Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Water Security Central Kosovo
Water Security Central Kosovo
Water Security Central Kosovo
71850
MARCH 2011
Edited March 2012
Date
Author
Collaborators
-
K. ZENA
N. PIRVA
C. SCHMANDT
F. BAUDRY - C. MASCRE
-
25/03/2011
Reviewer
F. PINTUS
B. PICON
A. AZIZI
G. DENIGOT
C. VALLET
WORLD
BANK
Approver
Reasons for
issue
The team thanks all the partners in Kosovo who provided help to collect data in
the field for the canal survey as well those who shared information for this study.
We hope that this assessment will provide opportunities to improve water security
in Central Kosovo.
This Main Report and its additional volume on the WEAP Model Activities are the
results of the work of the Consultant Team led by F. Baudry and G.Denigot, in
cooperation with experts and government officials at the Water Directorate,
Ministry of Environment and Spatial Planning, the Ibr-Lepenc Canal Water
Company, the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Rural Development, the
Government Water Task Force, the Lignite Power Technical Assistance Project,
and several other Ministerial and other agencies. The support and information of
several donor agencies are gratefully acknowledged, notably of the Swiss
Cooperation Office Kosovo, the Kreditanstalt fr Wiederaufbau, and the
European Commission Liaison Office to Kosovo. The World Bank team that
supervised and led this initiative comprised Guy Alaerts, Michael Jacobsen and
Krenar Bujupi.
Disclaimer
The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are those
of the Consultant and do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank. The
World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work.
The boundaries, colours, denominations, and other information shown on any
map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank
concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of
such boundaries.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ACRONYMS
11
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
12
12
13
14
22
E- Conclusion
23
I.
24
24
25
II.1.
25
II.2.
25
26
III.1.
26
III.2.
Infrastructure Development
27
III.3.
29
III.4.
International context
31
32
IV.1.
32
IV.2.
33
33
34
AB-
Project Area
Central Kosovo area Water Supply
37
40
40
40
42
45
page 4/211
51
51
52
ABC-
ABCD-
ABC-
52
53
56
64
64
65
66
68
74
74
75
76
78
78
78
79
80
82
83
ABCD-
AB-
ABCD-
AB-
83
86
90
92
94
94
101
102
102
106
108
109
110
110
113
123
123
123
124
136
139
139
141
page 5/211
AB-
I.9. CONCLUSIONS
PART V
II.
141
142
151
152
152
153
154
II.1.
154
II.2.
155
II.3.
156
II.4.
159
AOverview
BBackground
CAssumptions General Methodology
DAssumptions Costs
EAssumptions Benefits
F- Steps to neutralize Bias
159
159
160
160
160
162
163
163
AB-
163
163
163
ABCD-
163
164
165
166
III.2.
AProject title
BBeneficiary institutions
CSituation Analysis
DLogical Framework Matrix
ECapital expenditures & Operating expenses
F- BENEFITS - Protection of drinking water resource
GStakeholder Analysis
HTarget group beneficiaries
I- Implementation arrangements
IV.2.
AProject title:
BBeneficiary institutions
CSituation Analysis
DLogical framework matrix
EStakeholder Analysis
F- Target group beneficiaries
168
168
168
168
168
170
172
174
177
177
177
178
178
178
178
179
183
183
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G-
IV.3.
Canal
Implementation arrangements
Project 3: Provision of sufficient water of good quality through the Ibr Lepenc
184
AProject title:
BBeneficiary institutions
CSituation Analysis
DLogical framework matrix
EStakeholder Analysis
F- Target group beneficiaries
IV.4.
AProject title:
BBeneficiary institutions
CSituation Analysis
DLogical framework matrix
EStakeholder Analysis
F- Target group beneficiaries
V. INVESTMENT PRIORITIES
PART VI ANNEXES
183
184
184
184
186
196
196
197
197
197
197
204
207
207
208
209
I.
209
II.
211
211
page 7/211
page 8/211
Map 20: Hydrological zones for analysis of the runoff and basin yield in Ibr River Basin in Kosovo and
Montenegro
90
Map 21: Extension of the Regional Water Companies (RWC) and Municipalities in Ibr River Basin and in
Kosovo.
103
Map 24: Precipitation distribution and location of sites of water storages
201
Map 25: Catchment of a possible reservoir in the Drenas River Basin Versant
202
Table 1: WEAP Results Analysis
21
Table 2: Data collection records
37
Table 3: Tributaries of the Ibr River and surface of their river basin
41
Table 4: List and main characteristics of the Municipalities (Source OSCE Municipalities profile 2007 to 2009) 43
Table 5: Main characteristics of sub-basins in Ibr River Basin which are relevant for Water Body delineation 53
Table 6: Table of the Surface Water Bodies
54
Table 7: Characteristics of proposed Ground Water Bodies in the Ibr Basin
61
Table 8: Land use by Corine land cover category in the upper Ibr river basin.
66
Table 9: Polluted soil and point source of industrial pollution (Source KEPA)
71
Table 10: Level of contamination of sediments in the Ibr River in Mitrovica - Source: Ground water pollution in
Mitrovica and surroundings
72
Table 11: Chemical analyses in the Ibr River Mitrovica- station Kelmend - from 2003 to 2005 (Source university
of Mitrovica)
75
Table 12: Description of the Timeline for scenarios building
82
Table 13: List of the hydrometrical stations in the Ibr River Basin up to the Border with Serbia (Source IHMK
2010)
84
Table 14: Availability of the Hydrological regarding the daily measurement of the water level in the rivers of the
upper Ibr River Basin
85
Table 15: Mean temperature in the main towns of the Ibr River Basin
88
Table 16: Evaporation in several stations in Prishtina (Source 1985 Water Master Plan)
88
Table 17: Connected and non connected population in Ibr River Basin (Source: Report on the performance for
2008 from the water and waste regulatory office, Prishtina and Mitrovica Water Companies Directors)
103
Table 18: Key indicators of the Water supply production for the Prishtina and Mitrovica RWC (Source: the report
WYG International on Prishtina regional water supply 2009)
104
Table 19: Households demand - regional company public networks (set of assumptions 1)
105
Table 20: Irrigation scheme and irrigated area
107
Table 21: Key parameters for bulk water used for irrigation: Total gross water demand for irrigated agriculture in
Ibr basin in 2010 (Source SCE/OIEau IL)
107
Table 22: Water demand for industry in 2010
109
Table 23: Demand parameters and Minimum Biological flow for the baseline scenarios (SCE/OIEau 2010) 111
Table 24: First scenarios of population growth
125
Table 25: Second scenarios of population growth
125
Table 26: Possible evolution of the average daily water consumption due to tariff policy
127
Table 27: Evolution of non-revenue water level Scenario A
128
Table 28: Evolution of non-revenue water level Scenario B
129
Table 29: Domestic water demand under 3 scenarios
129
Table 30: Evolution of the demand from the industry
130
Table 31: Total gross water demand for irrigated agriculture in Ibr basin in 2035 (water saving scenario)
133
Table 32: Water Consumption for Industry
140
Table 33: Impact of different parameters on the Water Demand from Ibr River Basin
141
Table 34: Water missing in Gazivoda system System 1
145
Table 35: WEAP Results Analysis
150
Table 36: Water Security Criteria used to prioritize the Program of Measures
158
Table 38: Benefits for Protection of drinking water resources
175
Table 40: Cost and benefits for canal protection
193
Table 42: Characteristic of possible water storages in Ibr River basin
200
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page 10/211
ACRONYMS
CBA
EC
European Communities
ECLO
EU
European Union
KEPA
GIS
GWB
ICMM
ICPDR
IHMK
ILC
OIEau
RB
River Basin
RBD
RDM
RWC
WBo
Water Body
WB
World Bank
WEAP
WFD
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Executive Summary
A- Context and Objectives
1.
Kosovo is a small and young state that gained an interim UN-administered status in the wake of the
Dayton Peace Accord only in 1999; it declared independence in 2008. Compared to neighbouring countries, it is
still lacking in its basic infrastructure and its administrative and technical skills. In addition, with the onset of the
War in Yugoslavia in 1992 most investment and normal maintenance came to a standstill. Much of the publicly
owned infrastructure fell into disrepair or was vandalized, but private investments led to a construction boom
which, however, is leading to many environmental problems. The government is committed to reconstruction
and to the development of a peaceful state. It also intends to align with EU policies
2.
Lying in the southern Balkans, Kosovo is landlocked. While its mountainous western and southern
fringes are plentiful in water, its central/northern high-lying plateau, that covers about half of the country's
territory, is short of water featuring only a few minor rivers and brooks. Most rivers and wells are polluted, or at
serious risk. Yet, it is precisely this area that holds the country's largest population share, including its capital
Prishtina, as well as most of the mining activities, substantial agriculture, and most of its industry. This area
also contains the industrial growth area along the Durrs-Prishtina-Belgrade corridor, now under development.
Importantly, the country's two main (thermal) power plants are also located near Prishtina next to large lignite
deposits; the World Bank is assisting with the development of a privately-financed third, modern facility ("New
Kosovo"), decommissioning of the oldest plant ("Kosovo A") and refurbishing of the second oldest ("Kosovo B").
This economic heart of the country depends for its water mostly on the Ibr-Lepenc canal that conveys water
from the large Gazivoda reservoir in the north, built in the late 1970s. The canal is about 50 km long and has a
nominal capacity at its inlet of more than 10m3/sec but with losses of above 50% its delivery capacity declines
along its run. The reservoir lies partly in Serbia, but its dam and the canal lie inside Kosovo albeit in the region
that is dominated by communities of Serbian ethnicity. Two other much smaller reservoirs east of Prishtina
(Batllava and Badovc) have thus far provided water for Prishtina municipality and other towns and local industry.
3.
Groundwater resources have not been researched well in Kosovo. In the alluvial plain of the Sidnica
river affluent of the Ibr River the groundwater is abundant but very vulnerable to local pollution. Still, in many
villages on the central/northern plateau groundwater is used for household consumption.
4.
The agricultural sector is in general still poorly organized in this part of Kosovo. Some irrigation
infrastructure is still functioning but on a small scale at around 1000 ha per year. The Ibr-Lepenc Canal
Company offers irrigation contracts to farmers at a low price for the irrigation periods. Most of the irrigated area
is devoted to potato cultivation, which is a tradition in the Sidnica plain. The town centres are provided with
piped water, but connection rates are generally low except in Prishtina, and physical losses are still substantial.
Donors, such as the Swiss cooperation, USAID, KfW, UNDP and the EU are very active in the improvement and
expansion of water supply and drainage services, notably inside the Prishtina area and recent measures taken
by the Prishtina Regional Water Company to reduce losses and improve the bill payment rate proved to be
efficient last year. Sewerage is mostly lacking and only one town has an operational wastewater treatment plant.
5.
This study responds to the request by the Government to contribute to the updating of the Water
Strategy and Plan; offer direction for the new sector policy; identify practical, priority investments; and by doing
so help alignment with the EU acquis and its policies. Because of the limited budget, and the numerous ongoing donor activities, care was taken to target the study on a subject that would be strategically significant and
where the Bank would add value. Most donors support studies and investment in water supply and some
wastewater management and drainage, as well as catchment management. Few donor efforts thus far have
addressed the more complicated water resources management issues covering all water uses because of its
page 12/211
cross-sectoral nature and longer-term institutional implications. Central (and northern) Kosovo was selected for
the study as it is the area of most concern because 80% of the economic value is located there, including the
capital, whilst it likely will be facing the most constrained and vulnerable water resources and supply situation
over the next decade due to population and economic pressures. Also, the Bank is supporting there other major
activities that would benefit from this study, notably the "New Kosovo" Lignite Power Plant that will depend on
secure 24 hour water supply for cooling.
6.
Thus, the study has the specific objectives to: (i) assist the government to improve its river basin
planning and management by providing (for demonstration purposes) a replicable tool/simulation model for
integrated river basin planning and management; and (ii) support the government in its identification of priority
measures of structural and non-structural nature to help strengthen the water resources sector performance.
The source(s) for the financing of the identified projects would need to be identified further by the Government
as the World Bank has not committed to involvement in the sector.
7.
The economy and the towns of central Kosovo have an insecure water future. As mentioned, the IbrLepenc canal is a man-made artificial lifeline for supplying central Kosovo continuously with water. The study
has analyzed three key premises: (i) bulk water supply in central Kosovo may become inadequate to satisfy
growing demand; (ii) climate change is likely to exacerbate the shortfall in supply; and (iii) the available
infrastructure to collect and transport this bulk water is in poor condition and vulnerable due to the absence of
maintenance and modernization over the past two decades. Recently repairs of the major leakages were carried
out by the Ibr-Lepenc Canal Company. The Ibr-Lepenc canal in particular is operational but increasingly
vulnerable to acute disruption by notably landslides, leakages and, with politics not fully settled yet, other kinds
of disruption. It may not be prepared to keep providing reliable and expanding high-quality water service in the
longer-run given the pollution pressures, and growing uncertainty due to variability in demand and climate. The
study would then propose realistic "no-regret" measures specifically geared to increase supply reliability and
resilience to the likely demand variability in the main existing and future demand nodes, notably the "New
Kosovo" power plant and the refurbished Kosovo B plant; the municipal and industrial water supply in and near
Prishtina as well as Mitrovice, Vushstrij and several other towns on the plateau; and irrigation, now still near
zero demand but expected to rise soon. The study would take an integrated approachtreating the plateau as
a coherent hydrological unit comprising several water sources (the Gazivoda and the two other reservoirs, as
well as groundwater) and seek ways to reduce sources of security risks, and enhance the reliability of expanded
bulk water supply, at minimum cost.
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the other basins. However, no primary data collection has been carried out, but existing yet very scattered data
compiled and assessed for consistency and reliability.
9.
The planning has notably taken into account the environmental flow requirements and the transboundary issues, as the water in the Ibr-Lepenc canal essentially is abstracted from the Ibr river which,
downstream from the reservoir and after its use in Kosovo, returns to Serbia and flows into the Morava and
from there the Danube. Environmental flow requirements have been estimated in a simple fashion and taken
"off the top" when calculating water balances. The Ibr river rises in Montenegro and passes through Serbia,
and, beyond the Gazivoda reservoir and its Ibr-Lepenc canal in Kosovo, returns to Serbia. The issues
related to the transboundary nature have been discussed. The requirements for prior notification of riparian
countries on significant investments on the river are complicated since Serbia and other downstream
riparians on the Ibr-Morava-Danube system do not recognize the Government of Kosovo. Specific legal
advice will be needed for any measure which requires notification. However, precedents exist in the postYugoslavia areas where the International Commission for the Protection of the Danube (and in other but
similar cases, the International Sava Commission), have acted as facilitating intermediaries.
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The concern on water security in the Ibr basin refers to three dimensions:
The current capability of the water resource and reservoir infrastructure to provide a
reliable supply of water to meet all demands, under the current conditions (2010) ;
The capability of the water resource and reservoir infrastructure to provide reliable supply
of water over the next decades, by 2020 and 2035, under dry-year and very dry year
conditions taking into account likely scenarios of climate change but also increases in
population, agriculture and industrial activity; and
The capability of the physical infrastructure in the form of the reservoirs and the water
conveyance systems to do so in a reliable fashion.
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Figure 2: The WEAP graphic interface representing the resource and demand sites as modelled
13. Bulk water security as it is considered in this study, is not limited to the question of absolute water
resource scarcity. Rather, it refers to the overall vulnerability and the (lack of) reliability and robustness of the
natural and the physical water supply systems under different scenarios of simultaneously decreasing supply
capacity and growing demand. Under current annual-average conditions (for the baseline year 2010) the two
storage facilities in the basin Gazivoda and Batllava have sufficient water supply capability to meet demand
throughout the year. The WEAP simulation model was applied to study the discrepancy in the quantities
between water supply and demand, using the resource and demand nodes as described in figure 2. The
simulation results are presented in figures 3, 4 and 5, for each of the three reservoirs. The water balance (supply
and demand) is presented each time in accumulative fashion over the year. A (yellow) line denotes a risk
page 16/211
indicator: it is the cumulative inflow in a very dry year, which is taken here at a representative 50% of the
baseline year inflow. The Gazivoda reservoir has ample reserve capacity, however, it should be noted that the
water demand as per 2010 is still severely depressed in all sectors, and will over the next 5-10 years see a
marked increase, that at this stage is not possible to define more precisely. Also, the Ibr-Lepenc canal is for the
moment sometimes unable to realize this potential as it is constrained in its carrying capacity. The Batllava
reservoir similarly has still some reserve capacity available; however, under very dry year condition a clear risk
exists that the water level in the reservoir will be falling well below its normal level (as suggested qualitatively by
the yellow line on the figure which represents a 50% lower-than-average inflow); two dry years in succession
would lead to emergency situations. In addition, it is the catchment that is most vulnerable to pressures due to
changes in land use and increasing pollution. The Badovc reservoir under current conditions does not provide
sufficient water resources to meet the demand from 35% of Prishtina city even under average precipitation
conditions (red columnsdemandsystematically far exceeding the blue columns of the inflow).
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Kosovo Irrigation Rehabilitation Project - Dam Safety Component, 2004, under EU support, carried out by DHV Consultants. The report
assesses the structural safety of the 5 dams (Gazivoda, Batllava, Badovc, Radoniqi and Prilepnica) and concludes that their relatively
recent construction and good building standards have prevented development of major emergencies thus far. However, on all dams
safety issues are emerging (piping, bulging, sagging, etc.) and concerns are arising regarding the adequacy of the spillway and
emergency procedures. The report accepts that repair is not yet high priority but recommends vigilance and deeper follow-up, at an
estimated cost of 1 million).
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17. The municipal and key industrial water supply systems are for the moment supplied through individual
piping and canal systems, which are often beyond their economic lifetime, or in dire need of rehabilitation and
modernization. Rehabilitation work has been started. In order to reduce their vulnerability to supply disruption,
additional storage needs to be built and these systems to be better interconnected to bridge critical supply
periods. At the moment water supply to the major towns is vulnerable as the supplies are not diversified. With
Prishtina municipal water supply drawing soon (as per 2014) water from the Ibr-Lepenc canal for the first time,
the city will have taken a step to diversify its current dependence on the Batllava and Badovc reservoirs.
Similarly, additional storage capacity along the Ibr-Lepenc canal is advisable to provide the buffer to secure
water supply under extreme circumstances to the new and larger New Kosovo power plant as well as the
refurbished Kosovo B plant.
18. The trend towards increasing pollution of groundwater needs to be reversed. Groundwater is increasingly
polluted. Ninety percent of the town and rural population without access to a piped network depend on shallow
wells or boreholes for drinking and cooking. The pollution of groundwater is growing due to the rapid pace of
urbanization on the land around cities and the emergence of small industrial facilities in the absence of effective
pollution prevention mechanisms. To achieve the objective of safe water supply, piped water supply systems
need to be further expanded to increase the connection rates, and measures need to be taken towards
groundwater pollution control. Such policies should be developed in an integrated water management strategy
for the basin, which is to be in line with the EU WFD.
19. The quality of the return and used waters that are collected in the Sidnica river is very poor. This presents
potentially a threat for human health locally, and may become a source of conflict with the downstream riparian
(Serbia).
