Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 188

INTRODUCTION TO

THE MORAL PHILOSOPHY OF TECHNOLOGY:


FOCUS ON COMPUTING SCIENCE

CMPT 320

How valuable is television to


education?

QUESTIONS:
2

How valuable is television to


education?
It was originally conceived as the
ultimate technology of mass education.

ANYONE WHO TRIES TO MAKE A DISTINCTION


BETWEEN EDUCATION AND ENTERTAINMENT
DOESN'T KNOW THE FIRST THING ABOUT EITHER.
-MARSHALL MCLUHAN

Should every home have a telephone?

QUESTIONS:
5

Should every home have a telephone?


The telephone is so important, every
city will need one!

-Anonymous
6

THE MAJOR ADVANCES IN SPEED OF


COMMUNICATION AND ABILITY TO INTERACT TOOK
PLACE MORE THAN A CENTURY AGO. THE SHIFT
FROM SAILING SHIPS TO TELEGRAPH WAS FAR MORE
RADICAL THAN THAT FROM TELEPHONE TO EMAIL!
-NOAM CHOMSKY

QUESTIONS:
8

Should every home have a computer?

Should every home have a computer?

There is no reason for any individual to have a


computer in their home.
- Ken Olson, Pres. DEC

WE ALL WOULD LIKE TO KNOW MORE AND, AT THE SAME TIME, TO


RECEIVE LESS INFORMATION. IN FACT, THE PROBLEM OF A WORKER IN
TODAY'S KNOWLEDGE INDUSTRY IS NOT THE SCARCITY OF
INFORMATION BUT ITS EXCESS. THE SAME HOLDS FOR PROFESSIONALS:
JUST THINK OF A PHYSICIAN OR AN EXECUTIVE, CONSTANTLY
BOMBARDED BY INFORMATION THAT IS AT BEST IRRELEVANT. IN ORDER
TO LEARN ANYTHING WE NEED TIME. AND TO MAKE TIME WE MUST USE
INFORMATION FILTERS ALLOWING US TO IGNORE MOST OF THE
INFORMATION AIMED AT US.

WE MUST IGNORE MUCH TO LEARN A

LITTLE.

-MARIO AUGUSTO BUNGE

10

Did anyone predict the ubiquity of computers?

QUESTIONS:
11

Did anyone predict the ubiquity of computers?


I think there is a world market for maybe five
computers.
-Thomas Watson, Chair. IBM (Not Verfied)

12

I THINK THERE IS A WORLD MARKET FOR


MAYBE FIVE COMPUTERS.
-THOMAS WATSON, CHAIR. IBM

13

MODERN TECHNOLOGY HAS BECOME A TOTAL


PHENOMENON FOR CIVILIZATION, THE DEFINING
FORCE OF A NEW SOCIAL ORDER IN WHICH
EFFICIENCY IS NO LONGER AN OPTION BUT A
NECESSITY IMPOSED ON ALL HUMAN ACTIVITY.

JACQUES ELLUL

14

PRELIMINARY CONCLUSION:

Technological prediction is difficult:


We do not know exactly where we are headed.
Instead, market forces appear to be herding
consumers in the current epoch.
15

WHEN WAS THE STEAM ENGINE INVENTED?

16

WHEN WAS THE STEAM ENGINE INVENTED?

17

http://www.ancient-origins.net/ancient-technology/ten-amazing-inventions-ancient-times-001539?nopaging=1

WHEN WAS THE MAGNIFYING GLASS INVENTED?

18

WHEN WAS THE MAGNIFYING GLASS INVENTED?

19

http://www.ancient-origins.net/ancient-technology/ten-amazing-inventions-ancient-times-001539?nopaging=1

WHEN WAS THE SEISMOMETER INVENTED?

20

WHEN WAS THE SEISMOMETER INVENTED?

21

http://www.ancient-origins.net/ancient-technology/ten-amazing-inventions-ancient-times-001539?nopaging=1

ANOTHER PRELIMINARY CONCLUSION

The prevalent view of technology is misguided.

22

ANOTHER PRELIMINARY CONCLUSION

The prevalent view of technology is misguided.


In fact, what is technology?

23

"THE WORLD WE HAVE CREATED IS A PRODUCT

OF OUR THINKING;

IT CANNOT BE CHANGED WITHOUT CHANGING OUR THINKING.".


