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Inventive Pricing of Urban Public Transport
Inventive Pricing of Urban Public Transport
Nils Fearnley
Institute of transport economics, Oslo, Norway. naf@toi.no
SUMMARY
When urban public transport subsidies are less than optimal, or being cut,
operators become more dependent on passenger receipts to finance their
operations. The question then is: how can urban public transport increase
ticket revenues and at the same time maintain service levels, passenger
numbers and market shares?
A strategy to improve pricing efficiency in order to minimise welfare loss, is to
differentiate fares actively. Fares should ideally reflect the variations in
marginal costs at different times of the day and different sections of the
network. And, since operators face budget constraints, fares should be related
to different groups of passengers' price elasticities. The basis for such pricing
is the theory of Ramsey pricing which again is developed from price
discrimination and economic welfare theory. The goals of inventive pricing are
to recover costs efficiently and at the same time to maintain passenger
numbers and market shares.
An important finding is that season tickets in their current form in most
countries should be phased out. With season tickets extra trips are perceived
as free to the passengers whilst in fact it can be costly, especially during the
rush hours, for the operator to produce that extra trip.
The paper brings together a number of international examples of urban public
transport pricing strategies that are associable with efficient pricing. The
examples are taken from European, North American and Asian urban public
transport systems. The most common form of inventive pricing is time
differentiation (peak pricing). Among the more inventive pricing strategies are
collectors' tickets, surcharges on higher quality services, mode choice pricing,
and even route-choice pricing.
2
benefits and corrections for under-priced private transport pull in the direction
of lower fares.
Figure 1, made from a selection of cities of the UITP's Millennium Cities
database, illustrates the fact that almost any subsidy level is possible (but not
necessarily optimal). Traffic revenues are greater than operating costs in the
three cities farthest to the right in the figure. In other words, they need no
operating subsidies. To the left in the figure we see that subsidy levels must
exceed 60 percent of the costs in a number of cities, because traffic revenues
cover less than 40 percent of the costs.
75 %
50 %
25 %
Brussels
Perth
Amsterdam
Prague
Melbourne
Milan
Berlin
Tel Aviv
Lyon
Stockholm
Montreal
Washington
Brisbane
Vienna
Calgary
Athens
Zurich
Vancouver
Nantes
Marseille
Bologna
Munich
Dusseldorf
Budapest
Ottawa
Hamburg
Berne
Helsinki
Glasgow
Newcastle
Wellington
Manchester
Geneva
Frankfurt
Copenhagen
Sydney
Oslo
Stuttgart
Graz
Sapporo
Curitiba
Barcelona
Singapore
Average
0%
Ticket sales
Subsidies
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
0,50
1994
0%
1993
0,75
1992
25 %
1991
1,00
1990
50 %
1989
1,25
1988
75 %
1987
1,50
1986
100 %
Dublin
Oxford
Bern
Lyon
La Rochelle
Sundsvall
100 %
50 %
-100 %
Average
-50 %
Lisbon
Budapest
Oslo
London bus
Bergen
Turku
Poznan
Groningen
rhus
Paris (RATP)
Barcelona
Hague
Athens
Copenhagen
KAN
Triste
0%
3.1
Marginal costs are relatively stable and low as long as passenger numbers
are well below the public transport system's capacity. In the short run,
however, there is limited room for increases in capacity to meet increased
design capacity demand. Hence, short run marginal costs (SRMC) increase
dramatically (or even infinitely). In addition, social SRMC increases as a result
of passengers' disbenefit of crowding as well (which also brings costs to the
operator who spends more time at stops).
In the longer run, however, system capacity can be adjusted with new
investments, and there is no sharp increase in marginal costs at a certain
point of demand like we see in the short run. Marginal costs are still higher
during the rush periods than off peak. The reason is, i.a. the fact that bus fleet
and personnel cannot be utilised as efficiently to serve rush peaks as they can
outside the peak periods. For example, within the period between 6am and
9am in the morning there can be a very sharp top, which lasts for maybe 30
minutes. Much of the bus fleet and personnel that are used to serve these
passengers can only be used for one single roundtrip. Figure 4 is a simplified
illustration of how extra buses and personnel are left unutilised between the
peak periods.
