Professional Documents
Culture Documents
พื้นฐานการลงทุน
พื้นฐานการลงทุน
1.
IS102
2.
3.
-
4.
5. ...
6.
(Money Market)
( 1 )
(Capital Market)
( 1 )
$
4
$ $ (Initial Public Offering) $
$
$
$ $
SET
..
5
- - ...
.. 2517
30 2518
...
.. 2535
6
1.
2.
-
3.
-
SET
7
SET Index
$
$
$
$ 30 2518 100
SET Index = - * 100
-
(2540)
-.
(.. 2540)
-
:
IMF (.. 2540)
(.. 2545)
stress test (.. 2553)
30%
(.. 45-.. 46)
(..
2551)
(.. 2542)
SARS
(.. 2554)
)
(.. 46)
(.. 2542)
)
(..-.. 46)
(.. 2554)
(.. 2551)
(14 .. 2542)
76
(.. 2544)
(..-.. 47)
)
)
(.. 2552)
MSCI (..
) 3
2544)
(..
2554)
)
(..- .. 47)
(11 .. 2544)
(.. 2552)
(.. .. 2554)
.
(.. - .. 47)
)
(.. .. 47)
)
(.. 2538)
(.. 2535)
)
(2532)
.
(.. 2534)
Mini Black
Monday
(.. 2532)
(.. 2533)
Black Monday
(.. 2530)
1600
1400
(.. 2524)
)
(2524)
1200
1000
800
(.. 2529)
(2522)
600
400
...
.
(.. 2553)
(.. 2540)
(.. 2538)
1800
Morgan Stanley
overweight
(.. 2553)
(.. 2549)
30%
(.. 2549)
(.. 2528)
200
2554
2553
2552
2551
2550
2549
2548
2547
2546
2545
2544
2543
2542
2541
2540
2539
2538
2537
2536
2535
2534
2533
2532
2531
2530
2529
2528
2527
2526
2525
2524
2523
2522
2521
2520
2519
2518
: SETSMART
..??
-
1
5
-
10
11
$
$
12
$
/
-
13
14
- Corporate Action
Corporate Action $
$
$
$ ()
Stock
Split
Stock
Dividend
Right
Issue
$
*
15
$
10%
16
()
/ x
100 -
17
-
18
-
$ $
$ $ (Underpriced)
-
$ (Overpriced)
-
19
-
: -
- -
:
: (
)
(ABC) XYZ,KAP,MNO,JKL,PQR
ABC
20
1. (Economic Analysis)
$ $
$
21
-
- $
- $ (Discount Rate)
- (Open Market Operation)
22
5
Revival
-
4
Depression
1
Expansion
2
Boom
3
Recession
(Retail Sales)
23
2. (Industry Analysis)
$
$ $
24
25
$ 4
(Pure Competitions)
$ (Imperfect Competitions)
(Oligopoly)
(Monopoly)
26
3. (Company Analysis)
$
$ $
(Qualitative Analysis)
(Quantitative Analysis)
27
$ $
28
$
$
29
30
31
32
33
ROE
34
(Financial Ratio)
1.
(Current Ratio)
2.
(Receivable Turnover)
$
$
(Inventory Turnover)
3.
(Return on Asset)
* 100
(Return on Equity)
* 100
4. (Debt Ratio)
35
2.
1.
()
()
3.
4. -
( )
($ )
36
$ $
$
4
1. Growth Stock: $ $ $
$$ (Under Valued)
2. Defensive Stock: $ $
$$ $
3. Cyclical Stock: $
$
4. Speculative Stock: $
37
$ $
-
38
1. (Intrinsic Value)
(Dividend Discounted Model)
2.
(P/E Ratio : PER)
(Price to Book Value : PBV)
39
(Intrinsic Value)
(Dividend Discounted Model : DDM)
P0 =
$
Dt
D1
D2
+
+
...
+
=
(1 + k s )1 (1 + k s ) 2
(1 + k s )t
Dt
t
t =1 (1 + k s )
P = $
Dt = $ t t = 1,2,3,
ks = $$ (Required Rate of Return)
40
(P/E Ratio : PER)
P/E Ratio
(EPS)*
$ $
$ $
$ $ $ $
* (EPS) = -
41
()
P/E Ratio $
= PER * EPS
$ P/E
$
$
42
()
1 (EPS) 3
15
PER = 15 / 3 = 5
$ PER 7
$ PER $$
$ PER
x EPS $ 21 ( 7 * 3)
43
()
2 ABC (Price) 100 (Earnings Per Share)
20 PER = 100 / 20 = 5 ABC $
5 $
DEF 200 20
PER = 200 / 20 = 10 DEF $
10 $
$ ABC
DEF
P/E Ratio
- $ P/E Ratio $
$
44
(BPS)*
PBV Ratio
()
PBV $
$ PBV
$
= PBV * BPS
PBV
PBV
$
$
$
46
()
1 $ 40 4
BPS = 40 / 4 = 10
PBV 1.2
Price = PBV * BPS
= 1.2 * 10 = 12
2 9.85 BPS 4.14
PBV = 9.85 / 4.14 = 2.83
PBV 3 $
12.42 ( 3 * 4.14)
$ PBV $
$
47
-
, ,
Good Company
Good Stock
-
... - ???