- ALBERT EINSTEIN, 1946

24

QUESTIONING OUR RAPIDLY EVOLVING


TECHNOLOGICAL SOCIETY

25

QUESTIONING OUR RAPIDLY EVOLVING


TECHNOLOGICAL SOCIETY
Attention: Does technology affect capacity to pay attention?
Does the quantity of data affect our ability to respond?
Limits: Does reliance on technology affect community standards,
mors, taboos? Is it addictive or does it affect other addictive
behavior?
Engagement: Does technology use raise expectations of self and
others about how much we can accomplish and how quickly? Do
speedy encounters make conflicts and misunderstandings more
likely?
Relationships: What is the impact of increasing dependence on
mediated communications on relationships and communities?
Are people more isolated, disconnected, lonely?
Time: How much time does technology consume to use, to fix,
to maintain? What does such time displace? Does technology
change our perception of time?
Space: What are the implications of disconnecting meaningful
presence from the location of our bodies? Does technology
emphasize the distant instead of the close by?

Arthur Boers

26

QUESTIONING OUR RAPIDLY EVOLVING


TECHNOLOGICAL SOCIETY
Attention: Does technology affect capacity to pay attention?
Does the quantity of data affect our ability to respond?
Limits: Does reliance on technology affect community
standards, mors, taboos? Is it addictive or does it affect other
addictive behavior?
Engagement: Does technology use raise expectations of self and
others about how much we can accomplish and how quickly? Do
speedy encounters make conflicts and misunderstandings more
likely?
Relationships: What is the impact of increasing dependence on
mediated communications on relationships and communities?
Are people more isolated, disconnected, lonely?
Time: How much time does technology consume to use, to fix,
to maintain? What does such time displace? Does technology
change our perception of time?
Space: What are the implications of disconnecting meaningful
presence from the location of our bodies? Does technology
emphasize the distant instead of the close by?

Arthur Boers

27

QUESTIONING OUR RAPIDLY EVOLVING


TECHNOLOGICAL SOCIETY
Attention: Does technology affect capacity to pay attention?
Does the quantity of data affect our ability to respond?
Limits: Does reliance on technology affect community
standards, mors, taboos? Is it addictive or does it affect other
addictive behavior?
Engagement: Does technology use raise expectations of self
and others about how much we can accomplish and how
quickly? Do speedy encounters make conflicts and
misunderstandings more likely?
Relationships: What is the impact of increasing dependence on
mediated communications on relationships and communities?
Are people more isolated, disconnected, lonely?
Time: How much time does technology consume to use, to fix,
to maintain? What does such time displace? Does technology
change our perception of time?
Space: What are the implications of disconnecting meaningful
presence from the location of our bodies? Does technology
emphasize the distant instead of the close by?

Arthur Boers

28

QUESTIONING OUR RAPIDLY EVOLVING


TECHNOLOGICAL SOCIETY
Attention: Does technology affect capacity to pay attention?
Does the quantity of data affect our ability to respond?
Limits: Does reliance on technology affect community
standards, mors, taboos? Is it addictive or does it affect other
addictive behavior?
Engagement: Does technology use raise expectations of self
and others about how much we can accomplish and how
quickly? Do speedy encounters make conflicts and
misunderstandings more likely?
Relationships: What is the impact of increasing dependence
on mediated communications on relationships and
communities? Are people more isolated, disconnected, lonely?
Time: How much time does technology consume to use, to fix,
to maintain? What does such time displace? Does technology
change our perception of time?
Space: What are the implications of disconnecting meaningful
presence from the location of our bodies? Does technology
emphasize the distant instead of the close by?

Arthur Boers

29

QUESTIONING OUR RAPIDLY EVOLVING


TECHNOLOGICAL SOCIETY
Attention: Does technology affect capacity to pay attention?
Does the quantity of data affect our ability to respond?
Limits: Does reliance on technology affect community
standards, mors, taboos? Is it addictive or does it affect other
addictive behavior?
Engagement: Does technology use raise expectations of self
and others about how much we can accomplish and how
quickly? Do speedy encounters make conflicts and
misunderstandings more likely?
Relationships: What is the impact of increasing dependence
on mediated communications on relationships and
communities? Are people more isolated, disconnected, lonely?
Time: How much time does technology consume to use, to fix,
to maintain? What does such time displace? Does technology
change our perception of time?
Space: What are the implications of disconnecting meaningful
presence from the location of our bodies? Does technology
emphasize the distant instead of the close by?

Arthur Boers

30

QUESTIONING OUR RAPIDLY EVOLVING


TECHNOLOGICAL SOCIETY

Attention: Does technology affect capacity to pay attention?


