration, in particular, has been postulated as a
key factor controlling intake (Illius and Jessop, 1996), which is supported by the reported marked reductions in plasma ghrelin related
to increments rumen fermentation rates as a results of concentrate
supplementation (Roche et al., 2007). Due to rumen fermentation
pattern and rate of production of VFA are related to ammonia availability in the rumen, level of ammonia in the rumen should not be
disregarded and cannot be discarded from the Eq. (7).
Collectively, rumen fermentation end-products and the resulting hormonal changes are the overwhelming modulators of meal
cessation (Pittroff and Soca, 2006; Roche et al., 2008b; Gregorini,
2011). The structure of MINDY allows consideration of this phenomenon and shows it interacting with patterns of intake and
ingestive behavior. Previous modeling efforts, as stated by Allen
(1996); (Allen, 2000), have not been comprehensive enough to
include these more complicated concepts. Therefore, MINDY represents a step forward.
5. Conclusions
The model presented herein, MINDY, makes explicit the functional relationships among direct and indirect controls of feeding
motivation of grazing ruminants. MINDY reproduces the observed
patterns of meals achieving the correct temporal occurrence and
the relative meal lengths of a grazing dairy cow as compared to
those reported in the literature. The models sensitive response to
those functional relationships also allows it to simulate realistic
daily herbage intake and within meal behavior for contrasting grazing environments and cows of different genetic merit. Therefore,
the concepts encoded in the model capture much of the underlying biological mechanisms that drive the diurnal grazing pattern
and ultimately daily herbage intake. This is a considerable advance
in the understanding and modeling of herbage intake and grazing
behavior patterns of free range ruminants.
Estimates of herbage intake and parallel measurements of
ingestive behavior and rumen function of grazing ruminants pose
considerable experimental and technical difculties. As a consequence, advances in knowledge of herbage intake under grazing
conditions have been slow and costly. Therefore, upon completion
of additional testing and evaluation, MINDY can be used to design
and organize experimental programs. The model could also enable
investigators interested in different aspects of the control of intake
and grazing behavior of ruminants (nutrition, physiology, ecology
etc.) to have a common and heuristic tool for mechanistic research.
Thus, MINDY can help to accelerate advances in the knowledge of
the grazing process at low cost.
Acknowledgments
This work was funded by New Zealand dairy farmers thru
DairyNZ Inc. The authors thank Drs. David Chapman and Jeremy
Bryant from DairyNZ (New Zealand) for reviewing this manuscript
and Dave Clark (DairyNZ, New Zealand), Prof. John McNamara
(Washington State University, USA) and Dr. Juan Villaba (Utah State
University, USA) for their useful comments during the development
of this work and writing of the manuscript.
Appendix A.
A.1. Model variables and parameters
Table A.1.
24
Table A.1
Model variables denitions and units.
Symbol
Denition
Value/Unit
ACHT
ActualIR
AHM
AHor
Am
AmCor
BAi
BCS
BCSTarget
BDi
BMi
BR
Chewingfactor
CowHeight
CRi
CurrentStratum
CurrentStratum1
CVFA
DA
Dailydistancewalked
DaylengthP1
Daylight
DayTwlength
DayTwlengthP2
DD
DWH
eLMI
ETHi
ETHini
ETHlim
Fadjustment
FdRat
FSR
GACurrentStratum
GACurrentStratum 1
GAi
GIHor
GrazingSw
HDMI
HGR
Hi
HighChewingMot
HM
HMtotalavail
HMunavail
HSL
iHMtotal
iHMtotalavail
IHor
IHorCor
IHorDeg
IHorRange
IHorSyn
iIHor
kaHor
kAm
kChewfactor
kFdRat
kIHor
kMamCells
kLPSP
kmPref
kRumDM
kVFA
LagDMI
LateFeeding
LM
LMIi
LowChewingMot
LP
MamCellPart
MBDi
MBDsward
MeanLM
MeanSwHeight
Days
kg/min
Unitless
Unitless
mmol/L
Unitless
m2
Points
Points
m
kg
Bites/day
Unitless
m
m2 /day
mmol/L
m
m
Unitless
Days
Days
Proportion
m
Unitless
m
m
m
Unitless
kg/day
FS/day
m2
cm2
m2 /day
Unitless
Unitless
kg/day
m/day
m
1, unitless, 31
kg/m2
kg
kg
m
kg
kg
Unitless
1.0, unitless
Unitless
0.02, unitless
Unitless
1.0, unitless
1.0, unitless
0.75, unitless
Unitless
Unitless
6.037, unitless
0.1, unitless
Unitless
Unitless
9.5, unitless
0.11, unitless
Unitless
Days
kg/m
Unitless
0.15, unitless
kg
Unitless
kg/m3
kg/m3
kg/m
m
25
Denition
Value/Unit
minimunGSA
MinLPRumntn
MSH
NightMealInter
NightMealTime
Nstrata
Nutrientadjustment
PCHT
PIRCurrent stratum
PIRCurrent stratum+1
PIRi
PREFCurrentStratum
PREFinter
pSTI
PT
Rest
RumDM
Rumntn
SDI
SGR
SM
SSpeedS
SSR
StartIHor
STI
StopIHor
T
TA
TBi
VmIHorSyn
xaHor
xAm
xFdRatLag
xRumDM
xVFA
m2
kg
m/d
0.1, unitless
0.044, unitless
Unitless
Days
kg/day
kg/day
kg/day
Unitless
Unitless
Unitless
Days
Days
kg DM
Days
m
m2 /d
kg/m
m/day
Searching steps/day
Unitless
Days
Unitless
Days
m2
Days
Unitless
1.0, unitless
1.12, unitless
0.25, unitless
1.0, unitless
10.0, unitless
Table A.2
Regression parameters relating changes in the nutrient composition of grass with respect to time of day (t, fraction of a day).