(Technical Analysis)
48
$
(Buy Signal) (Sell Signal)
- $
$
1. - (- - )
2.
3. -
49
(Dow Theory)
$ 3
1. /
(Primary Trend)
2. (Secondary
Trend)
3. (Minor Trend)
50
$
(Trend) $
$
51
-
52
-
-
53
-
Demand Supply
54
-
55
$
$
$
$
$
$
$ $ $
$ $
56
3
1
2
$
3
$
$
57
0.18 - 1%
0.11 - 1%
-
()
Commission
*
(%)
Cash Account
X < 5
> 0.25-1
> 0.20-1
> 0.15-1
5 < X < 10
> 0.22-1
> 0.18-1
> 0.13-1
10 < X < 20
> 0.18-1
> 0.15-1
> 0.11-1
X > 20
Commission
* (%)
1
*
$ VAT 7%
** $ Commission $ 1 .. 53
58
-
(Cash Account)
$
( ATS-Automatic Transfer System)
$
**
$
15-20%
Broker
$
$
$
** Broker $
59
- -
(Margin Account)
$ $
$
$
$
$
$
60
-
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
-
$
$
Price Then Time Priority
Ceiling & Floor
$
61
- -
: ()
: 9.30 17.00 .
9.30
Pre Opening I
T1
12.30
Trading Session I
T2
14.00
Intermission
Pre Opening II
T3
16.30
Afternoon Trading
Session
Call
Market
17.00
Off-hour
Trading and
Market
Runoff
Period
T1 $ $ 9.55 10.00 .
T2 $ $ 14.25 14.30 .
T3 $ $ 16.35 16.40 .
62
-
-
(SET CONNECT)
63
-
Automatic Order Matching (AOM)
(Price Then Time Priority)
-
-
-
1
-
- (Bid)
SET CONNECT
1
-
(Offer)
Ceiling/Floor
- (- 1 Board Lot = 100 )
64
Bid
Time
Vol
Offer
Time
1,000
100
11:05
1,500
101
11:03
1,500
100
11:06
1,000
101
11:04
1,000
99.5
11:07
1,000
102
11:05
3,500
99
11:10
2,500
103
11:06
65
1,000 100
101 1,500
1,000 99.5
102 1,000
3,500
103 2,500
Vol
99
500 102
1,500 100
1,000 99.5
3,500 99
103 2,500
Bid 100
500
-
- Bid
100
Vol
Bid Offer
Vol
1,500 100
101 1,500
1,000 99.5
102 1,000
3,500
103 2,500
99
Bid 101
Bid 102
1,000 101
2,000
-
101 102
- 500
- Bid 102
Vol
Bid Offer
1,500
100
101
Vol
500
1,000 99.5
102 1,000
3,500
103 2,500
99
66
(Price Spread)
$
0.01
0.02
10
0.05
10
25
0.10
25
100
0.25
100
200
0.50
200
400
1.00
400
2.00
67
$
30%
(Close)
Price Spread
Price Spread
1
PTT
100
321
68
-
$ $ $
** Internet Trading
$
(Pre-Open)
-
-
-
- ATO
-
(Market Open)
-
-.
(Pre-close)
-
-
(Market Close)**
-
-
- MP
- ATC
69
- (Trading Boards)
(.SET): $ $
(Board Lot)
(.FOREIGN):
:
x
70
-
1. XD (Excluding Dividend):
2. XI (Excluding Interest):
3. XR (Excluding Right):
4. XW (Excluding Warrants): $
- ()
7. XA (Excluding All): $
8. NP (Notice Pending):
9. NR (Notice Received):
$ $ NP $ NR 1
10. SP (Suspension):
$
$
11. H (Halt):
$
$
72
..
--
73
()
$
$
$*
-
-
- iPhone Smart Phone
* $ $ www.settrade.com
74
-
($ $
)
3-6 ( )
30
75
-
Login Username Password Broker
Login 2
Broker URL
www.maybank-ke.com, www.bualuang.com
www.settrade.com ( STT $
)
76
1. Login
$
$ Online Trading
77
2. Place Order
-
-
PTT
100
328
PIN
Submit
- pop-up
SCC
100
460
PIN
Submit
78
3.
-
Submit
$
$ Buy / Sell $
$
$
79
4.
-
1
1.
$ $ Cancel
2. PIN No.
3. Confirm Cancel
4.
$
4
80
5. Portfolio
/
81
6.
- 3-Bid 3-Offer
$
(Bid)
$
(Offer) 3
$
82
7. Ticker
Market Sentiment
83
8. Quote
$
84
9. Set Preference -
85
$ (Good Advice)
$ $ $ (Best Execution)
$
$
$ $ $ /
86
()
CLASS
C Capital
$
$
L License
$
...
A Advice
/ $
S System & Control $
S Staff
$
87
$ $
$
$
( Confirm) (Statement)
Back Office
$
88
$ $ $ ()
1.
2. $ $ $ $
3. Confirm Statement $
Back Office
4.
5. $ $ Back Office
89
()
DONTs ...
1. $
$
2. $
$ $
3.
$ $
4. $ (Blank Form)
5.
$
6. $
7. $ $
90
1. :
2. :
3. :
$ / /
$ $ $
91
1. $
/
$ / $$
2. $
3. $
4.
92