Does the quantity of data affect our ability to respond?
Limits: Does reliance on technology affect community
standards, mors, taboos? Is it addictive or does it affect other
addictive behavior?
Engagement: Does technology use raise expectations of self
and others about how much we can accomplish and how
quickly? Do speedy encounters make conflicts and
misunderstandings more likely?
Relationships: What is the impact of increasing dependence
on mediated communications on relationships and
communities? Are people more isolated, disconnected, lonely?
Time: How much time does technology consume to use, to
fix, to maintain? What does such time displace? Does
technology change our perception of time?
Space: What are the implications of disconnecting
meaningful presence from the location of our bodies? Does
technology emphasize the distant instead of the close by?

Arthur Boers - http://ethix.org/2011/06/26/new-questions-on-the-impact-of-technology

31

32

weforum.org

33

weforum.org

34

35

36

37

38

Author: Kristel van der Elst is head of Strategic Foresight at the World Economic Forum.

ISSUES RELATING TO
THE RELATIONSHIP OF
TECHNOLOGY TO LAW
AND TO CIVIL LIBERTIES

39

40

https://www.technologyreview.com/s/526401/laws-and-ethics-cant-keep-pace-with-technology/

41

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1926431

CIVIL RIGHTS PRINCIPLES FOR THE ERA OF BIG DATA


Technological progress should bring greater safety, economic opportunity, and convenience to everyone. And the
collection of new types of data is essential for documenting persistent inequality and discrimination. At the same
time, as new technologies allow companies and government to gain greater insight into our lives, it is vitally
important that these technologies be designed and used in ways that respect the values of equal opportunity and
equal justice. We aim to:

Stop High-Tech Profiling. New surveillance tools and data gathering techniques that can assemble detailed information
about any person or group create a heightened risk of profiling and discrimination. Clear limitations and robust audit
mechanisms are necessary to make sure that if these tools are used it is in a responsible and equitable way.
Ensure Fairness in Automated Decisions. Computerized decision making in areas such as employment, health,
education, and lending must be judged by its impact on real people, must operate fairly for all communities, and in
particular must protect the interests of those that are disadvantaged or that have historically been the subject of
discrimination. Systems that are blind to the preexisting disparities faced by such communities can easily reach decisions
that reinforce existing inequities. Independent review and other remedies may be necessary to assure that a system works
fairly.

Preserve Constitutional Principles. Search warrants and other independent oversight of law enforcement are
particularly important for communities of color and for religious and ethnic minorities, who often face disproportionate
scrutiny. Government databases must not be allowed to undermine core legal protections, including those of privacy and
freedom of association.
Enhance Individual Control of Personal Information. Personal information that is known to a corporation such as
the moment-to-moment record of a persons movements or communications can easily be used by companies and the
government against vulnerable populations, including women, the formerly incarcerated, immigrants, religious minorities,
the LGBT community, and young people. Individuals should have meaningful, flexible control over how a corporation
gathers data from them, and how it uses and shares that data. Non-public information should not be disclosed to the
government without judicial process.
Protect People from Inaccurate Data. Government and corporate databases must allow everyone including the
urban and rural poor, people with disabilities, seniors, and people who lack access to the Internet to appropriately
ensure the accuracy of personal information that is used to make important decisions about them. This requires disclosure
42
of the underlying data, and the right to correct it when inaccurate.

http://www.civilrights.org/press/2014/civil-rights-principles-bigdata.html?referrer=http://www.techrepublic.com/article/disruptive-technologies-pose-difficult-ethical-questions-for-society/

THE ROLE OF ACADEMIA

43

THE ROLE OF ACADEMIA

44

IMPORTANT PRELIMINARY CONCLUSION

It is foolish to be blindly optimistic of technology.


45

THIS STUDY IS VAST

46

47

48

49

50

51

52

53

54

55

56

57

58

59

60

61

62

63

64

65

YOU ARE NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR THESE QUESTIONS.


They are NOT based upon expert consensus.
They are meant to preview the sort of issues of
concern in todays technological society.
However, you should have the flavor of them
you should be able to come up with similar ones.

66

PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE

67

PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE: MORAL PHILOSOPHY

68

PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE: MORAL PHILOSOPHY

69

PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE: MORAL PHILOSOPHY

70

PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE: MORAL PHILOSOPHY


Mary Shelley makes full use of themes that were
popular during the time she wrote Frankenstein. She
is concerned with the use of knowledge for good or
evil purposes, the invasion of technology into modern
life, the treatment of the poor or uneducated, and
the restorative powers of nature in the face of
unnatural events.