In sum, and regardless of whether our time horizon is long or short, peak
passengers are associated with higher marginal costs and should be priced
higher than off peak passengers.
Service level
Base services
Extra rush services
0
Time of day
Figure 4: Illustrative example of how service levels are adjusted across the
operating hours of a day in order to serve rush hour demand.
3.2
Scale Economies
Cost,
price
Average cost
Marginal cost
Demand
Deficit
P
P*
X*
Passengers
An important feature of marginal cost pricing is the fact that passengers shall
experience that each trip they make is associated with a cost. We have shown
that the cost can be high (during peak) or low (off peak and with scale
economies), but it will never be exactly zero.
If a fare policy objective is to link fare levels to actual costs, we must conclude
that season tickets (day, week, monthly etc. passes) are not associable with
marginal cost pricing. Season ticket holders do not experience that an extra
trip incurs a cost (apart from their own effort in terms of time/inconvenience).
As long as this is the case then season tickets lead to excessive use of public
transport.
This argument can be moderated. Passengers travelling at times of the day
and at sections of the routes where there is ample capacity probably incurs a
cost that is closer to zero than to the cost of a typical single ticket. Season
ticket can be a practical pricing tool for this kind of trips. However, such tickets
should not be valid for design capacity demand. This means that season
tickets must be limited in time (only off peak) or in geography (low-demand
sections and low-demand travel directions in the network).
We will now look at some instruments that can be applied to achieve a more
effective and marginal cost based fare structure.
A. Peak Pricing
The problem with season tickets is more acute during the peak periods than at
other times. Season tickets are especially attractive for the regular
passengers, like those travelling to and from work and school. At the same
time, these types of trips represent a major part of the design capacity
demand. This leads to a situation where the most expensive passengers
travel on highly rebated season tickets and pay zero marginal fare. This self Association for European Transport 2004
let the passengers who incur low costs on the system (e.g. off peak
passengers) travel on heavily rebated tickets, or
Larsen (1998) and Vickrey (1980) argue that one single price during the rush
hours does not provide sufficient signals to the market, as the peak within the
rush hours is limited to a very short period of time. Ideally, fares should rise
gradually towards the peak and then gradually fall again till the off peak level.
Only then will the fare structure effectively reflect marginal costs and spread
the sharp peaks of demand. The implementation of such a complex fare
structure, however, is unlikely to happen in a near future.
Rebates outside rush hours are the most publicly acceptable way of timedifferentiated fares. Such rebates may be sufficient to transfer passengers
from the rush periods and to periods with spare capacity. The rebates will also
attract new passengers. The total effect would be more, and less 'costly',
passengers.
A rebate outside rush hours means for example that certain (rebated) ticket
types are only valid after, say 9am and during weekends. Existing and new
types of concessionary fares can be subject to such restrictions. Although
such restrictions on e.g. old age pensioners' concessionary fares are
controversial in many countries, it has become a standard way of time
differentiation in most of the UK.
Off peak rebates will not especially in the short run increase the operator's
total revenues. Rather, the average ticket revenue per passenger (or average
fare) will fall. This fact provides new opportunities for operators whose fare
levels are regulated according to a price index. When the overall fare level
increases are regulated (for example RPI-X regulation), the off peak rebates
will give room for peak surcharges. The average fare level need not increase.
Peak fare surcharges will encourage more passengers to change their trip
timing. Although most peak passengers are inflexible w.r.t. trip timing, there
will always be a number of them who react to such price stimuli (see e.g.
Jong et al. 2001). And because most passengers have no alternative, ticket
revenues will increase.
