Assignment of Probability and Statistics-DEC

2013

Group No. 5(SEM-2)

Name
Ujjwal Bopche
Vinita Nayak
Shrutika Dawkhar
Neha Shaha
Mitali Purarkar
Pankaj Gurav
Rahul Yadav

Roll No.
30 - Group Leader
34
33
32
31 - Absent
29 - Absent
35 - Absent

Q1(a)I- state and prove Bays theorem of probabilty.

Ans-

Q1(a)II

Q1(b)

Q2(a)i-

Q4(a)ii-

Q4(a) i] The mean weekly sales of chocolate bar in candy stores was 146.3
bars per store. After an advertising campaign the mean weekly sales in 22
stores for a typical week increased to 153.7 and showed standard deviation
of 17.2. Was the advertising campaign successful? [Given the table value of t
at 5% level of significance for 21 degrees of freedom in 1.721]
Soln:
Let us take the hypothesis that the advertising is not successful. Here is usual notations, we
are given,
X = 153.7, = 146.3 ,n = 22, =17.2

t=
1

153.7146.3
17.2

21

=1.92
No of degrees of freedom = 22-1= 21
Since the calculated value of t is greater than the critical value at 5% leve of significance. i.e
the diffrence significant at 5% level Hence we can say that the advertising is successful.

ii] The number of accidents of taxi drivers in a year follows poisson

distribution with mean 5. Out of 500 such drivers find approximately the no.
of drivers with no accidents in a year.
Soln.
Let X denote numberof accident in a year involving taxi drivers,
Givenmean=3,
P(no.ofaccidentinayear)=P(X=0)
=

0
0!

= 5
=0.00674
No.oftaxidriverswithnoaccidents

=1000 0.00674
=6.74 = 7(approx)

Q4(b) i] Calculate the co-efficient of variation from the following data:

Age Under (yrs) 10
20 30 40
50
60
70
80
No of persons

15

30

53

75

100

110

115

125

Soln.
Since Upper Limit of the class intervals and the commutative frequencies are given in this
prob, first the series will be changed onto the class intervals with ordinary frequencies and
then the coefficient of variation will be calculated.

Age in yrs

0-10
10-20
20-30
30-40
40-50
50-60
60-70
70-80

Calculation of coefficient of variation

Mid
No of persons
Step
dx
45
values (m)
deviation(
)
10
dx
5
15
-4
-60
15
15
-3
-45
25
23
-2
-46
35
22
-1
-22
45
25
0
0
55
10
1
10
65
5
2
10
75
10
3
30
^ = 123
N=125

dx2

240
135
92
22
0
10
20
90

2 = 609

For the calculation of the coefficient of variation the mean and the standard deviation of the
series will have to be found out.
Calculation of mean :
a = + (
=45 + (

123
125

10 )

= 45 +9.84
=35.16 years
Calculation of standard deviation:
=

609

)^2 * C

123 2

= 125 ( 125 ) * 10
Principles and practice of statistics,
=4.872 (98)2 * 10
= 4.872 9604 * 10
= 3.911 * 10
= 1.978 * 10
=19.78 years
Calculation of the coeffieient of variation :

C.V= * 100
=

19.78

35.16

* 100

= 5626 * 100
= 56.26%

ii] Find the probabililty of constructing a two digit even no. using the digits
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9 if repetation of digits is not allowed.
Soln,
Since we want two digit even numbers with no repetition, we are seeking for numbers
which end with 2/4/6/8.
Case 1: Numbers ending with 2/4/6/8.
We now have 4 options to choose from and put at the unit's place.
Let say we choose some digit (say 2) and put it in the unit's place.
Thus total number of combinations ending with 2 numbers = 8 * 1 = 8

Similarly for others

Thus total number of even combinations without repeatition of digits
= (4*8) = 32

Q5(b)i

Q5(b)ii-

Q6(a)i

Q6(b)

Q7(a)ii

Q7(b)i