71

http://www.cliffsnotes.com/

PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE: MORAL PHILOSOPHY


Godzilla 1954

72

http://www.godzilla-movies.com/

WHAT IS MORALITY?

73

WHAT IS MORALITY?

74

75

http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/morality-definition/

76

http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/morality-definition/

QUESTION

What is the difference between ethics and morality?

77

DEFINITION: ETHICS
Ethics, sometimes known as philosophical ethics, ethical
theory, moral theory, and moral philosophy, is a branch
of philosophy that involves systematizing, defending and
recommending concepts of right and wrong conduct, often
addressing disputes of moral diversity.
Morals are the principles on which ones judgments of right and
wrong are based. Ethics are principles of right conduct. So the
two nouns are closely related and are often interchangeable. The
main difference is that morals are more abstract, subjective, and
often personal or religion-based, while ethics are more practical,
conceived as shared principles promoting fairness in social and
business interactions. For example, a politicians sex scandal may
involve a moral lapse (a subjective judgment), while a politician
taking money from a company he is supposed to regulate is an
ethical problem. But of course, both ethics and morals may have
a part in both situations.
78

DEFINITION: ETHICS
Ethics, sometimes known as philosophical ethics, ethical
theory, moral theory, and moral philosophy, is a branch
of philosophy that involves systematizing, defending and
recommending concepts of right and wrong conduct, often
addressing disputes of moral diversity.
Morals are the principles on which ones judgments of right and
wrong are based. Ethics are principles of right conduct. So the
two nouns are closely related and are often interchangeable. The
main difference is that morals are more abstract, subjective, and
often personal or religion-based, while ethics are more practical,
conceived as shared principles promoting fairness in social and
business interactions. For example, a politicians sex scandal may
involve a moral lapse (a subjective judgment), while a politician
taking money from a company he is supposed to regulate is an
ethical problem. But of course, both ethics and morals may have
a part in both situations.
79

DEFINITION: ETHICS
Ethics, sometimes known as philosophical ethics, ethical
theory, moral theory, and moral philosophy, is a branch
of philosophy that involves systematizing, defending and
recommending concepts of right and wrong conduct, often
addressing disputes of moral diversity.
Morals are the principles on which ones judgments of right and
wrong are based. Ethics are principles of right conduct. So the
two nouns are closely related and are often interchangeable. The
main difference is that morals are more abstract, subjective, and
often personal or religion-based, while ethics are more practical,
conceived as shared principles promoting fairness in social and
business interactions. For example, a politicians sex scandal may
involve a moral lapse (a subjective judgment), while a politician
taking money from a company he is supposed to regulate is an
ethical problem. But of course, both ethics and morals may have
a part in both situations.
80

81

http://values-knowledge-base.blogspot.ca/2011/12/whats-difference-between-values-ethics.html

QUESTIONS FOR TECHNOCRATS

82

QUESTIONS FOR TECHNOCRATS

Who is responsible for these inventions?

83

QUESTIONS FOR TECHNOCRATS

Is Big Brother real or fiction?

84

QUESTIONS FOR TECHNOCRATS

What is your role in Global Environmental Change?

85

GENERAL PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE

86

GENERAL PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE

Computational technology is an immensely powerful


element of society and a driver of social change.

87

GENERAL PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE


Computational technology is an immensely powerful
element of society and a driver of social change.
We are key individuals that underlie its evolution.

88

GENERAL PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE


Computational technology is an immensely powerful
element of society and a driver of social change.
We are key individuals that underlie its evolution.
You may not see the value of this course as an
undergraduate but, hopefully, you will learn to
appreciate it as your careers advance.

89

GENERAL PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE


Computational technology is an immensely powerful
element of society and a driver of social change.
We are key individuals that underlie its evolution.
You may not see the value of this course as an
undergraduate but, hopefully, you will learn to
appreciate it as your careers advance.
Some CS alumni consider it the most important course
of their undergraduate education.

90

GENERAL PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE

Introducing the student of computing science to their


role as moral philosopher regarding potent
technologies.

91

GENERAL PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE

Introducing the student of computing science to their


role as moral philosopher regarding potent
technologies.
A university degree suggests breadth in knowledge
and skilled communication and ability to think
critically.