20. Over the next two decades demand will grow while climate change and variability will likely reduce
precipitation. Thus, shortages may occur in the system. Using the WEAP model, a number of scenarios were
developed for the period up to the year 2035. Each scenario takes progressively more factors into account in
order to test the vulnerability of the system. Since the reservoir systems are not interconnected at the moment,
water needs and availability are calculated for each reservoir separately. Scenario 1 only considers the increase
of water needs for human consumption. Scenario 2 in addition considers growing irrigation needs. The existing
irrigation system (mostly fallen into disrepair) was designed originally for 19,000 hectares, could service 8,000
hectares, but in 2010 only 1000 hectares were actually irrigated. Scenario 2 assumes that in total 10,000
hectares will be irrigated in the Ibr basin by 2035. Scenario 3 adds demand from industry and mining, as well
as the increased consumptive demand resulting from cooling purposes (of which most is non-consumptive).
Scenario 4 looks at how scenario 3 will cope in a dry year under historical meteorological conditions. Finally,
Scenario 5 analyzes the risk stemming from dry years becoming even drier as a consequence of non-historical
climate change. Scenario 4 is illustrated for the Gazivoda reservoir (fig. 5).
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Figure 6: Gazivoda water balance in 2035 assuming increased demand from all sectors and under historical dry
year condition (i.e. under historical meteorological conditions without climate change)
21. Water resource shortages are increasingly likely to occur in future dry years if no adaptive action is taken.
As figure 6 illustrates for the Gazivoda dam, that has the largest reserve capacity by far for bulk water supply for
the moment, shortages in dry years will occur by or around 2035, especially in the months April through August
during the irrigation season. However, for the Badovc and Batllava reservoirs the structural shortages in dry
years will likely start occurring already from before 2010, and from 2020, respectively. It should be noted that
these simulations for the Gazivoda reservoir assume that unmet demand for the Badovc and Batllava reservoirs
from the areas south and east of Prishtina would not be shifted to the Gazivoda/Ibr-Lepenc canal system. Nor
do these simulations anticipate that growing land and pollution pressures on these reservoirs may actually
depress their supply capacity. It is likely, however, that over the next two decades a growing demand from this
part of the basin will be effectively shifted to the Gazivoda/Ibr-Lepenc canal, which would irrevocably lead this
system to meet its maximum supply capacity sometime between 2020 and 2030. Table 1 summarizes the
analysis made on the results obtained under WEAP model development.
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Scenario
By 2020
By 2035
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
System
System
Gazivoda Scenario 3
Scenario 4
Worst Case scenario
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
System
System
Batllava Scenario 3
Scenario 4
Worst Case scenario
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Scenario 3
Scenario 4
Worst Case scenario
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Bulk water supply lower than demand but risk of occasional shortage -- measures to be prepared
Water security assured but limited initiate implementation of adaptive measures
Demand exceeds supply water saving measures essential
Not applicable
22. In conclusion, the capacity of the existing water resources, i.e. the reservoirs and groundwater, to
satisfy current demand and the demand in the immediate future (2013-2017) is adequate for two reservoirs and
inadequate for that part of Prishtina city that is supplied by the Badovc reservoir. However, in the short term, the
page 21/211
main concern regarding the vulnerability of the system, and the security of water provision, refers to the poor
condition of the conveyance structures, the absence of buffer capacity to bridge temporary shortage, the lack of
interconnectedness of the different demand zones in the basin, and the lack of a planning mechanism to identify
priorities both for investment and for water allocation to the various users of bulk water conveyed.
The Bank has advised the government through this same Advisory Activity that the 1980 designs for the Lepenc reservoirs are not any
longer realistic. Yet, an alternative reservoir site and conveyance system have been identified, however, their cost are beyond the reach
of the country at this moment (KosovoTowards a Water Strategic Action Plan: Assessment of water demand and supply, and of the
feasibility of the South Ibr-Lepenc Scheme, The World Bank, November 2009.
page 22/211
importance of securing uninterrupted water supply from the Ibr- Lepenc canal, as well as taking precautionary
action to minimize the opportunities for pollution of the canal water.
27. A project package to secure uninterrupted water supply of good quality from the Ibr- Lepenc
canal (estimated cost up to 31 million). This package includes the following investment measures: (i) repair
of the canal (lining, abutments, foundations, cuttings, culverts, etc.) and protection against renewed physical
damage from landslides, unstable soils, and man-made disruptions, (ii) short-term storage along the canal to
bridge peak water demand and temporary outages for repair purposes, (iii) protection of the canal against
recurrent pollution, accidental pollution and other threats and disruptions, through interventions such as fencing
and covers, (iv) equipment for better management of gates and regulation of water flows, (v) establishment of a
stakeholder platform for a dialogue on allocation rules, (vi) support to the establishment of rules for water
allocation and prioritization between competing demands, and (vii) capacity building for Ibr- Lepenc Canal
Water Company for these issues as well as training on how to deal with emergency situations. The total cost
has been estimated at about 31 million. The benefit-cost ratio is higher than 1.1. The largest cost component is
the proposed lining of 25 kilometres of the canal at an estimated cost of 25 million for a complete renovation
which could be considered excessive. However, this option could still provide benefits in the long run as the
amount of water available would be larger. The proposed length, cost and other specifics will have to be tested
and appraised in a feasibility study. With a certain budget available, a key task for the feasibility study would be
to identify the sections that most urgently need lining.
28. A package for pilot groundwater knowledge development and protection (estimated at 1.4
million). This package includes the following investment measures: (i) description of characteristics and
identification of significant pressures on (pilot) groundwater bodies, (ii) installation of groundwater monitoring
networks, and (iii) support to farmers to establish physical measures to protect drinking water supply. The total
investment costs have been assessed at about 1.4 million, and the benefit-cost ratio to be above 3. The project
is a pilot project, which addresses the key issue of groundwater protection in the Ibr basin. Groundwater
protection is particularly important for the rural population which is not connected to centralized piped water
supply.
29. A project package for protection of drinking water reservoirs (estimated at 12 million). This
package would include the following investment measures: (i) preparation of a protection plan for each of the
three reservoirs in line with the EU Drinking Water Directive, (ii) equipment for monitoring of hydrology and water
quality, (iii) capacity building of staff, (iv) sanitation facilities for recreational facilities at the reservoirs, (v) septic
tanks and wastewater and run-off drainage for rural (low-density) residences, farms and businesses not planned
to be connected to a centralized drainage and wastewater system, and, last but not least, (vi) land purchase for
headwaters conservation areas. The total investment costs have been assessed to be approximately 12 million
(including land purchases) and the benefit-cost ratio to be approximately 2.
E- Conclusion
30. The study has documented the importance of investing in water security in central Kosovo and has
identified no-regret priority measures for the short term within a planning horizon of 3-6 years. The study would
need to be complemented by deeper analysis, notably to confirm that the proposed no-regret measures are
indeed the best and most cost-effective options to address the rising lack of supply security. However, the
proposed measures are likely essential to reduce the vulnerability of the economic heart of Kosovo to water
shortages in dry years due to supply interruption and to pollution, and climate change that will substantially
deteriorate the water balance, after 2020.
page 23/211
PART I
The team has considered also the aim of providing better water security in all
circumstances in Central Kosovo and ecosystem restoration. They are essential
aspects especially for the following objectives:
-
Achieving the Good status of Water Bodies (as stipulated as the guiding
objective in the Water Framework Directive).
page 24/211
Ensure that Water Security is available at a fair price and is in line with
sustainable management of companies and environment protection.
page 25/211
The Consultants canal survey in August 2010 confirmed the above assessments.
For several years, especially in 2009 and 2010, the IL Canal Company has
proceeded to repair the canal structures. Priority was given to location of major
losses. Rehabilitation works were also undertaken in locations where there are
risks of future nuisances or damages on public structures.
page 26/211
Another important trend is the house and building construction boom and poor
land zoning enforcement. Houses and small business compounds are built
around towns and villages without consideration of the impact on the water flows,
the canal system, or the possibility to expand irrigation in the future. As a result,
many branches of the existing old irrigation systems cannot be used anymore
because houses were constructed on top of the pipes. The area which can be
irrigated with the current irrigation system is therefore shrinking from year to year.
Figure 7: Type of losses and illegal connections in Ibr Lepenc canal (Consultant survey, August 2010)
III.2.
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
The use of the bulk water from the Ibr-Lepenc canal will increase in the coming
years.
Plans exist for the water from the IL canal to be used for the production of
drinking water to serve the population and other users of the towns of Mitrovica,
Vushtry and Prishtina.
In addition, it has been proposed that the water flowing at the end of the canal be
utilized for cooling the power plant called New Kosovo, which is planned to be
constructed. It will be composed of two units of 280-300 MW each, going on-line
in 2016-2017. Additional generation will be needed after about 2020, it is
expected that future energy needs might be provided by non-thermal sources.
Anyhow, before 2035, the planned new power generation will need water.
This evolution of the use of the water of Ibr Lepenc canal has several
implications:
page 27/211
The disruption of conveyance that might occur should not exceed several
days lest it will create difficulties in power generation which requires a
continuous supply of cooling water.
To secure continuous supply of water to the power plant and avoid a possible
disruption of bulk water conveyance of water, it is planned to construct buffer
water storages facilities.
For the New Kosovo project a storage corresponding to 10 days of water demand
was proposed. As for the newly planned Prishtina water treatment plant, storage
is also planned. (see: Kosovo C- Strategic Environmental Social Assessment p
52)
Other options can be envisaged, such as a common storage, the installation of
pumps for groundwater abstraction along the canal, or a separate, smaller water
conveyance pipe going serving the cooling system in case of emergency.
However, there is a risk that these storages will not be sufficient:
For instance,
-
the water stored and conveyed for producing drinking water can become
contaminated as the IL Canal is a (mostly) open and unprotected canal. As a
result, drinking water production might have to be temporarily discontinued. If
the contamination is not detected in time, people may be using contaminated
tap water.
It is important to note that the quality required for drinking water production is
higher than the one needed for cooling power generators or for irrigation.
What will happen in case of shortage or reduction of the flow at the end of
the canal where the largest and economically most significant users are
situated? During such water crisis, difficult arbitration between competing water
uses needs to be done by the authorities. Procedural rules for such arbitration
have to be set up in detail and introduced in the regulations and in contracting
agreements with water users. Communication on these rules should be regularly
carried out to avoid non-cooperative behaviours during crisis. Simulation of what
would happen in case an earthquake or an accident occurs should be carried out
with the relevant actors in charge of civil security, water and energy supply.
The management of Regional Water Companies reported that, in the long run,
to avoid water shortage and water quality related risks, that it would be
preferable to have independent secure access to well protected water resources
of ensured good quality. The management suggested that it would be necessary
to consider an increased diversification of good-quality water resources for their
raw water (concept of emergency resources).
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III.3.
The water from Gazivoda dam flows through turbines producing hydroelectricity that is sold to KEK, which currently provides most of the IL
Companys revenues. The revenues of irrigation are very low in comparison.
The IL Canal Company is paying for pumping water up for the irrigation of
the Drenica perimeters. This pumping station could be used for storing water
in altitude,
The existing thermal power plants Kosovo A and B are causing a significant
pollution pressure on the Sidnica River and on the groundwater surrounding
Prishtina.
A power cut disrupts pumping for the distribution of water to users including
industrial users. Such power cuts create economical losses.
The IL Canal Company KEK water supply contract includes the price at which
the Company sells the hydroelectricity. In 2010, the electricity is sold at a flat tariff
which does not take into account peak hours.
The following changes of institutional arrangements and of water and electricity
price would add further new implications on the use of bulk water:
-
page 29/211
Figure 8: Bulk water conveyance and hydro-electricity of the Gazivoda reservoir, its buffer reservoir and the
intake of the IL canal
The key policy directions that determine strategic development of the energy sector in Kosovo are:
Security and reliability of energy supply;
- Integration in, and cooperation with the energy sectors in the South-East European region;
- Using lignite as the major local resource for power generation, at least in mid-term;
- Adhering to the EU energy and environmental directives and regulations;
- Improving energy efficiency in all energy sectors and end-use sub sectors;
- Reducing environmental pollution in general, and air pollution in particular;
- Providing a regulatory framework for gradual liberalization privatization of power sector;
- Introducing competition in the power sector by attracting a strategic IPP investor;
- Recognizing mining and power sector as the main engines of economic development, employment,
and export revenue providers;
- Attracting private investments for development of gas and oil interconnection pipelines and local
infrastructure
It should be noted that the decision to build a power plant which does not rely on
a relatively high quantity and continuous supply of bulk water would positively
affect the water management of the canal and increase the security to other
water users in case of emergency. Such generation plant would be more
expensive in terms of capital and operating costs, but this cost should be
compared to the cost generated to secure a large amount of water for a long
time.
The literature concerning risk assessment and recent events in the world shows
that there are many externalities which are difficult to monetise, especially in
cases of extreme emergency.
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Systemic failures such as power cuts or failure of pumping systems may have a
dramatic effect on the wider economy and the public health as well as a lasting
impact on investment opportunities.
III.4.
INTERNATIONAL CONTEXT
The three following elements should be kept in mind as far as international
aspects are concerned:
Serbia plans to increase the power generation through hydroelectricity in
the Ibr River Basin. In a long-term perspective, the energy and water
demand of towns close to the Gazivoda reservoir may have an influence
on the optimal use of its waters,
If conveyance and distribution inefficiency are taken care of (reduction of
leakage, operation of gates), additional water of the reservoir would
become available for other uses and generate revenues. There will be the
possibility of water use without much additional impact downstream,
Under international legislation regarding transboundary watercourses,
each riparian country of a watercourse should inform the authorities of the
other countries, both upstream and downstream, of its intention to use
additional water. Measures are proposed to address this issue,
To avoid any tension, the water management of IL canal gates should
ensure that the minimum environmental flow is maintained in the Ibr
/Sidnica River.
In the long term, pragmatic cooperation for efficient water allocation would
provide socio-economic benefits for all communities in the basin.
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Figure 9: Key elements for balancing demand and supply in the future
Figure 9 outlines the issue to be addressed:
First, the baseline situation in 2010 has to be described considering:
-
The water balance of the different water systems can be assessed and the
probability of water shortage if no measures are taken can be estimated.
Second, the future situation can be described by simulation with a model,
considering:
-
The water balance and the risk of shortage can be estimated based on these
parameters. Several parameters describing climate change impacts, future
conditions of the water systems, as well as future water demand can be
introduced in a number of scenarios. The resulting water balance can be
assessed through a simulation process.
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A modelling tool to simulate the water balance has been selected, namely the
Water Evaluation and Planning System (WEAP). The WEAP System model was
developed by the SEI (Stockholm Environment Institute) to enable evaluation of
planning and management issues associated with water resources development.
It is a user-friendly software that can be used freely by public institutions. A
license for two years use has been provided to the Water Department of the
Ministry of Environment and Spatial Planning. This model has already been used
by the water Department during an ECLO-funded project from 2008 to 2010. The
model was set up to assess the water balance and allocation of the Radoniqi
reservoir area, located in the Drini River Basin.
The Consultant has set up and used the model for the project zone, that is, the
Ibr basin within Kosovo, but including the upstream part in Montenegro, and for
a small area in Serbia. The model is used to assess the water balance under
baseline and future conditions.
The water balance of the year 2010 has been simulated through a scenario which
can be considered as the baseline scenario.
IV.2.
USE OF WEAP: A RIVER BASIN MANAGEMENT
MODELING TOOL
A-
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The WEAP model has two primary functions (Sieber and River 2004):
a) Simulation of natural hydrological processes (e. g., evapo-transpiration,
runoff and infiltration) to enable assessment of the water availability within a
catchment.
b) Simulation of anthropogenic activities superimposed on the natural system
to influence water resources and their allocation (i. e. consumptive and nonconsumptive water).
B-
the location of the uptake of water in reservoir and channels for several uses,
the return flow,
the demand points in different areas.
The input parameters of the model can be changed easily to simulate the
supply/demand situation in the future under several scenarios.
The data corresponding to the supply and demand were entered in the system to
simulate the baseline scenario. The data entered are a combination of realistic
data (measured or known data) and hypothesis data (based on assumptions).
Table 2 shows the data which have been collected and used for the WEAP
modelling activity.
page 34/211
LEGEND
Figure 11: WEAP hydrography and water system architecture of the Ibr Basin (SCE/OIEau 2010)
page 35/211
LEGEND
Figure 12: WEAP scheme of the Ibr Lepenc canal water conveyance and of Prishtina and Mitrovica regions bulk water supply
page 36/211
Data quality
Good quality
Climatic information
Precipitation and Temperature
Georeferenced data
Delineation of basins, sub-basins and land users
Good quality
page 37/211
Data
Water uses
Data quality
localization not accurate
Data estimated from several information,
not very accurate
Economic data
General aspects on Kosovo economy, Municipalities
Climate change
Study on climate change,
page 38/211
The information collected for the WEAP model includes the GIS files for rivers,
reservoirs, villages and cities, river basins as well as sub-basins contours and
characteristics, land cover, location of hydrometric stations, data on the hydrology
(data series for rain distribution, temperature, runoff, water levels and river flows),
hydrogeology, geological layers, stratigraphy and permeability.
This information was collected mainly from the Institute for Hydrometeorology of
Kosovo (IHMK) and the Independent Commission for Mines and Minerals (ICMM)
as well as from former ECLO Project on the Drini River Basin.
Information regarding pressure on the water bodies was collected mainly from the
Water Department and from Kosovo Environment Protection Agency as well as
from UNDP.
Recent hydrological data are lacking or not reliable enough for processing under
the limited time of this study. Many data were abstracted from the Water Master
Plan which was produced in 1985 and has been assessed by previous
international experts as a reliable source of information.
Most of the historical groundwater data of Kosovo are kept in Belgrade offices
and are very difficult to access.
The GIS files have been corrected as in several cases the different files did not
match.
A Kick-off Meeting of the Study was organized for the main government
stakeholders and the World Bank in September 2010. This meeting has helped to
facilitate data collection and improved the broader understanding of the baseline
scenario and the scenarios for future conditions.
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PART II
IBR RIVER BASIN IN KOSOVO &
TRANSBOUNDARIES WATERS
I.1. GEOGRAPHICAL AREA - INTERNATIONAL WATERS
A-
PROJECT AREA
The project area is the Ibr River Basin as well as certain territories which are
technically located in the Drini Bardh River Basin but are actually served by
water originating from the Ibr basin.
The Ibr and Drini Bardh river basins have a 217.7 km long common border.
Map 1: The Ibr River Basin up to the Serbian Border (Source SCE/OIEau 2010)
Ibr River
Basin
Drini River
Basin
LEGEND
River
Kosovo Border
Reservoir
Hydrometric stations
The sources of the Ibr River are in the Hajla mountains of Montenegro. The Ibr
River flows through the Gazivoda reservoir and dam that has an area of 11.9 km,
of which 9.2 km belongs to Kosovo and 2.7 km to Serbia.
Then, the Ibr river flows through the town of Mitrovica in Kosovo before turning
north and reaching the border with Serbia and thereafter flowing into the West
Morava River (Zapadna Morava), Central Serbia, near Kraljevo.
Its length is 276 km and it has a drainage area of 8000 km of which 4035 km
lies in Kosovo, 985 km in Montenegro and 2980 km in Serbia.
page 40/211
The main tributary of the Ibr River in Kosovo is the Sidnica River, which receives
the polluted water of the city of Prishtina and of its suburbs, and from several
industries. The pollution of the Sidnica affects the Ibr River. The river receives
also the pollution of the Mitrovica town and its industrial areas.
Map 2: Hydrological zones and tributaries of the Ibr River Basin up to the Serbian Border.
Ibr River
Batllava
reservoir
Llapi
LEGEND
Sub-river basin
Gazivoda
reservoir
River
Drenica
Reservoir
Hydrometric stations
Map 2 shows the different hydrological units in the Ibr River Basin and the
location of the three main reservoirs. The characteristics of the river basin of the
tributaries are detailed in Table 3.