Peak fare surcharges can be organised in several ways: the general fare level
can increase while off peak rebates are introduced at the same time; new
ticket types, which unlike the rebated ones are valid throughout the day, can
be introduced; single fares can be higher during rush hours; season ticket
prices (if season tickets are to be continued, cf. above) can be increased or
split into 'all day' and 'afternoon'; and so on.
When peak and off peak fares are regarded coherently, i.e. when peak fares
are higher that off peak fares, then a number of benefits are obtained:
Passengers realise that their trips have different costs to the operator (and
other passengers in terms of crowding, delay) depending on their trip
timing
Some passengers will change the timing of their trips to periods where
they are less costly to serve, hence reducing total operating costs.
Off peak rebates increase passenger numbers and bring the average fare
level down
Off peak rebates provide affordable services and hence improved mobility
to the less affluent
Average fare levels need not increase they may even fall.
membership fee is the same whether you make one trip per year or you make
several trips per day. This fee will not, in principle, alter passengers' marginal
choices, i.e. whether or not to make one extra trip. Therefore it is efficient
pricing in economic terms. The fee should cover the fixed costs of operation.
The size of this membership fee is determined by the height of the grey area
in figure 5.
The membership fee acts as a constant term in the ticket price equation.
Every passenger has to pay this in order to access the public transport
system. The total price passengers pay for a given period of time (P), is
P = F + T*X
where
F
T
X
This fare structure means that passengers are given a quantity discount. The
more trips a person makes per period, the lower the average fare, P/X. A
person who makes only one journey pays F+T per trip. When the number of
trips approaches infinity, the average price per trip approaches T. This fare
structure with a volume discount has a loyalty aspect, which may prove
attractive for both passengers and the operator.
One needs to be cautious, however, not to discourage occasional passengers
by charging a high membership fee. The membership fee plus marginal price
per trip should rather be an attractive option for the passenger. Several
express bus and train operating companies across Europe have therefore
designed systems in which passengers pay an annual fee which entitles them
to rebated tickets.
Looking beyond the public transport sector, we find membership fee plus
marginal cost pricing being the standard pricing principle in e.g. telecom,
electricity, water and sewerage and so on. The constant fee covers fixed
costs.
A further pricing alternative in cases of scale economies is price
discrimination. This is treated in more detail in the next chapter.
4
PRICE DIFFERENTIATION
The public may regard uniform prices as more 'fair' than differentiated prices.
But in terms of economic efficiency, and when public subsidies are less than
optimal, we have seen that it is not necessarily a desirable pricing strategy. A
simple and intuitive example illustrates this further: Assume an operator with
almost zero marginal costs and two passengers (or passenger groups) whose
willingness to pay are 1 and 3, respectively. If the operator were to charge
one uniform fares then 3 would maximise profits, but only one passenger
would be served. With price differentiation, the operator could charge them up
Association for European Transport 2004
= k.
Optimal pricing means that we maximise social welfare (SW), s.t. the budget
constraint:
(b1)
L = p(Q)dQ TC + (PQ TC k ) ,
0
p
L
(b2)
= p MC + p + Q
MC = 0 (MC is marginal cost)
Q
Q
(b3)
L
= pQ TC k = 0
1
p MC
=
, is the elasticity of demand w.r.t. price
1+
p
In other words, optimal second-best solution is when the proportionate markup of price over marginal cost equals the inverse of the price elasticity. In
other words: the more price sensitive market the lower the mark-up. From (b2)
we get:
(b5)
p MC
= ,
MR MC
so that
U is the marginal benefit in SW of relaxing the budget constraint. From
(b5) we see that marginal cost pricing, P=MC gives =0 and no further benefit
can be gained.
Baumol and Bradford (1970) is the traditional reference for optimal pricing
when a monopolist who supplies 2 goods and faces a budget constraint:
We have
and derive
and
(b6)
pi MCi 1 + 1
=
, because i = -pi/xi(dxi/dpi)
pi
i
This is the usual representation of Ramsey pricing. When prices deviate from
marginal costs because of a budget constraint, P>MC, then we see from
equation (b6) that efficient pricing means a proportional mark-up of prices is in
inverse ratio with the price elasticity of the markets. From (b6) we see that if
all markets have the same elasticities then the proportional mark-up of prices
over MC should be the same in all markets. The optimal mark-up depends on
own and cross elasticities.