92

GENERAL PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE

Introducing the student of computing science to their


role as moral philosopher regarding potent
technologies.
A university degree suggests breadth in knowledge
and skilled communication and ability to think
critically.
Non-convergent research experience.

93

GENERAL PURPOSE OF THIS COURSE

Introducing the student of computing science to their


role as moral philosopher regarding potent
technologies.
A university degree suggests breadth in knowledge
and skilled communication and ability to think
critically.
Non-convergent research experience.
We choose to approach this topic from the scientific
perspective (i.e., memetics and nonlinear systems).

94

MANDATORY HOMEWORK
Please watch this entire twelve-part tutorial on nonlinear systems for next time:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=756Prp8THiM&list=PLsJWgOB5mIMDL4AVYAxG05IE3zL5Z9weW&nohtml5=False

95

OVERVIEW
TODAY (motivation)
WHAT is sociotechnology?
WHY is it an important field of study?
Scope of affect (WHO, WHERE, and WHEN)

96

OVERVIEW
TODAY (motivation)
WHAT is sociotechnology?
WHY is it an important field of study?
Scope of affect (WHO, WHERE, and WHEN)
BODY OF COURSE
HOW do we study it? (Scientifically?)
The study itself (broken into philosophical
domains due to our lack of knowledge).
Conclusions.

97

AN UNCOMMON TERM

98

WHAT IS SOCIOTECHNOLOGY?
Sociotechnology

Sociology

Social Change

Applied Science?

Computing Science (this course)

NB: This is not universally accepted nomenclature, but think


of words like socioeconomics.

99

IS TECHNOLOGY APPLIED SCIENCE?

The Nature of Technological Knowledge


- Laudan, 1984.

100

Our Focus in This Course

101

Our Focus in This Course

Poor title. Why?

102

ACM

103

104

105

Steven. Arent you


teaching that wishywashy course now?
-

Alistair Lachlan, 1999


Mathematics Chair

106

COURSE THESIS STATEMENT


What is the relationship between
sociocultural change and
computational technology?
(from a scientific perspective and not from
the humanities ideological perspective)
107

IDEOLOGY VERSUS SCIENCE THE HOW

Science is not intended to be an ideology:


Science purports to describe how the world is.
Ideology is how the world should be (value-laden).

108

IDEOLOGY VERSUS SCIENCE

Science is not intended to be an ideology:


Science purports to describe how the world is.
Ideology is how the world should be (value-laden).

109

IDEOLOGY VERSUS SCIENCE

Science is not intended to be an ideology:


Science purports to describe how the world is.
Ideology is how the world should be (value-laden).

This is highly contentious:

110

IDEOLOGY VERSUS SCIENCE

Science is not intended to be an ideology:


Science purports to describe how the world is.
Ideology is how the world should be (value-laden).

This is highly contentious:

See http://www.centerforinquiry.net/blogs/entry/is_science_or_naturalism_an_ideology/
for an opposing argument that science is NOT ideological.

111

THE PROMETHEAN WARNING

112

THE PROMETHEAN WARNING THE WHY

Consider the Greek legend of Prometheus who, according to Greek legend,


brought the gift of fire to humanity (there is both a benevolent side and a 113
malevolent side of the gift it can warm your home, but also destroy it if used
without careful foresight).

SOME TECHNOLOGICAL GIFTS


The printing press (15th Century)
-

Mass dissemination of
information, written language,
and education of the masses
(quite possibly the true
beginning of the so-called
Information Age)

114

SOME TECHNOLOGICAL GIFTS


The printing press (15th Century)
-

Mass dissemination of
information, written language,
and education of the masses
(quite possibly the true beginning
of the so-called Information Age)

Mass dissemination of
misinformation (according to the
Church)

115

SOME TECHNOLOGICAL GIFTS


The automobile (early 20th Century)
-

A new clean technology


(eliminated the horse dung
problem)

This began a human lifetime ago


116

SOME TECHNOLOGICAL GIFTS


The automobile (early 20th Century)
-

A new clean technology


(eliminated the horse dung
problem)

Introduced a new form of


pollution (few imagined the
omnipresence of the car).

117

Roads rather than geography are determining


the spatial distribution of human population.

There are more than


4 million miles of roads
118
just in the US
today.

SOME TECHNOLOGICAL GIFTS


Project Y - Manhattan Project (Fall, 1942)
- A tool to bring an end to global war and to stop evil doers
from doing evil.