Sidnica main tributary of
the Ibr
Table 3: Tributaries of the Ibr River
and surface of their river basin
Left bank
Badovce
reservoir
Right bank
Hydrological sub-basin
Surface (km2)
Hydrological sub-basin
Surface (km2)
Lushta
48, 48
Lumi i Zi
65, 54
Patina
28, 3
Llapi
930
Brosova
45, 59
Prishtevka
103, 7
Drenica
438, 4
Graanica
157, 9
Lug
56, 13
Janjeva
73, 64
Bushanovc
41, 56
Zhegova
67, 2
Shtime
186, 1
Gadime
66, 61
Total
844, 56
Total
1464, 59
page 41/211
B-
Map 3: Ibr River Basin, the Regional Water Companies area and Kosovo Municipalities
LEGEND:
Municipalities
Prishtina Regional Water Supply Company (RWC)
Mitrovica Regional Water Supply Companies (RWC)
Municipality in negotiation for joining Mitrovica RWC
Ibr River Basin
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Table 4: List and main characteristics of the municipalities (Source: OSCE Municipalities profile 2007 to 2009)
Municipality
Population
Albanians
Surface
Nb
villages
Density IDP
Socio-economic facts
Leposaviq/Leposavi
(Sept 2009)
20300
200
18600
750
72
27
2500
Zubin Potok
(Sept. 2009)
14000
335
64
42
2800
Zvean/Zvean (Sept
2009)
17000
350
16000
104
35
163
4000
Mitrovic/Mitrovica
(Sept 2009)
130000
110000
Northern part
20000
inhabitants,
3000 Bosniaks
7000
49
page 43/211
Municipality
Population
Albanians
Surface
Nb
villages
Density IDP
Socio-economic facts
Southern part but not restricted to it. In June 2009 a Forum
Mitrovicasit for Mitrovica was initiated, including local
business actors and media to bring attention on the
municipality to the Ministry of Local Government
Administration. It is supported by UNDP.
Podujev/Pudujevo
126000
125000
663
78
190
Vushtri
102600
96000
5000 Gojbulje
344
66
298
Obiliq/Obili (Sept
2009)
30000
25000
3400 Serbs
19
KEK is the primary employer. Albanian farmers cooperative basis, lake of sewage system, small remote
village not connected to water supply
Gllogoc/Glogovac
(Sept 2007)
73000
73000
Mono ethic
36
Prishtina
500, 000
Mostly Albanian
Serb in
Gracanica/Graanic
Fush
Kosov/Kosovo Polje
(Sept. 2009)
50000
43000
17
572
3800 Kosovo
Ashkali, 2800
Serbs + other
communities
page 44/211
page 45/211
Map 5: Ibr River Basin inside the Danube River Basin and riparian countries
Ibr River
transboundary
waters
DANUBE
RIVER BASIN
LEGEND
Morava River
transboundary
waters
River
Country
DANUBE
RIVER BASIN
Source: SCE/OIEau map 2010
Maps 4 and 5 show that the Ibr River as well as the West Morava river flow in
Serbia into the Great Morava. Further downstream, the Great Morava flows into
the Danube. The Ibr River and the Morava River basin in Kosovo are part of the
Danube International River Basin District.
The Gazivoda reservoir on the Ibr River is the largest reservoir of water in
Kosovo. Its capacity is around 370 million m3. The Gazivoda dam was
constructed during the Yugoslav regime with World Bank financing. It was
designed for several purposes:
-
hydro-power generation,
irrigation of up to 20 000 ha,
drinking water supply of towns.
The bulk water is conveyed through the 49 km long Ibr Lepenc canal to the
several places of use. Conveyed water serves at the end of the canal to cool the
power plants called Kosovo A and Kosovo B which are located close to Obilic
town. The water is used both in the Serbian and Albanian populated areas of
Kosovo.
For the States that have recognised Kosovo as an independent State, the waters
flowing from Kosovo into Serbia should fall under transboundary water
international agreements.
One of the important international agreements is the Helsinki Convention on
trans-boundary watercourses and international lakes, signed on behalf of the
European Communities on 18th March 1992.
The parties to the Convention must ensure that:
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This convention (17th March 1992, registered ex officio on 6th October 1996) was
signed by the former Federal Republic of Yugoslavia. The signing parties met in
Geneva in 2007 to foster its implementation and provide improved mechanisms
for achieving its aims.
An important additional text attached to this Convention is the Protocol on Water
and Health, signed in 1999, which required establishing national and local targets
for the quality of drinking water and the quality of discharges as well as for the
performance of water supply and waste water treatment.
It should be noted that Serbia ratified the Convention on Cooperation for the
Protection and sustainable use of Danube River in 2003. Serbia became a full
member of the International Commission for the Protection of the Danube River
(ICPDR) in August 2003.
The Serbian government considers Kosovo a part of its territory and Serbian
administrations maps available on the Internet include the territory of Kosovo. As
a result, the water flowing from Northern Kosovo to Serbia is not considered by
the Serbian government as international water. This position might be shared by
the Danube riparian countries which have not recognised the unilateral
independence of Kosovo.
Kosovo, as well as Serbia and Montenegro, is receiving support from the
European Union (EU) to approximate the EU acquis communautaire and to
prepare their administration and institutions to access to the EU.
Hence, in the field of water, the methodologies, provisions, standards and
procedure steps of the WFD, as well as the ones of the Urban Waste Water
Directive (1991), should be considered important guidelines for water-related
investments in these three countries. The use of the same technical framework is
an advantage for the future management of International Waters.
Among the WFD provisions concerning the international River Basin District,
there are requirements regarding the necessary coordination between the EU
members States and non-member States (Article 3 paragraphs 4, 5, 6). This
means that the ICPDR and its members will likely have an important role in the
future in transboundary water management between Montenegro, Kosovo and
Serbia.
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Map 6: Danube River basin subunits and WISE reporting monitoring point for WFD
page 48/211
Equitable and reasonable utilization is the primary rule of international law that
governs the legality of TWC States relations concerning the use of their shared
watercourses. The rule recognized as a rule of customary law and consistent
with treaty practice -- has its origin in State practice, having evolved, in part, from
the jurisprudence of federal States.
Correlative right and obligation. This rule recognizes both the TWC States right
to reasonable and equitable and reasonable use of the TWC, and the correlative
obligation not to deprive other TWC States of their right to an equitable and
reasonable utilization.
Optimal utilization. Equitable and reasonable utilization seeks to attain an optimal
utilization, securing the maximum possible benefits for all watercourse States
and achieving the greatest possible satisfaction of all their needs, while
minimizing the detriment to, or unmet needs of, each.
Not equal shares. The principle of equitable and reasonable use does not mean
an equal allocation of the resource or equal share of its uses and benefits. The
application of equitable and reasonable utilization in a particular watercourse will
not prohibit a use that causes damage unless it exceeds the limits of the using
States equitable share of the watercourse.
Evaluation of equitable and reasonable utilization. All relevant factors are to be
considered together and a conclusion arrived at on the basis of the whole. The
weight to be given each factor will depend upon the circumstances of the
particular case, although state practice evidences strong support for protection of
vital human needs and minimum in-stream flow requirements. The factors to be
considered fall into two broad categories: (i) factors of a natural character
(hydrographic, hydrological, climatic, ecological, and so forth), and; (ii) economic
and social factors (economic needs, population dependent on watercourse,
effects of use on other watercourse States, existing and potential uses,
conservation measures, and availability of alternatives).
International procedural rules establish a range of obligations for the riparian
countries: from a general duty to cooperate to obligations concerning data and
information exchange, prior notification and consultation.
Thus, procedure obligations - such as the requirement for prior notification of
planned measures - are rules that must be adhered to by all States.
The Treba mine was closed by UNMIK and KFOR, since then the pollution load
discharged in the Ibr River has decreased. Lead does not decompose over the
years, it remains in the soil, contaminating all products growing in it.
Ongoing research conducted by Prishtin/Pritina University shows, for example,
that the waters flowing in the Ibr and Sitnica rivers are still heavily polluted by
heavy metals. (Source: OSCE)
The wastewaters from Prishtina as well as the ones from other towns are
discharged without treatment in the Sidnica River. As a consequence, the quality
of Ibr River is affected by the poor quality of the Sidnica River.
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As far as the Ibr River is concerned there are, hence, several issues to be
considered including:
2)
the quality of the water and the sediments: their low quality might impact the
ecosystem of the Ibr downstream of Mitrovica,
PROPOSAL
DANUBE
page 50/211
OF
EUROPEAN
WATER
page 51/211
Since the Ibr river basin is part of the Danube River Basin District, the
Consultant considers that the Ecoregions for this basin is Ecoregion 5, but this
criterion is not a discriminative criterion for water body delineation as the whole
Ibr basin is encompassed in the same Ecoregion.
Figures 13 and 14 summarize the criteria used to define a water body and to
delineate the river stretches into water bodies.
Inside Kosovo, one of the main factors which influence the water body type is the
relief which varies considerably on a short distance in Kosovo. There are
important differences between the river reaches within:
-
mountainous area,
piedmont area,
page 52/211
the relatively flat large alluvial valley of Sidnica and the Ibr river.
B-
page 53/211
Table 5: Main characteristics of sub-basins in Ibr River Basin which are relevant for Water Body delineation
Name of the
hydrological
zone
Surface
(km2)
Altitude of the
source
Valley
width
River
length
Slope
(km2)
(m)
(m)
(m)
(%)
Lushta
48, 48
760
500
17242
1, 51%
Patina
28, 3
719
508
7851
2, 69%
Brosova
45, 59
1020
509
17220
2, 97%
Drenica
438, 4
709
529
46091
0, 39%
Lug
56, 13
679
538
13320
1, 06%
Bushanovc
41, 56
704
540
12510
1, 31%
Shtime
186, 1
870
541
25870
1, 27%
Bistrica
172, 7
1569
468
24240
4, 54%
Lumi i Zi
65, 54
1139
510
22320
2, 82%
Llapi
930
1420
511
73790
1, 23%
Prishtevka
103, 7
809
530
25010
1, 12%
Graanica
157, 9
801
531
31390
0, 86%
Janjeva
73, 64
919
538
20890
1, 82%
Zhegova
67, 2
869
539
21550
1, 53%
Gadime
66, 61
858
541
22650
1, 40%
Right Bank
Left bank
Unit
Other criteria for delineation are the confluence with another river as well as the
significant discharge of pollutants in a river which is likely to change the Water
Body status.
Table 6 is a proposal of delineation of the Surface Water Bodies taking into
account the different criteria mentioned above.
Table 6: Table of the Surface Water Bodies
Code of WB
Name of Water
bodies
KS02a
KS02b
Pellg I t
UJMANIT-Kosov
Lake Gazivoda
KS02c
R. B. Ibri
KS02d
R. B. Ibri
KS02e
R. B. Ibri
KS204
R. B. Lushta
KS202s
R. B. Sitnica
KS202k
R. B. Sitnica
KS202m
R. B. Sitnica
KS202n
R. B. Sitnica
Batllava Reservoir
KS202p
R. B. Sitnica
KS202q
R. B. Sitnica
Lake I Gazivodes
page 54/211
KS202g
R. B. Sitnica
KS20h
R. B. Sitnica
KS202c
R. B. Sitnica
KS20d
R. B. Sitnica
Lake I Badovcit
KS202e
R. B. Sitnica
KS202j
R. B. Sitnica
KS202a
R. B. Sitnica
KS202b
R. B. Sitnica
KS202f
R. B. Sitnica
KS202i
R. B. Sitnica
River Carraleva, From Source to- confluence with Sitnic+River Gadimes, Sourceconfluence with Sitnic+ River Sitnica from confluencen Carralev- confluence
with Sllavis River
River Sitnica, from confluence with Sllavise River toconfluence with River Drenica
River
River Sitnica, from confluence with Drenices to confluence with Llapi River
KS202r
R. B. Sitnica
River Sitnica, from confluence with Llapit to confluence with Sitnics n Ibr
Map 8: Delineation of Surface Water Bodies (Source: Water Department and SCE/OIEau consortium 2010)
LEGEND:
River basin of the surface water body
KSO2xx Surface water body and its code
Border of the Ibr River Basin
page 55/211
C1)
2)
pyroclastic rock and basalt. For the Northern and Southern part, the
geological layer are from the upper to Middle Jurassic volcanism, and
composed mainly by peridodite, dunite and serpentinite.
d) Metamorphic rock in the Western part (iavica Triassic unit), separating
the Drenica River basin from the Ibr River basin. All the non-alluvium
sediment lithology belong to the mountain area. The iavica Triassic unit is
composed mainly by metamorphic rock (Triassic to Paleozoic), and other
volcanic series from Jurassic. Those Triassic formations rest upon a
paleozoic formation composed by meta-sandstone, phyllites, sericite schists
and quartz schists, which itself rests upon peridotite and dunite bedrock.
Creation of a simplified hydro geological map
Using this detailed geological GIS file, a new simplified hydrogeological map
(Map 9) was created highlighting major geological units, and their hydraulics
characteristics that predominate at surface and might extend to some
considerable depth. (There is no easily accessible information on hydrogeological layer). This map provided key information for the delineation of the Ibr
Basin into a number of GWBs.
3)
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Figure 15: Schematic Geological Cross-Section across Central Kosovo (Source ICMM)
page 58/211
page 59/211
Map 10: Proposed Ground Water Bodies in the Ibr River Basin in Kosovo
page 60/211
GWBody
No.
1 to 3
Dominant Period
Quaternary to
Tertiary
Quaternary to
Tertiary
Quaternary to
Tertiary
Lower
Cretaceous
Dominant
Aquifer
Alluvium
Alluvium
Alluvium
Sedimentary
Rock
Hydraulic
Characteristic
Main Lithology
Minor Lithology
Gravel, sand
and Silt
Sandstone,
limestone,
conglomerate, meta
sediments, schists
Gravel, sand
and Silt
Sandstone, silstone,
marlstone,
conglomerate,
igneous rock, metacarbonate
Gravel, sand,
silt, clay
Sandstone,
siltstone,
conglomerate,
partly marlstone
(flysch)
High to low
intergranular
porosity and
permeability (K)
194
Sandstone,
siltstone,
conglomerate,
partly marlst
Conglomerate,
sandstone,
limestone,
marlstone, meta
sedimentary silicate
rock, igneous rock,
serpentinite, schist,
marble
Regionally an
aquitard with low
K-values
659
High to medium
intergranular
porosity and
permeability (K),
locally karst.
High to medium
intergranular
porosity and
permeability (K),
locally karst, and
fissured low-K
values
Area (Km)
Description
981
292
page 61/211
GWB
GWBody
No.
9a
Main Lithology
Minor Lithology
Hydraulic
Characteristic
Sedimentary
Rock
Sandstone,
limestone,
marlstone
(flysch)
Greenshist,
phyllite,
mudstone, cherty
limestone, meta
sedimentary
silicate rock,
igneous rock
Regionally an
aquitard with
locally mediumhigh K-values,
karst and
fissured porosity
297
Upper to Lower
Cretaceous
Sedimentary
Rock
Conglomerate,
sandstone,
siltstone
Limestone,
marlstone, chert,
meta sedimentary
silicate rock,
igneous rock
Regionally an
aquitard with
locally fissured
low K-values
313
Triassic to
Paleozoic
Meta
sedimentary
Metamorphic
silicate rock,
Rock
meta
sandstone
Igneous rock
Regionally an
aquitard with
locally fissuredlow K-values
Sandstone,
siltstone,
conglomerate,
marlstone,
volcanic
sedimentary
series
Regionally
fissured-low Kvalues with
some aquitard
part
Dominant Period
Upper
Cretaceous
Upper to
Middle Jurassic
Dominant
Aquifer
Igneous
Rock
Peridotite,
dunite,
serpentinite
Area (Km)
Description
225
175
page 62/211
GWB
GWBody
No.
9b
10a
Dominant Period
Upper to
Middle Jurassic
Pliocene to
Oligocene
Dominant
Aquifer
Main Lithology
Igneous
Rock
Igneous
Rock
Minor Lithology
Hydraulic
Characteristic
Area (Km)
Peridotite,
dunite,
serpentinite
Andesite
Regionally
fissured-low Kvalues with
some aquifer
part
180
Andesite,
pyroclastic
rock, basalt
Greenschist,
phyllite,
mudstone,
conglomerate,
meta-sedimentary
silicate rock
Regionally an
aquifer with
locally fissured
low K-values,
medium-low K
and karst
Andesite,
pyroclastic
rock, basalt
Sandstone,
siltstone,
conglomerate,
marlstone, latite,
alluvium,
peridotite, dunite,
schist
Regionally
aquifer, with
locally mediumhigh K-values
and fissured-low
K-values
10
10b
Pliocene to
Oligocene
Igneous
Rock
Description
239
407
page 63/211
Map 11: Localization of the main reservoirs, rivers and uptake of water for uses
Legend:
In order to assess the impact on flow regime of abstraction and regulation, the
situation before dam construction and after dam construction should be
compared. The main impact is the change of regime from a highly oxygenated
river stream into a lake with calm water and a risk of accumulation of nutrients
such as phosphorus and nitrogen. The activities and human settlements around
the Batllava and Badovce reservoir have already caused an impact. In August
2010 the SCE/OIEau team observed the development of macrophytes near the
banks of the Batllava reservoir suggesting partially eutrophic (over-nourished)
condition.
Another hydrological pressure is the change of flow velocity. This change is due
to the operation of the turbines which are starting and stopping every day. The
turbines function around 4 to 5 hours a day for electricity production. These
sudden changes in the flow velocity have an impact on macro-invertebrates
development.
Finally another possible impact is the reduction of the flood occurring downstream
which might have an impact on wet zones. However, this impact is not very
significant compared, for example, to the high pollution load discharge in Sidnica
and Ibr River.
page 64/211
B1)
2)
3)
page 65/211
C-
Map 12: Land use of the Ibr basin (Corine Land cover)
Table 8: Land use by Corine land cover category in the upper Ibr river basin.
Land use category
Grassland
Cropland
Mixed Forest
Evergreen Forest
Water
Wooded Grassland
Bare Ground Urban Built
Deciduous Forest
Total for Ibr upper basin
km2
1364
1517
1634
462
17
38
33
37
5101
%
27%
30%
32%
9%
0%
1%
1%
1%
100%
page 66/211
1)
2)
3)
page 67/211
and springs without proper treatment for human consumption can increase waterborne diseases.
D-
When the soil and the sediment are permeable, the groundwater is directly
affected by the pollution from households, mining and activities including disposal
of material from which pollutants or dangerous substances can leak.
One of the main sources of pollution is the old sewerage collecting used water
from households and building in main towns such as Mitrovica and Prishtina, but
also in smaller towns.
As the sewers often leak, the used water is percolating into the soil and finally
into the groundwater underneath.
The use of pesticide and fertilizers is also locally a source of pollution. It is difficult
to assess the extent of the use of these substances as there is very little
systematic collection of information on this matter.
The Water Department has inventoried all the so-called operators which are
causing pressure on the Water Bodies. This database includes different
businesses and industries, socio-economic activities which might have an impact
on water. However, plenty of data are missing to use this information to assess
the impact on the Water Bodies. There is no regular measurement of the pollution
charges, and it is often difficult to have a good idea of the extent of the impact of
pollution on water bodies.
Maps 13 and 14 show significant pollution pressure on the water bodies in
particular hot spots areas where pollution resulting from historical or current
industrial activity is high.