From (b4) we derive the general pricing rule for two substitute services:
(b7)
p1 MC1
p1
= 2
p 2 MC 2 1
p2
or
p MC
p
=
1
MC 2
2
p2
If 2 is large and 1 is small (in absolute terms) then there should be a large
proportional mark-up in market 1 and a small mark-up in market 2. For
substitutes, max SW requires:
p 2
x2
1 + x1
1+
(1 + ) 11
MC1
(b8)
p1 =
the tougher the budget constraint, i.e. the bigger , for example due to
insufficient subsidies
the smaller the price elasticity price insensitive demand should, for
example, be charged more
the bigger the cross price elasticity. A large cross elasticity reduces
p2/p1, and hence the mark-up must increase for (b8) to hold
Peak passengers are the least price sensitive, as their freedom to choose
trip timing is limited by school and work requirements. They have limited
freedom of choice between transport modes because of congestion,
parking restrictions, and (for pupils) age limits to driving licence.
Leisure trips are more price sensitive because they are more flexible as to
whether to travel or not, where, when and why, and with which mode.
Low-income groups are least price sensitive. Although the fare level is
particularly important for them, they tend not to have a real choice.
Price elasticity is higher on the very short and on the very long trips.
Walking and cycling are alternatives to the short public transport trips while
the car is an alternative on longer trips.
It is important in this respect to consider differences between long and shortterm elasticities. Long-term elasticities tend to be 0.5 to 2 times higher than
the short-term effects (Goodwin, 1988, Preston, 1998, Dargay and Hanly,
2001). However, as more and more local public transport contracts are being
granted for short time periods, one cannot expect private operators to
consider long-term effects of their adjustments.
Within third degree price differentiation there is also a need to establish clear
rules which define the different segments so that passengers cannot shop
around between different rebates. Age, gender, student ID cards etc, are such
indisputable criteria.
One should be aware of some aspects of price differentiation that may be
regarded by the public as unattractive:
Price differentiation means that some people receive rebates while others
pay full price. That may seem unjust.
The prices may deviate largely from marginal costs and be difficult to
explain to the public.
The potentially large number of different prices for the same services may
itself be a barrier to travel by public transport.
There is in other words a trade off between simple and "fair" fare systems,
and efficient price differentiation. We know however from other industries
and especially aviation that a large degree of differentiation can be
perceived as attractive by the market. Whether you double the price on
express bus services or dump prices on lower quality services, the result may
be more satisfied passengers. The former offers superior comfort and maybe
even prestige, whilst the latter offers an affordable services for the average
citizen.
5
Time differentiated fares (peak pricing) are primarily a means to make the
public aware that travel at certain times of the day is associated with higher
cists, i.e. a marginal cost pricing tool. Peak pricing can also be seen as third
degree price discrimination because the more price sensitive passengers
usually travel off peak and receive cheaper services.
Time differentiation is widespread in Swedish cities. Stockholm has its
monthly weekend card that is valid every weekend of the month. Youths aged
6-18 are offered the cheap "Wild card" which is valid after 4pm on weekdays
and during weekends a combination of time differentiation and
segmentation. Most season tickets in Gothenburg have two prices: one for
travel any time of the day and one for low traffic periods.
Copenhagen's pensioners card is only valid outside the rush hours again a
combination of time differentiation and market segmentation.
Throughout England bus saver tickets are usually valid only after the morning
peak. Even the senior citizen's rebated tickets are usually only available after
9am or 9:30am. In Manchester, for example, a 2-zone return ticket on the
Metrolink costs (in 2003) 2.20 during rush and 1.80 off peak.