119

SOME TECHNOLOGICAL GIFTS

Project Y - Manhattan Project (Fall, 1942)


-

A tool to bring an end to global war and to stop


evil doers from doing evil.
A technology that could extinguish all higher
forms of life on a global scale.
Many scientists working on the Manhattan Project
had serious misgivings about developing the bomb,
but what if the Nazis had developed it first?

NOTE: Project PX ENIAC (Spring, 1943)

120

TEMPORAL PERSPECTIVE THE WHEN

the first recognition of the social


responsibilities of computer people seems to have
been a letter sent to the editors of the magazine
Computers and Automation during the late
1950s! (from Berkeley, 1962)

121

TEMPORAL PERSPECTIVE

the first recognition of the social


responsibilities of computer people seems to have
been a letter sent to the editors of the magazine
Computers and Automation during the late
1950s! (from Berkeley, 1962)
The theme was overshadowed by the nuclear
age

122

TEMPORAL PERSPECTIVE

the first recognition of the social


responsibilities of computer people seems to have
been a letter sent to the editors of the magazine
Computers and Automation during the late
1950s! (from Berkeley, 1962)
The theme was overshadowed by the nuclear
age
Today, we focus on privacy in the West.

123

MORE HOMEWORK:
PLEASE READ BERKELEY
124

OF PROMETHEUS AND NEO-LUDDITES

125

KOYAANISQATSI

This film was a precedent-setter in the early 1980s.

126

KOYAANISQATSI
This film was a precedent-setter in the early 1980s.
It was inspired by Jacques Ellul a famous French
sociologist who warned against the current, unbridled
period of unprecedented technological advancement.

127

KOYAANISQATSI
This film was a precedent-setter in the early 1980s.
It was inspired by Jacques Ellul a famous French
sociologist who warned against the current, unbridled
period of unprecedented technological advancement.
It is meant to test your boundaries it is not meant as
entertainment and it fits the premise of this course like
a glove.

128

KOYAANISQATSI
This film was a precedent-setter in the early 1980s.
It was inspired by Jacques Ellul a famous French
sociologist who warned against the current, unbridled
period of unprecedented technological advancement.
It is meant to test your boundaries it is not meant as
entertainment and it fits the premise of this course like
a glove.
It is meant as an alternative way of inspiring the
student to think about the subject rather than mere
lecture notes.

129

KOYAANISQATSI
If you found it difficult to watch, then youve been
challenged.
If something hurts to experience, then you are
growing.
Broaden your mind challenge your own
preconceptions.
Critical thinking necessarily entails taking the
opposing view in an argument, as well as
exercising systematic, rational thought.

130

BRIEF CLASS EXERCISE


Enumerate the factors that are expected to have the
greatest social impact during the 21st century.

131

AN INDUSTRIAL RESEARCH STUDY...


A

survey of the 24 technologies expected to


have the greatest impact in the 21st century
(i.e., materials science, microelectronics,
genetic engineering, etc.)
MAJOR FINDING: 18 of the 24 technologies
are impossible without software

- Pressman, 1988
132

ISC/CSIRO AUGUST 1999 (AU)


Information Technology
Biotechnology
Nanotechnology
Microelectronics
Telecommunications (including photonics)
Environmental Management
Materials Technologies

133

TECHNOLOGY REVIEW (JAN-FEB, 2001)


Brain-Machine

Interfaces
Flexible Transistors
Data Mining
Digital Rights Management
Biometrics
Natural Language Processing
Microphotonics
Untangling Code
Robot Design
Microfluidics

134

SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN, DEC. 1999

Look it up on the web


www.sciam.com

135

SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN, DEC. 1999

Look it up on the web

Mostly concerned with scientific advancement,


but includes How the Brain Creates the Mind,
and Rise of Robots.
136

IMMEDIATE CONCLUSION

Computational technology is a significant factor of


contemporary society.

137

IMMEDIATE CONCLUSION

Computational technology is a significant factor of


contemporary society.

There is another important factor to consider

138

FUTURE SHOCK
Title of a popular book written by sociologist Alvin
Toffler
Thesis: Can individuals keep up with the
accelerating rate of change?
In futures studies and the history of technology,
accelerating change is a perceived increase
technology in the rate of technological change
throughout history, which may suggest faster and
more profound change in the future and it may or
may not be accompanied by equally profound social
and cultural change (Wikipedia).

139

140

WHO, WHERE, AND WHEN?