On the bare ground urban surfaces, during rainy events, runoff is polluted by all
different kinds of substances coming from vehicles and other substances. In
addition, solid waste is dumped near the river beds in great quantity.
page 68/211
Map 13: Land use map of the Ibr River Basin in Kosovo
page 69/211
Map 14: Hot spots for water quality in Ibr River Basin in Kosovo
Legend
Hot spot for water quality
River Basin & its contours
Rivers
Road
Before the 1999 war many industrial plants were discharging untreated or
insufficiently treated wastewater into the Sidnica and Ibr rivers. Many of these
companies have been closed by 2010. This had a positive impact as it reduced
the pollution load discharged into the river. However, the ones which are still
functioning and the new business and companies that are built generally do not
have proper wastewater treatment plants or pollution prevention facilities.
As a result, in many places the soil is heavily polluted due to this historical and
current pollution. In industrial areas and dumping sites, there are large deposits of
material containing heavy metals or other dangerous substances.
This situation is particularly alarming near the power plant Kosovo A and B and in
the Mitrovica industrial area, where there are large deposits of mines and
industrial leftover or deposits (mines, chemical industry, zinc-metallurgy).
page 70/211
Table 9: Polluted soil and point source of industrial pollution (Source KEPA)
Type of activities Historical or current
source of pollution
Location
Paper Company
Ferizaj,
Oil production
Lipjan,
Metal production
Janjeva,
Magure,
Textile
Fush Kosova,
Dairy production
Fush Kosova,
Manufacture
Vushtrri
Cobble treatment
power plants
Obiliq,
textile production
Kastriot,
chemical industry
Mitrovica
zinc electrolysis,
Mitrovica
Mitrovica
Trebca Mines
Mitrovica
Measurements carried out in the Ibr River at different locations in the town of
Mitrovica show that the sediment contamination for Lead and Zinc exceed the
PEL (Probable effect level- see Table 10).
These thresholds and the Yugoslav classification used are not the one used by
the WFD, but Table 10 provides indications of the level of contaminations for
heavy metals which are dangerous substances for health. The red colour
indicates that the level of contamination probably has an effect on organisms
when it is exposed to it. The orange colour shows that when it is ingested by
organisms it has an effect.
page 71/211
Table 10: Level of contamination of sediments in the Ibr River in Mitrovica - Source: Ground water pollution in Mitrovica and surroundings
Sampling
Period
February
May
August
November
Lead g/g)
I-1
20. 5
21. 5
21. 8
20. 3
Zinc (g/g)
I-2
75. 45
78. 35
79. 45
73. 25
I-3
114. 3
115. 45
116. 8
113. 25
I-4
133. 8
134. 3
135. 45
133. 05
I-1
55. 8
56. 2
56. 05
55. 9
I-2
188. 3
189. 4
190. 1
187. 7
Cadmium (g/g)
I-3
288. 6
270. 4
278. 7
275. 3
I-4
325. 4
321. 5
331. 2
338. 7
I-1
0. 23
0. 24
0. 25
0. 22
I-2
0. 49
0. 51
0. 53
0. 5
Copper (g/g)
I-3
3. 95
4. 25
4. 45
4. 35
I-4
5. 35
5. 6
5. 5
5. 25
I-1
7. 05
7. 1
7. 2
6. 9
I-2
25. 4
25. 8
26. 05
28. 35
I-3
69. 7
78. 5
79
67. 2
I-4
79. 5
81. 2
83
80. 5
TEL (Threshold
effect level)
PEL (Probable
effect level)
Cadmiu
m
0. 7
0. 7
Copper
18. 7
108
Lead
30. 2
112
Zinc
124
271
Contribution to Balwois conference 2008 - Mr. Sci. Sami Behrami, Fadil Bajraktari, Nazmi Zogaj
page 72/211
GWB n 1, 2, 3, and a small part of GWB 4 and 10b are mainly covered by
cropland,
Most of the bare ground urban built occurs the GWB n 1, Mitrovica GWB n 10b
and Podujeve GWB n3. In the industrial areas, high levels of heavy metals may
be found. The current situation (huge urban development) around Prishtina
should suggest the highest prudence about groundwater exploitation, and the
groundwater quality situation should be carefully monitored.
Domestic wastewater introduce high levels of TDS, BOD, chemical oxygen
demand (COD), NO3, Chloride, SO42-, organic chemicals and bacteria into
groundwater.
page 73/211
lignites (2),
There are as well 3 concentrators, 2 smelters (ferronickel and lead) and 1 refinery
(zinc). Lead, zinc, ferro-nickel are extracted from sulphurous ore. The exploitation
of sulphurous ore involves an Acid Rock Drainage (ARD) by oxidation of the
sulphur ion. The ARD reduction-oxidation process equation is: 2FeS2(s) + 7O2(g)
+ 2H2O(l) => 2Fe2+(aq) + 4SO42-(aq) + 4H+(aq).
This process generates acidification and a metal and semi-metal release. The
concentration of metal and semi-metal reduced states is influenced by the pH.
Therefore, it is very important to survey the pH and the physic-chemical status of
the water from the exhaust pomp.
Pressure from power generation in Kosovo A and B
Picture 2: Lignite conveyance for Kosovo power plant (Credit F. Baudry Nov 2010)
Kosovo A: Runoff water from the ash dumps, and former underground disposal of
gasification chemicals polluted the groundwater
Kosovo B: Groundwater infiltration from the existing ash dump polluted also the
groundwater.
Remediation would require protective pumping to create a hydraulic barrier. Due
to the discharge of waste water from the mines and the two power plants3, when
flood events occur, the polluted water contaminates the soil close to the river
bank which might affect the quality of the crops cultivated in these areas. The
groundwater of the alluvial aquifer linked to the Sidnica River is also
contaminated and the water from wells is improper for domestic use and even for
irrigation.
idem
page 74/211
given to these measurements makes it difficult to compare the value from one
year to the other.
Quality management in IHMK has improved in recent years for a number of
parameters but there is not yet any validation process.
There has not been any regular ground water monitoring in Kosovo for years
except for microbiology. The Institute for Public Health carried out analyses which
provide an indication on the degree of contamination, especially of wells.
B1)
Table 11: Chemical analyses in the Ibr River Mitrovica- station Kelmend - from 2003 to 2005 (Source:
University of Mitrovica)
Year
Ph
COD
BOD5
NO2
2003
8. 09
20. 9-IV
8. 67-III
0. 50-III
2004
7. 79
48. 6-V
11. 6-IV
2005
7. 88
30. 1-V
4. 19-II
NO3
NH4
Saturat. O2
5. 81- II
3. 26IV
58. 5- IV
0. 26-II
6. 65-II
2. 20IV
83. 8- III
0. 39-III
8. 42- II
4. 22IV
97. 9-II
Table 11 shows clearly this high degree of pollution of the Ibr River in
Mitrovica.
The WFD gives much attention to biological indicators as well as to dangerous
substances. A monitoring strategy has been proposed to the Water Department
and IHMK by the EU-funded Drini River Basin Project. The biological
component of this strategy is not yet implemented.
Biological macro-invertebrates indicators were used to assess the status of
Sidnica River. This information provided on the status of the several Sidnica
River stretches several years ago. These analyses clearly show the impact of
urban wastewaters which are discharged in this river. Since then, no systematic
biological analyses have been carried out.
2)
3)
Villages and fish farms in the Piedmont near springs coming from mountains are
not well equipped to prevent pollution impacting the rivers. Therefore, the status
of the Water Bodies after several villages or fish farms could be considered as
not reaching the good status.
The reservoirs themselves are under medium anthropogenic pressure as there
are villages surrounding them. The insufficient consideration to the reduction of
the organic, phosphorus and nitrogen pollution may lead to eutrophication. The
development of macrophytes can be already observed in the Batllava reservoir.
4)
C-
page 76/211
Map 15: Simplified Hydrogeology in Ibr Basin, springs and boreholes (source ICMM-WD)
page 77/211
2)
Ensure on a regular basis a degree of reliability and continuity for bulk water
supply, avoiding water shortages during dry years or a series of dry years.
Ensure that Water Security comes at a fair price and is in line with
sustainable financial management and environment protection.
3)
4)
page 78/211
B-
page 79/211
C1)
SCENARIOS AND
ASSUMPTIONS)
SCENARIOS
FOR FUTURE
(UNDER
SEVERAL
Once the WEAP model architecture had been set up, the next step was to build a
baseline scenario for year 2010 including data (measured and assumed) on the
water demand and supply at key locations.
The information and data which was entered into the WEAP model were collected
among the Kosovo partners and several other sources.
The demand from the Community Water Supply, from the Agricultural, Energy,
Industry & Mines Sectors were estimated on a monthly basis, taking into
consideration 2010 conditions.
On the supply side, the data regarding inflow and on the bulk water supply
through the existing water capture and conveyance systems were also entered in
the model.
2)
In December, the World Bank provided additional technical information for the
analysis of Climate Change impact.
3)
The dates in the future and time lines for which the bulk water balance is
assessed under several scenarios.
The demand side parameters including the several major users identified.
The data inputs are the characteristics of different sectors (agriculture, industry,
the connected population), as well as water flows and hydro-meteorological
parameters.
Field visits and interviews of key stakeholders were also used as source of
information especially to analyse the main factors which can contribute or hamper
the development of irrigated agriculture, power plants water use, population
consumption in towns and in villages, use of water by public and private
companies.
The analyses have taken into consideration the water conveyance for cooling the
New Kosovo power plant.
page 81/211
2010
2010
to 2020
Projects
planned
2020
to 2035
Power
Industry or Mines
1 000 ha
Kosovo A
Kosovo B
Ferronikeli Mine
Increase treatment
capacity;
New connection for
Mitrovica, Prishtina,
Vushtri;
Kosovo A
Kosovo B
Perimeters easily New Kosovo
irrigated by
Develop optimization of
rehabilitation
hydro-electricity supply by
pumping from one lake to
the other
Alternative sources
for emergency
Rehabilitation of
industrial plants
Water demand increase
link to business
development
(conditions for export in
the region)
Connection
between existing
water systems;
New storages of
medium capacity;
Groundwater
mobilization;
New connections of
communities;
Connection from
Gazivoda lake;
Area irrigated =
area projected for
irrigation
(if good market
opportunities)
Kosovo B;
New Kosovo;
Hydroelectricity pumping
optimized;
page 82/211
Map 16: Hydrometrical network for the Ibr River Basin in Montenegro and Kosovo
Legend:
Kosovo Border
Rivers
Hydrometric stations
Reservoirs
page 83/211
Table 13: List of the hydrometrical stations in the Ibr River Basin up to the Border with Serbia (Source IHMK
2010)
Nr
Station
River
Surface(km)
Rozhaj (Montenegro)
Ibr
90
Ribari (Montenegro)
Ibr
850 (828)
Gazivod (akumu)
Ibr
1060
Prelez
Ibr
1109
Leposavi
Ibr
4701
DobriDub (Lismir)
Sitnic
1314
Nedakoc
Sitnic
2590
Drenica
Drenic
320
Prishtina
Prishtevk
53
10
Shtime
Shtimlanka
11
Lypjan
Sitnica
5540. 4
12
Vragoli
Sitnica
942. 4
13
Prilepnica(Akumu)
Graanica
105. 4
14
Lluzhan
Llap
694
15
Milloshev
Llap
923
As can be seen in Map 16 and in Table 13, there are two stations in Montenegro.
Table 14 shows the availability of daily measurement of the water level at
hydrometrical stations. However, only for Prelez, Leposavic and Nedakoc stations
long good-quality series of data exist for monthly flow measurements. These
measurements were carried out from 1960 to 1986.
page 84/211
1997
1996
1991-1995
1990
1989
1988
1987
1986
1985
1984
1983
1982
1981
1980
1979
1978
1977
1976
1975
Leposavic 1939
1974
Ibr
1973
Mitrovic
1972
Ibr
1971
Prelez
1970
Ibri
1969
1950
1968
Ibri I ri
1967
Ibri
1966
1957
1965
Drenas
1964
Drenica
1963
Miloshev 1957
1962
Llap
1961
1952
1960
Llushan
1959
Llap
1958
1st Year
1957
Station
1956
River
1955
Table 14: Availability of the Hydrological regarding the daily measurement of the water level in the rivers of the upper Ibr River Basin
1942
Prishtevka Prishtina
Ibri
Ribariq
Sitnica
Dobridub
Sitnica
Dobosel
Sitnica
Nedakoc
Data
Missing data
page 85/211
B1)
Map 18: Map of the annual precipitation in the Ibr River Basin in Kosovo
Around 800 mm
Around 700 mm
Around 600 mm
page 86/211
Map 19: Range of temperature and altitude in Kosovo (Source IKMIK and USAID Kosovo Agricultural
Opportunities Strategy)
Although there are many gauging stations in Kosovo, since the year 2000, there
is very little rainfall data. One reason is that the observers who collect the data on
site are not regularly paid by the HMIK.
2)
TEMPERATURE
The climate of Kosovo is predominantly continental. Summers are warm and
winters cold. It has Mediterranean and Alpine influences. The average
temperature ranges from +30 C (summer) to 10 C (winter). However, due to
unequal elevations in certain parts of the country, there are differences in
temperature and rainfall distribution according to the relief.
The climatic area of Kosovo (Rrafshi i Kosovs), which includes the Ibr-Valley, is
influenced by continental air masses. For this reason, in this part of the country,
winters are colder with temperatures down to 10 C and sometimes to 26 C.
Summers are very hot, with average temperatures of 20 C, sometimes up to 37
C. 4The mean values over several years of the temperature before 1985 in the
several main towns of the Ibr River Basin are presented in Table 15.
4Source
ICMM
page 87/211
Table 15: Mean temperature in the main towns of the Ibr River Basin
Station
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.
Jul.
Aug.
Sep.
Prishtin
-1.
11
1. 2
4. 56
10.
03
14.
58
17.
98
19.
92
19.
92
15.
96
Podujev
-1.
84
0. 6
3. 88
9. 43
14
17.
48
19.
45
19.
22
Mitrovic
-0.
87
1. 48
4. 85
10.
14
14.
78
18.
06
20.
13
In Ibr
basin
-1.
27
1. 09
4. 43
9. 87
14.
45
17.
84
19.
83
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
10.
52
6. 16
0.
95
10. 1
15.
39
10. 1
5. 39
0. 6
9. 5
19.
87
15.
81
10.
37
5. 9
1.
31
10. 2
19.
67
15.
72
10.
33
5. 82
0.
95
Graph 2: Mean temperature in the main towns of the Ibr River Basin
Mitrovic
In Ibr basin
15
10
0
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.
Jul.
Aug.
Sep.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
-5
3)
EVAPORATION
The 1985 Water master Plan (Book on Climate) provides evaporation values.
(see Table 16) For the Ibr River Basin the data were registered at two stations,
Prishtin and Pja, for the four reservoirs: Gazivoda and Predvorica on Ibr
River, Batllava on Llap River and Badovc on Graqanica River. The values are in
mm.
Table 16: Evaporation in several stations in Prishtina (Source 1985 Water Master Plan)
Station
Reservoirs
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.
Jul.
Aug.
Sep.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
Prishtin
Batllava, Badovc
104
133
150
175
179
125
87
30
Pja
Gazivoda,
Predvorica
17
34
70
128
159
174
184
204
110
75
34
16
page 88/211
Year
9. 9
200
150
100
50
0
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
Jun.
Jul.
Aug.
Sep.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
page 89/211
C-
Map 20: Hydrological zones for analysis of the runoff and basin yield in Ibr River Basin in Kosovo and
Montenegro
Hydrological stations
LEGEND
Sub-river basin
River
Reservoir
Hydrometric stations
The yield of the sub-basin was calculated and served as inputs parameters in the
WEAP model.
page 90/211
Graph 4: Inter-annual variation of mean annual flow at Ribari station (Ibr) 1948-1978
25
20
15
10
5
1978
1977
1976
1975
1974
1973
1972
1971
1970
1969
1968
1967
1966
1965
1964
1963
1962
1961
1960
1959
1958
1957
1956
1955
1954
1953
1952
1951
1950
1949
1948
Graph 5: Frequency flow rate curve for the annual flow for the period 1948 to 1978
25
20
15
10
5
0
10 %
19 %
52 %
81 %
90 %
page 91/211
Graph 6: Mean monthly flow in the Ribari and Prelez stations (period 1948 to 1978)
Ribari
Prelez
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Graph 7: Monthly flow at Ribari station for dry, wet and medium year during the period 1948- 1978
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
D- Jan CFeb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
L
I
page 92/211
E-
page 93/211
Graph 9: Box with the variation of hydrological parameters due to climate change for 2030-2039
The impact of the Climate change on water availability was taken as a 25% - 50 % decrease of the runoff and
inflow in reservoirs. A function in the WEAP models enables to reflect such situation (dry year and very dry
year period).
page 94/211
The capture mechanisms consist of three surface water dams/reservoirs (in three
separate sub-basins) plus various wells/well fields located throughout the basin
especially in the plain.
Therefore, according to the different locations of these water resources, it is
necessary to assess the bulk water resources in terms of these separate capture
mechanisms and the associated river sub-basins.
The water supply resources and the demand sites were grouped in three almost
independent systems in order to easily assess the bulk water balance and the
security vulnerabilities:
1. System 1: Gazivoda and Predvorica reservoirs, Ibr Lepenc Channel
and the water supply for Mitrovica (drinking water supply), irrigations
units and industry (power plants and mining).
2. System 2: Batllava and Badovc reservoirs with Prishtina drinking water
supply and socio-economical activities.
3. System 3: Water supply of small towns and villages from groundwater
and springs.
Systems 1, 2 and 3 will be tested under modelling activities in order to define if
the bulk water security in these systems is achieved or, if it is not, to identify
which measures should be implemented to cover the needs (population needs as
well as agriculture, industry and mining).
page 95/211
Graph 10: Variations of the water inflow in Gazivoda reservoir (Source: 1985 Water Master Plan IL Company)
Monthly Range in Natural Water Supply
Iber-Lepenc System (Mm3/mnth)
140
120
100
80
60
Best Month
40
Worst Month
20
0
Source: COWI Report
The water inflow in the Gazivoda dam is sufficient to fill the reservoir in one year;
however, the inflow is prone to decreases during the summer, which is the
irrigation season, at that period the level of the reservoir decreases especially
during dry year.
The Ibr-Lepenc Hydro System includes key components of (based on key
information in the COWI report, 2008, and Director of IL Canal Company):
a) Gazivoda Dam/Reservoir, Hydropower Station - water resources are
captured by Gazivoda Dam, released through a pipe to a hydropower
station including two 18 m3/s turbines. The water coming out of the turbines
flows into a second (buffer) reservoir - Predvorica Reservoir.
b) A 0,5 m3/s flows through a capture mechanism in the middle of the lake
directly to the buffer reservoir from the bottom of the dam through the Ibr
River bed.
Gazivoda dam
Gazivoda dam
spillway
Intake of 0,5 m3/s
Picture 3: Intake of the 0,5m3/s and the spillway of Gazivoda dam heading to the Ibr river bed
c) Secondary (buffer) Reservoir water is released either to the Main Canal
through a gate which is operated by the IL Canal Company (for distribution
of bulk water through the 49 km long IL canal for the various users).
d) An Environmental Flow (E-flow) of 1,8 m3/s is released by a gate to the Ibr
River and, in addition, when the reservoir is full after 4 to 5 hours of the two
turbines operation, the water flows directly to the Ibr River via a spillway.
e) IL Canal for bulk water conveyance this canal distributes bulk water by
gravity through a mechanism of canal, siphons, pipes and overflows to all
user categories. The return water is collected in the upstream part of the
Sidnica river that flows back into the Iber.
page 96/211
Picture 4: Pictures of the links between the Gazivoda dam and the second dam and the Gazivoda spillway
(Source: Google Earth and F. Baudry)
f)
Hydropower generation
The water flowing by the Gazivoda dam spillway cannot be used to produce
electrical power. Otherwise, all the inflow in the Gazivoda reservoir is used for
power generation through the turbines.