Time differentiation is rather widespread also in America. As an example, the
one day travel pass in Washington DC is only valid after 9.30 am on
weekdays. Other season tickets have limited validity during the peak hours.
Membership Fees
Month
Tram
1 zone: 0.90
2 zones: 1.30
(Also valid on
buses)
2.80
Underground
Zone 1: 1.60
Outside zone 1: 1.00-2.30
Zone 1-4: 2.80
(Also valid on bus and tram)
Zone 1-2: 5.10 (peak)
4,10 (off peak)
Zone 1-4: 7.00 (peak) 4.50 (off
peak)
Zone 1-2: 75.30
Zone 1-4: 109.10
In Athens, bus and trolley bus tickets are cheaper than Metro tickets. While a
single ticket on buses costs 0.45, the Metro ticket costs 0.60. The
difference in price between bus and Metro is greater when it comes to monthly
travel cards. The bus pass costs 17.50; only half of the 35 for passes which
are valid on bus and metro.
5.4
Hong Kong has abolished the season tickets. Passengers pay for every trip
and there is no card that gives the holder unlimited travel. This is in line with
the principles of marginal cost pricing, as stated above.
Hong Kong metro makes publicity stunts and campaigns related to their
Octopus smart card. You need to be an active traveller if you want to benefit
from this kind of offers:
Go via selected metro stations and have HK$2 paid back to you Octopus
card. In this way passengers' route choice within the metro system can be
changed to less crowded train lines. The campaign can also be sponsored
by e.g. shopping centres on the relevant stations.
Make 10 trips within a week and get one trip free. This is a well-known kind
of quantity discount, but the short period secures that only the most loyal,
or active, travellers benefit.
5.5
SUMMARY
The average fare level need not increase when price differentiation is
introduced. Peak surcharges can, for example, be matched with off-peak
and/or other targeted rebates
A uniform fare structure is not optimal because it doesnt take into account
differences in operating cost or differences in passengers willingness to
pay
With season tickets the cost to the passenger of an extra trip is zero, The
cost to the operator is, however, typically high because season ticket
holders are more likely to be commuters and students travelling during the
peak. This pricing policy is not efficient because the most expensive
passengers to serve are given the largest rebates.
Uniform fares tend to be high, and to lie above marginal costs. Passengers
whose willingness to pay is higher than the marginal operating costs, but
below the fare level, are discouraged from travelling. This fact causes
revenue and welfare losses.
More flexible pricing and the abolition of season tickets will improve
resource allocation and cost recovery
There is a risk that too much price differentiation is seen as unfair and too
complex. Here lies a challenge to the public relations officers, who have the
potential of earning a lot of goodwill from price differentiation. From other
sectors, including rail and aviation, we know that customers appreciate
increased freedom to choose between price and quality combinations.
There is no one answer to what is a correct pricing strategy for urban public
transport systems. This paper has pointed at some possibilities and potentials
for improvements in the efficiency of cost recovery. However, a thorough
understanding of the cost and demand structures is necessary in each case in
order to improve the fare system.
It can be argued that inventive pricing is difficult to implement because e.g. of
regulatory issues, political opposition, practical problems etc. One should not
underestimate such obstacles. We have seen, however, a number of
examples from around the world where such pricing has been implemented in
urban public transport.
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Regulatory Challenge. O.U.P.
Baumol, W.J. og Bradford, D.F. (1970) Optimal Departures from Marginal
Cost Pricing. In American Economic Review vol. 60, 1970, s. 265
Carlquist, E and N Fearnley (2001) Subsidy reductions in Norwegian urban
public transport: Savings - but for whom? Paper presented at the European
Transport Conference (PTRC), Cambridge
Dargay, J. and Hanly, M. (2001) The demand for local bus services in
England. TSU working paper 2001/22. ESRC Transport Studies Unit,
University of London Centre for Transport Studies
de Jong, G., Daly, A., Vellay, C., Bradley, M. and Hofman, F. (2001) A model
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Association for European Transport 2004