GLOBAL POPULATION (Linear Plot)
7000

2011
* 2000

Millions of People

6000
5000
4000

3000

Industrial Revolution begins


2000
1000
0
-12000

-10000

-8000

-6000

-4000

Year

-2000

141
0

2000

4000

142

1960s

2000s

143

144

The Where

145

http://imgur.com/Dv4RVvp

FUTURE UNCERTAINTY

A Doomsday
Scenario

146

HUMAN ENERGY CONSUMPTION

147

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=81Zb0pJa3Hg

AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGICAL OPTIMISM:

148

ARE WE IN A REVOLUTIONARY
TECHNOLOGICAL PERIOD?
The impact of computers on our society was
probably best seen when in 1982 Time magazine
picked the computer as its "Man of the Year,"
actually listing it as "Machine of the Year." It is
hard to imagine a picture of the Spirit of St. Louis
or an Apollo lander on the magazine cover under a
banner "Machine of the Year." This perhaps shows
how influential the computer has become in our
society.
149

http://www.leaderu.com/orgs/probe/docs/computer.html

THE FIRST 25 YEARS OF THE ELECTRONIC


DIGITAL COMPUTER

150

MOORES LAW
In 1965, an engineer at Fairchild
Semiconductor named Gordon Moore noted that
the number of transistors on a chip doubled
every 18 to 24 months.
A corollary to Moores Law, as that observation
came to be know, is that the speed of
microprocessors, at a constant cost, also doubles
every 18 to 24 months.
It is nothing unique exponential growth is
typical of socioeconomic development (as we shall
examine later)

151

MOORES LAW
In 1965, an engineer at Fairchild
Semiconductor named Gordon Moore noted that
the number of transistors on a chip doubled
every 18 to 24 months.
A corollary to Moores Law, as that
observation came to be know, is that the speed
of microprocessors, at a constant cost, also
doubles every 18 to 24 months.
It is nothing unique exponential growth is
typical of socioeconomic development (as we shall
examine later)

152

MOORES LAW

In 1965, an engineer at Fairchild


Semiconductor named Gordon Moore noted that
the number of transistors on a chip doubled
every 18 to 24 months.
A corollary to Moores Law, as that
observation came to be know, is that the speed
of microprocessors, at a constant cost, also
doubles every 18 to 24 months.
It is nothing unique exponential growth is
typical of socioeconomic development (as we
shall examine later).
153

THE SO-CALLED COMPUTER


REVOLUTION
Computing power (processing speed) has been
rising exponentially.
Storage power (memory) has been rising
exponentially.
Miniaturization (We are down to the quantum
level)

154

GROWTH OF THE INTERNET


45000000
40000000
35000000
30000000
25000000
20000000
15000000

562

10000000
5000000
0

83

85

87

89

91

93

95

97

99
155

156

http://www.edudemic.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/Internet-minute.jpg

157

HTTPS://ANSWERS.YAHOO.COM/QUESTION/INDEX?QID=20100615200344AA14YMU

ON THE OTHER HAND

158

ON THE OTHER HAND

159

ON THE OTHER HAND

160

ASIDE ON EXPONENTIAL GROWTH


If an observer today was to measure this rate of
increase, it would be straightforward to
extrapolate backwards and work out when the
number of transistors on a chip was zero. In
other words, the date when microchips were first
developed in the 1960s.
A similar process works with scientific
publications. Between 1990 and 1960, they
doubled in number every 15 years or so.
Extrapolating this backwards gives the origin of
scientific publication as 1710, about the time of
Isaac Newton.

161

ASIDE ON EXPONENTIAL GROWTH


Knowledge doubles every eight years
(http://www.leaderu.com/orgs/probe/docs/computer.html)
.
When did knowledge begin?

162

ASIDE ON EXPONENTIAL GROWTH


Knowledge doubles every eight years
(http://www.leaderu.com/orgs/probe/docs/computer.html).
When did knowledge begin?
When did life begin?

163

ASIDE ON EXPONENTIAL GROWTH


Knowledge doubles every eight years
(http://www.leaderu.com/orgs/probe/docs/computer.html)
.
When did knowledge begin?
When did life begin?

164

ASIDE ON EXPONENTIAL GROWTH


Knowledge doubles every eight years
(http://www.leaderu.com/orgs/probe/docs/compute
r.html).
When did knowledge begin?
When did life begin?

165

ARE WE FACING A UNPRECEDENTED PROBLEM?


GLOBAL POPULATION (Linear Plot)

Millions of People

7000

Calculate how long will it take


before homo sapiens inhabits the
landmass of Earth like trees with
standing room only?