The quantity of hydro-electricity which is produced during one year varies mainly
according to the inflow in the reservoir that year. The mean annual value of
inflow is around 11,2 m3/s. In dry years (10% occurrence) the inflow is 6 m3/s
and in wet years the inflow is around 16 to 20 m3/s (10% occurrence).
In case of flood events, a few days per year the very high inflow in the lake
generates an elevation of the water level and water flows over the Gazivoda
dam spillway. This is a loss for hydro-electricity production. This does not
happen when the level of the reservoir is sufficiently low before the flood events.
For electricity production the difference of altitude between the level of the lake
and the turbine is important. A larger quantity of electricity is produced for the
same inflow when the difference of altitude is greater. As a result, the day to day
variation of the water level in the reservoir has an impact on the quantity of
electricity produced. Fine tuning of turbines operation can therefore generate an
increase of electrical power.
When the two turbines are in maintenance, there is a bypass through which
water can flow directly in the second reservoir. The IL Canal Company
management tries to avoid stopping the two turbines simultaneously to reduce
losses of energy production.
g) Use of the Gazivoda bulk water. The Ibr Lepenc Canal.
The bulk water is available twice as a water resource:
- First, its potential energy is used to generate power at the hydropower station,
- Second, the bulk water which is conveyed by the IL canal is used for various
uses as described in Figures 18 and 19 including community drinking water
supply, irrigation, industry and power plants cooling.
page 97/211
The 49 km long main canal can convey at its intake more than 10 m3/s.
However, due to losses at a rate of around 50%, the availability of bulk water
along the canal decreases. In 2009 and 2010, the IL Canal Company undertook
repair of the canal at locations were losses were high. This has slightly improved
the situation. The IL canal has also secondary branches which convey water to
particular locations where the water can be used.
The canal system as designed was never completed. The whole Ibr-Lepenc
system was designed to irrigate more than 20 000 ha. Only a fraction of this
surface is currently irrigated (less than 1000 ha in 2000).
Figure 18: Schematic representation of the Gazivoda, secondary reservoir, hydropower generation and bulk
water use along the IL main canal (source BCEOM - Cowi study 2008 from ILE and consultant)
page 98/211
Figure 19: WEAP model schematic mapping of the main uses along the IL canal (Source SCE/OIEau)
A
s
As a result, there is a large quantity of bulk water available for various uses along
the IL canal (Figure 19). According to IL Canal Companys Technical Director,
rules of operation of the Gazivoda system require the release of an Environmental
Flow (E-flow) of 1,8 m3/s which correspond to a storage of approximately 60
million m3 per year out of the 370 million in the Gazivoda reservoir. The flow
released downstream might have an importance in the future. It should be
recalled that the Serbian government plans to construct dams in the Ibr River
Basin to produce hydropower. An agreement has been signed recently with Italian
partners on this matter.
2)
page 99/211
Best Month
Worst Month
The Batllava Reservoir includes key components of the dams and is connected to
a treatment plant located near the dam. Water from the reservoir is pumped to
the treatment station, treated there and then conveyed through a pipe to the
connected communities and to part of Prishtina and its surroundings.
Based on the reports by KfW (Wyg Intl., 2009), this Reservoir (and treatment
plant) attain the design capacity of 70,000 m3/d (25. 5 Mm3/y) for drinking water
supply.
b) Badovc Reservoir, water conveyance and treatment system
Graph 12: Variations of inflow in the Badovc reservoir (Source 1985 Water Master plan)
Monthly Range in Natural Water Supply
Badovc Reservoir (Mm3/mnth)
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
Best Month
0.0
Worst Month
-0.5
-1.0
Source: KfW Report
page 100/211
Badovc supply system, including the water treatment plant, does not attain the
design capacity of 35,000 m3/d (12. 7 Mm3/y) for the supply of part of the
population Prishtina;
Production equals on average only about 18,000 m3/d (6. 5 Mm3/y), according to
available water resources collected in the reservoir. There is therefore a water
supply gap of 17,000 m3/d (6. 2 Mm3/y) over the planned capacities for Prishtina.
This production gap contributes along with the distribution inefficiencies (leakages
from a dilapidated distribution network) to insufficient water supplies to meet the
needs of the part of Prishtina connected to this system
3)
B1)
2)
WATER
The IL canal is not well protected against pollution by houses in the vicinity of the
canal or from accidental pollution (dangerous product spilled in the canal, animals
falling in the canal, etc).
page 101/211
There are many tracks along the canal and they are used by farmers and
households. It is difficult to prevent accidental pollution and even regular pollution
from households (on-site visit of the team).
The microbiological quality of the surface and groundwater which are not
protected by natural barriers is poor and expanding. There is no proper protection
of the water and no treatment of the sewage in towns and in rural areas.
This quality issue can reduce the quantity of bulk water of good quality available
in various circumstances.
1)
The value chosen by the team for the WEAP baseline scenario is 150 l/s which is 4,5
cubic meter per month which corresponds to a mean value used in similar towns in
Europe.
W
Water is supplied to the households in the Ibr basin through mainly 2 Regional
Water Companies:
-
There are efforts from the Mitrovica Regional Water Company to include Serbian
populated municipalities (grey in the Map 21). The area covered by those 2
companies and by the municipalities is presented in the Map 21. Mitrovica is
supplying also the municipality of Skenderaj which is not located in the Ibr basin
yet we will consider it in the study because this water is taken from the Ibr
Lepenc canal.
Map 21: Extension of the Regional Water Companies (RWC) and municipalities in Ibr River Basin and in the
rest of Kosovo.
LEGEND:
Municipalities
Prishtina Regional Water
Supply Company (RWC)
Mitrovica Regional Water
Supply Companies (RWC)
Municipality in negotiation for
joining Mitrovica RWC
Ibr River Basin
Number of
Municipalities
covered
RWC
Number of
consumers
Number of
population
covered
% of
population
connected *
Prishtina
82 443
695000
65,6
Mitrovica
20 780
210000
48,7
page 103/211
We can consider that consumption is constant over the days and months.
Variations occur during the day but this does not have any impact on the
resource as reservoirs have a sufficient storage (12 hours consumption including
losses) to balance the daily peak flows.
This storage cannot provide strategic buffer capacity against major pipe bursts,
power supply failures or resource constraints. (Source: the report WYG International on
Prishtina Regional Water Supply 2009).
Security vulnerability 2: there is a need to diversify the resource and to improve
water security by increasing storage and buffer capacity for the large towns
emergency needs.
T
Table 18: Key indicators of the Water supply production for the Prishtina and
Mitrovica RWC (Source: the report WYG International on Prishtina regional water supply 2009)
Annual
production
(x 1 000 m)
Mean daily
Production
in m/s
Prishtina
40 800
111 781
Mitrovica
16 800
46 027
RWC
Mean
Production in
m3/s
% of non
revenue
water
Average
consumpti
on in l/c/d
1,31
46
135
0,54
54
182
In both cases water is pumped for treatment before being fed into the system via
a series of reservoirs and pumping stations. There are also a number of borehole
sources that mainly feed the surrounding municipalities, but do not make a
significant contribution to the Prishtina supplies for the population.
In 2010 a new borehole was drilled on groundwater of sufficient quality which is
available to supply bulk water to the expanding industrial and commercial area
near Fush-Kosovo. (Source: the Technical Director, Prishtina Regional Water Company
meeting Dec 2010).
Security Vulnerability 3: much of the 760 km of Prishtina drinking water conveyance and
distribution W
system is in poor condition, and there is a high level of non-revenue water.
W
Wastewater
Wastewater is partially collected in the Ibr basin at a rate of:
page 104/211
Resource
Prishtina
70 000
18 000
23 781
Batllava Dam
Badovc Dam
Groundwater
Mitrovica
46 027
Source: Report on the performance for 2008 from the water and waste regulatory office
page 105/211
B-
page 106/211
Area
projected
(ha)
Area
rehabilitated
Area
irrigated
(ha)
2006
Vushtrri
7200
3170
603
Shkabaj
7100
2000
Komoran
5620
Total
19920
Area
Area
irrigated
Area
irrigated
Area
irrigated
2008
2009
2010
860.
28
959
822
660
53
165.
32
213. 4
240
240
2750
5. 5
83. 37
252
70
30
7920
661. 5
1108.
97
1424. 4
1132
930
irrigated
2007
The Ibr-Lepenc Hydro System was originally conceived to irrigate about 20,000
ha upstream of Sidnica River and in Drenica urban area (within the Project Study
Area).
In the field of agriculture, interviews and field visits have provided an interesting
insight on the prospects in this sector. The main driving force to increase
irrigation is the possibility for farmers to have higher productivity and sell at a
better price. Secure income and better markets could dramatically increase
demand and competition for water. Insecure water provision might hamper
agricultural development.
Table 21: Key parameters for bulk water used for irrigation: Total gross water demand for
irrigated agriculture in Ibr basin in 2010 (Source SCE/OIEau IL)
Scheme
2010 Net
demand
(Mm3/year)
Conveyance
Distribution
(open channel) efficiency
efficiency (%)
(%)
Plot
efficiency
(%)
Global
efficiency
(%)
Vushtrri
2,01
55%
Shkabaj
0,73
Komoran
Total
Gross
demand
(Mm3/year)
80%
65%
29%
7,04
55%
80%
65%
29%
2,56
0,09
55%
80%
65%
29%
0,32
2,84
55%
80%
65%
29%
9,92
page 107/211
The Distribution return flow and field return flow values have been selected taking into
account the experience of the Drin River basin project.
C.
page 108/211
D-
Industry
Source of water
Kosovo A
Kosovo B
0. 4
Feronikeli
0. 1
page 109/211
2)
To test climate change impact a WEAP function can be used with the option for
dry and very dry year option.
Although at this stage it is precarious to apply full statistical analysis due to lack
of reliable data, the Consultant chose to define a risk indicator value for each
reservoir as the critical value which will represent the limit of water available in
the hypotheses of a very dry year. Based on WEAP functions, the inflow of a
very dry year is taken as 50 % of the inflow of a normal year, for which the
baseline year 2010 is sufficiently representative. This value of 50% is in line with
the indications provided by reports on climate change. (Variations in the monthly
flow may be higher than 50%).
3)
Table 23 recapitulates the parameters which are used for the 2010 baseline
scenario. These parameters were captured in the WEAP model and the results
are presented in tables and graphs in the models.
The following paragraphs detail the values given to each parameter considering
the information collected by the Consultant from June 2010 to March 2011.
This selection of inputs data for the baseline scenario and the results obtained
through simulation was shared with stakeholders. This has led to significant
amendments and corrections in the inputs and the results of WEAP.
.
page 110/211
Table 23: Demand parameters and Minimum Environmental flow for the baseline scenarios (SCE/OIEau 2010)
Baseline scenario Year 2010
SYSTEM 1 GAZIVODA
Name point
in WEAP
PARAMETERS
Name point in
WEAP
Abstraction
Name
point in
WEAP
Abstraction
Name point
in WEAP
Abstraction
Abstraction
Irrigation
Drinking Water
Energy
Industry
Parameters Irrigation
Parameters Energy
Parameters Industry
Komoran Irr
Unit
Mit_Vusj_Sken
WS
Kosova A
Energy
Feronikeli M
I
Only from
June to Sept
Monthly
demand
0. 25
m3/s
Monthly
demand
Perimeter 1
Water supply
Population
30 ha
150 l/d
Conveyance
efficiency
Conveyance
efficiency
55%
55%
Consump. per
capita per year
55%
Conveyance efficiency
2 Mil
m3
Conveyance
return flow
Conveyance
return flow
90%
40%
Monthly
demand
90%
80%
Water losses
43%
10%
Network techn.
efficiency
60%
Field efficiency
65%
Return flow
70%
18%
Crop pattern
85 %
potatoes
210 000
Mining
0. 1 m3/s
page 111/211
Perimeter 2
Eflow = 1. 8 m3/s
Kosova B
240 ha
Conveyance efficiency
55%
40%
80%
10%
65%
18%
85 %
potatoes
Crop pattern
Vushtrri Irr Unit
PARAMETERS
Energy
Monthly
demand
Conveyance
efficiency
Conveyance
return flow
0. 4 m3/s
55%
90%
Perimeter 3
Irrigated surface in 2010
240 660
ha
Conveyance efficiency
55%
40%
80%
10%
65%
18%
85 %
potatoes
Crop pattern
page 112/211
B-
Graph 13: WEAP results inflow and outflow of the Gazivoda reservoir
LEGEND
In the right side of the figure the legend shows the inflow in the reservoir (+
values) and different outflows from the reservoir (- values).
page 113/211
Graph 15: Gazivoda Water Balance 2010 cumulated values (mil mc)
80.00
70.00
400.00
350.00
60.00
300.00
50.00
250.00
40.00
200.00
30.00
150.00
20.00
100.00
10.00
50.00
0.00
January February
March
April
May
June
July
0.00
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September October
November December
(Note: Graphics present the potential unbalance on a monthly basis and year basis. Cumulative values are useful to reflect the annual renewal of the storage in the reservoirs,
System 1 (Gazivoda reservoir) - Results Interpretation
Graph 14: shows the monthly distribution of the inflow and outflow of Gazivoda reservoir. The total demand of bulk water along the Ibr Lepenc canal is based on
the water demand at the gate of the buffering reservoir upstream. The comparison between the inflow and outflow values of each month shows that there is
enough water available in the system during spring and winter seasons. However, during the summer period a deficit of water can occur, especially in August.
This is due to irrigation demand of approximately 6. 9 million m3 of water.
Graph 15: shows that for the baseline situation in 2010 System 1 satisfied all the bulk water demand; the cumulative demand (red column) is far lower than the
cumulative inflow for a representative normal year (blue column).
page 114/211
Taking into account climate change (as indicated by a typical very dry year, i.e. with only 50 % inflow of the baseline representative year) the cumulative inflow
for a very dry season (yellow line) is still higher than the bulk water demand. This means that there is sufficient bulk water at the first gate of the Ibr-Lepenc
canal to ensure quantitative Water Security under the 2010 baseline scenario conditions.
Even though the Ibr Lepenc canal can convey large amounts of water, on a daily basis, problems of
water shortages can still occur during limited periods of time for various reasons such as the following:
- improper anticipation of the daily demand and improper operation of gates releasing water
- sudden damage to the channel especially when the water level is high in the channel
- overflow if even canal siphons entries are obstructed by solid wastes
- bulk water quality problems, etc.
These are security issues of water which we have called vulnerabilities which are slightly different than
bulk water shortage. They have to be addressed as well in the programme of measures.
page 115/211
Graph 16: WEAP results inflows and outflow of Batllava Reservoir for 2010 baseline scenario
LEGEND
page 116/211
Graph 18: Batllava Water Balance 2010 cumulative values (mil mc)
25.00
20.00
80.00
70.00
60.00
15.00
50.00
40.00
10.00
30.00
20.00
5.00
10.00
0.00
January
0.00
February
March
April
May
June
July
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November December
Results Interpretation
Graph 17: shows the WEAP results for the monthly distribution of the inflow and outflow of Batllava reservoir.
Graph 18: shows the inflow, which is compared to the monthly distribution of the total demand of bulk water pumps to the drinking water treatment plant near the reservoir.
The comparison between the inflow and outflow values of each month shows that there is enough water available in the system during spring and winter seasons.
However, during the summer period a deficit of water can occur, especially in August. This is due to irrigation demand of approximately 3. 64 million m3 and 3. 41 million m3 in
September. The cumulative value graph shows that it does not mean that there is a water shortage as the inflow from October to June is important
Graph 30: shows that for the baseline situation in 2010, the System 2 meets the bulk water demands: the cumulative demand (red column) is far lower than the cumulative
inflow normal year (blue column).
page 117/211
Taking into account climate change (typical very dry year with only 50% of baseline inflow) the cumulative inflow for a very dry year (yellow line) is very close to the bulk water demand
which means that temporary shortages might occur.
Beside of the quantitative shortage, there are security issues of water which we have
called vulnerabilities, for example, due to the insufficient protection of the reservoir from
pollution from households, tourism and farming activities. At the end of the 2010 season
the Consultant could observe in various locations the proliferation of macrophytes
reflecting the excess of nutrients entering the reservoir. There is also a risk of accidental
pollution from the roads.
page 118/211
Graph 19: WEAP results inflows and outflow of Badovc Reservoir for 2010 baseline scenario
LEGEND
/page 119/211
Graph 21: Badovc Water Balance 2010 cumulative values (mil mc)
6.00
25.00
20.00
5.00
4.00
15.00
3.00
2.00
10.00
1.00
5.00
0.00
January February
0.00
March
April
May
June
July
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November December
Results Interpretation:
Graph 20: shows the WEAP results for the monthly distribution of the inflow and outflow of Badovc reservoir.
Graph 21: shows the inflow, which is compared to the monthly distribution of the total demand of bulk water pumps to the drinking water treatment plant near the reservoir. The
comparison between the inflow and outflow values of each month shows that there is enough water available in the system during spring season. However, during the summer period a
deficit of water may occur.
Graph 33 highlights that for the baseline situation 2010 the system Badovc cannot satisfy the bulk demands: the cumulative demand (red column) is larger than the cumulative inflow
for a normal year (blue column).
Taking into account climate change (typical very dry year with only 50% of the baseline inflow) the cumulative inflow for a very dry season (yellow line) exceeds the bulk water demand
which means that temporary shortages will occur.
These are also other security issues of water which we have called vulnerabilities, which are due to the insufficient protection of the reservoir from pollution from households,
tourism and farming activities. The sewage waters from household are reaching the reservoir and there are risks of accidental pollution from the roads.
page 120/211
Graph 23: Kuzmin Water Balance 2010 cumulative values (mil mc)
5.00
0.40
3.00
4.00
2.00
0.20
1.00
0.00
0.00
April
May
June
July
April
May
June
July
Graph 25: Lypjan Water Balance 2010 cumulative values (mil mc)
5.00
4.00
0.40
0.30
3.00
0.20
2.00
0.10
1.00
0.00
0.00
January February March
Inflow from Return Flow + Natural Recharge cumulated value (106 mc)
April
May
June
July
April
May
June
July
page 121/211
Graph 27: Shtime Water Balance 2010 cumulative values (mil mc)
5.00 Inflow from Return Flow + Natural Recharge cumulated value (106 mc)
4.00
0.20
0.15
3.00
0.10
2.00
0.05
1.00
0.00
January February March
April
May
June
July
0.00
January February
March
April
May
June
July
Results Interpretation
A 2010 monthly distribution of the inflow and outflow of the underground reservoirs can be seen in Graphs 22, 24 and 26. If we make a comparison between the inflow and outflow values of each
month, we can observe that we have enough water available in the system during the entire year of 2010. Graphs 23, 25 and 27 show that the cumulative demand for each reservoir (red column) is
lower than the cumulative inflow of a normal year (blue column) which means that for the baseline situation 2010 the System 3 satisfied all its demands.
page 122/211
one project aims at supplying an additional 700 l/s through a water supply plant in
Schkabaj taking water from the Ibr-Lepenc canall
the second project is aiming at improving the efficiency of the network and
improving the overall management of the company. The on-going measures have
had already some success in reducing the losses and improving the cost recovery.