Variable name
Constant
Organic matter
Crude protein
Acid detergent ber
Neutral detergent ber
Non-structural carbohydrates
Soluble crude protein
Non-protein nitrogen
Rumen undegradable acid detergent ber
Cellulose
Hemicellulose
88.69
17.20
31.33
50.74
12.32
5.00
22.86
31.96
31.33
16.40
2.93
2.33
10.37
14.14
7.54
0.77
6.14
10.76
9.56
4.57
4.73
41.18
24.20
11.05
50.64
13.28
76.41
25.37
18.59
7.54
6.46
59.93
30.66
14.89
84.43
19.30
108.86
34.85
24.60
39.49
Fadjustment = Constant + a t3 + b t2 + c t.
If DayTwlengthP2 < 1
If DayTwlengthP2 > 1
StopIHor
NightMult5
If IHorstartIHor
If Daylight0
Stop grazing
If LateFeeding 0
NigthMealInter
NightMealTime
NightMult5
KLPSP
kfdratahor
kfdratAm
kfdratRumDM
kfdratVFA
xaHor
xAm
xRumDM
xVFA
***
**
P < 0.05.
P < 0.01.
P < 0.001.
Model outputs
VmIHorSyn
kIHor
Variable
R2 = 0.75
R2 = 0.73
R2 = 0.07
R2 = 0.56*
R2 = 0.81
R2 = 0.51
R2 = 0.65
R2 = 0.72**
1.0617x + 7.77
2.169x + 3.598
0.212x + 6.276
18.64x + 2.681
181.91x + 2.619
R2 = 0.65
13.4x2 25.7x + 16.6 R2 = 0.55**
0.339x + 6.276
R2 = 0.65
0.0001x + 0.0163
R2 = 0.50
1.2x + 0.3
R2 = 0.95**
2.75x + 5.08
R2 = 0.64
0.225x + 2.04
R2 = 0.78**
8.888x + 3.18
R2 = 0.5
200x + 5.98
R2 = 0.93**
13.5x2 + 26.6x 8.9R2 = 0.64**
0.36x + 2.04
R2 = 0.78*
N/A
450x + 5.02
R2 = 0.75
60x + 6.42
R2 = 0.66
8.425x + 42.18
R2 = 0.78
0.4x + 4.6
R2 = 0.45
31.105x + 4.165
57.166x + 2.080
=0.302x + 3.458
0.652x + 3.461
R2 = 0.02
R2 = 0.53
0.054x + 2.15
3.465x + 19.92
0.002x + 4.04
0.175x + 3.46
Table A.3
Responses in model outputs associated with two steps of a 10% change in the value of each model parameter. The regression equation relates variable changes to particular response data.
26
P. Gregorini et al. / Ecological Modelling 270 (2013) 1129
If GSAcurrentStratum < min imumGSA
KmPREF =
TACurrentStratum PIRCurrentStratum
PIRCurrentStratum /FKmPref
End If PREFCurrentStratum =
If CurrentStratum < NStrata
1 + KmPREF/GSACurrentStratum
PREFCurrentStratum1 = 1 PREFCurrentStratum
IfCurrentStratum < NStrata
Else
KmPREF = 0
(1.0PrefInter)
exp PREF
+ PREFInter
Else
PREFCurrentStratum = 1
where, GSACurrentStratum is the accessible area (m) of the upper grazing stratum from the pair of grazing strata being grazed at the
time. GSACurrentStratum1 is the accessible area of the lower grazing
stratum from the pair of grazing strata being grazed at the time.
PREFCurrentStratum is the relative preference for the upper grazing
stratum from the pair of grazing strata being grazed at the time.
PREFCurrentStratum1 is the relative preference for the lower grazing
stratum from the pair of grazing strata being grazed at the time.
minimumGSA is a constant that needs to be large enough that the
area consumed per integration interval does not exceed this number. PrefInter, FKmPref and expPREF are also constants. PrefInter is
0.3 affects the intercept of the curve of partial preference for current currently being grazed. FKmPref, 0.2, is a scalar to correct the
ratio PIRi1: PIRi to achieve a proper curve shape. expPREF, 3.0, creates a sigmoid shape to the PREFCurrentStratum (upper stratum of the
pair being grazed at the time).
TimeOf DayEffect =
(Sunrise Dawn)
[MorningSwitch (T Sunrise) NoonGIHOR + (Noon T ) (SunriseGIHOR)]
+
(Noon Sunrise)
[AfternoonSwitch (T Noon) SunsetGIHOR + (Sunset T ) (NoonGIHOR)]
(Sunset Noon)
[DuskSwitch (T Sunset) NightGIHOR + (DuskT ) (SunsetGIHOR)]
+
(DuskSunset)
+NightSwitch NightGIHOR
27
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