2011
* 2000

6000
5000
4000

3000
2000
1000
0
-12000

-10000

-8000

-6000

-4000

Year

-2000

166
0

2000

4000

AERONAUTICAL TECHNOLOGY

Compare and contrast over 50 years of


technological change 1900s-1950s:

167

AERONAUTICAL TECHNOLOGY

Compare and contrast over 50 years of


technological change 1950s-2000s:

168

http://idlewords.com/talks/web_design_first_100_years.htm

AERONAUTICAL TECHNOLOGY

Compare and contrast over 50 years of


technological change 1950s-2000s:

Why arent we flying at


supersonic speeds?

169

http://idlewords.com/talks/web_design_first_100_years.htm

EXTREME CLAIMS

Computational technology will soon allow us


to outperform the human brain
Will Spiritual Robots Replace Humanity by
2100?
-

Kurzweil, 1999

Is there a real possibility of social


disorientation from HAL 9000-like machines?
Some scholars place this futurists topic as
tantamount to concerns over privacy

170

WHAT HAS THE COMPUTER ALLOWED US TO DO


THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY IMPOSSIBLE?
CALCULATOR EXERCISE:
EXAMINE THE BEHAVIOR OF

xt+1 = kxt , and


xt+1 = kxt (1 xt)
THE LATTER EQUATION BEING THE SO-CALLED LOGISTIC MAP

171

DOORS OPENED BY COMPUTERS

Intellectual discoveries
Mathematical modeling (weather, climate,
governmental policy based on PDEs.)
Space flight
Massive data storage
Communications
Etc

Virtually every area of life is affected!


Hence, we will approach this
philosophically.

172

GLOBAL CRISIS: CAN TECHNOLOGY BAIL US OUT?

173

http://www.wri.org/blog/2013/12/world%E2%80%99s-36-most-water-stressed-countries

IMPORTANT CONCLUSIONS

Social organization is a natural, complex physical


system and is arguably nonlinear.

174

IMPORTANT CONCLUSIONS
Social organization is a natural, complex physical
system and is arguably nonlinear.
Prediction is possible only in hypothesized linear
regimes (note that bubbles are a nonlinear
phenomenon such as Moores Law).

175

IMPORTANT CONCLUSIONS
Social organization is a natural, complex physical
system and is arguably nonlinear.
Prediction is possible only in hypothesized linear
regimes (note that bubbles are a nonlinear
phenomenon such as Moores Law).
Otherwise, accurately predicting the long-term
future of, say, technology is largely impossible in
the case of full nonlinearity (sensitivity to ICs?).

176

IMPORTANT CONCLUSIONS
Social organization is a natural, complex physical
system and is arguably nonlinear.
Prediction is possible only in hypothesized linear
regimes (note that bubbles are a nonlinear
phenomenon such as Moores Law).
Otherwise, accurately predicting the long-term
future of, say, technology is largely impossible in
the case of full nonlinearity (how could one tell?).
Moreover, one can never know all factors
(inadequate specification) such as the success of a
marketing campaign (i.e., VHS over BETAMAX).

177

178

http://www.computinghistory.org.uk/pages/218/Historical-Quotes/

179

http://www.computinghistory.org.uk/pages/218/Historical-Quotes/

180

http://www.computinghistory.org.uk/pages/218/Historical-Quotes/

181

http://www.computinghistory.org.uk/pages/218/Historical-Quotes/

182

http://www.computinghistory.org.uk/pages/218/Historical-Quotes/

ANY QUOTE FROM BILL GATES IS CONTENTIOUS!


183

http://www.computinghistory.org.uk/pages/218/Historical-Quotes/

TENTATIVE SYLLABUS

Based on philosophical domains.

184

TENTATIVE SYLLABUS

Based on philosophical domains.


We will begin with overviews of both technology and
social science (the core subject matter of this course is
social change).

185

TENTATIVE SYLLABUS

Based on philosophical domains.


We will begin with overviews of both technology and
social science (the core subject matter of this course is
social change).
There are popular areas in the literature that we will
address as well, such as privacy, social policy and AI.

186

FUNDAMENTAL QUESTIONS
What is technology?
Moreover, what constitutes a good definition?
What are the limitations of science?
Is a scientific theory of society and technology possible?
Will knowing right from wrong deter us in aspiring
to our careers?
What prediction is possible?

187

PRESENTATION TERMINATED

188

You might also like