As explained in the beginning of Part II, a second step after the simulation of the baseline
scenarios is to investigate what would happen if, considering the possible future
conditions and the possible set of measures which can be taken.
In this approach, it is important to identify and to take into account the uncertainties. This
can be done for example by simulating scenarios with various possible future conditions.
As for the baseline, the approach consists in identifying the shortage in terms of their
location, the month when they occur, under future conditions.
In case there is risk of shortage, measures have to be taken to reduce this risk. The
question is then What constitutes a robust set of measures and the timing of their
implementation? Robust means that, whatever the conditions in the future, the measures
provide benefits and minimize negative conditions.
To build the scenarios, decisions have to be taken regarding the value of factors of
uncertainties. The WEAP model proposes a process for taking into account the different
parameters.
B-
Population growth
Percentage of connected population
Growth of surface for irrigation
Growth of industrial consumption
Climate change
FACTORS OF UNCERTAINTIES
For building the scenarios for the future, a 25 years baseline (2010-2035 time period) has
been selected (as explained above).
page 123/211
Capacity of the administration and population to protect the quality of the water
Consumption of water
The impact of the use of water downstream and of the political situation
These parameters will be taken into account in the chapter regarding measures.
C1)
Extension of connections.
Population growth
Estimates of population growth are not accurate as the last census was carried out in
1991. The 1991 census results indicate a steady uniform growth at an annual growth rate
of around 2%. The Statistical Office of Kosovo (SOK) has since made a number of
estimates of the population, which indicated that, by 2001, the population had decreased
significantly but had since started to recover rapidly.
We can assume that the population of the Ibr basin is presently growing on a higher
basis (3-4 %) due to people who are returning and moving to Prishtina from other areas in
Kosovo.
We can consider that the recent increase of population growth rate is due to temporary
factors and that after 5 to 10 years, the growth rate will be below 2% in line with Western
Balkan countries.
page 124/211
Hypothesis
2008
2010
2020
2035
Prishtina
4 % up to 2015
3 % up to 2025
2 % up to 2035
679
734
1 035
1 463
Mitrovica
3 % up to 2015
2 % up to 2025
1,5 % up to 2035
239
253
324
415
917
987
1 359
1 878
TOTAL
Scenario A with high population growth (x 1000 persons)
Table 25: Second scenarios of population growth
Region
Hypothesis
2008
2010
2020
2035
Prishtina
4 % up to 2008
3 % up to 2015
2 % up to 2025
1,5 % up to 2035
679
720
921
1 181
Mitrovica
3 % up to 2008
2,5 % up to 2015
2 % up to 2025
1 % up to 2035
239
251
313
382
792
971
1 234
1 562
TOTAL
Scenario B with low population growth (x 1 000 persons):
The 2 scenarios for population growth are presented in Tables 24 and 25. The former
scenario is interesting for the case that the population growth might not be as high as
expected.
For the WEAP simulation the population growth rate was calculated according with
the data collected on March 7, 2011 from the Prishtina Regional Water Company
(from 4% in 2010 to 1% in 2035).
Extension of connections
The Water National Strategy (WD 2006) set the objective of 80% of the population
accessing to a public water supply system by 2013. On the other hand, the report WYG
International on Prishtina regional water supply 2009 indicates: The percentage of
population in the supply area obtaining water from piped water supply systems was, after
discussions with the RWCP, estimated to increase from the existing level of 65% to
around 88% by 2030. We will consider this second assumption, which seems more
realistic and was taken into account for a project aiming at developing water supply in the
Prishtina region. It corresponds to an increase of the population connected of 1% per year.
A new feasibility study is carried out recently by a KfW consultant and new assumptions
might be taken by this Consultant.
We will take a similar objective for the Mitrovica region with a percentage of 82 % of the
population connected in 2030. It corresponds to an increase of the population connected
of 1. 5 % per year.
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Prishtina region:
The project to increase water supply in the Prishtina region up to 88% of the population by
2030 is presented in the report WYG International on Prishtina regional water supply
2009. The water will be taken from the end of the Ibr Lepenc channel and transferred to a
new water treatment plant with a capacity of 700 l/s in a first stage and 1050 l/s in its final
configuration. The 700 l/s capacity installation is supposed to be operation in 2013. The
need for the full capacity of 1 050 l/s is expected in 2023.
The estimated investment cost of the first operation in 2011-2013 is estimated at 29,5 M
for an annual operation cost of 1,725 M in 2013, increasing every year up to 2,83 M in
2030 (source: report WYG International on Prishtina regional water supply 2009: Annex 5).
Mitrovica region:
In Mitrovica there is a plan to construct a water pipe taking water directly in the Gazivoda
reservoir to increase the water supply capacity (Source: Director of the Mitrovica RWC).
Financing for this project has not been found yet. It should be noted that such project is
supported by the Mitrovica Regional Water Company as it can provide better security on
the long term especially for the bulk water quality and avoid difficulties in water sharing on
the IL canal.
It should be noted that drinking water is distributed free for the Serbian populated northern
part of Mitrovica. Efforts are made by the Mitrovica RWC to obtain an agreement in order
to have the water use in the Northern part be paid by consumers. An EU funded project is
planned in Vushtri aiming at the development of water supply for the town urban area and
surrounding villages.
2)
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Table 26: Possible evolution of the average daily water consumption due to tariff policy
Region
Evolution
2008
2010
2020
2035
Prishtina
135
134
127
118
180
180
150
135
For WEAP modelling and scenario building the values of consumption per capita was
used based on the data collected on March 7, 2011 from Prishtina Regional Water
Company, for identifying the hot spots of water shortage
It is important to keep in mind that consumption per capita is expected to be
decreasing (from 150 l/d in 2010 to 120 l/d in 2035) due to tariff structure change as
households can see an interest in reducing their consumption. This supposes that
the rate of the billed water improves. As a consequence, the household will be
inclined to pay less and the average consumption will be reduced. During the hot
summer however the consumption will increase as people use more water in such
circumstances. For the dry year the consumption was set at 180 l/d and for the very
dry year at 200 l/d.
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3)
Such actions are already taking place with success in the Prishtina RWC.
The report done by WYG International on Prishtina regional water supply 2009 takes
into account a reduction of non-revenue water from 46% to 27,5% in 2020 and 25% in
2030 after discussions with the RWC of Prishtina. The report mentions that it will be a
difficult target to meet, and it represents probably the largest risk to the project. We agree
to this appraisal as with 24h water supply and increase of the pressure in networks,
leakage should also be increasing.
Given the uncertainty of the level of non-revenue water RWC will be able to meet, we will
consider 2 scenarios. The first scenario will consider a significant improvement of nonrevenue water levels for both Prishtina and Mitrovica and the other one a stagnation or low
improvement of the current level of non revenue water.
The tables below present the 2 scenarios proposed:
Table 27: Evolution of non-revenue water level Scenario A
Region
Hypothesis
2008
2010
2020
2035
46%
43%
28%
24%
54%
51%
36%
32%
- 1,5%/y to 2020
Prishtina
- 0,3%/y to 2030
- 0,2%/y to 2035
- 1,5%/y to 2020
Mitrovica
.
- 0,3%/y to 2030
- 0,2%/y to 2035
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Hypothesis
2008
2010
2020
2035
Prishtina
46 %
45 %
40 %
36 %
Mitrovica
54 %
53 %
48 %
44 %
4)
Scenario 2
Scenario 3
Region/Resourc
e
2020
2035
2020
2035
2020
2035
Prishtina
180 728
270 288
150 607
227 611
126 230
160 447
Mitrovica
75 638
110 233
61 456
90 780
55 930
72 942
TOTAL m/day
256 366
380 521
212 062
318 391
182 160
233 389
For WEAP, for simplification purpose, a simple calculation was made: the population
multiplied by per capita consumption.
5)
SCENARIOS OF
DEMAND
The industrial water demand should be mainly impacted in a short term period by the
construction of the new power plant: New Kosovo. The project will be functioning by 2020.
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The expected water use for the new power plant is 380 l/s in a first step and 760 l/s in a
second phase.
6)
Power plant Kosovo A will be discontinued when new Kosovo is operational. Therefore, we
consider the removal of its water consumption from 2020. As mentioned in the report:
Water supply from the Ibr Lepenc hydro system for the proposed Kosovo C power plant
European Agency for Reconstruction 2008, the Ibr basin contains metallurgic factories
and manufacturing plants that are nor working at the moment, but could restart their
activity by 2016-2017. In this case, we have to consider the potential water consumption
evaluated at 1 000l/s.
All those industries are assumed to be supplied by the Ibr Lepenc channel, which has a
sufficient capacity for additional use. The resulting water demand to take into account is as
follows:
2020
2035
Resource
Kosovo B
34 560
34 560
New Kosovo
32 832
65 664
Feronikeli
8 640
8 640
Manufactory
plants
86 400
86 400
TOTAL
162 432
195 264
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7)
Graph 28: Evolution of export of agricultural commodities from Kosovo (Source USAID study on Kosovo Agriculture Opportunities
Strategy Feb 2010)
During farmers interviews in August 2010, it was observed that in the plain between
Prishtina and Mitrovica farmers are traditionally cultivating potatoes. Potatoes cultivation is
considered by farmers as well adapted to the soil, easy growth, and easy to transport
without crop damage to a foreign market. The average yield is estimated around 30-40
T/ha. The cropping pattern is based on this cultivation. 85%5 of the IL irrigated area is
devoted yearly to irrigated potatoes cultivation. Cabbage and maize are the secondary
crops of the cropping pattern.
Export of potatoes increased significantly during the last 3 years (Graph 28). However,
other crops would provide better income per cultivated surface as their price in Kosovo is
much lower than in EU countries. The Kosovo agricultural export is low and there is an
important potential of growth, especially for crops which have a market competitive
advantage (Graphs 29-30) and can be easily cultivated in Kosovo where large surfaces of
soil are very fertile.
.
However, in terms of bulk water consumption, this does not have much of an
impact, as low water consumption irrigation islikely to prevail for such cultivation as
is the case already in south Kosovo.
Estimation
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Graph 29: Kosovo price for agricultural commodities compared to EU FOB Origin Price (Source USAID study on Kosovo
Agriculture Opportunities Strategy Feb 2010)
Graph 30: Comparison between the level of agricultural commodities export in various European countries (Source
USAID study on Kosovo Agriculture Opportunities Strategy Feb 2010)
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Figure 20: Crops with a good potential of development in Kosovo (Source USAID study on Kosovo Agriculture Opportunities
Strategy Feb 2010)
For the baseline scenario the following assumptions were made (Table 31).
Information collected at the IL Canal Company and through field visit as well as references
taken from literature led to the following assumptions regarding irrigation demand. The
estimates which are shown in Table 31 consider improvement of efficiency due to specific
measures.
Table 31: Total gross water demand for irrigated agriculture in Ibr basin in 2035 (water saving scenario)
Scheme
Irrigated area
2035 (ha)
Cropping
pattern
Crop water
requirements
(mm)
Net irrigation
needs (m3/ha)
Irrigation
quantity
(Mm3)
Total
10 000
Potatoes
8500
617,6
3588
30,50
Distribution
efficiency
Plot efficiency
(%)
Global
efficiency
Gross
demand
(Mm3/year)
Scheme
Net demand
Conveyance
3
2035 (Mm /year) efficiency (%)
(%)
Total
30,50
55%
80%
(%)
65%
29%
106,64
The corresponding total net irrigation quantity increases up to 30 million m3, i. e. 8% of the
water stored in the Gazivoda reservoir.
When losses due to system inefficiency are taken into account, the water which has to be
supplied in the IL canal to irrigate corresponds to around 30% of the water stored in the
Gazivoda reservoir (106 Mm3).
The value of 10 000 ha for the area irrigated through the IL is taken up in Table 31. This
figure assumes that there will be continued efforts to increase irrigation.
The growth of irrigated crops depends on the market for agriculture products in Kosovo or
in other countries. By contrast, the area under irrigation might be reduced due to urban
development. Investments for the irrigation of additional land might compensate this
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Komoran
Vushtrri
Shkabai
Measures which might have an impact on the irrigation surface and bulk water
consumption per hectare.
a) Water saving measures
There is an important potential with development of irrigated agriculture through
efficient use of water. To achieve this, farmer organization, secured market outlets
and cooperation with the food processing industry have to be encouraged and
supported.
b) Agricultural land protection
Save agricultural land and reverse the urban sprawling trend inside the irrigation
schemes. The scheme perimeters must be better protected through regulations
including dissuasive measures, for example, attaching water rights to the land
ownership:
making the contract with the Irrigation perimeter a compulsory package whatever
the land use and the water use level are;
Water rights provide the possibility for the landowner to irrigate his crops.
They correspond to a water allocation inside the irrigation perimeter which is
calculated on the basis of the crops need during the irrigation season (April to
October) and take into account intra and inter-annual variability
Attaching water rights to land ownership is a current practice of water users
associations aiming at:
- reducing the market pressure on agriculture land,
- providing a minimum revenue for the irrigation company.
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The careless farmers have a stable consumption whatever the tariff structure; The risk
averse farmers reduce their water consumption when the proportional part in the tariff
increases.
d) Agriculture development and contracting practice
The establishment of strong market oriented agriculture is proposed in the agriculture
development opportunity report, USAID (Feb. 2010).
Private companies contracting with farmers on a guaranteed volume of production in
exchange of a guaranteed price would raise market oriented farmers interest. It would
limit the uncertainty regarding recovering costs and provide cash to farmers for production.
Contracting practices might develop through the initiative of export professionals, agrobusinesses, supermarkets or even with public authorities for environment services.
However, two conditions are required to ensure that the total added value is not
concentrated downstream of the food chain and that benefits return to farmers and to the
environment:
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D-
Evolution of Conveyance
The availability of bulk water for the different uses along the canal or pipes which
convey it depends on the structural state of this infrastructure and of the
resources available to maintain them and to prevent damage resulting from
accident or hostile action.
With the WEAP model, it is difficult to analyse the situation on every location
where bulk water is used but an assumption can be made regarding the rate of
conveyance in the main canal, in distribution system.
New infrastructure can be created which will change the supply side conditions.
For example, there are plans or project ideas proposing the conveyance of water
by pipes from the Gazivoda reservoir.
To identify the hot spots of water shortage, in the WEAP model
considered a fixed rate of conveyance of 55%.
Evolution of Storage
The supply can vary also if new storage is ever created, for example, buffer
storage can be created along the Gazivoda canal to provide water in case of
temporary disruption of the canal.
To identify hot spots, the storage capacity existing in the baseline year 2010,
which is reasonably representative for a normal year, is considered in the WEAP
model.
C
Climate change
The parameters which have been taken into consideration account for the effect of
climate change on the behaviour of consumption changes and other natural
processes as:
-
population consumption,
runoff.
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Household water consumption for a dry year period will be set at 180 l/day/inhabitant (values selected by
the Consultant team) In fact, the household water consumption is changing under the effect of the
climate change.
Evaporation coefficient (PET). A delta of + 0,5 on the normal year evaporation value was entered for a
very dry year simulation (see World Bank report, Figure 34).
Inflow (or water available on the surface). 25 % of the normal year inflow (value selected by the WEAP
methodology) modified by a WEAP function Hydrology Water Year Method data view.
Based on the parameters described above, the team has built different scenarios
which are detailed in the following sections.
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Graph 31: Box for selection of value for parameters impact for the western Balkans by climate change (World Bank report).
page 138/211
E-
F-
assumption to be made
drivers to be changed
indicators to be analyzed.
The assumption on irrigation for this scenario includes the maximal growth rate
possible for irrigation area. This scenario might occur in case there is a good
market and a good price for agricultural products. The irrigated area can be
modified in the WEAP function Key Assumptions data view.
At the stage of industrial consumption we considered that the new power plant
New Kosovo will be built, Kosovo A power plant will be stopped and the
metallurgic factories and manufacturing plants will restart their activity (see Table
32). These parameters can be modified and added in the Key Assumptions and
Demand Sites data view.
page 139/211
2015
2017
2035
Resource
Kosovo A
0. 25
Kosovo B
0. 4
0. 4
0. 4
0.38
0.76
0. 1
0. 1
0. 1
0. 75
3. 02
3. 02
New Kosovo
Feronikeli
Metallurgic factories
and Manufacturing
plants
TOTAL
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The results of WEAP activities and also the analysis of the impact of each parameter on
the water demand from our area of study can be seen in the annex section. Table 33
shows that a growth in the industrial and agricultural sectors is the factor which has the
biggest impact on System 1 (Gazivoda and Ibr-Lepenc System), however, climate
change is likely to have an impact of similar extent.
Table 33: Impact (in % demand increase) of different scenario parameters on the water
demand from Ibr River Basin.
System
Population
Growth
Irrigated
agriculture
Growth
Industry
Growth
Climate
Change
dry year
Climate
Change
very dry year
System 1 Gazivoda
System
7,7
68,3
72.7
78.3
82.3
System 2
Batllava
System
27,5
38,5
52,5
System 2
Badovc
System
18,3
41,7
55,4
System 3
Groundwater
System
25
121,37
148,6
page 141/211
B-
population,
agriculture,
industry and mining.
Results for a dry year and a very dry year (scenarios 4 and 5) are presented in
graphs 32 and 33. In these graphs, the monthly water demand for each demand
node is represented by columns of different colours. The blue line represents the
monthly inflow of IL Canal (water available for use) and the red line represents
the monthly values of bulk water available at the end of the canal.
Graphs 34 to 41 present the typical response results for the System 2 (Badovc
and Batllava reservoirs under a variety of scenarios based on demand growth
and climate change, showing severe and further increasing water deficits in the
near and further future (2020 and 2035).
The formulas used to calculate the series of
following:
where the monthly values of inflow and water demand were extracted of the
12. Q
water Dec = (Qinflow_Dec + Qwater _Nov) Qtotal water demand_Dec
WEAP
model.
The variation of the sum of monthly Q shows that System 1 is not satisfying its
demands during August-October period, for both scenario 4 (dry year) and 5
(worst case scenario very dry year).
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Graph 32: Future water situation in IL Canal, 2035, dry year condition
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Graph 33: Future water situation in IL Canal, 2035, very dry year condition
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Total
August
September
October
August
September
October
9.195
3.381
12.240
6.802
3.559
12.6
22.6
Graph 34: Unmet demand in Badovc system System 2 Population Scenario 2020
page 145/211
Graph 35: Unmet demand in Badovc system System 2 Population Scenario 2035
Graph 36: Unmet demand in Badovc system System 2 Dry year Scenario 2020
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Graph 37: Unmet demand in Badovc system System 2 Dry year Scenario 2035
Graph 38: Unmet demand in Batllava system System 2 Dry year Scenario 2035
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Graph 39: Unmet demand in Badovc system System 2 Very dry year Scenario 2020
Graph 40: Unmet demand in Badovc system System 2 Very dry year Scenario 2035
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Graph 41: Unmet demand in Batllava system System 2 Very dry year Scenario 2035
page 149/211
Table 35 summarizes the analytical results obtained from the WEAP model simulations.
Table 35: WEAP results synthesis
System
Scenario
2020
2035
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
System
System
Gazivoda Scenario 3
Scenario 4
Worst Case scenario
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
System
System
Batllava Scenario 3
Scenario 4
Worst Case scenario
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Scenario 3
Scenario 4
Worst Case scenario
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Bulk water supply lower than demand but risk of occasional shortage -- measures to be prepared
Water security assured but limited initiate implementation of adaptive measures
Demand exceeds supply water saving measures essential
Not applicable
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I.9. CONCLUSIONS
These results of table 35 show two main water shortage situations:
Badovc: reservoir water shortage can occur from 2011 onwards and the
shortage increases especially under climate change assumptions.
Battlava: in 2035 there is severe risk of water shortage requiring additional or
new supply and this shortage is worse under climate change assumptions.
Gazivoda: under climate change assumptions and taking into consideration a
large increase of irrigation up to 10 000 ha, there is a risk of structural water
shortage after 2020, especially under climate change assumptions.
Ground water system: the confidence in the result is modest only as
assumptions had to be made on the capacity of the groundwater aquifers.
In the short term urban water supply investments are planned which will provide
enough water up to year 2020. It is assumed that the water distribution network
has the capacity to distribute the treated water from the Batllava and Gazivoda
reservoirs to the different parts of the city of Prishtina.
In the long run 2020-2035, especially in case of the climate becoming drier,
there is a high probability that structural water shortages will occur during the
normal summers.
Secondly, it is a concern to maintain the quality of the drinking resource and of
the water in the channel on the long run, as the pressure from pollution sources
is increasing.
Additional clean sources of water will be need to be made available from 2020
onward because of the growing relative and absolute water, and because it may
be difficult to maintain a sufficient quality of bulk water.
Considering also the responsibilities of the company supplying water, options
presenting a low risk of water contamination are likely to be supported by the
Regional Water Companies, for instance a diversification of water source and
water supply routes. This will be essential in case of emergency, natural
disaster, pollution, human errors or accidents leading to disruption of the water
conveyance.
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were identified as two options with significant lower unit cost than other options to reduce water
losses/increase water supply of the central part of Kosovo.
The consultant is required to reassess (and confirm or not as appropriate) whether these two
options are indeed low cost options for water savings in bulk water supply to central part of
Kosovo.
If alternative options are identified as cost effective, these should be described and cost
estimates should be provided.
It is noted that, eventually, securing good water quality in the Ibr will be an objective to be
met under EU Water Framework Directive and the consultant will consider whether and how the
options considered may impact on the possibility to achieve this objective in the future.
Point 5 Initial identification f a robust program of structural and non-structural measures as
component of a river basin planning and management program.
Based on the analyses above this activity will include
a. Identification of a draft programme of measures to reduce current water scarcity and risk of
future water scarcity while sustaining good water quality. This would include not only structural
measures (investments) but also non-structural measures such as capacity building, pricing
changed regulation
b. demonstration that the proposed program is robust to alternative futures of climate, water
demand. The demonstration will refer to the scenario above.
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Figure 21: Schematic presentation of the objectives of the program of measure as per ToR
page 153/211
II.2. METHODS
FOR
VISUALIZATION
MEASURE
ASSESSMENT
AND
For prioritisation purposes, each measure was assessed with two instruments
as per ToR:
It is considered that the score that is obtained using these criteria also provides
an indication of the degree of robustness of the measure proposed.
Based on the recommendation obtained in the 24th February meeting, the
measures are organised in packages, each package being a coherent project
proposal.
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Work has been performed to organise the measures according to the main
issues developed in the detailed analysis of water security in central Kosovo
(first part of this report).
Additional intangible benefits from externalities are introduced in the cost benefit
analysis. In effect, the benefit coming from reducing or avoiding the damage in
case of an emergency situation are sometimes considered to have a value of
zero, which is incorrect; the value of the damage avoided should be counted as
direct benefit from the investment or the measure.
In addition to this broad assessment, more specific criteria have been defined
and are also part of the grid for assessing the measures. The criteria and the
system for calculating the score are presented in Table 36. The Criteria selected
are the following:
I - Stakeholder commitment. Political Will: a proposal which is not supported by
political will and a leader or leading institution will likely face difficulties in its
implementation and the impact from the measures might be low. Of course,
political will can vary over time but the assessment is performed taking into
consideration the interest that institutions might have to lead the implementation
of the measures. For example, measures with little direct immediate political
gains might not be very popular.
II - Funds Availability and Affordability: this criterion considers the cost benefit
analysis, where appropriate. This is, at this stage, a rough assessment and
there are many uncertainties in such analysis. However, whenever possible,
relevant ranges of costs and benefits were estimated.
III - Environmental Impact: this criterion takes into account the environmental
impact of the measures in terms of public health, but also protection of
ecosystems and water resources intended for human consumption.
IV - Economic Development: the measure can have few or many, direct or
indirect economic impacts on the short or long term.
V - International cooperation: the measure can affect to various degrees the
international cooperation.
VI - Employment: a measure might encourage direct or indirect job creation.
Although it is difficult to evaluate how many jobs a measure can create, this
criterion gives weight to measures with a positive effect on job creation.
VII - Technical capacity: this criterion avoids the design of measures which
could exceed the current capacity in terms of skills and maintenance, and would
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help avoid installing overly sophisticated tools which are not taken care of by the
operators. It also takes into account the fact that the important support by the
international community to the country may undermine the availability of skilled
workers for particular jobs.
VIII - Robust concept Flexibility, veatility: this criterion evaluates to which point
the measures are still relevant when future conditions change.
IX - Readiness: the degree to which a measure is ready to be implemented and
financed. It is to be noted that some measures do not need to be started now.
However, they might be relevant and provide higher benefit if an event occurs in
the future. In this regards the timeframe is important.
X- Institutional responsibility framework: each measure is individually considered
against ten criteria to gauge the overall viability, as a basis to compare and
prioritize the entire program of measures.
Points are assigned for each criterion, based on the following scale, and then
adjusted per the weighting factors:
0 = negligible
1 = low
2 = medium
3 = high
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Description:
Maximum
Points
Weighting
Factor
I.
Stakeholder
Commitment Political Will
45
15%
II.
Funds: Available
& Affordable
15
5%
III.
Environment
15
5%
IV.
Economic
Development
30
10%
V.
International
Cooperation
7,5
2,5%
VI.
Employment
15
5%
VII.
Technical
Capacity
30
10%
VIII.
22,5
7,5%
IX.
Readiness
45
15%
X.
Institutional
Responsibility
Framework
30
10%
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B- BACKGROUND
CBA was developed as a tool to assess the comprehensive nature of large,
capital intensive initiatives, such as dams and regional supply projects, when
planning aiming at the best use of scarce financial resources.
Comprehensive means that CBA aims to consider the benefits and costs, which
may arise in different segments of the community or context, especially those
extending beyond a standard assessment of capital, financing and operating
costs - and the revenues gained from the particular initiative.
So, the purpose of CBA is to consider additional factors, which may not normally
have a price tag or be readily purchasable in the marketplace but which are
clearly by-products of investment measures. Such factors are termed
externalities and include, but are not limited to items such as:
Public/community access to water supply for public health, social and
economic development
Environmental health and quality
Water resources availability quantity and quality
The advantage of is that the evaluation is holistic, considering all possible
factors. However, conducting CBA properly:
how to assign a monetary value to the externalities?
how to set monetary values in a neutral manner without bias favour of
or against project realization?
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The answer to these questions and the approach used by the Consultant to
conduct the CBA are detailed in the following text in the assumptions for
externality unit costs and values of costs and benefits.
D- ASSUMPTIONS COSTS
In a Cost-Benefit Analysis the costs are often more suitable to quantification, as
the price to realize a measure is generally paid for and thus more readily
estimated.
Capital Expenditures (CAPEX): The investment sum for one-off expenses to
realise infrastructure facilities or procure equipment/materials are estimated
based on market rates for similar items.
Operational Expenditures (OPEX): The annual expenses regarding operations &
maintenance of facilities, personnel, vehicle running costs, etc. are estimated
per market rates for similar items.
E- ASSUMPTIONS BENEFITS
In a Cost-Benefit Analysis, the indirect benefits may be more difficult to quantify.
The monetary value of externalities is typically set via more rigorous study and
includes willingness-to-pay studies, customer surveys, etc. to more accurately
gauge and calibrate the value of such benefits in the project context according
to local values and habits; the key aspect during this preliminary assessment in
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Flood Damage Avoided: according to Flood Damage to the United States a reanalysis of NWS estimates (US National Weather Service; 1926-2003)
ensuring impervious land cover can reduce property damages from floods
at about 10 Euro per Capita per Year.
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F-
page 162/211
B- OPERATIONAL SHORTCOMINGS
The population in Kosovo towns is experiencing water shortages. In many
instances, the constraints and capacity of the water supply network is also a
reason of these shortages. It is important to recall that disruption of supply at the
tap is a different issue than the bulk water shortage issue. Tap water shortages
include difficulties due to the following factors:
It was agreed between the Consultant and the World Bank that it was beyond
the scope of this study to look into the operation of the secondary networks of
the main users such as the Regional Water Companies.
The tap water shortage will not be covered by the measures proposed.
However, the analysis of the situation has led to the identification of various
vulnerabilities related to water security.
For each main type of vulnerability a draft Project conceptual note was
developed using the EU format as requested by partners. This was suggested in
order to facilitate possible submission for financing.
III.2.
These measures can provide flexibility to ensure sufficient water of good quality
for drinking water, especially in case of emergency due to accident, natural
catastrophes, human mistakes or attacks, etc.
The relevance and benefits provided by the various options should be
assessed. The scope of the present work does not allow investigating in detail
all the options.
To this end, storage sites and routes as well as ideas and steps to move
forwards towards improved water security in central Kosovo are proposed
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To cope with this issue, the following two projects are proposed:
PROJECT 1:
Protection of drinking water resources in reservoirs.
Measures
1- Improvement of knowledge of precipitation, water quality and hydrology,
2- Policy and tools component for water resource protection, support for the
enforcement of drinking water protection zones
3- Training of staff and capacity building on water resource protection
B - Groundwater:
1- Of the non-connected population over 90% are supplied by water from
shallow well/boreholes, which are highly vulnerable to pollution.
2- The pollution of groundwater is growing due to the new buildings and the
still insufficient pollution prevention mechanisms. Groundwater is
increasingly contaminated. The high pollution pressure in several areas is
creating difficulties for a healthy use of groundwater. If nothing is done, this
trend will reduce the water available for human consumption, especially in
rural areas in the future.
C-
D-
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mechanism which can influence priority allocation in the Water sector to the
different bulk water users.
Figure 23: risk of rupture of conveyance, land slide, solid waste disrupting the secure flow of water in the IL
canal (Consultants survey August 2010).
page 167/211
B- BENEFICIARY INSTITUTIONS
The beneficiary institutions are:
-
C- SITUATION ANALYSIS
Better information on the water resources and pollution pressure
For ten years there have been regular hydrological measurements, but the
validation process is not yet sufficient. As a result, the hydrological data of the
last ten years cannot be utilised without important time-consuming sorting,
checking, validation and processing. Even though extensive training has been
delivered through external support, there are still significant improvements which
are necessary such as the following:
- Reinstallation of network for precipitation measurements on a regular
basis.
- Collection of data for rating curve calculation.
- Improvement of data quality for sampling and analysis of parameters on
water quality in rivers.
- Full implementation of groundwater exploration.
- Installation of a groundwater monitoring network.
Several of these elements were pointed out as important during the 24th
February workshop in Prishtina.
As reported in the Water Resources Development Plan (regarding the Prishtina
Regional Water Company, financed by the KfW, February 2010) the Batllava
and Badovc reservoirs are subject to growing human-caused stress:
a) land development in the catchment areas is increased, with the likelihood to
further degrade reservoir water quality,
b) there is new land development close to the shore and recreational uses
during the summer months,
c) accidental pollution can occur as it is possible that dangerous substances
can be manipulated or transported close to the reservoir or in the catchment
area (especially hydrocarbons, but also pesticides and detergents),
d) animals are grazing in large numbers too close to the reservoir.
page 168/211
page 169/211
Total budget:
Euro 11.7 million
D- LOGICAL FRAMEWORK
Project: Protection of drinking water resources in reservoirs
Overall objective
Sources of Verification
The objective is to protect in the long term the quality of water in the existing
reservoirs Gazivoda, Batllava and Badovc and other surface water intended for
water supply, especially for drinking water
Project purpose
Project evaluation
a)
Databases
Data quality check
b)
Annual report
Annual report
c)
d)
IPA budget:
Assumptions
Evaluation Report
Results
1.
2.
3.
Activities
1-
Costs Euros
Assumptions
150000
page 170/211
b)
200 000
c)
150000
350 000
b) Identification of pollution sources around reservoirs and proposal of measures to reduce the pressure
5000
c)
5000
Outfitting elements for the newly created catchment basin enforcement team
40,000
b)
10,000
c)
d)
Installation of septic tanks for rural (low-density) residences and businesses for connection to a sewerage system
250,000
70,000
5000
18400
13000
d)
Maintenance of equipment Lakeside recreation facility Maintenance Septic Tank annual service/emptying
130000
e)
20 000
page 171/211
The salaries for the development of the monitoring programme and validation
process improvement,
The salaries and annual costs regarding the two enforcement officers, whose
mandate is to patrol the three reservoirs to control the enforcement of rules and
legislation,
Education of citizens on proper use/penalize illegal water resources use,
Maintenance plus park and septic tank.
page 172/211
Table 37: Costs for data collection and protection of drinking water resource.
Data collection for surface water resource
A. Capital Expenditures
Unit price
Unit
150,000
Euro/Report-plan
200,000
Euro/Report-plan
Number
Total
150,000
2. Equipment Replacement/Augmentation
a. Monitoring Stations
3. External support
200,000
150,000
Unit price
Unit
3,240
Euro/Person-y ear
15,000
Euro/Person-y ear
18,000
Costs/y ear
Unit price
Unit
a.Gazivoda Reservoir
b.Batlava Reservoir
c.Badovc Reservoir
150,000
100,000
100,000
Euro/meter/square
d.Land Purchase
Inventary pollution sources
Protection area refinement
e.Basic lakeside/recreation/sanitation/facility
25
Euro/meter/square
Number
3,240
15,000
1
1
18000
Number
150,000
1
1
1
15,000
1
3
150,000
100,000
100,000
375,000
50,000
50,000
450,000
40,000
5,000
Euro/Vehicule
Euro/Items
2,500
Euro/Tank
b.Commercial
3,500
Euro/Tank
B. Operational Expenditures
1.Enforcement Team training
100
20
40,000
10,000
0
250,000
70,000
Expenditures annual
3,240
1
2
1,000
Euro/Person-y ear
5400
10000 maintenance/y ear
maintenance/y ear
1
120
12960
5400
10000
120,000
page 173/211
F-
the direct benefit of reducing the respective drinking water treatment plant
operational costs (chemicals, energy, materials),
page 174/211
Number
Per year
26919000
TOTAL
1- Install PVC-Concrete
Liner in Open Channel
Euro/linear
a.Iber-Lepenc Canal
2. Refurbish existing
Existing Water Mains
a. Pipelines in Main
Settlements
1000 meter
25000
25000000
1750000
50
Euro/linear
meter
35000
B - Operational Expenditures,annual
1. Existing Personnel with
budgeted resources
12000
Euro/linear
0.2 meter
60000
169000
4280389
11490000 mil mc
181542
10%
3325000 mil mc
52535
10%
499000
30662
10%
499000
3150
C. Economic development
1 Economic bais of
Community Water Supply
5%
4012500
page 175/211
Graph 44: Net Present Value for measure/project Protection of water supply reservoirs.
10,000
NPV
5,000
Externalities
0
Revenue
-5,000
CapEx
OpEx
-10,000
-15,000
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
NPV
15,000
Externalities:
o Public Health and Safety: Benefits are estimated at about Euro 1.4
million per year, according to headwaters protection/conservation
measures to maintain/improve raw water quality to the benefit of the
study area population (fewer sick days, lower medical costs, less
flooding damage)
page 176/211
o
o
o
o
G- STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS
People will be more confident if the water is safe.
The people involved in tourism activity will benefit from a clean environment without
health hazard for their clients.
The administration will strengthen their capacity to respond to general public needs.
I-
IMPLEMENTATION ARRANGEMENTS
page 177/211
IV.2.
PROJECT
PROTECTION
2:
GROUNDWATER
KNOWLEDGE
AND
A- PROJECT TITLE:
Groundwater knowledge and protection
B- BENEFICIARY INSTITUTIONS
Regional Water companies
Ministry in charge of Environment
Municipalities around reservoirs
C- SITUATION ANALYSIS
1)
2)
HYDRO-GEOLOGY
Since there are very few accessible useful documents on groundwater, it is
necessary to collect basic hydrogeological information which is missing. The EUfunded Drini river Basin project (2008-2010) has developed a methodology for data
collection in wells to characterise groundwater bodies.
Staff in the Water Department was trained for this methodology and is able to
continue such data collection. The organisation of such data collection still requires
external guidance. Support to initiate such activities is required.
A priority would be to invest in investigation boreholes to have a better knowledge of
the available resource and to carry out groundwater assessment in terms of quantity
and quality and develop a sustainable program for their use.
Extensive data interpretation is needed to improve the knowledge on groundwater.
Awaiting that sufficient skill on data interpretation is built in the water administration,
individual local and international experts can temporarily fill the staffing gaps and
help collate, interpret and present hydrogeological data and information.
In the long-term, an increase in the WD and HMIK analytical capacity could be
achieved in the following ways:
-
page 178/211
D- LOGICAL FRAMEWORK
Objectively verifiable
indicators
Sources
Verification
IPA budget:
of Assumptions
Better know the groundwater for their sustainable use in the future and increase water security for population
connected and not- connected to piped water supply
Project purpose
For the Ibr Basin: Develop step by step the knowledge on groundwater resource and provide public access to this Production of studies
information
on surface and deep
groundwater
System for access to
groundwater resource
Develop efficient protection practices for ground water which can be used for drinking water
Protection zone
implemented
Control of their
implementation
Results
1.
2.
First steps of the implementation of Surveillance quantitative and qualitative monitoring networks
3.
Groundwater exploration and basic description for a the Ibr river basin area
4.
Key actors are implementing good practices for the protection of drinking water protection zones
page 179/211
Activities
1.
2.
Means
Costs
Assumptions
10 000
b)
External supervision
20,000
Transport
Construction Bidding Document and specification and sub-contracting the construction work
c)
d)
Hydrogeologist -2 months
100 000
10000
20000
page 180/211
Activities
3.
Means
Costs
150,000
a)
Determine the location and abstraction rates of all significant water sources and Interpret
Orthophotos supervision by hydrogeologist
Hydrogeologist -7 months
70000
b)
150000
Assumptions
Means
Costs
a)
Support to farmers and household to introduce good practices in the protection zone of drinking
water supply
50 000
b)
10 000
Assumptions
page 181/211
Graph 45: Net Present value for measure/project Protection of groundwater Resources.
3,000
2,500
NPV
2,000
1,500
Externalities
1,000
Revenue
500
CapEx
0
-500
OpEx
-1,000
-1,500
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
NPV
3,500
Externalities:
o Public Health and Safety: Neither cost nor benefits are added as
this Measure is not considered to directly influence this aspect
o Economic development: Relatively minimal benefits are obtained in
terms of wages during project realization.
o Environmental integrity: Neither cost nor benefits are added as this
Measure is not considered to directly influence this aspect
page 182/211
o
o
E- STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS
People will be more confident if the water is safe.
The people involved in tourism activity will benefit from a clean environment
without health hazard for their clients
The administration will strengthen its capacity to respond to general public needs.
F-
G- IMPLEMENTATION ARRANGEMENTS
Assumed project start date: 2012
Duration of the project: 2 years
.
page 183/211
IV.3.
PROJECT 3: PROVISION OF SUFFICIENT WATER OF
GOOD QUALITY THROUGH THE IBR LEPENC CANAL
A- PROJECT TITLE:
Provision of sufficient water of good quality through the
Ibr Lepenc Canal
B- BENEFICIARY INSTITUTIONS
C- SITUATION ANALYSIS
Inefficiency of conveyance: the transmission system inefficiencies in System 1
(Ibr-Lepenc Canal) and the key transmission pipelines serving the main
settlements within System 1 and 2 are aged, poorly maintained and, thus,
experiencing physical leakages, estimated at 10-40%.
There is a good potential for improvement at an affordable cost. The location and
type of water supply and irrigation networks to rehabilitate are shown in Figure 22.
Highly qualified supervision is needed to make sure that appropriate technology is
used and quality of work is up to international standards.
Pollution pressure on the canal: in many locations along the Ibr-Lepenc Canal
human and livestock have unhindered access to the canal which can lead to
pollution and degradation of the water quality. There is a need to implement an
effective mechanism to ensure that the pollution pressure will not increase year by
year.
Risk of disruption -- Operation of gates in normal and in emergency situation: the
current manual system to operate the gates and other equipment for bulk water
transmission and distribution along the Ibr-Lepenc Canal is functional, but could
be optimized for more efficient allocations, better real-time responsiveness and to
site-specific conditions.
It is also important to improve the knowledge on the water used for drinking water,
agriculture, and power generation.
A- Water in the canal and pipelines: measurement of flow through the dam
and canals and of water quality
Good quality measurements of the water flowing in the pipelines and canal of the
losses are required. This process has started with the support of KfW in the
Prishtina Regional Water Company and should be continued and extended to
other Water Regional Companies. The GIS of Prishtina RWC has been
reactivated.
Regular and systematic measurements of good quality are needed to have
sufficiently accurate records from one year to the other and be able to assess the
improvement and shortcomings in order to define priorities measures.
B Improvement of the knowledge of water used for agriculture
page 184/211
page 185/211
D- LOGICAL FRAMEWORK
Provision of sufficient water of good quality through the Ibr Lepenc Canal
Overall objective
2 million
Objectively
verifiable
indicators
Sources of
Verification
Improvement of
water quality of
bulk water
Water quality
analysis
IPA budget:
Increase safety and efficiency of the conveyance of good quality of water in the Ibr Lepenc Canal and the main
distribution network for current and future uses
Project purpose
1.
2.
3.
4.
Water savings via the reduction of inefficiencies in existing infrastructure, due to leakages
Reduction of the risk of accidental pollution by limiting access and thus reduce/eliminate the pollution
pathway
Improve the information on the bulk water conveyed and distributed and pressure on the canal
Efficient water allocations via the Gazivoda Reservoir and Ibr-Lepenc Canal
Results
1. A reduction of 15 % of leakage providing water for other users without decreasing the water flow in the Ibr
river and thus avoiding issue on the reduction of water flowing at the border with Serbia
2. Increased protection from pollution of canal surroundings
3. Improvement of the information of bulk water used
4. Improvement of the possibility of efficient and flexible water allocation
page 186/211
Activities
A- Water savings via the reduction of inefficiencies in existing infrastructure, due to leakages,
reduction technical leakages
a) Rehabilitation of the structure of the canal in open air of the Ibr - Lepenc Canal
(grossly estimated at 25 km)
b)
Refurbish key transmission and main pipelines serving the major settlements,
Mitrovica and Prishtina (grossly estimated at 35 km)
c) Establish budget sources to affect proactive operations and maintenance
B- Improvement of information on water flow, water used and water quality in the canal and
main conveyance system
a) water used by agriculture
b) water used to generate power
c) water used for other sectors
d) quality and quantity of water used for drinking water purposes
C- Improve water quality by limiting access to and despoliation of the Ibr-Lepenc Canal
a) implement protection measure and rehabilitate protection against runoff
b) installation of fencing where possible intrusion might generate accidental pollution
Means
Costs Euro
Assumptions
25 000 000
175 0000
170 000
20 000
2 250 000
1 750 000
There are already revenues from the beginning in the initial years when no water shortage exists. The economic assessment raises the question, how can water saved (from reduced losses) become
water sold in years where there is no scarcity of water?
It should be noted that single localized major leakage can be repaired rather quickly. However this may not improve significantly the efficiency of the conveyance. To achieve an important reduction of
the leakage, the condition survey of the canal has shown that this must be achieved through repairs that stop or reduce the continuous leakage due to old joints and cracks in the lining.
Two different methods of cost estimation have been used. Both of them led to the cost of 1 million EUR/kilometer for a complete renovation of the canal. This might be a high-end price, but if well done,
the repairs can last more than 30 years without much need of maintenance and rehabilitation. This would provide a large amount of additional bulk water that can be used in the future without any other
investment.
page 187/211
250 000
225 000
450 000
45 000
20 000
20 000
20 000
page 188/211
Graph 46: Net Present Value for the measure/project 3 Improvement of Ibr-Lepenc Canal.
5,000
0
NPV
-5,000
Externalities
-10,000
-15,000
Revenue
-20,000
CapEx
-25,000
OpEx
-30,000
-35,000
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
NPV
10,000
Externalities:
o
o
o
o
A- Leakage reduction
Graph 47: Localisation and type of conveyance system to be rehabilitated to save water (WEAP
model SCE/OIEau 2010).
Table 39: Costs and benefits for leakage reduction in the IL Canal.
LEAKAGE REDUCTION
Costs
A - Capital Expenditure
Number
Per year
26919000
TOTAL
1- Install PVC-Concrete
Liner in Open Channel
Euro/linear
a.Iber-Lepenc Canal
2. Refurbish existing
Existing Water Mains
a. Pipelines in Main
Settlements
1000 meter
25000
25000000
1750000
50
Euro/linear
meter
35000
B - Operational Expenditures,annual
1. Existing Personnel with
budgeted resources
12000
Euro/linear
0.2 meter
60000
169000
4280389
11490000 mil mc
181542
10%
3325000 mil mc
52535
10%
499000
30662
10%
499000
3150
C. Economic development
1 Economic bais of
Community Water Supply
5%
Score = 56
4012500
B- Canal Protection
Table 40: Cost and benefits for canal protection
CANAL
PROTECTION
Costs
A - Capital Expenditure
TOTAL
1- Protection from
runoff of Iber channel
Euro/line
ar meter
a.Iber-Lepenc Canal
2. Installing 2 meter
high fencing
a. Pipelines in Main
Settlements
1 250 000
1 750 000
50
Euro/line
ar meter
35000
Euro/line
ar meter
60000
B - Operational Expenditures,annual
1. Existing Personnel
with budgeted
resources
a. Conduct poractive
O&M
12000
0.2
169000
CANAL
Benefits PROTECTION
A. Revenues
1 Community Water
Supply
a. Per Water Savings
in system 1 demand
b. Per Water Savings
in system 2 demand
10%
10%
50%
0.6
64520
50%
0.1
6629
5000
C. Economic development
1 Economic bais of
Community Water
Supply
5%
Score = 50
EQUIPEMENT - WATER
Costs
REGULATION
A - Capital Expenditure
Unit
Unit price
Number
Per year
TOTAL
250000
Euro/unit
250000
15000
Euro/unit
15
225000
30000
Euro/unit
15
450000
20 years
500
Euro/unit/y
ear
15
7500
2500
Euro/unit/y
ear
15
37500
2.Energy Costs
a. Running Costs
EQUIPEMENT - WATER
Benefits REGULATION
A. Revenues
1 Community Water Supply
a. Per Water Savings in system 1
demand
0.0158
5%
5745000
Euro/cubic
meter
mil mc
90771
5%
per 1 euro
invested in
WS
Graph 51: Total score for criteria equipment for water measurement and regulation
Score 55
138750
E- STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS
People will be more confident if the water is safe.
The people involved in tourism activity will benefit from a clean environment
without health hazard for their clients.
The administration will strengthen their capacity to respond to general public
needs.
.
F-
IV.4.
STUDY OF OPTIONS FOR PROVIDING BETTER
WATER SECURITY IN CASE OF EMERGENCY
A- PROJECT TITLE:
Study of options for providing better water security in case
of major emergencies
B- BENEFICIARY INSTITUTIONS
-
C- SITUATION ANALYSIS
The current reliance on a singular water transmission mechanism (Ibr-Lepenc
Canal) raises vulenrability in the cities of Prishtina and Mitrovica in case of
emergency situations.
During the Consultants canal survey, the team observed landslides near the
canal. Runoff during rainy events also concentrates sediment in sensitive
unprotected zones, as some former protection against runoff along the canal
trajectory is not functioning properly anymore. The region is also under seismic
risk, as underlined by the small earthquake occurringin Prishtina in September
2010.
Many current and planned uses are or will depend on the IL canal. Small
industrial and business activities as well the power plant cooling require water
security. Disruption of the flow in the IL canal for whatever reason will cause large
socio-economic loss for Mitrovica and Prishtina and the river basin as a whole.
In the event of seasonal water shortage, the tension between users can be
exacerbated as a growing number of important uses will depend on this single
source.
There are other options to increase water security in the long run but they require
large investments. They will not be completed before several years and cannot
be envisaged to cover the new demand for Prishtina water supply treatment plant
or other investment already planned.
The main concept is the diversification of sources for supply. This can be
achieved by various means such as:
a) The introduction of a pipeline directly from the reservoir (pressurized or if
possible by gravity) to avoid water conveyance disruption and increase the
security of bulk water quantity and quality for drinking water production
b)
c)
d)
e)
(piped systems generally have much lower water loss than concrete lined
canals, and are fully closed and protected).,
The construction of dams to store water in altitude where the water will be
naturally protected
The construction of water storage in a number of excavations not far from the
canal which can create an interesting buffer reservoir,
The construction of facilities in order to be able to pump groundwater of good
quality in the canal or in pipelines in case the canal conveyance is disrupted
upstream or the water is contaminated by dangerous substances.
The construction of interconnections in between the water supply networks to
increase the flexibility and reliability of the entire system.
Figure 24: Concept of interconnections between the Water Systems in the Ibr River Basin.
Figure 25 shows the various options of water security investments including the construction of a
reservoir or of a pipeline directly in a trench which can provide an alternative source of water for
Mitrovica and Prishtina. This would provide many advantages in the long run; especially, it would
provide flexibility and much higher in the water supply management. In case there are alternative
routes, it is far less cumbersome to temporarily disrupt the flow in a section of the network where
repairs are being carried out.
In the medium and long term, these measures might be interesting options. Further investigations
are needed to estimate costs of such work.
New water storages. It is recommended to investigate and gain knowledge on the technical detail
and the social and environmental aspects of various options to secure water in case of
emergency in the future.
Figure 25: Options for diversifying the sources and routes for drinking water supply provision
The increase of the storage capacity should be designed to simultaneously
provide the opportunity to pump water up to high-located storage during periods
with low tariff of electricity and generate electricity when the tariff of electricity is
high (peak demand). This will require that new equipment be installed.
There may be also other investment needed in the future in case irrigation
develops. Rehabilitation and development of the irrigated perimeter would have
to be carried out. As a matter of fact, there are currently many places where
houses have been and are being constructed inside irrigation perimeters.
If new water storage for drinking water and buffer reservoirs are constructed in
order to ensure continuous cooling water conveyance, there will be fewer
constraints for using water for irrigation and undertaking; this would require
specific investments on the IL canal.
The construction of new reservoirs can have other benefits such as developing
local tourism and thus create non-agricultural jobs in rural areas.
Map 23: Location of possible sites for water storage in the Ibr River Basin.
Map 24: Precipitation distribution and the location of possible sites of water storage
In case there are projects for small scale hydro power, an environmental impact
study should be carried out to identify measures to minimize the impact of the
future infrastructure on the river ecosystem. Technical assistance will be required
to support the Government in developing tender packages in case public-private
partnerships would be envisaged.
It would also be advisable that businesses which start or restart activities in
industrial areas which are receiving subsidies propose a plan for limiting the
pollution of their activities in the soil, air and water.
Technical support to introduce the best available technique (BAT) also needs to
be developed. A programme to support the implementation of proper sewage
systems in households that are not connected to public sewage is important to
improve the public health situation where the population is relying on groundwater
for drinking water supply, irrigation and animal watering.
Figure 26: Presentation of a site for the construction of reservoir, as alternative source of water in case of
emergency.
D- LOGICAL FRAMEWORK
IPA budget:
Study of options for providing better water security in case of major emergency
Overall objective
Objectively verifiable
indicators
Sources of Verification
Verification
Assumptions
Verification
Assumptions
To diversify the source of water supply and increase the flexibility of the system to
minimize losses in case of major problem on the main conveyance. Provide alternative
source in remote places.
Results
indicators
page 204/211
Activities
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Means
Study the various options which have likely to have technical, social and
environmental acceptance
Describe the technical details of these options
Analyze the environmental impact of each or of combination of these options
Organize a public debate over the various options
Propose long term investments and the possible revenue to cover the
investments
Costs
Assumptions
400 000
The Cost benefit analysis was not carried out on the study itself but on possible large investments that might be considered in the long run after 2020 when the water demand will be
larger that today due to increased population and commercial activity around Prishtina and in central Kosovo as a whole.
Of course the cost estimates of these large investments need to be refined during the further study.
page 205/211
60,000
40,000
20,000
NPV
0
Externalities
-20,000
Revenue
-40,000
CapEx
-60,000
OpEx
-80,000
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
NPV
-100,000
Graph 52: Net Present Value of Measure/Project 4 Study of water security contingencies
The economic assessment of Measure/Project 4 indicates that it is an acceptable
use of resources, as the Net Present Value calculation yields a large but positive
value (Graph 52) and the benefit-to-cost ratio exceeds 1.0 ((see Annex M-4).
Therefore, since this measure results in net benefits to society, it is suitable for
further evaluation in the next step of investment development (beyond the scope
of this study).
The key elements of the Cost-Benefits Analysis for Measure/Project 4: Study of
Options for Providing Better Water Security in Case of Emergency, are:
Costs: NPV of Euro 82.3 million (2035)
Revenues: revenues of Euro 63,000 per year are added based on the
addition of 4 million cubic meters per year of new water resources
(based on additional groundwater resource of 150 l/s operating at 20
hours per day; conservative estimate, likely more resources possible via
dam/storage facility), according to existing (2010) tariff rates.
page 206/211
Externalities:
o Public Health and Safety: Neither cost nor benefits are added as
this Measure is not considered to directly influence this aspect.
o Economic development: According to the addition of new water
resources (via groundwater and dam/storage facilities) and made
available to bulk customers, commercial benefits are added at
three times the investment amount, less land purchase (totalling
about Euro 113 million) through the evaluation period.
o Environmental integrity: Neither cost nor benefits are added as this
Measure is not considered to directly influence this aspect
o Integrated Water Resource Management: Benefits from sound
water resource management per the addition of new, sustainable
resources within the basin are estimated at about Euro 825,000 per
year, calculated per the 2035 bulk category community water
supply demand in System 1.
o Emergency Risk aversion: Benefits of about Euro 950,000 per
year are added. This measure provides greater system security via
greater backup and parallel facilities for improved integrity and
resiliency in bulk water supply (presumably for the existing System
1, and so per added security totalling 10 percent of the 2035 water
demand for the Ibr Lepenc system bulk customer categories).
E- STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS
People will be more confident if the water is safe.
The power generation and private sector will have a better environment for
development of water use.
The people involved in tourism will benefit from a clean environment without
health hazard for their clients.
The administration will strengthen their capacity to respond to general public
needs.
F-
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V. INVESTMENT PRIORITIES
The report Kosovo Towards A Water Strategic Action Plan (2010) proposed
two options as priority investment, namely
a) optimization of operation of the Gazivoda dam
b) reduction of leakage.
The Consultant of the current study considers that the first priority as optimum
investment is to protect the Gazivoda canal and make sure that no disruption of
conveyance occurs, and in the event it does occur there is sufficient emergency
capacity and experience from specialised staff to deal properly with such an
event.
In other words, the priority investment should target the sites on the canal where
the risks are high, such as possible landslides, and other major weak points of
the canal. The Ibr Lepenc Company should be supported in its effort of canal
repairs, especially in terms of technical advice and supervision.
The second priority action is to protect the canal from pollution and to develop a
long term strategy to restrict the access to the surrounding of the canal to
authorised persons and create strong physical barriers to avoid animals and
unauthorised vehicles moving close to the canal. There should be actions to
make sure that the owners of houses and lands close to the canal reduce the
pollution pressure on the canal.
These protective actions aiming at reducing pollution pressure should be carried
out also in the main reservoirs of Gazivoda, Batllava and Badovc.
The gate operation improvement is not so urgent. Increasing the capacity of the
Ibr Lepenc Canal Company to properly manage the whole infrastructure and
develop plans to face growing demand is as important.
In any case, it is also important that ideas are shared between specialists and
that high cost investments with high long term benefits in the future be also taken
into consideration and assessed. There should not be consideration only for low
cost investment.
For instance, there will be a need of further investment if ever irrigation develops.
However, irrigation development requires support, organisation, coordination in
terms of marketing, irrigation practices, choice of crops, technical references,
contracting with partners to insure quality of products, etc.
As another example, if ever a peak tariff for electricity is introduced, there will be
incentives to develop pumped-storage reservoirs which can be useful not only for
potential energy storage but also for other purposes such as possible better
management of emergency crises.
Optimising the use of Gazivoda water by fine tuning the operation of turbines
would be then an additional source of revenues which can facilitate the financing
of investments.
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PART VI ANNEXES
I. ANNEX 1: INFORMATION SOURCES
1)
Kosovo Water Master Plan Water Department Ministry of Environment and Spatial Planning, 1985
2)
Water Supply from IbrLepenc Hydro System for the Proposed Kosovo C Power Plant Project,
Cowi 2008
3)
Report on the performance of Regional Water Companies - Water and Waste Regulatory Office, 2008
4)
Running out of Water Facing the Freshwater Crisis- Scientific American: Article, page 28, 2008
5)
6)
Report on the performance from Water and Waste Regulatory Office, 2009
7)
Feasibility Study for Development of New Water Source, Prishtina Regional Water Supply Project,
2009
8)
Assessment of Water Demand and Supply, and the Feasibility of the South IbrLepenc Scheme,
2009
9)
10)
11)
Environmental Flows in Water Resources Policies, Plans and Projects, World Bank Document -, 2009
12)
The Changing Face of Rural Space Agriculture and Rural Development in the Western Balkans
Book, World Bank Document 2009
13)
Reports, manuals and maps of the EU funded Project:Institutional Support to the Ministry of
Environment and Spatial Planning and River Basin Authorities IS-MESP-RBA (Drini River Basin
Project) GFA-OIEau BRLingenieurie 2008- 2010
14)
Kosovo Unlocking Growth Potential: Strategies, Policies, Actions, World Bank document, 2010
15)
Geological and Hydrogeological Maps of Kosovo from the Independent Commission for Mines and
Minerals (ICMM)
16)
17)
Ibr-Lepenc Company (Mr. Arberor Prekazi, Mr. Gazmend Tuli, Mr. Deme Abazi from Ibr-Lepenc
Prishtina and Mr. Rushdi from Ibr-Lepenc Shkabaj)
18)
19)
20)
21)
22)
23)
24)
Groundwater pollution in Mitrovica and surroundings KEPA- Balwois conference in Ohrid Macedonia
- May 2008
25)
Technical Background paper Energy Sector 7 July 2008- Experts funded by the E. C and World
BANK in consultation with donors and Kosovo authorities
page 209/211
26)
27)
28)
New water source for Prishtina and construction of the Shkabaj treatment plant Report; KOKS
Ingenieure, December 2010
29)
30)
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